BTC capped at 113.2k–115.2k: fade rallies, watch CPI__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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BTC is chopping in the low-110k, capped by a stacked 113.2k–115.2k supply zone, with macro headline risk elevated into CPI.
Momentum: 📉 Range with bearish tilt — upside attempts fail below 113.2k–114k while HTF pressure remains risk-off.
Key levels:
• Resistances (HTF/LTF) : 113.2k–113.4k (LTF/240 PH) · 114.5k–115.3k (HTF/720 PH) · 116.6k (recent high, HTF).
• Supports (HTF) : 111.9k–112.0k (W pivot) · 110.8k (240 PL) · 107.8k (D PL).
Volumes: Normal on HTF; “moderate” upticks on 1H–30m during failed breakouts.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H trend down; 4H–1H mixed with a hard cap at 113.2k–114k; 15m micro-bullish while 111.96k holds. Strong confluence at 113.2k → 115.2k resistance and 111.96k/110.77k/107.8k supports.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL ; Global Risk Regime stays STRONG SELL — confirms the bearish bias and fades micro-rallies.
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Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
As long as 113.2k–115.2k caps price, favor “sell the rip” and only buy on confirmed signals.
Global bias: SELL while below 115.24k; major short invalidation on daily > 116.6k.
Opportunities:
• Tactical short on 113.2k–114.0k rejection toward 112.0k/111.0k; inval. above 115.3k.
• Breakout long only on H1/H4 acceptance > 113.3k (retest holds) toward 114.6k/115.24k; inval. below 111.9k.
• Defensive long on clean reaction at 110.8k or 107.8k if risk blocks improve (≥ NEUTRAL BUY on LTF).
Risk zones / invalidations: Break < 110,77k voids defensive longs (opens 107.8k); H4/D12 close > 115.24k voids range shorts (opens squeeze to 116.6k).
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): CPI next (direct vol around 111k–112k pivot) · Geopolitics (NATO Article 4; Middle East) supports risk-off · US tariff path (SCOTUS) preserves trade-policy uncertainty.
Action plan:
• Fade-rally short : Entry 113.2k–114.0k / Stop 115.3k / TP1 112.0k · TP2 111.0k · TP3 110.8k / R:R ~1.8–2.5.
• Breakout long : Entry > 113.3k (confirmed retest) / Stop 111.9k / TP1 114.6k · TP2 115.24k · TP3 116.6k / R:R ~1.6–2.2.
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
HTFs remain bearish while LTFs attempt extensions under a dense overhead supply.
1D/12H/6H: Downtrend, rallies capped below 113.2k–115.2k; dominant supply, supports layered at 111.96k → 110.77k → 107.8k.
4H/2H/1H: Mixed reads; need a clean close > 113.24k to open 114.6k–115.24k, otherwise frequent fades back to 111.96k.
30m/15m: 30m cautious (STRONG SELL) vs 15m micro-bullish (NEUTRAL BUY); classic pre-catalyst divergence — wait for H1/H4 confirmations.
Confluence/Divergence: Heavy multi-TF supply 113.2k → 115.2k; risk-on equities vs risk-off credit/crypto warns against chasing crypto bounces.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro is mixed (gold ATH, firm oil, US equities buoyed by cut hopes) while geopolitics heats up and CPI looms.
Macro events: CPI imminently (sets risk tone) · NATO Article 4/Middle East tensions (risk premia higher) · US tariff track (SCOTUS) sustains uncertainty.
Bitcoin analysis: 100–1k BTC cohorts accumulating, 1k–10k distributing — potential cap on impulsive upside; ETF flows cooling, consistent with consolidation below 114k–116k.
On-chain data: Activity skewed by inscriptions/runes; sentiment in “fear” (44/100) implies positioning not crowded long.
Expected impact: Range-to-down bias while < 113.3k–115.2k; a benign CPI could trigger a push > 113.3k toward 114.6k/115.24k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
The market stalls under multi-TF supply as key catalysts approach.
- Overall trend: 📉 bearish on HTF; LTFs try but stall below 113.2k–114k.
- Best setup: Fade 113.2k–114.0k into CPI with active management.
- Key macro: CPI and geopolitics drive the global risk regime.
Stay disciplined around the 111.9k–112.0k pivot and let confirmation lead exposure. ⚠️
Community ideas
AMD 3Hour Time frameAMD 3-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: $155.82
Change: +2.91% from the previous close
Market Cap: $252.87 billion
P/E Ratio: Not specified
Beta: 1.89
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $160.00 (recent high)
R2: $165.00 (next resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $150.00 (immediate support)
S2: $145.00 (next support level)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Not specified
MACD: Not specified
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Not specified
50-period SMA: Not specified
200-period SMA: Not specified
📌 Market Sentiment
Recent Catalyst: Positive momentum following recent gains and analyst upgrades.
Sector Performance: Semiconductor sector showing strength, with AMD leading gains among peers.
Options Activity: Significant trading in call options at $160 strike price, indicating bullish sentiment.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $160.00 could lead to a push toward $165.00 and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $150.00 may test support around $145.00.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
AUDUSD-SELL strategy 9 hourly chart Reg ChannelThe pair has benefited from the current GOLD price and direction. Since GOLD is very overbought, and the pair trading near the upper channel of the reg. channel, the chances may be that a correction is overdue in the short-term.
Strategy SELL @ 0.6590-0.6645 and take profit near 0.6475 for now.
BankNifty levels - Sep 11, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
FTSE uptrend resistance at 9285The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9195 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9195 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9285 – initial resistance
9346 – psychological and structural level
9438 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9195 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9133 – minor support
9100 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9195. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
META 1D Time frame Meta Platforms (META) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $765.70
Change: +1.78% from the previous close
Intraday Range: $753.43 – $766.30
Volume: 10,564,233 shares traded
Market Cap: $1.86 trillion
P/E Ratio: 25.95
EPS: $27.56
Beta: 1.42 → higher volatility than the market
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $764.73 (near-term)
R2: $771.51 (next zone)
Support:
S1: $745.67 (immediate)
S2: $738.89 (secondary)
S3: $732.75 (long-term)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 52.41 → neutral, balanced buying and selling
MACD: 1.46 → positive, upward momentum
ADX (14): 14.16 → weak trend strength
Moving Averages:
5-day SMA: $745.11 → Buy
10-day EMA: $748.66 → Buy
50-day SMA: $739.04 → Buy
200-day SMA: $651.23 → Buy
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive momentum and analyst upgrades
Sector Strength: Tech sector strong, with Meta leading gains
AI Investment: Meta plans to invest heavily in AI over the coming years, expected to benefit the broader AI and data infrastructure ecosystem
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above $764.73 could push toward $771.51 and higher
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $745.67 may test support at $738.89
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with momentum positive but near-term resistance to watch
#CGPT/USDT Can Rich $ 0.08677 ?#CGPT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.07555, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.08677
First target: 0.08068
Second target: 0.08317
Third target: 0.08677
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Pay attention to 3655,there will be callback if it doesn't break#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold tested the support level of 3630-3620 and stabilized before rebounding again, which is consistent with my previous judgment that gold must experience a correction if it wants to rise again.📉
In the short term, the market focus is still on the basis points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut to be announced next week. 💻Therefore, before clear data is released, the market is unlikely to experience significant fluctuations.📊
Although gold is currently fluctuating sideways around 3645,⚖️ in the short term, we should pay attention to the hourly moving average, which tends to stick together and move upward. 🌈Therefore, if gold falls back again in the short term to test the support level of 3630-3620 below, we can still consider going long. 🚀
On the upside, the first thing to watch is whether gold can effectively break through 3655. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to continue to test the short-term resistance range of 3665-3680. 📈Conversely, a failure to break above 3655 could lead to consolidation within a range.🐻
CURRENT CONTEXT📌 CURRENT CONTEXT
- Gold price is now moving around 3640–3650, after bouncing strongly from the Demand Zone 3620–3625.
- The uptrend line is still intact, showing that the Higher High – Higher Low structure continues.
- Volume Profile shows VAH 3635 and POC 3629 still provide support below, while the Supply Zone 3668–3670 is the key resistance target.
🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS (FOLLOWING CURRENT PRICE)
🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUY RETEST
Entry: 3635–3637 (previous VAH + trendline + volume support)
SL: Below 3620
TP: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone)
Conditions:
Price pulls back slightly but does not break the trendline
Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar on M15/M30 at VAH zone
Low volume on pullback, strong volume when price bounces
🟢 This is a trend-following scenario, safer according to System X.
🔹 SCENARIO 2 – BUY BREAKOUT
Entry: When H1 candle closes above 3655–3658 with strong breakout volume
SL: Below breakout candle
TP: 3670–3675
Conditions:
Breaks out of the 3645–3655 consolidation zone
Breakout confirmed by high volume (large candle, strong volume)
🟢 For momentum traders, but requires clear confirmation.
🔹 SCENARIO 3 – SELL REACTION (LIMIT AT SUPPLY)
Entry: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone)
SL: Above 3675
TP: 3635–3638
Conditions:
Price quickly touches supply zone without strong breakout volume
Reversal signal appears (Bearish Pin Bar / Engulfing on M15/H1)
RSI overbought / short-term divergence
🔴 A reaction scenario, higher risk, SL must be tight.
🔹 SCENARIO 4 – SELL ON TRENDLINE BREAK
Entry: When price breaks 3620 + uptrend line
SL: Above 3630
TP: 3590 – 3570
Conditions:
Break of uptrend line + H1 candle closes below support
Strong selling volume pushing down
Clear reversal momentum
🔴 Short-term trend reversal scenario, volume needs to be monitored carefully.
GBPJPY POSSIBLE SELL SETUP 📉 GBPJPY – Possible Rejection at 200.200 Resistance
Description:
GBPJPY is currently approaching a key supply/resistance zone around 200.200. Price has shown a break of structure (BOS) earlier, and now it may retest before continuing lower.
Resistance zone: 200.000 – 200.200
Potential entry: Around 200.000 (waiting for confirmation of rejection).
Target zone: 198.200 – 198.500
Stop Loss: Above 200.600
Bias:
I’m bearish on GBPJPY unless the price closes above 200.600.
Risk Note:
⚠️ This is just analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
I share analysis like this regularly. If you find it useful, feel free to follow me here on TradingView for more updates 🙌.
USD/JPY - Targets for next move Hi Traders, what are everyone's thoughts on USD/JPY?
This is my view.. I see price in HTF making Bullish movements reacting of Demand zones. What we have now is a very clear ranging market after price came off the Supply zone. BSL was swept and now we are stuck between a very weak Support and Resistance.
So what I belive will happen next will be due to HTF bullish Demand, I see SSL liquidity that has to be swept before buyers step in to drive the price back up again. Im seeing much stronger rejections from sellers than I am from buyers currently telling me Sellers have more control.
I do have short positions currently active but I will continue to add more positions on this pullback. The highlighted yellow area within the IMB will be my targets.
Good luck traders and please follow and comment if this was helpful
DeGRAM | EURJPY reached the important resistance📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/JPY rejected the resistance line near 173.20 after a false breakout in August, confirming sellers’ defense of the upper boundary.
● The current bearish takeover signals downside risk toward 172.46 support, with a deeper slide possible toward 171.60 if momentum accelerates.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Renewed demand for the yen is supported by rising JGB yields as the BoJ hints at gradual policy normalization, while euro sentiment is capped by softer eurozone PMI data.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 173.20; targets 172.46 → 171.60. Invalidation on a close above 173.50.
-------------------
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I will call this one the "butter knife cut strategy" .
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using the fibonaaci level line.
This is the key to the strategy.Also
look below the MACD is crossed over into
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ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570
>> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Good luck guys!!!
CABLE H1 | Bearish drop off?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracementand could drop from this leve to the donwnside.
Sell entry is at 1.3549, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 1.3590, which is a swinghigh resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3486, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Brief Analysis of US DXYDXY is trading around 97.70, while trending within a descending channel formation, and holding above 97.60 (Fib support 0.236), with resistance seen near 97.80–98.00 zone.
The RSI is rising and holding near 46, showing mild recovery momentum but not yet strong enough for a breakout.
However, prices have taken a support at the middle Bollinger band, which might lift the dollar a little higher.
Price action suggests consolidation inside the descending channel; intraday bias stays neutral-to-bullish above 97.60.
PPI data stronger than expected could lift DXY toward 98.35–98.50, while weaker data may pressure it back toward 97.30.
The 10Y auction outcome will also guide direction — higher yields can support the dollar, while softer demand may weigh on it.
GBP/USDGBP/USD has broken out of a bullish flag pattern on both the 4H and daily timeframes. The pair is in an overall uptrend and has retested the upper channel. If the 4H candle closes bullish above the channel, it could continue its rally toward 1.39550. At the same time, U.S. dollar sentiment is bearish, with the DXY hitting multi-week lows, which further supports a bullish outlook for GBP/USD.
Long - Solana📈 Solana has a decent picture. It is at a local extreme, there is a lot of free space ahead. The price is being squeezed, which means they are accumulating a position. After a strong movement a few days ago, the price was held - ready to push it further.
Fundamentally, the Sol Strategies company is traded on NASDAQ, and funds are starting to take salt into circulation. This is also a sign that big guys are playing with the coin and there will still be liquidity in it.
In the medium term, I assume that ATH will be broken. Observe the risks, profits to everyone!
Gold Hovering Near Record Highs, Can Bullish Momentum Hold?Fundamental perspective
Gold remains anchored near all-time highs, reflecting a landscape where economic uncertainty and global tensions are shaping investor behavior. Data revisions showing slower job growth in the US fuel expectations of looser monetary conditions, bolstering the appeal of non-yielding assets. Traders are now positioning ahead of key inflation releases, which could offer a clearer signal on the Fed's rate path trajectory.
On the geopolitical front, escalating friction in Europe and the Middle East adds an extra layer of support, as market participants seek shelter amid heightened risk. Supply-demand dynamics in bullion markets and shifts in positioning by institutional players suggest that gold's resilience could persist.
In the short term, bullion appears poised to test resistance levels near record peaks, while any easing in risk sentiment or hawkish surprises from central banks may trigger intermittent retracements.
Technical perspective
XAUUSD is testing the 100% Fibonacci Extension and potential resistance at 3680. While the uptrend persists, with prices forming higher swings and holding above the Ichimoku Cloud, a retracement may be possible, following the recent price rally. If XAUUSD breaks the 3680 resistance, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 127.2% Fibonacci Extension at 3820. Conversely, a retracement may prompt a throwback to the bullish fair value gap and support at 3520.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Bullish rise?NZD/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.81917
1st Support: 0.81633
1st Resistance: 0.82550
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