Selena | USDJPY 1H–Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 157.800 TargetFX:USDJPY
After an aggressive sell-off into 154.80–155.00 demand, USDJPY produced a strong impulsive recovery, reclaiming broken structure. Price is now compressing under the descending trendline and retesting the 155.50–155.70 entry zone, forming a potential higher-low setup. Bias remains bullish above this zone, aiming for a structural reversal toward major resistance.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Entry around 155.40–155.70 retest zone
Break & close above the descending trendline → continuation wave
🎯 Target 1: 156.96 (major resistance)
🎯 Final Target: 157.80–158.00 liquidity zone
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Only valid if price breaks below 155.20
Downside continuation into 154.80 demand zone
Below 154.70, structure turns fully bearish again
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 156.00 / 156.95
Support 🟢: 155.40 / 155.20 / 154.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Community ideas
TESLA Is December seasonality about to hit it hard?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up and has been on a Bullish Leg since the April 07 market low. Not everything on its long-term outlook is positive though as December in the past 5 years, holds a bearish seasonality for the stock as it has aggressively declined.
A 1W MACD Bearish Cross was always present during these times and so is today. With the price trading under a familiar Lower Highs trend-line as in 2023, we see strong probabilities that Tesla starts a new long-term correction. The minimum drop on these corrections has been -50% so a repeat of that would put the price exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up at $236, with only the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) in support.
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Bitcoin Analysis – History Repeats Itself📊 Bitcoin Analysis – History Repeats Itself
One thing I always emphasize about Bitcoin is the repetition of patterns throughout its price history.
Looking closely at the recent movement, we can see that the current 10-day structure almost perfectly mirrors the pattern formed between April 11 and April 25.
Both periods show nearly identical price behavior, volatility rhythm, and reactions to key support and resistance levels.
Based on this repeated setup, the recent move seems to be following the same path.
If the pattern continues, Bitcoin may extend its correction down toward the $80,000 zone, which could act as the final low before the next bullish impulse begins.
🧠 In essence, Bitcoin reflects collective trader psychology through recurring structures — and this is one of the strongest reasons why historical patterns in BTC often repeat with remarkable precision.
Gold Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold price movement where the market is currently trading near an important zone. Price has been fluctuating within a defined range, and now it is approaching a major decision area around 4200, which is acting as a strong upper resistance zone.
At the moment, the market is moving sideways because buyers and sellers are battling around this mid-range area. The candles are showing mixed reactions, which means the market is waiting for a clear breakout before starting a bigger move. That is why you have marked “Waiting for breakout” in the middle zone.
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Upside Move)
If the price breaks and closes above 4200, then it will confirm that buyers are regaining strength. Once the breakout candle closes properly above this level, it shows that the market is shifting into a bullish trend Bulls are likely to push price into the higher liquidity zone we can expect price to start rising step-by-step.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Downside Move)
But if gold fails to close above 4200 and shows weakness again, the price could start falling toward the support zones. The chart clearly marks the levels where the market may find buyers:
1st Support – Near 4160
If the price continues to drop from current levels, the first major support comes around 4160 this level has acted as a reaction zone before, so buyers may attempt to defend it again.
2nd Support – Near 4140
If the first support breaks, price may extend further downward toward the second support zone around 4140.
This would be a deeper correction and could indicate temporary bearish pressure before any recovery the downward arrows on your chart show how price may react if it continues to weaken.
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AUDUSD: Mild Uptrend Set to Continue!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the AUDUSD currency pair, and based on both fundamental and technical factors, I believe that AUDUSD is set to continue its mild uptrend in the short term.
AUDUSD is currently trading in an ascending channel , with strong support at 0.66265 and resistance targets around 0.66300 - 0.66600. The Fed maintains a stable monetary policy , helping USD remain steady , while the RBA continues its accommodative stance , supporting the AUD.
Clarifying the Fundamental Factors:
In the current market context, the Fed has maintained a stable monetary policy, which allows USD to retain its stability compared to other currencies, including the AUD. The Fed has no immediate plans to cut interest rates, creating a relatively stable environment for the USD, which supports its value against other currencies.
Although the RBA still maintains an accommodative policy, there have been no significant moves recently, but the economic stability in Australia continues to support the AUD. Economic indicators have shown modest improvement, and the stability in the economy prevents the AUD from weakening sharply. As a result, this creates favorable conditions for AUDUSD to maintain its mild uptrend.
Good luck with your trading!
S&P 500 weekly – Tight Bollinger Bands at the top of the bullishTime frame: weekly on the S&P 500 via SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ( AMEX:SPY ).
The chart still shows the same long-term bullish channel that started in 2020, with multiple touches on both the lower trendline (where strong bounces have started) and the upper one (where price often slowed down or corrected).
Right now, price is back in the upper part of this channel, trading around recent highs on SPY.
Below the chart, the Bollinger Band Width (20, 2) has dropped to very low readings: weekly Bollinger Bands have tightened to levels we hadn’t seen in months. This combination – price pressing the upper edge of the channel plus compressed volatility – tells me we are in a fragile equilibrium, where it may take just one catalyst (like the latest Fed rate cut and the next communication from Jerome Powell) to trigger a volatility expansion.
On top of that, flows and macro context are mixed:
• SPY just saw about $18.1B of inflows in a week, mainly from short-term traders and hedge funds chasing liquidity and momentum.
• Long-term investors trimmed positions in other S&P 500 ETFs (IVV, VOO) as part of year-end rebalancing and tax planning.
• The Fed delivered a 0.25% rate cut but with notable internal dissent, while inflation expectations remain around 3% and valuations are rich.
Overall, the higher-time-frame bias on SPY remains slightly bullish, but upside looks somewhat constrained and very sensitive to any change in the Fed’s tone.
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My trade idea on SPY (bullish bias, tactical long)
Given this backdrop, I’m looking at SPY as a slightly bullish, buy-the-dip setup rather than a pure breakout chase at current highs.
In my own trading plan, I frame it like this:
• Entry (Long): around $680
(a pullback area close to the $680.30 level recently traded, still within the upper zone of the channel but not at the very top)
• Take Profit (TP): area $694
(upper part of the recent range and potential extension if volatility finally expands to the upside after the weekly Bollinger squeeze)
• Stop Loss (SL): below $671
(under a nearby support area from the recent price ladder; if price trades and closes below there, for me it would mean the dip is turning into a deeper mean-reversion inside the channel)
This gives me a positive reward-to-risk profile: I’m risking the move from roughly 680 down to 671, aiming for a potential extension toward 694 if the bullish channel continues and volatility breaks higher.
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How I’m reading the scenarios
My operational logic on this setup:
• I don’t assume the bullish trend has to end just because we are at the top of the channel.
• At the same time, I don’t want to chase fresh highs with tight weekly Bollinger Bands and a divided Fed.
• I prefer to wait for SPY to dip into the $680 area, where the risk/reward for a long is more attractive for me.
From here, I see two main paths:
1. Scenario 1 – Bullish continuation (TP side)
• Price holds above $671 and buyers step in around $680.
• Weekly Bollinger Bands start to widen with price pushing higher.
• In that case, I’m targeting the $694 zone as my first logical take-profit area.
2. Scenario 2 – Deeper mean reversion (SL side)
• Price breaks and closes below $671.
• That would signal to me that the “buy-the-dip” idea is wrong here and that SPY is likely reverting toward the mid/lower part of the long-term channel, in line with elevated valuations, sticky inflation and long-term investors de-risking.
• In that case, my plan is to be out via the stop, rather than trying to fight a possible shift in structure.
The idea is invalidated for me if SPY slices through $671 without any real upside reaction from the $680 area and weekly volatility starts to expand downward instead of higher. In that case I step aside and reassess the broader structure rather than forcing a long.
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Risk management note
This is just how I’m structuring my own SPY plan in a slightly bullish environment, with compressed weekly volatility and a Fed that has cut rates but remains divided and data-dependent. Position sizing, leverage and execution all have to be adapted to one’s own time frame and risk tolerance; the key for me is to define levels before the next volatility expansion, not in the middle of it.
Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions. Financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURUSD bullish retracement before continuing the bearish pushQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to continue rising toward 1.16620 on the hourly chart, before potentially resuming its downward move toward 1.16145.
Full Analysis
On the 15m, EURUSD is likely to extend its upward move toward 1.16620. From this level, a reversal could take the pair down toward 1.16145, which is a key target. A break below this low would confirm further bearish pressure but will wait for confirmation first. On the 4-hour chart, the ascending trendline break supports the expectation of continued downside. you should monitor these levels for potential short entries and confirmation of trend continuation. Overall, while short-term bullish moves may occur, the bias turns bearish after a clear confirmation at 1.16620.
AAPL Chart AnalysisHi!
AAPL is trading inside a clean long-term ascending channel, showing a strong uptrend. Recently, the price formed a bullish flag (pink zone) after a sharp move up. The breakout above the flag signals continuation of the trend.
The chart projects two key upside levels:
$288.52 as the first target (flag breakout objective / mid-channel resistance)
$300.53 as the second target (upper channel boundary + psychological level)
As long as price stays above the flag range and respects the channel, the bullish structure remains intact.
Weekly Cycle Low LongsWe now have some solid confirmations:
Cycle-wise:
1. Price has broken above the first trendline and is currently above the second one and the 10 SMA (wait for the daily close).
2. The @financecamel indicator has confirmed the DCL.
3. Weekly DSS Bressert is about to close.
Liquidity-wise:
1. Bullish BBs are being respected, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum.
2. The recent impulse is creating new MTF BBs that could act as bullish continuation points.
Gold: Watching the Support Zone for a Bullish Rebound Toward 4,2Gold: Watching the Support Zone for a Bullish Rebound Toward 4,255 and 4,290
Gold continues to trade within a broad consolidation, but the structure overall remains bullish. This area near 4180 has acted as support multiple times, showing strong buyer interest.
If price stabilizes here again and buyers step in, GOLD could attempt another push higher.
The first area to watch is the Quick Target at 4,255, where previous reactions occurred.
A clean break above this level could open the way toward the main target at 4,290, completing a healthy bullish continuation.
However, a daily candle closing below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and delay the upside scenario.
Key Levels:
• Support: 4,164 – 4,180
• Quick Target: 4,255
• Main Target: 4,290
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BITCOIN → False breakout of resistance on a downtrend BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating in the range of 86K - 92K, bears are holding resistance amid a global downtrend, traders lack drivers...
Fundamentally, sentiment in the crypto market is weak, and there is increasing talk of a crypto winter, especially among companies that previously actively bought cryptocurrencies for their balance sheets. There is no bullish driver at the moment.
Bitcoin is in a neutral state, with the market holding the price below 93K. The fundamental background is unstable, and technically, the market is in a downtrend. A reversal pattern is forming relative to 92K, and a retest and false breakout of the zone of interest could trigger a decline to the support range.
Locally, we are seeing an upward channel, but this is a correction against the backdrop of the global trend. If the bears keep the price below 92K, the decline may continue. However, a breakout of 94K and a close above that level could trigger an upward momentum...
Resistance levels: 91850, 92700, 93700
Support levels: 88000, 86300
A false breakout and price consolidation in the short zone could cause further sell-offs towards the areas of interest located at the bottom of the trading range.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURCHF Price Test the resistance before fall EURCHF moving within a well-defined ascending channel. Price has recently reached the upper boundary of this channel, entering a grey supply/resistance zone around 0.93900 – 0.94000.
Technically if the touching this resistance region, the chart illustrates a projected scenario then Price has been respecting both the upper and lower trendlines for several days the area above 0.93900 is highlighted as a potential sell zone, where price has stalled and shown signs of rejection if the bearish trend maintain we could see side target will be 0.93400 to 0.93000 after rejecting the top channel, the chart suggests a potential break below the mid-channel, followed by a deeper decline toward the lower levels.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best f luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
EURUSD Next Buying Move AnalysisThe chart is showing EUR/USD with two key zones marked
Strong Support Level (bottom blue zone):
Price has bounced from this area multiple times, meaning buyers tend to enter here.
Strong Resistance Level (upper blue zone):
Price has been rejected here several times, meaning sellers tend to enter here.
What the drawn idea on the chart indicates
The sketch on the chart suggests a bullish scenario:
1. Price pulls back slightly
2. Forms a higher low
3. Breaks above the resistance zone
4. Continues up toward the “Target Level” (around 1.17)
This is a typical support → consolidation → breakout → continuation idea.
Reminder
This is only a technical analysis illustration, not a prediction or trading recommendation. Real market conditions can behave differently.
BTC Bullish Setup Identified – My Trade Plan📌 Bitcoin has successfully formed a bullish setup on the 1H time-frame. Based on current price behavior and structural support levels, I am entering this trade with a clear and disciplined plan.
🟩 Entry Zone
₹ 91,200 – 91,500
Price is currently respecting this demand zone, showing signs of absorption and potential upside reversal.
🔰 Stop Loss
₹ 90,000
Clean invalidation level below the support.
If this breaks, bullish structure is gone — so SL is fixed.
🎯 Target
₹ 93,500
This aligns with previous resistance and the next liquidity pool.
Once price reaches this zone, I’ll book profits.
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📈 Summary
• Setup Type: Bullish Reversal
• Entry: 91,200–91,500
• SL: 90,000
• Target: 93,500
• Risk–Reward: Attractive & disciplined
⸻
BTC is preparing for a bounce — waiting for confirmation and executing with proper risk management. 🚀📊
Litecoin Forming a Head and Shoulders Reversal PatternDescription
Litecoin is forming a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible, and price is currently hovering near the neckline zone. This level is the key area to watch for confirmation.
Key Points:
• Defined Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder structure
• Neckline support acting as the decision point
• Sellers showing up at the same zone where previous shoulders formed
• Breakdown and close below neckline would confirm the bearish setup
• Failure to break the neckline could invalidate the pattern and send price back into the range
#LTCUSD
#Crypto
#HeadAndShoulders
# DYOR
Filecoin (FIL): Looking For Break of 100&200 EMA | Bullish SetupFIL is sitting right above the support zone again, and this area keeps showing good reactions. As long as price holds here, the R:R setup stays interesting, but buyers still need to step in stronger.
For any bullish continuation, buyers have to secure both the 100 and 200 EMAs. Those two have been acting as the main barrier, so a clean reclaim above them becomes the confirmation that opens the move toward the bullish CME target higher. Until that happens, FIL is just building up near support and waiting for momentum to shift.
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Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel — Bullish Continuation Ahead?GBPCHF: Breaks the Channel — Bullish Continuation Ahead?
GBPCHF has successfully broken out of the descending channel, showing renewed bullish momentum after months of gradual decline.
The buyers are regaining control, and the pair is now heading toward key resistance levels.
If the price holds above the channel breakout zone, we may see a continuation toward the first target at 1.09200.
A sustained move above 1.09200 opens the door toward the higher resistance zone near 1.11500, which remains the major bullish target for the coming weeks.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD: Bullish Push to 4295?FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price bouncing within an upward channel after recent lower highs and higher lows, converging with a potential entry zone near support that could spark upside momentum if buyers hold the channel amid volatility. This setup suggests a rally opportunity post-correction, targeting higher resistance levels with overall risk-reward exceeding 1:3.5 .🔥
Entry between 4160–4175 for a long position. Targets at 4245 (first), 4295 (second). Set a stop loss at a valid break below the upward channel, yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's resilience in the channel.
Fundamentally , gold is consolidating around $4,193 in mid-December 2025, with today's FOMC meeting on December 10 drawing intense focus as the Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut —the third consecutive reduction—bringing the key rate to about 3.6%, the lowest in nearly three years. However, the decision may come with hawkish guidance signaling a potential pause in future cuts amid divisions among officials urging caution, influenced by conflicting economic data like resilient labor markets and cooling inflation. Investors will scrutinize Fed Chair Powell's post-meeting press briefing for clues on the 2026 outlook, where dovish signals could boost gold's safe-haven appeal by weakening the USD further, though hawkish tones might cap gains. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
4160 – 4175
(Entry inside this zone remains valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 4245 (first)
• 4295 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
A valid break & close below the upward channel
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:3.5 overall
💡 Your view?
Does XAUUSD hold the channel support and push toward 4295 — or will FOMC volatility create another dip first? 👇
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp Upside
USD/JPY managed to reclaim 156.00 and might aim for more gains.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above 155.50 and 156.00.
- There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a decent increase from 154.35. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 155.00 against the Japanese Yen.
It settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 156.00. The upward move was such that the pair even tested 156.90. A high was formed at 156.93 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 156.75.
The current price action is positive, and the pair seems to be aiming for more gains. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 154.34 swing low to the 156.93 high.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 156.90. The first key hurdle sits at 157.00. If there is a close above 157.00 and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 157.50. The next stop for the bulls might be 157.80, above which the pair could test 158.40 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near the trend line at 156.30. The next area of interest could be near 155.65, below which the pair could test the 61.8% Fib retracement at 155.35. Any more losses could open the doors for a move toward 154.35.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P500 The Bearish Divergence that may spoil the party.S&P500 (SPX) is extending a strong rally following the rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) almost 3 weeks ago. As we pointed out in a previous analysis, the price action of the past 2 months has been identical to the pattern after November 19 2024.
We are currently on the same 1D MA100 rebound towards the Higher Highs trend-line but the key development is that the 1D RSI on both fractals shows a huge Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs.
In February 2025 that led to the start of a strong correction in the stock markets. So as long as the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence holds, the S&P500 currently risks a technical correction towards at least the first Support level of 6500.
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