BITF | WeeklyNASDAQ:BITF — Quantum Model Projection
Bullish Alternative 📈
There has been no specific change since the prior BITF analysis. Following the advance in Minor Wave 1, the price has pulled back through Minor Wave 2, holding at the Q-Structure λ₂ along the divergent zone—setting the stage for an impulsive advance in Minor Extension Wave 3 of Intermediate (5) within the Primary Wave ⓷ uptrend.
The Q-Target ➤ $28.88 🎯 remains valid, with a probable timing window into mid-June.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework. Within this methodology, Q-Targets represent high-probability scenarios generated by the confluence of equivalence lines. These Quantum Structures also serve as structural anchors, shaping the model's internal geometry and guiding the evolution of alternative paths as price action unfolds.
#CryptoStocks #CryptoMining #QuantumModels
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XAUUSD 15M — Bearish Continuation from ResistanceGold rejected from the strong high and broke market structure on the 15-minute timeframe. After a brief pullback, price is continuing lower toward the weak low and demand zone around 5290–5185. As long as price stays below the resistance zone, selling pressure remains strong. Wait for confirmation and manage risk properly
$SPY the beginning of a covid style selloff? 20-32% drop?It is finally time for a larger selloff to happen. As you can see, we've broken down out of a rising wedge and many people are calling for another scenario to buy the dip, but this dip doesn't look the same as all of the other dips.
To me, this looks more like the start of a larger selloff. My thesis is that this selloff will be a cross between the selloff that took place in 1989 and covid. I think we're about to see a 20-32% drop that comes very quickly not giving people time to get out.
The past two days we're already trading exactly like we did in covid, where we can see sharp rallies that are met with more selling.
The reason this selloff is different is because volatility is starting to react and I have strong buy signals on the weekly timeframe while I'm getting weekly sell signals on SPY.
While my base case was that we'd only get a 20% selloff down to the $550-560 area on the chart, I won't rule out the possibility of the market selling off to the next support level down at $468-$481.
The selling should get stronger once we're under the $666-672 level and volatility will start to rise quickly. Under the $650 level should be lights out for the market.
Again, I think this selloff is going to happen very quickly over the next few weeks, so I'd be cautious buying any dips.
Let's see how it plays out.
Is Tesla Evolving from Automaker to an AI Superpower?The fourth quarter of 2025 marked the definitive end of Tesla’s era as a traditional car manufacturer. The company has officially shed its automotive skin to emerge as a "Physical AI" powerhouse. This pivot is not mere marketing; it is a fundamental restructuring of capital and industrial strategy.
The Financial Paradox of Q4 2025
Tesla’s Q4 2025 earnings revealed a striking contradiction that defied traditional valuation models. Total sales fell 3.1% year-over-year to $24.9 billion, missing Wall Street expectations. In a conventional growth model, such top-line contraction often triggers a sell-off.
Yet, the market rewarded Tesla’s efficiency narrative. Earnings per share (EPS) hit $0.50, beating forecasts by over 11%. Gross margins surged to 20.1%, their highest level in two years. Investors now prioritize automation's unseen potential over tangible vehicle delivery metrics.
Executing the Legacy: The Death of S and X
In a "burn the ships" strategic move, Tesla will cease Model S and Model X production by Q2 2026. These flagship vehicles defined the brand but now occupy valuable floor space at the Fremont factory. Tesla is clearing the deck to prioritize mass-producing humanoid robots.
Management aims for one million Optimus units annually. The logic is brutal: robots address a larger labor market than luxury sedans. While this alienates early adopters, Tesla is trading 50,000 human customers for a million profitable machines.
Optimus: A "Death Punch" to Global Industry
The Optimus program represents an aggressive challenge to Chinese manufacturing dominance. China’s leverage relies on labor arbitrage, which a $20,000 robot effectively destroys. American factories using Optimus can run 24/7 without benefits or breaks.
However, the "death punch" faces a significant geopolitical bottleneck. China has restricted exports of rare earth magnets essential for robotic actuators. Without neodymium and dysprosium, the 2026 production timeline remains at risk. Tesla is now scrambling for export licenses while redesigning motors to bypass this blockade.
Technology Breakthroughs: 4680 and Silicon Anodes
Tesla’s 4680 battery cell has finally emerged from "yield hell". A December 2025 patent revealed a breakthrough in dry electrode production using silicon composite anodes. Silicon stores more lithium than graphite, significantly boosting energy density.
This innovation is critical for the physical AI fleet. Robots require high energy density to perform tasks for eight-hour shifts. Furthermore, the "tabless" design facilitates 15-minute charging, which is vital for high-utilization Robotaxi operations.
T he AI Infrastructure Pivot: From Dojo to AI6
Tesla has effectively disbanded its custom "Dojo" supercomputer project. The D1 chip proved a capital-intensive dead end. Instead, Tesla is pivoting to the "AI6" chip, manufactured by Samsung.
This new architecture unifies the software stack across cars, robots, and training clusters. By leveraging Samsung’s supply chain, Tesla avoids the capacity constraints of TSMC. The focus has shifted from custom training hardware to massive edge-case inference power.
The Robotaxi Economy and Autonomous "Hives"
The "Cybercab" rollout in 2026 aims to turn vehicles into cash-generating assets. Tesla estimates an operating cost of ~$0.20 per mile, creating a massive profit spread over traditional ride-sharing.
To solve the cleaning bottleneck, Tesla patented a "Self-Cleaning Apparatus" using UV light and sanitization vapor. Automated "hives" will use robot hands to remove debris and wipe surfaces. This integrated ecosystem creates a moat that competitors like Uber cannot easily replicate.
Militarization and the "STING" Cybertruck
Tesla is diversifying into defense through a partnership with Archimedes Defense. The "STING" package adds military-grade armor and a multi-fuel generator to the Cybertruck. This transforms the vehicle into an Armored Personnel Carrier capable of silent watch missions.
The US Air Force is already testing Cybertrucks for structural integrity and weapons integration. While this militarization may alienate eco-conscious buyers, it opens lucrative, recession-proof government contracts.
Risk Management: Cybersecurity and Insurance
Tesla’s greatest existential threat is a fleet-wide hack. With Robotaxis lacking steering wheels, the traditional "hardware disconnect" for brakes is gone. Tesla is implementing a Vehicle Security Operations Center (vSOC) to monitor for anomalies.
Simultaneously, Tesla Insurance is maturing, with a loss ratio improved to 92.5%. As Full Self-Driving (FSD) reduces accidents, these margins will likely widen. Tesla’s real-time data allows it to price risk more accurately than traditional insurers using demographics.
Is Gold Going Past 6000$- AnalysisGold has been going up for several reasons: Central banks around the world are buying gold at record volumes; Trump's threats of taking over Greenland and Iran are a clear violation of international law, which means that other conflicts around the world can start; Trump's threats of taking Greenland destabilize NATO relationships; China's Mineral Act puts immense pressure on metals such as Silver, which destabilizes supply chains all over the world; The Dollar keeps losing value, and this can be seen with EUR/USD that is around 1.2; FED might lower rates in the future, which helps gold's value rise compared to the dollar.
The reasons for which gold can rise to 6k per ounce might be there. The main reasons revolve around wars that might destabilise the world we live in (Greenland and Iran being taken over), but I believe it mainly involves around new wars that might occur due to a violation of international law by Trump. Now, Gold prices can drop really hard if all these wars settle, Trump makes a deal with China regarding minerals and he stabilizes the US relationship with NATO members, but it seems very unlikely to happen fast. Nonetheless, gold might actually rise to 6k but beware of risks such as it dropping hard in the near future as this gold rise might only be hyper speculation. Don't forget that these institutions buying gold have to sell their gold to realise their unrealized profit, so don't become exit liquidity by buying at any levels. Do your due diligence first before buying in.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Asset prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not a licensed financial advisor or professional trader. I am not personally liable for your own losses; this is not financial advice.
XAUT / USDT ()XAUT Expectation:
XAUT has the uptrend and price reached the expected target 5300 point and make new ATH on 5610 point, now one more retest on the 4951 point can be dangerouse and price can decrease till 4500 point.
Geopolitics situation is an advantage for the GOLD price; the USA regional conflict and the Iran regional conflict are pushing the price up. Also, dollar wickless makes the Gold up trend.
#XAGUSD SILVER - Wait For A Dip Toward The TrendlineThe chart shows a strong uptrend in XAGUSD with higher highs and higher lows, supported by two rising trendlines and prior resistance turned support near 100.
Price is currently pulling back from recent highs around 117–120, and the plan on the chart is to wait for a dip toward the trendline/100 zone and then look for long (buy) setups in line with the bullish trend.
Solana (SOL) — 1H: Bearish Structure Remains in FocusOn the 1-hour chart, Solana may appear to be forming a reversal after an extended decline. However, the current structure does not yet support this view.
Price action remains weak, with downside risk still present. A move toward the 125-125,5 area could allow for short-term consolidation, followed by a rotation into the 116–118 zone.
From there, continuation toward 108 remains a level to monitor.
This scenario would change if price reaches the 127 level.
CADJPY - Long IdeaA false breakout occurs when price briefly breaks a clear support or resistance level, triggers stops and breakout entries, but fails to hold beyond the level and quickly returns back into the range. This move represents a liquidity grab rather than a true directional move, often followed by short term a reversal in the opposite direction.
As a target - opposite key level
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. I was away from the charts. But if you saw my last post, whoever was in a short position crushed it. So many people in leveraged profitable long trades who didn't close out in time got smoked I am sure. Big G gets my thanks. I will post in a bit or tomorrow before the NY session. Be well and trade the trend. Gold is just an it's own animal, be careful.
AUDJPY Bullish above 106.70The AUDJPY remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 106.70 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 106.70 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
108.50 – initial resistance
109.00 – psychological and structural level
109.50 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 106.70 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
106.40 – minor support
106.00 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the AUDJPY holds above 106.70. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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XAUUSD - BUYNY crashed gold and silver, and probably everything else they want to take profit on.
End of the month — profit taking.
Looks safe enough to Buy now now has cross Trigger line and looking Bullish to me.
Sometimes you get three sweeps below, but it looks quite stable
This is the reason you always make sure you have enough in your account to cover such events.
Beat them at their own game.
Could take 24 hours.
NZ–Aust–Asia will most probably buy it up at this discounted price in the morning.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish ContinuationThe price has rejected off our sell entry level at 154.04, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 155.20, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 151.66, which is a swing low support.
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GOLD [XAU / USD] CENTURY CHART EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS MONTHLY TFThe Journey of Gold: 1833 – 2026
• 1833: Gold fixed at $20 per ounce. Under the gold standard, gold was essentially money. Prices were stable and dictated by law, not the market.
• 1934: Gold officially revalued to $35 per ounce by the United States. This was a political and monetary decision, not a market move. Gold remained fixed at this level for decades.
• January 1st, 1968: The official end of the gold standard.
Due to massive spending and rising debt from the Vietnam War, the U.S. could no longer defend a fixed gold price. Gold became freely tradable, and its market journey truly began.
The W–X–Y Corrective Structure (1968–2026)
With gold now free to move, the long-term Elliott Wave structure unfolds as a corrective W–X–Y pattern:
Wave W (1968–1980): ABC up
Gold rose from $35 to ~$850, forming a clear ABC structure.
• A: initial breakout after the gold standard ended
• B: mid-cycle consolidation
• C: final blow-off to the 1980 high
Wave X (1980–1999): ABC sideways
A long, shallow correction followed, moving mostly sideways in price but spanning nearly two decades in time. This X wave connected the first advance (W) to the next advance (Y).
Wave Y (1999–2026): ABC up
Another corrective ABC advance.
Internal swings overlap, and momentum diverges at highs, confirming corrective (non-impulsive) behaviour. Gold rises to new highs as the market continues to adjust to decades of fiat currency expansion and global monetary dynamics.
Key Takeaways
• From 1968 onward, gold is fully free to trade and its Elliott Wave journey begins.
• The W–X–Y pattern demonstrates corrective behavior, not impulsive trending.
• Each major rise (W and Y) subdivides as ABC, while the X wave serves as a connector.
• Gold’s multi-decade movement reflects market repricing against fiat currency, not classic bull market impulses.
Like and follow for more charts like this.
GOOD TRADE From 5180-85 to 4940 ,that's another 2300 pips and together with yesterday that like 5000 pips , and the risk was just 350 pips , we discovered a lot and I posted before that 2026 will be the beginning of greater things because 2025 ending was the time i discovered what I needed to add to the already important information i had so i have added everything together and a lot can happen in 10 years, so may God bless us with long life.
Gold Is Losing Short-Term Structure — This Pullback Is No LongerHello traders, Gold is currently trading near $5,185, and price action on the one-hour timeframe is showing a clear shift in short-term structure following the rejection from the recent high around $5,597. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the near-term behavior has transitioned from consolidation into a developing corrective sequence.
After printing the local high, price failed to sustain above the rising averages and rolled over aggressively. The rebound labeled (2) was corrective in nature and stalled below prior resistance, confirming lower high formation. This loss of momentum signals that buyers are no longer in control in the short term. The subsequent breakdown below the dotted trendline and acceptance under the $5,200–$5,220 area further validates the structural weakness.
From a technical perspective, price is now trading below both the short-term and medium-term moving averages, with the $5,230–$5,250 zone acting as overhead supply rather than support. As long as price remains below this region, upside attempts should be viewed as corrective pullbacks, not trend continuation.
The projected path on the chart outlines a potential multi-leg corrective move. A continuation lower opens the door for price to test the $4,830–$4,880 zone, which aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement and prior structural interaction. If selling pressure persists and acceptance develops below that level, a deeper extension toward the $4,580–$4,600 region becomes technically plausible.
Invalidation is clearly defined. A sustained reclaim and acceptance back above $5,250–$5,280 would invalidate the current bearish sequence and suggest that the pullback was merely a temporary shakeout within the broader uptrend.
The higher-timeframe trend has not failed, but short-term control has shifted to sellers.
Structure broken. Pullbacks are corrective. Let price confirm whether this evolves into a deeper correction or stabilizes at demand.






















