EURUSD Analysis week 44🌐Fundamental Analysis
Business activity in Germany and the Eurozone continued to improve in October. This positive data helped the Euro maintain its strength in the European session.
However, experts warn that the growth outlook remains fragile, despite the current favorable conditions.
In the US, CPI inflation in September is forecast to increase to 3.1%, with core CPI rising 0.3%. A higher than expected figure could strengthen the USD and put pressure on EUR/USD; conversely, weak data would support the Euro's recovery in the US session.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is making a strong upside recovery towards the resistance of 1.172. A break above the 1.162 zone would immediately become an important support zone supporting the EURUSD's upward momentum. The BUy strategy will be paid more attention next week. The weekly support zone of 1.158 will play a key role for the buyers, if this zone is broken, the pair will fall into a strong Downtrend.
📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.172-1.174 Stoploss 1.179
BUY EURUSD 1.158-1.15600 Stoploss 1.153
Community ideas
XAUUSD UPDATE : Alert ! BEARISH PRESSURE still EXISTMonday open, price still under pressure below 4161 resistance.
It could be the early sign for 4160 - 4150 level as a strong resistance area, and price have a big possibility to make a downside continuation / more correction to a lower price below 4000.
Becareful for a retest action !
Have a great week ahead !
BTC market snapshotS&P 500 and Dow Jones closed the week at new highs. There is a strong chance we will open higher on Monday, but as we can see, both #Bitcoin and the indexes are overheated. The world is ruled by Trumppump - anything can happen. No matter how much people shout about eternal hodl and a strong economy, the reality is quite different. It can hit hard - my shorts are suffering, but I’m not changing direction
PIPPIN:USDT Market Outlook – Volume Range Formation💠 PIPPIN:USDT Market Outlook – Volume Range Formation
PIPPIN:USDT is showing early signs of new volume activation after an extended 146-day accumulation period within the lower range between 0.0042 – 0.0308 USDT.
This current setup indicates a potential volume range development, similar to the previous expansion phase observed earlier in the chart.
If momentum continues to build and volume sustains, the next major resistance zone sits around 0.067 USDT, followed by a broader target area toward 0.33 USDT on higher timeframes.
At this stage, stability above 0.018–0.020 USDT would confirm the base structure and strengthen the bullish outlook.
📊 Summary:
Range support: 0.0042 – 0.018 USDT
Key activation zone: 0.018–0.030 USDT
Target zones: 0.067 → 0.33 USDT
Structure: Accumulation → Early volume build-up
🔎 Focus: Watching for continuation of volume inflow and break above 0.0308 USDT to confirm next phase expansion.
XAUUSD Update === Consolidation ZoneIf we pay attention to the weekly and monthly candles, this is very interesting, because in this area we will see whether there will be a continuous correction or just a moment to go back up.
We believe it fell by 3700 pips, it was not coincidence.
We should extra carefully on this area, because a reversal / deep correction also have a potential.
And also now is a Q4 of 2025.
Have a blessing week ahead !
Hub Power Co. Ltd. (Daily chart analysis):Current Situation:
Price: 213.18 PKR, down 0.68%
The stock is in a correction phase after a parabolic rally to 250+ in October
Key Technical Observations:
Trend Structure:
Strong uptrend from August-October 2025, breaking above long-term resistance
Currently pulling back after reaching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (275.25)
Price rejected at the red diagonal resistance trendline
Fibonacci Retracement Levels (from recent rally):
0.236 (76.72): Extreme support - major breakdown level
0.382 (86.89): Deep correction zone
0.5 (98.72): Half retracement
0.618 (108.56): Strong support zone ✓
0.786 (132.56): Current battle zone - KEY LEVEL
1.0 (140.40): Previous resistance, now support
Critical Support/Resistance:
Support:
Immediate: 210-213 (current price action)
Strong: 191-195 (1.618 Fib + psychological level)
Major: 140-145 (1.0 Fib + previous resistance turned support)
Critical: 132 (0.786 Fib)
Resistance:
Immediate: 220-225 (short-term)
Strong: 240-245 (recent highs)
Major: 250-255 (all-time high zone)
Volume Analysis:
Multiple volume spikes throughout the chart (circled)
Recent volume elevated but declining - suggests weakening buying pressure
Distribution pattern forming at the top
Pattern Recognition:
Potential rising wedge/parabolic blow-off top pattern
Red trendline acting as dynamic resistance
Price struggling to hold above the 1.618 Fib level (191.90)
Technical Outlook:
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability):
If 210 breaks, expect a move toward 191-195 zone
Break below 191 could trigger deeper correction to 140-145 (30% pullback)
The parabolic nature of the rally suggests a significant retracement is likely
Bullish Scenario:
Needs to reclaim and hold above 220-225 with volume
Break above 240 would invalidate the correction and resume uptrend
Target: Retest of 250-260 highs
Trading Strategy:
Short-term: Bearish - avoid catching falling knives
Watch for support at 191-195 for potential bounce
Conservative buyers should wait for stabilization around 140-150 zone
Stop loss for any long positions: Below 190
Risk Assessment: The steep rally suggests profit-taking pressure. The stock may need time to consolidate before the next leg up. Be cautious of FOMO buying at current levels.
Bitcoin: Hopes on Fed cut lifts risk appetite?The posted inflation for September in the US showed some calming trend, around 0,3% for the month and 3,0% y/y. This increased market odds that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bps at their meeting on October 29th. Although the trading week was a bit volatile, still Friday's inflation data brought back positive sentiment among investors. The price of gold dropped, with investors moving funds into US equity markets, however, the crypto market was lagging behind. Investors showed that they are still not ready to fully return back to risky assets.
During the week, the price of BTC was struggling to sustain the $110K level. The lowest weekly level was around $107K, while BTC is closing the week above the $111K. However, selling pressures around this level are still evident. The RSI took the uptrend, but still is unable to pass the 50 line. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days are converging toward each other, decreasing the distance between them, however, the potential cross is still on hold.
Based on current charts, the week ahead will show whether investors are ready to finally let go of fears and return their funds into the crypto market and BTC. Such a course of action will mean that BTC will finally find strength to move away from the $110K resistance. In the opposite direction, there is also an equal probability that support level at $108K and eventually $107K to be tested for one more time.
BTC Daily: Time to watch the reactionWatching for the seller’s reaction at the 115,963 level.
Hey traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept.
Price is approaching the buyer’s target at 115,963 within an active buyer initiative on the daily timeframe.
The key now is to observe how sellers react at this level — after assessing their response, we’ll decide whether it’s a setup for selling or a continuation of the uptrend.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold at Crossroads: Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection1. Market Structure
Overall, gold is currently in a corrective phase following a strong bullish rally. The latest move formed a Higher High (HH) around 4,350–4,360, followed by a sharp rejection — signaling that supply pressure has started to take control.
2. Supply Zone & SELL Potential
Strong Supply Zone (4,336–4,350): This is a key resistance area where price previously faced heavy rejection. If price retests this level, it could provide a potential SELL setup, especially if a clear reversal candle such as a bearish engulfing or shooting star appears.
However, if this zone is broken with a solid bullish candle, the market could likely print a new All-Time High (ATH) in line with the medium-term bullish momentum.
3. Golden Ratio Supply Area (around 4,246–4,264)
This area acts as both a Take Profit zone for prior long positions and a directional confirmation zone. A failure to break above could trigger another rejection and deeper pullback, strengthening short-term bearish pressure.
4. Secondary Reaction Area (around 4,150)
This zone has been tested three times, confirming a strong short-term supply presence.
Plan: wait for a strong bullish breakout candle above this area to validate a continuation move. If another rejection forms, price could head back toward the Demand Area (4,065–4,043).
5. Demand Area (4,065–4,043)
A key level for potential BUY setups. Look for a clear bullish reversal candle before entering. If this zone holds, the market could rebound higher.
But if it breaks down, price may extend lower toward the Major Demand zone (3,974–3,986).
6. Major Demand (3,974–3,986)
A strong base zone capable of halting further downside movement. Suitable for swing BUY setups with a favorable risk-reward ratio, as long as price stays above this level.
Trading Plan Summary
BUY PLAN:
Wait for bullish confirmation near Demand Area (4,065–4,043) or Major Demand (3,974–3,986).
First targets: Secondary Reaction Area (4,150) and Golden Ratio Supply (4,246).
SELL PLAN:
Wait for clear rejection or reversal candle near Golden Ratio Supply (4,246) or Strong Supply (4,336–4,350).
Target: Demand Area (4,065–4,043).
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a neutral strategic zone, squeezed between strong supply and solid demand. The next directional move will largely depend on how price reacts around the Secondary Reaction Area and Demand Area.
The key principle: don’t predict—react to confirmation.
MARKETS week ahead: October 26 – November 1Last week in the news
The US September inflation data lifted market expectations on Fed rate cuts at the next FOMC meeting. This also shaped market sentiment, bringing the S&P 500 to its newest all time highest level for this year, at 6.807. At the same time, decreased investors' fears moved the price of gold to short term correction, where gold is closing the week at $4.112. The US Treasuries are gearing up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, where 10Y benchmark is holding grounds around 4%. This week the crypto market was again left behind, with BTC closing the week modestly above the $111K.
U.S. inflation data were in the spotlight last week. Figures released on Friday showed a 0.3% increase in consumer prices for September, bringing the annual inflation rate to 3.0%. The monthly figure came in slightly below the 0.4% forecast. Core inflation also showed signs of cooling, rising 0.2% in September and 3.0% year-on-year. Friday’s data release also included the University of Michigan’s final Consumer Sentiment Index for October, which came in at 53.6, below the expected 55.0. Meanwhile, five-year inflation expectations edged up to 3.9%, from 3.7% posted previously. This week, both the ECB and the Federal Reserve will hold policy meetings to discuss potential changes in interest rates. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, October 29th, followed by the ECB meeting on October 30th. Given the easing U.S. inflation and some signs of a softer labour market, investors have increased their expectations for another 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 96% probability of a cut. In contrast, a Reuters survey indicates that market participants do not expect any policy change from the ECB at its upcoming meeting.
Amazon’s cloud division, Amazon Web Services (AWS), suffered a major global outage on October 20th, affecting thousands of apps, websites, and services worldwide, including e-commerce. The root cause was traced to internal monitoring/load-balancer issues in the US-EAST-1 data centre region, causing extensive service disruptions. Despite the outage, Amazon’s shares rose around 1.6% on the day, suggesting the market viewed the event as manageable rather than catastrophic.
High economic officials from the US and China met in Kuala Lumpur on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit, aiming at paving the way for the upcoming summit between Presidents of both countries, and avoiding a re-escalation of the trade war.
Kyrgyzstan has launched a new national stablecoin, KGST, pegged 1:1 to its currency, and has legally recognised its central-bank digital currency (CBDC) ahead of pilot public-sector payments. The country is also building a broader crypto infrastructure, including setting up a national cryptocurrency reserve (which holds assets like BNB), partnering with Binance Academy for university programmes, and collaborating on smart-contract development.
CRYPTO MARKET
Investors' fear is slowly fading on financial markets, but the crypto market was a bit left behind the traditional ones. As investors weighed US September inflation, it increased their prospectus that the Fed might cut interest rates next week. The US equity markets gained, while the crypto market is still holding with only modest weekly gains, still waiting to regain their previous valuations. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 4% during the week, adding $157B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were again increased, to the level of $431B on a daily basis, from previous weeks $295B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +15%, with a total funds inflow of $497B.
Major crypto coins participated with 70% in the total crypto market capitalization increase during the previous week. BTC managed to regain some of its strength, adding $95B to its market cap, increasing it by almost 4,5%. ETH had a smaller gain of 2,3% w/w, adding $10B to the market cap. However, this week the shining coin was XRP, with a significant increase in value of 12,6% and a gain of $17,7B in market cap. Solana was also traded higher by 5,7%, while BNB gained 2,7% w/w. ZCash continues to be in the spotlight of the crypto market. This week ZEC closed the week by 30% higher from the end of the previous week.
There has been a modest activity with coins in circulation. This week Solana added 0,5% new coins to the market. IOTA had an increase of circulating coins by 0,7%, while DASH, Stellar, XRP and ZEC increased the number of coins in circulation by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market rebounded modestly over the past week, as both BTC and ETH futures advanced across maturities. The recovery followed two consecutive weeks of declines, indicating that sentiment has stabilized and buyers have cautiously re-entered the market. Gains were broad-based but measured, suggesting that traders remain selective amid a still-fragile macro backdrop.
BTC futures rose between 3.60% and 3.81% w/w, marking the first positive week since late September. The October 2025 futures closed at $110,740, while the March 2027 maturity ended at $120,815. The curve retained its characteristic upward slope, signalling that investors continue to anticipate firmer prices over the medium term. The moderate rebound, following a steep decline in prior weeks, suggests that confidence is gradually returning, although momentum remains contained.
ETH futures posted a smaller but steady recovery, gaining between 2.43% and 2.59% w/w. The October 2025 futures closed at $3,934, while March 2027 settled at $4,375. The move kept ETH comfortably above the $3,900 threshold.
Overall, the week’s performance points to a short-term recovery phase in crypto futures, supported by the market’s resilience in holding key technical levels. While caution still prevails, the consistent upward slope of both BTC and ETH futures curves continues to indicate longer-term optimism among market participants.
Gold: Quest for new equilibriumGold has experienced a strong rally since the beginning of September, as investors sought safety amid elevated market uncertainties, including risks of a U.S. government shutdown and fresh trade-tariff tensions. The short term reversal was expected at some point, with higher uncertainty of when this moment might actually happen. Some exhaustion in the price level occurred during the previous week. Tuesday was the day when the gold pulled back from $4.374 down to $4.085. The weakening continued for the rest of the week, however, the price of gold is still in the quest for a new equilibrium level, from the technical point of view.
For the first time in almost two months, the RSI went out from a highly overbought market side, down to the level of 58. The indicator is still showing that the market is not ready to take a clear path toward the oversold market side. There are no changes with both MA50 and MA200, given the circumstances, both lines could only move within an uptrend.
From the point of the technical analysis, movements during the last three trading days show that investors are still within a wait-and-see mood. The level of $4.150 currently represents the level of short resistance. On the opposite side, the lowest weekly level of $4K represents a sort of supporting level. Levels should be considered within a broader view. Namely, a lot of funds were transferred into gold from both equity and crypto markets in a previous period due to investors' fears. As these fears slow down, the funds will be reverted back toward riskier assets. That means further weakening of the gold. For the moment, the $4K level should hold, but with increasing probability for downside.
EURUSD: Both Fed and ECB weekThe US inflation figures were in the focus of the market during the previous week. Data posted on Friday showed 0,3% increase in September, bringing the yearly inflation to 3,0%. September's inflation was a bit lower from forecasted 0,4%. Data are also showing cooling core inflation, which reached 0,2% in September and 3,0% on a yearly basis. Friday also brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final figures for October of 53,6, which was a bit lower from expected 55. At the same time, five year inflation expectations were modestly increased to the level of 3,9% from previous 3,7%. As for other macro data posted during the week, the Existing Home Sales in September were by 1,5% higher from the previous month. The figure was much better from forecasted -2,0%. Due to “shutdown” of the US Government, other macro data continue to be unavailable.
The Producers Price Index in Germany in September was holding in a negative territory of -1,7% y/y, which was modestly higher from forecasted -1,9% y/y. The index for the month was at -0,1%. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for October in Germany was at 49,6, in line with market estimates.
The eurusd currency pair was moving within a relatively shorter range during the previous week. The week started modestly below the 1,17 short-term resistance, and moved down toward the lowest weekly level at 1,1580. During the second half of the week, the 1,16 level has been tested, while the currency pair is closing the week at 1,1626. There has not been a clear trend evident on the charts, which was also reflected in movements of the RSI. The indicator continues to move in a range between levels of 40 and 50. The MA50 continues with its modest converging path toward the MA200, but the distance between lines shows no indications over potential cross in the near term.
Although this week was a little bit in a slow-motion mood on the eurusd market, the week ahead might bring a change. Namely, both the ECB and the Fed will be holding meetings and discussing a potential change in levels of interest rates. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, October 29th, while the ECB meeting will be held on the next day. Considering calming inflation in the US and some weakening of the labour market, investors are increasing odds for another Fed's interest rate cut by 25 basis points. The CME Fed WatchTool currently shows 96% probability for a rate cut. At the same time Reuters investors' pool shows no expectations from market participants that the ECB will make any change in the level of interest rates at this meeting. As per current charts, there is decreased probability for further strengthening of the USD. The level of 1,1550 could be shortly tested. Charts are more oriented toward the upside, and higher probabilities that 1,17 could be tested for one more time, with a potential also for 1,1750.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Ifo Business Climate in Germany for October, GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for November, GDP Growth rate in Germany flash for Q3, GDP Growth rate in the Euro Zone flash for Q3, Inflation rate in Germany preliminary for October, ECB Meeting and interest rate decision will be held on Thursday, October 30th, Retail Sales in Germany in September, Inflation rate in the Euro Zone flash for October.
USD: Pending Home Sales in September, FOMC Meeting will be held on Wednesday, October 29th, where Fed will discuss potential interest rate change.
Gold may fall below 4,000 points this week, short sell!The following only represents my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive. As market conditions change, the strategy will also change. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market conditions!
Gold's nine-week weekly rise officially ended last week, marking the beginning of a phased adjustment for the previously strong bull market. The U.S. CPI data released last Friday was weak, and inflationary pressure was lower than expected, which was bullish for the precious metals market. Based on this, I issued a long order signal, and the gold price did rebound slightly, once reaching the $4,100 mark. However, the upward momentum did not continue to expand, and the price ultimately failed to break through the key resistance level of $4,160, indicating strong upward selling pressure in this area. This technical pattern indicates that it will be more difficult for gold to continue to rise at a high level in the short term. If the price rises back to the 4150-4160 range in the future, you can consider adopting a high-altitude strategy to seize the opportunity of a pullback.
Judging from the opening of this week, market sentiment has clearly cooled, with gold prices opening significantly lower and falling rapidly. The single-day drop has exceeded tens of dollars, reaching a low of around $4,060. It is worth noting that 4060 is the key support area that we emphasized last week, and it is also the bottom position in the previous oscillation structure. The current price is approaching or even testing this area, which means that the game between bulls and bears has entered a white-hot stage. If this support level is effectively broken, gold prices could retest back below $4,000, further confirming a shift from a strong short-term trend to a weak one. Absent unexpected geopolitical or financial risk events, the likelihood of gold continuing its downward trend significantly increases, and the risk of falling below the $4,000 mark is rising.
Looking back at the evolution of this round of trends, after nine consecutive weeks of positive closings on the weekly level, a negative line appeared, releasing an obvious signal of weakening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart are beginning to show signs of fatigue: the MACD is showing shrinking red bars, the KDJ is forming a downward death cross at a high level, and prices are gradually moving away from the short-term moving average system. Currently, the price is facing a dual test of the 20-day moving average and the middle Bollinger Band. These two technical reference lines intersect in the 4060-4070 range, forming an extremely important bull-bear watershed at present. If the gold price can stabilize and rebound in this area, there is still a basis for maintaining range fluctuations; but once it falls, it will most likely start a new round of downward trend.
It is worth emphasizing that the inertial thinking of "rising as soon as the market opens" in the past period of time is no longer applicable to the current market environment. With the adjustment of macro expectations, the hawkish policy path of the Federal Reserve and the slowdown in gold purchases by some central banks, the unilateral upward logic of gold is weakening. Therefore, trading strategies must keep pace with the times and adjust directions in a timely manner.
Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, this week's strategy should primarily focus on shorting rallies. It is recommended to arrange short orders in batches within the range of $4090 to $4110, and strictly set stop-loss to prevent unexpected reversals. At the same time, closely monitor the support level of $4060-4070. If a significant break occurs, the next target could be $3950 or even $3900. Barring any major risk events, gold prices are expected to remain under pressure, and a break below the psychologically important $4000 level is not out of the question.






















