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Gold Soars 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Woes & Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has surged 37% from the start of 2025, following a 27% rally in 2024 – fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, easing monetary policies, and broader economic/geopolitical uncertainty. With US jobs growth slowing sharply in August 2025 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, markets are heavily betting on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let's analyze today's (08/09/2025) volatile market and spot trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold's Rally Isn't Slowing Down? 🌟 Impressive Growth: Gold is thriving in a low-rate environment amid uncertainty – non-yielding assets like this shine when rates drop and risks rise! 📈 US Jobs Factor: August data confirms a cooling labor market, bolstering Fed easing expectations and safe-haven demand. Fed Independence Drama: Trump's pressure to oust Governor Lisa Cook and push for rate cuts has triggered legal disputes, eroding USD confidence and elevating gold as a hedge against Fed interference. Standard Chartered forecasts more upside from tariff tensions and central bank concerns. Global Demand Slowdown: Top consumers China and India saw physical gold demand ease this week due to record prices – but overall sentiment stays bullish. Gold is the ultimate safe haven in this volatile setup – will the Fed deliver the cuts the market craves? Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Sweeps – Avoid FOMO! 📉 In the early Asian session today, gold dipped to the 358x zone before a quick rebound, breaking last week's ATH resistance at 3600 and advancing to 361x. No major news drove this surge, but continuous ATHs signal rapid liquidity sweeps – watch for traps! Avoid FOMO: Target broken round levels for BUY opportunities, or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but be cautious of fakeouts. Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644 Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626 SL: 3630 TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606 Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636 SL: 3644 TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596 Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594 SL: 3591 TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614 Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579 SL: 3571 TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619 Gold is in breakout mode, but traps lurk – wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could target new highs. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #Trump #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
PI/USD Shows Bullish Divergence on CMFOn the one-day chart, PI/USD displays a steady climb in its Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, even as the token’s price remains largely sideways. This divergence between price and money flow is a classic bullish signal, suggesting that buying interest is quietly accumulating despite the lack of immediate price movement. The CMF measures the volume-weighted flow of capital into and out of an asset, indicating whether buying or selling pressure dominates. A rising CMF while the price stays flat often points to a gradual build-up of demand, as buyers accumulate positions under the radar. This accumulation phase implies that PI could be setting up for a potential breakout. If buying pressure continues to grow, the token may soon move above its current range, signaling a shift from consolidation to upward momentum.
by BeInCrypto
Gold on extended upswing fuelled by NFPTechnical analysis: Price-action was on the way and very close to erasing all the losses of current #1M (Monthly) candle (merely # +6.53%) with aggressively Bullish stance, in addition candle sequence which indicates uptrend continuation. This is an important step throughout standard Medium-term Buying processes on financial assets after sharp uptrends (remember that Gold was and is currently on non-stop rise on #4 consecutive weeks). Traders are still almost halfway through the Month though so no safe conclusions can be made regarding potential reversal, especially since the Price-action invalidated Daily chart’s Ascending Channel with an estimated Higher High’s Upper zone test and break-out to the upside even more. My Medium-term estimate is now aligned with the Hourly 4 chart’s borders. As I mentioned on my remarks, Hourly 4 chart was putting all obstacles above #3,552.80 psychological benchmark as there are many Moving Averages seen Trading and to get invalidated in order for Weekly chart (#1W) to turn Bearish again. I am looking at #3,652.80 benchmark test initially. My position: Of course I will continue Buying every Low's on Gold and as Gold became very sensitive to every Bullish Fundamental development, #3,600.80 benchmark was tested on NFP aftermath. If NFP delivered upside surprise, Gold would not decline as much as it was soaring on different scenario so remember, always give advantage of Gold soaring aggressively on each Fundamental going in Buyers favor rather than Seller one.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
BHARAT FORGE LTD S/RSupport and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:BHARATFORG
by zenthosh
Nas100: Trading Levels in FocusSupply Zones (Red) 23,853 - 23,873 A strong supply zone near recent highs. Sellers are expected to defend aggressively here, making it a potential rejection area. A confirmed breakout and retest, however, could open the path toward new highs. 23,742 – 23,759 This zone reflects last week’s high-volume rejection. Acts as an intraday decision area: sharp rejections can trigger short setups, while a clean break and hold above would strengthen bullish momentum. Demand Zones (Green) 23,553 – 23,573 A fresh demand zone aligned with recent breakout structure. Buyers may attempt to defend here for continuation longs. If broken, the zone flips into resistance, adding downside pressure. 23,473 – 23,500 Well-tested support area with prior absorption. Strong bounce potential, but multiple retests increase the risk of a breakdown. A failure here would likely accelerate bearish momentum. Overall Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish on Fragile Ground At its core, the market is cautiously optimistic right now. Positive momentum from Big Tech and expectations of looser monetary policy are fueling short-term upside potential. At the same time, consolidation and uncertainty around macro data keep sentiment restrained. Momentum is present but it relies on breakout moves holding.
FPMARKETS:US100
by kathrineswp
NQ Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- We know that the FED opened the door for a rate cut in September (Next week). The FED gave priority to address Employment Mandate issue and considered the higher inflation data as one time shot. 2- Hence, the Inflation (the second FED mandate) the most relevant data this week with both PPI and CPI to validate the FED view of one time shot. Another higher inflation will destroy this narrative and the FED might revise the way forward. The story is simple: Higher Inflation data will send NQ down and vice-versa for inline and softer inflation. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: The weekly close expresses really the incertitude regarding the direction. No clear direction; both direction are open; all will depend on inflation data. Daily TF: The daily close was bearish. NFP data provided an inline inflation data but a very negative employment data. As mentioned, bad data data is bad for NQ and vice-versa. From daily perspective, price might retest Friday high or just NFP low (magenta dotted line) and continue down towards TP1, TP2 and TP3 particularly if Inflation data comes strong. H4 TF: H4 provided a break down. Inline with daily analysis, the least resistance is that price continues down after a short retrace up. GL Everyone!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
EUR/USD Tests the Break at Start of a Big WeekIt's been a quarter of digestion so far for EUR/USD after the pair set a fresh multi-year high on day one of Q3, and then proceeded to pullback for much of July. While August brought a bounce back, bulls didn't seem so certain as lower-highs held in along with the pair respecting the 1.1748 Fibonacci level. As looked at last week, there was the build of two bullish formations and those have both led to breakout following the Friday NFP report. And now - the attention shifts to a really big week as we have both the ECB rate decision and the US CPI report set for Thursday. And then in the following week, the Fed is expected to start a rate cutting cycle and at this stage markets are harboring expectation for quite a few more cuts from the Central Bank. So, logically, that shifts the focus to the bank's dot plot matrix that will highlight just how dovish the Fed expects to be in the coming months and years. Before we get to that though, the Thursday CPI report looms large. And even with headline CPI expected to bump up to 2.9% after last month saw Core CPI climb back-above 3%, there's the wide expectation for softening from the Fed. If the bank does open the door to more rate hikes after a move in September, we could see a continuation of USD-weakness as sellers would then have an open door given the Fed's recognition. But, perhaps the more interesting scenario would be a repeat of last year, when the USD sold off into the initial rate cut in September, after which it found support and held into the end of the month, following by a massive reversal in Q4. Behind that push in USD-strength was rising inflation expectations, which, given another push of softening from the Fed, could be justified. That boosted longer-term Treasury yields and the USD, and EUR/USD fell dramatically from a Q3 2024 high at 1.1200 to the early 2025 low at the 1.0200 handle (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the same major move that produced a 78.6% retracement at 1.1748). There's not yet enough context to substantiate a reversal but that reaction to FOMC rate cuts could be telling. Until then, bulls have an open door to push towards the prior high of 1.1830, after which the 1.2000 level comes into view. - js
by FOREXcom