POND/USDT — Accumulation at Demand Zone, Reversal or Breakdown?📝 Full Narrative Analysis
POND/USDT on the weekly timeframe is currently at a decisive point. Since its peak in 2021, price has been in a long-term downtrend. However, what stands out is that since early 2022, POND has consistently held within the strong demand zone between 0.006–0.010 (highlighted in yellow).
This zone has become a crucial battleground:
On one side, buyers have been consistently accumulating, as shown by multiple long downside wicks rejecting lower prices.
On the other side, sellers remain in control, with price repeatedly failing to break above key resistances.
In short, POND is stuck in a long-term accumulation phase after the bear market. The big question is: will this phase end with a bullish breakout or a bearish capitulation?
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📈 Bullish Scenario
1. Key confirmation: A weekly close above 0.0125–0.0158.
2. If successful, market structure may shift into a higher high formation in the mid-term.
3. Step-by-step upside targets:
🎯 0.0158 (initial breakout confirmation)
🎯 0.0269 (next strong resistance)
🎯 0.035–0.054 (major supply zone)
🎯 0.1012 (historical resistance)
4. Narrative: A breakout above this accumulation zone could mark the beginning of a long-term trend reversal, rewarding patient investors who have been accumulating.
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📉 Bearish Scenario
1. Key confirmation: A weekly close below 0.00627 (historical low).
2. If that happens, the demand zone that has held for years will officially collapse.
3. Consequences:
POND could print new all-time lows, entering a final distribution phase before seeking another bottom.
The 0.0125–0.0158 zone may flip into a strong supply area, capping future rallies.
4. Narrative: A breakdown below this level signals that major buyers are not ready to lift the market — patience will be required.
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🔍 Visible Pattern
Accumulation Range: Price moving sideways within 0.006–0.010 for years.
Repeated Rejections: Frequent downside wicks show buying interest, but without enough momentum for a reversal.
Decision Point: POND is at a crossroads — will this long accumulation result in a reversal or another leg down?
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⚖️ Conclusion
POND/USDT is sitting at a golden decision zone. For aggressive traders, the 0.006–0.010 area may be seen as a speculative entry zone with attractive risk/reward, but strict stop-loss discipline below support is essential. Conservative traders may prefer waiting for a confirmed breakout above 0.0125–0.0158 before joining in.
This chart sends a clear message: the market is waiting for its next big move. Patience is key.
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