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BTC WEEKLY CHART: "The Panic Zone" Bulls Bears and Swans Oh My!In the event you were infatuated by BREXIT the big news was the opportunistic Chinese took the opportunity to devalue the Yuan on the same day. Under intense journalistic distraction, no one accused the Chinese of currency manipulation. This event makes it extremely clear that BTC can be used to foretell big FOREX moves. It foretold the giant Rand devaluation and now the Yuan. Insiders in China were aware of the impending devaluation and moved big money in and out of BTC as a value store. Relative to precious metal, BTC is a faster, easier, useful tool for instantaneous shelter from central bank moves. The China move creates a bull flag formation with a target price in the $900 neighbourhood. When? Watch volume. It has tailed off. When it picks up it will be the start of the second phase move. My time line projections suggest end of 4th quarter, 1st quarter 2017. New upside resistance is the temporal blue dash line at $800. Support short term is the blue solid at current level and long term is the red dash. A drop through $475 will result in PANIC. I have moved the PANIC ZONE up a level. Black Swans are still fluttering about and the bears are in hibernation. It's interesting to note, BREXIT, civil war in Europe, new dictatorship in Turkey, warnings about Nuclear conflagrations between Putin and NATO, all have had very little impact on the current value of BTC. War in Eastern Europe may affect the operation of two major BTC exchanges, BitStamp and BTCe. If they are planning for Armageddon then a relocation would be a seamless event. If not, major disruption in the BTC market will occur. The halving was a non-event although it points to BTC as a sound value store. There are serious world-wide financial problems looming on the horizon. The Euro is simply doomed. When? It will be an overnight event like the Lehman Brothers failure. If any large German banks fail, the party is over.... and at least one is on the edge. In the US the massive unreported problem is public workers pension imbalance. It's $4 Trillion with a T out of whack. Massive numbers of retirees will drain away all available municipal tax funds. This is simply a pot hole that won't be filled. Illinois will be the first to fall. California will be the second or third. Trump may build the wall but there will be devastation on both sides of it. If Hillary wins, the debt will be the least of our problems. Stay tuned...

USDZAR Where will the Rand go befor the Municipal election? This is to update my previous view on where the Rand will go. The Municipal elections are approaching at the beginning of August which potentially could be the start of a political power shift in the country (or maybe not). However, I think there that investors sill be cautious in buying Rand before the election. With USD strength and resistance at the yearlPP we should expect the rand to weaken towards the beginning of August. Volume has been low since June. Signs of increased volume but with little price reaction is seen pointing to buyers entering the market. So expect a pull back to the cloud at just below 15 Rand to the USD.

Cypher formation on ZARGBP Enter at 0.0448.

Trade Of The Day No.6 Sell $USDZAR.It seems the finance minister has been abruptly removed. Replaced with a little known politician. The rand seems to have dropped significantly, more so than reasonable and so I would say its devaluation is overstated. The fundamentals remain the same.

$USD v $ZAR - Prop Pattern Eyes 14.50790 Reversal | #rand #forex QUICK ANALYSIS: A proprietary pattern I have discovered and named JANUS suggests a top at 14.50790 today. The Janus is one of several proprietary patterns I have discovered and use as adjuncts to my Predictive/Forecasting Model and geometries (Geo and Wolfe Wave). However, they are often used as third-place elements, as they carry a lesser probability weigh than the Model itself, or the geometries. A recent $ZAR analysis was invalidated as price continued to soar (faded in the chart), whereas a nascent widening geometry is developing (highlighted in black lines) - I would pay particular attention to the third and often last validation of the upper line as a probable sign of imminent reversal. However, these can occur right on the line, above it, or some rarer times, not even making it to the line. However, combining this expanding geometry with the pattern adds a slight gain in probability. More on this DAILY chart as price continues to rally. Note also that this rallying is probably on the back of a strengthening $USD rather than a weakening South African Rand, as most of the $USD pairs are display a similar behavior relative to the dollar. However, and as mentioned this week-end, there is a high-probability of reversal in the USDollar Index, which is likely to correspond to the distance before reversal in other major and minor crosses. Best, David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Durango, Colorado - USA ----- Twitter: @4xForecaster Linked-In: David Alcindor TradingView: www.TradingView.com ----- .