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THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. A quick FOMC Report today due to the increased volatility in the markets and the move we wanted already having been achieved. We have the lower support level here at 5306 level which needs to break to go lower, while the resistance above is sitting at 5335-40 which in our opinion needs to break to go higher. We’ve added the hot spots and we’ll publish the red box targets and algo targets, however, we will say this, these are risky markets and although price is moving without pull backs, they’re going to want you in high before they make that correction. Sentiment doesn’t seem to be there yet with the confidence in the move lacking, so one way to do that is to drop the price, and get those buyers in at every support level. Caution is needed, let them move the price, once it settles, the structure will form for the trade to present itself. RED BOXES: Break above 5410 for 5415, 5420 and 5434 in extension of the move Break below 5379 for 5370, 5358, 5350 and 5427 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
BA – Daily Technical AnalysisBoeing is testing a major long-term descending trendline, acting as a strong supply zone. Price is reacting right at this resistance, making this a critical decision area. Technical Structure • Overall structure: Wide range with descending ceiling • Price at dynamic resistance • Moving average is flattening → momentum slowing • Initial rejection visible Key Levels • Major Resistance: 242 – 246 • Breakout Targets: 260 → 280 • Near Support: 228 – 230 • Key Support: 215 • Lower Support: 200 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) If: • Daily close above 246 • Successful retest of the trendline ➡️ Confirms a long-term breakout. Upside Targets: 260 → 280 → 300 Bearish Scenario (Rejection) If: • Price fails to hold above resistance • Loses the moving average ➡️ A corrective move is likely. Downside Targets: 230 → 215 → 200 Final Takeaway BA is at a make-or-break level. This is either the start of a multi-month breakout, or another rejection into range.
NYSE:BALong
by isahebdadi
1
Selena | USDJPY – 4H – Bullish Structure Under CorrectionFX:USDJPY The recent drop represents a liquidity-driven correction rather than confirmed trend reversal. Price is now testing a critical support zone aligned with previous demand and the lower boundary of the broader structure. Holding this region keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Sustained support above 151.00–150.60 may trigger a corrective bounce 🎯 Target 1: 154.00 🎯 Target 2: 156.50 🎯 Target 3: 159.00–160.00 (HTF Liquidity) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation) → Acceptance below 150.00 would weaken bullish structure and open deeper downside. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 154.00 – 157.50 Support 🟢: 151.00 – 150.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
2
EUR/AUD Market Analysis: Macro + Structure [MaB]1. The Macro Context (The "Why") 🌍 Hi traders! Before looking at the candles, let's look at the money. My fundamental scoring table speaks clearly: there is a huge differential that we cannot ignore. Key Factor Analysis: 🏦 Rate Expectations: Explanation: The BCE remains neutral at 2.15%, holding for two consecutive meetings, while the RBA maintains a higher rate of 3.6% with a neutral but relatively hawkish stance. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: +1 +4 🎈 Inflation: Explanation: Eurozone inflation is at 1.9%, below the 2% target, creating dovish pressure. Conversely, Australian inflation is high at 3.8%, well above target, maintaining hawkish pressure. Score EUR: -1 Score AUD: +1 +2 📈 Growth/GDP: Explanation: The Eurozone faces concerning stagnation with growth at 0.7%. Australia shows more solid growth at 2.3%, though high inflation makes it sensitive. Score EUR: -1 Score AUD: 0 +2 🏭 PMI Data: Explanation: EUR PMI is mixed (Manufacturing 49.4, Services 51.9). AUD Services PMI saw a significant acceleration (+4.9 to 56.0), indicating strong expansion. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +4 ⚖️ Risk Sentiment: Explanation: EUR is acting as semi-cyclical and neutral, while AUD remains cyclical but currently in a neutral regime with no specific bias. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +2 🗞️ News Catalyst: Explanation: No significant fiscal crisis news for either region; focus remains on the divergent inflation paths and PMI momentum. Score EUR: 0 Score AUD: 0 +1 Currency Score Summary: Total Score EUR: -1 (Weak) Total Score AUD: +3 (Strong) +2 Synthesis: EUR (Weak, Score -1): Stagnant growth and below-target inflation are weighing on the Euro. AUD (Strong, Score +3): Higher interest rates and accelerating services PMI make the Aussie the clear favorite. Conclusion: With this scenario, we are only looking for Short setups. Going against this bias would be statistical suicide. +3 2. The Technical Setup (The "Where") 📉 Timeframe: 4H | Pair: EUR/AUD The SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator gave us the confirmation we needed for our statistical edge. Here is where the indicator makes the difference. Look at the dashboard on the right, numbers don't lie: 🚀 Continuation Rate (66.7%): We are well above the 60% threshold. This tells us the market is in a healthy, directional trend. Statistically, betting on continuation pays off more than looking for a reversal. 🔥 Streak (4) & Streak Pct (3): We are at the 4th consecutive impulse. It's a mature trend, sitting in the 3rd percentile of extension—watch those stop losses, but as long as the music plays, we dance. 🔄 Retest (79.8%): The indicator tells us that statistically, when price creates a new Break of Structure (BOS), it retraces into the previous zone 79.8% of the time. This gives us high confidence that our entry zone will be reached. 💥 BOS/Ret Rate (57.8%): This parameter tells us that once price retraces inside the previous zone, it has a 57.8% probability of reacting and creating a new BOS. 🎯 Extension Rate (1.66x): The algorithm projects an ambitious target. We expect this move to extend 1.66 times the current pullback leg. That's where we'll take profit. 3. Execution Plan on Chart Moving to the chart, the SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator supports us in pinpointing liquidity to define entry and stop loss: Entry and Stop Loss: We place a limit entry in the Supply Zone 4H (Red Band) at 1.71276 and the stop loss a few pips above the zone at 1.71846. Take Profit: We leverage the asset's statistical analysis offered by the Extension Rate and place the target by measuring with Fibonacci at 1.6x relative to the pullback leg. Trade Parameters: Entry Price: 1.71276 Stop Loss: 1.71846 Take Profit: 1.67569 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.
Short
by MBARRECA
1
DeGRAM | EURGBP is forming a double bottom📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/GBP is rebounding from a well-defined support area near 0.8650–0.8600, where price respected the rising support line and formed a base after a descending correction. ● The latest triangle consolidation broke upward, suggesting a corrective bullish phase toward the descending resistance line around 0.8690–0.8720. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Persistent UK economic uncertainty and softer growth outlook contrast with relatively stable Eurozone data, supporting medium-term EUR resilience against GBP. ✨ Summary ● Price is holding above key support. ● A medium-term recovery toward 0.8690–0.8720 is favored while 0.8600 holds. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
Gold Jan 29 Intraday Trade 📊 XAUUSD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN Strategy: SMC + EMA + RSI + MACD + Ichimoku Higher Timeframe Bias: 1H Execution Timeframe: 5m–15m Main Bias: BUY following the bullish trend 🧭 1. Market Structure & Trend (1H) SMC: Clear Higher High – Higher Low structure → bullish continuation. EMA: Price above EMA50 & EMA200, EMA50 trending upward. Ichimoku: Price above the Kumo, Tenkan above Kijun. RSI: Holding above 50, no overbought condition yet. MACD: Positive histogram, MACD above Signal line. ➡️ Conclusion: Bullish bias remains valid. Priority is BUY setups. 🎯 2. TRADE SETUPS WITH TP & SL 🟢 SETUP 1 – BUY PULLBACK (Primary Setup) Entry Zone: 5538 – 5542 (1H Demand + FVG) Confirmation on 5m: Price holds above EMA200. RSI pulls back to 40–50 and bounces. MACD bullish crossover or bullish divergence. Strong bullish confirmation candle. Entry: 5540 Stop Loss: 5532 Take Profit 1: 5550 Take Profit 2: 5560 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 🟢 SETUP 2 – BUY BREAKOUT Trigger Zone: Break & Retest above 5550 Conditions: H1 candle closes above 5550. Successful retest holding above the level. RSI above 55. MACD expanding bullish momentum. Price above Kumo on lower timeframe. Entry: 5552 Stop Loss: 5544 Take Profit 1: 5562 Take Profit 2: 5570 Risk–Reward: ~1:2 🔴 SETUP 3 – SHORT-TERM SELL (Counter-Trend) ⚠️ Only valid with strong confirmation at supply. Entry Zone: 5565 – 5570 (Supply + Liquidity Sweep) Conditions: RSI above 70 with bearish divergence. MACD bearish crossover. Price enters Kumo on 5m. Strong bearish rejection candle. Entry: 5568 Stop Loss: 5576 Take Profit 1: 5555 Take Profit 2: 5545 Risk–Reward: ~1:2 ⏰ 3. Best Trading Sessions London & New York sessions preferred. Avoid trading in the middle of the range without SMC confirmation. 🧠 4. Risk & Trade Management Risk per trade: 1–2% max. Secure partial profits at TP1 and move SL to breakeven. Avoid holding counter-trend trades during high-impact news. 📌 5. Quick Summary Bias: Bullish on 1H. Buy Pullback: 5540 | SL 5532 | TP 5550–5560. Buy Breakout: 5552 | SL 5544 | TP 5562–5570. Short-term Sell: 5568 | SL 5576 | TP 5555–5545.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by AllanNguyen9
4
Still I believe on thisNo matter what till we don’t find a support on the daily and weekly timeframe above, 100-102 k I still remain bearish because I find more weakness in the price action than the bullish sign I have talked about this potential head and shoulder pattern since long time ago and what we can see here look like it’s really happening. So be careful guys unless we can take over the support above 102K and from there we can analyze the market one more time be Patient and trade smart guys. Best of luck be preferable.
Short
by Crypto_Rich_Bangkok
2
Why Gold Respects Supply and Demand ZonesA Complete Price Action Guide for XAUUSD Traders Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most technically respected markets in the financial world. Unlike many instruments that behave erratically, gold consistently reacts to supply and demand zones, making it ideal for price action and institutional trading strategies. What Are Supply and Demand Zones? Supply and demand zones are areas on the chart where large orders from institutions (banks, hedge funds, central banks) are placed. Supply Zone: Area where strong selling pressure enters the market Demand Zone: Area where aggressive buying absorbs selling pressure These zones represent imbalances between buyers and sellers, not random lines.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by XAU_CAPITAL
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Outlook: Rejection at Strong High & MaThis 1-hour chart for BTC/USD highlights a potential bearish continuation following a rejection from a significant supply zone. After a period of consolidation within a descending channel, price action attempted a recovery but failed to sustain momentum above the $88,000 - $90,000 range. Key Technical Observations: • Market Structure: The LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts indicator has identified a "Strong High" near the top of the recent range. We are seeing a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside, followed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. • Supply & Demand: Price is currently reacting to a heavy supply zone (highlighted in red). The aggressive red arrow indicates a projected move toward the lower liquidity pools. • Targets: The primary downside target sits within the yellow demand zone, specifically looking at the $84,000 level where previous support and buy-side liquidity reside. • Trend: The hourly trend remains bearish as long as price stays below the $88,394 resistance level. Summary: The setup suggests a "sell the rip" scenario. Traders should watch for a retest of the immediate BOS level for a potential short entry toward the $84k psychological floor.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marcomr
1
EUR/USD: Multi-Wave Corrective Cycle and Major Support TestThe EUR/USD pair is currently developing a complex corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe. Following a strong rejection from the recent swing highs near 1.20000, the price action is showing a clear shift into a bearish distribution phase. The market is now oscillating within a descending series of peaks, seeking to mitigate imbalances created during the previous impulsive move. Technical Observations: Distribution at Premium: The price has formed a localized "Lower High" structure after failing to sustain momentum above the 1.19872 level. This indicates that institutional sellers are defending the upper boundary of the range. Forecasted Corrective Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path, we anticipate a multi-wave decline. This structure involves several minor internal rallies (relief bounces) that are expected to be sold into, leading the price toward deeper liquidity pools. Key Support Objectives: Primary Target: 1.19000 – This immediate purple demand zone represents a significant structural floor where initial buy-side interest is concentrated. Major Objective: 1.18200 – A deeper extension toward the foundational support block (lower purple box), which marks the base of the primary accumulation phase. Risk Parameters: The bearish outlook for this correction is invalidated if the price produces a decisive 15-minute candle close back above the 1.19900 mark. Such a move would suggest a resumption of the bullish trend toward new highs. Execution Logic: This setup favors a "Sell the Rally" strategy within the corrective phase. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks or engulfing candles—at the peaks of the projected relief bounces before targeting the major demand zones below.
Short
by FX_CAM
1
EUR/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Downside Targets AheadEUR/USD is showing clear signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish move. Price has reached a key resistance zone near the top, where multiple rejections are visible, indicating strong selling pressure. The break below the rising trendline suggests a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. Volatility is increasing, and buyers are struggling to maintain control above resistance. The overall structure now favors a corrective move to the downside as sellers step in aggressively. If price continues to trade below resistance, further downside is likely. The first bearish target is 1.19094, where minor support is expected. A continuation move can push price toward the second target at 1.18456. If selling momentum remains strong, the final target lies near 1.17732, aligning with previous support and demand areas. Risk management is essential in current conditions. If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
Short
by Dynamic_Trade_Strategies
1
CHZ/USDT at a Critical Zone — Breakout or Another Rejection?CHZ/USDT on the Weekly (1W) timeframe remains in a long-term downtrend since its 2021 peak. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending channel, an area that historically acts as a key decision zone—either leading to a strong rejection or a valid breakout. While short-term momentum shows signs of recovery, sellers still control the broader market structure. --- Pattern & Technical Structure Descending Channel (Bearish Continuation Pattern) Price has been moving consistently within a downward-sloping channel defined by: Upper resistance (red trendline) → dynamic resistance Lower support (yellow trendline) → major dynamic support As long as price remains inside the channel, the primary trend stays bearish Current price action at the upper channel makes this a high-risk, high-impact decision area --- Key Levels Major Resistance: 0.07500 → minor resistance / initial reaction zone 0.14000 – 0.16600 → mid-term supply zone 0.27500 → major resistance & trend reversal confirmation Major Support: 0.05400 → short-term support 0.03500 → important weekly support 0.01000 → extreme demand zone / lower channel boundary --- Bullish Scenario Price breaks above and closes weekly above the descending channel Breakout supported by increasing volume Upside targets: 0.07500 0.14000 – 0.16600 0.27500 as the main target A valid breakout could mark the end of the bearish structure and the start of a medium-term trend reversal Bullish Confirmation: Weekly close above the red resistance trendline Successful retest of the upper channel as support --- Bearish Scenario Price fails to break the upper channel and forms a clear rejection (long wicks or bearish weekly candle) Selling pressure resumes Downside targets: 0.03500 0.01000 (lower channel) As long as price stays inside the channel, upside moves are considered relief rallies Bearish Confirmation: Strong rejection at dynamic resistance Breakdown below the 0.05400 support level --- Conclusion CHZ/USDT is trading at a critical long-term decision zone on the Weekly timeframe. This area will likely determine whether price: Breaks out → Trend reversal Gets rejected → Continuation of the downtrend Traders are advised to wait for weekly confirmation, as this zone is highly prone to fake breakouts. #CHZ #CHZUSDT #Altcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #DescendingChannel #TrendReversal #CryptoTrading
Long
by CryptoNuclear
1
PHANTORIAN INTELLIGENCE: BUY ZONE ACTIVE STATUSTeam, the data has aligned with our "Max Pain" models. We are now deploying capital based on a High Probability Reversal Setup. 📊 THE DATA CONVERGENCE We are rebuying our holds because the statistical edge is now in our favour: Target Achieved: We projected a potential floor at $84,380. The market respected this level, wicking to $83,355 and bouncing. Sentiment Extremes: Perpetual premiums hit -175, indicating the crowd is aggressively shorting the lows. Historically, this often precedes a squeeze. Relative Strength: While BTC made a new low, key assets like ETH,DOT and STRK showed "Seller Exhaustion" by holding their structure. ⚖️ THE RISK PROFILE (1:10) We are taking this setup because the Asymmetric Reward justifies the risk. The Thesis: The "Flash Crash" liquidation appears statistically complete. The Invalid: A sustained 4-Hour close below $83,000 invalidates this setup. If that happens, we cut immediately. The Reward: If the reversal holds, we capture the swing low before the recovery. ⚔️ OFFICIAL ORDERS: SCALE IN SUMMARY: The risk/reward ratio at these levels signals a Green Light for re-entry. We are buying the fear with defined risk. EXECUTE. 👻
Long
by PHANT0M
2
BTC Structural Breakdown: Rejection at $89k Leading to New 2026 This analysis covers the recent price action on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, utilizing Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify key institutional levels. After a failed attempt to hold levels above the $88,000 - $89,000 range, Bitcoin has entered an aggressive bearish expansion phase. Key Technical Insights: • Structural Shift (CHoCH & BOS): The chart displays a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. This confirms that the previous bullish momentum has been invalidated, and sellers are now in control of the medium-term trend. • Strong High vs. Weak Low: Price was rejected from a identified "Strong High" near $88,394. It is now targeting the "Weak Low" located in the yellow demand zone around $83,400 - $84,000, which aligns with fresh 2026 lows recently established below $85,000. • Liquidity & Gaps: The aggressive drop has left behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and unmitigated supply zones (red boxes). The large red arrow suggests a high-probability continuation toward the lower liquidity pool as institutional sell-side pressure remains high. • Current Sentiment: Market sentiment has shifted toward "Caution" as Bitcoin struggles against a strengthening U.S. Dollar and institutional ETF outflows exceeding $160M this week. Summary: The technical outlook is bearish. A recovery would require a sustained daily close back above the $88,000 resistance; otherwise, further downside toward the $81,250 Murray support level is likely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marcomr
1
BTC still within range.BTC has confirmed a bearish short-term structure with a lower high followed by a lower low. The break of the rising diagonal signals momentum shifting against bulls. Price is now trading below the high-volume node, suggesting acceptance at lower levels rather than a quick reclaim. This puts pressure on any upside attempts. Key levels Major resistance remains near the prior supply zone, where price was previously rejected. BTC is currently reacting inside a high-demand area, where buyers are expected to defend. Momentum Momentum is showing early bullish divergence from oversold conditions, opening the door for a short-term relief bounce. However, momentum is still in a weak regime, any upside is corrective unless structure flips. Thesis Below resistance, the bias remains bearish continuation. A bounce from demand is possible, but without a reclaim, it’s likely a sell-the-bounce environment. Watching how BTC reacts here will be key.
Long
by Mike-BTD
1
Gold Price Outlook – Bullish Bias Above 5110Gold Currently, price action is consolidating within a narrow range between 5050 and 5100, signalling indecision while the market waits for a breakout. Gold remains supported by strong safe-haven demand, driven by rising geopolitical tensions, border conflicts, and broader global uncertainty. Although prices briefly slipped toward the 5000 level, this zone continues to act as a key base, helping gold maintain its bullish structure. Key Technical Levels • Resistance: 5115 – 5140 • Intraday Range: 5050 – 5100 • Support: 5010 (major), 5000 (psychological) If price breaks and holds above 5110, gold could extend higher toward 5115–5140, potentially printing fresh record highs fallow the current situation If price fails to clear 5110 and instead breaks below the range, downside pressure may increase, with a likely move toward 5010 support. You may find more details in the Chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for Supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MR_GOLD_12
34