The 4 Crypto Dominance charts and 4 x TOTAL charts -ALT ?
There are some charts we should always refer to in times where we feel change may be upon us.
The chart above are
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) - Ethereum Dominance ( ETH.D )
Others Dominace ( OTHERS.D) and USDT Dominance ( USDT.D) ( I use USDT as it remains the largest Stablecoin by market cap)
The RED line in these Daily charts is the 50 day SMA
In most of my posts recently, I have been mentioning how Strong BITCOIN is remaining while under a Lot of resistance.
But we really should not forget the rest of the market. THE ALTS
The Fabled ALT Season has been running away from us, making many wonder just what is happening.
To explain, while BTC.D remains high, it shows us that the Money remain invested in Bitcoin.
When this Dominance Drops, in the past, it has signalled the rise of investment into ALTS.
Called ROTATION, the money rotates from one asset to another.
Due to the corporate investment in Bitcoin, this rotation has not happened.
BUT IS IT ABOUT TO ?
Let look at a few things
BTC.D has been rising continuously for Months now, It is way above that 50 day SMA. PA could fall a Long way before the support of that 50 SMA is required and I notice as I type, that is is beginning to drop. It's local support may help
ETH.D has begun to Rise but we need to pay attention to this as it could get rejected once again by the 50 SMA. Ethereum has had a very hard time this cycle and has yet to show any sustained recovery
OTHERS.D - Now OTHERS is the one I watch most. Others is the Top 125 Coins MINUS the Top 10 by market cap. This shows us the Mid to Low cap Alts coins.
This is also rising right now but once again, we need to wait and see if it breaks through the 50 SMA that has rejected it many times.
The USDT.D has been dropping. This shows that USDT has been rotated into other assets. Bullish but I have to say, that as I write this, I have just noticed that this has begun to rise also though only on a 1 hour chart so maybe just Noise but it is worth watching.
So, on these dominance charts, we see a potential start to a rotation but with the likely hood of rejection of the 50 SMA, It could be the First step of a bigger move.....But with potholes in front.
The Next Logical thing to do is to look at the TOTAL market Cap charts, to compare this dominance.
This chart shows us the Daily charts for
TOTAL Crypto market Cap - TOTAL2 ( minus BTC )
TOTAL3 ( Minus BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins Minus top 10 by Dominace )
SMA;s in chart are RED= 50, BLUE = 100, GREEN = 128, YELLOW = 200
The TOTAL is the ONLY one that has PA above all the SMA's, potentially offering Support on many fronts. It has also had the most sustained Rise. Hence the high level of Dominance in the Market.
TOTAL2 is above the 50 SMA that has rejected it previously and is about to hit into the 100. We need to see if this will be rejected or not.
Remember how the ETH.D is also facing rejection off the 50SMA - ETH is under pressure
TOTAL3 is above the 50 and appears to have broken through the 100. This is VERY Bullish for the ALT coins and could show us some potential for a continued rise as sentiment continues to turn positive. But we should watch that 200 as a potential problem
OTHERS has the largest and strongest rise and again, is above the 50 and appears to have broken through the 100. This chart has the largest gap between current PA level and the next SMA that may reject it. This is the same on the Others.D chart
SO, in conclusion, The potential for a Rotation does exist but it is going to be hard fought. There is the possibility of a HIGH volitle state for the next few days, possibly Weeks.
If you are going to rotate out of Bitcoin, Be VERY CAUTIOUS until at least the next SMA have been claimed on both sets of charts.
The nest bets are on the Mid to lower Cap ALT coins.
BUT I will say this. I cannot See BITCOIN Selling off to invest in ALTS. I also see Bitcoin continuing higher against the USD.
IF we get an ALT season now, It will be Quick, Volatile and possibly with Quick Pump and Dumps on most ALTS.
The larger ALTS will survive this better than the Meme, small caps in my opinion
For me, the ROTATION that creates an ALT Season will occur with the rotation of money from ALT to ALT and NOT BTC to ALT
What ever you do, Remain in Peace and Safety
Others
SHITCOIN index to 11X - No crying in the CASINO!I see grown men on my timeline expressing despair, claiming that altcoins are finished!
Come on, get a grip!
Volatility is simply the cost of chasing the highest potential returns in the most speculative market the world has ever seen.
Yet, many are unwilling to wait just one more year.
They’re turning into Bitcoin maximalists, hesitant to promote their favourite coins and reluctant to introduce friends and family to their preferred ecosystems.
This is just ridiculous.
Take a look at that chart.
I mean really study it.
It shows a stunning continuation pattern of an inverse head and shoulder.
Is that bearish or bullish?
You decide.
Embrace the cost of those future returns.
The Others index going to Trillions of dollars.
Means many millionaires will be freshly minted.
From memes to mansions.
$OTHERS appears to have found its bottom — a breakout could be n🚀 CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS (altcoins excluding the top 10) may have bottomed out — and could be ready for takeoff!
I’ve been closely tracking CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , and the chart clearly shows a consistent downtrend since the mini altseason back in December 2024.
Now, it looks like the downtrend has fully played out, with a potential bottom forming around April 7th (see the yellow arrow on the chart).
This setup mirrors what we saw before CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS when we got a pump in dec 2024. With price action now bouncing from a key support zone, it’s possible we’re on the edge of another mini altseason.
The green lines are showing the area of support and resistance. A large support is at the current level likely to offer a bounce in the short term.
📈 Key Signs:
Fully retraced move since the last rally
Support holding firmly
Resistance retest incoming
This could be the early signal many are waiting for.
🧠 DYOR — as always, nothing is guaranteed, but the signs are promising.
Bitcoin Dominance Update (4H)It appears that Bitcoin Dominance is preparing for one final upward move.
I believe this could be the last dominance rally before a major bullish breakout across the broader market.
For a more detailed perspective, please refer to my previous analyses on Bitcoin Dominance and the "Others" market cap.
— Thanks for reading.
Did Small Cap Altcoins Bottomed In?Hello, Skyrexians!
It's not a secret that we are waiting for Bitcoin dominance drop to at least 62% right now, but after that we expect the final shakeout to 67%, but the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D gave us a hint that may be this shakeout will not affect on low cap alts that much like on top-10.
Let's take a look at the 12h time frame to see the waves in details. After a large wave 3 we have seen the triangle correction in wave 4, after that price showed the impulsive structure in wave 5. Subwaves 3 and 5 formed divergence with the Awesome Oscillator. Yesterday's dump looks like the deep wave 2 inside new impulse to the upside. Green dot was formed on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which confirms the further growth scenario.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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A new correction is possible.I think the up and down waves are pretty clear.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
OTHERS/BTCUSD: The Ultimate Indicator for Altcoin SeasonsHey TradingView community! I’ve been analyzing the OTHERS/BTCUSD metric, and it’s painting an exciting picture for altcoin traders. This chart might just be the key to timing the next big altcoin rally — let’s break it down!
What is OTHERS/BTCUSD?
This metric calculates the total altcoin market cap (excluding Bitcoin) divided by BTC/USD. It shows how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin.
High Metric : Altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin — think altcoin season!
Low Metric : Bitcoin dominance takes over, and altcoins take a backseat.
Historical Patterns: Falling Wedges Stealing the Show
The OTHERS/BTC Weekly chart reveals three Falling Wedge patterns, a bullish setup that’s historically preceded massive altcoin bull runs:
1st Altseason (2017-2018) : A Falling Wedge formed in 2016 (prior pink zone). The breakout unleashed a legendary altcoin rally — remember Ethereum and Ripple going parabolic?!
2nd Altseason (2020-2022) : Another wedge in 2018-2019 (blue zone) led to the 2021 altcoin boom, with projects like Solana and DeFi tokens soaring as the metric hit 10M.
3rd Falling Wedge (2022-Now) : Since 2022, a new wedge is forming (green zone), resurfacing the setups that sparked the last two altseasons.
Current Setup: A Critical Support Zone
As of April 27, 2025, the metric is approaching a key support zone of 2M-1.5M (where the altcoin market cap equals 1.5M to 2M Bitcoins).
Historical Significance : This level has been a launchpad in the past — both in 2016 and 2019, it marked the bottom before altcoins reversed and surged.
What’s Next : If this wedge breaks out, the metric could climb to 7M, 9M, or even 11.5M by 2025-2027. That could mean 5-10x gains from bottom for altcoins, depending on the pair!
A sinusoidal wave at the bottom of the chart — it reflect market sentiment cycles, with troughs (like now) often preceding altcoin season greed phases.
Why This Metric Matters
OTHERS/BTCUSD captures the flow of capital in crypto:
Bitcoin often leads bull cycles, pulling in capital first (metric drops).
When BTC’s rally cools, investors chase higher returns in altcoins (metric rises).
The Falling Wedges highlight this cycle — consolidation during Bitcoin dominance, followed by breakouts when altcoins take the spotlight.
Trading Takeaway
Monitor the 2M-1.5M Zone : A breakout here could be your green light to stack altcoins.
Cross-Check Bitcoin Dominance : A drop in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) would confirm capital flowing into altcoins.
Pick Strong Projects : Look for altcoins with solid fundamentals — layer-1s, DeFi, or AI tokens could lead the charge.
What’s your take, TradingView fam? Are you gearing up for the next altseason?
Drop your favorite altcoin picks or charts in the comments — I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Total 3, do flags point to the target area?Welcome back dearest reader,
Today i have a very interesting analysis for you, quite some valuable time was put into this.
What i've noticed is the following:
-From april 2021 untill july 2021 total 3 has been trading in a bullish wedge flag, when we continue the lines on the full candle bodies the apex pointed to the top of that flag durationwise
-August 2022 till october 2023, extend the trendlines, apex march 2024, look up. Oh.
-March 2024, october 2024 --> apex december 2024, look up. Oh.
Now:
-January 2025, april/may 2025, apex june 2025, look up. Oh.
-I used the fractal from july 2021 as i think we're in this period
-Upward sloping channel from october 2022 untill now could provide insights as to what the target price might be, HH and HL
Target: 1.5T
Also check out my BTC.D idea, these would coincide perfectly
~Rustle
Is it certain this will happen? No-one has a glass ball, all we have are patterns based on past performance, this is no guarantee. But it does look good.
Altseason? Not yet — but the real move is coming... soon.As shown in the chart, the weekly MACD reset isn’t complete yet. A similar setup happened in September 2024 — we got a fake pump that fooled many, while the real breakout started in December 2024.
🔍 Why does this happen?
Impatient whales — often close to the “crypto president” — start buying early. Using influencers and media hype, they push the "New ATH" narrative and lure in retail. But this early FOMO creates a massive bearish divergence — the RSI hasn’t reset yet, and the market isn't ready.
📉 The result?
A painful 6-month correction that punishes impatience. The market always reverts to math — and math doesn’t lie.
You can’t fake momentum forever — no matter how much money you throw at it.
💡 My forecast remains unchanged:
Once the MACD weekly crossover happens, the real pump begins — no ETF, no Saylor needed. The market moves on its own, as it always has.
📊 Check the chart. Read the signals. Trust the data.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #CryptoWhales #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #Altseason #DYOR
$OTHERS is the correction over? All is in the Chart!Check the yellow arrows and lines— CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS (all altcoins excluding the top 10) is following a correction pattern similar to CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the $SPX500.
📉 On the 1W timeframe, the MACD is overbought and currently in the middle of a correction. This typically signals a bounce in the coming weeks.
🕰️ If we compare this to the previous cycle, it appears we're at the early stage of what could become an altseason. Back then, it took around 10 weeks after this point to see the real breakout.
🗓️ Based on that, I forecast:
May: first major pump
July–August: consolidation
September–October: final leg up
Despite recent announcements from Trump, the 1W chart has not significantly changed—everything is progressing as expected.
📊 You can verify this macro alignment with my other analyses:
🔗 SPX500 (trendline shows bottom around Sept 2025 at 4700):
🔗 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL (crypto market macro view):
🔗 CRYPTOCAP:BTC (warning posted on Feb 5, 2025):
📈 Everything is aligning—traditional markets, Bitcoin, and altcoins.
Altcoins Will Explode In May!Hello, Skyrexians!
We have already made a lot of analytics about the Bitcoin Dominance, today it's time to update CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D analysis because it looks like the bottom could be in!
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. We have already pointed out that globally altcoins are about to finish the bear market and the 5 Elliott waves impulse which you can see on the chart is this last wave. Recently we have shown you the bullish divergence with the Awesome Oscillator, today we can see the confirmation of the divergence on the Acceleration/Deceleration indicator, which measures the waves inside wave 5 with no need to go on lower time frame. This divergence in conjunction with the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator gives us strong confirmation of the reversal. The minimal target is 10-10.5% then we will see is it going to be true altseason or not.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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The 4 Crypto Market Cap charts and SMA's comparedTop Left TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP
Top Right TOTAL 2 CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Minus Bitcoin )
Bottom Left TOTAL 3 CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Minus BTC and ETH )
Bottom Right OTHERS CRYPTO MARKET CAP ( Top 125 coins Minus Top 10 by dominance )
50 SMA RED
100 SMA BLUE
128 SMA GREEN
TOTAL Cap is the ONLY one that has broken above the 2021 ATH and has subsequently dropped back under but is still "touching the line" with a Wick up from the current candle.
It can also be seen how it is only the TOTAL chart that has remained easily above the 50 SMA since late 2023. The toer charts can be seen to have needed to bounce of it in 2024
The TOTAL 2 & 3 charts have very similar Candle moves and 50 SMA use.
To me, this is telling us about the Higher Cap ALT coins.
The fact that both TOTAL 2 ( Minus BTC ) and TOTAL 3 ( Minus BTC and ETH ) are similar shows me the little impact of ETH on price rise. These Charts are held up by the Higher ALT coins like SOL, INJ, SUI, XCN, HBAR to name a few. Most of these are still less than 100% gains over the last 12 months.
But what the slight Difference there is between the two charts does show us that ETH is a burden. It is dragging the TOTAL 2 chart down lwoer than the TOTAL 3 and that difference, though small on a monthly chart, is VERY SIGNIFICANT
OTHERS tells a huge story of how the Mid to Lower Caps are paying the price of Bitcoins adoption by Corporations and the fact that, as a result of these Corporations HOLDING, Bitcoin Dominance remaining High. The money that has once been used to Feed the ALT Market is static.
OTHERS is also the only chart that has fallen below its own 50SMA
That is not Bullish and very clearly shows how the Crypto Market has now matured and the absolute Tidal wave of New, worthless, useless ALT coins are failing.
This does not mean that will continue but I am inclined to believe that while we have such uncertainty in the world, the utter risk of investing in something with no use or history and security does not appeal to many.
To many extents, this could be seen as the beginning of the " Dot Com" Bubble burst for Crypto, where the best Coins / Projects are adopted and the rest, well, fall aside......
We shall see
9 month liquid venture betsBe Greedy When Others Are Fear Full - Buffet
-- First post. Take it with some salt. --
Nothing in this post is investment advice. It’s barely even coherent thought. I own random coins, have exposure to stuff I forget about, and might be wildly conflicted without realizing it. Assume I’m biased, assume I’m losing money, and most importantly: assume I will sell everything without telling you the second I feel like it. Always do your own research, or better yet — stop reading, it will likely waste your time anyways.
Key takes:
Macro fear is fully priced — dislocations create asymmetric upside opportunities.
Liquidity conditions remain supportive — policy catalysts can trigger sharp repricing.
Infrastructure plays in cross-chain messaging and modular blockchains are left for dead but inevitable.
Cultural assets represent a new frontier for community-driven value creation.
Global macro markets have been crushed. Trade wars and peak recession fears have fully reset positioning. Equities crashed hard, bounced even harder — but sentiment is still dead. To me, this is not the moment to turn bearish. This is exactly the moment to start looking the other way.
The S&P 500 dipped 21%. Nasdaq dipped 25%. Bitcoin dipped 31%. Others (crypto outside of top10) dipped as much as 61%. Maximum fear is priced in. Recession seems consensus.
But behind the scenes?
U.S.–China trade dialogue has resumed.
Policymakers globally are preparing stimulus.
The Fed pivot may be closer than markets expect.
When positioning is light, sentiment is exhausted, and policy shifts — markets don’t wait. They rip.
It’s not about what today’s headlines say — it’s about what the next headlines will be.
And it’s not about whether outcomes are positive or negative — it’s about whether the current market psychology is underestimating or overestimating what’s coming.
Tariff expectation → too bearish
Trump chaos → Overestimated
Skilled technocratic cabinet → Underrated
Rate cuts → Expectations too low
Deregulation impact → Underestimated
Lower taxes → Invisible but real
CrossBorder Capital’s Global Liquidity Index (GLI) seems to confirm it: liquidity isn’t done yet, we have approx 9 months left — and risk assets tend to perform best at the end of the liquidity cycle. Given that — and considering the main viral narratives dominating the crypto headlines for months now:
VC's scams don't work anymore
Oversaturation of projects, their will never be enough demand.
These coins will never justify there revenue
Frequent and poorly managed token unlocks will crush the prices
Pump.fun destroyed retail demand
My response would be:
At some point things will be priced in and prices trade below there value. When that happens — even the few holders still up on their position won’t be willing to sell anymore. There’s always that moment — nobody expects it — where supply dries up, the market reverses, and sentiment is (as always) slow to catch up.
Just before everyone sees it, a great leap of faith is needed.
Right now, three major themes are left for dead — DFV:
1. Cross-chain messaging (deep tech)
USDT0 Tether, WBTC, Berachain, Monad, Telegram, Ethena, Aptos, Movement, PayPal, Wyoming, Eigenlayer, Pumpfun, HyperEVM... and I’ve likely missed many names that are benefiting from the market leader crosschain infrastructure— this is still just the beginning. Demand for omnichain communication is growing fast and LayerZero is the main protocol. Billions transferred cross-chain for cents. Study OFT.
COINBASE:ZROUSD Great team backed by world-class investors, already in use, and moving fast.
2. Modular blockchain architecture (deep tech)
Market leader Celestia soon offers what Ethereum’s roadmap hopes to deliver years from now: scalable data availability + ZK-proof compatibility.
COINBASE:TIAUSD The space is converging. The architecture is maturing.
3. Movement Coins / Neo-religions
After the Pumpfun craze, the majority will be hunting for something similar but different.
Memecoins like SPX6900 transcend speculation, evolving into cultural movements or "neo-religions." They channel financial nihilism and the last hope for retail into community-driven protests against traditional systems — offering hope and belonging.
CRYPTO:SPX6USD (special thanks to my bro for sharing this one)
If one is positioning The radical portfolio strategy for these liquid venture bets could look something like:
70% Deep Tech / 30% Movement Coins.
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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The views expressed are those of the author and are subject to change without notice. Any investment strategies discussed herein are high-risk, speculative in nature, and are not suitable for any investors. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Growth On Altcoins Is Beginning Right Now!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last week our main purpose was to catch the potential bottom for CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D and top for Bitcoin dominance. While the BTC.D has not still flashed the reversal signal, but altcoins did. So, we have a chance that reversal is coming, but don't be so optimistic on that, we need to see some extra confirmations anyway.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Here we can see the 5 Elliott waves structure. Previous Elliott waves we have already looked in details in our recent analysis, today we need only wave 5. We pointed out 7-7.6% as a final target. The most likely reversal target was 7.4%, but now we are seeing good reaction from the minimal target. Yes, we have green dot signal on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indictor . This is very strong, but let's wait at least the momentum change on the Awesome Oscillator and the opposite signal on the Bitcoin dominance.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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FIFA WORLD CUP HISTORIC ROARING 20s QE Restart ScenarioBenjamin Cowen has been truly amazing with his analysis. As per monetary policy it's definitely too early to call the start of QE but we're on the right track.
it almost feels like the true Altseason will start when the FIFA World Cup starts. Every single scenario matches that theory. If you also pay attention to Algorand for instance, it's mimicking the early days of XRP. XRP is also mimicking the early years of Apple.
Can you imagine a scenario where XRP hits 120 dollars and Algorand 1200 dollars? I know I know the market caps etc. But so far it does feel like the markets are brewing for a truly historic roaring 20s scenario that could last for years.
Big question is, who has the first mover's advantage now and needs to catch up in the mean time?
I'm looking at tiny caps like Metastrike, and institutional coins like VeChain. China has already started QE so you may want to play around with VET while the entire market is boring.
JasmyCoin I can't tell yet, it could be but it has that annoying monitoring tag and in my case I've already survived 7 delistings already (dock, ooki, troy, gifto, gemie, kingdomverse, dreamsquest), so not touching it for now.
Looks very promising to be honest. Gotta have a long term vision here.
OTHERS Weekly – Testing Critical Support 200MA
The altcoin market is in a fragile state. On the weekly, OTHERS is about to close below the 200 MA—a key structural level. Meanwhile, the system remains fully bearish:
- LR < SMA < BB center
- PSAR above price
- No setup, no trade
This is where discipline saves capital. It’s easy to feel urgency when the chart looks rough, but reacting emotionally only leads to losses. Even now, I remind myself: structure first, sentiment second. When rules align, I’ll act. Until then, I protect capital, not pride.
Most of trading is waiting. The rest is having the mindset to know why.
Last Wave Of Bear Market Is Happening Now For Altcoins Hello, Skyrexians!
As usual, recently we faced with a lot of hate when posted the article about Bitcoin Dominance growth, yesterday we analyzed a lot of charts on different time frames to make the most precise analysis for you. Hope it will be the truth. We really tried to do our best, please, don't criticize it too much!
We made this analysis briefly to simplify it for you. We are now in the last bearish wave for altcoin dominance, you can open 1 month time frame and see it. Now we dive into the current subwave on the daily time frame. Here we can see the clear view of Elliott waves cycle. Wave 4 has the triangle shape, it gives us more confidence that now price is printing wave 5. If we analyze only 1D time frame the target is 7-7.5%. There wait for bullish divergence and price will likely reverse.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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The Power of a Trading System with the Right Mental State
📅 April 3, 2025
Over the years, I’ve learned that discipline in trading isn’t just about having a system — it’s about being in the right state of mind to follow that system. 🧘♂️📈
You can have the cleanest rules, the best strategy, and solid backtests … but if your mindset is off, none of it matters. That’s when hesitation creeps in. Or worse — revenge trades, FOMO, or doubt.
So I started focusing on one thing: my internal state before and during a trade. 🧭
🔄 How I Manage My Mindset
✅ 1. Pre-Trade Check-In
Before I trade, I ask:
How do I feel right now?
If I’m not grounded, I don’t trade. Simple. I’ve learned the hard way that it’s not worth it.
🔥 2. Anchoring a Disciplined State
I recall moments where I executed perfectly — calm, focused, in control. I mentally step into that version of myself before every session.
🧩 3. Staying Congruent
During a trade, I pay attention to my behavior. If I notice myself drifting from my plan — I pause, breathe, and realign.
🎯 Why This Works
A trading system gives structure.
But structure means nothing without mental discipline.
By mastering my emotional state, I stopped sabotaging my own edge.
No more reacting from fear. No more chasing. Just clean, committed execution. 🧘♂️✅
💬 Final Thought
Consistency doesn’t come from the market — it comes from me.
So now, before I look at the chart, I check in with myself first.
Because when my state is right, my trading flows. ⚖️✨
If this resonates, drop your thoughts below — let’s grow together.