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Gold and the Calm Before the Breakout StormGold Technical Outlook: Trend: Gold has been in a sustained uptrend since late 2024, holding well above the 200-day SMA (3,062) and stabilizing around the 50-day SMA (3,346). Resistance: The top of the consolidation range sits near 3,430–3,450, a key barrier that has rejected multiple breakout attempts. Support: On the downside, the base of the range is marked around 3,245, which aligns with a prior swing low. The rising 50-day SMA provides additional dynamic support. Momentum: RSI is steady at 55, showing room for upside but not yet overbought. MACD is modestly positive, hinting at a gradual recovery in bullish momentum. Structure: Price is currently oscillating in a horizontal range (3,245–3,450) after its sharp rally, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than trend reversal. What this means: Gold remains in consolidation but within a strong broader uptrend. The 3,430–3,450 resistance zone is the key breakout level to watch — a close above it could re-ignite bullish momentum and open the door for fresh highs. On the flip side, failure to hold the 3,245 floor would signal deeper corrective risk. For now, this looks like a bullish continuation pattern with traders awaiting a decisive breakout from the range to confirm the next leg. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Waiting for that next spark in Gold For now, TVC:GOLD price remains inside a couple triangle formations. We are waiting for the next big thing that could bring the precious metal out of its "shell" and send it upwards or downwards. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:GOLD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
G
by Marketscom
Wheaton (WPM) – Streaming Growth + Precious Metals TailwindsCompany Snapshot: Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM is a top-tier precious metals streaming company, giving investors leveraged exposure to gold & silver while avoiding traditional mining risks. Key Catalysts: Production Growth Pipeline 🚀 Blackwater, Goose, Platreef, and Mineral Park all scheduled to begin production by late 2025. Expected to meaningfully boost output, cash flow, and dividend capacity. Commodity Tailwinds 📈 Rising gold & silver prices supported by central bank buying, geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation. Fixed-cost streaming model maximizes margin expansion in a bull metals market. Earnings Acceleration 💵 Q2 2025 EPS forecast: $0.58 (+44% YoY). Revenue forecast: $424M (+42% YoY). Potential for valuation re-rating as growth trends materialize. Shareholder Appeal 📊 $0.165 quarterly dividend offers both income and growth upside for investors. Investment Outlook: Bullish Entry Zone: Above $81.00–$82.00 Upside Target: $115.00–$120.00, driven by new mine ramps, commodity strength, and operational leverage. #WPM #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #Mining #StreamingModel #Commodities #InflationHedge #DividendStocks #SafeHavenAssets
NYSE:WPMLong
by Richtv_official
GOLD: Bulls Testing the Top of the RangeGold is attempting to break above the well-established horizontal resistance near $3,430, which has capped price action since April. The metal continues to respect its ascending trendline from the December 2024 low, supported by the rising 50-day SMA ($3,344). The lower boundary of the consolidation range is marked near $3,245, making this a textbook triangle/range structure within a broader uptrend. Momentum indicators support the bullish case: MACD has crossed bullish above the signal line, although still near the zero line. RSI is rising and sits at 55.46, showing room for further upside before entering overbought territory. If bulls succeed in securing a daily close above $3,430, this would confirm a bullish breakout from multi-month consolidation, potentially opening the door to a fresh leg higher. On the downside, any failure to break out cleanly may lead to a retest of the ascending trendline and the $3,245 support area. Summary: Gold remains in an uptrend and is challenging the top of a 4-month range. Break above $3,430 would signal bullish continuation. MACD and RSI both point to building momentum. Support lies at $3,344 (50 SMA) and $3,245 (range low). Patience is key here—traders may wait for confirmation of a breakout or watch for rejection candles near resistance to determine the next directional bias. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: Due to there being no KOG Report last week so we won’t reference it, however, we did post the FOMC and NFP reports for the wider community to help them navigate the moves, which as you can see from the pinned ideas worked well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? After the move we observed for NFP on Friday we would like to see some retracement in the sessions ahead. Looking at the 4H chart we have a reversal in play, but we still have no break out of this range! We’re simply playing the highs and the lows while price chops and whipsaws within it, which could be causing some new traders confusion and frustration. We have a support level below 3350 and below that 3340 which will be the bias level for this week as bullish above. We then have the intra-day resistance level 3365-70 while there is an extension of the move into the 3385 level. Ideally, what we want to see here is support levels hold or a quick continuation on the open into the higher red box levels and the a potential for a RIP. That RIP however is most likely going to be a scalp unless we come down and break below that 3345-50 level. We want to see how this reacts at these higher levels and if we do get a break of the boxes, otherwise, there is a chance we see another curveball like we suggested a couple of weeks ago, and we correct this whole move back downside with the first hurdle being 3340-35 on the flip. We’re going to keep it simple here for now and usual we’ll update during the week once we have a clearer understanding of whether this wants to attempt a new all time high or not. Please note, our liquidity indicator is suggesting a little higher but a pullback is on the way. We’ll keep you updated. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384 Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310 RED BOXES: Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
MAG Silver – A Pure-Play Winner in the Precious Metals RallyCompany Snapshot: AMEX:MAG Silver is uniquely positioned as a high-beta play on silver and gold, with nearly all revenue tied to precious metals exposure—making it a standout in the current macro-driven metals bull run. Key Catalysts: High Leverage to Silver 🌐 With almost all income derived from silver and gold sales, MAG offers direct upside as investors flock to safe-haven assets amid inflation, rate uncertainty, and geopolitical risk. Juanicipio Growth Engine ⛏️ Operated by top-tier partner Fresnillo, the Juanicipio project continues to scale efficiently, tapping into new high-grade zones that will further boost output and margins. Financial Strength 💰 A debt-light balance sheet and healthy cash reserves give MAG financial flexibility, minimizing dilution risk and providing insulation during volatile market cycles. Investment Outlook: Bullish Entry Zone: Above $18.00–$19.00 Upside Target: $28.00–$29.00, driven by silver tailwinds, project scalability, and financial discipline. 🥇 MAG Silver stands out as a low-risk, high-reward name for investors seeking direct exposure to silver’s breakout. #SilverStocks #Gold #MAGSilver #SafeHaven #PreciousMetals #Juanicipio #Fresnillo #CommodityRally #HardAssets #MiningStocks #InflationHedge #Geopolitics #MetalBulls
MLong
by Richtv_official
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
EUR/USD Technical Analysis📈 EUR/USD Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Market Structure ⚙ Trend Context • The overall trend since mid-July has been bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming after a bounce from a key demand zone (around 1.15380). • However, recent candles show indecision and a potential reversal, suggesting weakening momentum. ⸻ 🧱 2. Volume Profile Insight (VRVP) • High Volume Nodes (HVNs): • Significant trading activity occurred between 1.172–1.176, now acting as resistance. • Low Volume Gaps: • Thin liquidity zones exist between 1.165–1.158, which could result in swift price movement if selling pressure increases. 📘 Educational Insight: Thin volume areas on a profile typically allow for faster price transitions due to lack of order density. ⸻ 📊 3. Envelope Indicator – Nadaraya-Watson (8,3) • A mean-reversion tool estimating dynamic overbought and oversold areas. • Price recently rejected the upper boundary, reinforcing the bearish outlook. • The lower envelope, around 1.158–1.160, aligns with the projected bearish target. ⸻ 🟫 4. Demand Zone Analysis • Labeled “DEMAND ZONE” at 1.15380–1.15830 • Previously caused a strong bullish reversal, marking it as an area of institutional interest. • A re-test of this zone may attract buyers once again, presenting a key support area. 📘 Educational Insight: Demand zones reflect
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
Palladium Crash Incoming; 30%+ Drop ExpectedPalladium is indeed a very small market and hence exhibits very unique and highly predictable COT patterns. When the producers begin to heavily sell after large price rallies, XPD is destined for a fall back down into its intermediate term supply/demand zone. Which in this case represents the $850-$900 range. So a nice 30%+ down swing over the course of several months can be predicted based on previous builds in the NYMEX COT report. There is absolutely ZERO material reason for the PGMs to have staged such a large rally these last few months other then as a liquidity fueled move coupled with massive price divergence with gold. The PGM market could not have worse demand fundamentals, especially for Palladium which is mostly used for automotive use as catalytic converters in gasoline powered vehicles (ICE). With the largest customer of the metal being China who is in a secular economic slowdown, then the US/EU where vehicle prices have exploded. The market is well supplied especially as EVs take over in dominance across Asia and emerging more in western markets which require no such catalytic functions. Market Call: We are scaling into short positions on XPD anticipating a market convergence back to its normally supplied price level of $875/oz.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by kaotic363
Barrick Gold Corp (B) – Riding the Gold SupercycleCompany Snapshot: Barrick $B is a global gold and copper mining powerhouse, poised to thrive amid soaring gold prices and escalating macroeconomic uncertainty. Key Catalysts: Gold Bull Run Tailwind 📊 Spot gold is surging, with projections aiming for $2,700/oz. As a low-cost, large-scale producer, Barrick stands to gain significantly from margin expansion and free cash flow acceleration. Global Diversification 🌍 Operations across North America, Africa, and Asia offer geographic balance—mitigating regional risk while ensuring strong production continuity. Insider Confidence + Lean Costs 🔒 CEO Mark Bristow and other execs are actively buying shares, signaling deep conviction. With industry-low all-in sustaining costs (AISC), Barrick boasts high operational leverage to gold’s upside, especially in an inflationary environment. Investment Outlook: Bullish Entry Zone: Above $18.00–$19.00 Upside Target: $28.00–$29.00, fueled by macro gold strength, disciplined execution, and insider alignment. ⛏️ Barrick is a prime gold cycle play, combining operational excellence with strategic global scale. #BarrickGold #GoldStocks #GoldPrice #Commodities #InflationHedge #MiningStocks #InsiderBuying #AISC #PreciousMetals #MacroTailwinds #B
NYSE:BLong
by Richtv_official
US CPIs came out. Gold is at an interesting spot.TVC:GOLD is currently struggling with one of its key resistance barriers, at around 3365. We need a clear break above that area in order to aim for higher areas. However, we are not getting bearish yet. Let's dig in! MARKETSCOM:GOLD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
G
by Marketscom
GOLD - GC | Weekly Recap & Plan 13.07.2025🟡 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Outlook Symbol: GC1! Date: Week of July 8–12, 2025 Timeframes Used: 4H, Daily, Weekly, HTF structure 🔍 What Happened Last Week? Gold saw a strong rejection from a confluence of two HTF trendlines, signaling resistance. But that move was absorbed by: 🟦 Daily Demand (blue zone) 🔵 Daily Swing Liquidity (blue line) This builds a bullish structure on the daily chart. 🧭 Scenarios I'm Watching Scenario 1 — Minor Pullback: 🔹 Price may revisit the Daily Gap (pink line) and find support for continuation. Scenario 2 — Deeper Pullback: 🟣 Price could retrace into the HTF bullish trendline (purple) before resuming upside. 🗞️ Bonus Macro Scenario: Powell Resignation? There are growing rumors that Fed Chair Powell might resign this week. 📈 If that happens, I expect strong bullish momentum in Gold — → very limited retracement, and → potential straight breakout into new highs. 🎯 Targets for the Week: ✅ 1st Target: W C DOL (purple line) → acts as a primary take profit area. ✅ 2nd Target (Expansion): EQHs / DOL (extended purple levels) Game Plan: Watch for LTF confirmation on both retracement zones. Maintain bullish bias unless Daily Demand fails. If Powell resigns, be ready for breakout setups.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟 Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing. Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis: Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes. Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry. Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉 Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈 Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward: 1. Trade-War Uncertainty What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar. Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid. 2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold. 3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions. Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend. 🎯 Outlook Summary Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints. Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame 🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily) Zone: $3,348 – $3,400 Why It Matters: Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400. 📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups Short at Resistance Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high) Stop-Loss: Above $3,420 Breakdown Short Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250 Targets: TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level) Stop-Loss: Above $3,290 🔵 Potential Long Opportunities Defensive Long (Aggressive) Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 Targets: TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance) TP2: $3,400 (key resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $3,230 Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative) Trigger: Daily close above $3,400 Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,450 TP2: $3,500+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price remains capped under $3,400. Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts. A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026). Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability): Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally. Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades. Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside. Just a Heads-Up: This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅 We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments! Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈 Each one, teach one. — Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by PFXteam
“Accumulation, Breakout, Repeat: SBSW’s Time Again?” SBSW | Weekly Chart Analysis 4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle: 🔹 2015–2016 🔹 2019–2021 🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026 Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats. 🧠 Smart Money Moves Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again. 📊 Technical Breakdown This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low. ✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher. 📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting. 🎯 Key Areas of Interest: • $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R • $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot • $14.90 – Confluence zone These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal. 🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues. Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave. 🧠 My Position Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation. (Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.) 🕰️ Cycles matter. 📚 History teaches. 💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout. This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in. — 📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm. SBSW | Weekly Chart Analysis 4-Year Cycle | Smart Money Levels | Precious Metals Macro Tailwind This chart paints a clear picture — Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) has followed a reliable 4-year accumulation-to-expansion cycle: 🔹 2015–2016 🔹 2019–2021 🔹 Now shaping up for 2025–2026 Each rally kicked off after institutional accumulation around the $3 level, and once again, we’re seeing the same behavior. History doesn’t just rhyme — it repeats. 🧠 Smart Money Moves Every major cycle began after price based out near the $3 level. That’s exactly what we’ve just seen — accumulation, basing, and now lift-off. We’ve entered a familiar pattern — the same smart money footprints showing up again. 📊 Technical Breakdown This is the weekly chart, and we’re now testing the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (7.39) drawn from the 2020 high to the recent low. ✅ A weekly close above this level + structure building could confirm the beginning of a long-term leg higher. 📈 Volume Flow Indicator has crossed above the midline for the first time in years, suggesting that real buying pressure is back. That’s a shift in momentum worth noting. 🎯 Key Areas of Interest: • $10.00 – Volume node + prior S/R • $12.00 – Fib midpoint + prior pivot • $14.90 – Confluence zone These are zones where I’ll be watching for continuation, reaction, or reversal. 🌎 Macro Tailwind: Precious Metals Demand Platinum and palladium are gaining renewed attention as demand increases in EVs, clean energy, and industrial sectors. SBSW — with its deep exposure to both metals — is positioned as a long-term beneficiary if this trend continues. Add to that the recent global instability and de-dollarization chatter, and you’ve got a macro backdrop favoring real assets over paper. Precious metals are catching a bid — and SBSW could ride that wave. 🧠 My Position Started buying $4.00 calls and recently rolled to $5.50s. I’m letting this one develop over time — watching for confirmation and continuation. (Not financial advice — just sharing my perspective as always.) 🕰️ Cycles matter. 📚 History teaches. 💰 Smart money accumulates before the breakout. This setup has all the hallmarks of a repeat cycle in progress. I’m locked in. 📍 Long-term chartwork, weekly timeframe. Zoom out to see the rhythm. 🛑 Invalidation below $5.50 — no structure, no conviction, I’m out. If SBSW breaks back below the $5.50 level with high volume and fails to reclaim it quickly, that would invalidate the current breakout structure and suggest this move was a false start. I'd reassess the cycle thesis if we revisit the $4 range with no buyer defense. Please feel free to comment and let me your opinion
NYSE:SBSWLong
by DC_Trading_Journey
1