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GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets... Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high. Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed. As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech. Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons. Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100 Support levels: 4001, 3986 Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets... Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold. Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100 Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986 Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next? The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed. New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14). Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended). Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement... Support levels: 3791, 3783 Resistance levels: 3831, 3847 A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
SOLUSDT → Stronger than the market. Correction before growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT updated its maximum to 218 and entered another phase of correction for consolidation. The altcoin looks quite strong against the backdrop of the rest of the cryptocurrency market... Bitcoin continues its aggressive decline after yesterday's trap (false breakout of the trend line). Despite relatively positive fundamental and technical developments, the cryptocurrency market is in the red. Against this backdrop, SOL stands out as a strong altcoin compared to Bitcoin, which has been falling for two weeks. SOL updated its maximum and entered a correction phase. Within the current structure, the price may test the liquidity zone of 202.5 - 195.3 before continuing to grow to 220 - 240. The reaction to false breakouts of local highs is weak, there is no reversal, and the nature of the current structure is “consolidation.” If the bulls keep the price above 200 during the correction, the further outlook will be positive. Resistance levels: 216.5, 220, 244 Support levels: 202.5, 198.0, 195.3 Focus on the current correction. We need to wait for a slowdown and the end of the structure. Focus on the specified support zones, from which the market may resume bullish trading, which in turn may lead to a breakout of intermediate resistance and growth to the specified targets. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
GBPUSD → Retest resistance for a breakout. Distribution?FX:GBPUSD is attempting to break through the resistance of the symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, which is a continuation pattern of the main bullish trend. Against the backdrop of stagnation and weakening of the dollar index, the GBPUSD price has stopped updating local lows, and consolidation in the form of a symmetrical triangle is forming. The strengthening of the GBP led to a breakout of the consolidation resistance, and if the bulls can stay above 1.352, then the market may trigger a rally to the resistance at 1.3588, from which a small correction is expected before continuing to grow to 1.378 thanks to motivated buyers. Resistance levels: 1.3589, 1.3674 Support levels: 1.3524, 1.3446 In the 1.3525 zone, there may be a prolonged struggle for the buying area (above resistance). If the bulls manage to stay above the resistance conglomerate, this will confirm the fact of a resistance breakout and the end of the downward correction, which may trigger a continuation of the global trend and price growth to 1.378. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of potential growth. PPI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is still consolidating, with the range expanding. The price has confirmed the formation of an upward price channel, which bulls are defending quite aggressively... Gold remains in positive territory for the third day in a row and is consolidating above $3,350 in Asian trading, awaiting PPI data and jobless claims in the US. Moderate CPI and weak labor market statistics have reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, with some experts forecasting -50 bps. The dollar remains at a two-week low amid dovish comments and rumors of a possible change in the Fed chair, which supports demand for gold. Weak PPI data could accelerate the rise in metal prices, although market attention is gradually shifting to the meeting between Trump and Putin on Ukraine. Technically, the focus is on the 3366-3340 range. A small correction may form from resistance before breaking the 3366 level and continuing to rise within the trend... Resistance levels: 3366, 3381, 3400 Support levels: 3341, 3334 Before rising, the market may test the trend support or form a false breakdown. But there is a possibility that the price will immediately start storming 3366 for further growth. But, again, further developments depend on economic data, which will most likely be controlled by Trump after the NFP mistake... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD → A stalemate situation - a bullish wedgeFX:XAUUSD is unable to break through the resistance level of 3400. However, an ambiguous “bullish wedge” pattern is forming on the chart... The price of gold retreated from a two-week high on profit-taking. The correction intensified after the US imposed tariffs on imports of gold bars (1 kg), which could disrupt supplies from Switzerland and London. Key supporting factors: Escalation of trade conflicts, concerns about the US economy and pressure on the Fed, questions about the Fed's independence after Trump's appointments Risks: Short-term volatility ahead of US CPI data next week. However, fundamental drivers remain bullish. Support levels: 3390, 3350 Resistance levels: 3405, 3435 The problem with the bullish wedge pattern is that it forms an ambiguous figure. We have an upward movement, but the pattern could easily reverse the local upward trend due to the fairly difficult resistance zone of 3390-3410. If gold manages to consolidate above 3405, this will increase the chances of growth to 3435-3500. BUT! There is a fairly high chance that the 3390 support level could be broken. In this case, the market could fall to 3350 before rising... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
BITCOIN → From consolidation to distribution. Market weaknessBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is moving from consolidation to a correction phase. The price broke through the support zone of 114.5–115.5, closing within the Friday trading session in the sell zone... Previous idea from July 22: BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction? The fundamental background is shifting to neutral, the hype has temporarily ended, and there are no bullish drivers yet. And for the health of the market, a correction is needed. Bitcoin is breaking the neutral consolidation structure. The previous trading session closed below the support range, which generally indicates market weakness. Despite the global bullish trend, Bitcoin is moving from consolidation to a correction phase, with 112K - 110.5K serving as points of interest in this case. Before the fall, liquidity may be captured in the 114K - 114.800 zone. Resistance levels: 114.05, 114.85, 115.67 Support levels: 112.03, 110.48 After a strong movement, the market may enter a correction or local consolidation, during which it may test the specified resistance zones before continuing its downward movement to the zone of interest and liquidity at 112 - 110.5. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
18
USDCHF → The resistance retest ended with a false breakoutFX:USDCHF tested resistance at 0.805 - 0.806 and formed a false breakout without the possibility of continuing growth. The global trend is downward... Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth (reaction to news), the currency pair also moved to distribution to 0.8050. The price failed to break through resistance, forming a false breakout. USDCHF is consolidating below resistance, and a breakdown of the local structure could trigger a decline. The dollar index is also facing fairly strong resistance and may continue its downward trend, which will also affect the decline in the USDCHF price. Resistance levels: 0.805, 0.806, 0.81 Support levels: 0.800, 0.794, 0.791 If, within the current consolidation, the price begins to fall and break the local structure, then we can expect the decline to continue towards the specified targets! Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GBPUSD → Retest of previously broken resistance...FX:GBPUSD has entered a correction phase after breaking through the local downtrend. If the price remains in the 1.3450–1.346 zone, this will confirm the formation of a new trading range... The market is entering a correction phase due to the dollar. A countertrend retest of the support zone is forming. Earlier, the currency pair broke the local trend and is entering a flat phase. The retest of support may end with a recovery. If, within the local movement and after a false breakout of the 1.345 - 1.3467 zone, the bulls keep the price above the buying zone, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to continue. Support levels: 1.3467, 1.345 Resistance levels: 1.35, 1.3584 A false breakdown of support at 1.3467 will confirm a change in the local trend (correction). The market may return to the recovery phase of the global trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty. In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus. Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise. Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320 Resistance levels: 3366, 3396 On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597... Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement. Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974 Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917 Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
USDCAD → Weak dollar provokes continuation of downtrendFX:USDCAD under the pressure of a weak dollar and downtrend may renew its lows. The fundamental background for the dollar is weak, the market reacts accordingly. The dollar continues to fall - a reaction to the tariff war. Besides, additional pressure is created by the issue of interest rates reduction. The currency pair is under the pressure of the downtrend. After a false resistance breakout, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The trend change is confirmed by the cascade of resistances. Emphasis on the local range 1.4245 - 1.42018. The price exit from the consolidation will provoke the continuation of the fall Resistance levels: 1.4245, trend boundary Support levels: 1.4202, 1.415 Possible retest of resistance before further decline. But the price exit from the current range and consolidation of the price below 1.4202 - 1.4205 will provoke the growth of sales and further fall to 1.405 (zone of interest). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index... The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074 Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009 The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline. Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397 Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397 Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512 After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
33
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows. The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data. GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678 Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576 The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible. On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective Briefly, here's what's going on: Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ... Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss. Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67 Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow. At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
40
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements. Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800. Support levels: 2795, 2790 Resistance levels: 2802, 2808 There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURJPY → The fall may continue after the correctionFX:EURJPY is under pressure. The currency pair is breaking the local uptrend. Technical and fundamental background is weak, which in general can put pressure on the market. Globally, the currency pair has no trend and is trading within the range of 166 - 156. The last growth attempt was unsuccessful, the price could not approach the intermediate maximum and facing a strong bear the price turned around and fixing below the SMA headed to the lower boundary of the flat. Locally, the change of character to bearish is confirmed, but before further fall the price may form a correction, for example, to 0.5 Fibo (imbalance zone), or to local zones of interest, but in the medium term the fall may continue. Resistance levels: 162.3, 163.1 Support levels: 160.9, 159.8 A false breakdown of local support is formed, which may lead to correction, but since we have confirmation that the market is bearish, after the correction the fall may continue. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GBPJPY → Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑FX:GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement... The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance. Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0 Resistance levels: 195.5 The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Risk zone! One step away from a prolonged correctionFX:XAUUSD is trading in the lower half of the key range. The price failed to hold above 2493, the market is spilling back to support. But, there are nuances pointing to both a rebound and a possible fall..... The trend is still bullish. The price is entering the risk zone of 2470 - 2480. If the bulls do not keep the price above this zone, we should expect a prolonged correction. But, there are Initial Jobless Claims and NFP report ahead, which traders are waiting for so much. The economic nuances can both strengthen local movements and revive the global trend. On H1 the price is strongly declining to the support, such a fast movement is fraught with a rebound, which can bring the price back to 2493 - 2500 and this is probably the key movement. But there is a but everywhere! It is hard to tell from the volumes that the buyer is ready for any action. False breakout and consolidation above 2477 may affect the growth. Resistance levels: 2493, 2500 Support levels: 2477, 2473, 2450 But the fall is not excluded. If there is no reaction to the 2477-2473 zone in the form of a rebound, and gold starts to consolidate near the support, then we should consider a decline, the key target of which could be the 2450 zone and the trend line on D1. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
16