Microsoft Hitting Major Channel Resistance. (MSFT)We all know if you go back in time till now on Microsoft it has an insane parabolic curve.
I currently have a channel drawn out between the two lines.
Arrows and red line is Resistance.
Green line is support.
We are seeing the overall trend from the last impulse hit the top level of Resistance in the channel, where we have seen previous good size selloffs occur at.
The ema dots are all red and the custom rsi has already dropped off.
I'm in favor of a short up here at this top level of range.
I think it would be healthy to see a pullback here.
Search in ideas for "MICROSOFT"
Microsoft's Astonishing Transformation into a Tech TitanAs Satya Nadella marks his tenth year at the helm of Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), the tech industry stands witness to one of the most remarkable corporate turnarounds in history. Under Nadella's leadership, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has evolved from a slow-moving software giant into a global powerhouse, with a particular focus on cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI). This article delves into the key factors driving Microsoft's resurgence, the transformative decisions made by Nadella, and the company's current standing in the market.
1. Financial Triumphs: A Decade of Stunning Growth
Satya Nadella assumed the role of Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) CEO in 2014, and since then, the company's stock has experienced a meteoric rise of over 1,000%. This growth surpasses the broader S&P 500, highlighting the exceptional performance of Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) under Nadella's leadership. The company's market value has now surged to a staggering $3 trillion, surpassing even its longtime rival, Apple.
2. Strategic Shifts: Cloud Computing and AI Take Center Stage
One of Nadella's first strategic moves was to pivot away from Microsoft's traditional reliance on the Windows operating system. Instead, he directed resources towards building up the Azure cloud computing platform, a decision that has paid off handsomely. Additionally, Nadella wisely steered Microsoft away from ill-fated attempts to compete in the smartphone market, focusing on areas of strength and future potential.
3. Cultural Transformation: From Brash to Collaborative
Beyond reshaping Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) business strategy, Nadella engineered a profound cultural shift within the company. Moving away from the brash external reputation and internal bickering of the past, Nadella fostered a more collaborative and inclusive approach. His leadership style, described as collegial and measured, has been a key factor in Microsoft's internal cohesion and external success.
4. Accessibility Advocacy: A Personal Touch
Nadella's commitment to the accessibility of technology goes beyond corporate strategy. Informed by personal experience—raising a son who was visually impaired, quadriplegic, and had cerebral palsy—Nadella has championed initiatives to make technology more inclusive. His personal touch was evident at the CES gadget show, where he showed genuine interest in a small startup's product designed for deaf and hard-of-hearing gamers.
5. AI Leadership: Shaping the Future of Technology
While Nadella emphasized the importance of artificial intelligence throughout his tenure, Microsoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) recent heights are attributed to its emergence as an AI leader. The company, in close partnership with OpenAI, has set the agenda for how AI tools can be integrated into work and society, reinforcing Microsoft's position at the forefront of technological innovation.
6. Challenges and Future Outlook
Despite the undeniable success, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is not without challenges. Antitrust scrutiny has resurfaced, reminiscent of earlier years with Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer. However, Nadella's confident handling of these challenges, including a federal court hearing, showcases his resilience and commitment to leading Microsoft through any storm.
Conclusion:
As Satya Nadella celebrates a decade at the helm of Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), the company's astonishing transformation stands as a testament to visionary leadership and strategic acumen. From financial triumphs and strategic shifts to cultural transformation and advocacy for accessibility, Nadella has not only revitalized Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) but has positioned it as a global leader in the ever-evolving tech landscape. The coming years promise to be equally compelling as Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) continues to shape the future of technology under the steady guidance of Satya Nadella.
Microsoft's AI-Powered Surge: A Deep Dive into Q4 Performance
In a groundbreaking financial report, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) has unveiled a staggering 33% increase in profit for the October-December quarter, driven by substantial investments in artificial intelligence (AI) technology. The tech giant's remarkable success is primarily attributed to the robust growth in its cloud-computing unit, where Microsoft has strategically focused its AI initiatives.
AI Dominance and Cloud-Centric Growth:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) net income for the quarter reached an impressive $21.87 billion, or $2.93 per diluted share, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $2.79 per share. The Redmond, Washington-based company reported a significant surge in revenue, totaling $62.02 billion, marking an 18% increase from the previous year's $52.75 billion. This stellar performance is a testament to Microsoft's prowess in the AI race, as it solidifies its position as a frontrunner in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.
Jeremy Goldman, Director of Briefings at Insider Intelligence, noted, "Microsoft is firmly establishing itself as a frontrunner in the AI race." The company's AI investments not only contributed to its impressive financial results but also opened doors to potential expansion in the digital advertising sector. Analysts predict a 12% growth in Microsoft's worldwide ad revenues to $14.93 billion this year, positioning the company as a formidable competitor, although Google is anticipated to expand its larger ad business by 10% in the same period.
Integration of Activision Blizzard:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recent acquisition of video-game maker Activision Blizzard, completed on October 13 for a whopping $69 billion, played a pivotal role in the company's Q4 performance. James Ambrose, the company's Director of Investor Relations, revealed that the merger boosted revenue growth by four points. However, operating profits saw a reduction of approximately $440 million due to purchase accounting adjustments and integration and transaction costs.
Despite the substantial impact of the acquisition, Microsoft's cloud-focused business segment outshone its other divisions, witnessing a remarkable 20% revenue growth to $25.88 billion for the quarter. The Office suite, coupled with the LinkedIn professional social network, exhibited a 13% revenue growth, reaching $19.25 billion. The Windows-led personal computing business, inclusive of Xbox video games and services, experienced a robust 19% growth, reaching $16.89 billion.
Investor Concerns and Market Response:
Despite the impressive figures, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) shares initially faced a dip in after-hours trading, falling nearly 2% to $400.86. Analysts attribute this to investor concerns regarding the company's continued aggressive investment plans. However, the shares later recovered much of the loss, showcasing a resilient market sentiment towards Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) long-term strategy.
Conclusion:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) exceptional Q4 performance, fueled by AI and cloud-computing investments, positions the company at the forefront of technological innovation. As the tech giant continues to navigate the ever-evolving landscape, its strategic focus on AI is not only bolstering financial success but also shaping the future of digital transformation. With the integration of Activision Blizzard and a relentless commitment to innovation, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) trajectory suggests a promising and influential role in the global tech ecosystem.
Microsoft Earnings: Can the Tech Giant Continue Its Stellar Run?As Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) prepares to unveil its latest earnings report after Thursday's closing bell, investors are on edge, bracing for potential market-moving revelations. With the stock trading near record highs, all eyes are on whether Microsoft can maintain its momentum and deliver on lofty expectations.
Earnings Anticipation:
Analysts are forecasting Microsoft to report earnings of $2.81 per share on revenue of $60.77 billion. However, the so-called Whisper number, reflecting the Street's unofficial sentiment, stands slightly higher at $2.91 per share. Such a tight earnings range underscores the significance of every data point in Microsoft's upcoming report.
Fundamentals in Focus:
Microsoft's track record of earnings growth over recent years paints a picture of resilience and innovation. From $5.76 per share in 2020 to $9.81 per share in 2023, the company has consistently outperformed expectations. Looking ahead, analysts project further earnings growth to $11.67 in 2024 and $13.38 in 2025. Despite this stellar performance, Microsoft's price-to-earnings ratio of 37 remains notably higher than the S&P 500 average, signaling investor confidence and expectations for future growth.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, Microsoft's stock is trading around 4% below its 52-week high, with current levels below the 50-day moving average. However, the stock remains within striking distance of its all-time high, suggesting potential for further upside. As traders await the earnings release, bulls are hoping for a gap up and a subsequent rally, while bears eye a gap down scenario, anticipating a decline.
Market Implications:
Given Microsoft's status as a bellwether of the technology sector, the outcome of its earnings report is likely to have far-reaching implications for the broader market. A positive surprise could fuel a renewed surge in tech stocks, buoying investor sentiment and propelling major indices higher. Conversely, disappointing figures could trigger a sell-off, leading to increased volatility and uncertainty in the market.
Conclusion:
As Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) gears up to unveil its earnings report, anticipation is at a fever pitch. With a track record of innovation, strong fundamentals, and technical potential, the stage is set for a potentially decisive moment in the company's trajectory. Whether Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can meet or exceed expectations remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the market will be watching closely as the tech giant takes center stage.
Microsoft's Meteoric Rise to $3 Trillion ValuationA Triumph of AI, but FTC Clouds the Horizon"
In a historic ascent to a $3 trillion valuation, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has firmly established itself as a tech giant with a strategic focus on artificial intelligence (AI). However, this unprecedented success is now under the scrutiny of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the regulatory body investigates the potential monopolization of the generative AI market by major players, including Microsoft, Amazon, and Google.
Microsoft's remarkable journey to this valuation milestone can be largely attributed to its visionary investments in AI. The company's commitment to advancing AI technologies was solidified in 2019 when it made a substantial $1 billion investment in OpenAI. Fast forward to January 2023, and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) deepened its partnership with OpenAI with a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar investment, elevating its total commitment to a staggering $13 billion and boosting OpenAI's valuation to approximately $29 billion.
A pivotal aspect of this collaboration is Microsoft's transformation of Azure into a global AI supercomputer. By becoming OpenAI's sole cloud provider, Azure underpins all aspects of OpenAI's operations, ranging from research and product development to API services. Satya Nadella, Microsoft's Chairman and CEO, highlighted the significance of this partnership, stating that it would provide developers and organizations with access to the best AI infrastructure, models, and toolchain to build and run applications.
The synergy between Microsoft's growth and its AI investments is undeniable, yet the company now faces potential obstacles in the form of an FTC probe. Led by FTC Chair Lina Khan, the investigation focuses on the AI investments of major tech players, exploring whether Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Amazon, and Google are monopolizing the generative AI market. This scrutiny aims to determine whether such dominance could stifle competition and innovation within the burgeoning field of AI.
The stakes are high for Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), as the FTC's inquiry could pose significant challenges to its AI-driven growth trajectory. The company's integration of an AI chatbot into Bing last February, aimed at challenging industry competitors like Google, may come under closer scrutiny in light of the ongoing investigation.
As Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) basks in the glory of being only the second company ever to achieve a $3 trillion valuation, the FTC probe casts a shadow over its triumph. The outcome of this investigation will not only shape the future of Microsoft but could also set precedents for how Big Tech engages with and invests in the dynamic landscape of artificial intelligence. In the evolving narrative of AI-driven success, the regulatory scrutiny underscores the delicate balance between innovation and the potential risks of monopolization in this transformative industry.
Microsoft's Gaming TriumphNASDAQ:MSFT Stock Surges as Xbox Unveils Blockbuster Titles in 2024.
On January 20, 2024, Microsoft's stock ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) experienced a surge, capturing the attention of investors as the company's Xbox Developer Direct event unveiled a lineup of highly anticipated games set to revolutionize the gaming industry. The event not only showcased groundbreaking titles like Hellblade II and Indiana Jones and the Great Circle but also painted a promising picture for Microsoft's future in the gaming sector.
The Gaming Spectacle:
Microsoft's Xbox Developer Direct event was nothing short of a spectacle, with a particular emphasis on the upcoming releases that left gamers and investors alike buzzing with excitement. The unveiling of the official release date for Hellblade II, set for May 21, 2024, promises an immersive experience with visually stunning graphics, intricate motion capture, brutal combat sequences, and improved audio design. The sequel is poised to exceed the already high expectations set by its predecessor, Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice.
Equally captivating was the introduction of Machine Games' Indiana Jones and the Great Circle. While the release date is yet to be confirmed for 2024, the game's seamless blend of first-person and third-person perspectives, along with cinematic cutscenes, iconic puzzle-solving, whip combat, and exhilarating rope-swinging action, has already garnered significant interest from fans of the legendary archaeologist.
Microsoft didn't stop there, catering to RPG enthusiasts with the announcement of Avowed, set in the beloved Pillars of Eternity universe, scheduled for a fall 2024 release. Attendees at the event were treated to a sneak peek of the game's captivating combat mechanics, showcasing an array of weapons that players can wield to overcome adversaries and promising a fantastical realm like never before.
In addition to these blockbusters, Microsoft revealed two more noteworthy games – Visions of Mana and Ara: History Untold – set to transport players into mesmerizing worlds filled with magic, wonder, and untold stories. With this diverse and captivating lineup, 2024 is shaping up to be an extraordinary year for gamers.
Stock Performance and Investor Confidence:
As the gaming world buzzes with excitement over Microsoft's stellar announcements, the stock market reflects the positive sentiment. On January 20, 2024, NASDAQ:MSFT stock displayed strong performance, trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. The day's trading saw a $4.80 increase, representing a rise of 1.22%, with the stock closing at $398.67.
Despite a slight drop in after-hours trading, the overall performance suggests positive momentum and investor confidence in the stock. Investors and analysts pay close attention to indicators such as trading near the top of the 52-week range, signaling potential future performance.
Conclusion:
Microsoft's gaming division is paving the way for the company's continued success, as evidenced by the captivating titles unveiled at the Xbox Developer Direct event. The surge in stock performance on January 20, 2024, reflects investor confidence in Microsoft's ability to innovate and dominate the gaming industry. As the company continues to expand its product offerings and adapt to market trends, the positive outlook for NASDAQ:MSFT stock positions it as an attractive investment option in the technology sector. The gaming landscape is evolving, and Microsoft is at the forefront of this exciting transformation.
Microsoft Earnings Raise Fears Over AI Spending. Bubble Go Pop?Playing catch-up is big among the highflyers of technology as the Magnificent Seven club races to slurp up AI demand. But is AI spending going to lead to AI bonanza? It’s not that straightforward.
Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) reported its earnings update for the spring quarter Tuesday after the closing bell. But it failed to appease investors who seem to be waking up to a reality where the billions of dollars jammed into artificial intelligence might not that easily convert into coveted profits.
The AI-optimistic large-cap behemoth has spent piles of cash on advancing its artificial-intelligence capabilities without much to show for it. Markets punished the stock in after-hours trading with shares diving as deep as 8% — a drop that later recovered but still lingered under the flatline.
“Throw Some AI in There, They’ll Love It”
You know how much CEOs love to throw AI in their earnings calls? Microsoft boss Satya Nadella praised the company’s AI efforts in the call with shareholders but even the overuse of AI couldn’t bring the feelgood factor.
Microsoft’s AI-powered cloud business, Azure, grew 29% in the three months to June, falling short of expectations and undershooting the 31% growth in the previous quarter. The company rushed to patch it up and assuage spooked investors, saying the slowdown was due in part to demand for AI running ahead of capacity.
Microsoft: Throws $55.7 billion in capital expenditures.
AI: * giggles, burps * "Thanks for the cash."
For the past three months — the company’s fiscal fourth quarter — Microsoft saw its capital expenditures balloon by almost 80% year-over-year to $19 billion. Moreover, for fiscal 2024, total capital expenditures, or how much the company spent on new stuff, hit $55.7 billion — a figure that is likely to get surpassed next year as Microsoft projects increased spending on AI.
Microsoft’s quarterly results are the latest example, after Google’s (ticker: GOOGL ) flop of an earnings report and Tesla’s (ticker: TSLA ) profit-squeezing quarter , of Big Tech’s lofty aspirations when it comes to AI. And the pushback reaction from investors shows that expectations are so high, it’s near-impossible to beat them.
Big Tech is racing to build out the infrastructure layer that will allow AI to scale so it can start churning out a profit. But the going has recently gotten tough. The Magnificent Seven club of tech mainstays washed out more than $1.5 trillion from its collective market value in the past three weeks.
The question that lingers on investors’ minds right now is how long can markets stay patient before they see revenue growth from AI materialize?
Let Us Know Your Thoughts!
With all the hype around AI, do you see a bubble in the works? Or justified no-froth, no-nonsense valuations? Share your thoughts below!
Microsoft crashing with the world markets $322 on the cardsInv C and H has formed on Microsoft.
We have seen a cosnsistent downtrend forming (Safety line).
And we have an uptrend (action line) that has broken.
So once price goes below 200MA, we could see a huge crash for Microsoft.
NATURE: Medium Probability due to:
Price<20
Price>200
Target 1 will be at $322.62
With Israels conflict exacerbating and with the interest rates staying put which is leading to less buying and more saving, we can continue to see world markets crash along with Crypto in the week coming.
Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 6% After Earnings ReportMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 6% After Earnings Report
According to the Microsoft (MSFT) stock chart:
→ The candle on 29 January closed around $441 before the company released its Q4 2024 earnings report.
→ As a result, the 30 January session opened with a significant bearish gap and closed lower at around $415, marking a total decline of over 6%, despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations.
Media reports indicate:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) stood at $3.23, surpassing the forecast of $3.11.
→ Total revenue reached $69.63 billion, beating the projected $68.78 billion.
However, investor concerns arose due to slowing growth in Microsoft's Azure cloud segment and rising AI development costs. Business Insider reports that Microsoft plans to spend $80 billion on AI infrastructure this financial year. While this substantial investment aims to strengthen its AI position, doubts remain about its long-term profitability.
The technical analysis of the Microsoft (MSFT) stock chart presents a concerning picture, as the price has dropped to a key support level—the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue). This channel was formed by a strong bullish impulse in early 2024 (indicated by an arrow), driven by AI enthusiasm. However, sentiment has shifted, with AI now acting as a selling trigger, increasing the risk of MSFT breaking below this key support.
If this happens, MSFT may test the psychological level of $400 per share once again. Notably, in 2024, the price has not stayed below this level for long.
Despite the recent decline, analysts remain optimistic about MSFT stock. According to a TipRanks survey:
→ 27 out of 30 analysts recommend buying MSFT.
→ The average 12-month price target for MSFT is $508.
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Microsoft's 'Game Changing' AI Products Should Power The StockKey Points To Note
1. Microsoft's "game changing" AI products are seeing solid traction with its Azure customers, according to Wedbush.
2. Wedbush increased its Microsoft price target to $425 a share, representing potential upside of 15%.
3. "We estimate for every $100 of cloud Azure spend with Microsoft the last few years there is an incremental $35 to $40 of AI spend," Wedbush said.
Microsoft's suite of "game changing" artificial intelligence products are starting to see solid traction with its Azure customers.
It has seen "incrementally positive" signs for AI demand after it conducted channel checks among Microsoft's customers, adding that 2024 will represent a banner year for the roll-out of Microsoft's Co-Pilot offerings.
Price Momentum
MSFT is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Microsoft's Collaborative Leap: Transforming Retail with AI
In a groundbreaking move that promises to revolutionize the retail landscape, SymphonyAI, a prominent player in predictive and generative enterprise AI SaaS, has joined forces with tech giant Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ). The collaboration, unveiled at NRF 2024: Retail’s Big Show in New York City, marks a strategic alliance aimed at leveraging the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to propel retail into a new era of connectivity and efficiency.
SymphonyAI's retail applications, designed in tandem with Microsoft Azure OpenAI Service, bring forth a suite of cutting-edge AI software solutions tailored for retailers and Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) companies globally. These applications are poised to deliver rapid, in-depth insights, providing a foundation for a truly connected end-to-end retail experience.
The cornerstone of this collaboration is SymphonyAI's Category Manager Copilot and Demand Planner Copilot, both harnessing the capabilities of retail-specific Language Model (LLM) on Azure OpenAI Service. The Category Manager Copilot, a testament to SymphonyAI's extensive retail domain expertise, offers unprecedented insights into customer merchandising and sales data. By understanding user intent, this Copilot rapidly identifies performance-affecting factors in a product category and provides actionable recommendations. The inclusion of both text and graphics ensures a seamless communication of insights, enabling category managers to make better decisions faster and bring category strategies to life.
On the other front, the Demand Planner Copilot addresses the critical task of forecasting optimized inventory quantities. Powered by highly accurate AI-based forecasts, this tool allows demand planners to act decisively on up-to-date information, striking a balance between satisfying customer demands and minimizing waste. In a fast-paced retail environment where time is of the essence, the Demand Planner Copilot emerges as a game-changer, enhancing the agility of decision-making.
From a technical perspective, Microsoft's stock is riding a rising trend channel indicating sustained investor confidence.
As SymphonyAI and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) embark on this journey to reshape the retail landscape, the fusion of predictive and generative AI promises not just enhanced operational efficiency but a paradigm shift in shopper engagement. The collaborative effort holds the potential to set a new standard for retail excellence, ushering in an era where decisions are made faster, inventory is optimized with precision, and customer satisfaction reaches new heights.
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
MicroSoft Going Hard on Google (unveils ChatGPT vs BARD) Charts first: 258.78 is double support we can count on, structure is quite strong.
313 will be our main target for 2023 and it could come fast as the news are Huge:
Microsoft has announced a new version of its search engine Bing, which incorporates the latest in artificial intelligence.
The overhaul deploys OpenAI's ChatGPT technology, which has taken the world by storm since its launch last year.
The move is by far the biggest threat Google has seen to its dominance in web search - and marks the beginning of an AI arms race between the companies.
"The race starts today," Microsoft boss Satya Nadella said.
Developed by Microsoft-backed OpenAI, ChatGPT uses deep learning techniques to generate human-like responses to search requests.
At the same time, GOOGLE announces their response to ChatGPT, in a race to come ahead of the popular AI service funded by Microsoft.
Google’s Bard AI will soon enter beta and will be available to select testers around the world, months after OpenAI’s ChatGPT exploded in popularity.
This will be interesting to watch and I do have a feeling that Google will win but the race will benefit Microsoft, at least temporarily.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
Microsoft Corp. Goes Bullish? ... The New World Order!You know how you get to see all the headlines when browsing through TradingView's homepage, impossible to avoid.
We love it because it gives me so many ideas...
"Microsoft Better Than Hot Bread".
"Microsoft Develops New Air Conditioner That Will Override The Fed".
"Microsoft Comes Up With Better Than Bacon".
Etc.
It is very misleading, that's our point.
Whenever the market is about to crash, all the news website start publishing bullish headlines.
Whenever the market is about to rise, all the news website start publishing bearish headlines.
Today we have so many bullish headlines for the stock market, the SPX, etc.
See what happens in a few days.
Microsoft Crop. (MSFT) uptrend is ending after 13 years.
This can turn into a simple, normal, classic correction or maybe it can get really bad.
We are looking at the monthly timeframe and MSFT is still trading below EMA10. Bearish.
Clear downtrend since November 2021. Bearish.
Decreasing volume. Bearish.
What an incredible ride... Can't wait to see how it will all develop...
Sam-FTX just got arrested in Bahamas...
Out of crisis comes opportunity.
Once we hit rock bottom, the only place left to go is up.
It is the end of an era.
The birth of a new order.
Order out of chaos.
A New World Order?
Namaste.
MICROSOFT: On the way to the top of the channel!! We're in!!On Wednesday, January 29, Microsoft presented its results. Its results were better than expected in Sales, EBIT and BNA, however, the growth of Azure (cloud) disappointed and the value began to fall towards the bottom of the LATERAL channel in which it has been moving for months.
Main figures compared to the Bloomberg consensus:
Sales: 69,632 million dollars (+12%) vs. 68,903 million dollars expected.
EBIT: 31,653 million dollars (+17.1%) vs. 30,258M$ expected.
BNA: 24,108 million dollars (+10.2%) vs. 23,443M$ expected.
Within the three major segments of the company, the cloud business is slightly disappointing (growth of +31% vs. +32% expected by consensus). In addition, the management team at the earnings conference pointed out that Azure (cloud business) growth will be somewhat more moderate than expected (range +31%/+32% vs. +33% in this quarter).
--> What do we do with Microsoft?
Despite the cloud disappointment, if we have a long-term view, Microsoft is a very attractive stock to have in our portfolio.
--> What does it look like technically?
The technical aspect is BULLISH/SIDEWAYS, therefore, if we want to enter the stock, we should wait for the price to touch the bottom of the channel and give us a signal of the start of bullish momentum. AND THAT IS JUST WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW!!.
In H1 timeframe we already have bullish STRENGTH and MOMENTUM (Bull) and in H4 timeframe the MOMENTUM, therefore, we can now enter LONG in the value.
--------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions in the current area of 414
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 446 area (+7.5%)
--> Stop Loss at 385 (-7.5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-7.5%) (coinciding with 385 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (446).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MSFT Microsoft TrendlineMicrosoft’s buyout of Activision Blizzard for $69 billion would be the largest tech deal of all time.
And Microsoft needs Activision to be a major gaming developer and metaverse competitor.
Microsoft is still in the bullish trendline before the earnings this week.
My price target is $331.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Will the 200 day EMA save Microsoft? Microsoft looks technically interesting. On one hand a double or even triple top argument could be made that flushed the stock down lower after it rallied to break a multi-year resistance TL but failed to hold it, and on the other hand it has not made any multi-month lower lows since September 2020. Stock holders are hoping that 294 will find buyers at the 200 day EMA ahead of earnings but it does not appear that there are any buyers in-sight just yet. 289/290 if reached next week will coincide with March 2021 TL support followed by much bigger support around 280/282 if we get there, where major bounces are expected. The intriguing question will be if buyers are willing show up aggressively under the 200 day to act on these supports because if not, 260 will not be far from reach. Upcoming earnings will determine the longer-term picture.
Is Microsoft in a bubble? Is it overvalued? Judge for yourself.
Microsoft PE Ratio as of January 21: 33.11
PE Ratio Range in the Past 5 Years:
Minimum: 22.35, JUL 03 2017
Maximum: 62.43, MAR 12 2018
Average: 34.68
Median: 32.84
Microsoft: Strategies for Correction 🛠️Microsoft (MSFT): NASDAQ:MSFT
We remain steadfast in our primary scenario for Microsoft , which suggests a significant correction is underway. Thus far, there have been no deviations from this expectation.
Upon closer examination of the 2-hour chart, we observe that the subordinate Wave (B) precisely reached our targeted 127-138% retracement levels. We now anticipate a similar overshooting movement downwards, surpassing Wave (A), towards Wave (C), and subsequently the overarching Wave (a).
Unless we breach the $420 to $422 level, we do not foresee a continuation of the upward trend. A broader view on the two-day chart indicates that Wave 5 should ideally conclude at the 61.8% extension, implying a possible rise to $430. However, this is not certain. If we are experiencing a flat correction, the outcome could exceed this level depending on the origin of Wave A. Nonetheless, a subsequent downturn should be expected unless we surpass the corresponding 138% level.
The precise location of the 138% marker remains undetermined until we establish the position of Wave A, which we currently project to align with Wave 4, around the $160 to $175 level.
Microsoft Parallel Channel and 200 DSMA worth watching Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
Long Term Chart
▫️ An incredible long term trending channel.
▫️ Lets zoom in on Channel 1 and Channel 2
I have compared the 2019 - 2022 period(Channel 1) to the current 2022 - 2024 period (Channel 2) .
Channel 1
2019 -2022
Channel 2
2022 -2024
▫️ Both of these periods have had parallel channels with the 200 day SMA acting as underside support.
▫️ When these were both lost in Q1 2022, it led to an approx. 38% decline from the highs, or a c. 28% decline from losing the channel or 200 DSMA level.
▫️ This is a very strong chart. Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory.
PUKA
Microsoft Challenges Fib 3.618 levelMicrosoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
Expectations were beat across the board today but what does the long term monthly chart tell us? All is revealed in the chart. This is a key moment for NASDAQ:MSFT and a pull back or break through to established new highs wouldn't surprise. I'm happy to wait for the confirmations outlined in the chart. That MACD cross though looks appealing.
Earnings Summary
- Profits jumped 20% to 20.1 b
- EPS: $2.69 / Exp $2.56
- Revenue: $56.19B / Exp $55.49B
- Azure (cloud) revenue up 26% / Exp 27%
Microsoft Struggling?Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 306.08 (stop at 317.41)
We look to sell rallies. We look to set shorts in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking support. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 309.47 found sellers. The trend of lower highs is located at 315.00. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 272.25 and 254.00
Resistance: 300.00 / 310.00 / 320.00
Support: 270.00 / 260.00 / 240.00
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