GBPJPY M30 | Bullish Continuation Momentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 208.11
- Overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 207.825
- Pullback support
Take Profit: 208.712
- Swing high resistance
- 61.8% Fib projection
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Community ideas
The decline of gold is clear.Gold Short Strategy Analysis: Fundamental Weakness + Technical Bearishness, Downside Momentum Building
(I) Fundamental Side: Geopolitical Safe-Haven Failure, Short-Term Supply-Demand Imbalance
Geopolitical support for gold has completely collapsed: Events such as the Japan earthquake and border clashes between Cambodia and Thailand failed to trigger effective safe-haven buying. The market’s sensitivity to geopolitical risks has significantly declined, and coupled with progress in Gaza ceasefire negotiations, the geopolitical risk premium has continued to unwind.
The supply-demand dynamic shows short-term imbalance:
Short-term jewelry demand has dropped 19% year-on-year, leaving investment demand as the dominant driver. However, the withdrawal of speculative capital is weighing on overall demand.
While Russia announced restrictions on gold bar exports starting in 2026, long-term supply tightening expectations are unable to offset near-term selling pressure.
(II) Technical Side: Triple Top Divergence + Resistance Pressure, Bearish Structure Formed
A "triple top divergence" has emerged on the daily chart: Gold prices fluctuate at highs, but the MACD green momentum bars are expanding, the KDJ indicator lines are diverging downward, and the 5-day moving average (MA5) and 10-day moving average (MA10) show signs of a death cross after converging — signaling clear short-term correction pressure.
On the 4-hour chart:
Gold prices pulled back after hitting resistance at $4,207, failing to break the short-term resistance of $4,210. The Bollinger Bands have contracted and tilted downward, matching the "breakdown pattern after weak rebound" technical setup.
Key Levels: Multi-Layered Resistance vs. Fragile Support
Resistance Zones (Reinforced Layer by Layer)
Immediate resistance: $4,210 (intraday rebound high + MA5 suppression);
Strong resistance: $4,218–$4,220 (previous high-volume trading zone), a level tested multiple times without a breakthrough. Yesterday’s rally to $4,218 was followed by a sharp pullback, validating its effectiveness;
Critical resistance: $4,230 (upper edge of recent consolidation range).
Support Zones (Breakdown Risks Loom)
Immediate support: $4,190. A break below this level will trigger accelerated declines toward $4,170 and $4,150.
Gold trading strategy
sell:4220-4210
tp:4200-4190-4170
sl:4230
ETH Daily Chart UpdateEthereum has bounced strongly from the key support zone at 2728–2869 and is now pushing upward. This level has acted as a reliable demand area throughout the year, and the latest reaction confirms buyers are active again.
The next major hurdle is the resistance zone at 3608–3970. ETH will need a clean breakout above this range to open the door for a larger trend continuation.
For now, the structure remains intact:
• Support held perfectly
• Momentum shifting upward
• All eyes on the resistance above
EURUSD Review December 10 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
Price is currently trading inside the daily zone of interest, where it made a local raid of the 4H low to the long side and received confirmations on the same timeframe. After the 4H test, we also received confirmations on the 1H timeframe in the form of an StB. If this StB gets retested and confirmed on a lower timeframe, then a long position can be considered, targeting the 1H high.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
$BMNR: Bullish reversal?GN lads,
It seems like Tom Lee's DAT can run up by 148% from here before facing significant resistance.
This is the level that corresponds to the quarterly earnings report from Q3 2025.
Once above it, prices could accelerate higher longer term.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Nikkei Short: Completed Triple Combination (Again)In this video, I discussed the mistake in the previous video, and updated the counts for Wave Z to show the 5-waves structure together with Fibonacci extension. I explained how 1.618x of wave 1 is actually the minimum extension required in order for wave 5 of Z to make a new high.
The stop loss for this idea is above wave Z high and the TP shown is really just a place where we will review the idea. I expect Nikkei to fall to April's low.
Good luck!
EURGBP 10 Dec 2025 Market OutlookOn the daily timeframe, we’ve observed a break of the key Support and Resistance level, signaling that sellers are gaining control.
The dynamic support, represented by the EMA50, has also been breached.
Today, I anticipate a potential retest of the broken S&R level or the EMA50 before an impulsive move to the downside.
As always, calculate your own risk-to-reward ratio before entering any trade.
Happy Trading and Good Luck!
ES - December 10th - Daily Trade PlanDecember 10th- Daily Trade Plan - 6:45am
*Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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I am going to keep today's trade plan pretty simple. It is the Fed Rate Announcement today at 2pm. Most professional traders do not even trade today, especially after 11am. Many times, the initial move after the Fed meeting is a trap, not always. We could easily go 100pts one way or another. We have been building a massive consolidation pattern that should break out or breakdown this week. Below 6790 and we should be heading lower and could over several weeks re-test the 6530-6550 November lows. IF we are able to break out above 6900 we should head to ATH's.
Let's discuss how we can grab some points this am. I will only be looking to trade before 11:30am today and will need to be from one of the following key levels.
Our overnight high is 6857-60 and our overnight low is 6834. Yesterday 6837 was Mondays low, 6844 was yesterday's low. 6834 is also the weekly low. and 6842 is a previous week low with 6801 being last week's low. I will be surprised if price does break down that we lose below 6790 this week. I could be wrong, but we have some important levels below current price that needs to be tested before it can flush lower.
Key level today -
1. 6834 Flush and Reclaim
2. 6818 Flush and Reclaim
3. 6801 Flush and Reclaim
If price cannot come back down and retest the overnight low, any reclaim of 6848 should give us a retest of the overnight high at 6857. If we clear 6857, we still have some key resistance levels above and we need to clear 6872 to break out and test 6893 and then above there we should be off to ATHs with 6952 being big first target.
IF price does flush lower, I would be patient and let price build a base at or below one of the key levels and wait for price to show that it wants to hold above that level.
I will post an update around 10am EST
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Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week)
Blue = A previous day low (Day before or day in the past week)
Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post)
White = Key Support/Resistance Levels
BTCUSD: It’s All Going According To PlanPrice came down as expected. Now we have entered into a consolidation range before proceeding lower. This is normal and in the bots algorithm to short Bitcoin again. The key target to wait for on the pullback is between 95k-105k. After this stop, price will decrease over the next year to between 50k-60k; that’s where the buying will come in and the next cycle will start.
EURJPY: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell EURJPY.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ICP USDT LONG SIGNAL---
📢 Official Trade Signal – ICP/USDT
📈 Position Type: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 3.419
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🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits):
• TP1: 3.472
• TP2: 3.541
• TP3: 3.596
• TP4: 3.660
• TP5: 3.743
• TP6: —3.828
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🛑 Stop-Loss: 3.300
📊 Timeframe: 15m
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ≈ 2.03 (based on TP4)
💥 Suggested Leverage: 5× – 10×
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🧠 Technical Analysis Summary
ICP is showing signs of bullish momentum after finding support near the 3.419 level. The market structure on the 15-minute chart indicates a potential upward shift, with price action forming higher lows and testing key resistance zones. The identified take-profit levels align with previous swing highs and liquidity concentrations.
The critical upside targets are:
3.472 → 3.541 → 3.596 → 3.660
A confirmed break above TP1 (3.472) is expected to accelerate momentum toward the subsequent targets, particularly if accompanied by increasing buying volume.
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⚙️ Trade Management Rules
✔ Take partial profit at each TP level
✔ Move stop-loss to entry point once TP1 is reached
✔ Trail stop-loss upward as price advances
✔ No re-entry if stop-loss (3.300) is triggered
✔ Confirm bullish structure and momentum before entering
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Disclaimer: Always practice proper risk management and verify market conditions before entering any trade.
USDCHF | Long IdeaUSDCHF tapped into Previous Weekly Low and showed a reaction.
I am bullish on this so these are the POI's I look for to make entry.
If price closes under this level, I will be looking for lower POI's to find a new entry points.
Let me know what you think.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
GameStop (NYSE: $GME) Posts Strong Q3 Profit Recovery GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, delivering a sharp recovery in profitability despite softer revenues. Net sales came in at $821 million, down from $860.3 million a year earlier, reflecting continued weakness in physical gaming demand and a slower software cycle. However, the company’s internal restructuring efforts significantly improved financial efficiency. SG&A expenses were reduced to $221.4 million, a substantial drop from $282 million, highlighting GameStop’s aggressive cost-cutting strategy.
Operating income rose to $41.3 million, a strong reversal from the prior year’s $33.4 million operating loss. Adjusted operating income also improved to $52.1 million, signaling healthier core operations. Net income jumped to $77.1 million, considerably higher than last year’s $17.4 million, boosted by improved margins and reduced expenses. On an adjusted basis, net income surged to $139.3 million, underscoring the company’s operational momentum.
GameStop ended the quarter with an impressive $8.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities—nearly double last year’s $4.6 billion. The company also reported $519.4 million worth of Bitcoin holdings, reflecting its continued exposure to digital assets as part of its treasury diversification strategy.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, GME is still consolidating within a long-term support range between $20–$22, an area that has historically acted as a demand zone. Price recently bounced cleanly off this structure, showing early signs of renewed buying interest. A sustained close above $24–$25 could open the door for a move toward $28–$30.
However, failure to hold the support region may expose GME to downside risk toward $15–$16, especially if market conditions weaken. Volume remains subdued, suggesting accumulation rather than speculative momentum. For now, the chart favors cautious bullishness as long as support remains intact.
Report 10/12/25Report summary
Markets are trading a “policy-and-geopolitics” crosscurrent. On the policy side, the Fed is set up for a quarter-point cut to 3.50%–3.75% amid unusually public internal dissent, with Chair Powell aiming to minimize dissents via a “cut-and-cap” signal that raises the bar for further easing. Futures and press reporting frame this as the base case into Wednesday. Meanwhile, Kevin Hassett, now a leading candidate to replace Powell—said there is “plenty of room” to cut and that he wouldn’t bow to political pressure if he becomes Fed chair, comments that lubricate the market’s easing narrative even as they raise governance optics questions.
On the geopolitics side, the EU agreed to permanently ban Russian gas by 2027 (LNG phased out by end-2026; pipelines by Sept. 30, 2027), a structurally bullish pivot for non-Russian gas and European energy security. At the same time, Ukraine widened its strikes from refineries to Russia-linked tankers and a Black Sea export terminal that handles >1% of global flows, incrementally lifting shipping risk premia in the basin.
A third swing factor is tech policy: the White House move to let Nvidia ship high-end AI chips to China (paired with a U.S. “take” on sales) supports capex and earnings for U.S. semis but loosens a key export control, potentially accelerating Chinese AI progress and adding a strategic wrinkle for long-duration tech valuations.
Immediate market reaction and setup
Dollar gauges remain soft into the meeting: the ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) March contract traded 98.85 and the front December at 99.20 on Tuesday’s close, while CME euro futures settled near $1.1632, both consistent with markets leaning dovish. Equity index futures were marginally lower on the day but near cycle highs; the S&P 500 mini closed 6,865 and the Nasdaq-100 mini 25,700 area. Barron’s notes the S&P ended last week up 0.3% with implied odds of a cut around the high-80s.
Front-end money market references also reflect an easier stance already in the price: effective fed funds around 3.89% with T-bill auctions stepping down, and the prime rate steady at 7%.
Strategic forecast (3–6 months)
The modal path is a one-and-pause profile that keeps financial conditions easy without promising a sequence of cuts. Powell’s communication objective is to bank insurance now while stressing data-dependence later, which historically tempers the dollar and supports risk until the growth or inflation data force a repricing. Internal opposition (as many as five voters leaning against a cut) limits how far the market can front-run a full easing cycle; that constraint reduces the risk of a sharp “over-easing” rally and instead argues for a grind higher in U.S. stocks and a controlled drift lower in the dollar.
In Europe, the 2027 gas ban codifies the post-’22 energy pivot; it implies higher medium-term EU investment in LNG regasification, storage and renewables, with a modest structural uplift to European industrial input costs versus pre-war norms. If Kyiv’s tanker/terminal strikes persist, Black Sea freight and insurance premia should stay elevated, nudging seaborne crude differentials and introducing episodic upside tails for Brent.
In tech, the Nvidia-to-China opening mechanically boosts near-term revenue visibility for U.S. semis and data-center supply chains but narrows the “policy risk discount” investors had assigned to China-exposed AI demand—supportive for multiples now, with longer-run strategic competition risk relocated to Washington/Beijing policy channels rather than corporate execution.
Fiscal and political implications
A Fed cut lowers the Treasury’s interest burden at the margin, but the larger story is governance optics: Hassett’s comments reinforce the Administration’s desire for lower rates while asserting central-bank independence—messaging designed to calm markets even as it underscores that personnel choices (chair succession in May) could re-tilt the reaction function. Expect Congress and oversight committees to probe any perception of political influence, especially if inflation stalls above 2%.
In the EU, the gas ban and the revised Ukraine financing plan (≈€90bn lent against frozen Russian assets over two years with guarantees) mean the Commission is taking on larger coordination and credit-risk roles. That supports defense/energy capex and preserves leverage over Moscow in parallel U.S.-Russia-Ukraine talks, but it also embeds fiscal trade-offs for member states if growth underperforms.
Risks
The near-term macro risk is a policy error on either side: cutting into sticky inflation (Dollar rebound + long rates up + equities de-rate), or signaling too hawkishly and tightening financial conditions into softening labor data. Internally divided FOMCs can amplify market volatility around each data print. Geopolitically, a prolonged Ukrainian campaign against the shadow fleet raises the probability of an insurance/liquidity shock in specific sea lanes, a risk that can leap into headline crude curves. Policy toward China’s AI ecosystem could also re-politicize tech valuations if Congress or security agencies push back.
Opportunities
For multi-asset portfolios, a “soft cut” backdrop with a weak dollar and contained energy shocks tends to favor quality U.S. equities with AI leverage, EU energy transition beneficiaries, and selectively EM FX/credit with low external funding needs. European utilities/midstream with credible capex plans into the 2027 ban, and U.S. data-center/logistics names geared to AI capex, screen well if the Fed successfully caps easing expectations rather than launching a cycle.
Asset-by-asset take
XAUUSD (Gold). A weaker DXY into a one-and-pause cut plus steady real-rate compression is supportive. With the DXY December at ~99.2 and euro futures >$1.16, gold’s upside skew remains intact provided inflation doesn’t re-accelerate post-cut. Black Sea risk adds a mild safe-haven bid. Base case: constructive with dips bought.
S&P 500. Earnings visibility improves if the cut reduces discount-rate pressure while AI capex remains robust; Barron’s shows the index near highs with a modest weekly advance. Watch for “buy the cut, fade the path” behavior if Powell pushes back on serial cuts. Quality growth and AI infrastructure remain the leadership.
Dow Jones. Cyclical tilt benefits from easier financial conditions and capex tailwinds tied to energy infrastructure and AI supply chains. Less sensitive to export-control volatility than Nasdaq; vulnerable if Fed leans hawkish and long rates back up.
USDJPY. Direction hinges on the front-end spread. A clean cut with softer guidance should pressure the dollar broadly; however, if the statement leans restrictive for subsequent meetings, the dollar could bounce. Base case: drift lower in USDJPY alongside DXY unless U.S. data re-firm. (Data backdrop: DXY sub-100; euro >$1.16.)
DXY. The path of least resistance is lower into and right after a single cut, especially with several voters already on record as uneasy—language that typically reduces the odds of a rapid easing cycle and flattens rate-vol turns. A hawkish tweak in the statement would cap downside but likely not reverse the trend unless inflation re-accelerates.
Crude oil. Kyiv’s campaign against tankers/terminals and the EU’s gas ban add modest, recurring upside tails to seaborne risk premia. Expect choppy upside in Brent/WTI led by insurance and routing costs in the Black Sea and by longer-dated demand from EU re-gas and storage projects, tempered by global growth concerns.
BUY SPX NOW...time to buySPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - Time to buy the SPX 500 now
APT USDT LONG SIGNAL---
📢 Official Trade Signal – APT/USDT
📈 Position Type: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 1.7780
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🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits):
• TP1: 1.8100
• TP2: 1.8480
• TP3: 1.8880
• TP4: 1.9214
• TP5: 1.9532
• TP6: 2.0000
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🛑 Stop-Loss: 1.7200
📊 Timeframe: 15m
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ≈ 2.34 (based on TP6)
💥 Suggested Leverage: 5× – 10×
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🧠 Technical Analysis Summary
APT is showing signs of bullish momentum after holding above a key support area near 1.7750. The 15m chart suggests a potential upward shift if price breaks above immediate resistance around 1.8100. Higher lows and increasing buy pressure could propel APT toward the identified liquidity zones above.
The key upside targets are structured as follows:
1.8100 → 1.8480 → 1.8880 → 1.9214 → 1.9532 → 2.0000
A confirmed break above TP1 (1.8100) may accelerate upward movement toward 1.8880 and beyond.
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⚙️ Trade Management Rules
✔ Take partial profit at each TP level
✔ Move SL to entry once TP1 is reached
✔ Trail stop-loss upward as price advances
✔ Do not re-enter if SL (1.7200) is triggered
✔ Confirm bullish structure on 15m chart before entering
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