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Bearish potential detected for ASKEntry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:ASK along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $1.37 (open of 26th August). Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the potential prior resistance of $1.43 from the open of 7th November, or (ii) above the potential prior resistance of $1.45 from the open of 19th September, or (iii) above the recent swing high of $1.48 from 24th October.
ASX:ASKShort
by Ivory_Wolf
Bearish potential detected for DGTEntry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:DGT along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $2.76 (open of 2nd October). Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the potential prior resistance of $2.92 from the close of 14th July, or (ii) above the potential prior resistance of $3.14 from the open of 9th September.
ASX:DGTShort
by Ivory_Wolf
Bullish potential detected for SGP (and potential outside week)Entry conditions: (i) breach of the upper confines of the Darvas box formation for ASX:SGP - i.e.: above high of $6.48 of 26th August (most conservative entry), and (ii) swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI. NOTE: A potential outside week also exists for this trade - if preferred, await for trade above the high of the week ending 17th October (i.e.: above $6.56) for further confirmation. Stop loss for the trade (based upon the Darvas box formation) would be: (i) below the support level from the low of 26th September (i.e.: below $6.03).
ASX:SGPLong
by Ivory_Wolf
Agree Realty | ADC | Long at $72.37Agree Realty NYSE:ADC Summary: A "boring" REIT with a 4.2% dividend, ~68% investment-grade tenants, high occupancy (~99%), average lease terms of 10+ years, which include major tenants Walmart (top tenant), Dollar General, Tractor Supply, Best Buy, Dollar Tree, TJ Maxx, O'Reilly Auto Parts, CVS, Kroger, Lowe's, Hobby Lobby, Burlington, Sherwin-Williams, Sunbelt Rentals, Wawa, Home Depot.... Technical Analysis: Cup and handle formation may be forming off the recent double bottom (bullish). Two open price gaps remain on the daily chart since 2020 (down near $59) - chance these may get closed if the market turns in the near-term. However, REITs average +30% returns within 16 months post-Fed rate cuts, so patience may benefit investors here. Follow the Money : Insiders buying . Company Financial Health: Strong. $2.3B liquidity, no material debt maturities until 2028, and investment-grade balance sheet (A- rating from Fitch). Debt-to-assets ~40%, covered by stable net-lease rents. Macro risks (e.g., tenant bankruptcies like At Home, consumer slowdown) exist but are mitigated by diversification. Altman Z-Score suggests low distress and no near-term catalysts for insolvency. Earnings and Revenue Growth: ~4% between 2025 and 2027 (slow growth, but good/steady for a REIT). Thus, at $72.37, NYSE:ADC is in a personal buy zone for a likely move up given the high probability of lower interest rates in the future. A near-term risk of a drop to $59 could occur, but REITs often move higher within 1-2 years after interest rates cuts. It's a solid company financially with a good dividend. Targets into 2028: $80.00 (+10.5%) $90.00 (+24.3%)
NYSE:ADCLong
by WorthlessViews
Americold Realty Trust | COLD | Long at $13.28Americold Realty Trust NYSE:COLD Technical Analysis: The price is currently touching the top of my "crash" historical simple moving average bands (green lines). This area is often reserved for share accumulation and can signal a bottom. The price, however, may extend to the bottom of "crash" bands which is currently near $11.80. These bands don't always signal a bottom - there is a still a "major crash" zone - but with interest rates likely dropping in the next 1-2 months, REIT's are poised to benefit as money flows into dividend-paying stocks ( NYSE:COLD dividend is just over 6%). Earnings and Revenue Growth EPS and revenue growth are expected between 2025 and 2028 (while REITs are rarely high-growth, the future appears relatively good for the company - especially if their debt levels drop) www.tradingview.com Health Debt-to-Equity: 1.29x (not great, but not terrible) Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: .5 (high risk - likely higher than 50% chance the company could go bankrupt in the next 24 months *if* interest rates don't drop, but ....) Market Niche NYSE:COLD operates in a specialized sector with high barriers to entry due to the capital-intensive nature of building and maintaining temperature-controlled facilities. The company is an esential service - critical for food safety and pharmaceutical integrity, providing stable demand even in economic downturns. The company's extensive network ( NASDAQ:KHC , NYSE:CAG , NYSE:WMT , etc) and global footprint (facilities in the US, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Europe give it a competitive edge over smaller players. Insiders $2 million in recent insider purchases near $17. openinsider.com Action Due to the high likelihood of interest rate lowering and the market niche NYSE:COLD has as a REIT, I am personally going long at $13.28 and will liekly add more share in the $11 range *if* fundamentals improve. Major warning is bankruptcy risk. Targets in 2028 $15.00 (+12.9%) $18.60 (+40.1%)
NYSE:COLDLong
by WorthlessViews
3
Bullish potential detected for RGNEntry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:RGN along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and (ii) observation of market reaction at the potential resistance level at $2.23 (from the open of 10th April) after closing above 50 day and 200 day MAs. Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent on risk tolerance: (i) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $2.11), or (ii) below the support level from the open of 13th January (i.e.: below $2.06), or (iii) below the support level from the open of 17th March (i.e.: below $2.03).
ASX:RGNLong
by Ivory_Wolf
Medical Properties Trust | MPW | Long at $4.30Medical Properties Trust NYSE:MPW is a beaten down medical facility REIT currently in a price consolidation phase. The company's stock price is at a level not seen since the 2008-2009 financial crisis - but this doesn't mean it's a "steal" right now for investors. Here's why (from Wiki): "In 2022, The Wall Street Journal reported that Medical Properties Trust had made multiple loans to its largest tenant Steward Health Care and paid above market value to Steward for property that Steward then leased from Medical Properties. The article alleged that this was done to help Steward pay off debts to Cerberus Capital Management, while Medical Properties claimed that the amounts paid for the properties were fair based on its underwriting and internal appraisals for the properties. MPT referenced Steward’s dependability in paying approximately $1.2 billion in rent and interest since 2016 as further evidence of prudent underwriting. MPT also cited its 2022 sale of a 50% stake in the Massachusetts real estate it bought from Steward as validation of its strategy. In March 2022, Macquarie Infrastructure Partners V entered into a $1.7 billion partnership with MPT to own eight hospitals leased to Steward, resulting in a 47% gain on sale of real estate for MPT. Another Wall Street Journal report also claimed that the company engaged in risky acquisitions with tenants who were likely to default on rent payments later while the compensation of executives of the company was partially linked to the volume of acquisitions they could make. The company clarified that it does not directly compensate executives for acquisition volume, and that its compensation plan provides for reducing executive compensation if acquisitions do not increase the company's per-share value." On September 11, 2024, NYSE:MPW announced a settlement agreement with Steward Health Care that ended their relationship and restored NYSE:MPW 's control over its real estate. So, it's a highly risky investment, but the cat may be out of the bag and a turnaround may be ahead (?). The country's need for medical facilities will be dire as the baby-boom generation gets older. With a 7% dividend and *potential* change in business profitability ahead, NYSE:MPW is at a personal buy zone of $4.30. Warning: It may take several years for a recovery, though, or bankruptcy is ahead. Target #1 = $6.15 Target #2 = $8.00 Target #3 = $9.75
NYSE:MPWLong
by WorthlessViews
1
CAPITALAND Investments (9C1) - BUY!BUY: $2.8 - $2.95 TP: $3.44 $3.68 CapitaLand Investment will be a major beneficiary of lower rates from income growth for its REIT holdings and enabling accretive fee transactions. Another positive is the massive re-rating of China following the recent monetary stimulus by the central bank and support by the Politburo will benefit the economy indirectly. Similar to the Fed’s quantitative easing, it will be the wealth effect of higher equity and bond prices that boosts confidence and spending. It also encourages borrowing as households and private enterprises are deleveraging despite the record-low interest rates. Personally. I am buying and holding for my long term dividends portfolio.
SGX:9CILong
by Gold_D_Roger
#FED causing Commercial Real Estate/ Banking CollapseCommercial real estate "..talk of black swans of an economic nature forcing the Fed to print trillions again. Commercial real estate may be the next domino to fall. Back in 2008, default rates rose to 9%, up from 1%, as interest rates rose. Today, the damage to commercial real estate loans which total about $2.7 trillion could be far greater. Over 40% of the US work force now works remotely since May 2020. The decline in demand for commercial properties has worsened by recent tech layoffs. The value of office sector REITs have fallen by about 55% which translates into a 33% reduction in the value of office buildings. The default rate of between 10-20% in commercial real estate which was the lower end seen during the worst of 2008 would result in about $80-160 billion in additional bank losses. This would be ruinous for hundreds of smaller and midsize regional banks that have already been weakened by higher interest rates. The 2008 financial crisis spread from the housing sector to the rest of the economy as large banks with exposure to housing took tremendous losses. Today, the Fed has created a moral hazard in guaranteeing depositors. Bank executives may take bigger risks if they believe the Fed will step in to protect depositors."
NYSE:AREShort
by BallaJi
4
Has MPW Bottomed Out?NYSE:MPW has pumped 19.60%+ today, and I received a great question about whether MPW has bottomed out. There was an opportunity to buy within the buy zone, and MPW had a strong rebound out of this buy zone. The momentum is currently bullish, and there is the possibility that MPW continues trending up towards the light blue trendline, which gives a price target around $6-7 price levels. This pump is caused by bullish news that Steward is selling assets to reduce its debt, which is a scenario that I've been discussing in past updates. It is possible for a selloff after this news, and for now MPW is at a $4.60 resistance level. It is important to monitor this resistance level to see if MPW gets a rejection or break here. With a rejection, I think there can be more buying opportunities around $3-4 price levels. MPW had a strong rebound off the orange zone, flipping it from resistance into support. I think MPW could retest this orange zone at some point, and I still think MPW could retest the green buy zone during a fed pivot.
NYSE:MPW
by realchartchamp
Octodec ready for the next push up to R10.87 - NB Investment TipOctodec has had a challenging year with the price constantly on the downtrend. That was until 27 June 2023... We can see a huge wick where there was most likely buying from Smart Money and financial institutions... Since then the support has been tested numerous times and it's since then formed a W Formation (Double Bottom)... We do need the price to break above the neckline for further upside but things are looking good. IMPORTANT TRADING TIP AND MEDIUM TERM INVESTMENT TIP Also, with lower liquid and high volatile stocks, I like to extend the stop loss quite broad. I normally move the stop loss BELOW the entire pattern to give room in case there are jumpy moves along the process to stop us out... ALSO because there aren't CFDs or derivatives, these strategy works very well for medium term investments using technicals and fundamentals. Other indicators state the following: Price<200 RSI>50 - Bullish Target R10.87 ABOUT THE COMPANY: Octodec Investments Ltd is a real estate investment trust (REIT) operating primarily in South Africa. It was established in 1959 and is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). Octodec focuses on property investment and property management, primarily in the commercial and residential sectors. Company Background: Octodec Investments Ltd is a well-established and respected real estate investment company in South Africa. Real Estate Focus: Octodec primarily invests in and manages a diverse portfolio of properties, including retail, commercial, and residential real estate. Geographic Focus: Its property portfolio is mainly situated in key urban areas within South Africa, including Johannesburg, Pretoria, and other high-demand regions. Property Portfolio: The company owns, manages, and leases a range of properties, including office buildings, shopping centers, and residential complexes. Income Generation: Octodec earns income through rental collections from its property portfolio.
JSE:OCTLong
by Timonrosso