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PHANTORIAN INTELLIGENCE: BUY ZONE ACTIVE STATUSTeam, the data has aligned with our "Max Pain" models. We are now deploying capital based on a High Probability Reversal Setup. 📊 THE DATA CONVERGENCE We are rebuying our holds because the statistical edge is now in our favour: Target Achieved: We projected a potential floor at $84,380. The market respected this level, wicking to $83,355 and bouncing. Sentiment Extremes: Perpetual premiums hit -175, indicating the crowd is aggressively shorting the lows. Historically, this often precedes a squeeze. Relative Strength: While BTC made a new low, key assets like ETH,DOT and STRK showed "Seller Exhaustion" by holding their structure. ⚖️ THE RISK PROFILE (1:10) We are taking this setup because the Asymmetric Reward justifies the risk. The Thesis: The "Flash Crash" liquidation appears statistically complete. The Invalid: A sustained 4-Hour close below $83,000 invalidates this setup. If that happens, we cut immediately. The Reward: If the reversal holds, we capture the swing low before the recovery. ⚔️ OFFICIAL ORDERS: SCALE IN SUMMARY: The risk/reward ratio at these levels signals a Green Light for re-entry. We are buying the fear with defined risk. EXECUTE. 👻
Long
by PHANT0M
2
EUR/AUD Market Analysis: Macro + Structure [MaB]1. The Macro Context (The "Why") 🌍 Hi traders! Before looking at the candles, let's look at the money. My fundamental scoring table speaks clearly: there is a huge differential that we cannot ignore. Key Factor Analysis: 🏦 Rate Expectations: Explanation: The BCE remains neutral at 2.15%, holding for two consecutive meetings, while the RBA maintains a higher rate of 3.6% with a neutral but relatively hawkish stance. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: +1 +4 🎈 Inflation: Explanation: Eurozone inflation is at 1.9%, below the 2% target, creating dovish pressure. Conversely, Australian inflation is high at 3.8%, well above target, maintaining hawkish pressure. Score EUR: -1 Score AUD: +1 +2 📈 Growth/GDP: Explanation: The Eurozone faces concerning stagnation with growth at 0.7%. Australia shows more solid growth at 2.3%, though high inflation makes it sensitive. Score EUR: -1 Score AUD: 0 +2 🏭 PMI Data: Explanation: EUR PMI is mixed (Manufacturing 49.4, Services 51.9). AUD Services PMI saw a significant acceleration (+4.9 to 56.0), indicating strong expansion. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +4 ⚖️ Risk Sentiment: Explanation: EUR is acting as semi-cyclical and neutral, while AUD remains cyclical but currently in a neutral regime with no specific bias. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +2 🗞️ News Catalyst: Explanation: No significant fiscal crisis news for either region; focus remains on the divergent inflation paths and PMI momentum. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +1 Currency Score Summary: Total Score EUR: -1 (Weak) Total Score AUD: +3 (Strong) +2 Synthesis: EUR (Weak, Score -1): Stagnant growth and below-target inflation are weighing on the Euro. AUD (Strong, Score +3): Higher interest rates and accelerating services PMI make the Aussie the clear favorite. Conclusion: With this scenario, we are only looking for Short setups. Going against this bias would be statistical suicide. +3 2. The Technical Setup (The "Where") 📉 Timeframe: 4H | Pair: EUR/AUD The SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator gave us the confirmation we needed for our statistical edge. Here is where the indicator makes the difference. Look at the dashboard on the right, numbers don't lie: 🚀 Continuation Rate (66.7%): We are well above the 60% threshold. This tells us the market is in a healthy, directional trend. Statistically, betting on continuation pays off more than looking for a reversal. 🔥 Streak (4) & Streak Pct (3): We are at the 4th consecutive impulse. It's a mature trend, sitting in the 3rd percentile of extension—watch those stop losses, but as long as the music plays, we dance. 🔄 Retest (79.8%): The indicator tells us that statistically, when price creates a new Break of Structure (BOS), it retraces into the previous zone 79.8% of the time. This gives us high confidence that our entry zone will be reached. 💥 BOS/Ret Rate (57.8%): This parameter tells us that once price retraces inside the previous zone, it has a 57.8% probability of reacting and creating a new BOS. 🎯 Extension Rate (1.66x): The algorithm projects an ambitious target. We expect this move to extend 1.66 times the current pullback leg. That's where we'll take profit. 3. Execution Plan on Chart Moving to the chart, the SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator supports us in pinpointing liquidity to define entry and stop loss: Entry and Stop Loss: We place a limit entry in the Supply Zone 4H (Red Band) at 1.71276 and the stop loss a few pips above the zone at 1.71846. Take Profit: We leverage the asset's statistical analysis offered by the Extension Rate and place the target by measuring with Fibonacci at 1.6x relative to the pullback leg. Trade Parameters: Entry Price: 1.71276 Stop Loss: 1.71846 Take Profit: 1.67569 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.
Short
by MBARRECA
1
Gold Jan 29 Intraday Trade 📊 XAUUSD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN Strategy: SMC + EMA + RSI + MACD + Ichimoku Higher Timeframe Bias: 1H Execution Timeframe: 5m–15m Main Bias: BUY following the bullish trend 🧭 1. Market Structure & Trend (1H) SMC: Clear Higher High – Higher Low structure → bullish continuation. EMA: Price above EMA50 & EMA200, EMA50 trending upward. Ichimoku: Price above the Kumo, Tenkan above Kijun. RSI: Holding above 50, no overbought condition yet. MACD: Positive histogram, MACD above Signal line. ➡️ Conclusion: Bullish bias remains valid. Priority is BUY setups. 🎯 2. TRADE SETUPS WITH TP & SL 🟢 SETUP 1 – BUY PULLBACK (Primary Setup) Entry Zone: 5538 – 5542 (1H Demand + FVG) Confirmation on 5m: Price holds above EMA200. RSI pulls back to 40–50 and bounces. MACD bullish crossover or bullish divergence. Strong bullish confirmation candle. Entry: 5540 Stop Loss: 5532 Take Profit 1: 5550 Take Profit 2: 5560 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 🟢 SETUP 2 – BUY BREAKOUT Trigger Zone: Break & Retest above 5550 Conditions: H1 candle closes above 5550. Successful retest holding above the level. RSI above 55. MACD expanding bullish momentum. Price above Kumo on lower timeframe. Entry: 5552 Stop Loss: 5544 Take Profit 1: 5562 Take Profit 2: 5570 Risk–Reward: ~1:2 🔴 SETUP 3 – SHORT-TERM SELL (Counter-Trend) ⚠️ Only valid with strong confirmation at supply. Entry Zone: 5565 – 5570 (Supply + Liquidity Sweep) Conditions: RSI above 70 with bearish divergence. MACD bearish crossover. Price enters Kumo on 5m. Strong bearish rejection candle. Entry: 5568 Stop Loss: 5576 Take Profit 1: 5555 Take Profit 2: 5545 Risk–Reward: ~1:2 ⏰ 3. Best Trading Sessions London & New York sessions preferred. Avoid trading in the middle of the range without SMC confirmation. 🧠 4. Risk & Trade Management Risk per trade: 1–2% max. Secure partial profits at TP1 and move SL to breakeven. Avoid holding counter-trend trades during high-impact news. 📌 5. Quick Summary Bias: Bullish on 1H. Buy Pullback: 5540 | SL 5532 | TP 5550–5560. Buy Breakout: 5552 | SL 5544 | TP 5562–5570. Short-term Sell: 5568 | SL 5576 | TP 5555–5545.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by AllanNguyen9
4
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Outlook: Rejection at Strong High & MaThis 1-hour chart for BTC/USD highlights a potential bearish continuation following a rejection from a significant supply zone. After a period of consolidation within a descending channel, price action attempted a recovery but failed to sustain momentum above the $88,000 - $90,000 range. Key Technical Observations: • Market Structure: The LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts indicator has identified a "Strong High" near the top of the recent range. We are seeing a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside, followed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. • Supply & Demand: Price is currently reacting to a heavy supply zone (highlighted in red). The aggressive red arrow indicates a projected move toward the lower liquidity pools. • Targets: The primary downside target sits within the yellow demand zone, specifically looking at the $84,000 level where previous support and buy-side liquidity reside. • Trend: The hourly trend remains bearish as long as price stays below the $88,394 resistance level. Summary: The setup suggests a "sell the rip" scenario. Traders should watch for a retest of the immediate BOS level for a potential short entry toward the $84k psychological floor.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marcomr
1
BTC still within range.BTC has confirmed a bearish short-term structure with a lower high followed by a lower low. The break of the rising diagonal signals momentum shifting against bulls. Price is now trading below the high-volume node, suggesting acceptance at lower levels rather than a quick reclaim. This puts pressure on any upside attempts. Key levels Major resistance remains near the prior supply zone, where price was previously rejected. BTC is currently reacting inside a high-demand area, where buyers are expected to defend. Momentum Momentum is showing early bullish divergence from oversold conditions, opening the door for a short-term relief bounce. However, momentum is still in a weak regime, any upside is corrective unless structure flips. Thesis Below resistance, the bias remains bearish continuation. A bounce from demand is possible, but without a reclaim, it’s likely a sell-the-bounce environment. Watching how BTC reacts here will be key.
Long
by Mike-BTD
1
EUR/USD: Multi-Wave Corrective Cycle and Major Support TestThe EUR/USD pair is currently developing a complex corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe. Following a strong rejection from the recent swing highs near 1.20000, the price action is showing a clear shift into a bearish distribution phase. The market is now oscillating within a descending series of peaks, seeking to mitigate imbalances created during the previous impulsive move. Technical Observations: Distribution at Premium: The price has formed a localized "Lower High" structure after failing to sustain momentum above the 1.19872 level. This indicates that institutional sellers are defending the upper boundary of the range. Forecasted Corrective Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path, we anticipate a multi-wave decline. This structure involves several minor internal rallies (relief bounces) that are expected to be sold into, leading the price toward deeper liquidity pools. Key Support Objectives: Primary Target: 1.19000 – This immediate purple demand zone represents a significant structural floor where initial buy-side interest is concentrated. Major Objective: 1.18200 – A deeper extension toward the foundational support block (lower purple box), which marks the base of the primary accumulation phase. Risk Parameters: The bearish outlook for this correction is invalidated if the price produces a decisive 15-minute candle close back above the 1.19900 mark. Such a move would suggest a resumption of the bullish trend toward new highs. Execution Logic: This setup favors a "Sell the Rally" strategy within the corrective phase. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks or engulfing candles—at the peaks of the projected relief bounces before targeting the major demand zones below.
Short
by FX_CAM
2
CHZ/USDT at a Critical Zone — Breakout or Another Rejection?CHZ/USDT on the Weekly (1W) timeframe remains in a long-term downtrend since its 2021 peak. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending channel, an area that historically acts as a key decision zone—either leading to a strong rejection or a valid breakout. While short-term momentum shows signs of recovery, sellers still control the broader market structure. --- Pattern & Technical Structure Descending Channel (Bearish Continuation Pattern) Price has been moving consistently within a downward-sloping channel defined by: Upper resistance (red trendline) → dynamic resistance Lower support (yellow trendline) → major dynamic support As long as price remains inside the channel, the primary trend stays bearish Current price action at the upper channel makes this a high-risk, high-impact decision area --- Key Levels Major Resistance: 0.07500 → minor resistance / initial reaction zone 0.14000 – 0.16600 → mid-term supply zone 0.27500 → major resistance & trend reversal confirmation Major Support: 0.05400 → short-term support 0.03500 → important weekly support 0.01000 → extreme demand zone / lower channel boundary --- Bullish Scenario Price breaks above and closes weekly above the descending channel Breakout supported by increasing volume Upside targets: 0.07500 0.14000 – 0.16600 0.27500 as the main target A valid breakout could mark the end of the bearish structure and the start of a medium-term trend reversal Bullish Confirmation: Weekly close above the red resistance trendline Successful retest of the upper channel as support --- Bearish Scenario Price fails to break the upper channel and forms a clear rejection (long wicks or bearish weekly candle) Selling pressure resumes Downside targets: 0.03500 0.01000 (lower channel) As long as price stays inside the channel, upside moves are considered relief rallies Bearish Confirmation: Strong rejection at dynamic resistance Breakdown below the 0.05400 support level --- Conclusion CHZ/USDT is trading at a critical long-term decision zone on the Weekly timeframe. This area will likely determine whether price: Breaks out → Trend reversal Gets rejected → Continuation of the downtrend Traders are advised to wait for weekly confirmation, as this zone is highly prone to fake breakouts. #CHZ #CHZUSDT #Altcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #DescendingChannel #TrendReversal #CryptoTrading
Long
by CryptoNuclear
1
BTC in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at either of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Money flow momentum is spiked negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band Entry at $83,500 Target is moving average at $89K or upper channel around $93K Set your own stop.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by chancethepug
1
BTC Structural Breakdown: Rejection at $89k Leading to New 2026 This analysis covers the recent price action on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, utilizing Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify key institutional levels. After a failed attempt to hold levels above the $88,000 - $89,000 range, Bitcoin has entered an aggressive bearish expansion phase. Key Technical Insights: • Structural Shift (CHoCH & BOS): The chart displays a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. This confirms that the previous bullish momentum has been invalidated, and sellers are now in control of the medium-term trend. • Strong High vs. Weak Low: Price was rejected from a identified "Strong High" near $88,394. It is now targeting the "Weak Low" located in the yellow demand zone around $83,400 - $84,000, which aligns with fresh 2026 lows recently established below $85,000. • Liquidity & Gaps: The aggressive drop has left behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and unmitigated supply zones (red boxes). The large red arrow suggests a high-probability continuation toward the lower liquidity pool as institutional sell-side pressure remains high. • Current Sentiment: Market sentiment has shifted toward "Caution" as Bitcoin struggles against a strengthening U.S. Dollar and institutional ETF outflows exceeding $160M this week. Summary: The technical outlook is bearish. A recovery would require a sustained daily close back above the $88,000 resistance; otherwise, further downside toward the $81,250 Murray support level is likely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marcomr
1
Gold was bought at 5240, awaiting the interest rate decision. Gold, after surging to 5311, has pulled back and is currently trading at 5256; before today's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, it is expected to consolidate, maintaining a bullish bias with some fluctuations; short-term support is at 5240, strong support at 5230-5220; short-term resistance is at 5260-5270, strong resistance at 5284, a break above this level would target 5296-5311; In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to buy above 5240, any changes will be notified during the trading session; The price of gold once again hit a new historical record today, reaching 5311. However, before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday, market sentiment has turned cautious. Although it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged, the "hawkish hold" stance may still put short-term pressure on the current overheated bullish sentiment, and the pullback in gold prices from the high is related to this. From a technical perspective, there is a divergence in short-term bullish and bearish forces: The consecutive bearish candles on the 1-hour chart reflect a slowdown in upward momentum, and the shooting star pattern on the 4-hour chart further signals a potential stall in the rally. However, in the overall bull market, such technical patterns should be considered as a correction phase in the upward trend, rather than a signal of trend reversal. The trading strategy should continue to follow the trend, treating the price pullback to important support areas as an opportunity to build long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter-33
3
Pandora (PNDORA) - Reversal PlayOMXCOP:PNDORA My Thesis in 4 Bullets: The market fears $112/oz silver costs, but the CFO just confirmed they are >75% hedged for 2026 (likely locked near ~$35/oz).They will also have time to adjust jewelry`s silver to metal ratio. Valuation Dislocation: Pandora trades at ~7.5x P/E while peers like Signet and Richemont trade at ~26x. A simple reversion to 12x doubles the stock. The "India" Call Option: The EU-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is a hidden catalyst. It eliminates tariffs on gems/jewelry, lowering component costs and unlocking the Indian luxury market. Silver Mean Reversion: Commodities are cyclical. If silver drops in H2 2026, today's "headwind" becomes a massive earnings explosion for 2027. DCF Analysis: Professional Models Confirm the Upside Alpha Spread's DCF valuation (updated Jan 24, 2026) shows a Base Case fair value of 1,611.59 DKK, a 237% upside from the current 478.7 DKK price. The model shows the stock is undervalued by 70%. Current Price: 483 DKK DCF Fair Value (Base Case): 1,611.59 DKK | Upside: +234% Conservative Target (12x P/E): ~850 DKK | Upside: +76% Even if you haircut the DCF model by 50% to account for the current crisis, fair value is 800 DKK, still 66% upside from here. My Trade: I'm entering with 1/3 position at 483 DKK today (along side Blackrock). I'll add more if Feb 5th guidance scares weak hands down to 450-400 DKK. My target is 850 DKK by Dec 2026. All thoughts are appreciated! Best.
OMXCOP:PNDORALong
by Kid_poker
2
Gold Session: Spot Price Hits $5,310.99 Amid Bullish MomentumGold (GC) futures for the U.S. dollar pair saw active trading, opening at $5,283.61 and reaching a high of $5,312.16 before settling at $5,310.99—up 0.52% (+27.39). The session displayed firm bullish sentiment, with price action holding above key support levels. Current quotes show a sell price of $5,511.50 and a buy price of $5,512.17. The depth of market indicates strong buying interest around $5,480–$5,500, while resistance appears near the $5,560–$5,620 zone. This upward movement suggests continued investor confidence in gold amid broader market conditions, with traders closely watching for a potential test of the $5,600 resistance level in upcoming sessions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AbsoluteLiberation
1
Gold breaks $5593! Geopolitical risks and Fed's next moveGold finally broke $5593 this morning! I am a Japanese hobby trader living in Chiang Rai, Thailand. I am very surprised by this move. Fed kept rates 3.50-3.75% yesterday. Powell said wait for more data, but the market eyes a June cut. The biggest driver is Middle East tension. Everyone is buying gold for a safe haven. If tonight's US GDP is weak, Gold will break $5600 and head to $6000 very fast. I use my Gold Analytica tool for my analysis. Sentiment is still very bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChiangRai_Jap_Trader
1
It’s Consolidating Strength for the Next DecisionHello traders, Gold remains firmly embedded within a well-defined ascending channel, with price currently trading near five thousand two hundred eighty after a sharp impulsive advance. The recent expansion leg was clean and directional, signaling strong initiative buying rather than short-term speculation. Importantly, price has stayed above the rising channel support, preserving the broader bullish structure. The highlighted demand zone near five thousand continues to act as the technical anchor of this move. Previous reactions from this area were swift and constructive, reinforcing the view that pullbacks into this zone are structural retests, not signs of distribution. As long as price remains above this demand, downside movement should be viewed as corrective consolidation rather than trend failure. From a structural perspective, the path of least resistance still points higher. However, the market is entering a phase where tempo matters more than direction. Rather than pushing vertically into new highs, price is more likely to rotate within the channel, allowing momentum to reset before the next attempt toward the all-time high region near five thousand four hundred. This behavior would align with healthy trend mechanics, not exhaustion. Invalidation remains clear and objective. A sustained break below the demand zone and channel support would challenge the current bullish bias and force a reassessment of the broader structure. Until that occurs, the trend remains supported and intact. Gold is not in a rush it is positioning. Let structure lead, and let price confirm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
6
ADAUSDT - A QUICK SELL SET UP - 29-01-2026ADAUSDT - G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only ADAUSDT - still kinda on the "move" and continue DOWN... Who did enter this trade earlier congratulations! Who missed it... See you next time! ;) Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;) I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money... ;) Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $... PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it.
Short
by G-money2022
1
Gold Reaches 5600, Short-Term Correction Risk📊 Market Overview: Gold is trading around the 5,540 – 5,550 USD/oz area, remaining at very high levels after the recent strong rally. The main drivers come from safe-haven demand, rising economic uncertainty, and expectations that the Fed will maintain a cautious monetary policy stance. However, after such a rapid rise and as prices approach short-term highs, profit-taking pressure is emerging, leading to choppy price action. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: • 5,575 – 5,585 • 5,620 – 5,650 • Nearest Support: • 5,500 – 5,485 • 5,440 – 5,420 • EMA: Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bullish trend. However, the widening distance from the EMA suggests an increasing risk of technical correction. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Short-term candles show small bodies with long upper wicks around the 5,560–5,580 zone, signaling weakening buying pressure. Volume is no longer expanding as strongly as during the breakout phase, while momentum is slowing → the market is likely to consolidate or correct slightly before choosing the next direction. 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break decisively above 5,580, while the bullish trend will only be reinforced if price holds firmly above the 5,500 support zone. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 5,619 – 5,622 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 5,625.5 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 5,502 – 5,499 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 5,495.5
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
3