GBP/USD Base Case for the Week Ahead (Structural View)The path of least resistance is eventually lower for Cable. Using short-term strength (e.g., from hot UK data or a weak Dollar) as opportunities to establish or add to strategic short positions for a major move lower.
For This Week: Be agile. Recognise that price action will be a battle between:
Short-Term Sterling Longs: Betting on the carry trade and a weak dollar.
Long-Term Sterling Shorts: Betting on the UK's fundamental decay..
Key Levels remain: 1.400 demand and 1.500 to 1.600 for supply. With 1.3725 and above for strategic shorts. A break below 1.400 would signal the institutional shorts have already built their book. Base case is more distribution above 1.500 and bounce from 1.400 suggests the carry trade is still in play for a little while longer.
Propfirm
Sep 10 MES Recap: Watching MAG7, Session Highs/Lows, and Higher MES Journal – September 10, 2025
Today I traded MES using supply and demand levels, while also tracking leadership from the MAG7 (with QQQ as my main proxy).
Track the MAG7 with me on TradingView using the MAG7
List .
I didn’t trade with this strategy until a few guys in my Discord recommended it. I had a bit of a learning curve, but I finished green on most accounts for the first time in a while.
Context I Tracked
Asian session high/low: 6,514 / 6,492
London session high/low: 6,528 / 6,506
Previous day high/low: 6,536.25 / 6,489.25
PPI report (Aug 2025): -0.1% vs forecast, shifted bias from bullish to bearish intraday
VWAP levels on both ES and QQQ
Wins
Stayed green overall on funded accounts with payout potential.
Saw the end-of-day pump confirmed by MAG7, even after an initial retrace.
Reinforced my supply/demand and VWAP process.
Losses and Lessons Learned
Entered one trade without higher timeframe confirmation, which cost me a FundingTicks eval account (treating this loss as tuition).
Learned that higher timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) must confirm intraday levels before entering.
Looking Forward
I’ll combine:
Supply/Demand + Session Highs/Lows
Leader ETF (QQQ/MGK/MAG7)
Higher Timeframes (1H/4H/Daily)
This approach gives me more conviction and fewer blind trades.
Indicators
Since I’m still learning how to mark levels properly, I’m starting out with indicators to help reinforce that I’m using potentially correct levels. I primarily used:
Asian
& London Sessions High/Lows
Previous
Highs & Lows
Supply
and Demand Visible Range
TradingView default VWAP indicator
Day 17 — Trading Only S&P Futures | A+ Setup, Done by 10AMWelcome to Day 17 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today was all about conviction. I spotted a rare A+ setup: X7 ES buy signals, bullish market structure, and a buy right at MOB support. That kind of alignment doesn’t happen often — so I sized up 3x my usual and went long.
The trade worked perfectly, and I wrapped up the day by 10AM with +295.37, making this the fastest finish to a session I’ve ever had in this challenge.
📰 News Highlights
STOCKS CLOSE HIGHER, VIX DIPS AS NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA EARNINGS LOOM
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6450 = Remain Bullish
Below 6435 = Flip Bearish
Gold Trade the range until it breaks Short Setup Here is a quick video on the current range and what I see going into Friday with the Fed speaking .
I have given some key levels and reaction zones for what could be a volatile reaction in the gold price .
Tools used Fibonacci, Time price opportunity charts , Anchored vwap and bars pattern .
Any questions then please leave in the comments section below the chart
Day 8 — Trading Only S&P Futures — From -400 to +155Welcome to Day 8 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today was a battle of patience and discipline. I started the day with a -400 loss from an overnight short order that got stopped out before the market even opened. It was tempting to close up shop, but I traded small, stayed disciplined, and waited for the right setup.
Once I saw the X7 Sell Signal align with X3 Bearish Structure, I sized up — turning the day from deep red to +155 before fees.
📈 What you’ll learn
How to manage a big overnight loss without spiraling
The importance of sizing down until confidence returns
Using structure + signal alignment for A+ setups
Patience in clawing back losses
⏰ Timestamps
0:00 — Intro & Day 8 Recap
0:40 — The Overnight Loss & Mindset Shift
1:40 — Clawing Back With Small Trades
2:20 — The X7 + X3 Bearish Alignment Trade
3:00 — Market News & Impact
3:30 — Key Levels for Tomorrow
📰 News Highlights
DOW jumps over 400 points, VIX falls as stocks end higher on rate cut bets.
🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST)
3:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
9:42 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal
10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
10:26 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Sell signal
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:20 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double buy)
1:25 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
2:13 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6440 = Remain Bullish
Below 6410 = Bearish
Day 1 Trading Only S&P Futures — Starting with $200 Profit
Day 1 — Trading Only S&P Futures
Daily P/L:+ 204 :moneybag:
Sleep: 8 hours
Emotions: Tired and sored from muay thai.
:thought_balloon: Today’s Trade thoughts:
I was leaning bearish in the market because we had such strong selling pressure on Friday butonce we broke over the level i posted last week at 6330, I gave up on my bias and I just followed the signals and traded the the X1dd buy signal with @gohawks14 and shorted the Max gamma resistance around 6352 and called a day when i made $200.
I think for this week as we start the trading challenge, I want to have one account where i just make $200 and call it a day so this way i can build consistency and get my trading % up.
:bell:News Highlights:
DOW REBOUNDS NEARLY 600 POINTS, VIX PLUNGES AS U.S. STOCKS END SHARPLY HIGHER ON RATE-CUT OPTIMISM
:bar_chart: VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST):
9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:10 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal
10:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
11:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal (Double buy signal)
11:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal
12:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal
1:21 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
2:00 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
:chart_with_upwards_trend: Key Levels for Tomorrow:
Above 6332 = Bullish
Below 6300 = Bearish
:link: Recap & Charts: www.tradingview.com
07/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +960
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: still struggling with sleep due to heat waves
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!✅
— 9:45 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! ✅
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!❌
— 11:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!❌
— 12:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal, ✅
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!✅
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
I have started to noticed that the last 3 days, we have been getting false triggers on market structure signals and it almost feels MM are trying to do it to break people's algo that trade on that.
This is a good reminder that no matter how successful the signal has been for the last 30 days, you still need to have risk management. additionally, it's also a good way to test people's faith and trick new traders in going back to doing random things because it makes them think market can behave randomly and nothing works.
this is why i always tell people to religiously test out a system for 30 days before giving up.
News
*FEDERAL RESERVE SKIPS RATE CUT, KEEPS FED FUNDS RATE AT 4.50%
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6410= Bullish, Under 6400= Bearish
07/24/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +1452
Sleep: 4 hours
Overall health: need to catch up on sleep
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 9:37 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :white_check_mark:
— 10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :white_check_mark:
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
— 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal :white_check_mark:
— 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3:white_check_mark:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
Today's market was a bit wild in the morning with a lot of big moves, sot here was opportunity to money if followed the signals.
I mostly finished trading by 12:30 because there was so many big moves.
**News**
(US) Pres Trump: Regarding firing Powell, would be a big move, it's not necessary; No pressure for Powell to resign; Have 1-3 names in mind for Fed Chair position
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6370= Bullish, Under 6355= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
07/23/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: -1243
Sleep: 4 hours
Overall health: having issues with sleep the last 2 nights
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
9:23 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
9:34 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:47 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
12:17 PM NQ X1 Sell Signal (triple sell)
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
After going on a long green streak, I got a bit greedy and wanted to make a big profit and went a bit risky dicky at the end of the session, having been able to read everything pretty well, I was pretty sure $6400 was going to be a pretty tight resistance between reading the gammabot data and options data, it showed that we would stall at $6400 on ES so i decided to put a few big ES short positions there with a tight stoploss at 6405 thinking, it surely can't go wrong with only a few minutes left in the session.
and surely it did, it went completely wrong and i went from being positive for the day to negative and throwing my profits away.
News
*STOCKS SURGE AFTER US-JAPAN TRADE DEAL AS S&P 500 AND NASDAQ CLINCH FRESH RECORDS
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6339= Bullish, Under 6320= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
07/22/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +
Sleep: 6 hours
Overall health: Good
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:20 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal
— 11:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal
— 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
Very clean trading day for me, signals worked out really well and everything played out accordingly
**News**
S&P 500 CLOSES AT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ABOVE 6,000
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6339= Bullish, Under 6320= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
DIYWallSt Trade Journal:$238 Lessons From Monthly Expiration07/18/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +238.75
Sleep: 5. hours
Overall health: Was working late last night and didn't get much sleep.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (didn't work that well)
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal
— 12:19 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was monthly expiration for options and we got a lot of X7 Sell signals but structure was bullish so I tried to take a long at MOB and got burned. Flipped bearish and started shorting the rest of the day and ended up making money back.
News
*US STOCKS MOVE LOWER AFTER REPORT SAYS TRUMP PUSHES FOR 15-20% MINIMUM TARIFF ON ALL EU GOODS
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6335= Bullish, Under 6315= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: How I Navigated Powell Firing Rumors & 07/16/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +428.75
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 4:17 AM Market Structure flipped bullish
— 9:50 AM Market Structure flipped bearish
— 12:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
— 1:02 PMMarket Structure flipped bullish
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was a crazy trading day with a bunch of wild moves because Trump said they were going to fire Powell and then cancelled the threat.
Overall health and sleep have been good this week and our trading balance is reflecting that.
News
— 10:30 AM *SCOTT BESSENT: “FORMAL PROCESS” TO REPLACE FED CHAIR POWELL UNDERWAY
— 12:11 PM
*TRUMP ASKED IF HE WILL FIRE POWELL: NOT PLANNING ON DOING ANYTHING
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal?
If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart.
However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there.
So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Perfect Morning Signals & Rate Cut bets07/15/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +404.50
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:41 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 9:33 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell)
— 9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 1:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy)
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
We got great signals at the start of the day and that really helped with today's trading. I had some meetings today and stufff to take care of so i decided to lock out the funded account around noon and called a day.
News
— 9:54 AM
*TRADERS STICK TO BETS ON SEPTEMBER FED RATE CUT AFTER INFLATION REPORT
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6295= Bullish, Under 6285= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
DIYWallSt Trade Journal:The Importance of Your First Trade **07/14/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +158.75
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 8:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
— 11:50 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
I need to really be careful with my first trade and making sure it is a high probability trade, otherwise a bad early start is likely to ruin my whole day.
News
— 1:42 PM *TRUMP TO UNVEIL $70 BILLION IN AI AND ENERGY INVESTMENTS
— 4:08 PM *S&P 500 ENDS HIGHER AS STOCKS RISE AFTER TRUMP SAYS OPEN TO DEALS ON TARIFFS
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6295= Bullish, Under 6285= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Price Action Beats News **07/02/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +763
Sleep: 4.5 hours
Overall health: sleep deprived
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
— 9:57 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
— 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :x:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
You can't trade on news, the only thing that matters in day trading is price action.
Bad news can still make the market go up.
News
The U.S. economy lost 33,000 jobs in June, as per ADP, badly missing forecasts for a gain of 99,000.
MICROSOFT TO LAY OFF AS MANY AS 9,000 EMPLOYEES
Tesla’s NASDAQ:TSLA Q2 deliveries miss consensus expectations
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6250= Bullish, Under 6240= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +1160
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check:
11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
RTY and YM leading the way today
NQ lagging
Why is this?
The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory.
Money has to come from somewhere.
If Money is going to YM and RTY,
Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both.
There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it
Why would it drain from NQ? Easy
Because NQ and ES already hit ATH,
YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet.
So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount
News
N/A
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
06/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +212
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good, caught up on workout and sleep over the weekend.
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 2/4 success**
— 12:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal :x:
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!:check:
— 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :x:
— 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
**
The X1 Signals today has been happening after market structure signals and usally that means MM is going to change the direction to the opposite way to scam us. Based on that, I decided to lock out my account after making $200 today so i don't get caught in the scam.
News
EU TO ACCEPT TRUMP’S UNIVERSAL TARIFF BUT SEEKS KEY EXEMPTIONS — 2:07 PM
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6240= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
XAUUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025XAUUSD 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bearish
Gold has been on the rally of a century for a while and isn’t showing too many signs of slowing down long term. For now we do have a couple opportunities I can bring to your attention.
4hour bearish continuation - For this to happen we would like to see price action come back to our pocket of confluence near the 3,320.000 level followed by bearish conviction. If this happens look to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.500.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to see a reversal of the 4hour trend we would need to see price action pop back above the 3,320.000 resistance area. Look for strong bullish conviction above this level and target higher toward appropriate levels of resistance.
EURJPY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
EJ has been in a bullish trend on all timeframes and doesn’t really show any signs of stopping. Currently we are right near major monthly resistance around 171.000. It is likely we will see price action push into this zone but we want to identify a potential trade beforehand.
Here are two potential scenarios for this week on EJ
Bullish Continuation - We are a bit close to the 171.000 monthly zone so we would like to see price action come back to our 168.500 4hour support zone before targeting higher.
Trend Reversal - If we see price action fall below 168.500 we want to see bearish conviction and rejection from that same zone. If this happens we can start to consider short scenarios and target lower support levels like 166.250.
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens.
Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
AUDJPY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
AJ is currently sitting at a major daily resistance area around 94.500. We have to wait for price action to make a move and show some conviction before we can become confident in a setup.
Lucky us, price action is usually easy to follow when waiting for a break of a range. The way I see it, we have two great options.
Bullish Breakout - In the scenario where we see price action break above the 94.500 zone we will look for long setups. Ideally, we spot some clear higher lows above 94.500 with strong bullish conviction. Look to target higher resistance levels like 96.500.
Bearish Continuation - If we see this resistance level at 94.500 continue to hold we could see a daily bearish continuation happen. Look for strong bearish candles rejecting the current zone followed by clear lower highs. We’re targeting lower if that happens to around the 92.000 area.
AUDUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
AU has been in this subtle bullish channel since late April 2025, just above major monthly support at 0.63250 area.
We also have some conflicting trends and we need to see some conviction before we can comfortably follow price action. We do have some alignment with a bearish USD but at the moment we have two options:
Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario based on what we’re seeing and where price action is. Ideally, we see some rejection from our 4hour 0.65000 support area followed by bullish conviction. If this happens look for price action to touch or break the top of this channel and continue bullish for the week ahead.
Reversal back into channel - If we fail to see bullish presence we could see price action fall back into the channel. The key indication of this would be a break below our 0.65000 support area followed by a retest and bearish conviction.