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DXY has bottomed and is starting a massive 2-year rallyThe U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. This is not the first time we use this pattern to identify key macro trend shifts, in fact we revisited it 2 months ago, calling for 'a final pull-back before a massive rally'. Well the time for this rally is here as yesterday it completed a -13.35% decline from the January 2025 High a year ago. That decline was technically the Bearish Leg of this pattern's correction phase (red Channel). This is part of its incredible symmetry, with similar correction phases throughout this time period followed by bullish phases, that eventually lead to price rallies to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. All conditions for the new Bull Cycle (Bullish Leg) have been fulfilled. Along with the price being at the bottom of the Channel Up, with the -13.35% decline being a benchmark correction historically, we are also past a 1W Death Cross, which has always been a bottom signal on this multi-year Channel Up. This has always happened at the end of the Bear Cycles (red correction phase) with the Arc pattern making a multi-week Double Bottom before the decisive rebound the breaks above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). That break-out is the confirmation of the Bull Cycle start (Bullish Leg). With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern, we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively in the long-term, targeting the 120.000 - 128.000 Zone on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext, which has been where the previous Higher Highs (Cycle Tops) were priced. 125.000 is a fair Target within a 2-year time-frame. Notice also that a solid peak indicator (Sell signal) is when the 1M RSI hits 80.00, indicating that the market is massively overbought (overheated trend). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
1
Weak USD, EURUSD Ready to Push HigherIn the short term, the US dollar is lacking strong bullish momentum as markets move into a wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed , while recent US economic data has failed to trigger fresh USD buying. As a result, USD weakness remains largely technical in nature, indirectly allowing EURUSD to maintain its upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the market structure is clearly bullish , with higher highs and higher lows firmly in place. The ascending trendline continues to be respected, and each pullback is quickly met with strong buying interest, confirming that c apital is still flowing on the BUY side. At the moment, the 1.1850 level is acting as a key short-term support. Price consolidating above this zone suggests the market is pausing to build strength rather than distributing. If bullish momentum holds, the next upside target for EURUSD lies around 1.1930, where a higher-timeframe H4 resistance is located. Combining both fundamental and technical factors, EURUSD shows no clear signs of reversal at this stage. In this environment, the most logical approach remains trading in the direction of the uptrend, looking for buy-on-dip opportunities and avoiding counter-trend SELL positions as long as the bullish structure stays intact.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
14
GOLD UPDATED: FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS – $5,131 Hit, NEXT?hey everyone — quick update on the GOLD Grand Supercycle Chart ( 2026 edition ). We've been riding this beast hard, and it's delivering exactly as mapped. We smashed through that first big fib target at $5,131 ( nailed it perfectly today ), printed a fresh all-time high around $5,190 on the 3W, and now... yeah, we're seeing the classic pullback kicking in. This looks like the transition from the end of the 3rd minor wave into the 4th — a healthy, needed breather before the final 5th leg of this minor cycle. Short-term roadmap right now: Expecting a correction down toward the $3,600–$3,500 zone (marked in red on the chart as that 3-to-4 wave dip). Could be sharp, could grind, but it's the shake-out most people miss or panic-sell. Support clusters there line up with prior structure, fib retraces, and the longer-term channel floor. Once that 4th wave bottoms, boom — 3rd wave of the minor cycle fires up, targeting ~$9,419 ( 3.618% extension cluster — clean alignment). After that? The chart tells the rest of the story: Micro 4th wave correction (probably multi-month, classic profit-taking / "gold is done again" vibes). Then Micro 5th pushes the envelope higher potentially topping near $22,744 (3.618%) , feeding into the Macro Wave 3 climax. Bigger picture stays unchanged: Macro Wave 3 potentially topping near $22,744 (3.618%), then deep Wave 4 shakeout, followed by the monster Wave 5 blow-off into $78,940+ (or way higher in full fiat-reset chaos — $100k–$250k not off the table if trust fully evaporates). This isn't hype — it's the same Elliott + fib + PA structure that's respected every major turn since the '70s. We're deep in the "price discovery" phase of Macro Wave 3, where third waves get parabolic and make doubters look silly. Smart money's been accumulating for years; now retail's piling in, central banks keep buying physical, and the fiat narrative keeps cracking. Dips like the one coming are the last real gifts before the next leg rips. Plan: Watch for confirmation of the $3,500–$3,600 bottom (higher lows, volume dry-up, reversal candles). Scale in on weakness if you're positioned — this correction is setup for the next impulse. Don't fight the trend; third waves extend, corrections get ugly but end. Stay sharp, manage risk, and let's see if we print $9k+ sooner than most think. Drop your thoughts below — you calling this dip to $3,500 or shallower? Positions? What a time to be watching gold... the system's hedge is waking up for real. Disclaimer: Not financial advice — just sharing the chart structure and my read. Do your own homework, trade your plan.
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
4
Gold, risks are looming!The current gold market is booming, surging forward with overwhelming momentum. After opening with a gap on Monday, it quickly filled the gap, touching a low of around 4989 before resuming its upward trend. Last night, it rapidly broke through the resistance level of 5110 and surpassed the 5200 mark, currently reaching a high of 5247. The price movement in the short term is dazzling. The current rise is mainly due to renewed geopolitical risks, coupled with growing market expectations of a Fed rate cut, leading to a reckless surge by the bulls. From a technical perspective, gold is at a dangerously high level, with major indicators showing signs of severe overbought conditions. There is upward pressure for a pullback, but the ultimate destination remains uncertain. Market movements often end in a frenzy, and yesterday's and the initial surge after the opening may be the last gasp from the bulls. I personally predict that gold may show signs of topping out today. Coupled with the interest rate decision, the current rapid rise may be a premature release of bullish energy. At this point, support and resistance levels are not important; it's more about psychological factors. Given this unclear pattern, we can only try small, high-risk strategies and avoid wishful thinking. Light, tentative trades are the best approach. Intraday, we can consider shorting around 5245-5260, carefully managing our position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
Gold continues its crazy surge Yesterday's Public Trading Review Yesterday, a buy signal was publicly given at 5080-5082, resulting in a profit of 100 PIPS. A sell signal was then given at 5088-5090, resulting in a profit of 60 PIPS. A rebound to around 5090 was followed by another sell, resulting in a profit of 90 PIPS. From a technical perspective, the resistance above appears to be negligible, with consecutive breakthroughs at key integer levels, and the next target is aimed directly at the $5,300 mark. Although the Fed is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged during today's U.S. trading session, Powell's speech will become the market's focus. Any subtle remarks regarding monetary policy could trigger a new wave of volatility. On the four-hour chart, the emergence of a large bullish candle has decisively broken through technical resistance, with the bullish momentum described as "piercing through the sky." Against this backdrop, continuing to be bullish on gold is unquestionable, as the power of the trend is dominating everything. Gold continued its rally during today's Asian and European trading sessions, making it difficult to hold long positions for too long while inducing fear in short sellers. After stabilizing above $5,200 in the early Asian session, gold entered a sustained upward trend, currently experiencing another significant surge. In the current market, even a minor pullback presents an opportunity to re-enter, as hesitation will only lead to missed opportunities. During the European and American trading sessions, attention should be paid to a pullback around $5,230 to initiate long positions. As long as the bullish sentiment remains strong, following the trend with long positions is the way to go! Long Position Strategy: Buy gold around $5,230–$5,240, with a stop loss at $5,210, targeting $5,300. If the price breaks through this level, continue holding the position.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX-GoldPulse
1
AlphapulseAI - Latest readout on Bitcoin📌 Trade Verdict (Weekly Chart – BTCUSD) Market Context You’re currently seeing price testing the top of a monthly bearish FVG while simultaneously sitting above a strong yearly bullish FVG support. This creates a compression zone between higher-timeframe supply and very large demand, which typically results in a high-volatility decision point. 🔍 What the Chart Shows 1. Price is reacting to the upper Monthly FVG (bearish) The region around $115K–$125K is a bearish Monthly FVG / Weak Reaction OB zone. This area historically acts as premium supply, where long-term sellers often step in. The current weekly candles show rejection wicks + CHoCH, indicating hesitation. This suggests: ➡️ Upside continuation is vulnerable unless this zone is broken cleanly. 2. Strong Yearly FVG + Strategic Entry Zone sits below The massive Yearly FVG + Strategic Entry Zone around $50K–$60K is a major institutional demand region. This is not typical short-term support — this is macro-level demand where large buyers accumulate. This means: ➡️ Deeper retracement into this zone remains a valid long-term bullish accumulation area. ➡️ Market is unlikely to break through this on the first attempt. 3. Dashboard Context (as shown) Signal: WAIT Confidence: Medium (0) FIB: 61.8% region Trend Strength: Red / weakening MACD: bearish Volume sentiment: Bearish tilt Trap Zone: None currently This aligns with a market in pullback phase, not confirmed reversal yet. 🎯 Final Alpha Pulse AI Verdict 📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish / Corrective Move Likely Since price is testing the top of the monthly FVG (supply) while trend strength and MACD weaken, short-term continuation downward is favored. Expectations for the coming weeks: Pullback deeper into the weekly imbalance Potential revisit of: Balance Price Zone (~$70K) or even Yearly FVG upper boundary (~$60K–$64K) 📈 Macro Bias: Bullish (Yearly FVG is strong support) As long as BTC holds above the Yearly FVG, the macro structure remains intact. This creates a classic HTF: bullish / LTF: corrective environment. 🧭 Practical Interpretation If you are a Swing Trader Wait for the reaction inside the deeper FVG / Balance Price Zone. A bullish BOS/CHoCH inside the $60K–$70K region would be the first high-probability swing entry. If you are a Long-Term Investor The Yearly FVG remains the strongest accumulation zone visible on the chart. If you are a Day Trader Expect volatility & fake outs near monthly FVG highs and weak bearish OB on top of current price Favor shorts until structure flips on lower timeframes. 🔻 Summary Short-term: Bearish corrective move expected. Medium-term: Watch $70K → $60K zones for bullish re accumulation. Long-term: Still macro bullish while Yearly FVG holds.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AlphapulseAI
2
#BTC support and resistance?📊#BTC support and resistance? 🧠From a structural perspective, it's reasonable for us to encounter resistance and pull back near the resistance zone. However, the fact that it fell back before reaching the 90599 resistance level I'm watching indicates that the volatility reaction occurred ahead of schedule. If we continue to rise according to the current structure, then the resistance levels we should pay attention to are around 91888 and 94000. ➡️If we fail to continue the bullish momentum and instead retest the yellow support zone below (85400-87300), then this will be a worthwhile area to consider for going long. ⚠️This week is the FOMC meeting, so rapid fluctuations are reasonable. Please be sure to manage your risk. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
1
#LINK Crash Incoming? Why strong support always Weak... Yello Paradisers! Did you catch the early signs of this breakdown, or are you still stuck in the trap? As we warned in our previous market commentaries, #LINKUSDT was setting up for a deeper move — and now the chart is confirming that view. 💎After a clean rejection from the trendline resistance, #LINK has decisively broken below a key structural support, confirming a shift in market sentiment. This wasn’t just a random bounce or a short-term wick — the break below structure was accompanied by clear momentum loss on the higher timeframes, which increases the probability of a sustained leg lower. The trendline rejection aligns perfectly with the broader structure, and we’re now seeing continuation as price respects the bearish market geometry. 💎What makes this setup even more compelling is the presence of hidden bearish divergence on the RSI as price retested resistance. This is a technical sign of strength in the prevailing downtrend — price was making lower highs, but RSI was printing higher highs. That kind of signal often goes unnoticed by retail traders but is a critical continuation indicator for experienced analysts. It confirmed that bears were in control and buyers were lacking conviction on the retests. 💎Moreover, the broken support level had been tested three times prior to the breakdown, and many retail traders fell into the trap of interpreting that as strength. But as we’ve mentioned many times in our updates, repeated testing of a level weakens it, not strengthens it. What we saw here was a classic liquidity trap — smart money absorbed retail demand at support, engineered a false sense of safety, and then triggered a breakdown to the downside once enough positions were lured in. It’s a strategy often used to generate liquidity before the real move begins. 💎Now that structure has shifted, the technical landscape becomes clearer. The RSI is currently holding below the 40 level — a zone typically associated with strong bearish control. Until we see a sustained reclaim of that range or a divergence forming closer to oversold levels, there is no reason to assume momentum has faded. The trend remains firmly to the downside. 💎Looking at key levels, the next major support comes in around the $8 region. This zone is significant both psychologically and structurally — a breakdown into that area would align with prior consolidation ranges and potentially trigger more long liquidations. On the upside, the $15 level now acts as strong resistance. Unless that level is reclaimed with conviction, all rallies should be viewed as potential selling opportunities within a broader bearish context. As always, we’re not here to gamble or chase noise. The structure is breaking down, and our job is to stay on the right side of probability. That is why we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities. This is the only way how you can get inside the winner circle. Stay sharp, Paradisers — and let the rest chase shadows. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Trend-following environment | Liquidity first, patience pays Quick summary Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely. Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks. ➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs. 1) Macro context (why spikes are likely) If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict: risk sentiment can swing quickly, headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces. ✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline. 2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart) Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels. Key levels (from the chart): ✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000 ✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047 ✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142 ✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6 ✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8 Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior. 3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R) ✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047) Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15) SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low) TP1: 5,085 – 5,100 TP2: 5,142 TP3: 5,192.6 Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above. A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits) ✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000 Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up) SL: below 4,980 TP: 5,047 → 5,142 Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes. B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only) B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp) ✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection: Sell: 5,190 – 5,200 SL: above the sweep high TP: 5,142 → 5,085 Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel. B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location) ✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8) Only with clear weakness on M15–H1 TP: 5,192 → 5,142 Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction. 4) Key notes Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules. Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines. Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity. Question: Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
3
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation – Pullback Buy Setup (45M)Analysis: Trend: Strong bullish momentum. Price has broken above previous consolidation and structure highs, confirming an uptrend. Entry Zone: The marked green area acts as bullish retest / demand. A pullback into this zone suggests a buy-on-dips opportunity. Price Action: After the impulse move, price is consolidating above support—healthy behavior before continuation. Target: The blue zone above is the next resistance / liquidity area, aligned with the projected bullish leg. Invalidation: A clean break and close below the entry zone would weaken the bullish bias. Bias: 📈 Bullish continuation Plan: Wait for confirmation (bullish candle/rejection) in the entry zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fxjack_22
1
Bitcoin Is Holding Structure — Consolidation, Not Rejection, DefHello traders, Bitcoin is currently trading around eighty nine thousand one hundred, following a sharp rebound from the lower boundary of a well defined ascending channel. The recovery was impulsive and decisive, signaling strong demand absorption near the highlighted support zone around eighty-seven thousand two hundred. This reaction confirms that buyers are still active at structurally important levels. Since the rebound, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase below the mid-channel region and the descending EMA. This slowdown should not be interpreted as weakness. After an impulsive recovery, markets often pause to rebalance liquidity and allow late participants to reposition. The overlapping candles and reduced downside follow-through suggest acceptance rather than rejection. Structurally, the bullish case remains intact as long as price continues to respect the ascending channel and holds above the established support zone. Pullbacks that remain shallow and corrective would favor continuation toward the upper channel boundary near ninety-one thousand, which aligns with a prior technical reference and serves as a potential reaction area, not a guarantee. Invalidation is clear and objective. A decisive breakdown below the support zone and sustained acceptance outside the channel would challenge the current bullish structure and shift focus toward a deeper corrective phase. For now, Bitcoin is not breaking down it is pausing with intent. Structure is respected. Direction will be decided by behavior, not impatience.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
2
BTC Macro Analysis: Zooming Out from the 2025 Tariff LowsWe are at a critical decision point. Here is the breakdown of the market structure: 1️⃣ The "Golden Pocket" Failure ($94k) The 0.618 level (Green Line) broke and the subsequent retest on Jan 13th was rejected hard. The Verdict: Bulls have lost control of $94k. This level has flipped from support to a heavy resistance "ceiling." 2️⃣ The "Do or Die" Line ($85,800) We are currently sitting on the 0.786 Fib. This price action is concerning for two major reasons: The "Floorboard" Effect: Support isn't a wall; it’s a floorboard. The more you jump on it (test it), the more likely it is to snap. We have touched this line too many times recently. Bearish Compression: Look at the candles since the Jan 13th rejection—we are printing Lower Highs. Price is being squeezed downward into support. 3️⃣ The Macro Narrative: Reopening the "Tariff Chapter" The 1.0 Fib level ($74,500) isn't just a number; it represents the April Tariff Panic Lows. As long as we hold above current support, the market treats the tariff panic as a distant memory. The Danger: If we break this support, the market is threatening to reopen that chapter. We would effectively be "revisiting the scene of the crime" to see if the buyers who stepped in during the tariff panic are actually still there. 🔮 How this Plays Out (2 Scenarios) 🐻 Scenario A: The Flush (Path of Least Resistance) If we lose the $85,800 support on high volume, the structure breaks. Target: The magnet becomes the 1.0 level ($74,500). This would be the full restest of the macro bottom. 🐂 Scenario B: The Fakeout & Reclaim To turn bullish, survival isn't enough. Bitcoin must forcefully reclaim the $94k Golden Pocket to prove the Jan 13th rejection was a fluke. Note: Until we cross $94k, any small bounce is likely just a "dead cat bounce." ⚠️ Summary We are watching a slow bleed-out. The bulls are exhausted trying to hold $85k while bears press lower. The Play: Catching a falling knife at the 0.786 is risky. The safe play is to wait for a strong green engulfing candle before entering.
by aj_texas
1
ETHUSD 2H Demand Reaction & Potential Mean ReversionThis is a 2-hour ETH/USD chart (Coinbase) showing a clear market structure shift from bullish to bearish, followed by consolidation at demand. Key observations: Upper Range & Supply Zone (~3,320–3,400): Price previously traded within a defined range near supply, showing multiple rejections at the highs. This area acted as strong resistance. Break of Structure (BOS) → Distribution: After pushing into supply, ETH failed to hold higher highs, indicating distribution before the sell-off. CHoCH & Breakdown (~3,080): A Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred as price broke below prior support, confirming bearish control. This level flipped from support to resistance.Strong Impulsive Sell-Off: Following the breakdown, price dropped aggressively, showing imbalance and momentum to the downside. Demand Zone (~2,880–2,920): Price reacted sharply at demand, forming long wicks and halting the decline—suggesting buy-side interest. Lower Range Consolidation (~2,920–3,040): ETH is currently ranging at the lows, indicating pause/accumulation after the impulsive move. Projected Targets: 2nd Target: Return to prior structure near ~3,080 1st Target: Range midpoint / prior resistance near ~3,280 These imply a potential mean reversion or corrective move if demand holds The chart tells a classic story: Distribution at supply → structure break → sell-off into demand → consolidation, with upside targets mapped if the demand zone continues to defend. If you want, I can also:
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
5
BTCUSD at a Critical Zone | Market Structure in FocusBTCUSD is currently trading around 87,900, with support near 87,000 and resistance around 88,200. Price action remains constructive as the market continues to stabilize above key support levels. Market participants will be watching closely how BTCUSD behaves around these zones to assess whether momentum can build for a continuation higher. If bullish conditions persist, the 90,000 level stands out as an important area of interest. As always, monitoring price reaction and structure around key levels will be crucial in understanding the next directional move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FOREX_ODYSSEY
1
LINK Break & Retest SetupWe're closely watching Chainlink (LINK) as it approaches the critical $12.00 resistance zone. This level has capped price action multiple times, and a confirmed breakout with a successful retest could signal the start of a fresh bullish leg. 📈 Trade Plan We'll be entering a long spot position on the break and retest of $12.00. Patience is key—confirmation is everything in this kind of setup. 🎯 Targets: • TP1: $13.00 – $14.50 • TP2: $16.00 – $17.00 🔻 Stop Loss: Just below $11.35 This setup aligns with classic breakout-retest price action and will be monitored closely over the coming sessions.
Long
by Richtv_official
1