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RDDT

Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play? Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives. Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations. - **Positive:** - Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand. - Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength. - **Negative:** - High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending. - Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools. SWOT Analysis Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic. Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips. Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom. Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs. This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240. Key indicators: RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70. MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum. Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias. Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high). Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction. Scenarios and Risk Management Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support. Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints. Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed. Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism. What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
NYSE:RDDT
by DCAChampion
RDDT $250C --Smart Money Signals: RDDT LEAP Calls Looking Juicy # 🚀 RDDT LEAP Trade Setup (Sept 5, 2025) ### 🔍 Market Summary * **Momentum:** Strongly Bullish (Daily/Weekly/Monthly RSI > 67) * **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap(er) LEAP premium * **Options Flow:** Neutral OI, but no bearish divergence * **Catalysts:** Ad monetization + AI/data licensing 📊 --- ### 🎯 Trade Idea (LEAP Call Buy) * **Ticker:** RDDT * **Direction:** CALL (Bullish bias) * **Strike:** \$250 * **Expiry:** Sept 18, 2026 (LEAP) * **Entry:** \$64.60 (ask) * **Stop:** \~30% (≈ \$45) * **Profit Plan:** • +100% → Take partial profit • +200% → Let the rest run * **Size:** 1 contract starter (≤2% account risk) * **Confidence:** 75% --- ### ⚠️ Key Risks * Wide bid/ask spreads & low OI → slippage risk * Premium is large (\$64+) → high dollar risk 💸 * Event risk (earnings, regulation, ad-tech news) * Thesis failure = engagement/monetization disappoints --- 📊 **Verdict:** All models (Gemini, Claude, Llama, Grok) = **BULLISH** ✅ Best fit = **Buy RDDT \$250C LEAP (Sept 2026)** at ask \$64.60. 👉 Small starter size. Take profits at +100%, scale runners to +200%. --- 🔥 What do you think? Is **RDDT the next multi-year breakout** or just expensive hype? \#RDDT #OptionsTrading #LEAPS #TradingView
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
1
Smart Money Targets RDDT Calls – Are You In Before the Bang? ## 🚀 RDDT Options Signal: Bulls Loading Up Before Expiry! **Only 2 DTE, But The Flow Is Screaming 📢** 📈 **\$225C @ \$0.86** — Risk Tight. Reward Clean. 🧠 Multiple AI Models Agree: ✅ Institutional Call Flow ✅ Bullish Weekly RSI ⚠️ Gamma & RSI Overheat = Manage Exit Timing Carefully! --- ### 🧩 Key Takeaways: * Strong institutional flow backing the move 🔥 * Short-term risk? Absolutely. * Reward? 50%+ if timed right ⏳ * Stop loss? Tight — don’t hesitate 🚨 --- ### 💰 Trade Setup (Based on AI Consensus) * **Strike**: \$225 * **Expiry**: 08/08 * **Premium**: \$0.86 * **Target**: \$1.29 * **Stop**: \$0.34 * **Confidence**: 70% --- ## ⚠️ 2 DTE — Trade Fast or Stand Aside Not financial advice. This is flow-based probability. Sometimes **opportunity hides behind time decay**. ⏳💥 --- ### 🔖 Tags: `#RDDT #RedditIPO #OptionsFlow #AITrading #TradingView #GammaRisk #BullishSetup #ShortTermPlay #WeeklyOptions #EarningsFlow`
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) ### 🔥 RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) 📈 **Bullish Bias | Confidence: 75%** 🎯 Target: \$165+ | 🔒 Resistance: \$155.58 --- ### 📊 FUNDAMENTALS * 📈 **Revenue Growth (TTM): +61.5%** * 💰 **Gross Margin**: 90.8% * ⚠️ **Op Margin**: 1.0% (Thin runway) * 💥 EPS Surprise Avg: **+191% (5/5 beat streak!)** * 📉 EPS Growth Est: **-86.6%** → low bar = potential upside **🧠 Fundamental Score: 7/10** --- ### 🧠 OPTIONS FLOW * 🔵 **\$172.00C** building OI * 💸 IV Rank \~0.75 (Move priced in!) * 🧲 Bullish call activity > puts * 🛡️ Put skew = hedged upside **📊 Options Score: 7/10** --- ### 📈 TECHNICAL SETUP * ✅ Above 20DMA * 🔥 RSI: 62.2 = strength but not overbought * 📦 Accumulation spike * 🔐 Resistance: \$155.58 * 🧲 Break = squeeze setup **📉 Technical Score: 8/10** --- ### 🌍 MACRO BACKDROP * 🌐 Digital ad sector = support * 🚨 Regulatory overhang = minor risk * 🧬 Growth stock rotation helps RDDT **🌐 Macro Score: 7/10** --- ### 🎯 TRADE IDEA **💥 RDDT \$172.00C** (Aug 1 Exp) * 💵 Entry: \$6.15 * 🎯 PT: \$18.45 * 🛑 SL: \$3.08 * 📈 Risk/Reward: \~3:1 * ⏱ Exit: 1–2 hrs post-earnings * ⚖️ Sizing: 1 contract = \~\$615 risk --- ### ✅ SUMMARY 🧬 Strong rev growth + historical beat streak 🎯 Technical breakout setup + bullish flow 🚀 Potential squeeze toward **\$165+** 📣 Tag: #RDDT #EarningsPlay #OptionsFlow #RedditIPO #SwingTrade #TradingViewViral #EarningsSeason #TechStocks #CallOptions
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
RDDT · 4H — Rising-Wedge Setup with Targets at $172 and $185Setup Summary Rising wedge structure forming since late June. Price recently pulled back to test support at ~$144–145, where the rising trendline intersects horizontal structure. Momentum remains bullish: The prior move from $110 to $165 was impulsive, and this consolidation appears corrective so far. Volume profile (VPVR) shows a thin liquidity zone between $150 and $172, suggesting a strong move is likely if the $150 level is reclaimed. --- 🎯 Target Zones Target Level Rationale 1st Target $169 Matches wedge breakout projection + aligns with prior IPO supply and volume gap resistance. 2nd Target $177 Psychological round number + coincides with IPO opening print and the highest rejection wick seen so far. --- 🛠️ Trade Plan Component Level Trigger Entry on bounce from $144 or breakout/reclaim of $150. Invalidation Close below $142 breaks wedge structure. TP-1 $172 – take 50–70% off, move stop to breakeven. TP-2 $185 – runner target; exit if price shows rejection. --- ⚠️ Risk Notes Wedge patterns can fake out — wait for confirmation (e.g. a 4H bullish engulfing or volume reclaim above $148–150). Earnings or lock-up expiration could introduce volatility (check calendar). If support at $143 fails, look for next demand at $134–135 (prior breakout base). --- ✅ Checklist Structure: Rising wedge in uptrend Support: Held above previous breakout zone Volume profile: Favorable thin zone toward $172 Risk defined below $142 > Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Trade your own plan and always use proper risk management.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by VarghaVafa
2
Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) – Global Growth & Monetization TailwindsCompany Snapshot: Reddit NYSE:RDDT is a community-centric social media platform, uniquely positioned through user-generated content and authentic engagement. With over 100,000 active communities, Reddit is a magnet for targeted brand advertising and premium ad formats. Key Catalysts: AI-Driven International Expansion 🌐 Launched AI-powered post translation in 35+ countries, including Brazil, Germany, and Italy. This unlocks new audiences and ad monetization in high-growth global markets. High Margin Business Model 💸 Reported a 90.5% gross margin—highlighting Reddit’s asset-light infrastructure and operational efficiency. Sets the stage for significant operating leverage as revenue scales. Ad Revenue Acceleration 📊 Brands increasingly view Reddit as a premium ad environment, given its contextual targeting and deep user engagement. Expanding tools for advertisers (e.g., Dynamic Product Ads) may enhance monetization per user. Investment Outlook: Bullish Entry Zone: Above $120.00–$122.00 Upside Target: $190.00–$195.00, supported by global reach, margin strength, and ad revenue tailwinds. 🧠 Reddit isn’t just a social platform—it’s a monetizable network of influence, fueled by community trust and scalable technology. #Reddit #RDDT #SocialMediaStocks #AIExpansion #GrossMargin #AdTech #CommunityEngagement #TechStocks #Bullish #DigitalAds #UserGeneratedContent #GlobalGrowth #FreeCashFlow #GrowthStocks
NYSE:RDDTLong
by Richtv_official
RDDT Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-06🚀 RDDT Weekly Trade Plan – 2025-06-06 Bias: Moderately Bullish Timeframe: 1-day (0DTE) Catalyst: Momentum continuation, supportive VIX, strong short-term technicals Trade Type: Naked call option 🧠 Model Summary Table Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Gain Stop-Loss Confidence Grok Moderately Bullish $118 CALL ~$0.68 +25% –30% 75% Claude Moderately Bearish $115 PUT ~$0.74 +50–100% –50% 72% Llama Moderately Bullish $119 CALL ~$0.66 +10–15% support break 70% Gemini Moderately Bullish $120 CALL ~$0.58 +50–100% –50% 65% DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $118 CALL ~$0.68 +50% –50% 65% ✅ Consensus: Momentum-driven upside with support from trend, RSI, MACD ⚠️ Disagreement: Claude bearish due to max pain gravity and fading M5 momentum 📉 Technical & Sentiment Summary Trend: Price above EMAs, RSI positive, MACD confirms momentum Resistance: $117.30–$117.73 zone to clear before $119 strike in play Sentiment: VIX falling, news cycle supportive Max Pain: $113 – downside gravity risk if momentum stalls Liquidity: Decent OI on $118–$120 strikes; spreads could widen at open ✅ Final Trade Setup Parameter Value Instrument RDDT Direction CALL (LONG) Strike $119 Expiry 2025-06-06 (0DTE) Entry Price $0.66 Profit Target $0.99 (≈+50%) Stop Loss $0.33 (≈–50%) Size 1 contract Entry Timing At market open Confidence 70% 💡 Rationale: Balanced strike with reasonable premium and realistic target before EOD, while staying inside momentum breakout range. ⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations Theta decay: Time erosion steep on 0DTEs—move must be fast and early Max pain: $113 could anchor the stock if resistance isn’t cleared Resistance: Cluster around $117.30–$117.73 needs break for $119 test Open volatility: Bid-ask spreads could widen—consider limit entry 📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT 🎯 Instrument: RDDT 🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG) 🎯 Strike: 119.00 💵 Entry: $0.66 🎯 Target: $0.99 🛑 Stop: $0.33 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry: Open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-06 11:29:24 EDT
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
Long Bullish Idea — Reddit $RDDT (4H Chart)Alright, here’s the play. Reddit’s been bleeding inside this falling channel for months. But here’s where it gets interesting. → IF price holds this buy zone around $100 - $95... → THEN I’m expecting a breakout towards $135 as first target. That’s about +34%. Strong bounce here, plus a clean break of this descending channel = confirmation for me. Volume is kicking in — I wanna see continuation. → IF price breaks $135 with momentum... → THEN next stop is $165 — the 2nd target. That’s another +20%. This isn’t a scalp. It’s a swing idea. 2-5 months range. Earnings 1st May could be a catalyst — but I want to be in early, not chasing after. → IF price loses $70 support with volume... → THEN idea invalidated. No ego, I’m out. Simple plan. Clear levels. No hope, just execution.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by vladislav_xo
5
Reddit (RDDT) Bullish Opportunity – Oversold Bounce + Long-Term Reddit (RDDT) has plunged 54.40% in under 40 days, with the price now testing key technical levels. While the broader market is red today, this setup might offer a unique entry opportunity — whether to lower your average or build a long-term position. Technicals are signaling early signs of reversal, supported by an uptick in momentum indicators. 🔍 Technical Highlights: ✅ Sharp bounce from recent lows (~$106) ✅ MACD bullish cross forming — momentum flipping ✅ RSI climbing from oversold territory ✅ First bullish daily Heikin Ashi candles post-selloff ✅ Price attempting to reclaim the 9 EMA ✅ Defined risk with tight stop just below recent support 📈 Trade Setup: 🟢 Entry Zone: $119-121 (current range) 🔴 Stop Loss: Below $104 (under recent swing low) ✅ TP1: $139 – psychological level & short-term resistance ✅ TP2: $166 – key breakdown zone ✅ TP3: $221 – Below the All Time High & major resistance 📊 Fundamental Tailwinds: 🔹 User Growth: Daily Active Users up 39% YoY to 101.7M 🔹 Ad Revenue Boom: +60% YoY in Q4, reaching $395M 🔹 Analyst Consensus: 20 analysts → 12 Buy, 6 Hold, 2 Sell 🔹 Average Price Target: $195.37 (➕ +56.37% Upside from current levels) 🔹 Strategic Moves: Partnership with Intercontinental Exchange for monetizing data 🔹 IPO Buzz & Momentum: Despite short-term weakness, Reddit remains one of the most followed and speculated post-IPO names 📌 Personally, I’m looking at this from a long-term perspective, but for those trading with leverage, the technical setup allows for tight risk management and structured take-profit levels. Volatility creates opportunity — this might be one of them. Let’s see how it plays out. 💼🚀
NYSE:RDDTLong
by FinanceProSignals
Reddit in the Valley of RiskReddit NYSE:RDDT has entered my textbook "Valley of Risk" period where the stock has a chance to hold its 50% Retracement of a major trend, fails, and even now has the added confirmation of retesting said 50% Support as overhead Resistance. There is now only the gap level at 104.90 which if broken will probably fill. Then it will be on to test the post-IPO accumulation Volume Profile POC at 59.37. I think upside risk (if one were short) is mitigated by the prevailing sector rotation out of tech. There is no alpha to save this stock to speak of outside of the tide going out. Things like this tend to slow bleed out. I might be tempted to take a long dated 60 Put but shorting shares may be more appropriate.
NYSE:RDDTShort
by norok
1
1/6 Weekly Watchlist + NotesIndexes - SPY had a really interesting start to the year this past week. For starters, we went 2-1-2d and hit magnitude on Thursday before seeing price retrace back through all of the weeks previous range before making new weekly highs, and closing green. We now have 1-2-2U potential on all indexes, as well as a LOT of names off my scanner. Its also worth noting that we poked through previous month lows on all indexes before seeing a reversal back into previous range. This now opens up the potential for outside months on all indexes (AKA engulfing bars) which will be evidenced by our weekly setups triggering the 1-2D-2U and targeting the previous month's midpoint on all indexes to trigger the SSS50% rule (Which essentially says when you break one side of previous range and then retrace more than 50% of the previous candles range, you are now closer to taking out that other side than you are to reclaiming the side that was already taken out. It doesn't necessarily mean price is more likely to go to the other side, but it does mean that there is less room to the other side than their is to the one side broken, which means it is fundamentally less difficult to achieve since it would require less effort from one group (in this case buyers) to reclaim one side vs the effort it would take the other group (Sellers) to reclaim the level broken already. This week it is evident we have all the setups and evidence needed to start heading back towards ATH on the indexes, but it will depend on whether we can actually take out previous week highs, and then remain above them. Simply put, if price is above previous week highs, we are seeing an attempt to reclaim the previous weekly highs all the way up to ATH. If we break above previous highs and fail to stay above, then we are seeing a failed attempt from buyers, and we can look to target previous week lows. If inside week, we just rely on what is happening each day to see where daily participants are attempting to take price. If price is stuck inside previous week range, trade something that isn't. The watchlist for the week will include the best bullish setups, and also looking for relative weakness in what is currently a strong market (as evidenced by the majority of stocks on all indexes being green on the previous day and week). Bullish: NYSE:LUV - Big hammer daily that took out a lot of daily pivots below on friday. Hammer week as well, but having mother bar issues on the week as well as M being inside despite large drawdown Friday. Sort of expecting a big move or big fail this week. NASDAQ:AMD - Revstrat hammer week at M/Q Exhaustion level NASDAQ:SMCI - 2-2U weekly to counter M going 2D. Daily BF looking to expand. (played this 2 weeks ago for downside, now we have evidence to go long back through range) NYSE:NET - 3-2U W to target ATH NASDAQ:MSFT - 2-1-2U D to trigger W hammer 2-2 to negate monthly 2-2 rev. Daily PMG as well Bearish: NYSE:KO - 3-1-2d shooter D, 2-1-2 W, 2-1-2 M. 3 Actionable signals that could all trigger and hit targets easily this week, if not all on Monday alone NYSE:DG Revstrat shooter W to trigger monthly 2-2D. Nice weekly Broadening Formation NASDAQ:DLTR - Failed 2U Week that triggered SSS50% rule. Looking to quickly drop back through previous range to take this month failed 2U to 3. DG also looking weak so slight industry support here too. Neutral: NASDAQ:AVGO - 2x Inside week. No daily AS, but seemingly making a new BF within the combined range of the 2 days after their recent ER. Weekly participants lacking control since then and currently showing evidence of sellers trying to take out LOD from ER gap up day. Can trade this either way since compound inside bars typically result in outside bars following.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Alanger17
1
SasanSeifi|Can We Expect $80 or More?Hey there, ✌ NYSE:RDDT In the daily time frame, it can be observed that we have experienced an upward trend from the $50 mark, with the price currently moving within an ascending channel. At present, the price is situated at the midline of this channel. The outlook remains predominantly bullish, and it is expected that after a brief consolidation, the price could rise to the previous peak of $78. Furthermore, if the price breaks above the previous all-time high (ATH), we may witness further gains towards the targets of $80, $85, and even $90. To better understand the continuation of this upward trend, it will be crucial to observe how the price reacts to these anticipated levels. The potential trend is also illustrated in the accompanying chart. Key support levels for this bullish scenario are found between $65 and $60. If these supports are lost and the price stabilizes below them, the bullish analysis will lose its credibility. 💢 This is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I'd love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
NYSE:RDDTLong
by SasanSeifi