Community ideas
EURJPY - Long SetupA false breakout occurs when price briefly breaks a clear support or resistance level, triggers stops and breakout entries, but fails to hold beyond the level and quickly returns back into the range. This move represents a liquidity grab rather than a true directional move, often followed by short term a reversal in the opposite direction.
As a target - opposite key level
ES Update Well, I didn't see that coming. FDAX hit oversold so we might see a bounce but I think ES RSI will hit oversold before we rebound.
Oddly, I was in calls but AAPL and GM were both green, dumped both for a small profit, will go long tomorrow. Would have made good money if I had dumped on open, but I didn't see the tank coming. It happens, but at least I picked the right stocks so I didn't lose any money.
PEPE/USDT Pullback After Breakout โ Next Move Loading!PEPE is consolidating after a clear structure shift from the previous downtrend. The descending trendline has already been broken and momentum has flipped, which is a good sign.
Price is now pulling back into a strong demand area. This looks like a healthy retracement, not weakness. As long as this zone holds, the bias stays bullish and PEPE has room to continue higher after consolidation.
If this demand fails, the structure becomes weak again and a deeper pullback is likely. Until then, this is simply a reset before the next move.
TLT Price Action in the Months AheadA simple technical perspective of the TLT chart and how it may perform over the next 79 or so days. Lots of big news on the horizon soon, including the appointing of a new Fed Chair. Who will it be? The prediction markets are ablaze with idea but we may find out for sure as soon as next week!
Gold After the Expansion: Repricing Phase in Progress 30-01-2026Gold After the Expansion: Repricing Phase in Progress 30-01-2026
๐งญ Gold Decision Map โ TradingView Update
XAUUSD | 4H | Friday โ Weekly & Near-Monthly Close
This update is based on the Decision Map published on 28-01-2026.
Recent price action followed the predefined structure without post-event adjustments.
โ ๏ธ Session Context
Today is Friday, with a weekly close and a near-monthly close.
Such sessions often show:
Position unwinding
Liquidity sweeps
False breaks
Not every move is tradable.
๐ Price Structure (Key Sequence)
5088 โ 5603 โ 5089 โ 5449 โ 4964
This confirms a post-expansion environment rather than a clean trend.
๐บ Upper Decision / Supply Zone
5440 โ 5603
Expansion highs.
Only sustained acceptance above 5603 changes the broader bias.
๐ธ Upper Reaction Zone
5385 โ 5449
Technical reaction area.
No acceptance built here previously.
โช Balance Zone โ No Trade
5200 โ 5320
Noise area with low edge, especially into Friday close.
๐ข Repricing / Value Zone
5075 โ 5095
Core structural area.
Price interactions here should be read behaviorally, not impulsively.
๐ข Deep Value / Absorption Zone
4950 โ 4985
(Recorded low: 4964)
Loss of 4950 on a 4H close opens deeper downside.
๐ Downside Extension (Reference Levels)
4885 โ 4808
๐งญ Scenarios
Bearish: Failure to reclaim 5200 + sustained break below 4950
Bullish (Conditional): Reclaim 5200, then acceptance above 5603
This is not a signal post.
It is a decision-based market framework focused on structure and risk.
Decisions at zones โ not in the middle.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.09
Target Level: 63.63
Stop Loss: 66.05
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
Gold slaughters the bulls! Buy low in the 5110 area!I previously said that gold would experience a significant correction and decline, so I resisted chasing the rally and buying at high prices.
When gold plummeted to around 5100, I quickly placed buy orders and held them.
Gold is experiencing a deep retracement after a short-term peak. Focus on a short-term stabilization and rebound. Pay attention to the 5110-5100 area for effective support and a rebound. The market is volatile, and major players are manipulating the market.
Watch for a rebound to 5300-5400!
Buy on the retracement to the 5110-5100 area! Buy! Buy! Buy!
I heard that the new Federal Reserve chairman will be announced within a week, so it's good to give the market some time to consolidate.
After a crazy market, there is often a period of silence; a rest is not a bad thing. However, it's important to note that next week is the Non-Farm Payrolls report, and this Sunday there's the issue of whether the US government can avoid a shutdown. The chairman's appointment is just adding fuel to the fire. Especially tomorrow, a Friday that is already crazy, I believe that with the cooperation of "like-minded people," there will be an even stronger Black Friday, with black swan events everywhere!
EURCAD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURCAD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 5130.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 5240.1
Recommended Stop Loss - 5071.0
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAD/JPY Long Bias | Trend Support Holding Firm๐ CAD/JPY โ Canadian Dollar vs Japanese Yen | Bullish Trade Setup ๐น + Fundamental Watch
Asset: CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar ๐จ๐ฆ vs Japanese Yen ๐ฏ๐ต) โ Forex Market
Timeframe: Swing / Day Trade ๐
๐
London Time Reference: All data & news aligned to GMT (London)
๐ Trade Thesis โ Bullish Momentum Confirmed
Price action shows a bullish bias supported by a KIJUN moving average pullback and multi-timeframe demand zones. CAD/JPY is reacting off key support levels, suggesting continuation higher.
Current CAD/JPY spot ~ 112.63 โ 114.26 (varies real-time) โ Yen weakness persists due to BOJ policy dynamics.
๐ Trade Plan โ Thief Layer Strategy ๐
๐ Bullish Entry (Layered):
Use multiple buy limit layers for optimum price execution:
๐น 113.000
๐น 113.250
๐น 113.500
๐น 113.750
๐น 114.000
(Add more layers based on your risk tolerance)
Why layering works: It diversifies entry risk + captures pullbacks โ ideal for volatile cross-pairs like CAD/JPY. ๐ง
๐ฏ Targets & Exit Rules
๐ฏ Primary Target: ~ 115.000
Resistance zone + overbought structure + institutional sell orders likely near there โ lock partial profits early.
If price shows rejection candles at resistance โก take protective booking.
โ Thief Stop Loss
๐ SL: ~ 112.500
Below structural demand cluster.
Manage position size carefully โ this is your safety net not a guarantee. Trade risk responsibly.
๐ REALTIME FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS (London GMT)
๐ฏ๐ต Japan โ Yen Dynamics & BOJ
๐ BOJ is keeping rates at multi-year highs (~0.75%) and monitoring inflation pressure from a weak yen. Persistent inflation and labor cost push could drive future tightening. Markets watching for possible hikes later in Q2-Q3.
๐ A weaker yen supports CAD/JPY upside but any surprise hawkish BOJ commentary can spike volatility.
๐จ๐ฆ Canada โ Policy & Economic Risks
๐ Bank of Canada likely holding rates at ~2.25% in 2026 with little change unless a macro shock hits.
๐ Key data to watch (London GMT):
โข CAD International Trade Balance & Employment data
โข CPI / Retail Sales / GDP releases
(Timing via real-time economic calendars like TradingEconomics or FXStreet)
Strong CAD data = bullish reinforcement vs JPY.
๐ Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Confirmation)
๐ฅ USD/JPY: Safe-haven flows / risk sentiment lean impact JPY strength.
๐ฅ USD/CAD: Signals CAD underlying strength/weakness vs USD = context for CAD/JPY direction.
๐ฅ AUD/JPY & NZD/JPY: Commodity currency vs JPY comparisons โ helps validate broad risk-on moves.
If these pairs rally in sync with CAD/JPY โ confirmation of a broader bullish theme.
๐ Key Technical Levels
โ Support: 112.00 โ #DemandZone
โ Buy Layers: 113.00โ114.00
โ Resistance / Target: 115.00
Watch breakout candle closes above 115 for extension plays.
๐ก Trader Motivation โ Thief Style ๐ญ
๐ฌ โNo strategy is perfect but a smart plan catches profit while others watch.โ
๐ฌ โBooks donโt trade โ you do. Protect capital, harvest gains.โ
Stay disciplined. Trade clean setups, scale in, scale out. ๐ง ๐ฐ
SOLUSDT M30 HTF Supply Rejection and Bearish Continuation๐ Description
BINANCE:SOLUSDT has experienced a strong bearish impulse, breaking below a key H4 balance price range. Price is now consolidating under a 30-minute Fair Value Gap, suggesting a corrective pullback within a broader bearish structure rather than a trend reversal.
________________________________________
๐ Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below the M30 FVG
Preferred Setup:
โข Entry: 116.10 (pullback into M30 FVG / supply)
โข Stop Loss: Above 116.60
โข TP1: 114.89
โข TP2: 113.82
โข TP3: 112.17
________________________________________
๐ง ICT & SMC Notes
โข Strong bearish displacement confirming sell-side dominance
โข Rejection from M30 Fair Value Gap in a discount-to-premium retracement
โข Clear bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows
________________________________________
๐ Summary
As long as price remains capped below the 116.60โ117.20 resistance zone, bearish continuation remains the favored scenario. The current consolidation is viewed as a pause before a potential continuation toward deeper downside liquidity.
________________________________________
๐ Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Weak overall crypto market sentiment, coupled with reduced risk appetite and ongoing capital rotation out of high-beta altcoins, continues to weigh on SOL. Without a strong bullish catalyst, downside pressure remains dominant in the short term.
________________________________________
โ ๏ธ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPJPY Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 211.866.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 211.242 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GBP/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.060
Target Level: 1.055
Stop Loss: 1.063
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Sellers in Control for NowYesterdayโs analysis played out as expected. After rejection at the 5562 resistance, gold reversed lower and dropped below the 5000 level.
Gold is currently trading around 5164, sitting below the MA50, with the 5117 level providing support.
If selling pressure continues, a test of the MA200 comes into focus, which may provide dynamic support. For deeper moves, watch the lower support zones for potential reactions.
If support holds and price stabilises, a retest of the MA50 remains possible. However, for another leg back toward the ATH, price will need to reclaim the key resistance zone.
๐ Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
5211
5263
5324
5377
Support:
5117
5073
4993
4959
4886
๐Let key levels guide your decisions โ wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
AUD/JPY SELL IDEAPrice has shown clear rejection at the resistance zone, indicating active selling pressure at higher levels.
However, momentum shifted as the 30-minute candle closed with a full body above the Moving Average, suggesting a potential short-term bullish continuation and acceptance above dynamic support.
Tools used:
Moving Average (MA)
Trendline with confirmed structural breaks
We focus on:
Price action behavior
Trendline structure and breaks
Moving Average interaction and candle closes
EURUSD 1H Analysis Today: Range Build After ImpulseEURUSD 1H Analysis Today: Range Build After Impulse, Buy-the-Dip Bias While 1.183โ1.187 Holds
EURUSD is transitioning from a strong impulsive rally into a corrective range on the 1H chart. Price is currently hovering around 1.1938, sitting between a clear supply cap near 1.197โ1.199 and a key demand zone around 1.183โ1.187. The โweak highโ liquidity remains parked above the swing top, which keeps the upside magnet active as long as structure does not break down.
This is a classic environment for Fibonacci + trendline + EMA/RSI confirmation: wait for price to reach levels, then execute with structure.
1H Market Structure and Price Behavior
The macro leg is bullish (strong push into a marked weak high), followed by profit-taking and consolidation.
Short-term CHoCH prints suggest chop and liquidity grabs inside the range, not a confirmed trend reversal yet.
Bias stays mildly bullish while price holds above the main demand zone and continues printing higher lows on lower timeframes.
Key Support and Resistance (Intraday Levels)
Resistance Zones (Supply / Sell Reaction Areas)
1.1970โ1.1990: immediate supply cap (rejection zone under 1.2000)
1.2000โ1.2020: psychological + structure pivot if reclaimed
1.2055โ1.2075: weak high liquidity zone (highest probability target if bullish continuation triggers)
Support Zones (Demand / Buy Reaction Areas)
1.1910โ1.1920: intraday pivot (decision area around current consolidation)
1.1830โ1.1870: primary demand zone (major โbuy-the-dipโ area)
1.1730โ1.1760: next support shelf (if demand fails)
1.1670: strong low (major downside magnet if bearish expansion occurs)
Fibonacci Confluence (Swing Low to Swing High)
Using the main move 1.1670 โ 1.2065, the retracement levels align tightly with your zones:
0.236: ~1.1972 (matches the current supply band)
0.382: ~1.1914 (current pivot area)
0.50: ~1.1868 (upper edge of demand)
0.618: ~1.1821 (lower edge of demand)
0.786: ~1.1755 (next support shelf)
This makes 1.183โ1.187 the most important โreactionโ area on the chart.
Trendline, EMA, RSI Filters (How to Avoid Low-Quality Entries)
Trendline Logic
Draw a trendline from the impulse higher low into the current structure. As long as pullbacks respect the rising line (or reclaim quickly after a sweep), the bullish case remains valid.
EMA Confirmation (20/50/200)
Bullish continuation improves if price holds above EMA50 on pullbacks and EMA20 slopes upward.
If price stays below EMA20/EMA50 and EMA20 crosses down, treat rebounds as corrective sells into supply.
RSI Confirmation
Bullish setups are cleaner when RSI holds above 50 or reclaims 50 after a dip.
Bearish continuation strengthens if RSI fails repeatedly under 50 during rebounds.
EURUSD Trading Plans for Today (1H Execution)
Plan A: Buy the Dip at Demand (Primary Setup)
Best when price taps demand and prints a clear rejection (long lower wick, bullish engulfing, or lower-timeframe CHoCH up).
Entry zone: 1.1830โ1.1870
Stop loss: below 1.1820 (or below the rejection wick low)
Take profit 1: 1.1910โ1.1930
Take profit 2: 1.1970โ1.1990
Extension target: 1.2055โ1.2075 (weak high liquidity)
Plan B: Breakout Continuation Above Supply (Momentum Setup)
Only valid with acceptance above the cap, not a quick wick.
Trigger: 1H close above 1.1990โ1.2000, then a retest that holds
Entry: buy the retest of 1.1990โ1.2000
Stop loss: below the retest swing low
Targets: 1.2055โ1.2075
Plan C: Bearish Breakdown (If Demand Fails)
If price closes below demand and cannot reclaim it, the market likely shifts into deeper correction.
Trigger: 1H close below 1.1820
Entry: sell the retest of 1.1830โ1.1870 as resistance
Targets: 1.1760, then 1.1730, and potentially 1.1670 if momentum expands
What Invalidates the Bullish Bias
The bullish plan weakens significantly if EURUSD breaks and holds below 1.1820 (Fib 0.618 and demand base). Above 1.2000, upside continuation toward the weak high becomes the higher probability path.






















