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Today's market trend analysis and exclusive trading strategy.Gold continued its rollercoaster ride today, with market sentiment clearly shifting ahead of the interest rate decision, resulting in very limited overall volatility. On one hand, the market has largely priced in the rate cut expectations, with a consensus now widely believing there's an over 80% probability of a 25 basis point cut by the Fed. This "expectation fulfilled" market sentiment is unlikely to generate significant volatility unless the outcome surprises us. What truly warrants attention is not the rate cut itself, but rather the post-decision guidance on the interest rate path, including the latest dot plot, economic projections, and Powell's remarks at the press conference. These signals will directly influence the market's assessment of the future pace of rate cuts, especially the policy path in 2026, which will be crucial in shaping the next gold price trend. In this market environment, everyone must maintain a steady pace and avoid greed. With unclear direction and limited volatility, caution with funds is crucial. This type of market is most prone to losses from emotional trading. In the current situation, pay close attention to the bottom and avoid making trades you're not confident in, or taking unnecessary risks. If a clear structure and direction emerge later, I will notify everyone immediately so you can follow the trend. Market opportunities can wait, but risks never wait. Staying calm, seeing clearly, and then acting is the true path to profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
Bullish bounce?NZD/CAD has bounced off the pivot, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.7977 1st Support: 0.7943 1st Resistance: 0.8063 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
Benchmark Yield Teeters as Politics Loom LargeFutures tied to the world’s benchmark interest rate sit at a pivotal level, reflecting a market clouded by extraordinary uncertainty. Political risk, legal challenges, and shifting global policy expectations are colliding with technical signals to create a backdrop where directional conviction is scarce. With the Federal Reserve’s decision looming and structural questions about U.S. fiscal and trade policy unresolved, the next move in U.S. 10-year Treasury futures could prove highly consequential. While the latest unwind is partially being driven by a global repricing of medium-term interest rate expectations as several central banks signal the next move in policy rates is likely to be higher, the steepening of the curve may also reflect concern about the FOMC being compromised politically next year through the potential appointment of close Trump ally Kevin Hassett as chair, along with the future of current governor Lisa Cook. She was dismissed by Donald Trump earlier this year only to see her reappointed by a court order. A final ruling from the U.S. Supreme Court is expected early in the new year. If rates at the front of the curve are cut for political rather than economic reasons, you’d expect to see curves react to the prospect of stronger nominal growth expectations. Throw in uncertainty as to whether Trump’s reciprocal tariffs will be ruled legal in a separate court case—an outcome that could significantly widen the U.S. primary deficit and open the door to litigation proceedings against the government—and it makes the price action in this contract so interesting as we move towards 2026. Rejected comprehensively at the influential 50DMA last week, U.S. 10-year Treasury note futures have spent the period since sliding lower, leaving the contract teetering at 114’20’0 less than 24 hours out from the Federal Reserve’s December FOMC meeting, where it’s widely expected to deliver a third consecutive 25-basis point rate cut, taking the funds rate to a range of between 3.5–3.75%. 114’20’0 has acted as support and resistance for lengthy periods in 2025, underlining its importance when it comes to medium-term directional risks. With RSI (14) pushing lower below 50, it favours downside over upside, especially with MACD confirming the bearish signal. Should we see an extension of the unwind through 114’20’0, it would put a retest of the 200DMA on the radar and, beyond that, the intersection of 113’16’0 support and the uptrend running from the lows set in January. If the bearish move stalls at 114’20’0, the 50DMA may be targeted by bulls looking for a retracement, although price action beneath 115’00’0 should be monitored given there were buyers lurking beneath it for periods in November. Beyond technicals, I’m not entirely convinced we’ll see an overly hawkish cut from the Fed on Wednesday—something that may temporarily relieve downside pressure on the price. Unless a significant proportion of FOMC members no longer deem a funds rate of 3% as neutral for economic activity, it still lends itself to the median member signalling one cut in both 2026 and 2027, even though there has been an extra one added to the 2025 profile relative to the prior dot plot forecasts released three months ago. If that does eventuate and we don’t see a significant minority of members dissent in favour of keeping rates steady at this meeting, it would not surprise to see a bid across the curve as traders price in the prospect of more than two cuts over that period, as was the case earlier this month. Good luck! DS
CBOT:TN1!
by FOREX.com
DOGE soon will break 0.15$ and then again bull marketDOGE is currently consolidating within a defined range near the major support zone of $0.08 to $0.12. This range-bound action suggests a period of accumulation, and a breakout above the descending trendline—particularly with a decisive move past the $0.15 resistance—would signal the likely resumption of bullish momentum. In such a scenario, measured upward projections point toward initial targets near $0.22, followed by a secondary objective around $0.29, contingent upon sustained buying pressure and volume confirmation following the breakout. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
1
I like AAPL for uncertain times -- long at 276.77First and foremost, I like AAPL here because the system I use likes AAPL here. It actually liked it 3 days ago, but I decided to wait and I'm glad I did because I'm getting a better deal here. I jumped in just before the end of the after hours session today because I couldn't wait any longer. The Fed meeting is a wild card tomorrow, but if the market rallies on it, i'd miss out if I waited. If it dumps, it'll just take longer to make my money. That's a risk/reward that favored going long today for me. I understand, though, why some would want to wait. Since the beginning of the year, the 20 closed trades have netted a total of +41% on a stock that is up under 11% on the year. They've produced a per lot/day return of around 12 basis points, which is 3x the long term average return of SPY. While AAPL struggled early in the year, it has gotten its footing and since mid summer has been a freight train chugging higher and higher as shown by that pretty little regression channel. It is trading above its 20, 50 and 200d MAs as well. An underrated feature of AAPL in my opinion (although @matthias would take the opposite position, I think) is that they have a huge pile of cash. They are holding over $100B in cash and marketable securities right now. While long term, I'd rather have that cash be used to innovate, I do not like the looks of the economy right now, and I think that AAPL's huge cash hoard gives them a cushion that a lot of other stocks don't have right now. I like that safety. If Chairman Powell can manage to not rattle the markets tomorrow with hawkish rhetoric, and if Trump can keep his little fingers from typing out threats against Fed independence if Powell doesn't lower rates (doubtful), I think this could be a quick turnaround trade, as AAPL is already down 5 days in a row (though that's not terribly unusual for AAPL). If the trade isn't a quick one, I am as always, not averse to adding to my position and tactically taking profits while waiting for the original lot to make its curtain call. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation. BTW - ignore the pink arrows on the chart, those are part of something I'm working on and it was too cumbersome to go hide them all. Also, the green arrow is simply for my use in determining YTD return of the stock quickly. Ignore that, too. Also, I mistyped in the text box on the chart and I can't fix that. The average return per trade is 1.98%, not 1.94%. Not a big difference, but I like to be accurate. Sorry for that error.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by redwingcoach
GOOGL at a Key Decision Zone — Dec. 10 TA with GEX InsightGOOGL continues to respect one of the most important levels on its chart: the 311–312 zone. Every time price dips into this area, it gets absorbed instantly, creating a solid base for the recent recovery. That kind of repeated defense usually means real buyers are sitting there, not just random bounces. The move back toward 316–318 shows where supply still lives. Price wasn’t able to push through that pocket, and the rejection lined up perfectly with the upper trendline on the 1-hour chart. It doesn’t break the bullish structure, but it does tell us that sellers remain active and patient at that level. On the 15-minute timeframe, the picture is cleaner. GOOGL had a strong run off the 311 support, pushed straight into 318, and then shifted into a controlled pullback. EMAs are flattening, which usually means the market is transitioning from momentum into consolidation. The structure stays constructive as long as price avoids making a new lower low. That 311–312 zone is the line in the sand. The gamma exposure map adds clarity to why the stock keeps behaving this way. The put wall is stacked right at 311–312, which means dealers hedge by buying each time price approaches it — creating that reliable support. On the other side, the first meaningful call-wall pressure sits at 316–318. That’s exactly where price keeps getting rejected, because dealer hedging tends to produce sell-side flow as we approach those levels. This leaves GOOGL pinned between two strong forces: a supportive floor and a heavy ceiling. Until one of those gives way, the stock is likely to keep drifting around the middle of the range, roughly near 315. A clean breakout over 318 would free it toward 322–325, where the next gamma pockets sit. A breakdown under 312, on the other hand, would open room toward 310 and possibly even 300 if momentum shifts. Right now the chart and the options-based gamma structure are aligned, and that usually produces reliable levels. GOOGL is coiling — and whichever side breaks first will define the next directional leg. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
4
Alibaba (BABA) Weekly – BABA is holding above a major structural support zone and remains inside a rising channel from the 2023 lows. The bullish scenario activates only if price stays above support and reclaims key levels. Entry Trigger: • Break and close above 156–162 zone (confirmation of bullish momentum) Targets: • Target 1: 192 • Target 2: 219 • Target 3: 232 • Extended Target: 303 Invalidation / Stop Levels: • Conservative stop: below 129 • Aggressive stop: below 140–142 (trendline support) • Full bullish bias invalidated if weekly closes below 129 Why Bullish: • Rising weekly structure • Higher lows respecting trendline • Strong demand zone between 129–142 • Clean upside imbalances toward 192 and 219 Bullish bias remains valid only as long as price holds above the 129 support zone. Reclaiming 156 is the key to upside continuation.
NYSE:BABALong
by ovaissiddiq
EUR/CAD: Dead Cat bounce?An interesting bearish setup may have emerged on EUR/CAD. After breaking below trend support on Friday, the pair has held beneath that level and is now consolidating tightly near the lows. Both the broken trendline and the October trough are acting as resistance, reinforcing the risk that any rebound may prove shallow. If downside momentum resumes, support layers around the 1.60 handle and the 200-day moving averages become natural targets for sellers. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
Short
by City Index
AVGO Cautiously Bullish, but Extended Short-TermAVGO has reclaimed its 50d MA decisively & is riding it upward After a mild multi-week consolidation, AVGO is breaking out toward prior highs (~$406) This type of structure (pullback → higher low → reclaim key MA → push toward highs), tends to imply that dip buyers are in control RSI is rising & sits around the mid-60s, not overbought, but trending strongly Rising RSI ahead of earnings usually reflects bullish positioning Stoch is overbought (>90) which often signals short-term exhaustion, not necessarily a reversal, but it does imply that the easy part of the move may already be behind us going into the report Volume has picked up on green days, suggesting accumulation No clear signs of distribution into strength Historically, AVGO tends to run into earnings because it’s seen as a high-quality operator with secular AI-exposure Breakout attempts near earnings often indicate expectations of a positive guide or at least no negative surprises Short-term overbought signals could mean the stock is “priced for good news" If earnings are merely “okay,” the setup allows for a post-earnings shakeout The stock is sitting near a local resistance shelf, so upside may require a true beat/raise to sustain Bullish Bias, but vulnerable to sell-the-news Momentum, structure & accumulation all favor further upside into the event Because it’s extended on short-term oscillators, any miss or soft commentary could trigger a retrace back toward the 50d (~$370s) In other words, the trend is up, but the timing (overbought) is tricky Current options pricing suggests a roughly +/- 6% move in either direction around earnings In dollar terms (with AVGO near $406), that implies a potential range between ~$382 & ~$430 ($377–$425, depending on exact strike & expiration) Some more aggressive estimates out of earnings-volatility models go as high as a +/-10% swing (~$365 to $447), though that's more of a “max stress test” than a central expectation After earnings, the options-market implied volatility (IV) historically drops sharply (the so-called “IV crush”) For AVGO, average IV contraction post-earnings has been around 19% & that means even if the stock moves in your favor, gains on options may be partially offset by the drop in IV - something to keep in mind if you trade options instead of stock Implied Move Range) of ~$382-$430 is the “base case” expected range, with more conservative estimates closer to $395-$420 1. Conservative (base-case) Stock stays near the expected move of $395-$420 In this case it's a likely modest upside or a mild pullback Risk/reward is relatively balanced with downside maybe slightly larger than upside if market punishes anything less than a strong beat 2. Bullish if earnings impress Good beat + strong guidance could push toward or exceed the $425-$430 That range would require near-full “realization” of options-market expectations, but is not unrealistic given prior positive earnings reactions & bullish sentiment toward AVGO’s AI/data-center exposure 3. Bearish (“sell-the-news”) If results disappoint or forward guidance is soft, price could retrace toward $370-$380 (maybe even lower, eventually to 50d MA or support Because much of the “good news” may already be priced in, downside risk could be nontrivial if expectations aren’t met Waiting for the first 1-2 days post-earnings may offer a cleaner entry & you might avoid the “volatility junk” to see more “organic” price action The stock is already fairly “priced for good news” If the beat is anything less than strong (or forward guidance is conservative), the sell-side could react harshly Fed interest-rate moves, general market volatility, or weakness in the tech/AI sector could exacerbate downside even if AVGO’s earnings are okay The “data center/AI infrastructure” theme (a big part of the bullish case) may disappoint if large clients delay orders or macroeconomic headwinds slow demand NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
NASDAQ:AVGO
by pakoumal
TradeCityPro | GRT Testing Key Support in Wide Range Structure👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis I want to review the GRT coin for you. One of the DeFi and Solana ecosystem projects that with a market cap of 481 million dollars is ranked 95 on CoinMarketCap. ⏳ 1-hour timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, a range box has formed between the zones 0.04491 and 0.4693, and the price has been fluctuating between these two zones for several days. 💥 The zone 0.04491 is a very important support for this coin, and breaking it or being supported from it can start the next movement wave on GRT. 🎯 Since in the higher timeframes like daily and weekly its trend is bearish, then with the break of 0.04491 this trend can continue and we can open a short position with it. ⚡️ If the price is supported from this zone and moves toward the 0.4693 top, we can open a long position by breaking 0.4693. ⚖️ This trigger is the first trigger for a long and is considered a risky trigger. I prefer to wait to get more confirmations for this coin turning bullish. 📊 For now, the main trigger for GRT to turn bullish will be the break of its main resistance at 0.05014. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
2
S&P 500: Last Bullish Push On the medium-term horizon OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! still looks like a clean impulse: Wave 3 shows a classic extension Wave 2 is a sharp zigzag Wave 4 has the structure of a flat – a running flat on S&P, while Nasdaq 100 forms something closer to an EFL Connecting waves 1–3 and 2–4 gives us an almost perfect trend channel, which strongly supports the impulsive interpretation. At the same time, the main volume cluster sits near the highs, which is typical for a distribution phase. Before a proper medium-term reversal, I still expect one more leg up as a final blow-off 5th wave. From a local-structure perspective , the last leg higher looks very much like a leading diagonal. My base case: 📉 first, a correction 📈 then continuation to new highs within wave 5 🔻 Invalidation: a break and confirmed close below 6600 would cancel the bullish scenario and suggest that the impulse is already complete. 🎯 Upside levels: Primary target zone: 7100–7200 Extended target: up to 7400 Not financial advice – just my working roadmap as long as price action respects the channel and stays above 6600.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by shakatrade1_618
1
XAUUSD – The 4.221 Zone Determines Direction Ahead of Fed ...XAUUSD – The 4.221 Zone Determines Direction Ahead of Fed From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a "waiting to choose direction" phase: The price is caught between the resistance zone of 4.221–4.239 and strong support at 4.166. On the 45m chart, the current structure is a sideways top, following the previous upward move. In the context of the Fed about to announce interest rates, I won't guess but will closely follow these two zones to make decisions. 🎯 Important Technical Zones Main Resistance: 4.221 – 4.225: Fibo zone 0.236–0.382 and thick volume cluster. 4.239: extended resistance peak – if broken, the target is the 4.25x zone. Strong Support: 4.166: "Strong support" zone on the chart – current range bottom. Below 4.166, the 4.12x zone is the extended Fibo 1.618, where liquidity might be attracted if the market sells off deeply. 📌 Scenario 1 – Continued Uptrend (preferred if holding above 4.200) If the price: Holds firmly above 4.200, Clearly breaks the 4.221–4.225 zone and closes a 45m candle above, I will consider this a confirmation signal that buyers are regaining control. Trading reference: Buy when the price breaks & retests 4.221–4.225. Temporary SL set below 4.210. TP: 4.245 – 4.258 – 4.270. As long as gold stands above 4.200, I prioritize the scenario of maintaining a bullish bias, viewing any pullback to 4.20x as a buying opportunity. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell within the Range If the price fails to break 4.221–4.239, leaving a cluster of pin candles with small bodies, I consider this a signal of exhaustion at the resistance zone: Sell around 4.221–4.225 (up to 4.239 if there's a spike). SL above 4.239. TP: 4.190 – 4.176 – 4.166, deeper to 4.130 if selling pressure increases strongly. This scenario is for short-term scalping/swing, going against the medium-term bullish bias, so volume must be tightly controlled. 1️⃣ Basic Context: Everyone Awaits the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the FX market's wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed's decision. Investors don't want to bet too heavily in one direction before the news, so gold tends to fluctuate within the range rather than breaking out immediately. When the Fed announces interest rates and guidance, gold's volatility range can expand very quickly, sweeping through both resistance and support zones. Therefore, I don't recommend entering large volume orders right before the Fed. The priority is to read price reactions at the 4.221 and 4.166 zones, then decide whether to increase or decrease positions. 2️⃣ My Plan Above 4.221, holding price well: prioritize buying scenario on break, targeting 4.25x. Failing to break 4.221, weak candles: consider short selling to 4.19x – 4.166. If the price falls straight below 4.166, I will temporarily stay out, waiting for the market to create a new balance zone before planning further. Each trade risks a maximum of 1–2% of the account, no widening SL during strong news phases. If you find this perspective useful, follow the TradingView channel and leave a comment on whether you lean towards breaking above 4.221 or turning back from resistance – let's update after the Fed news.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Precise Strategy AnalysisThe daily chart shows the bullish trend remains intact, while the 4-hour chart maintains a range-bound pattern. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing within the 4170-4230 range, suggesting a potential range-bound trading strategy of buying low and selling high within this area. However, two points need attention: firstly, after Tuesday's rise, the support level may have moved up to around 4200, not necessarily reaching 4180; secondly, a strong break above the upper Bollinger Band at 4230 would open up further upside potential, with a target of 4260 or higher. Therefore, intraday trading should consider placing long orders in the 4190-4180 range, while short positions can be initiated with small positions at the 4230 resistance level. The focus is on the Fed's decision at midnight, with the market widely expecting interest rates to remain unchanged. Attention should be paid to Powell's tone. If his comments are dovish, it could trigger a sharp rise followed by a fall in gold prices; please exercise strict risk management. Today's gold trading recommendations: Short positions can be initiated around 4220-4215, with a stop loss at 4230 and a target of 4190. Long positions can be initiated around 4190-4185, with a stop loss at 4170 and a target of 4210.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nfydwm
TOTAL3 Market Cap (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC and ETHTOTAL3 Market Cap (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC and ETH). In simple terms, this chart represents the health and trend of the Altcoin Market. 1. Market Structure: The Macro View The chart shows a clear, long-term bullish progression within a large ascending parallel channel (the dotted upper and lower lines). The Trend: Since 2018, despite massive volatility, the "higher lows" structure remains intact. The market is trending upward over the multi-year timeframe. Current Location: The price is currently trading in the upper half of this channel, suggesting strong momentum but also indicating we are approaching historical resistance zones. 2. Indicator Analysis: The Gaussian Channel The colored ribbon flowing through the price action is likely a Gaussian Channel (GC), which is a momentum indicator. Green Band: Indicates a bullish trend. Notice how the band turned green in late 2023/early 2024. The price has been "surfing" the top of this green band, using it as dynamic support. This is a classic characteristic of a strong bull run. Red Band: Represents the bear market (2022). The flip from Red to Green is a major "buy" signal for long-term holders. 3. Key Patterns & Breakouts The Wedge Breakout: There are black trendlines forming a falling wedge or triangle pattern during the 2021-2023 correction. The price decisively broke out of this structure to the upside, confirming the end of the bear market. The Dashed Resistance: There is a dashed diagonal line connecting the 2021 highs to the current price action. The market cap is currently pressing right up against this diagonal resistance. A clean break above this line is usually the precursor to an explosive move. 4. Critical Levels to Watch Resistance (The Ceiling): $1.13 Trillion (ATH): marked by the red horizontal line. This is the All-Time High from the 2021 peak. This is the most critical level on the chart. If TOTAL3 breaks and closes above $1.13T, the market enters "Price Discovery," which is often when the most aggressive "Altseason" rallies occur. Current Support (The Floor): The Green Ribbon (~$700B - $800B): If the price gets rejected at the current resistance, it will likely pull back to test the top of the green Gaussian band. As long as the price stays above the green band, the macro trend remains bullish. Summary The chart depicts an Altcoin market that has successfully exited a bear market and is currently in a mid-cycle accumulation/markup phase. A breakout above the dashed trendline and subsequently the $1.13T ATH level would signal the start of a parabolic phase. The Correlation: TOTAL3 vs. ETH/BTC There is currently a massive divergence: TOTAL3 is attacking ATHs ($1.13T). ETH/BTC is at multi-year lows. This divergence is bullish for ETH. It implies that the Altcoin rally has been driven by "Others" (Solana, mid-caps, etc.), and capital has not yet rotated back into Ethereum. When TOTAL3 breaks its resistance (the dashed line in your image), profits typically rotate from high-risk alts back into ETH, causing the ETH/BTC pair to launch vertically from this 0.035 support.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Cryptollica
USDCHF BULLbased on the red lines and the chart, our analysis on USDCHF is fully Bullish. Analysis: The price has reacted beautifully to the blue Demand Zone (around 0.80582) and buyers have stepped in. Main Scenario: Following the black arrow path, we expect the price to break the first (resistance at 0.80671). After a small pullback to this level, the path opens up for a rally to the final target at the red line (0.80800). This is a clean Buy setup from the bottom. Don't forget risk management! #USDCHF
Long
by NexusTrader_pro
Ethereum 4H Analysis — Likely to Rise Toward 3600Ethereum 4H Analysis — Likely to Rise Toward 3600. ETH just broke above the green bearish trendline, which means the previous bearish structure is now invalidated. Momentum flipped bullish the moment price closed above the trendline and held. Price is now sitting inside the yellow zones, which are acting as short-term resistance blocks. As long as ETH holds above 3320–3330, the market is showing strong signs of continuation. Why a rise to 3600 is likely: Trendline flip: Break + close above the green bearish trendline = bullish shift activated. Strong bullish wick and follow-through: Buyers aggressively defended the retest. Next liquidity cluster sits at 3490 → 3570. Once 3490 breaks, ETH has a clean path. No major resistance until 3572, then psychological extension into 3600. Bullish Path Hold above 3320 → Break 3331 → Push into 3449 → Break of 3449 opens fast continuation into 3570–3600. When this scenario is invalid A full 4H close back below 3220 cancels the bullish breakout and forces re-entry into the old bearish structure. Summary ETH successfully broke the bearish structure and is building bullish pressure. As long as price stays above the breakout zone (3320–3330), a move toward 3600 is the most likely scenario. — Avo.Trades.
TICKMILL:ETHUSD
by Avo-Trades
1
XAUUSD H4✅ 1. Current Market Structure Bearish 5-wave completion Price has completed: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) → Final liquidity sweep Wave (5) made a low below wave (3) and tapped liquidity → this supports a Spring scenario. Wyckoff Context The final low = Spring Phase C Expect a Test (B wave) and then a Sign of Strength → rally ✅ 2. Liquidity Zones & Reaction Points 🔹 Demand (Spring Zone) 4,176 – 4,187 Marked by the 0.786 retracement Overlaps with volume imbalance + LQ sweep → High probability reversal zone Your chart is correct: this is the B-wave target. 🔹 FVG + Supply Zone At 4,216 – 4,224 Price already reacted at this zone = Wave (A) completion. This zone becomes the first liquidity magnet on the next reversal. ✅ 3. Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC Correction) Wave (A) Already completed at the supply/FVG. Wave (B) Currently forming a retracement. Ideal retracement levels for B wave: 4,195 (0.5) 4,183–4,187 (0.786) → most likely 4,176 → deeper Spring Test Your projection correctly aims for the 0.786 retracement, aligning with liquidity + Wyckoff test. Wave (C) Projected to be a strong move up toward: 🎯 Target Zone: 4,241.81 (first break) 4,254.80 (Wyckoff UTAD / liquidity sweep) The big shaded target zone (4,242–4,255) is correct because: It's a previous swing high Heavy liquidity pools sit above Confluence of Wyckoff Sign of Strength final rally Wave C commonly reaches 1.0–1.272 Fibonacci extension 📌 4. Outlook Scenario (High Probability) Bullish Scenario (Main): Price dips into 4,183–4,187 Completes Wave (B) Strong bullish rejection → start of Wave (C) Rally into 4,242 Final liquidity sweep to 4,254–4,260 Distribution or reversal from the top This matches your chart perfectly.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Winlouh