HK50 Long Setup at 25,875Crab pattern completes on M30 and H1, marking a potential reversal zone near current price.
Triple bottom visible on M30 and H1, reinforcing a well defined support shelf.
RSI is rising as the triple bottom forms, which supports the idea of accumulation rather than a weak bounce.
Daily trend remains up, so a rebound aligns with the higher time frame bias.
Timeframes up to H4 are oversold, which suggests short term selling pressure is stretched and vulnerable to mean reversion.
Stay alert to a possible regime shift toward bearish conditions. If market tone deteriorates, prioritise defense and faster exit.
RSI divergence of about 18 points on M30, indicating buyers are stepping in while downside momentum fades.
Look for a momentum confirmation trigger, for example, an M30 higher low or an H1 close above the most recent swing high.
Entry: 25,875 at or just above the reversal zone.
Stop loss: 25,650 to avoid crowding structure while cleanly invalidating the setup if broken.
First target: 26,475, which aligns with nearby resistance and a conservative mean reversion objective.
Secondary decision point: monitor price behavior as M15 and M30 approach overbought. If thrust is weak, scale partials and tighten risk.
Pattern)
EURJPY Forms Rare Reversal, Aiming For Price Gap??OANDA:EURJPY has formed a rare Reversal Pattern, the Three Drives Pattern, lets break it down!
The Three Drives Pattern consists of 3 Bullish attempts to continue pushing price higher. The 3rd attempt is a Fibonacci Extension of the DE Leg giving us Point F where Price, encountering Resistance at the 138.2% Extension @ 180.008, should reverse and head lower!
We can see starting the week that OANDA:EURJPY is opening below this level and if Price is unable to move higher, we can expect it to fall from here!
When it does, there is a big Price Gap in the 174.712 - 173.249 Range to fill with the Low or Point A being the next line of support @ 172.260 being the Price Target!
This could generate a great Short Opportunity!
Short Alphabet (GOOGL) near 290Head and shoulders is visible on H4 and on the Daily. I will look for a firm break and retest of the neckline to confirm a momentum shift.
An ABCD harmonic completed around 288, which marks a potential reversal zone based on measured move symmetry.
RSI shows a 40-point divergence on H1 and H4, from 82 down to 42. This indicates buyers are losing pressure while sellers gain control.
RSI is stretched across multiple intraday timeframes, consistent with mean reversion risk.
The primary Daily trend remains up. The H4 trend has flattened and started to roll, which supports a countertrend short setup.
Given the longer-term uptrend and elevated speculative sentiment, I will size conservatively and require price action confirmation.
Entry zone: around 290 at the ABCD completion area.
Stop loss: 305 to allow room for volatility without crowding the structure.
First target: 259, which aligns with prior demand and conservative mean reversion.
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 1 to 1.7.
JPN225 Longโข Trend context: This setup aligns with the H4 uptrend, supported by a strong upward impulse.
โข Momentum: M15, M30, and H1 are oversold, suggesting a potential rebound from current levels.
โข Structure: A clear double bottom has formed on both M15 and M30, with RSI divergence of 9 points confirming bullish momentum.
โข Support zone: Price is holding above strong support at the previous weekโs high, a key level that continues to attract buyers.
โข Pattern signal: A bullish shark pattern is forming, indicating strong reversal potential.
โข Risk management: Stop loss placed below 50,700 to protect capital.
โข Target: First target when M15 turns overbought or when price retests 52,600 highs.
JPN225 ShortPattern structure: A bat pattern has completed on the M15 chart, highlighting a potential reversal zone.
โข Market context: Price is testing the all-time high, an area that has historically acted as strong resistance.
โข Trend alignment: While this setup moves counter to the H4 trend, recent consolidation has flattened the H1 moving average, suggesting momentum is fading.
โข Momentum signal: RSI on H1 is showing significant bearish divergence with a clear triple top โ a strong early signal of potential exhaustion.
โข Risk management: Stop loss set at 300 pips to protect capital, with a target of 51,700.
GBPAUD Textbook Bear FlagGBPAUD price had been falling sharply, sellers were in full control, driving the market lower with strong bearish momentum.
Then came a pause. Price started climbing slowly, forming a rising channel. Thatโs the bear flag. Buyers are trying to recover, but it is weak and hesitant, every push higher is met with selling pressure.
Inside that flag, sellers are waiting for signs of exhaustion. And if price breaks below the structure strongly, thatโs the confirmation we need.
I am expecting another impulsive leg down in the direction of the main trend, at around 1.9856.
With this kind of pattern, usually the stop-loss is placed just above the flag.
Keep in mind that this is just an idea, not a trade and not financial advice.
xauusd 3894 or 4060 today?October 29, 2025, XAU/USD has specific price targets. The gold price is currently around $4,018, and traders are focusing on key technical levels and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Below is a summary of the key price levels to watch before the market closes today.
Analysis Type Key Resistance Key Support Primary Target Alternative Target
Technical & Scenario-Based $4,005.79 $3,951.68 $4,059.90 - $4,114.01 (if resistance breaks) $3,893.96 (if support breaks)
Bearish Correction - $3,940 $3,870 -
Range-Bound $4,010 $3,860 Movement between $3,860 and $4,010 -
๐จ Key Market Driver Today
The single most important event influencing gold's movement today is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Markets are overwhelmingly expecting a 25-basis-point rate cut, and how the market reacts will depend heavily on the tone (dovish or hawkish) set by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Dovish Signal (Bullish for Gold): If the Fed signals openness to further easing, it could weaken the US Dollar and help push gold above the $4,005 resistance toward the higher targets.
Hawkish Signal (Bearish for Gold): If the Fed suggests this cut is a "one-and-done" move, it could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it down to test the $3,951 support and potentially lower.
๐ก A Note for Your Trading
Conflicting Signals Exist: While one technical model suggests a potential rise to $4,010, another maintains a bearish outlook with a target of $3,870, contingent on the price staying below $3,940. This highlights the market's uncertainty ahead of the Fed news.
Trade the Reaction: Many analysts advise waiting for the price to convincingly break through one of the key levels ($4,005 resistance or $3,951 support) before committing to a new trade direction, rather than anticipating the move prematurely.
In summary, for the remainder of today's session, watch the $4,005 resistance and $3,951 support levels. The Fed's announcement will likely determine whether the price moves towards $4,060 or falls back to $3,894.
NASDAQ Short There is a lot of resistance, as it is at an all-time high and is unable to break this level
There are 2 patterns on M15 and M30 showing a potential reversal zone
This is against the H4 trend; however, it is overbought on H1
RSI is showing strong divergence with a triple top on H1
Stoploss above 21300
First target 24870 or when M15 is oversold
Potential Reversal Ready To Flip AU On Its "Head"Price on OANDA:AUDUSD is almost complete with forming the Right and final Shoulder of the potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!
Once Price has visited the Neckline of the Pattern, it will be Confirmed and will suggest that Price is looking to head higher!!
Once Confirmed, we will want to wait for a Valid Breakout and a Retest to generate potential Long Opportunities to take up to the next Resistance @ .6620!
Bitcoin Short This is overbought on M15, M30, and H1 showing strong divergence on RSI
There is a bat pattern on H1 displaying a potential reversal zone
Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend after the crash, making this a continuation
Stoploss above 112250
There is strong resistance from the previous weeks low
Got The GUTS For Stocks? Fractyl Health, Inc. Prints A Bull FlagNASDAQ:GUTS has printed a Bull Flag and with Price making a Retracement to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ $1.28, the Consolidation Phase of Price should be coming to and end!
This could mean its time to Buy Stock in Fractyl Health, Inc!
Once able to Breakout of the Descending Channel of the Flag, Price on Fractyl could keep pushing up!!
Currently the Analyst 1 Yr Price Target is set for $6.76, almost a 400% gain!
The company is also making great strides in weight loss study's and obesity gene therapy!
Triple Bottom At Rising Support Could Spell High Hopes For EJ!Here on OANDA:EURJPY we can see that Price was able to make a Breakout of the Rising Support to start the week last week and since, has made a Pullback to test the Breakout!
Price on Tuesday was able to make contact with the Rising Support in the 175.5 area and has formed a Triple Bottom Pattern suggesting this strong reversal pattern is aiming for higher prices!
Confirmation on the Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern will come when Price is able to Breakout of the current level holding Price @ 176.3.
Once the Breakout of the Triple Bottom is confirmed, this could generate a great Long opportunity from the 176.3 level to the next Resistance Zone @ 177.7 - 177.9
USDJPY Ultimate Price Action Analysis:๐ USDJPY Forecast ๐ฎ๐น (147.961) Closing 20th Sept 2025 | 12:50 AM UTC+4
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Market Snapshot
USDJPY closed at 147.961, showing mixed signals as bulls attempt to hold ground near critical levels while sellers eye a potential reversal. โ๏ธ
๐ฆ Technical Framework
๐น Chart Patterns
๐ Possible Elliott Wave 5th leg exhaustion near 148.5โ149.2.
๐ Harmonic PRZ forming around 149.0.
๐ฏ Ichimoku Cloud shows resistance overhead, baseline support at 147.3.
โ ๏ธ Watch for bull trap if price fails 148.2.
๐น Indicators
RSI ๐: 62 โ mild overbought.
BB ๐: Price hugging upper band = volatility spike.
MA Cross ๐: Golden cross intact, but momentum flattening.
VWAP โก: Anchored VWAP = 147.6 โ strong pivot.
๐ Intraday Outlook
Buy Zone ๐ต: 147.40 โ 147.60 (support + VWAP confluence).
Sell Zone ๐ธ: 148.50 โ 148.80 (resistance + harmonic).
Take Profit ๐ฏ:
Longs โ 148.20 / 148.50
Shorts โ 147.10 / 146.80
Stop Loss ๐:
Longs < 147.20
Shorts > 149.00
โณ Swing Trading Outlook
Bullish Scenario ๐: Break & close above 149.20 โ next target 150.50 โ 151.20.
Bearish Scenario ๐ป: Close below 146.80 โ correction toward 145.40 โ 144.70.
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 148.20 / 148.80 / 149.20
Support: 147.40 / 146.80 / 145.40
๐ฏ Strategy Summary
โ
Intraday: Buy dips near support, sell rallies near resistance.
โ
Swing: Watch 149.20 breakout or 146.80 breakdown for larger moves.
โก Volatility expected โ trade with strict risk control.
๐ Market Context
Fed & BoJ policy divergence remains key.
Geopolitical jitters in Asia could trigger safe-haven flows โ boosting JPY demand.
๐ฅ Trade Smart | Manage Risk | Respect Levels ๐ฅ
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
โ ๏ธDisclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Noise or pattern?Since february 2024 silver shows like gold a four phase pattern but with a higher frequency leading to a phase shift. What do you think. What are the causes for this cycles? Why is there a difference in the frequency and what will happen when both phases are congruent again?
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
What will happen next?Gold has been following a pattern since February 2024. Let's see how long it lasts and what will break it.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
Head and Shoulders Pattern on U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) โ Bearish Overview of the Idea (as shown in the chart)
The chart illustrates a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern forming on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). This classical technical pattern signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Left Shoulder: The first peak followed by a pullback.
Head: A higher peak, forming the top of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, roughly equal to the left shoulder.
Neckline: A support line connecting the lows between the shoulders. Once broken, it indicates potential bearish continuation.
The chart highlights:
A breakout below the neckline.
A retest of the neckline (common in H&S setups, where old support becomes resistance).
A projected downside target aligned with the height of the head-to-neckline move.
Detailed Analysis
1. Pattern Identification
The H&S is clear: higher high (Head) flanked by two lower highs (Shoulders).
The neckline is slightly ascending, but once broken, it signals sellers stepping in.
2. Breakout Confirmation
Price broke below the neckline, confirming the bearish pattern.
The retest at ~97.62 shows rejection, strengthening the bearish outlook.
3. Bearish Projection
Technical rule: the expected downside target is approximately equal to the distance from the head to the neckline, projected downwards from the breakout point.
The chart projects a move toward 97.25, which aligns with the marked support zone.
Timing
The projection points to Monday, 15/09/25, suggesting this bearish move may unfold in the upcoming trading sessions.
Walkthrough Thought Process
Think of the market like a battle between buyers and sellers:
The buyers pushed price higher (Head), but then failed to sustain strength at the right shoulder.
When price breaks the neckline, it shows sellers are gaining control.
The retest confirms that what was once support (neckline) has now become resistance.
This setup gives traders confidence to enter a short (sell) trade, targeting the projected downside.
Trade Idea
Entry : After retest rejection around 97.62.
Target (TP) : 97.25 (support zone based on H&S projection).
Stop Loss (SL) : Above the right shoulder at 97.80 (to protect if pattern fails).






















