CHFJPY - Pullback Into a Key Confluence!CHFJPY has been overall bullish , respecting the rising blue channel nicely over the past weeks.
Right now, price is pulling back into an important intersection:
the demand zone lining up with the lower blue trendline.
This is the kind of area where trends usually get tested, not broken.
As long as this confluence zone (highlighted by the blue circle) continues to hold, my bias remains straightforward:
I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, preferably after confirmation on lower timeframes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Priceaction
EUR/NZD – Weekly breakdown trigger from rising wedgeEUR/NZD is getting squeezed.
Price has been walking up inside a rising wedge for a while, but it’s starting to look tired right around that 2.02–2.05 area. I’m not interested in guessing the top. I only want it if it actually breaks.
Game Plan
No trade unless we get a weekly close under 2.020
Ideally it breaks, then comes back to 2.02 and fails.
Targets
1.990 first trouble area
1.980 next support
Invalidation
If it reclaims and holds above 2.050, I’m out / not taking it. That’s basically the wedge saying “false alarm”.
Simple one: wait for the weekly confirmation. If it doesn’t give it, I’m happy to sit on my hands.
EUR/USD Bearish Breakdown – Targets in FocusThis EUR/USD 2-hour chart shows a clear bearish trend. Price moved from consolidation into a rising channel, then formed a rounding top and broke down. After a brief pullback, EUR/USD continues to trade inside a descending channel, aiming toward lower support levels marked as the 1st and 2nd targets.
SUI M30 FVG Rejection and Continuation Setup📝 Description
On the M30 timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:SUI is pressing into a clear H1 supply / Order Block while still trading under a descending structure. The current pause under the zone looks like a controlled reaction rather than acceptance, keeping the probability of a downside continuation toward lower inefficiencies active.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while below the 1.82 area
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.8 (30m FVG rejection)
• Stop Loss: Above 1.815
• TP1: 1.784
• TP2: 1.764
• TP3: 1.745
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Reaction inside an unmitigated H1 Order Block / supply
• Downside targets align with M30 inefficiency (FVG) and liquidity draws
• No bullish CHOCH/BOS confirmed to justify a reversal narrative
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🧩 Summary
CRYPTOCAP:SUI is reacting at a higher-timeframe supply zone, and as long as price stays capped below the H1 OB, the move is treated as a pullback. Rejection from this area keeps TP1–TP3 in play, with 1.745 as the deeper draw.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Stronger USD supports tighter financial conditions, reducing risk appetite. In this environment, risk assets like crypto remain vulnerable, keeping SUI biased to the downside.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Silver Breakout From Demand Zone – Eyes on $82 and $87 TargetsSilver has successfully bounced from the marked demand zone and broken out of the falling channel structure. Price is now respecting the ascending channel and building bullish momentum. As long as price holds above the breakout level, upside continuation remains likely.
The first bullish target is $82.49, followed by the second target at $87.18 if momentum extends. Watch the channel support for continuation or potential pullback entries.
This setup highlights clean market structure: breakout → retest → bullish trend development.
XAUUSD | Market Structure & Key LevelsPrice is trading in a strong bullish ascending channel, with buyers defending the support zone at 4,280–4,310, which continues to act as a key demand area; as long as price holds above this support, the bullish structure remains intact and pullbacks can be considered healthy. With current price around 4,445, continuation is expected toward the target zone at 4,520–4,560, where major resistance and profit-taking may occur, while a strong close below 4,280 would invalidate this bullish outlook.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — Weekly OutlookPrice is approaching a major weekly resistance zone that has capped price multiple times in the past.
This level is key — how price reacts here will define the next macro leg.
Current structure:
Strong impulse from long-term support
Clean higher highs & higher lows
Momentum remains intact while holding above weekly support
Key level to watch:
~630–680 zone → previous resistance
This area must flip into support to unlock continuation
If price:
Flips & holds above resistance → continuation toward the $1,000+ region becomes likely
Rejects hard → expect a deeper retracement before continuation
No need to front-run.
Weekly closes will tell the real story.
What’s your bias here — clean flip or first rejection before continuation? 👇👇👇
MrC
Bullish Pressure in Control | Structure-Based ScenariosMarket Context (3H – GBPJPY)
Price previously completed an uptrend and then transitioned into a clearly defined horizontal channel , indicating a temporary phase of balance.
That balance was broken to the upside , followed by strong continuation — a clear indication that bullish market pressure is present.
Price has now returned to the upper boundary of the former channel , where reaction and pullback behavior becomes important to observe.
This is not a prediction, but an observation of how pressure interacts with structure .
📈 Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback (Bullish Pressure Holds)
A controlled pullback from the former range high, followed by continuation higher, would be consistent with:
• Acceptance above broken structure
• Strong bullish participation
• Pressure remaining on the buy-side
📈 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Trendline
Price may also retrace deeper toward the ascending trendline while maintaining bullish structure.
As long as this trendline holds, the bullish bias remains intact .
⚠️ Pressure Shift Observation
If price breaks and sustains below the ascending trendline , the bullish bias becomes less likely and market pressure would require reassessment.
🧠 Key Observation
Structure provides the framework, but market pressure determines follow-through .
When pressure is aligned with structure, continuation becomes more likely — without requiring indicators or predictions.
⚠️ Educational & Analytical Use Only
No financial advice. No guarantees.
All decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader and should align with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles.
MNQ Blind Trade Replay - Tuesday January 6 2026 - part 2day: 3-1 / +$332
--------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
ICT, Supply and Demand, Price Action, Swing Failure
MNQ Blind Trade Replay - Tuesday January 6 2026 - part 1As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
ICT, Supply and Demand, Price Action, Swing Failure
XAUUSD Bullish Structure – BUY Setup Toward 4530 & 4560Price has broken above the trendline and is holding above the support zone at 4,485–4,495, where former resistance has now turned into support. As long as price stays above this support area and respects the rising trendline, bullish momentum is likely to continue. The first target is 4530, and if strength sustains, price can extend toward the main target zone at 4,550–4,560. A clear break back below 4,485–4,495 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
When the Market Speaks and Traders Don’t ListenWhen the Market Speaks and Traders Don’t Listen
“The market didn’t reverse suddenly.
You just stopped paying attention.”
Every trader has experienced it.
Price gives signs.
Structure weakens.
Momentum slows.
And yet… the trade is held.
The bias stays.
Hope replaces observation.
Why Traders Miss Clear Reversals
Most traders don’t miss reversals because they lack knowledge.
They miss them because they are emotionally invested.
By the time reversal signals appear, traders are already attached to:
• A bias
• A winning streak
• A prediction
• An opinion they don’t want to abandon
The market speaks softly first.
Ego drowns it out.
What the Market Actually Says
Before most reversals, price communicates clearly:
• Failed continuation
• Loss of momentum
• Liquidity grabs without follow-through
• Structure shifts
• Weak reactions from key zones
These are not surprises.
They are messages.
The market always warns before it turns.
Why Traders Choose Not to Listen
Because listening requires acceptance.
Acceptance that the idea is no longer valid.
Acceptance that being right has expired.
So traders wait for “one more push.”
One more candle.
One more confirmation.
That delay is costly.
Professionals Listen Early
Professional traders don’t predict reversals.
They respond to them.
They don’t argue with price.
They don’t defend bias.
They observe and adapt.
When structure changes, they change.
Without drama.
How to Start Listening Again
• Detach from your last analysis
• Ask what price is doing now , not what it should do
• Respect structure shifts immediately
• Treat hesitation as information
• Accept that clarity often arrives quietly
The market never stops speaking.
Only traders stop listening.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you ever watched the market speak… and decided not to listen?
What made you stay?
EURUSD – 4HEURUSD continues to trade within a contracting structure, respecting both the descending resistance from the B–D highs and rising support from A–C. Price has rolled from the upper boundary and is now rotating lower toward the lower trendline support (E).
Momentum has weakened, with RSI drifting toward the lower range, suggesting downside pressure within the range, not a breakout yet. As long as price holds above the invalidation level (~1.1468), this remains consolidation rather than trend reversal.
A clean break below support would open continuation risk lower. Rejection at E keeps the range intact and sets up another rotation higher.
Key levels:
– Descending resistance (B–D)
– Rising support (A–C / E)
– Invalidation below 1.1468
XAUUSD 1H–Rejection from Supply Zone Bearish Continuation SetupGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading below a descending trendline, showing clear signs of bearish structure on the 1-hour timeframe. Price recently rejected a strong supply zone (marked in red), confirming sellers’ dominance at higher levels.
The market is forming lower highs, and price action suggests a potential continuation to the downside. A pullback toward the trendline may offer a sell opportunity, targeting the demand zone highlighted in green.
Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance / Supply Zone: Previous rejection area
📉 Trendline: Dynamic resistance
🟢 Take Profit (TP): Demand zone around 4424
Bias: Bearish
Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly.
This idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
EURGBP - When Structure Breaks, Bias FollowsFor a while, EURGBP was respecting a rising blue broadening wedge, keeping the overall momentum bullish. That changed.
📉 Momentum has now shifted from bullish to bearish after price broke below the blue rising structure, signaling a clear loss of upside control.
Since then, price has been trading inside a falling red channel, confirming that sellers are in control for now.
🔍 What matters next:
As long as EURGBP remains below the broken structure and continues to trade within the falling channel.
Any pullback toward the upper bound of the red channel, and the previous structure low marked in red, will be considered a sell zone!
I’ll then be zooming into lower timeframes and looking for trend-following short setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin’s Structure Is Speaking — Are You Listening?Hello Traders,
If you zoom out and look at Bitcoin calmly, one thing becomes very clear, price is not breaking down, it is building structure. The current movement may look slow on the surface, but underneath, the market is still behaving in a controlled and bullish manner.
Big Picture:– Structure Matters More Than Noise
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a Rising Structure / Bullish Range.
This structure is defined by higher lows and a gradually rising price channel, which tells us that buyers are still in control despite short-term pullbacks.
The upper trendline is acting as dynamic resistance, where temporary profit booking appears.
The lower trendline continues to act as strong support, showing consistent demand on dips.
As long as this structure remains intact, the broader bias stays bullish.
High-Probability Accumulation Zone
This 90.2k – 89.5k zone marked on the chart is not random.
This area was previous resistance , which has now flipped into support.
Price is consolidating above this zone , not breaking below it, a strong sign of acceptance.
Sellers are failing to push price lower , indicating absorption of supply.
This is why this region qualifies as a high-probability accumulation zone, not a chasing zone.
Upside Targets – If Structure Holds
If Bitcoin continues to respect the demand zone and the rising structure, these levels come into play naturally:
Target 1 → 91,825
Target 2 → 93,790
Target 3 → 96,027
These are not predictions :— they are logical reaction levels based on structure and range expansion.
Risk Side:– Structure Invalidation
Every bullish structure has a clear line in the sand.
A clean breakdown below 87,600 would invalidate the current bullish structure.
If that happens, the market would need time to rebuild acceptance before any sustainable upside continuation.
Strong trends don’t start from excitement :—they usually start from patience.
Conclusion :- At the moment, Bitcoin is:
Holding above key demand
Respecting its rising structure
Consolidating instead of breaking down
The next major move will depend not on speed, but on how price reacts around this zone.
If this analysis helped you see the chart more clearly, share your view in the comments,
I’m always open to discussing structure with serious traders.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
SOL / USDT – Weekly OutlookPrice is currently reacting around a key horizontal level (~135–140) that previously acted as both support and resistance.
On the weekly timeframe, this level is critical:
A weekly close above this zone → confirms a R/S flip, opening room toward 160 – 180.
Failure to hold → increases chances of a pullback toward 120 – 110 support.
Market structure is still range-bound, so patience is key.
Let the level confirm before committing — weekly closes matter here.
Bias: Neutral → Bullish only after confirmation.
What do you think — will SOL flip this level or reject again?
👍 Like & 💬 comment if this helps — follow @mrctradinglab for more clean level-based setups.
MrC
Why Time Is a More Important Indicator Than Price?Everyone stares at price... Very few traders watch time.⏱️
📌 What Time Reveals
Price can lie.
Time can’t.
📌 When price:
- Spends too long at resistance → sellers are weak
- Fails to drop fast → demand is absorbing
- Breaks late → move is usually stronger
Time shows intent.
If price holds a level longer than expected, something is changing!
📌 How to Use This Practically
Next time price hits a key level:
Don’t rush the entry.
📌Instead, watch:
- How long it stays there
- Whether rejection is immediate or delayed
- Time tells you who’s in control.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAU/USD | Consolidation Towards Bullish Structure⚡Consolidation Zone (4436 - 4458): The price is currently "squeezed" in this area. This is a no-trade zone for conservative traders.
⚡Bearish Scenario (Healthy Correction): According to your plan, confirmation of a 1H Close below 4436 is crucial. The 4420 - 4407 area is a strong demand zone. If the price breaks through this level, we may see a liquidity grab towards 4378 - 4360 before the medium-term bullish trend resumes.
⚡Bullish Scenario (Trend Continuation): Stability above 4458 indicates that buyers are still dominant. However, the real confirmation is a 1H Close above 4475, which would pave the way towards the psychological level of 4500 and beyond.
XAUUSD (8H) — Supply Rejection & Corrective Pullback ScenarioGold remains inside a broader rising channel, but the recent impulse has stalled and price is now trading beneath a short-term descending trendline. This creates a clear corrective context rather than trend continuation.
The 4480.8–4518.2 zone acts as a strong supply / resistance area. As long as price is capped below this zone and below the descending trendline, the higher-probability scenario is a bearish pullback toward lower demand.
This correction can be supported by flow dynamics. Early-January Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) rebalancing often introduces mechanical selling pressure in commodities that strongly outperformed during the prior year, including gold. Such flows do not change the macro trend but can accelerate corrective moves.
Trade idea:
– Bias: Short below the 4480–4518 supply zone
– Invalidation: 8H close above ~4500.5 (conservative invalidation above 4518)
– Targets:
TP1: 4314.4 – 4335.1 (first demand zone)
TP2: 4195.6 – 4218.4 (deeper demand zone)
If price reaches these demand areas, I will reassess for potential bullish reactions, as the higher-timeframe structure remains constructive. This idea is invalidated if price breaks and holds above supply, especially on strong momentum or risk-off geopolitical news.






















