Silver Consolidation and Potential Breakout:The silver (XAUUSD) has been trading in a range following the spike in the price last July 2020. Traders with bearish and bullish view are testing prices in the search for indications of the next level. The weekly chart shows this battle forms a consolidation process and a triangle pattern with bears losing power in every drop. A breakout occurs when prices finally moving outside a defined support or resistance level after a period of consolidation and increased volume. Nobody knows with certainty where the next move will be, but based on the pattern, we are in the middle of a breakout trade. The upside potential is huge due to the combination of monetary and industry-specific factors. The current monetary policies of all the Central Banks for injecting more liquidity in the economy is causing warnings of the inflationary pressure and lack of confidence in the Fiat money. But at the same time, silver is not only a precious metal but an important metal for electrification and products such as electric cars, solar technology, medicine, among others. Nevertheless, good traders usually place themselves in a position close to the support level and evaluate the risk/reward ratio with a stop loss just below the last low level defined. In the end, as Elder Alexander said: "Markets spend more time in trading ranges than they do in trends. Most breakouts from trading ranges are false breakouts." - Elder Alexander (1993), Trading for a Living
Preciousmetals
AMAZING opportunity in GOLD. Price target 6000usd (3/3)This is publication 3 out of 3.
Please give my idea a like if you found it useful.
Chart 1:
Chart 2:
History might not always repeat itself, but it often rhymes. The similarities between these charts are astonishing. The chart on the left shows us how the gold price was setting up before the parabolic bull run in the end of the 1970s. Check out the charts above for a closer look.
Gold is nearing the end of its long consolidation period. Gold is ridiculously undervalued at this price. With strong fundamental support, this Cup and handle pattern will launch the price of Gold into the sky.
Okay, so we have a buy setup here, but where did I get my price target from?
Why do I say 6000usd as ultimate target? Well, honestly, predicting the top is going to be very difficult. Maybe we go above 6k, or maybe we top out a little below. If we compare the fib levels to the parabolic bull run in the end of the 1970s, we can see that it wicked above the 4.236 fib level. Going to the 2.618 fib level at 5400, and even wicking above - up to the psychological level at 6000usd, is not unrealistic technically speaking. I would not be surprised if we even overshoot the 3.618 fib.
We also have a variety of different correlations that supports a big growth for Gold , like the gold to monetary base ratio.
I don't have the time right now to go in depth about all the fundamental factors in play here, but here are some pointers:
- Negative real interest rates
- Gold is a tier 1 asset - store of value
- Massive currency creation
---------> inflation inevitable, -> currency crisis
we can already see signs of inflation - commodity prices are soaring
As soon as money velocity speeds up again - inflation will accelerate
-Uncertain times and political instability -> People tend to put their money in a safe asset ( Gold = Safe haven) when times are uncertain
-More retail investors in the financial markets - we have seen a massive surge in retail investors and traders the past couple of years - people are becoming more informed about how the financial systems work. When crypto cools down, and all the new retail investors who thought crypto would be the best inflation hedge realise that they should diversify into other, less speculative, assets - such as Gold and other precious metals, we will gain a lot of momentum.
Gold Weakly ChartJust an update about Gold... I am kinda mixed about Gold at the moment.
It looked as if there were legs for a good launch, and yet it did not. Stopped short at the channel resistance only to look a bit weak, closing below the weekly 55EMA with the last two candlestick suggesting a retracement off the resistance.
At least the RPM and MACD is a little supportive for a pending breakout.
What is also interesting is that the Largest 8 Traders (bottom panel, yellow line) appear to be buying up Gold in the last couple of weeks.
On another note, the USD recently started running up. Continued bullishness in the USD would put some pressure on this Gold breakout, tipping towards a retracement.
To break out or to break down?
Only time will tell...
S I L V E R - Trade Idea!!S I L V E R - Trade Idea.
Precious metals overall have a lot of catching up to do compare to other commodities such as: Lumber, Copper and many others the list is endless. We saw this a yr a go coming due to Bloomberg commodity index, inflationary aspects was going to rise further. We've had good returns overall in commodities area, but isn't it time we pay attention to where precious metals is heading.
We have been ranging for while, however there are still trading opportunity in the 'old skool' precious metals at a good risk/reward! Yes, aware that a lot of attention has gone towards cryptocurrencies this yr allowing further institutional investors with wide divide on the aspects on what to invest in. However, I still look at precious metals as % of my portfolio.
Technical Aspects
Pattern: Short Term - Pennant Longer term - Potential H&S Developing
Support: 25.625, 25.165, 24.970
Resistance: 26.660, 26.915, 27.305, 27.935
Key tip: Stick to your trade plan and develop consistency
Best wishes,
Mind Capital
(Just trade idea, not a recommendation)
Gold Technicals Are Looking GreatWIth Gold being under pressure this week, I am still looking for gold to continue to fall to the down side short term. However, long term I am still bullish. WIth all the money printing and failed monetary policy that is being implemented on a global scale; I am predicting Gold to rise to at least 2300 by 1st quarter 2022. Yes, we are some ways off, but I am more of a long term trader. I do not trade every day, but my setups profits are phenomenal when I see a setup like what is taking place in Gold. Well we appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick (CEO)
Third Eye Traders
Bullish setup in gold strikingly similar to 1970s bull run (2/3)This is publication 2 out of 3.
History might not always repeat itself, but it often rhymes. The similarities between these charts are astonishing. The chart on the left shows us how the gold price was setting up before the parabolic bull run in the end of the 1970s.
Gold is nearing the end of its long consolidation period. Gold is ridiculously undervalued at this price. With strong fundamental support, this Cup and handle pattern will launch the price of Gold into the sky.
6000 USD/Ounce is my ultimate target. Check out my other publications to get a better understanding why the Gold price will soar, and why I think 6000 is a realistic target.
Chart 1 -
GOLD XAUUSD BULLISH PRICE ACTION ON THE WAYGold is trading now on a tiny uptrend channel, and we had another touch right there where I opened my long position. My stop loss level is a bit below the 33DEMA in case of a pullback. I would like to keep this long trade as long as I can. If the market will break above to 1860 level we can touch the 2000$ level by the end of this year!
COBALT ETF (ASX:JRV+ASX:COB+ASX:CLQ+ASX:CLA+ASX:AUZ+ASX:ARV) I've created a list of companies to represent the price of Cobalt Mining Stocks on the Australian Stock Exchange, similar to an ETF.
Cobalt appears to be in early stages of a market cycle with utility across high-growth technology/industrial sectors: electric vehicles (lithium-ion batteries), semiconductors, renewable energy, etc.
Please do your own research before making an investment decision, this is not financial or investment advice. Due diligence is important.
SILVER TECHNICAL SETUP - LONGWith substantial weakness in the dollar, precious metals and the USD currency index have a strong inverse correlation.
Silver has broken out from a bullish falling wedge pattern, which it has back tested and then broken out of the back test. We can also see bullish divergence for the MACd technical indicator on the 8H for Silver spot too.
The attached chart shows a bullish wedge patter having being broken out of, we will look for a close above the purple line to confirm a breakout and enter a long position.
Keep in mind the whipsaw effect we always see due to earnings, exercise caution.
Is a Silver Squeeze Coming?Silver made a violent move last summer when it broke a six-year resistance level. Prices have consolidated since but now the bulls may be returning.
Notice how XAGUSD probed and held its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in late March and the first half of April. This was the first test of the 200-day SMA since May.
Second, prices have broken a short-term bearish trend line running along the peaks of February and late March. They’re now trying to break roughly $25.75 - $26.50, a consolidation zone from mid-March.
Third, Bollinger Bandwidth has turned up after falling near 7 percent. This has been a floor for the range of motion. That could help fuel a move if the price action starts to expand.
There’s also a catalyst next week with the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday.
The white metal is a strange product overall, with flashes of excitement and long periods of boredom. It’s been inert for months, but now the price action could be pointing toward another period of quicker movement.
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