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USD/JPY(20260116)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The Bank of Japan will announce its next policy decision on January 23. Officials believe that maintaining the interest rate at 0.75% (the highest level in 30 years) is appropriate. Sources say the committee will make its final policy decision after monitoring economic data and financial markets until the last minute. Sources also indicate that given inflation trends are approaching its 2% target, officials will be watching how the yen affects underlying inflation, including price expectations for households and businesses. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 158.56 Support and Resistance Levels: 159.22 158.98 158.82 158.31 158.15 157.90 Trading Strategy: A break above 158.82: Consider buying, first target price 158.98. A break below 158.56: Consider selling, first target price 158.31.
Short
by GoldDiggerPig
USD/JPY(20260114)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Labor Department reported on Tuesday that the U.S. CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year in December, unchanged from November. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year, also unchanged from November. Both figures were below market expectations. On Tuesday, traders increased their bets that the Federal Reserve might not wait until Fed Chairman Powell's term ends in May to cut interest rates. While traders still believe a June rate cut is the most likely outcome, the latest data projects a 42% probability of a Fed rate cut in April, up from 38% before the data release. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 158.72 Support and Resistance Levels: 160.01 159.53 159.22 158.23 157.91 157.43 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 159.22, consider buying with a first target price of 159.53. If the price breaks below 158.72, consider selling with a first target price of 158.23.
Long
by GoldDiggerPig
USD/JPY(20260109)Today's AnalysisMarket News: On Tuesday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit record closing highs, marking the first buy signal from Dow Theory in over a year. Technical strategists believe this confirms the bull market that began in late 2022 remains firmly established, even as some previously high-performing AI-related stocks have recently faced pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's last record closing high was on January 5th, while the Dow Jones Transportation Average's record high was even further back. Dow Jones market data shows that the index's last record closing high was on November 25th, 2024. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 156.79 Support and Resistance Levels: 157.40 157.17 157.02 156.55 156.41 156.18 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 157.02, consider buying with a first target price of 157.1. If the price breaks below 156.79, consider selling with a first target price of 156.55.
Long
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20260107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① Venezuela and the United States are negotiating on oil exports to the US. ② In the early years of Maduro's rule, Venezuela shipped $5.2 billion worth of gold to Switzerland. ③ Shipping data shows that in the past five days, Venezuela's main oil terminals have not shipped crude oil for export to any destination other than Chevron in the United States. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 156.52 Support and Resistance Levels: 157.15 156.91 156.76 156.28 156.13 155.89 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 156.76, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.91. If the price breaks below 156.52, consider selling, with a first target price of 156.28.
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20251224)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US economy expanded at a rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, the fastest growth in two years, but the US consumer confidence index declined for the fifth consecutive month. ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, private sector employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week. Trump: Those who disagree with him will never become Fed Chair. Next Fed candidate Hassett: Predicts monthly job growth may return to 100,000+, and the Fed is far behind the times on interest rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 156.30 Support and Resistance Levels: 157.71 157.18 156.84 155.76 155.42 154.90 Trading Strategy: If it breaks above 156.30, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.84. If it breaks below 155.76, consider selling, with a first target price of 155.42.
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Ben Waller, one of the final candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and current Governor, said on Wednesday that the current job market is "very weak" and job growth is "not optimistic," therefore the Fed still has room to cut interest rates. He supports further rate cuts to restore the central bank's interest rate setting to a neutral level, while stating that policymakers do not need to rush into doing so. Speaking at the Yale University CEO Summit, Waller noted that the Fed's current interest rate is 50 to 100 basis points higher than the neutral rate, but he emphasized that "aggressive action is not needed" and that rate cuts can continue "at a moderate pace." Waller stated that "the job market indicates the Fed should continue cutting rates," while also assuring that "we are not seeing a cliff-like drop in the job market." Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 155.30 Support and Resistance: 156.52 156.06 155.77 154.83 154.54 154.08 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 155.77, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.06. If the price breaks below 155.30, consider selling, with a first target price of 154.83.
by FlyingTowardsWealth
3rd time lucky? (EUR/JPY)Setup Bullish trend is overbought - short term bearish Bearish Shooting star pattern on weekly chart (this is the 3rd one - the previous two didn't work out - 3rd time lucky?) Bearish Evening star pattern on daily chart Daily RSI down from very overbought reading Price well above 20/50 day moving average zone Commentary There have been no meaningful corrections since the bullish trend began at 155. A large reversal from above 180 could be the start of one. Strategy Sell rebound towards supply zone starting at 182 Sell on break below last week’s low price (179.80)
Short
by jasperlawler
USD/JPY(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Cleveland Fed President Hammarck emphasized inflation risks and opposed further rate cuts; however, Governor Milan continues to expect a Fed rate cut in December; New York Fed President Williams believes the model-based estimate of the US neutral interest rate is around 1%. Governor Barr pointed out that the impact of artificial intelligence may be affecting hiring in some industries. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 153.33 Support and Resistance Levels: 154.63 154.15 153.83 152.83 152.52 152.03 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 153.33, consider buying with a first target price of 153.83. If the price breaks below 152.83, consider selling with a first target price of 152.52.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News: A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 152.22 Support and Resistance Levels: 153.33 152.91 152.64 151.80 151.53 151.11 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64. If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of 151.53.
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time. Technical Analysis: Today's buy/sell levels: 151.83 Support and resistance levels: 152.38 152.17 152.04 151.61 151.48 151.27 Trading Strategy: If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17. If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold typically performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 150.73 Support and Resistance Levels: 151.65 151.30 151.08 150.37 150.15 149.81 Trading Strategy: On the upside, consider buying on a break above 151.08, with the first target at 151.30. On the downside, consider selling on a break below 150.73, with the first target at 150.15.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20250924)Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.66 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.13 147.95 147.84 147.49 147.37 147.20 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.84, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 148.13. If the market breaks below 147.66, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 147.49.
Long
by GoldenBigAge
USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade. Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement. However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside. Looking at the broader picture: • The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support. • From there, the pair began climbing in a constructive way, consistently putting in higher lows on the long-term chart. • During the current consolidation, we’ve seen two notable bullish reactions: dips slightly below 147.70 were bought aggressively on 14 August and again just two days ago, leaving behind clean bullish pin bars on the daily chart. Putting these pieces together, my bias is bullish. I expect the current range to eventually resolve higher, with 150.80 as the next major resistance and natural target for bulls. That being said, the market still needs to confirm this idea: • Upside acceleration comes with a clear break above 148.50. • The bullish case would be invalidated by a daily close below 146.50. As always, patience is key — range markets test our discipline, but they also prepare the ground for the next big move. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
11
USD/JPY(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.40 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.30 147.96 147.74 147.05 146.83 146.49 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.40, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 147.74. If the market breaks below 147.05, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 146.83
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250804)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① The US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 jobs in July, far below the expected 110,000; the previous two months saw a significant downward revision of 258,000 jobs, prompting traders to fully price in two Fed rate cuts before the end of the year. ② The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July unexpectedly fell to 48, below the expected 49.5 and the lowest level since October 2024. ③ The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for July reached a five-month high. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 148.53 Support and Resistance Levels: 152.12 150.78 149.91 147.15 146.28 144.94 Trading Strategy: If it breaks above 148.53, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 149.91. If it breaks below 147.15, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 146.28.
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news: After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buy and sell boundaries: 148.19 Support and resistance levels: 149.23 148.84 148.59 147.78 147.53 147.14 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.59, consider buying, the first target price is 148.84 If the price breaks through 148.19, consider selling, the first target price is 147.78
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250728)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different opinions on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve. US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increase on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.47 Support and resistance levels: 148.58 148.17 147.90 147.04 146.77 146.35 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.90, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17 If the price breaks through 147.47, consider selling, the first target price is 147.04
Long
by NicolaZhu
1
USD/JPY(20250724)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.60 Support and resistance levels: 147.70 147.29 147.02 146.18 145.92 145.51 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 146.60, consider buying in, with the first target price at 147.02 If the price breaks through 146.18, consider selling in, with the first target price at 145.92
Short
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250714)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.02 Support and resistance levels: 148.39 147.88 147.55 146.49 146.15 145.64 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 147.88 If the price breaks through 147.02, consider selling, and the first target price is 146.49
Short
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.79 Support and resistance levels: 145.47 144.84 144.43 143.15 142.74 142.12 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 144.43, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.84 If the price breaks through 143.79, consider selling in, the first target price is 143.15
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
USD/JPY(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.73 Support and resistance levels: 145.09 144.58 144.25 143.21 142.88 142.37 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.73, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.25 If the price breaks through 143.21, consider selling in, the first target price is 142.88
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
USD/JPY(20250604)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.47 Support and resistance levels: 145.19 144.55 144.13 142.81 142.39 141.75 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 144.13, consider buying in, with the first target price of 144.55 If the price breaks through 143.47, consider selling in, with the first target price of 142.81
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
1