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RUSSELL 25-year Channel Up giving a Sell Signal soon.Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a 25-year Channel Up since the March 2000 High, which was the Top of the A.I. Bubble. Since then it only broke once during the 2008 Housing Crisis. Once recovered, it has used all standard macro levels of Support as short, medium and long-term buy entries respectively, with those being the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). The April 2025 rebound, which is the market's most recent rally, took place right on the 1M MA100. The index is however approaching the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up, which since the 2000 High, has provided almost all rejection points, being the strongest Sell Signal (exception 2021, which was the mega-pump recovery following the March 2020 COVID flash crash). As you can see, the market has historically started a correction on the 2nd test/ rejection on the 0.236 Fib. Out of those 3 corrections, two of them took place after the index broke above the 0.236 Fib and one just below it. All however have pulled-back to at least the 0.382 (blue) Fib. The key here however is to determine the exact High so that you can draw the 0.382 Fib retracement. The only condition that most likely won't be fulfilled (as it happened on all previous cases), is that the 1M RSI most likely won't break above the 70.00 overbought level before the correction happens. So there's question mark there. As for our Target, we expect at least 2230 (Fib 0.382) to get hit around mid 2026. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUT
by TradingShot
3
Can the Russell 2000 Lead the Next Bull Wave Above Resistance?📊 RUSSELL 2000: The Ultimate Small-Cap Breakout Blueprint 🚀💰 🎯 Market Overview: IWM Russell 2000 Index Analysis The Russell 2000 (RUT/IWM) is setting up for what could be a chef's kiss momentum play! 🧑‍🍳✨ We're tracking a bullish continuation setup backed by triangular moving average confluence and a classic pullback-to-breakout pattern. Small-caps are flexing, and this technical structure screams opportunity for swing and day traders alike. 📈 The Trade Setup (Swing/Day Strategy) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH Confirmation: Triangular moving average pullback + volume expansion Key Level to Watch: 2550.0 (Overbought resistance zone breakout) 🎯 Entry Strategy: Layered Scaling Approach Primary Entry: Post-breakout above 2550.0 ✅ ⚡ Pro Tip: Set price alerts on your platform to catch the breakout in real-time without staring at charts all day! Layered Entry Levels (Scaling In): 🔹 2500.0 🔹 2510.0 🔹 2520.0 🔹 2530.0 🔹 2540.0 This scaling approach allows you to build your position gradually while managing risk like a pro. 🧠💼 🛑 Risk Management Zone Stop Loss: 2480.0 🔴 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is MY stop-loss based on technical structure. YOU manage your own risk tolerance! Trade smart, not reckless. Your capital, your rules. 💯 🎯 Profit Target Zone Target: 2610.0 🎯💰 This zone represents confluence of: Strong historical resistance Overbought territory Potential bull trap zone (watch for exhaustion!) ⚠️ Profit-Taking Note: Lock in gains as we approach target. Don't get greedy—pigs get fed, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷🔪 This is MY target, but YOU decide when to secure profits based on YOUR strategy. 🔗 Related Markets & Correlation Watch Keep an eye on these correlated assets for confirmation: Direct Exposure: AMEX:IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) - Primary tracking vehicle TVC:RUT (Russell 2000 Index Futures) Correlation Plays: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) - Broad market sentiment gauge NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq-100) - Tech/growth sector correlation AMEX:DIA (Dow Jones) - Large-cap comparison Key Correlation Note: Russell 2000 typically outperforms during risk-on environments and underperforms large-caps during risk-off. Watch for small-cap premium expansion as confirmation of bullish thesis. When IWM/IWM/ IWM/SPY ratio rises, small-caps are leading—bullish for RUT! 📊🔥 Economic Indicators: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation (weak dollar = small-cap strength) TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield) - Interest rate sensitivity Regional bank stocks (small-cap economy proxy) 🔑 Key Technical Points ✅ Triangular MA Pullback Complete - Classic retest of support ✅ Volume Profile - Accumulation zone established ✅ 2550.0 Resistance - Break and hold = explosive upside ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - ~1:1.5+ (70 points risk / 110+ points reward) ✅ Timeframe Alignment - Multi-timeframe confluence supporting the move ⚡ The Thief's Edge: Why This Setup Works Small-caps are the wild horses of the market—volatile, fast, and rewarding when you ride the trend! 🐎💨 The Russell 2000 represents domestic US growth plays, making it hyper-sensitive to: Economic optimism cycles Federal Reserve policy shifts Risk appetite rotations This setup capitalizes on momentum continuation after a healthy pullback. We're not catching falling knives—we're riding tested support into breakout territory! 🎯 🧠 Trading Psychology Corner Remember, folks: The market doesn't care about your entry price. It only cares about supply and demand. Manage risk, scale into winners, and cut losers fast. This isn't financial advice—this is a battle-tested framework for market participants who understand probability over certainty. 🎲📉📈 🙏 Support the Analysis! ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #Russell2000 #RUT #IWM #SmallCaps #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Breakout #TriangularMA #MomentumTrading #StockMarket #IndexTrading #TradingStrategy #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #BullishSetup #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement Stay sharp, trade smart, and let's catch this wave together! 🌊💰
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Long
by The-Thief
RUSSELL Will it correct this time also?Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a Channel Up since late April and right now its current Bullish Leg is about to test the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line). It has completed a +9.01% rise from the August 20 Low, which is the same increase of the previous (August 01 - 13) Bullish Leg and that has been the 'weakest' one out of all Legs of the Channel Up (+11.07%, +10.93% and +10.33% the others). As a result, we can start thinking about taking profits on this run and an upcoming new pull-back (red Bearish Leg/ Channel Down) within a Sell Zone that extends up to +11.07% (2500). Within this Zone, any rejection we get, we are targeting 2380, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level applied on the minimum +9.01% rally. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Short
by TradingShot
***REMINDER*** of the TOTAL 3 Targets.We are on the cusp of price discovery in many key assets that will contribute to the upcoming alt season. The Russell 2000 #RTY is close to all time highs.. #GOLD is charging ahead which often pulls up ~BTC #ETHEREUM hit a new all time already and retraced ... so the next break above will likely see price discovery and vacuum price action to fib extension around $7.5k #BTCd dominance has topped. This cup and handle for Total 3 has been a long time in the making which suggests a powerful move is likely to occur.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by BallaJi
$IWM, small caps, not YET giving the "all clear"AMEX:IWM is the lone index still not in the clear 🚩 — backtesting its 200dma today and tagging the weekly mid-BB , just like in '22. Will it matter by week's end? If not, the bull is likely back across the board 🐂 This week's #CPI (Consumer Price Index) and #PPI (Producer Price Index) prints could significantly influence market direction across major indices — AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:IWM — especially with rate cut expectations in flux. 🧵Here's how: 1. Hot CPI or PPI (above expectations): AMEX:SPY : Likely to pull back as sticky inflation pressures broader S&P names, especially rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities. NASDAQ:QQQ : Could see sharper downside—tech stocks (many of which are high duration assets) are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations. AMEX:IWM : Likely the hardest hit. Small caps suffer from tighter financial conditions and depend more on domestic borrowing costs. 🟥 Result: Bearish across the board, with small caps underperforming. 2. Cool CPI or PPI (below expectations): AMEX:SPY : Broad lift, particularly in consumer discretionary and financials. NASDAQ:QQQ : Strong rally—mega cap tech loves the prospect of lower yields. AMEX:IWM : Outperforms if cooling inflation suggests easing ahead, since it's more leveraged to rate cycles and domestic growth. 🟩 Result: Bullish, with small caps possibly leading a relief rally. 3. In-line CPI/PPI : Markets may stay choppy or consolidate, with AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ more stable. AMEX:IWM remains at risk of drifting lower unless there’s a strong dovish narrative from the Fed or other macro catalysts. With small caps already lagging, this week’s inflation data could either validate its bearish divergence or spark a rotation rally if inflation AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:VIX $ES_F $NQ_F $RTY_F TVC:TNX NASDAQ:TLT TVC:DXY #Tariffs #Stocks
AMEX:IWMShort
by KobesyTrades
RUSSELL 15-year Cyclical pattern calls for enormous growth.Russell 2000 (RUT) made a massive rebound on last month's candle on the 1M MA100 (green trend-line), closing above it and maintaining the long-term price action above this Support since the March 2020 COVID crash. Practically that was the only time the 1M MA100 broke since the October 11 recovery, which was the start of a 15-year Cyclical Pattern that initiates Bull Cycles after 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) ad then 1M MA100 rebounds that peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Last month's rebound sets the stage for a post-COVID type recovery, especially if the Fed cuts the Interest Rates on their next meeting. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension is a little bit over 3500, which is our long-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUTLong
by TradingShot
3
This RUT/NDX ratio may convince you to buy NASDAQ aggressively.Nasdaq (NDX) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 30 days. This short-term pull-back however is nothing but a buy opportunity on the long-term, and this study shows you why. The answer lies on the RUT/NDX ratio which shows that this may be the time to get heavier on tech. The use of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) is due to the fact it represents a wider array of companies. Naturally over the years (this 1M chart shows data since 2006), the ratio declines within a Channel Down as historically the riskier tech sector attracts more capital and grows more. However there are instances where Russell gains more against Nasdaq. We are currently though at a time where this isn't the case as the ratio seems to be ready for decline following the completion of a consolidation that on previous fractals (March 2015, September 2008) was bearish, thus positive for Nasdaq. As you can see, this movements can be grasped by the Sine Waves, though not perfectly, but still good enough to understand the cyclical pattern we're in, also with the help of the 1M RSI Triangles. Nasdaq (which is represented by the blue trend-line) has started massive expansion Channel Up patterns following this unique signal given by the RUT/NDX ratio. The first was right after the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom and the second during the 2015/ 2016 E.U., VW and Oil crisis. The key here is on the 1M RSI. The Triangle is about to beak to the upside and every time this happened in the last 20 years, it coincided with a pull-back on Nasdaq (blue circle) similar to the current one. What followed was massive rallies each time. As a result, this could be an indication that even though the tariffs have rattles investor confidence lately, this is an opportunity for a strong buy position for at least the rest of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUT
by TradingShot
QUICK LOOK AT A FEW INDICATORS AND INTEREST IN A SERIES?Quick overview testing out the upload from a browser on a ethernet connection computer vs wifi with the desktop downloaded app. Do you find value in this and want to make a regular series? Contact me if so and follow. Esp if your a developer and want to add some videos to your products, free, locked or paid. Im game. Platforms, customization and breaking down analytics is the life. Its what i enjoy and maybe you will too! Thank you All, DrawDownKing CME_MINI:ES1!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by drawdownking
RUSSELL 15-year Cycles holding perfectlyIt has been 6 months ago (August 15, see chart below) when we updated our long-term call on Russell 2000 (RUT) based on a 15-year Cyclical pattern: As you can see, since we introduced this long-term commitment on Russell back on October 07 2023, the index made a remarkable recovery and now the final step is to break above the previous All Time High (ATH) and turn it into the long-term Support. That is what happened on all 3 of its previous Cycles (only broken temporarily during the COVID flash crash). As long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we expect the pattern to hold once more and fulfil the 2.0 Fibonacci extension condition as the near Cycle Top. Our long-term Target remains 3500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUTLong
by TradingShot
1
RUSSELL 2000 One last Resistance remains before mega rally.Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last analysis (October 22 2024, see chart below) exactly on the 1D MA50 and within 5 weeks it hit our 2465 Target: The price almost immediately pulled back, showing the efficiency of our Target placement and the pattern that has now prevailed is the Channel Up that started more than a year ago (October 27 2023). The recent Higher Low of this pattern was exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern's bottom. The 1D RSI showcased a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows) against the price's Lower Lows as an early buy signal, which was confirmed on the January 14 2024 1D MACD Bullish Cross. As you can see, all Bullish Crosses below a 0.0 MACD, have been technical buy signals. What remains is for the price to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the level that is causing a rejection today. Once recovered, we expect the index to complete at least a +21% rally from the recent bottom, the minimum of the previous 3 rallies, and target 2600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Long
by TradingShot
IWM | Bullish AMEX:IWM Resistance Levels: There is a significant resistance level at around 224.02. The price needs to close above this level to confirm a breakout. Another resistance level is at approximately 233.64. Support Levels: The immediate support level is the trendline, which has been acting as a resistance until now. This trendline is likely to act as a support if the breakout is confirmed. A secondary support level can be seen at around 227.13. Potential Targets: If the price closes above 224.02, it signifies a breakout from the current price channel. The first target after the breakout would be around 233.64. The second target, based on the price projection, would be approximately 244.46. Indicators: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 63.34, which is above the neutral 50 level but not yet in the overbought territory. This suggests there is still room for upward movement. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend. Volume: The volume seems consistent, supporting the upward price movement. Higher volume on a breakout above 224.02 would confirm the bullish sentiment. Conclusion: If IWM closes green today above 224.02, it indicates a breakout from the current price channel, suggesting a potential further upside. The first target would be around 233.64, followed by 244.46. This position could be highly profitable for call options and futures contracts if the breakout is confirmed and sustained.
AMEX:IWMLong
by shkspr