SEI/USDT - Final Support Before a Major Reversal or Breakdown?🔍 Overview
SEI’s price is currently standing at the most crucial zone of the past year: 0.185–0.160 — an area that has repeatedly acted as a major reversal point in the past.
The recent movement shows a “liquidity sweep” below the yellow block, followed by a sharp recovery candle — a clear sign of aggressive buying reaction from traders viewing this area as a potential discount zone.
If this zone manages to hold once again, SEI could be forming a bottoming phase, potentially triggering a mid-term reversal. However, if it fails, the door toward a deeper structure around 0.12–0.09 will open widely.
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📈 Technical Structure & Price Pattern
Primary trend: still in a medium-term downtrend, forming a sequence of lower highs since mid-2024.
Pattern formation: Accumulation Range / Potential Double Bottom at the 0.185–0.160 demand zone.
Reaction candle: a long lower wick indicates liquidity grab before a possible reversal.
Main demand zone (yellow block): 0.185 – 0.160.
Key resistance levels: 0.275 → 0.354 → 0.467 → 0.606.
Major psychological level: 1.00 as the macro target if a full reversal occurs.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario — Reversal from the Discount Zone
1. Main key: the 0.185–0.160 zone must hold with a 3D candle close above 0.22.
2. Further confirmation: a breakout above 0.275 will shift the structure into higher highs.
3. Progressive targets:
Short-term: 0.275
Mid-term: 0.354
Extended target: 0.467 – 0.606
4. Increasing volume on breakout strengthens the bullish momentum, opening room for a potential 70–150% rally from current support levels.
5. Entry strategy: accumulate gradually within the demand zone, with a disciplined stop loss below 0.155.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario — Deeper Breakdown
1. If the 3D candle closes below 0.160, the major support structure officially breaks.
2. Next correction targets: 0.12 – 0.09, aligning with previous lows.
3. Selling pressure may intensify as long-term holders panic on the breakdown of a major support zone.
4. Additional validation: failure to retest 0.185 after the breakdown → confirms a solid bearish continuation.
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⚖️ Conclusion & Strategy
The 0.185–0.160 zone marks the line between hope and capitulation for SEI.
If it holds, a major reversal with significant upside potential could emerge. But if it fails, a final capitulation phase may occur before a deeper structural bottom forms.
Maintain a disciplined approach: buy only at support, cut losses quickly if invalidated, and wait for 3D candle confirmation for direction clarity.
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