Selena | XAUUSD 1H – Sweep → Accumulation → Demand Reaction PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold continues to respect the major ascending support channel while repeatedly sweeping sell-side liquidity into the same rebid demand. Current price is compressing below breakout structure, suggesting accumulation before expansion. Untapped buy-side liquidity remains above 4240–4260 — a clean future draw.
Primary Bias — Bullish Delivery if Price Holds Demand
Hold above CRQ Demand 4170–4185 →
🎯 Target 1: 4214 (Breaker reclaim)
🎯 Target 2: 4232 (Pre-FOMC high fill)
🎯 Main Objective: 4256–4268 Buy-Side Liquidity Pool
Break and acceptance below 4165 →
Resistance: 4232 / 4256-4268
Support: 4170-4185 (CRQ Validation) / 4165 (Kill-Switch Level)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This view is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Community ideas
GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel — Bullish Continuation Ahead?GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel — Bullish Continuation Ahead?
GBPCHF has successfully broken out of the descending channel, showing renewed bullish momentum after months of gradual decline.
The buyers are regaining control, and the pair is now heading toward key resistance levels.
If the price holds above the channel breakout zone, we may see a continuation toward the first target at 1.09200.
A sustained move above 1.09200 opens the door toward the higher resistance zone near 1.11500, which remains the major bullish target for the coming weeks.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
AAPL Chart AnalysisHi!
AAPL is trading inside a clean long-term ascending channel, showing a strong uptrend. Recently, the price formed a bullish flag (pink zone) after a sharp move up. The breakout above the flag signals continuation of the trend.
The chart projects two key upside levels:
$288.52 as the first target (flag breakout objective / mid-channel resistance)
$300.53 as the second target (upper channel boundary + psychological level)
As long as price stays above the flag range and respects the channel, the bullish structure remains intact.
Weekly Cycle Low LongsWe now have some solid confirmations:
Cycle-wise:
1. Price has broken above the first trendline and is currently above the second one and the 10 SMA (wait for the daily close).
2. The @financecamel indicator has confirmed the DCL.
3. Weekly DSS Bressert is about to close.
Liquidity-wise:
1. Bullish BBs are being respected, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum.
2. The recent impulse is creating new MTF BBs that could act as bullish continuation points.
AUDUSD: Mild Uptrend Set to Continue!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the AUDUSD currency pair, and based on both fundamental and technical factors, I believe that AUDUSD is set to continue its mild uptrend in the short term.
AUDUSD is currently trading in an ascending channel , with strong support at 0.66265 and resistance targets around 0.66300 - 0.66600. The Fed maintains a stable monetary policy , helping USD remain steady , while the RBA continues its accommodative stance , supporting the AUD.
Clarifying the Fundamental Factors:
In the current market context, the Fed has maintained a stable monetary policy, which allows USD to retain its stability compared to other currencies, including the AUD. The Fed has no immediate plans to cut interest rates, creating a relatively stable environment for the USD, which supports its value against other currencies.
Although the RBA still maintains an accommodative policy, there have been no significant moves recently, but the economic stability in Australia continues to support the AUD. Economic indicators have shown modest improvement, and the stability in the economy prevents the AUD from weakening sharply. As a result, this creates favorable conditions for AUDUSD to maintain its mild uptrend.
Good luck with your trading!
BTC Bullish Setup Identified – My Trade Plan📌 Bitcoin has successfully formed a bullish setup on the 1H time-frame. Based on current price behavior and structural support levels, I am entering this trade with a clear and disciplined plan.
🟩 Entry Zone
₹ 91,200 – 91,500
Price is currently respecting this demand zone, showing signs of absorption and potential upside reversal.
🔰 Stop Loss
₹ 90,000
Clean invalidation level below the support.
If this breaks, bullish structure is gone — so SL is fixed.
🎯 Target
₹ 93,500
This aligns with previous resistance and the next liquidity pool.
Once price reaches this zone, I’ll book profits.
⸻
📈 Summary
• Setup Type: Bullish Reversal
• Entry: 91,200–91,500
• SL: 90,000
• Target: 93,500
• Risk–Reward: Attractive & disciplined
⸻
BTC is preparing for a bounce — waiting for confirmation and executing with proper risk management. 🚀📊
Litecoin Forming a Head and Shoulders Reversal PatternDescription
Litecoin is forming a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible, and price is currently hovering near the neckline zone. This level is the key area to watch for confirmation.
Key Points:
• Defined Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder structure
• Neckline support acting as the decision point
• Sellers showing up at the same zone where previous shoulders formed
• Breakdown and close below neckline would confirm the bearish setup
• Failure to break the neckline could invalidate the pattern and send price back into the range
#LTCUSD
#Crypto
#HeadAndShoulders
# DYOR
The Market Awaits the Fed to Set the TrendHi everyone, Domic here again.
On the chart, ETH is still holding its short-term uptrend as the 34 EMA (red) remains above the 89 EMA (blue), but the bullish momentum has clearly slowed down. Price is hovering just above both EMAs without forming any widening angle, while the EMAs themselves are being squeezed — a classic signal that the market is losing momentum, moving sideways, and waiting for new catalysts. The declining volume further confirms that buying pressure is no longer strong enough to push ETH decisively toward the 3,150–3,200 zone. This explains why, despite the uptrend remaining intact, ETH is “waiting” rather than accelerating.
On the news side, ETH is directly influenced by upcoming macro events:
The Fed meeting on December 9–10 is the key driver, and crypto markets typically go quiet ahead of such events to await direction.
Meanwhile, the DXY is weak and moving below the 100 level, but volatility is low — not enough to trigger a strong risk-on wave across crypto.
At the same time, speculation around a potential Ethereum spot ETF continues, but without any confirmation from the SEC, expectations exist — yet large capital remains cautious.
Based on these factors, I expect ETH to continue consolidating or potentially pull back to retest the 3,060–3,080 zone before showing a clearer reaction after the Fed meeting.
EURUSD | Pullback From Supply Zone,Bearish Scenario Still ActiveBy analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed into the 1.168 supply zone exactly as expected and immediately faced strong selling pressure. This drop pushed EURUSD down to 1.1616, and it is now trading around 1.16345.
If EURUSD can stay below 1.165 during the next 12 hours, we can expect a deeper bearish move from this pair.
This scenario fails only if price breaks and holds above 1.168. Monitor the reaction closely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
S&P500 The Bearish Divergence that may spoil the party.S&P500 (SPX) is extending a strong rally following the rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) almost 3 weeks ago. As we pointed out in a previous analysis, the price action of the past 2 months has been identical to the pattern after November 19 2024.
We are currently on the same 1D MA100 rebound towards the Higher Highs trend-line but the key development is that the 1D RSI on both fractals shows a huge Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs.
In February 2025 that led to the start of a strong correction in the stock markets. So as long as the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence holds, the S&P500 currently risks a technical correction towards at least the first Support level of 6500.
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Bitcoin Holds 90,000 Ahead of FOMCMarket fear pushed Bitcoin expectations toward 50,000, yet the 80,000 support and Santa rally narrative are holding the ground ahead of tomorrow's FOMC outcome.
Bitcoin is currently trading below the trendline connecting consecutive higher lows since November 2022, indicating a bearish bias unless price regains this barrier and the 110,000 resistance.
A close above 110,000 would re-establish bullish momentum, opening the door toward the all-time record at 126,000, followed by new potential records near 137,000, 150,000, and 190,000–200,000, in alignment with the trendline connecting higher highs from March 2024 to December 2024.
On the downside, a drop below 80,000 is expected to extend losses toward 70,000, and in more extreme cases, a drop below 70,000 could expose the 50,000-region. (Previous support zone between March and September 2024)
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GBP/USD 4HR MARKET STRUCTURE 📌 GBP/USD – 4H Market Structure Analysis
Price at Key Supply Area – Breakout or Rejection Coming?
The GBP/USD pair recently tapped into a major supply zone near the 1.33800 – 1.34200 level, where price previously showed aggressive selling interest. Right now, the market is reacting inside that zone, meaning this area is crucial for the next directional move.
---
🔍 Current Technical Observations
✅ Structure Overview
Price has formed multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside
Followed by a series of Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts
Suggesting bullish momentum from November up to now
✅ Key Zones
🟥 Supply Zone (Sell Zone) → 1.33800 – 1.34200
🟦 Demand Zone (Buy Zone 1) → 1.31850 – 1.31200
🟦 Deeper Demand Zone (Buy Zone 2) → 1.30500 – 1.30000
🎯 Liquidity Level
There is a weak high above current price
This means liquidity may be taken before any reversal
---
🔔 What To Watch Now
Price is currently testing a critical supply zone. Two outcomes are highly probable:
---
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection (High Probability)
If price fails to break and hold above this supply zone:
📍 Expect a short-term reversal
📍 Possible move back toward demand
📍 Potential downside targets:
🔻 Target Levels
1️⃣ 1.31850 – 1.31200
2️⃣ 1.30500 – 1.30000
🔻 Confirmation Signals
✔ Strong wick rejections
✔ Bearish engulfing candle
✔ Market structure shift BOS to downside
➡️ Ideal trading plan:
Sell after confirmation candle, not immediately.
---
📌 Scenario 2 – Bullish Breakout (Continuation)
If price closes strongly above the 1.34200 level:
📍 Supply will be invalidated
📍 Zone flips into support
📍 Trend continuation likely
🔼 Upside Targets
✨ Clean continuation into higher liquidity above
✨ Next swing high levels can be targeted
➡️ Plan would be:
Wait for breakout + retest and enter longs on rejection.
---
🧠 Market Notes & Logic
✔ The current zone is where big traders likely left sell orders
✔ If those orders are exhausted → breakout
✔ If they are still active → clean reversal
✔ We already have liquidity sitting above the weak high
This is why waiting for confirmation is important before committing to a direction.
---
🧨 Risk Management Tips For Traders
🔹 Avoid entering while price is still inside the zone
🔹 Do not sell prematurely without bearish confirmation
🔹 Protect capital from false breakouts
🔹 Let structure guide direction
---
📌 Summary View
🟥 Sellers have an advantage inside this zone
🟩 Buyers gain control only above 1.34200
⏳ Market is at decision point
📌 Confirmation will dictate final direction
---
You can caption your post like:
✨ “Price has now reached supply. Will we see a reversal or a continuation?”
🔥 “Tracking BOS and ChoCH to determine next directional flow.”
📌 GBP/USD – 4H Market Structure Analysis
Price at Key Supply Area – Breakout or Rejection Coming?
The GBP/USD pair recently tapped into a major supply zone near the 1.33800 – 1.34200 level, where price previously showed aggressive selling interest. Right now, the market is reacting inside that zone, meaning this area is crucial for the next directional move.
---
🔍 Current Technical Observations
✅ Structure Overview
Price has formed multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside
Followed by a series of Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts
Suggesting bullish momentum from November up to now
✅ Key Zones
🟥 Supply Zone (Sell Zone) → 1.33800 – 1.34200
🟦 Demand Zone (Buy Zone 1) → 1.31850 – 1.31200
🟦 Deeper Demand Zone (Buy Zone 2) → 1.30500 – 1.30000
🎯 Liquidity Level
There is a weak high above current price
This means liquidity may be taken before any reversal
---
🔔 What To Watch Now
Price is currently testing a critical supply zone. Two outcomes are highly probable:
---
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection (High Probability)
If price fails to break and hold above this supply zone:
📍 Expect a short-term reversal
📍 Possible move back toward demand
📍 Potential downside targets:
🔻 Target Levels
1️⃣ 1.31850 – 1.31200
2️⃣ 1.30500 – 1.30000
🔻 Confirmation Signals
✔ Strong wick rejections
✔ Bearish engulfing candle
✔ Market structure shift BOS to downside
➡️ Ideal trading plan:
Sell after confirmation candle, not immediately.
---
📌 Scenario 2 – Bullish Breakout (Continuation)
If price closes strongly above the 1.34200 level:
📍 Supply will be invalidated
📍 Zone flips into support
📍 Trend continuation likely
🔼 Upside Targets
✨ Clean continuation into higher liquidity above
✨ Next swing high levels can be targeted
➡️ Plan would be:
Wait for breakout + retest and enter longs on rejection.
---
🧠 Market Notes & Logic
✔ The current zone is where big traders likely left sell orders
✔ If those orders are exhausted → breakout
✔ If they are still active → clean reversal
✔ We already have liquidity sitting above the weak high
This is why waiting for confirmation is important before committing to a direction.
---
🧨 Risk Management Tips For Traders
🔹 Avoid entering while price is still inside the zone
🔹 Do not sell prematurely without bearish confirmation
🔹 Protect capital from false breakouts
🔹 Let structure guide direction
---
📌 Summary View
🟥 Sellers have an advantage inside this zone
🟩 Buyers gain control only above 1.34200
⏳ Market is at decision point
📌 Confirmation will dictate final direction
---
You can caption your post like:
✨ “Price has now reached supply. Will we see a reversal or a continuation?”
🔥 “Tracking BOS and ChoCH to determine next directional flow.”
📌 GBP/USD – 4H Market Structure Analysis
Price at Key Supply Area – Breakout or Rejection Coming?
The GBP/USD pair recently tapped into a major supply zone near the 1.33800 – 1.34200 level, where price previously showed aggressive selling interest. Right now, the market is reacting inside that zone, meaning this area is crucial for the next directional move.
---
🔍 Current Technical Observations
✅ Structure Overview
Price has formed multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside
Followed by a series of Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts
Suggesting bullish momentum from November up to now
✅ Key Zones
🟥 Supply Zone (Sell Zone) → 1.33800 – 1.34200
🟦 Demand Zone (Buy Zone 1) → 1.31850 – 1.31200
🟦 Deeper Demand Zone (Buy Zone 2) → 1.30500 – 1.30000
🎯 Liquidity Level
There is a weak high above current price
This means liquidity may be taken before any reversal
---
🔔 What To Watch Now
Price is currently testing a critical supply zone. Two outcomes are highly probable:
---
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection (High Probability)
If price fails to break and hold above this supply zone:
📍 Expect a short-term reversal
📍 Possible move back toward demand
📍 Potential downside targets:
🔻 Target Levels
1️⃣ 1.31850 – 1.31200
2️⃣ 1.30500 – 1.30000
🔻 Confirmation Signals
✔ Strong wick rejections
✔ Bearish engulfing candle
✔ Market structure shift BOS to downside
➡️ Ideal trading plan:
Sell after confirmation candle, not immediately.
---
📌 Scenario 2 – Bullish Breakout (Continuation)
If price closes strongly above the 1.34200 level:
📍 Supply will be invalidated
📍 Zone flips into support
📍 Trend continuation likely
🔼 Upside Targets
✨ Clean continuation into higher liquidity above
✨ Next swing high levels can be targeted
➡️ Plan would be:
Wait for breakout + retest and enter longs on rejection.
---
🧠 Market Notes & Logic
✔ The current zone is where big traders likely left sell orders
✔ If those orders are exhausted → breakout
✔ If they are still active → clean reversal
✔ We already have liquidity sitting above the weak high
This is why waiting for confirmation is important before committing to a direction.
---
🧨 Risk Management Tips For Traders
🔹 Avoid entering while price is still inside the zone
🔹 Do not sell prematurely without bearish confirmation
🔹 Protect capital from false breakouts
🔹 Let structure guide direction
---
📌 Summary View
🟥 Sellers have an advantage inside this zone
🟩 Buyers gain control only above 1.34200
⏳ Market is at decision point
📌 Confirmation will dictate final direction
---
You can caption your post like:
✨ “Price has now reached supply. Will we see a reversal or a continuation?”
🔥 “Tracking BOS and ChoCH to determine next directional flow.”
EURUSD bullish retracement before continuing the bearish pushQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to continue rising toward 1.16620 on the hourly chart, before potentially resuming its downward move toward 1.16145.
Full Analysis
On the 15m, EURUSD is likely to extend its upward move toward 1.16620. From this level, a reversal could take the pair down toward 1.16145, which is a key target. A break below this low would confirm further bearish pressure but will wait for confirmation first. On the 4-hour chart, the ascending trendline break supports the expectation of continued downside. you should monitor these levels for potential short entries and confirmation of trend continuation. Overall, while short-term bullish moves may occur, the bias turns bearish after a clear confirmation at 1.16620.
MATH — System A | Research Log
System Data Log
Ticker: MATH
System: A
Position: Long
Entry Date: Dec 09, 2025
System Logic & Observation
This post logs a System A long position for ticker MATH opened on Dec 09, 2025, according to the predefined rules of the system.
The purpose is to observe how the system behaves in real market conditions, not to predict future price movements.
Disclaimer
This is not a forecast, trading signal, or financial advice — only a record of system behavior for research purposes.
Open results. No predictions.
XAU/USD | A free fall or an bullish attempt? (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see, Gold has been moving on a range recently, with no clear intention as to where it is headed. A possible scenario could be dropping down to the 4164 NDOG and then an uptrend move above the pool of liquidity above 4265 and the 4272 FVG.
However if it fails to make a move at that level, it'll drop further to 4111-4159 IFVG, which then I expect it to bounce back and go up again. However, if it fails to make a move then, we will witness a free fall of Gold.
Let's see what happens.
Compound interest within the golden rangeGold surged to 4118 yesterday, then fluctuated during the European session before falling rapidly during the US session. Today, the Asian and European sessions continued the bearish trend from yesterday's US session, but after falling to a low of 4170, it rebounded quickly. Currently, both bullish and bearish trends exist. Today, shorting at higher levels and going long at lower levels can be considered.
Overall strategy: Given the current range-bound trading, maintain range-bound trading for now. Further updates will be provided.
Silver at Extremes: RSI Signals Haven’t Missed in 20 YearsTVC:SILVER has delivered a massive breakout — up +109.9% YTD — but the weekly RSI is now pushing into one of the most extreme zones seen in two decades. Historically, every major spike into the 80–85 RSI band has preceded cooling periods, consolidations, or full reversals.
The chart makes the pattern clear:
• Each parabolic advance since 2004 ended with RSI extremes similar to today.
• Price is testing the same overextension zone seen at the 2011 blow-off top and the 2020 surge.
• Weekly RSI rarely stays above 80 for long — momentum tends to reset before the next leg can form.
This doesn’t guarantee a top.
But when a commodity doubles in a single year and hits long-term RSI ceilings simultaneously, risk/reward becomes asymmetric.
Silver’s trend remains powerful — the question now is how sustainable the slope is.
Perfect Execution - Waiting for Confirmation Saves AccounsKey levels attract attention, but attention alone rarely produces good trades. A level gains meaning only when price shows how it behaves around it. Many traders understand where important levels are, yet still lose money because they enter too early, assume a breakout will continue, or anticipate a reversal before the market confirms it.
Patience at these levels is what separates disciplined execution from unnecessary losses.
A key level acts like a pressure point. Liquidity gathers above highs, below lows, and around clear support or resistance.
When price approaches these zones, it does not move cleanly. It probes, sweeps, hesitates, or accelerates depending on who holds control. Entering at the first touch is often an emotional decision disguised as confidence. Entering after confirmation is a structured decision grounded in evidence.
Confirmation begins with a reaction. A legitimate bounce or rejection has intent behind it. You will see displacement, cleaner momentum, or a defined shift in micro-structure. A candle wick alone is not confirmation.
A single green or red candle is not confirmation. Confirmation comes when the market shows that a level is respected or rejected with conviction, as several conditions align.
One of the clearest signs of confirmation is the break of micro-structure after the level is touched. If price sweeps a low and then breaks a minor high, the narrative changes. The same applies to resistance: a sweep followed by a failed attempt to push lower is evidence of buyers stepping in.
This structural shift shows that the reaction is more than a random bounce.
Another layer of confirmation is the retest. Strong moves often return to the level they broke to validate participation.
Traders who enter before this retest expose themselves to unnecessary volatility. Traders who wait allow the market to prove that the move is real, not a trap.
The retest reduces risk naturally and improves the reward-to-risk ratio without changing the strategy itself.
Patience does not slow you down. It filters out trades that look attractive but lack substance. Key levels attract liquidity, manipulation, and emotional behaviour.
Waiting for confirmation keeps you grounded when the market is trying to provoke a reaction. It prevents you from turning strong levels into weak trades through premature entries.
The goal is not to catch the exact top or bottom of a move. The goal is to participate in moves that show clear strength and clear intent.
When you treat key levels as decision points rather than entry signals, your trading becomes structured, disciplined, and far more consistent. Patience is not passive. It is an active skill that protects your account and elevates your execution.






















