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Bitcoin breaking down to 95k !?The recent move makes me think Bitcoin could revisit the 95k area and sweep the June lows. Another scenario is we stay stuck between 105k and 115k for a while before the next big move, which then would be more likely to be up to new ATH. Until we reclaim 115k with volume, I expect down. A big red flag for me is the lack of volume on the way up since April. Markets don’t move higher forever without new buyers stepping in, and right now it feels like momentum is running out. 95k isn’t just a random number either. It lines up with a key demand zone, and where the last big bounce started, and if price gets there with volume, that could be the reset we need. A clean sweep of the June lows would also wash out weak longs and set up a stronger base for the next move higher. At the same time, the macro climate is still a wild card. Wars, inflation, interest rates, central banks, Trump... these are all heavy influences that can shift momentum in either direction without warning. Bitcoin might be doing its own thing, but it doesn’t live in a vacuum. Until something changes, I’m leaning short on the way down, targeting 95k as the spot to watch for signs of real buying pressure. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoDINGUE
1
Gold XAU$, 1M TF, 18/03/2023 and the Odyssey to $3600OANDA:XAUUSD The Gold Odyssey: From $1,983 to $3,600 and Beyond Once upon a time on TradingView back on March 18, 2023 (1M TF), gold (XAUUSD) was trading at $1,983.68. That’s when the chart of destiny was drawn — A bull flag breakout projection 75.14% with a bold target of $3,600. ⏳ 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days later, the projection hit on 08/09/2025— the beautiful patience and the satisfaction of this hodl is overwhelming. Back in Q1–Q2 of 2023, many traders like @day0 echoed the same view. This cart was posted on the TradingView Gold community room walls multiple time getting MODED🤑 which went on for months😉 "GOLD CARTEL" The journey was both technical and emotional — the "disciples of the (HODL) discipline" brought satisfaction as the chart aligned with macro reality. While I did take 10% profit at \$3,600 for validation of this projection, well the narrative isn’t over — now the charts point toward $4,000. 📈 The Timeline of Gold’s Rally 🔹March 18, 2023 – The Trigger Gold surged post the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and accelerated central bank buying, breaking decisively above $2,000/oz. 🔹 2024 – The Sustained Rally Through persistent inflation, geopolitical flashpoints, and a weakening dollar, gold extended gains. By year-end, it reached around $2,690/oz (+31%). 🔹 April 2025 – Breaching History Gold shattered the $3,500/oz barrier, fueled by " record central bank accumulation " 🪙 and " dollar fragility ", cementing its safe-haven role. 🔹 April 9, 2025 – The Spike The biggest daily jump since 2023, a 3% surge driven by bond sell-offs and safe-haven demand. 🔹 September 8, 2025 – The Mark of $3,600 Gold reached fresh record highs at $3,526/oz, supported by a weakening dollar, dovish Fed expectations, and global instability. The climax: $3,600 achieved — bulls eye 🎯. The Chart Came First (March 18, 2023) Gold was trading at $1,983. A bull flag breakout projection pointed to $3,600, based purely on technical structure — no headlines, no hindsight. “Gold’s journey from $1,983 to $3,600 wasn’t foretold by headlines — it was written in the charts first. Exactly — this is a textbook example of that famous trader’s maxim: "Show me the charts, and I’ll tell you the news.” (TA + Philosophy): When I first charted gold at $1,983 in March 2023, the bull flag projected a trajectory toward $3,600. At that time, there was no Silicon Valley Bank collapse, no April 2025 breakout, no Fed policy pivot — just a chart whispering its truth. Fast-forward 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days, every piece of “news” that followed — inflation spikes, central bank hoarding, bond sell-offs, dollar weakness — merely played its role as fuel for a path the chart had already mapped. This is the essence of market psychology: technical encode the collective positioning and pressure before fundamentals are written into the headlines. The gold move isn’t just about price — it’s about patience, conviction, and the timeless charting. "nerves of steel with a Rush of Gold✨" 💡 Reflection: The gold chart wasn’t predicting the exact news events (SVB collapse, Fed stance, dollar weakness). Instead, it revealed the underlying accumulation and pressure that would need some catalyst to unlock — and when those catalysts arrived, price delivered. So yes — this is a perfect case study of “show me the charts and I’ll tell you the news.” Thanks for reading, Thank you Trading View 🌟Note: This was never just a chart — it was a story of patience, macro forces, and market psychology converging. From $1,983 to $3,600, the bull flag wasn’t just a pattern, it was a prophecy. Now, as gold eyes $4,000, the question isn’t "if", but "when" Always DYOR, Trade Safely -See you on the other side- -Jova A
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jova-A
2
Gold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction TradesGold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction Trades Almost every major Wall Street bank currently lists long Gold as one of their strongest conviction calls – and the reasoning makes sense. There are three fundamental drivers that continue to support the bullish case: I. Persistent U.S. Inflation → Gold remains in strong demand as a hedge. II. Potential Fed Rate Cuts → Likely USD weakness could further lift Gold due to its negative correlation . III. Reserve Diversification → A gradual shift towards Gold as a USD alternative in global central bank and hedge fund portfolios. I’m not typically a trend trader, nor do I trade Gold frequently (my focus is mean reversion in FX), but I do find these arguments compelling. From a tactical perspective, I wouldn’t chase the current highs. Price recently broke out of a triangle formation, and the Williams %R is at levels that historically preceded pullbacks. If I had to establish exposure, I’d prefer to wait for a retracement into the 38.2%–61.8% Fibonacci zone, scaling in gradually with multiple small longs. To be clear – I don’t see an attractive short setup here. But patience may offer better risk–reward on the long side. What’s your view? Do you agree with the fundamental case, or do you see a different setup? Stay safe & happy trading, Meikel
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by WSICapital
2
GALA/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis Bearish Harmonic Pattern Price completed a Bearish Gartley formation at point D (0.01733–0.01756 zone). This level aligns with a strong supply zone (gray area) where sellers historically stepped in. 📊 Technical Signals . Stochastic RSI: Currently in the overbought zone, showing potential weakness. . Liquidity Zones: Multiple sell-side liquidity pools exist below current price, increasing downside probability. . Rejection Wicks: Candles show early selling pressure at resistance. 🔑 Key Levels . Resistance (Short Entry Zone): 0.01733 – 0.01756 . First Support: 0.01550 . Deeper Support / Target: 0.01360 🎯 Trading Idea (Not Financial Advice) Bias: Bearish rejection likely from 0.0180 zone. Potential Targets: . TP1: 0.01550 . TP2: 0.01360 Stop Loss: Above 0.01818 ⚠ Disclaimer: This is market analysis for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Short
by A-Yousef
1
Is Sofi about to pull of a Palantir to over $100 ?!🔹 Technical Structure SoFi has built a multi-year rounded bottom base from $4.27 lows (2022–2023) to the $26 rim resistance (2025). Pattern depth: ~$22. Conservative measured move target: ~$48–50. Supercycle stretch target: ~$100–150 (a repeat of the 500% magnitude move from the base, similar to Palantir’s trajectory). This mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 cup base, where a long accumulation under $23 eventually broke out, launching into a magnificent run once the resistance gave way. 🔹 Palantir Analogy Palantir’s Setup: Bottom $6.00, rim $30 Multi-year base, AI narrative catalyst. Broke out in late 2023, surged to $185, fulfilling its measured move. SoFi’s Setup: Bottom $4.27, rim $26. Multi-year rounded base, fintech adoption catalyst. Currently pressing resistance; breakout would align it with Palantir’s pre-explosion stage. 👉 Both charts share the same accumulation → breakout → exponential expansion cycle. 🔹 Fundamentals Supporting the Breakout Q2 2025 Results: Net Revenue: $855M (+43–44% YoY) — strongest growth in two years. Adjusted EBITDA: $249M (+81%), ~29% margin. Net Income: $97M GAAP profit, EPS $0.08 (+700% YoY). Members: 11.7M (+34% YoY). Products: 17.1M (+34% YoY). Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue ~$3.375B, EPS ~$0.31. Growth Outlook (2026+): Revenue CAGR ~18–20% through 2026. EPS CAGR ~20–25% expected. Forecast by 2028: Revenue ~$5.1B, Net Income ~$950M. Strategic Strengths: Expanding ecosystem (banking, lending, investing, insurance). Cross-sell flywheel → increasing monetization per user. Scalability proven with profitability and margin expansion. Rate cuts + digital adoption = macro tailwinds. 🔹 Why $100 Is Plausible Technical Base Magnitude: Rounded bottom projects $48, but history shows supercycles often extend beyond measured targets Fundamentals: Tripling revenue, scaling profits, ecosystem expansion. Macro Liquidity: Lower rates + fintech adoption cycle provide tailwinds. Valuation Expansion: With EPS trending toward ~$4–5 by 2030, premium multiples could justify triple-digit valuations. Comparative Proof: Palantir’s breakout validated that multi-year fintech/tech bases can lead to 300–500% runs when catalysts align. ✅ Conclusion: SoFi’s rounded base breakout mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 accumulation. With accelerating fundamentals (revenue growth, profitability, ecosystem leverage), and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, fintech adoption), SoFi could realistically run to $48–50 in the base case, with $100+ as a stretch target if Palantir’s roadmap repeats.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by HernandezCapital
1
Sept 10, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: Yesterday, price surged to a high of 3675 before dropping back to 3627, likely due to profit-taking by bulls. This intraday spike-and-drop creates uncertainty for Wednesday’s trading. From my view, the market has given bearish signals, and with the 3628 support already broken, today’s main plan is to sell rallies into resistance. 📌 Summary: The trend shows early signs of weakness after yesterday’s sharp reversal. Bias shifts to shorting rallies into resistance as long as price stays below broken support. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3650–3651 – Resistance • 3646 – Resistance • 3642 – Resistance • 3637.5 – Resistance • 3629–3632 – Key intraday support/resistance • 3623 – Support • 3615 – Support • 3600 – Support • 3579 – Support • 3573 – Short-term bull–bear pivot 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3521 → target 3515, with further downside toward 3508, 3504, 3500 BUY: If price holds above 3529 → target 3532, with further upside toward 3538, 3542, 3546 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
1
COFFEE At Crossroads: Up or down?COFFEE has seen a strong impulse to the upside. But guess what? Now price is being coiling into a tight triangle. In this case, there are two scenarios possible, and taking into account that the market conditions are bullish, I am more inclined to say that the price will break to the upside of the triangle formation. Do you agree? Drop a comment below. Engaging with the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and grow as traders. Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEE
by TrendDiva
26
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently. Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session. After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions. Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again. The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP-Halson
1
NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025 🧠 Market Context Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price. Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity. Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops. 🎯 Trading Idea I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL). After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts. That would confirm distribution and set up the short. ✅ Execution Plan Wait for the Sweep: Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs). Confirmation: SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it). BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement. Targets: TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity). TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level). 📌 Key Notes If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+). Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup. ✍️ Summary: I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
CME_MINI:MNQU2025Short
by gysnoize
1