Gold keeps making new highs; will a sweep wipe out BUY holders??1️⃣ Market Context
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure after a sharp impulsive rally.
The market is currently consolidating just below the intraday high ~5245–5250, suggesting acceptance at higher prices rather than distribution.
This type of pause after an expansion leg typically signals continuation, not reversal.
➡️ Primary bias: Buy pullbacks, not chase highs.
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
Higher Timeframe (H1 / H4 context)
Structure remains Higher High – Higher Low.
No decisive bearish close below key demand levels.
Pullbacks so far are corrective, overlapping, and shallow → bullish character intact.
Intraday (M15 – based on your chart)
Strong impulsive leg from ~5075 → 5250 confirms aggressive buyers.
Current price action forms a tight consolidation / flag under resistance.
No breakdown from value yet → sellers lack follow-through.
RSI:
Holding in bullish territory.
No clear bearish divergence at the highs → momentum not exhausted.
3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Intraday Demand / Buy Zones / Support
5189 – 5185 → first pullback & acceptance zone
5159 – 5155 → deeper correction, strong HTF confluence
5122 – 5118 → last defensive demand (bullish structure invalidation area)
🔴 Resistance
5260 – 5270 → current high / short-term supply
Break & acceptance above → opens continuation leg
4️⃣ Trading Bias
Main idea: Buy the dip within bullish structure
Avoid: Blind shorts at highs
Shorts are allowed only as very short-term scalps if rejection is extremely clean.
5️⃣ Today's Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD 5190 - 5188
↠ Stop Loss 5180
→ Take Profit 1 5200
→ Take Profit 2 5210
🔴 SELL GOLD 5250 - 5252
↠ Stop Loss 5260
→ Take Profit 1 5240
→ Take Profit 2 5230
6️⃣ Trader Mindset
⚡️Psychology, discipline and capital management are the three factors that make victory possible.⚡️
Community ideas
SOL Solana YES For a PUMP Into Early Next WeekHello everyone, please give this idea a boost and follow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, MicroStrategy, Gold & Silver based off Martin Armstrong's Socrates.
I admit that I was getting really bored 😒 but after the GOLD explosion just moments ago and crypto waking up to PUMP, I checked the WEEKLY TIMING ARRAYS and Socrates is no longer calling for a "further decline possible" . We now have January 19th as the WEEKLY TARGET (was a LOW) with the opposite trend into February 2nd (should be a HIGH), which was my original assumption BUT the strong Sunday 25th DUMP really got me all confused. But no more! (apparently).
February 4th seems to be the LIKELY TARGETS for the next HIGH.
Remember the Playbook, as always, when price starts to cross up through the green REVERSALS you SELL 💰
Good luck! and stay safe 🙏🏻
Gold is bound to experience a significant decline soon!Gold experienced its largest single-month increase in history this month. Historical highs have been repeatedly broken!
Due to ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, investors continue to flock to precious metals.
In the long term, gold will certainly rise. However, in the short term, gold will definitely experience a significant correction and decline. The recent gold market has been extremely volatile, but we must remain calm when trading. Maintain a clear head and don't be carried away by the current surge.
I predict this correction will cause many people to lose their entire accounts. Therefore, timely profit-taking is essential. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
There are also interest rate decision results today; do not blindly chase the rising price.
ETH Ethereum YES For a PUMP Into Early Next WeekHello everyone, please give this idea a boost and follow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, MicroStrategy, Gold & Silver based off Martin Armstrong's Socrates.
I admit that I was getting really bored 😒 but after the GOLD explosion just moments ago and crypto waking up to PUMP, I checked the WEEKLY TIMING ARRAYS and Socrates is no longer calling for a "further decline possible" . We now have January 19th as the WEEKLY TARGET (was a LOW) with the opposite trend into February 2nd (should be a HIGH), which was my original assumption BUT the strong Sunday 25th DUMP really got me all confused. But no more! (apparently).
February 4th seems to be the LIKELY TARGETS for the next HIGH.
Remember the Playbook, as always, when price starts to cross up through the green REVERSALS you SELL 💰
Good luck! and stay safe 🙏🏻
NZDJPY: Manipulation Risk – Triangle Break Will DecideNZDJPY: Manipulation Risk Remains High – Triangle Break Will Decide
We are in a very risky position with NZDJPY. The price is rallying. As I explained in my previous analysis, the JPY remains heavily manipulated by the Bank of Japan.
It started with Forex Intervention on Friday and the downward moves were very aggressive.
So far we are in a downward correction and not a bullish trend after the BOJ warned of more intervention.
If the price moves below the Triangle pattern, it could fall further with the bearish scenario as shown in the chart.
If the price moves above the Triangle pattern, we will only be in a larger correction but with a possible bearish base. There is a high risk.
A comment from the BOJ and it could easily push everything down. There is a very high risk in a trade.
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
NZDJPY LONG CONTINUATION NZD/JPY has been making higher highs and higher lows showing a clear uptrend for a number of months.
We can see after last weeks retracement the pair has found support at 91.6 zone - which is also in line with the 100MA on the four hour. This shows a strong level of supports where buyers are ready to re enter the market to push the pair higher hopefully to create its next swing high.
TP1 - 94.017
NZDUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.59945
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.59590
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 0.60382
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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SYM PROBABLY IN WAVE " C or 3 " - LONGThis is in continuation to our ongoing tracking of SYM wave structure.
If our wave count is correct then SYM has either completed its minor abc wave (purple) or its currently in wave c which will most probably take price towards 16 - 16.20 level or even further towards 17.80 level.
Although our long term sentiments our bearish and we look forward to target 11.52 level, we have aggressively taken a small long position already from 14.70 level targeting 16 level.
Now this is more off a gamble trade and I don't suggest small traders to follow this trade setup.
We look forward for a short sell setup from break below of 13.83.
Trade Setup:
Entry level: 14.70
Stop loss: 13.82
Targets:
T1: 16
T2: 17.80
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
WILL GOLD PRINT 5400 THIS WEEK ?Gold Weekly Market Analysis:
Gold is currently trading around 5065, with weekly support near 5003 and resistance around 5092. The broader weekly structure remains bullish, as gold continues to print higher highs and higher lows, reflecting strong underlying momentum.
The ongoing bullish rally is being supported by significant central bank buying, as several countries continue to diversify reserves away from the US dollar toward gold. In addition, geopolitical tensions, including developments around Greenland and Iran, are reinforcing safe-haven demand.
Combined with sustained market momentum, these factors are keeping gold well supported at elevated levels. If the bullish structure remains intact, the 5400 level stands out as an important weekly upside area to watch.
GFI — New ATH Breakout | Pullback OpportunityHello Everyone, Followers,
Same as usual I will share 3 different analysis this week as well and GFI is the first one.
Lets drill down:
📈 GFI has confirmed a strong bullish breakout and printed new all-time highs after breaking its previous resistance.
Price is now extended above the breakout zone, so a healthy pullback toward former resistance would be technically normal and could offer a continuation entry.
This is a classic break-and-retest trend continuation setup.
🔹 Technical Overview
GFI broke above its previous high and entered price discovery mode. The breakout came with strong momentum, confirming long-term trend continuation.
After such an extension, a pullback toward the breakout level is expected and would be structurally healthy.
🔹 Key Levels
Support
47.5 – 48.0 → Previous high / breakout zone
44.8 – 45.0
41.3 – 42.0
Resistance / Targets
50.5 – 52.0 → Extension zone
55+ → Trend projection
🔹 Outlook
Trend remains clearly bullish.
A pullback toward the breakout zone could offer a high-probability continuation setup.
🔹 My Plan
Waiting for pullback toward 47.5 – 48.0
Bullish continuation as long as price holds above breakout
No chasing — only structured entries
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovely Sunday to all and hopefully green trade day for next Week.
#SPX500 #NASDAQ #GFI #XAU
Is Netflix Finding a Bottom or Will the Decline Continue?Hello Everyone, Followers,
Netflix is the second one for today
Lets drill down:
🔍 Technical Overview
Netflix remains in a strong downtrend, trading below all major moving averages. Price recently tested a major horizontal support zone, where buyers stepped in, resulting in a short-term bounce.
Despite the bounce, the overall structure still shows lower highs and lower lows, and trend resistance remains clearly intact.
🔹 Key Levels
Support
81.50 – 82.00 → Previous low
75.00 - 75.50 → Historical low
Resistance / Targets
91.00 - 94.00
100.00 - 102.00
🔮 Outlook
This move currently looks more like a technical reaction than a confirmed trend reversal. For bullish confirmation, NFLX needs to reclaim key Fibonacci levels and break above declining MAs with volume support.
📊 What I Expect
Bullish case: Hold above current support + reclaim 0.382 / 0.5 Fib → potential trend stabilization
Base case: Sideways consolidation near the lows
Bearish case: Loss of support → continuation toward lower demand zones
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovely Sunday to all and hopefully green trade day for next Week.
#SPX500 #NASDAQ #NFLX
SOL 15m LONG TP HIT _ Continuation Timeframe: 15m (SOLUSDT.P)
Trade recap:
SOL respected the intraday support cluster around 125.6–125.1, reclaimed structure, and expanded into the next liquidity area.
Entry idea: reclaim/continuation trigger off 125.6–125.1
Take Profit: 127.60 ✅ (hit)
Key levels:
• Support cluster: 125.6–125.1
• Invalidation: 124.85 (aggressive) / 123.94 (hard invalidation)
• Target / liquidity: 127.6
Execution note (important):
Avoid taking signals during low-visibility / choppy conditions (tight ranges, unclear direction). In those moments, indicators can produce noisy signals. The higher-probability approach is to wait until price chooses a direction, align with your structure/HTF bias, and execute with the trend.
Risk management:
Once momentum expands, protect the position (move to BE or trail below the latest 15m structure) while trend remains intact.
—
🔗 FPZ Lite (free indicator):
If you want more trade recaps and execution plans, follow for updates.
Dollar Index (DXY) Ascending Broadening WedgePrice has already completed wave legs 1–3 within the ascending broadening wedge structure. Current market action suggests DXY is now in a corrective phase, heading toward wave leg 4, with downside pressure expected to extend into the major demand and accumulation zone around $90.
This zone aligns with long-term trendline support and the lower boundary of the wedge, making it a high probability bullish accumulation area rather than a trend reversal region. A strong reaction from this level is expected.
Upon completion of wave 4, the broader structure favors a bullish expansion into wave leg 5, with upside projection targeting the $127 region, as illustrated on the chart.
AUD/USD SELL IDEAWe already have a Head and Shoulders pattern and price rejection (respect) in the resistance zone.
Additionally, the 30-minute candle closed with a full body above the Moving Average.
Tools used:
Moving Average (MA)
Trendline with confirmed breaks
We focus on:
Chart patterns
Trendlines
Moving Average (MA)
Head and Shoulders formations
9 Crucial Tips to Avoid Major Losses in TradingTrading Is Not About Winning — It’s About Survival
In trading, the objective is not to win every trade. The true objective is to stay in the game long enough for your edge to work. The difference between traders who grow consistently and those who eventually wash out rarely comes down to strategy alone. More often, it comes down to one critical skill: the ability to avoid catastrophic losses. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, the following nine principles focus on capital preservation, emotional control, and long-term sustainability.
1. The First Rule: Do Not Lose Everything
The greatest risk in trading is not losing a trade — it is losing your entire account.
Large losses are often unrecoverable:
- Financially
- Emotionally
- Psychologically
Every trader has a personal threshold where losses become mentally destructive. Identifying and respecting that threshold is a core part of risk management.
Trading should be treated as a business, not a shortcut to quick wealth. Longevity always beats short-term excitement.
2. Value Real Market Experience
Experience gained through real exposure to the market is invaluable. This includes:
- Trading through different market conditions
- Learning from past mistakes
- Interacting with experienced traders
Experience helps you:
- Recognize recurring patterns
- Avoid common traps
- Separate genuine market knowledge from unrealistic marketing promises
In a market full of noise, experience acts as a filter.
3. Understand the Mathematics of Recovery
Losses are asymmetric.
- A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to recover
- A 90% loss requires a 900% gain to break even
This mathematical reality makes strict risk control non-negotiable.
Large losses also create psychological damage, leading to hesitation, fear, and inconsistent execution in future trades.
4. Write a Clear Trading Plan
A written trading plan should clearly define:
- Your level of commitment (part-time or full-time)
- Daily, weekly, and monthly loss limits
- Conditions under which trading must be paused or stopped
Discipline is far easier to maintain when rules are visible and predefined, especially in the early stages of trading.
5. Manage the Emotional Impact of Losses
Losses are not just numerical — they carry emotional weight.
A single bad trading day can:
- Cloud judgment
- Increase impulsive behavior
- Damage confidence
Develop systems to manage emotional stress, such as:
- Keeping a trading journal
- Stepping away from the market after losses
- Seeking mentorship or peer feedback
6. Set Hard Rules and Use Platform Safeguards
Do not rely solely on willpower.
Use:
- Hard stop-loss orders
- Maximum position-size limits
- Broker-level risk controls when available
Technical safeguards exist to protect your account during volatile conditions and emotionally driven decisions.
7. Limit Exposure During High-Volatility Periods
Not all trading days are equal.
On days with:
- Major news events
- Unusual volatility
- Emotional instability
Consider limiting capital exposure. Many professional traders keep only enough funds in their trading account to cover four to six days of maximum losses, reducing the risk of catastrophic damage from a single day.
8. Separate Trading Capital from Investment Capital
Trading and investing serve different purposes and should be treated separately.
- Trading is tactical and short-term
- Investing is strategic and long-term
Keeping them in separate accounts ideally with different brokers reduces emotional interference and prevents impulsive decisions under pressure.
9. Scale Position Size Gradually and Responsibly
Begin with the smallest possible position size.
Only increase size after:
- Demonstrating consistent execution
- Achieving stable performance over time
A practical guideline is to increase size only after meeting performance targets consistently over several weeks, not after a single good streak.
For newer traders, automatic stop orders are essential. They protect capital and prevent emotional decision-making during fast market movements.
Final Thoughts
Trading success is not about constant wins or dramatic gains.
It is about:
- Capital preservation
- Emotional discipline
- Consistent execution
Survival is the foundation of profitability.
Those who respect risk, focus on process, and treat trading as a professional skill not a gamble are the ones who last.
BTCUSD H1 — Support Held, Structure Is RebuildingBitcoin has cleanly defended the 87,200–87,500 support zone after a sharp sell-off, printing a sequence of higher lows that signals short-term structural repair. Price is now grinding higher along a rising trendline, but remains below the declining EMA 98, meaning this move is still corrective until proven otherwise. The key near-term test sits at 88,800–89,000 — a local lower-high resistance and dynamic EMA confluence. A confirmed reclaim and hold above this level would open the path toward 89,700 → 91,000, aligning with prior liquidity and range highs. However, failure to hold the rising trendline or a breakdown back below 87,200 would invalidate the bullish recovery and expose downside toward the 86,000 liquidity pocket.
⚠️ This is not a breakout yet. BTC is deciding whether this bounce becomes continuation or just a relief rally.
VRAUSDT: Trend in weekly time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
WTI CrudeVolatility has been moderate with occasional swings tied to macro headlines (e.g., inventory data and geopolitical cues), but no persistent trend acceleration. Range contraction has defined much of the recent sessions.
WTI pricing has been influenced by:
Geopolitical risk repricing, including geopolitical headlines that caused short-term spikes and retracements.
U.S. crude inventory builds and supply concerns, exerting downward pressures at times.
Mixed supply/demand signals and market focus on physical fundamentals ahead of major inventory reports have kept traders cautious.
Over this ten-day window, WTI has failed to sustain a strong directional trend, instead trading within a structurally narrow band. The market remains range-oriented.
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Live trading on AdobeLive trade on Adobe
The primary analysis can be found in the linked post
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Follow me on TradingView for more analyses and live stock trades.
NASDAQ:ADBE
USTEC | Symmetrical Triangle pattern | Wait for BreakoutMacro theme:
- Headlines this Jan are dominated by geopolitical friction, specifically the US-Eurozone trade tensions over Greenland, painting a picture of imminent fragility. However, a rigorous look at the latest data reveals a stark disconnect between news-flow and economic reality.
- While the market frets over potential tariff wars, the fundamental macro backdrop has quietly settled into a "Goldilocks" zone. Despite the alarming rhetoric, the data points to a resumption of steady global GDP growth and continued disinflation in 2026.
- We are witnessing a classic divergence between perceived risk and actual economic health.
. Growth is Robust: Far from a recession, Oxford Economics has actually raised its 2026 US GDP forecast to 2.8%, the top end of the forecaster range, driven by AI-related investment and productivity gains.
. The "Worst-Case" isn't Fatal: Even if the US-Eurozone trade dispute escalates to a full "trade war" (currently a 20% probability), modelling suggests a hit to US GDP of only 0.5%. The economy would remain resilient, with growth at ~2.3%.
- Credit Conditions are Green: The proprietary credit conditions index has turned positive for the first time since late 2021, signaling ample liquidity.
- For asset allocators, retrenching into cash due to headline fear is likely over cautious. The strategy now requires precision, not retreat.
Technical approach:
- USTEC is consolidating within a broader range. The index bounced off EMA78 on retest and closed above EMA21. The index is still in a sideways phase captured by a Symmetrical Triangle pattern, awaiting an apparent breakout to determine the next trend.
- If USTEC breaches above the Symmetrical Triangle and the resistance at 26100, the index may surge to test the 100% Fibonacci Extension at 26620.
- On the contrary, remaining below 26100 may prompt a retreat toward the support at 25150.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness






















