Gold (XAUUSD) – 10 Sep | Watching M15 Supply for Short Setups🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 10 September
Market Overview
Gold had been in relentless bullish momentum with both H4 and M15 aligned to the upside. Yesterday, price made a fresh all-time high at 3674.650 , but sharp selling pressure emerged from that level.
This rejection caused a significant Change of Character (ChoCh) below the previous higher low at 3628.5 . Following this, the market also printed a Break of Structure (BoS) earlier today, confirming that the H4 pullback phase has now begun.
Current Market Scenario
H4: Shifted into a pullback phase after M15 ChoCh + BoS.
M15: In a downtrend, currently retracing after the structural break.
This alignment signals that our focus today will be on sell setups only .
Key POI for Today
🔹 3637–3640.8 → M15 supply zone at the LH level.
If price retraces into this zone and provides LTF confirmation , we will plan a short setup.
If this zone is not respected, we will step aside and reassess deeper supply areas.
Execution Plan
Wait for price to retest the 3637–3640.8 M15 supply zone .
Drop to M1 for confirmation (micro ChoCh / micro BoS).
If confirmation is present, execute a short setup with fixed risk.
If the zone fails, do not force trades — wait for price to reach deeper supply before re-engaging.
Execution is about patience — let the market come to your levels, not the other way around.
Bias for Today
📉 Bearish only. Short setups will be taken from supply zones once confirmation is present. Until then — no trades.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Pricaaction
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward.
The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower.
Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion.
Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups.
Targets are clean:
→ 3228 — first liquidity shelf.
→ 3164 — former impulse base.
→ 3084 — if breakdown accelerates.
Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
New shorts on gold! A few hours after the analysis from yesterday gold was already $20 lower.
Today we expect another downside move!
Yesterday we saw an upside impulse from the $1800 level, which is more likely only a correction and we expect that move to end around $1820.
If we get reversal candles with long wicks from there, the that's the perfect short opportunity.
We will be aiming for price to continue lower than $1800
For specific exit levels make sure to follow us!
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BCDBTC Volume Analysis Prediction 06/10/2019We indicated on the chart active areas which could be interested for opening long positions - 0150, 0134 and 0125.
Pay attention on price reaction at 0150. If this level would be breakdown with a high probability we will see a price fall to 0134.
The priority is bull now. So we expecting a further growth to the 0169 and 0180.
Stop loss should be no more than 1-2% of deposit.
Questions are welcome.