EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D10 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D10 | Y25 |
📊 EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURUSD
Community ideas
#BTCUSDT.P 2H ChartPrice previously bounced off a discounted area of demand and left a freshly printed demand zone on its way up. In addition, it recently got rejected off a minor area of supply and it is consolidating showing no major movements. Price is expected to tap into our demand zone where we have placed our limits aiming to break the previous swing high at $94,185.
Kaspa (KAS): If Buyers Don't Secure This Zone We Are DoomedKAS pulled back into the last support zone we marked, and this is the spot where buyers need to take back dominance. The reaction isn’t strong yet, but the zone is holding, so the long idea still makes sense as long as price stays above it.
For continuation, we need to see buyers reclaim that small resistance above the “ideal entry” zone. That becomes the trigger that confirms the build-up and opens the move toward the major target area. Until that reclaim, we’re just watching how price behaves in this support and whether buyers manage to step back in.
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GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily Head and Shoulder Pattern, Retest of the neckline
Around Psychological Level 2.01500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
BTC: Climbed High, Took a Breather, and Said ‘Let’s Keep Going’BTC 3D Technical Outlook
By SpicyPips
Upon analyzing the 3-day chart, we observe that BTC is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, which has held as dynamic support and resistance multiple times.
After reaching its all-time high of $109,637.53, price retraced into the Golden Zone (Fibonacci 61.8%–50%), a key area where buyers stepped in. BTC has since bounced back within the channel, indicating strength and continuation of the bullish cycle.
The current structure suggests a potential move toward our second target aligned with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension at $125,868.39, as long as the channel remains intact.
Capital protection should always come before profit — let risk management be your trading foundation.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
XAUUSD Set for Surge? Safe-Haven Demand and Fed Cut Bets AlignHey Traders,
In today’s session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,200 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the current correction is bringing price back toward the key 4,200 support–resistance area, which could offer a favorable entry.
Fundamentally, GOLD should continue to benefit from the ongoing weakening of the U.S. Dollar, driven by expectations of a 25bps rate cut. As we head into Wednesday’s FOMC, markets are likely to keep front-running the event, which typically pressures the dollar lower.
Just be cautious—if we see too much front-running, the classic “buy the rumor, sell the fact” reaction could hit once the decision is officially announced.
Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions between Venezuela and the United States are increasing safe-haven demand, which further supports upside for Gold.
Trade safe,
Joe.
The Bear sneak attackIt's possible with everyone waiting for the Fed tomorrow that we sell off today and convince the majority that the fed will save the market Wednesday. Maybe that's true, maybe not. Vix is showing a clear breakout and the next target is likely 20. Gold still looks bullish and probably tests it's high. BTC looks bearish. USoil looks bearish. NAT gas bearish.
USDJPY LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at Both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 154.500
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
FOMC IMPACT ON BTCUSD EXPLAINED, BTCUSD is trading around 92,537, holding steady after recovering from the 82,000 region earlier this month. The broader structure continues to lean bullish, with buyers maintaining control above short-term support.
I’m currently watching two important zones:
Support: 90,200
Resistance: 94,600
How price reacts within this range may help signal the next directional move. If bullish momentum remains intact and market sentiment stays supportive, the upper regions of the structure — including areas toward 97,000 — could come into focus.
With the upcoming FOMC rate decision, market volatility may increase, and traders are closely monitoring how shifting rate-cut expectations influence overall risk appetite.
AUDUSD: resistance rejection🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, AUDUSD has flashed a "Global bullish signal" via a Golden Cross (SMA 50 crossing above SMA 100, SMA 200). The price is currently consolidating above the breakout zone, with a short-term rally projected towards the strong resistance level at 0.6700. The trade setup anticipates a "sell-the-news" reaction or technical rejection at this ceiling, targeting a bearish rotation back towards the support cluster around 0.6615.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Sell Limit at Resistance (approx. 0.6700 – 0.6710)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.6615 (Support)
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the resistance structure (approx. 0.6735)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Gold (XAU/USD) at a CrossroadsGold has been consolidating within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe, following a strong rally from late October. Recent price action has formed a clear range between the previous weekly high and low, with intraday swings narrowing, a classic sign of compression before expansion.
As the market awaits today’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision, the technical and macro setups appear to be converging.
On the 4-hour chart, gold continues to respect a broad upward channel, with a midline that has acted as a pivot zone. Current price action is hovering just above the channel midline and near the previous day high (PDH) and previous week low (PWL) levels, suggesting indecision.
Key Zones to Watch:
Support:
4,164–4,170 – Confluence of prior lows, minor Fibonacci zones
4,134 – Structural swing low; loss of this level could signal a deeper correction
4,040–4,050 – Historical demand zone and previous reaction area
Resistance:
4,246–4,265 – PDH / PWH zone; the top of current range
4,381 – Channel upper bound and extended target if bullish continuation resumes
Price has been trapped between ~4,170 and 4,265, forming a sideways structure or distribution phase. This type of price action often precedes large moves, the question is: which direction?
Macro Context – Fed Expected to Cut, But Tone May Be Hawkish
Today’s FOMC meeting is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut, marking a potential shift from the high-rate regime of the past 18 months. However, market attention is squarely focused on the tone of the Fed’s forward guidance.
Several Fed officials have recently pushed back on aggressive easing expectations, signaling that even if a cut comes now, the path ahead may not be as dovish as markets hope. This sets the stage for what analysts call a “hawkish cut”, a rate reduction delivered with caution, and paired with messaging that suggests further cuts will be gradual or data-dependent.
Implications for gold:
-A hawkish tone may push U.S. yields and the dollar higher, applying pressure on gold
-A dovish surprise (or less hawkish tone) could boost gold, as it benefits from lower yields and a weaker USD
-The outcome could trigger significant short-term volatility, especially as gold is sitting near key technical levels
Bullish Scenario:
Fed cuts + dovish or neutral tone → yields fall, USD weakens
Gold breaks above 4,265 and
Upside targets: 4,320, 4,381, and possibly 4,400+ into early Q1 2026
Bearish Scenario:
Fed cuts, but tone is hawkish → yields rise, USD strengthens
Gold breaks below 4,164, then 4,134
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis
📊 Market Structure (H1)
Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows:
• Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term.
• However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept.
• Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below.
→ The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move.
💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch
🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone
• 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times.
• 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS.
• Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards.
🔸 Support / Buy Zone
• 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated.
• If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting.
🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170
Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up.
BUY Conditions:
• Price touches 4,184–4,170
• Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH
• Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear
Targets:
• TP1: 4,190
• TP2: 4,200
• TP3: 4,215
• TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell)
Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x
If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up:
SELL Conditions:
• Retest 4,243–4,244
• Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH
• Must not close H1 above 4,250
Targets:
• TP1: 4,235
• TP2: 4,225
• TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170
Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout.
3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261
Only activate when:
• Price bounces strongly from OB Buy
• Clear breakout of 4,243 zone
• Structure forms HL → HH
At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243.
• SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
Gold Intraday ViewGold has shown a clear shift in behaviour after an extended downtrend, where price consistently respected lower highs and maintained pressure within the sell zone. The significant break of structure from the lower base marked the first meaningful sign that sellers were losing momentum. Once the market dipped into the buy zone, buyers responded firmly, lifting price with a cleaner series of higher lows, eventually forming a CHoCH that confirmed the shift in short-term control.
Following this transition, price has been attempting to stabilise above the reclaimed support levels, suggesting buyers are beginning to re-establish interest after a lengthy corrective phase. Even though intraday pullbacks remain present, they currently appear corrective rather than impulsive, giving the impression that the market is preparing for a potential continuation higher.
As long as the market holds within or above the identified buy zone, the broader intraday structure remains constructive for buyers. Smaller dips into previous support may simply offer opportunities for renewed buyer participation. With this developing structure, XAUUSD could extend toward the upper region marked on the chart, where the next reaction is likely to take shape. Overall sentiment leans cautiously bullish, supported by stabilising structure, the recent shift in control, and consistent reactions from key demand areas.”
$ZEC Pumps, $BTC Dumps — Classic MoveZcash has dropped nearly 54% from the November 15 analysis, when it was trading around $640. We anticipated the breakdown as it broke its parabolic curve, but despite the pullback, ZEC continues to show relative strength compared to the broader market.
A new proposal to replace its old static fee model with a dynamic system is driving renewed interest. This upgrade arrives alongside increased regulatory attention on privacy.
Developers are rolling out a congestion-fee mechanism, and Grayscale is working to transition its ZEC Trust into an ETF — a shift that could attract more institutional flows. With institutions revisiting privacy tech, the key question is whether ZEC can maintain its edge under growing scrutiny.
Technically, whenever ZEC rallies, BTC tends to dip — almost a perfect inverse correlation at times, and price is now hovering around $430. A push toward $460–$470 looks likely, and if it can defend the $380 zone, a retest of $520–$550 is still on the table. If $380 fails, downside opens toward $350–$330.






















