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Bitcoin - Warning! Flash crash soon (BEAR FLAG)Bitcoin recently formed a symmetrical triangle, but the bulls made a false breakout above it, which is a huge problem because this symmetrical triangle pretty much transformed into a bearish flag, and that's a very bearish pattern! The price has been consolidating for many weeks within this pattern, and soon we are going to see a significant move, most likely to the downside! This can be your last warning - otherwise, you can get liquidated in the upcoming days. You can still open a short position on futures if you want to make money on this move. What is the target of this bearish flag? To answer this question, we have to use a Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1:1 FIB extension (92,200 USD). But what we cannot miss is this descending parallel channel projection and its support trendlines. There are pretty much 2 trendlines that act as a dynamic support (support changes with time). Support levels of these trendlines are currently around 95k and 90k. So this gives us an idea that Bitcoin should react to this zone (should be a great buying opportunity). There is also a minor support of 101,444 (0.618 FIB extension), this is indeed a weak support in this particular case, and I expect only a small bounce from this level. What will happen after this upcoming flash crash? I think we may see a rise back to 107k to retest the previous symmetrical triangle / bear flag. Altcoins are bleeding again. If you want to know more information about your altcoin, then write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
58
Fibonacci Retracement - Quick Guide in 5 StepsTrading the Fibonacci Retracement - Quick Guide in 5 Steps. What is the Fibonacci tool? The Fib Retracement Tool is a tool used widely across many charts. From crypto to stocks. It assists in identifying the Golden Pocket, along with any potential Support and Resistance zones based on the sequence in Fibonacci. Investors & Traders draw it from a previous high/low or low/high. On a chart, each key level shows where price might pause or reverse during a pull back, before it continues the trend. In this guide you will learn how to use the Fibonacci tool in 5 steps. 1. Configurations Open up your Fib Retracement Tool's settings, apply the below configurations. (You can change the color to your choice) 2. Identify High/Low's Identify, recent highs and lows of your current chart/pair. 3. Applying Fib Retracement Select your Fib Retracement tool. Place it on your chart starting from the swing low to the swing high. 4. Once completed Highlight the Golden Pocket Field in the zone (0.65-0.618) 5. Review Entry Price will eventually make it's way back down to the Golden Pocket to retest and reverse. SL Placement would be on a previous low or key level, TP placement would be at a previous high or key level. Bonus: See the real time example below: Please like, comment and follow if this guide was useful to you. If you have any requests on analysis or tutorial requests, let me know and I'll be happy to make one!
FX:NAS100Education
by King_BennyBag
21
BTC formed a head and shoulders in consolidation!Hi! Bitcoin recently completed a Head and Shoulders pattern, leading to a rejection from the “first hunt” area near the previous high. After that rejection, price has been moving lower and is now approaching a key S&D (Supply & Demand) zone highlighted on the chart. This lower zone represents the “second possible hunt”, an area where liquidity may be collected before a potential strong bullish reversal. The structure shows consolidation forming above this zone, suggesting that sellers may soon exhaust as buyers prepare to step in. If price sweeps the lows into the S&D zone and finds strong support, we could see a sharp reversal move toward the $118K–$120K region, aligning with the previous highs and major liquidity level. However, if Bitcoin fails to hold the S&D zone, the bullish recovery scenario would be invalidated, and deeper correction could follow. the target of this head and shoulders pattern is near $100250
Short
by melikatrader94
15
GBPUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 - 50% Partial / Full range TP2Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
Long
by David_Perk
17
Dollar I Daily CLS I Model 1 ( Counter trend setup) Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
12
Bitcoin: Watch 105K For Bullish Reversal Again.Bitcoin all over the map. Pay attention to the nearest support and resistance levels which are 113K resistance and 105K support. 109K a minor support has been broken again. There is no way to know which way this market will break on the short term. The general trend is still bullish, BUT resistance levels like 113K and 118K AREA have yet to break. Smaller time frame momentum is arguably bearish which is good for day trade strategies, otherwise there is not much to do on the swing trade time frame at current prices. A test of the 105K support is likely to follow this week, which can present an attractive swing trade long opportunity (upon confirmation). IF 105K breaks, the next area to watch is the 103L to 100K area for a bullish reversal. This location is also a major psychological level which is also attractive for investing. Also worth mentioning, there is a head and shoulders formation on this chart, and while it implies bearish possibilities, I would put more emphasis on the levels because these patterns can easily appear randomly. Support and resistance levels, which can also be random, are more relevant in my opinion because of previous trader/investor behavior (or being stuck in a position). Either way do not jump to conclusions or grasp at the obvious. Notate levels, then wait for price to react there and provide a way to measure risk. Another important note is the CHANGE in Chairman Powell's rate cutting intent during the FOMC press conference over the previous week. When asked about the December rate decision, he explained that is was NOT a sure thing. Based on previous comments and hints, the market seemed to have priced in a December rate cut. Since this comment, the market has cooled off a bit from the constant new all time high every day party. Just goes to show, all it takes is a just few unexpected words to change sentiment. There is NO way to see something like this coming on a chart. This along with the lack of government data can invite unexpected surprises bullish or bearish. This is why in a game of incomplete information, it is best to focus on RISK, not obsess over forecasts.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
30
AUD/JPY - Bullish Flag (03.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview: AUD/JPY is forming a Bullish Flag Pattern on the 30-minute chart — a continuation setup suggesting potential upside momentum after consolidation. The price has respected the flag support zone and is attempting a breakout above the descending channel, signaling renewed bullish pressure. 💡 Technical Plan: Pattern: Bullish Flag Pattern Bias: Buy after confirmation breakout and retest Support Zone: 100.650 – 100.700 Entry Zone: Near 100.850 – 100.900 (after breakout confirmation) Targets: 🎯 1st Resistance: 101.460 🎯 2nd Resistance: 101.753 Invalidation: Close below 100.600 negates the bullish bias 🌏 Fundamental Insight (Today – 3 Nov 2025) The AUD finds strength as China’s manufacturing PMI beats expectations, improving sentiment for commodity-linked currencies. Meanwhile, the JPY remains under pressure due to continued Bank of Japan dovishness and yield differentials favoring risk assets. Market tone is risk-on, further supporting bullish momentum in AUD/JPY. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before trading any setup. #AUDJPY #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishFlag #BreakoutTrading #Ichimoku #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #ForexSetup #MarketAnalysis #TradingView #FXMarket #BuySetup #ForexCommunity #AUD #JPY #ForexTrader 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If you find this analysis useful — LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💭, and FOLLOW 🔔 for more daily Forex chart updates and trade setups!
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
40
Lingrid | GOLD Trend Continuation Pattern FormedOANDA:XAUUSD continues consolidating inside a broad descending channel after a failed attempt to break above 4050 resistance. Price action shows multiple rejections from the upper boundary while forming lower highs — a signal that sellers remain active. The focus now shifts toward the 3900 level as the next downside test, with a possible rebound near this zone before further direction develops. Momentum remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim the 4060–4080 range. ⚠️ Risks: Strong U.S. employment data this week could boost USD strength and extend downside pressure. Rising Treasury yields may suppress gold’s short-term recovery potential. Unexpected geopolitical tensions could trigger safe-haven inflows, distorting the bearish setup. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
13
Euro continued Weakness Points to 1.1480 RetestHello traders, I’d like to share my view on EURUSD. The current market structure shows a clear bearish momentum, with the pair consistently forming lower highs and lower lows inside a well-defined descending channel. The rejection from the 1.1660 Resistance Zone — which coincides with a strong Seller Zone — marked the beginning of a sustained downtrend. After a fake breakout attempt above the resistance, the market quickly reversed and continued to decline, confirming that sellers remain in control. The pair is now trading close to the Buyer Zone, which aligns with the Support Level around 1.1500–1.1480. This area has historically acted as a key demand region, making it crucial for the next price reaction. At the moment, EURUSD is respecting both the Resistance Line and the Support Line within the channel, showing the continuation of the bearish cycle. My primary scenario anticipates a potential short-term pullback toward the upper boundary of the channel (around 1.1560–1.1580) before another bearish impulse develops toward TP1 at 1.1480. However, a confirmed breakout above 1.1600 could invalidate this bearish setup and open the way for a broader correction toward the 1.1660 Resistance Level. Until then, the trend remains bearish, and I favor short opportunities targeting 1.1480 as the next key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
19
GOLD → Consolidation is narrowing... Price is weakening FX:XAUUSD is trading near $4,000, consolidating after the Fed's statements and awaiting new macro data. The trading range has narrowed to $3,886–4,046, forming a symmetrical triangle (unpredictability) Fed caution: Powell ruled out guarantees of a rate cut in December, which supported the dollar and limited gold's growth. US shutdown: Could become the longest in history, causing economic concerns, but is expected to end this week. Weak data: ISM Manufacturing PMI (48.7) pointed to contraction in the sector, which is holding back the dollar's strengthening. This week, attention is focused on ADP and ISM Services — assessing the impact on Fed rates. NFP (if published) — a key benchmark for the labor market. Accordingly, gold is in wait-and-see mode. Clear signals from the data or the Fed will be needed to break out of the range. The $4000 level remains a psychological equilibrium point. Resistance levels: 4000, 4030, 4050 Support levels: 3956, 3915, 3900 At the moment, the price is far from the key consolidation boundaries, and the market is uncertain. In this case, we are considering trading within the channel. I expect to see a retest of the flat resistance or the triangle boundary and a rebound. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? Euro/Dollar remains within a downward channel, forming consistent lower highs and lows. The pair is expected to extend its decline toward the support zone that coincides with the lower boundary of the channel. From there, a bullish rebound could occur, targeting the marked resistance levels above. If price breaks below the support zone and a candle closes beneath it, this scenario becomes invalid. For a safer entry, traders may wait until the channel is broken to the upside for confirmation of a trend reversal. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
10
How Much Do You Really Need to Retire? How to Get It?What's your number for financial freedom? For true independence, I believe $10 million is the magic figure that can unlock the life you've always dreamed of. But let's be honest accumulating this level of wealth requires more than just trading; it demands a complete financial transformation and a strategic roadmap most traders never create. Hello✌️ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin needs to fill that unusual gap it sharply created to the downside a few days ago. The price is currently forming a head and shoulders pattern, and everything now hinges on the crucial support level sitting right below its neckline. If this support holds firm, we can expect a rebound and the bullish scenario I've mapped out on the chart becomes likely. However, if it gives way, a further decline toward the next target is the more probable path. I've defined targets for both scenarios. Personally, judging by the technical confluence, I still see a credible chance for a recovery and a move upward. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧭 Beyond Basic Analysis Reaching $10 million isn't about making quick profits. It's about evolving from a trader into a strategic investor. You need a comprehensive plan that goes beyond simple technical and fundamental analysis - one built on strategy, psychology, and risk management. 📈 Plan 1: Master Trend Trading Focus on capturing major market trends rather than daily fluctuations. Work with weekly and monthly timeframes, identifying assets starting strong long-term uptrends. Buy during minor pullbacks and use trailing stops to ride the trend until it exhausts. Patience is your greatest ally here. 🔄 Plan 2: Compound Growth Strategy Create consistent returns and reinvest them systematically. Develop a trading strategy with a high win rate and clear risk-reward ratios. Each month, reinvest your net profits to let your earnings generate their own earnings - this is how small, consistent gains transform into substantial wealth. ⚖️ Plan 3: Risk Management Rules Never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital on any single trade. This fundamental rule protects you from devastating losses and ensures you survive to trade another day, even during losing streaks. 🧠 Plan 4: Master Your Psychology Your biggest battles will be mental, not technical. Greed and fear are your true enemies. Maintain a detailed trading journal to track both your trades and your emotions. Self-awareness is the first step toward emotional control. 🛡️ Plan 5: Smart Diversification Spread your capital across different markets - crypto, forex, stocks - and consider allocating some profits to non-trading assets like small businesses. Diversification significantly reduces your overall risk exposure. 💰 Plan 6: Build Passive Income Create income streams that work while you sleep. Allocate portions of your profits to income-generating assets like crypto staking, dividend stocks, or income funds. This passive foundation will gradually build your financial freedom. 🔧 Your Trading Toolkit Here's how to implement these plans using TradingView : Strategy Tester: Validate your approach using historical data before risking real money Stock Screener: Find perfect candidates that match your trading criteria Price Alerts: Automate entry and exit points to remove emotional decisions Multiple Timeframes: Analyze monthly trends, weekly setups, and daily entries Community Ideas: Learn from other traders while developing your own style Drawing Tools: Use Fibonacci and harmonic patterns for precise analysis Summary The journey to $10 million is a marathon requiring a personalized roadmap where risk management leads and psychology determines success. TradingView serves as your essential navigation tool, while failures become valuable lessons rather than endpoints. Consistent execution and continuous learning ultimately separate successful investors from the rest. 3 Golden Rules Protect Your Capital First Never risk more than 2% per trade Trade Your Plan, Not Your Emotions Create rules and follow them religiously Stay Humble and Keep Learning The market is always right, and every mistake is a lesson ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
15
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market Outlook. Rally’s End or Reset?OANDA:XAUUSD explosive October rally — crowned by a historic monthly candle that shattered resistance and ignited euphoria — has now entered its reckoning phase. What looked like unstoppable momentum is now revealing signs of exhaustion. The sharp, volume-fueled drop toward $4,000 isn’t just a “healthy correction” — it’s the first real test of whether this bull can withstand gravity. And right now, the charts are whispering: "it may go down south". The 4H chart reveals a classic “impulse leg” followed by an aggressive A-B-C correction — and we’re still in the “C” leg. But here’s the twist: if price breaks below $3,850 with conviction, the entire bullish structure collapses. That would open the door to a much deeper pullback — potentially down to $3,700 or even $3,600, targeting prior support zones and retesting the long-term upward channel’s lower boundary. The monthly chart confirms the big picture: gold is in a powerful uptrend, but also in overbought territory after a vertical spike. The October candle closed above its open — a sign of strength, yes — but also a potential exhaustion signal since it formed a pinbar pattern. When markets rise too fast, they often fall harder. In essence, gold is no longer climbing — it’s consolidating under pressure. The bull hasn’t died, but it’s breathing heavily. For us, this means one thing: sell the rips, buy the dips only if structure holds. The path of least resistance may now be downward. We should wait for confirmations. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
40
GOLD → Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle The market is holding gold back from strong movement, forming short jumps from zone to zone within consolidation. We have a symmetrical triangle within an upward correction channel. Key supporting factors: The US shutdown is becoming the longest in history, increasing economic risks. China is canceling tax breaks for retailers. Trump may announce new tariffs related to China. ISM Manufacturing PMI data (US) is ahead - a rare indicator during the shutdown. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has fallen to 69% (from 91.7% a week ago). Technically, consolidation may continue until the price breaks one of the boundaries of the symmetrical triangle. Support levels: 3990, 3956, 3915 Resistance levels: 4030, 4047, 4085 Traders are uncertain about the future direction, and as a result, the market is consolidating. There are limit levels both below and above that are holding back movement. Accordingly, until there is a clear fundamental background, it is possible to focus on trading within the channel. I expect a rebound from 3960 for a retest of resistance. However, a close above 4030 could trigger growth, while a close below 3956 would confirm the weakness of the market and trigger a fall to 3900. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
18
BTC: Bullish vs Bearish Scenarios - Key Levels to Watch BTC: Bullish vs Bearish Scenarios - Key Levels to Watch Bitcoin is in a very complex development and it is not so easy to have a clear idea. At the moment, BTC is still growing as long as it stays above the current support area of ​​1035000. Bitcoin is approaching a key support zone around $103,500, where price action could decide the next major move. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the support holds, BTC could bounce strongly toward $110,200, with extended targets at $115,400, $120,700, and $125,000. A strong rejection wick or volume confirmation would support this upside move. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC breaks below $103,500, a bearish continuation could unfold, targeting $99,400, $94,300, and potentially $88,600. The next few candles will be crucial — watch how BTC reacts to the $103,500 zone for direction confirmation. 💡Bias: Neutral — waiting for breakout confirmation before taking sides. You Can Share Your Opinion Below 👇 Thank You😊
by KlejdiCuni
11
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not a bad start to the week with the lower box holding and giving the spike for a nice push upside into the first level we wanted. The indicators gave a nice indication and we managed to capture the last part of the move before the retracement commenced. Now we have support below at th 3998 level and resistace at the 4010-13 region. We would expect this to attempt lower if that resistance holds so we'll stick with our initial plan for now. Please note, price is accumulating and ranging here so we should expect sudden spikes to grab liquidity. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
5
Gold looking for another mega bullish This XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 2-hour chart shows a consolidation phase between the support zone around 3,922 – 3,886 and the resistance level near 4,039 – 4,153. The price is currently trading near 3,994, indicating indecision before a potential breakout. If gold holds above the support area, the chart suggests a possible bullish breakout above resistance, leading to a continuation toward the long-term target at 4,376. The upward arrows outline a projected move with minor pullbacks, showing step-by-step momentum building toward the target. In summary, as long as price remains above support, the bias stays bullish, with confirmation coming from a clear breakout above the 4,040–4,150 resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
9
Gold Bull Market Update and Outlook Q4 2025 / Q1 2026📌 Executive Summary • Base case (60%): The current pullback is a normal retracement within the primary bull trend. We expect consolidation through late Q4-2025 and potentially into January 2026, followed by a resumption of the uptrend in Q1/Q2-2026. • Drivers remain intact: Persistent central-bank accumulation, reserve-diversification dynamics, and episodic macro/geopolitical risk keep the structural bid under gold. • Positioning stance: Maintain core long exposure, add tactically on weakness into the $3.8k–$4.0k zone spot equivalent with tight risk controls, and ladder call spreads into Q2-2026. • Risk skew: Near-term pullback risk persists position shakeouts, macro data surprises. Structural bearish risks are low unless central-bank demand materially softens. ________________________________________ 🧭 Market Context & Recent Price Action • Gold printed successive record highs into mid-October; front-month futures traded above $4,170/oz before easing. Headlines framed the rally as policy and safe-haven led, with year-to-date gains exceptionally strong. • Central-bank demand continues to underpin the move: WGC and sell-side coverage highlight accelerating official-sector buying and diversification away from FX reserves; banks forecast higher prices into 2026. • The current setback aligns with prior bull-market pauses (e.g., Apr–Jul 2025 and Sep 2024–Dec 2024 pullbacks), consistent with the user-stated pattern of multi-month consolidations before trend resumption. What’s new in headlines late Oct–Nov 2025: • Pullback is “technical and temporary,” with buy-the-dip framing from UBS; next tactical target cited around $4,200. • Official-sector flows: Korea & Madagascar exploring reserve increases; PBoC extended buying streak into September. • WSJ coverage stresses gold’s role in erosion of trust in fiat/central banks and the reserve-diversification theme. ________________________________________ 🔑 Structural Bull Case 2025-2026 1. Official-Sector Accumulation: o Multi-year build in central-bank gold holdings (EM-led) as a sanctions-resilient reserve asset; this remains the single most important marginal buyer narrative. 2. Reserve Diversification & Financial Geopolitics: o Evidence that gold’s share of global reserves has risen while some institutions reassess currency composition. 3. Macro Volatility & Policy Trajectory: o Periodic growth scares, policy pivots, and real-rate uncertainty sustain hedging demand. Street targets for late-2026 (e.g., ~$4,900 GS) anchor upside convexity. 4. Market Microstructure: o Thin above prior highs and crowded shorts on pullbacks can fuel sharp upside re-accelerations when macro catalysts hit data, geopolitics, policy hints. ________________________________________ 📊 Technical Map Top-Down • Primary trend: Up. The sequence of higher highs/higher lows since 2024 remains intact; current move is a trend-within-trend consolidation. • Pullback anatomy: Prior bull pauses (Apr–Jul 2025; Sep–Dec 2024) lasted 2–4 months, with troughs forming on volatility compression and momentum washouts—a template for now. • Key tactical zones spot-equiv.: o $3,800–$4,000: First reload area prior breakout shelf / 50–61.8% of the last leg. o $4,200–$4,250: First resistance / re-acceleration trigger retests of breakdown pivots. o $4,350–$4,400: High congestion; decisive weekly close above here re-opens ATH extension. ________________________________________ 🗓️ Scenario Pathing Q4-2025 → Q2-2026 • Base Case 60% — “Consolidate then resume”: o Sideways-to-lower into late Q4/Jan 2026 as positioning resets; range $3.8k–$4.2k. o Breakout resumption in Q1/Q2-2026 as macro and official flows re-assert. • Bullish Extension 25% — “Shallow dip, quick reclaim”: o Softer real yields / risk flare trigger swift recapture of $4.2k–$4.4k and new highs earlier in Q1-2026. o Catalysts: heavier central-bank prints, geopolitical shock, or earlier policy-easing rhetoric. • Bear-Risk 15% — “Deeper flush, trend intact”: o Hawkish macro surprise or forced deleveraging drives $3.6k–$3.7k probes; structure holds unless official-sector demand meaningfully fades ________________________________________ 🧪 What to Watch High-Signal Indicators • Official-Sector Data: Monthly updates from WGC, IMF COFER clues, and PBoC reserve disclosures. Continuation of EM purchases = green light for the bull. • Rates & Liquidity: Real-rate direction and dollar liquidity conditions around data and policy communications. • Microstructure: CFTC positioning inflections, ETF out/in-flows a lagging but useful confirmation when they finally turn. • Asia Physical/Policy: China/Japan retail and wholesale dynamics; policy/tax headlines can create short-term volatility. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy & Implementation 1) Core: • Maintain strategic long allocation consistent with mandate e.g., 3–5% risk budget; avoid pro-cyclical reductions during orderly pullbacks. 2) Tactical Adds • Scale-in buy program within $3.8k–$4.0k • Optionality: Buy Q2-2026 call spreads (e.g., 4.2/4.8) on dips; fund via selling Q1-2026 downside put spreads around $3.6k–$3.7k where comfortable with assignment. 3) Risk Controls 🛡️: • Hard-stop any tactical adds on weekly close < ~$3.6k or if credible evidence emerges of official-sector demand reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
15
November Alts Request Window Now OpenFamily, November isn’t just another month, it’s decision time. We’re standing at the edge of the 4-year cycle’s final act, where altcoins will either explode into new expansions or vanish in liquidity drains. Every choice from here carries weight this selection window could decide the next cycle’s biggest winners. 📌 Submission Deadline: November 5th, 2025 📌 Target Coins: 30 slots only 📌 Requirements: 1. Must display solid liquidity and a clear technical structure 2. Should reflect sustainable narratives or active ecosystem growth 3. Avoid dead or illiquid tokens only serious and relevant projects As always, every suggested coin will be carefully screened, but only those that align with both the broader cycle context and our technical framework will be considered for full analysis. The objective remains unchanged to position ourselves where the next rotation wave is most likely to ignite as BTC completes its dominance move and liquidity begins rotating into alts. Remember: These late-cycle months often decide the real winners heading into the next expansion phase. Let’s keep our list sharp, high quality, and cycle aligned. Drop your suggestions below November isn’t the month to hesitate. If this resonates with your outlook for the month ahead, hit the like button, share it with your circle, and let’s build this month’s list together.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by weslad
132
Gold Pauses in the ‘Calm Before the Storm’Hello everyone, gold is entering a delicate phase – a zone where the market is neither falling sharply nor gaining enough momentum to break higher. Everything now hinges on a clearer signal to determine the next direction. Gold is currently trading around $3,986/oz, making a mild recovery thanks to technical buying, yet still moving sideways within a narrow range. On the H1 chart, price remains below the Ichimoku cloud, signalling that the short-term downtrend hasn’t completely ended. Two key “checkpoint” levels are containing the market: $3,960–3,970 as support, and $4,010–4,030 as resistance – an area with a Fair Value Gap that has repeatedly been rejected. A break below $3,960 could drag prices toward $3,930 – a demand zone that previously sparked strong rebounds. Conversely, a confirmed close above $4,030 with rising liquidity could send gold towards $4,070. Global news is creating an uneasy balance. The US has softened its trade stance by suspending port fees on China-related vessels. However, China is tightening physical gold demand by removing VAT incentives and increasing import costs. Crude oil fell to $60.7/barrel after OPEC+ delayed production hikes – easing inflation expectations and indirectly supporting gold through the likelihood of the Fed keeping rates unchanged. US Treasury yields have cooled around 4.09%, the dollar is no longer overly strong, yet the market remains cautious ahead of key data like CPI and NFP. All these factors paint a picture of a gold market holding its breath. Narrow ranges, low volume, money on the sidelines – and it may only take one strong catalyst for the next move to begin. So, what do you think – will gold break out of this consolidation, or remain silent a little longer?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
9
USDCHF Forming Bullish BreakoutUSDCHF is showing a strong bullish breakout from a key resistance zone around the 0.8030–0.8050 level, now acting as support. The pair has been gaining upside momentum following a clean break above this structure, indicating a potential continuation toward the 0.8150–0.8200 region. On the 4-hour timeframe, the bullish impulse leg suggests that buyers are firmly in control, and a short-term retest of the breakout area could provide an ideal opportunity for continuation trades in line with the prevailing trend. From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. dollar is holding firm after the latest FOMC statement, where the Federal Reserve maintained its cautious stance while signaling flexibility toward rate cuts in 2026 if inflation continues easing. The Swiss franc, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has weakened slightly due to improved global risk sentiment and softer-than-expected inflation data from Switzerland. The widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Switzerland continues to support upward pressure on USDCHF. Technically, as long as the pair sustains above the 0.8030–0.8050 support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. Traders are closely watching for bullish confirmation candles on a retest to reinforce upside potential. A clear continuation could open the path toward 0.8200 and beyond in the coming sessions, aligning with current dollar strength and market momentum across major USD pairs.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
5
Gold Forming Bearish Three Drives Pattern Below Channel MidlineHi team! Gold has formed a double top near the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, signaling potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum. After breaking below the local support and retesting it, price created a lower high, which confirms a short-term bearish structure. Currently, the market is consolidating below the midline of the new channel. The recent sequence of moves is forming a potential Three Drives pattern, where Drive 1 and Drive 2 are already complete, and a possible Drive 3 could be developing. If price fails to reclaim the main support zone around $4,000–$4,050, we can expect a continuation to the downside toward: $3,815 – the first key support level and measured target for Drive 3. $3,604 – the next major support zone and lower boundary of the broader channel. As long as price remains below the recent swing highs, the bearish scenario remains valid. A clear break above the midline of the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest a potential reversal. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
12
Dash is Back — Ready to Attack!Hey friends! 👋 How are you feeling after today’s drop? Let’s talk about Dash. In my opinion, Dash is finally ready to move toward my long-awaited targets at 100 and then 120. My previous forecast didn’t play out as expected, since Dash entered the invalidation zone I mentioned earlier. This time, the invalidation zone is at 83.70. I currently have two possible scenarios for Dash — all shown on the chart with arrows of different colors. Each color represents a slightly different path the price could take before the next major move. Let’s see which scenario the market chooses this time! 🚀 Disclaimer: This is not a trading signal or financial advice. Always make your own decisions based on your risk management, and never trade without stop-losses.
Long
by chart1stry
18