QS V4 ELITE: AMZN Mean-Reversion Alpha DetectedAMZN QuantSignals V4 Swing 2026-01-28
📉 AMZN Swing Trade (1–3 Weeks)
Bias: Speculative Bearish (Mean Reversion)
Reason: Price extended above VWAP after news hype → likely pullback
🎯 Trade Setup
Instrument: AMZN $240 Put
Expiry: Feb 20, 2026
Entry Zone: $7.00 – $7.50
💰 Profit Targets
Target 1: $9.50 (+30%) → take 50%
Target 2: $12.00 (+65%) → runner
🛑 Risk Control
Stop Loss: $5.25 (-30%)
Invalidation: Daily close above $246.00 → exit
Preferred entry on pullback toward $244
Scale 50% at Target 1 → move stop to breakeven
Exit by Feb 13 if $238.20 hasn’t been touched (theta risk)
Community ideas
Could we see a reversal from here?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support, and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7666
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.7599
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.7792
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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SELLER INTO MARKET FOR WHILEI can See sellers interest
After the interest rate decision, the seller is inclined to allow additional time so as to reassess the pricing structure, with the intention of lowering the price marginally and introducing further improvements.
Please note that this is not financial advice
Gold Pulls Back After Impulse – Trend Still IntactQuick Context
Recent geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven flows. Gold has already delivered a strong bullish impulse, and the current move looks like a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Technical Snapshot (H1–H4)
Strong bullish impulse already completed
Current price action = controlled retracement
No bearish CHoCH, no structural breakdown
Market is resetting momentum after expansion
This is typical impulse → retrace → continuation behavior.
Key Levels to Watch
Buy Zone: 5,180 – 5,160
Invalidation: H1 close below 5,120
Upside continuation targets:
5,300
5,360
Extension toward 5,440+
If – Then Logic
If price holds above 5,160 → expect continuation higher
If price sweeps into 5,180–5,160 and reacts → buy-the-dip opportunity
Only if H1 closes below 5,120 → bullish bias weakens
Bottom Line
Gold is not reversing — it is reloading.
Pullbacks are part of trend strength.
Wait for reaction, not confirmation at the highs.
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged. Will gold reach $5600 ?Pero – Daily Trading Plan | XAUUSD
Date: Jan 29, 2026
(Macro Narrative + Multi-Timeframe Technicals + Disciplined Execution)
1️⃣ Market Context – Macro Narrative
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Powell’s tone was neutral and data-dependent.
No policy shock — the decision was fully priced in.
USD failed to stage a meaningful rebound after the meeting.
Gold remains supported by:
Medium-term easing expectations
Safe-haven demand
Strong speculative liquidity
👉 Conclusion:
The medium-term bias for gold remains bullish.
However, following a strong impulsive rally, price is now in a short-term distribution / corrective phase.
2️⃣ Market Structure – Trend Assessment
Primary structure: Higher High – Higher Low (uptrend intact)
Current behavior:
Consolidation below a major supply zone
Post-Fed volatility with liquidity sweeps
No H4/D1 structural breakdown confirmed
👉 No justification for a bearish medium-term bias.
3️⃣ Technical Breakdown – Multi-Timeframe
🔹 Daily (D1)
Clear bullish trend
Price remains above key moving averages
No confirmed reversal signals
🔹 H4
Distribution phase near resistance
Volatility expansion → two-sided liquidity grabs possible
🔹 H1
Repeated rejection from upper supply
Short-term momentum weakening
Suitable environment for:
Buy pullbacks with the trend
Counter-trend sell scalps only
4️⃣ Key Levels – Critical Zones
🔴 Supply / Resistance
5,568 – 5,570
5,590 – 5,600 (major distribution zone)
🔵 Demand / Support
5,480 – 5,500 (high-quality pullback zone)
5,440 – 5,450
5,400 – 5,410 (last structural support)
5️⃣ Trading Bias – Directional Preference
👉 Primary bias: BUY PULLBACK in an uptrend
👉 SELL only as short-term counter-trend scalps
6️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Scenarios
🟢 BUY GOLD 5500 - 5502
↠ Stop Loss 5492
→ Take Profit 1 5512
→ Take Profit 2 5522
🔴 SELL GOLD 5598 - 5600
↠ Stop Loss 5608
→ Take Profit 1 5588
→ Take Profit 2 5578
7️⃣ Execution Rules – Pero Discipline
No emotional trading after Fed events
No SL widening – no averaging
Tight entries (~20 pips) with clear R:R
Strong supply breakout → cancel sell bias
Sideways price action → reduce size, protect capital
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
OGDC – BUY SET-UP | H | 28 JAN 2026 | BY THE CHART ALCHEMIST OGDC – BUY SET-UP | H | 28 JAN 2026 | BY THE CHART ALCHEMIST
• Buy: Rs. 330 – 333
Target Prices:
• TP1 → Rs. 337
• TP2 → Rs. 342
• TP3 → Rs. 346
SL (TF closing): Below Rs. 328
📢 Disclaimer: All trade signals are shared for informational purpose.
Do your own research before taking any position – No claim, No blame
BTC: The Chart Designed to Wreck You (102k Incoming?)This current correction is extremely deceptive. I have re-labeled this chart more than 8 times, and this is arguably one of the trickiest price actions I’ve seen in my trading experience.
I am sharing this strictly for educational purposes only.
Honestly, trading a complex correction like this is reckless. I see people calling "longs" just because the correction is technically an uptrend or because of some EMA signal— Trading the direction of a correction drastically lowers your win rate compared to trading the main trend. This price action is designed to liquidate reckless and inexperienced people—you won't see it coming.
The structure might be shaping up as a Expanding Triangle to complete a W-X-Y correction.
* **W:** Zigzag
* **X:**
* **Y:** Expanding Triangle (Current)
Unlike standard triangles that contract, this structure shows increasing volatility. In these specific "Expanding" setups, the final Wave E often exhibits a blow-off top expanding significantly in price.
Potential Target:
If the "blow-off" play out, we could see a thrust toward **98,000 – 102,000**
Critical Levels & Invalidation:
- Watch **87,777**. If this level breaks, assume Wave D is extending.
* **Invalidation:** If **84,398** is broken, then this entire triangle idea is invalid.
* **C-5 Confirmation:** If the **80,604** is lost, it confirms C-5 is underway.
SHLD: The “Defense Tech” ETFSHLD (Global X Defense Tech ETF) is a thematic equity ETF that holds a concentrated basket of “pure-play” companies tied to defense technology—think advanced military systems, mission-critical hardware, aerospace/defense electronics, and the software stack that increasingly defines modern capabilities.
It uses a modified market-cap weighting approach across a global lineup (often described as ~50 constituents), so you’re not buying a broad industrial ETF—you’re making a focused bet on the intersection of national security, emerging tech adoption, and sustained modernization cycles.
The “technical” angle to keep in mind: SHLD’s performance can be highly path-dependent because it concentrates into a single macro driver set—government budgets, geopolitical risk regimes, and technology spending priorities—so you can see sharper factor swings than you’d expect from diversified defense exposure.
If you’re using it tactically, treat it like a high-conviction satellite position: watch concentration/holdings drift, valuation sensitivity in risk-on vs. risk-off tape, and how the ETF behaves around policy headlines and budget milestones.
I am looking for continuation of momentum after several pullbacks to the 10-EMA. Notice the relatively low ATR at 1.8%, which can help reduce volatility.
USDCAD bearish momentum intact below 1.3680The USDCAD currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 1.3680
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 1.3680):
A failed test and rejection at 1.3680 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
1.3475 – Initial support
1.3440 – Intermediate support
1.3400 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 1.3680):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 1.3680 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
1.3740 – First resistance
1.3770 – Further upside target
Conclusion
USDCAD remains under bearish pressure, with the 1.3680 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favors further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Time & Price Analysis – Educational View📊 Time & Price Analysis – Educational View
Markets move when time and price align.
At current levels, price is respecting a key time-based support zone, indicating buyers are active on dips.
Trade Framework (Educational):
CMP: 25,300
Strategy: Buy on Dips
Target 1: 25,360
Target 2: 25,450
Stop Loss: Below 25,280
🔍 Insight:
As long as price holds above the time-support zone (25,280), the probability favors an upside continuation. A breakdown below this level invalidates the setup.
⚠️ For learning purposes only. Risk management is non-negotiable
Carvana - Wave CWe are analyzing the move starting from November 2025.
The five-wave upward structure has been completed.
We are now in the corrective phase, which we consider a r egular flat.
Waves A and B are already in place, and wave C has started to develop.
Wave C is expected to unfold as an impulse to the downside.
Key targets:
411 - local correction level
387 / 372 - potential reversal zones
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#BTC support and resistance?📊#BTC support and resistance?
🧠From a structural perspective, it's reasonable for us to encounter resistance and pull back near the resistance zone. However, the fact that it fell back before reaching the 90599 resistance level I'm watching indicates that the volatility reaction occurred ahead of schedule. If we continue to rise according to the current structure, then the resistance levels we should pay attention to are around 91888 and 94000.
➡️If we fail to continue the bullish momentum and instead retest the yellow support zone below (85400-87300), then this will be a worthwhile area to consider for going long.
⚠️This week is the FOMC meeting, so rapid fluctuations are reasonable. Please be sure to manage your risk.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Silver continue to reach another record highSilver broke its last record high to briefly reach 120 USD/ounce and retested at the last record high around 116 -118 with expanding EMAs and.. Price is trading near the top of an ascending channel, above short‑term moving averages and around the 161.8% Fibonacci extension area, which is a classic zone for either a breakout acceleration or a swing‑high correction.
If XAGUSD is holding above 112–114 and breaking 118–120 signals continuation toward 125–130 within the rising channel.
Conversely, rejection around 118–120 plus a break below 114 then 110–112 would favor a deeper drop toward 106–108, potentially 100–102 at the channel’s lower boundary.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
WEAKNING DOLLER FEUELS GOLD RALLY UPWARDS TO 5370 LEVELGold is currently trading around the 5290 level, with 5252 acting as key support on the downside. The broader structure remains constructive, and if bullish momentum persists, the 5370 level comes into focus as the next upside area.
Fundamentally, a weakening US dollar, continued central bank buying, and ongoing geopolitical tensions are providing support to the ongoing gold rally. Monitoring price behavior around key levels will be essential for confirmation.
TARGET 5370
ENTRY PINT 5290
SL 5250
A CLEAN BREAKOUT BELOW 5250 LEVEL WILL INVALIDATE THIS SET UP,
USDCHF previous support = new resistance The USDCHF currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 0.7800
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 0.7800):
A failed test and rejection at 0.7800 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
0.7600 – Initial support
0.7550 – Intermediate support
0.7480 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 0.7800):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.7800 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
0.7870 – First resistance
0.7910 – Further upside target
Conclusion
USDCHF remains under bearish pressure, with the 0.7800 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favors further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















