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XMRUSD - Privacy Rally Explodes +143% YTD Executive Summary KRAKEN:XMRUSD is trading at approximately $469.71 after an extraordinary year that has seen the privacy coin surge +143% YTD and +155% over the past 12 months. Monero recently hit a 52-week high of $497.75 and is now consolidating just below the critical $500 psychological resistance. The privacy narrative is on fire - Cardano's Midnight protocol launch, rising surveillance concerns, and the EU's 2027 privacy coin ban have created a perfect storm of demand. However, with RSI at 84 (overbought) and price near yearly highs, the question is: breakout to $1,000+ or pullback to consolidate gains? BIAS: BULLISH - But Overbought Caution Required The trend is undeniably bullish. The fundamentals support continued upside. But technicals warn of potential short-term pullback before the next leg higher. Current Market Context - December 22, 2025 Monero's performance has been nothing short of spectacular: Current Price: $469.71 (-0.25% on the day) Day's Range: $453.05 - $483.69 52-Week Range: $183.02 - $497.75 52-Week High: $497.75 (hit last week) Market Cap: $8.67 billion 24h Trading Volume: $171.27 million Performance Metrics - ALL GREEN: 1 Week: +14.90% 1 Month: +40.05% 3 Months: +62.54% 6 Months: +49.34% YTD: +143.09% 1 Year: +155.28% This is the BEST performing major cryptocurrency of 2025. Monero has massively outperformed Bitcoin, Ethereum, and virtually every other top 20 coin. THE PRIVACY NARRATIVE - Why XMR Is Exploding 1. EU Privacy Coin Ban (2027) - Bullish Paradox The European Union confirmed plans to prohibit exchanges from listing privacy coins like Monero starting in 2027, citing anti-money laundering concerns. This follows increased scrutiny after high-profile hacks and ransomware attacks. The Paradox: Short-term BULLISH: Users accumulating XMR pre-ban Creates urgency to acquire before restrictions Validates Monero's core value proposition - if governments want to ban it, it must work Long-term risk: Liquidity could dry up if major exchanges delist Monero's fungibility remains key defense against regulatory sidelining 2. Midnight Protocol Sparks Privacy Rally (Dec 20, 2025) Cardano's Midnight protocol launched NIGHT, a privacy token using zero-knowledge proofs. While not directly tied to Monero, the project reignited interest in privacy technology across the entire sector. XMR rose 18% weekly alongside Zcash Privacy tech is back in focus Rising concerns over digital surveillance driving demand Monero benefits from sector momentum Competition from newer privacy solutions exists, but XMR remains the gold standard 3. Technical Breakout Gains Traction (Dec 22, 2025) XMR surged past its 50-day EMA ($449) Shielded transaction volume hitting ALL-TIME HIGHS Analysts note bullish Wyckoff accumulation patterns Rising open interest (+10% weekly) suggests leveraged bets on continued privacy demand Added to CoinDesk 80 Index - reflecting growing market presence 4. Institutional Interest Growing XMR added to CoinDesk 80 Index Increased futures open interest Growing market presence despite regulatory headwinds Privacy as a feature becoming more valued, not less Development Updates - Bullish Fundamentals Monero developers have been extremely active in late 2025: Security Patches (November 2025): Ledger hardware wallet vulnerability patched (view-key export bug) CLI v0.18.4.4 update addressed critical edge case Strengthens trust in hardware wallet integrations Spy Node Defense - "Fluorine Fermi" Upgrade (October 2025): IP subnet filtering introduced to counter surveillance Disrupts tactics used by firms like Chainalysis Complements existing Dandelion++ protections Directly reinforces untraceable transactions RPC Fuzzing Milestone (November 2025): Achieved 100% fuzzing coverage for RPC endpoints Funded by MagicGrants Reduces attack vectors for hackers Hardens nodes against exploits FCMP++ Scaling Prep (November 2025): Full-Chain Membership Proofs alpha testing finalized Beta stressnet expected Q1 2026 Could enable lighter nodes and better scalability Aims to solidify Monero as most private Layer 1 2026 Roadmap - Major Upgrades Coming FCMP++ Beta Stressnet (Q1 2026) - Scaling decisions finalized Bulletproofs++ (2026) - 30% smaller transactions, 40% faster verification Seraphis & Jamtis (2026) - Enhanced anonymity protocols GetMonero.org Redesign (2026) - Improved user experience Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 2 Hour Timeframe The chart shows a textbook bullish structure: Ascending Channel Pattern: Clear ascending channel established over past weeks Higher highs and higher lows consistently forming Channel support: Rising trendline from lows Channel resistance: Parallel line at highs Price currently in upper half of channel Recent Price Action: Price hit resistance zone near $490-$500 Pulled back and now consolidating Currently in a smaller consolidation range ($455-$490) Fibonacci retracement levels visible (0.5 and 0.6 levels) Testing mid-channel support Key Observations: 52-week high of $497.75 represents immediate resistance $500 psychological level is THE level to watch Support zone at $407-$410 area (channel bottom) Strong uptrend intact - no signs of reversal yet Consolidation after 52-week high is healthy, not bearish Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: $483-$490 - Immediate resistance (recent highs) $497.75 - 52-week high $500 - CRITICAL psychological resistance $550 - Next major resistance if $500 breaks $600 - Secondary target $1,000 - Major psychological target (community expectation) Support Levels: $453-$460 - Immediate support (day's low area) $449 - 50-day EMA (key moving average) $430-$440 - Secondary support $407-$410 - MAJOR SUPPORT ZONE (channel bottom) $380-$390 - Deep support $350 - Extended support if correction deepens Moving Average Analysis Price trading well above 50-day EMA ($449) All major moving averages sloping upward Golden cross patterns on multiple timeframes MAs providing dynamic support on pullbacks Trend structure extremely bullish RSI Analysis - OVERBOUGHT WARNING RSI currently at 84 - OVERBOUGHT territory This is the primary caution signal Overbought RSI doesn't mean immediate reversal In strong trends, RSI can stay overbought for extended periods However, pullbacks from overbought levels are common Watch for RSI divergence as potential warning sign Volume Analysis 24h volume: $171.27 million Volume supporting the uptrend Shielded transaction volume at ALL-TIME HIGHS Open interest rising (+10% weekly) Healthy volume profile for continuation Community Sentiment - Extremely Bullish Bull Case - $1,000+ Targets @olgerd_butko: "Monero screams insta teleportation above 1k. Privacy by default. No hype. Just real facts." @soontzu: "Monero has only 0.2% of total crypto value. With XMR supply matching BTC's, $90k BTC implies massive XMR upside." - This comparison suggests theoretical $1,500+ XMR price if adoption parity occurs. Bear Case - Regulatory Concerns @Nicat_eth: "Monero edged lower as exchange delistings and privacy scrutiny intensify." Bearish pressure stems from shrinking liquidity on some exchanges, though price action has defied this concern. Regulatory Landscape - Double-Edged Sword Delistings and Restrictions: Kraken halted XMR for UK users (late 2024) Kraken halted XMR for EEA users (November 2025) Exodus wallet ended XMR support (August 2025) EU ban coming in 2027 Why This Is Actually Bullish (Short-Term): Validates Monero's privacy effectiveness Creates urgency to accumulate before restrictions Proves the technology works as intended Decentralized exchanges and P2P trading remain available Monero's fungibility makes it resistant to blacklisting SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $500 Trigger Conditions: Daily close above $500 with volume RSI holds above 70 without major divergence Continued privacy narrative momentum Bitcoin remains stable or bullish Ascending channel breakout to upside Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: $550 - First resistance above $500 Target 2: $600 - Secondary target Target 3: $750 - Extended target Moon Target: $1,000+ (community expectation) Bullish Catalysts: FCMP++ beta stressnet success (Q1 2026) Continued privacy rally momentum EU ban fears driving accumulation Shielded transactions continuing to hit ATHs Altcoin season rotation Bulletproofs++ and Seraphis upgrades BEARISH SCENARIO - Pullback to Support Trigger Conditions: Rejection at $500 with bearish candle RSI divergence forms (lower highs on RSI, higher highs on price) Break below ascending channel support Broader crypto market weakness Major exchange delisting announcement Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: $449 - 50-day EMA retest Target 2: $430-$440 - Secondary support Target 3: $407-$410 - Channel bottom / major support Extended: $350-$380 if channel breaks Bearish Risks: RSI at 84 - overbought Near 52-week high - profit-taking likely Regulatory headlines could spook market Thin liquidity on some exchanges Broader crypto correction risk NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Consolidation Most likely short-term outcome: Price consolidates between $450-$490 RSI cools off from overbought levels Builds base for next leg higher Healthy consolidation after massive rally Watch for breakout direction MY ASSESSMENT - BULLISH WITH CAUTION The weight of evidence strongly favors bulls: +143% YTD performance speaks for itself Privacy narrative is the strongest it's been in years Development activity is robust Shielded transactions at ATH Community sentiment extremely bullish Ascending channel intact All timeframes showing bullish structure However, caution is warranted: RSI at 84 is overbought Near 52-week high - natural resistance $500 is major psychological barrier Some profit-taking expected Regulatory headlines could cause volatility My Stance: BULLISH - Buy Dips Strategy I believe XMR will eventually break $500 and continue higher. The fundamentals and narrative support it. However, I would not chase at current levels with RSI at 84. Instead: Wait for pullback to $449-$460 area for better entry Or wait for confirmed breakout above $500 with volume Avoid buying in the middle of the range Trade Framework Scenario 1: Breakout Trade Above $500 Entry Conditions: Daily candle closes above $500 Volume exceeds recent average RSI holds above 65 (not diverging) Trade Parameters: Entry: $505-$515 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: $475 below recent support Target 1: $550 (Risk-Reward ~1:1) Target 2: $600 (Risk-Reward ~1:2) Target 3: $750 (Extended) Scenario 2: Buy the Dip at Support Entry Conditions: Price pulls back to $449-$460 zone RSI cools to 50-60 range Bullish rejection candle at support Ascending channel support holds Trade Parameters: Entry: $450-$460 on support test Stop Loss: $420 below channel support Target 1: $490-$500 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.5) Target 2: $550 (Risk-Reward ~1:3) Target 3: $600 (Extended) Scenario 3: Channel Bottom Buy Entry Conditions: Price tests $407-$410 major support zone Strong bounce with volume RSI oversold or near oversold Trade Parameters: Entry: $410-$420 at channel bottom Stop Loss: $385 below support zone Target 1: $460-$470 (Risk-Reward ~1:2) Target 2: $500 (Risk-Reward ~1:3.5) Target 3: $550+ (Extended) Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 2-3% max risk per trade Respect overbought RSI - don't chase Use hard stops - privacy coins can be volatile Scale into positions rather than all-in entries Take partial profits at each target (33% each) Move stop to breakeven after first target Monitor regulatory news closely Be aware of lower liquidity on some exchanges Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below $407 (channel bottom) Ascending channel breaks down RSI divergence confirms with lower price Major exchange delisting causes panic Bitcoin crashes below $85,000 Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above $500 with volume RSI makes new highs with price Shielded transactions continue hitting ATHs Privacy narrative accelerates further Conclusion KRAKEN:XMRUSD is the standout performer of 2025 with +143% YTD gains. The privacy narrative is firing on all cylinders - EU ban fears, Midnight protocol launch, surveillance concerns, and development upgrades have created a perfect storm for Monero. The Numbers: YTD Performance: +143.09% 1-Year Performance: +155.28% 52-Week High: $497.75 Current Price: $469.71 RSI: 84 (Overbought) Market Cap: $8.67 billion Key Levels: $500 - CRITICAL resistance / breakout level $497.75 - 52-week high $449 - 50-day EMA support $407-$410 - Major support zone (channel bottom) The Setup: Monero is consolidating just below its 52-week high after an incredible rally. The trend is bullish, fundamentals are strong, and the privacy narrative is the best it's been in years. However, RSI at 84 warns of potential short-term pullback. Strategy: Don't chase at current levels Buy dips to $449-$460 support Or buy confirmed breakout above $500 Targets: $550, $600, $750+ Stop below $420 or channel support The path of least resistance is higher. Privacy is becoming more valuable, not less. Monero's technology is proven, development is active, and the community is committed. The EU ban paradoxically validates everything Monero stands for. $1,000 XMR is not a meme - it's a matter of when, not if. This is not financial advice. Always conduct independent research and manage risk appropriately.
CRYPTO:XMRUSDLong
by officialjackofalltrades
(jasmy) JASMY "historical purchase lines"One more Jasmy post for the internet of trading view before the end of the year becomes final. Did I already post this image? This is quite sad to see there was no stability in the price of Jasmy this year. Not a single dollar withheld from the gobs of money that poured into Jasmy during the past year; Oh well. These lines represent prices of Jasmy when I have made buys. Sells in blue, Buys in Orange. I never made any money from Jasmy, I never sold the bulk of my investment and only watched as the price fell to where it is now. Or I should say, I stopped watching seeing how there was no reversal in price after the price began to fall.
COINBASE:JASMYUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
#DASHUSDT #4h (ByBit) Falling wedge breakout and retest [LONG]Digital Cash is pulling back to 50MA regained support where it seem likely to bounce towards 200MA resistance. ⚡️⚡️ #DASH/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.3% Current Price: 48.22 Entry Targets: 1) 48.13 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 66.44 Stop Targets: 1) 38.97 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:DASH BYBIT:DASHUSDT.P #4h #DigitalCash #Privacy dash.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +76.1% Possible Loss= -38.1% Estimated Duration= 1-2 weeks
Long
by TradingOn
Verge (XVG) 1M Multi-Year Compression + Privacy Meta TailwindsSummary: Verge (XVG) has spent nearly 7 years forming a massive symmetrical triangle on the 1-Month timeframe, compressing between a long-term ascending trendline dating back to 2015 and a multi-cycle descending resistance from the 2017 blow-off top. With privacy coins regaining momentum over the past two months, XVG is approaching a structural apex that historically precedes large expansions in this asset class. Price is currently sitting just above the long-term trendline and pressing into tightening monthly range highs, with both EMAs flattening — a sign of equilibrium before resolution. 📌 Technical Breakdown 1. Multi-Year Symmetrical Triangle Ascending support holds strong since 2015, tested numerous times. Descending macro resistance from 2017 ATH keeps price capped. Price is now near the apex, where long-term compression typically breaks with force. 2. Monthly EMAs Converging 35 EMA and 205 EMA are flattening, reflecting equilibrium. This usually occurs before a macro trend shift. Reclaiming the 35 EMA on the 1M would be the first sign of trend strength. 3. Privacy Coin Narrative Strengthening Over the past 2 months, several privacy-focused assets have shown strong relative performance amid: Regulatory debates Increasing interest in anonymity-preserving tech Capital rotation into older privacy brands XVG historically benefits from these narrative cycles. 4. Key Levels on the Chart Immediate Resistance: 0.0080–0.0082 Macro Breakout Level: Descending trendline (currently just above price) Structural Target if Broken: 0.026–0.03 Ultimate Macro Target: 0.264 (top of chart’s marked level) Major Support: Long-term ascending trendline 📈 Bullish Scenario If XVG breaks above the descending trendline on a monthly close, it would mark the first macro breakout in years. This could align with ongoing privacy sector strength. Upside targets: 0.0080 → first major test 0.026–0.03 → measured move from the triangle structure 0.264 → long-term supply zone (multi-cycle level) Given the size of the pattern, a breakout move could be significant. 📉 Bearish Scenario Failure to hold the ascending trendline could trigger a retest of mid-range supports or invalidate the long-term structure. This would occur if price closes firmly below the rising 10-year trendline. 📊 Final Takeaway XVG is entering the most important point of its multi-year consolidation — the apex of a massive symmetrical triangle. With privacy coins seeing renewed attention, XVG is positioned at a potentially explosive point on the chart. All eyes should be on the monthly close as price tightens into long-term resistance with narrative momentum behind it.
CRYPTO:XVGUSDLong
by Burtoshi
Zcash Breakout Long IdeaIf you're like me, you missed the "privacy coin" meta narrative that sent Zooko's Zcash CRYPTOCAP:ZEC (and to a lesser extent, monero CRYPTOCAP:XMR ) soaring to prices NOBODY had on their bingo cards. I haven't traded either of these dino coins since 2019 and 2020, respectively, but here we are. I actually love the renewed interest in privacy because it's true to crypto's cypherpunk origins and fights back against increasing surveillance. But if you didn't ape Zcash early, like me, you got woefully sidelined, waiting for THIS MOMENT, a better entry point (potentially). ZEC has retraced and printed a nice double-bottom pattern and now a potential cup & handle beneath a key S/R level. I think this long gets a lot less risky if you wait for a break above resistance + confirmation of S/R flip around that $443 level. Of course, you might get front run and it could just take off, so don't get too cute with it. While ZEC fully decoupled from the rest of the crypto market during it's epic rally, this trade is probably at least somewhat dependent on BTC's cooperation and continued rally as bulls fight to defend 90k and push higher. IF instead we see a continuation of the downtrend, I think the odds of Zcash rallying are significantly lower. Potential target levels: $528, $572, $644 and I would keep a tight SL given the shaky market conditions. happy trades, CD
Long
by cryptodonovan
XMR - Institutional Analysis: Channel Support Buy Zone | Dec 7XMRUSD - The Privacy Resistance: How Regulatory War Created The Perfect Parallel Channel Setup by officialjackofalltrades 🟡 CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH December 7, 2025 Institutional Technical Analysis | Whale Signals Integrated 📈 Executive Summary - The Setup Current Price: $372.78 | December 7, 2025 Monero is trading at a critical inflection point inside a well-defined parallel channel that has dictated price action for the past 90 days. After a spectacular +23% rally to $420 in the first week of December, XMR has pulled back to test lower channel support at $370-380 exactly where technical analysis suggests the next major move will be decided. The Technical Setup: Pattern: Ascending parallel channel (bullish structure) Current Position: Lower channel support ($370-380) Resistance: Upper channel boundary ($420-450) Key Decision Level: $360 (below = channel break, above = bounce continuation) The Fundamental Backdrop: While retail focuses on regulatory FUD from 2024 delistings (Binance, Kraken, OKX), they're missing three critical developments: XMR reclaimed privacy crown from Zcash on November 29, 2025 Fluorine Fermi upgrade enhanced network surveillance defenses on October 10 Early December saw 23% price surge despite broader crypto market liquidations The Trade: Long from $360-380, target $420-480, stop $355 below .. Monero's price on December 7, 2025, is fluctuating approximately between $390 and $400, with some reports indicating a notable 23% increase in the first week, pushing its average trading price to $406 and briefly reaching a short-run high of $420 . What This Means: The $420 short-run high demonstrates XMR's technical strength even as it tests the upper boundary of the channel. The current pullback to $372 is textbook technical behavior—price respecting the parallel structure. Current Technical Position: Support Levels (Where buyers defend): $370-$380: Lower parallel channel + 50-day MA convergence (CURRENT LEVEL) $360-$365: Channel absolute floor + psychological support $320-$340: Major support cluster from Aug-Nov accumulation $280-$300: Nuclear capitulation zone (10% probability) Resistance Levels (Where sellers appear) $400-$420: Recent high + upper channel boundary $435-$450: Channel breakout zone + 2025 YTD high $480-$500: Psychological resistance + near ATH $517.62: All-time high (May 2021) Not overbought (room to run higher) Not oversold (not in panic selling zone) Neutral = equilibrium before next directional move MACD (Momentum): Histogram: Positive but declining (losing steam short-term) Signal line: Approaching bullish cross Interpretation: Consolidation before next leg up Volume Analysis: 24-hour trading volume of $114.56M - this is concerning. Volume has been declining since the December 3 peak, indicating: Thin liquidity from exchange delistings Lower participation = higher volatility potential Breakouts need VOLUME confirmation 🔎 Fundamental Analysis - The Regulatory War Creates Opportunity While technical analysis shows the "what" and "when," fundamentals explain the "why." Here's what's REALLY happening with Monero: CATALYST #1: The Exchange Delisting Paradox The Bearish Narrative (What retail sees): Binance delisted XMR February 2024 OKX delisted XMR January 2024 Kraken delisted XMR in EEA October 2024 "Privacy coins are dying!" The Reality (What institutions know): Monero founder Riccardo Spagni said: "Kraken delisting Monero in Europe just goes to prove what we already know: Chainalysis et al. simply can't squeeze enough information out of Monero's privacy to be meaningful, otherwise regulators would want Monero to stay listed as a honeypot". Read that again. The delistings PROVE Monero's privacy works. If regulators could track Monero, they'd WANT it listed to monitor users. The fact they're forcing delistings means they can't break the privacy. Market Impact: Short-term: Liquidity crunch, price volatility Long-term: Validates Monero's core value proposition Institutional view: "Monero is the ONLY privacy coin that actually works" CATALYST #2: FCMP++ Upgrade - The Game Changer Network improvements such as FCMP++ (Full Chain Membership Proofs) represent the most significant privacy enhancement since Monero's creation. What FCMP++ Does: Removes the need for ring signatures with fixed size Enables membership proofs over the ENTIRE blockchain Makes transaction tracing mathematically impossible (not just difficult) Reduces transaction size = lower fees A breakout imminent now that we are about to hit the all-time high of $517 will take XMR to new heights, particularly with the successful implementation of network improvements such as FCMP++ . Developer Momentum: Fluorine Fermi upgrade on October 10, 2025 enhanced defenses against network surveillance risks. Then Ledger Wallet Bug Fix on November 14, 2025 patched a critical vulnerability when rejecting view key exports. Translation: While other projects ship vaporware, Monero is shipping real privacy tech that regulators literally cannot break. CATALYST #3: Privacy Demand at All-Time High As of December 7, 2025, Monero (XMR) continues to be a focal point in the cryptocurrency market, primarily due to its unwavering commitment to privacy in an increasingly regulated digital landscape. The irony? Regulatory crackdowns INCREASE demand for privacy. Every time a government announces surveillance measures, Monero adoption spikes. Every time an exchange delists XMR, peer-to-peer volume increases. XMR surged 30% from November lows, defying crypto-wide liquidations on December 1. While Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins crashed with $637M in liquidations, Monero rallied. Why? Because in times of uncertainty, people want privacy. CATALYST #4: The Zcash Flip Reclaims Privacy Crown (29 November 2025) – Overtook Zcash in market cap amid capital rotation. This is MASSIVE. Zcash (ZEC) was Monero's main competitor for years. But Comparatively, Zcash (ZEC) has fallen by almost a quarter during the same time, which points to the unstable nature of the privacy coin segment. Why Monero Won: Zcash has optional privacy (most transactions are transparent) Zcash has a company behind it (Zcash Foundation) = regulatory target Monero has mandatory privacy (all transactions private) Monero is truly decentralized (no company, no CEO) Capital is flowing FROM weak privacy (ZEC) TO strong privacy (XMR). This trend is accelerating. ⚠️ Risk Factors - The Bear Case I'm bullish on the technical setup, but let's address the others in the room: RISK #1: Mining Centralization (Qubic Attack) Qubic grabbed 20% of all blocks in 24h during mining marathon, while DDoS attacks hit network. Qubic's growing hashrate share (peaking at 38% in July 2025) threatens decentralization, a core Monero value proposition. What happened: Qubic, a quantum-resistant blockchain, started mining XMR with specialized hardware, capturing up to 38% of network hashrate. Why it matters: If one entity controls >51% hashrate, they could theoretically attack the network. Current Status: Qubic hashrate declined from 38% (July) to ~20% (December) P2Pool (decentralized mining pool) is growing Monero community is working on algorithm tweaks My take: This was concerning in July, but the trend is REVERSING. Hashrate is becoming more distributed again. RISK #2: Thin Liquidity = High Volatility 24-hour trading volume of $114.56M is low compared to XMR's $7.21B market cap. Volume-to-Market Cap Ratio: 1.6% (very low) Bitcoin: ~5-8% Ethereum: ~4-6% Monero: ~1.6% What this means: Large orders can move price significantly Volatility is higher than major coins Slippage is a concern for larger trades Trading Implication: Use limit orders, not market orders. Scale in/out slowly. RISK #3: Regulatory Uncertainty Governments and financial regulators are cracking down on cryptocurrencies that allow users to hide their transaction details, fearing that they could be used for illicit activities like money laundering, tax evasion, and terrorism financing. Potential Future Actions: More exchange delistings (though most already done) Criminalization of possession (extreme, unlikely) Banking restrictions on fiat on/off ramps Counterpoint: Resolving the gap in mining and avoiding international regulations will be the key to preventing the backlash, but Monero has interesting arguments in its practical use of privacy in the real world, especially in a market where utility is highly valued more than speculation . 🎯 THE TRADE SETUP - Institutional-Grade Execution 🟢 PRIMARY LONG SETUP: BUY XMRUSD Entry Zone: $360-$380 (SCALE IN - We're at the PERFECT zone RIGHT NOW) Position Sizing (Conservative Institutional Approach): Allocate 4-6% of portfolio (this is a MEDIUM conviction trade due to liquidity risk) Scale in strategy: 30% at $375-380 (CURRENT - enter NOW if not in) $365-370 (if we get one more dip to channel support) $360-365 (if we hit absolute channel floor) Stop Loss: $355 Below $355 = parallel channel broken on daily close Below this = technical structure invalidated Max loss: 6-8% from average entry Take Profit Targets (Institutional Scale-Out Strategy): TP1: $420-$435 Upper parallel channel resistance retest December 2-3 peak at $420 retest Action: move stop to $370 (breakeven) TP2: $450-$480 (Probability: 50%) Channel breakout + FCMP++ upgrade hype builds Monero forecast between $382.54 and $456.36 next year Action: move stop to $420 (lock gains) All-time high $517.62 retest Full bull market confirmation Provided that buyers continue their growth, XMR is one of the best cryptos to consider as the new bull run might start with the daily close higher than $327 Entry Confirmation Checklist (Use This Before Entering): ✅ Price holding above $360 (channel support intact) ✅ Volume spike on bounce (150K+ XMR on daily candle) ✅ RSI crosses above 55 (momentum shift confirmed) ✅ MACD bullish cross on H4 timeframe ✅ Bitcoin holding above $95K (macro support) ✅ No surprise negative regulatory news (check daily) WAIT FOR 4/6 CONFIRMATIONS BEFORE DEPLOYING FULL POSITION Weekly Monitoring Requirements: CRITICAL - Check EVERY WEEK: Hashrate distribution: If Qubic >40% again, reduce position 50% Exchange news: Any re-listings = bullish, add to position Developer activity: Check Monero GitHub for FCMP++ progress Regulatory news: New delistings = short-term bearish, long-term bullish Bitcoin correlation: If BTC <$90K, reduce XMR position 30-50% Volume trends: If 24h volume <$80M consistently, reduce position 5. Emergency Exit Conditions (CUT IMMEDIATELY): ❌ Daily close below $355 = EXIT ALL (channel broken) ❌ Qubic hashrate >51% sustained = EXIT ALL (security risk) ❌ Major security vulnerability discovered = EXIT ALL ❌ Bitcoin crashes below $85K = EXIT 50%, trail rest tight ❌ Volume dries up below $50M/24h = EXIT 50% (liquidity crisis) 📊 Scenario Analysis - What Happens Next Base Case: Channel Bounce to $420-450 What happens: XMR holds $370 support ✓ Bounces along lower channel to retest $420 resistance Volume increases modestly FCMP++ development continues Breaks $435, targets $450-480 Timeline: 2-4 weeks Expected Return: +17-29% Catalysts: Technical bounce, no new negative news Bull Case (2 Channel Breakout to $500+ What happens: XMR breaks above $450 with VOLUME XMR forecasted to reach $456.36 by January 1, 2026 FCMP++ release creates buzz Privacy narrative strengthens Targets ATH $517 Timeline: 4-8 weeks Expected Return: +34-40% Catalysts: FCMP++ launch, major adoption news, BTC >$110K Bear Case (15% Probability): Channel Break to $320-340 What happens: XMR breaks below $360 on volume Tests major support at $320-340 Regulatory FUD intensifies Bitcoin corrects below $95K Thin liquidity amplifies drop Timeline: 1-2 weeks Expected Return: -8 to -14% Catalysts: Surprise delisting, BTC crash, Qubic attack Probability-Weighted Expected Return: 🔥 The Bottom Line - Why This Setup Works Let me synthesize everything into a clear thesis: The Technical Case: ✅ Parallel channel: 8 successful tests, currently at lower support ✅ +23% surge in first week of December to $420 ✅ Overtook Zcash in market cap November 29 ✅ Fluorine Fermi upgrade enhanced security October 10 ✅ Privacy demand at all-time high in regulated landscape ✅ Delistings prove Monero's privacy actually works The Risk Case: ⚠️ Thin liquidity (<$115M daily volume) ⚠️ Qubic mining centralization (peaked 38% hashrate) ⚠️ Regulatory uncertainty ongoing ⚠️ Exchange access limited (most CEXs delisted) The Trade: Entry: $360-380 (we're at $372 NOW) Stop: $355 (-5% max loss) Target : $380-400 IF YOU'RE BEARISH: Wait for: Daily close below $360 (channel break confirmed) Then short from $355-360 with tight stop at $380 Target $320-340 support retest Cover at $320, reassess IF YOU'RE NEUTRAL: Split the Difference: Enter only at $365-370 (better risk/reward) Take profits aggressively This is the "I believe but I'm cautious" approach 💬 Final Thoughts - The Uncomfortable Truth Here's what I know for certain on December 7, 2025: ✅_ContinueYour parallel channel analysis is PERFECT - XMR is respecting the structure exactly ✅ +23% rally to $420 in December's first week proves momentum ✅ XMR reclaimed privacy crown from Zcash - capital rotation happening ✅ Privacy demand at all-time high - fundamental bid exists ✅ Delistings prove Monero's tech works - validates thesis ✅ We're at lower channel support ($370) - mathematically optimal entry Will Bitcoin hold $100K or crash? Will Qubic attack Monero's hashrate again? Will more exchanges delist (though most already have)? Drop a 🟠 if you're entering XMR at $360-380 channel support. Drop a 📊 if this parallel channel analysis helped you. Drop a 🔒 if you believe in privacy's future. Drop a 💰 if you're ready for $450+ in Q1 2026.
CRYPTO:XMRUSDLong
by officialjackofalltrades
ZEC - From Exhaustion to Expansion!!!📉ZEC spent days trapped in a clear bearish phase on the left side of the chart, forming lower lows and lower highs. But everything changed once price tapped the major swing low, where buyers stepped in aggressively. 📈Since then, ZEC has been respecting a new rising channel , shifting the market structure from bearish to bullish. As long as price remains inside this channel, the bulls remain in control. We will be looking for longs around the intersection of: - the lower blue trendline, and - the most recent higher-low zone 🏹This is where buyers have consistently reacted before, and where the next bullish impulse could start. If this structure holds, ZEC may push toward the upper boundary of the channel once again. Do you think ZEC is gearing up for another leg up? Let me know below 👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
#ZECUSDT #4h (ByBit) Ascending channel on resistance [SHORT]Zcash just printed a shooting star and entered overbought territory again. It seems likely to finally retrace down towards 50MA support, short-term. ⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (3.0X) Amount: 4.4% Current Price: 684.73 Entry Targets: 1) 694.97 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 484.39 Stop Targets: 1) 800.52 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #4h #Privacy #ZK z.cash Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +90.9% Possible Loss= -45.6% Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
Short
by TradingOn
9
ZK - Short-Term Setup, Long-Term Vision!📈 ZK has recently shown strong momentum but is now entering a short-term correction phase after facing resistance around the blue zone. In the immediate term, I’ll be looking for short-term long opportunities near the red structure zone, which aligns with a strong support area and potential buyer interest. 🏹From a broader perspective, the real bullish confirmation will come once price breaks and holds above the blue resistance zone. That’s where long-term buyers are expected to step in, paving the way for a sustained bullish trend. ⚔️For now, short-term traders can play the bounce, while long-term investors should keep an eye on that breakout for a possible trend shift. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
$Rose to $.13? Privacy trendI've been watching the chart of Oasis for years. The privacy space has always interested me, and while I missed the Zcash run, it's clear that privacy coins are a big trend right now. Zcash ran, Dash ran, Bat is trying to make a run, and now I think it's rose's time to run. It's looking like one of the most bullish charts at the moment and could have gains that are close to what Zcash did. If you look at Heikin ashi candles, high time frames are starting to turn bullish 1D, 3D, 4D, etc. Maybe as soon as next week we can start to see a large move? Let's see. If we do see a run, I think it can make it all the way up to $.135.
COINBASE:ROSEUSDLong
by benjihyam
ZEC - Roadmap to $500!💪Zcash has been on fire lately, outperforming over 90% of altcoins in the market. After months of accumulation, the bulls have finally taken control, driving ZEC into a strong impulsive rally that shows no signs of exhaustion yet. 📈 From a technical perspective , ZEC is trading within a well-defined rising channel, maintaining a clean bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows. The recent breakout above the previous all-time high around $372 confirms strong bullish momentum. 🏹As long as the channel’s lower boundary continues to act as dynamic support, the next logical target for the bulls sits around the $500 round number, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, a major confluence zone. In the short term, a minor pullback toward the $370–$400 region wouldn’t be surprising and could offer new long opportunities before the next bullish leg kicks in. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
17
#ZECUSDT #1D (ByBit) Rising wedge near breakdownZcash had a great bull run but looks exhausted right now on daily TF. It's printing a bearish divergence between price and volume + RSI, a retracement seems likely. ⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (3.0X) Amount: 3.9% Current Price: 353.99 Entry Zone: 355.71 - 392.39 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 298.48 2) 241.58 3) 184.67 Stop Targets: 1) 437.28 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #1D #Zcash #Privacy z.cash Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +60.6% | +106.2% | +151.9% Possible Loss= -50.7% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Short
by TradingOn
3
TradeCityPro | ZEC: Bullish Structure Holding Strong👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review the ZEC coin for you — one of the Privacy and Layer 1 projects, ranked 28th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $4.42 billion. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe This coin has a bullish trend on the 4-hour timeframe and, after its upward movement, has now entered a corrective phase. 🔍 This correction has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level of the previous wave, and the price has now returned to the 292.20 zone, having already reacted to it once. ✔️ Breaking the 292.2 level could mark the beginning of the next bullish wave. From a momentum standpoint, the bullish trend is very strong, and with the breakout of 292.2, the momentum will likely continue. ⚡️ Currently, the volume favors buyers, and as the price approaches the 292.2 zone, buying volume is increasing, which raises the probability of breaking this resistance. 💥 The break of level 70 and the RSI entering Overbuy are strong momentum triggers for a long position. 📊 For a short position on this coin, I’ll wait until a bearish structure forms. The current structure is very bullish, so I’d rather open short positions on other coins. ⭐ We’ll get the confirmation of a bearish reversal only after the price stabilizes below 190.87. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
#SXTUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending trendline break retestSpace and Time (SXT) pulled back to 50MA daily support, looks ready for mid-term recovery after those two dragonfly dojis in a row. ⚡️⚡️ #SXT/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.0% Entry Targets: 1) 0.08264 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.15684 Stop Targets: 1) 0.05787 Published By: @Zblaba NYSE:SXT BINANCE:SXTUSDT.P #1D #SpaceAndTime #ZK #AI #DPoS spaceandtime.io Risk/Reward= 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +179.6% Possible Loss= -59.9% Estimated Gaintime= 1 month
Long
by TradingOn
2
#RLCUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending wedge on supportiExec RLC just printed a dragonfly doji which may have marked the bottom on daily. A morning star is drawing now, recovery towards 100EMA resistance seems around the corner. ⚡️⚡️ #RLC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (4.0X) Amount: 5.9% Current Price: 0.9126 Entry Targets: 1) 0.9002 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 1.1854 Stop Targets: 1) 0.7859 Published By: @Zblaba GETTEX:RLC BINANCE:RLCUSDT.P #DePIN #AI #iExec iex.ec Risk/Reward= 1:2.5 Expected Profit= +126.7% Possible Loss= -50.8% Estimated Gaintime= 1 month
Long
by TradingOn
His name is Monero- Despite numerous attempts by various projects to create private coins or tokens, none have succeeded meaningfully. - Monero is the Bitcoin of the darknet. They can delist it or try to kill it, but Monero is here to stay. - With rising concerns over privacy and the inevitable push toward CBDCs, the next bullish cycle could drive XMR to a new ATH, $1,000 is a realistic target, not a fantasy. - Everything you need is in the chart. This is not financial advice, buy only when you believe the time is right. Happy Tr4Ding !
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by thecryer
3
XVG - Privacy is Important!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈XVG has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the red zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #XVG approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders, When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.  Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first.  Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self. Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.  XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so.  The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017  25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!!  The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key  before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason  other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
CAPITALCOM:XMRUSDLong
by WeAreSat0shi
8
#ZECUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending channel breakoutZcash broke-out printing a morning star, looks good for recovery towards 100EMA resistance. ⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.9% Current Price: 36.12 Entry Zone: 36.05 - 33.55 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 41.83 1) 47.12 1) 52.42 Stop Targets: 1) 28.92 Published By: @Zblaba SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ZEC BINANCE:ZECUSDT.P #1D #Zcash #Privacy z.cash Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +40.4% | +70.8% | +101.3% Possible Loss= -33.8% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Long
by TradingOn
3