GBP/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/JPY with the target of 197.417 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Short
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.059 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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EURUSD Short: Retest of Resistance Before Next Leg DownHello traders! The overall market structure for EURUSD continues to favor the bears, following a sharp rejection from the 1.1720 supply zone. This area marked a strong pivot point where the price failed to sustain any further bullish momentum and began forming a clear descending channel, establishing a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, the pair is trading within this descending channel, maintaining strong downside momentum. After a short-term recovery attempt, the price reached the upper boundary of the channel and reacted with a noticeable rejection from the resistance line, reinforcing bearish pressure.
My scenario for the next move suggests that this corrective rally is now complete. I expect the price to resume its downward trajectory from this resistance area and move toward the 1.1560–1.1540 demand zone, where the next key reaction level lies.If sellers remain dominant and manage to break through this demand area, the next wave could extend toward new lows, continuing the broader bearish trend. Therefore, my target (TP) is set at 1.1560, anticipating the continuation of the main downward impulse. Manage your risk.
BTC USD (T)🟢 Main scenario (healthy correction and continuation of growth)
The price is pulling back to the EMA50 / EMA100 (around 113.4k–112.8k).
In this zone — especially near 112.8k — you can look for long confirmations such as a pattern, volume spike, or false breakout downward.
After a rebound, the next targets are: 115.5k → 116.3k (Weekly High),
If this level breaks — a possible move toward 117k–118k.
🔴 Less likely, but possible scenario (deep correction)
If the price consolidates below EMA100 (≈112.8k),
the move may deepen toward the Equilibrium zone (111.0–110.5k).
There will again be a chance for a strong long entry, but only after confirmation.
BTCUSDT: Could Continue to Rise Higher Within the ChannelBINANCE:BTCUSDT is a prime example of a market moving within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries.
Recently, the price broke through a clear resistance zone and retested it. This zone aligns with Bitcoin’s recent volatility range, making it a critical level to watch closely. If this level holds as support, it will confirm the bullish market structure, and there's a high probability the price will continue to rise towards $118,682, the upper limit of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the bullish trend will remain intact. However, if the price fails to hold this level, short-term bullish prospects may be challenged, and we could see a decline back towards the channel’s lower limit.
Remember to always apply proper risk management. Wishing you a great trading experience and plenty of profits!
EURUSD: Market of Sellers
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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GBPUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GBPUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPUSD
Entry - 1.3340
Sl - 1.3350
Tp - 1.3321
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 203.99
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 203.66
My Stop Loss - 204.17
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SOLANA - SHORT - THE WICK AND THE WHISPERTraders,
This is how I see SOL.
1. The level I care about
For me the key area is 205 to 207. Call it VAH, call it range high, call it supply. It is the place where price got stuffed before and where a lot of trapped memory lives.
What I expect is simple.
Wick it. Slip it. Fade it.
In other words I am looking for SOL to run into that 205 to 207 pocket, spike through it, clean the liquidity resting above those highs, and then fail to hold. That failure after the wick is the trigger for me. That is where I want to be heavy.
If SOL trades above that range high and then instantly falls back inside, that is a swing fail pattern at the high of the range. That is the same story I am hunting on BTC at 117.5k. Liquidity first, conviction second.
2. The downside path
If the wick and slip happens, my downside path is not small. My next meaningful target sits all the way down at 150 to 155. That zone is not just a guess.
It is where the last real demand block sat before we impulsed higher.
It is also where liquidity was never fully re balanced after the violent breakout.
Call it unfinished business. Call it imbalance that still needs to close.
The market eventually comes back to drink from the well it skipped.
3. Now we look under the hood
Price has pushed up into 200 again, yes. But the flow behind the move tells a different story than the candles.
Spot CVD
Spot CVD is bleeding down hard. Real buyers paying cash are not supporting this move. Spot is distributing into strength, not accumulating under it.
Stablecoin margined CVD
Stablecoin perp flow is also down. That means most of the USDT perp side is either taking profit into this move or outright selling into it. They are not chasing it. They are leaning against it.
Coin margined CVD
This is the biggest one. Coin margined CVD is aggressively down. That tells me coin collateral traders are smashing into the bid, basically leaning short into this push.
So ask yourself. If spot is selling, and perp flow is selling, and coin margined flow is selling, then why is SOL still pressing up
4. Open Interest is the answer
Stablecoin OI is grinding up.
Coin margined OI is going vertical.
That means positions are being added at the top, not closed. New size is entering into this level.
When coin margined OI spikes like that while coin margined CVD is negative, the usual read is this. People are opening fresh short exposure using SOL itself as collateral, hitting the bid all the way up, and still not getting the breakdown.
They are trying to fade the move. The move refuses to die. That is short fuel.
This is why SOL can still squeeze into 205 to 207. Shorts are stepping in early, and if you squeeze them one more time you get the wick.
But here is the catch. After the wick and slip, once that last round of shorts is blown and once fresh late longs FOMO in above VAH, there is nothing under price.
Spot buyers did not build a floor.
Perps did not build a floor.
The whole thing is hollow.
That is how you get air pockets.
5. How I am trading this
I am not here to wave a bull flag or scream bear. I am not interested in labels.
I am here to execute around the level.
My plan is to stalk shorts on a failed breakout of that 205 to 207 key. I do not need to nail the exact top tick. I want to see the wick into VAH, and then the rejection back inside the range. That is my trigger to build size.
Will I hold it all the way to 150 No blind loyalty. But that is where I believe the next true re balance sits, and that is the map I am working with.
If SOL breaks through 207, accepts above, and starts building structure above VAH, then this idea is invalid. I step aside. No ego. Survival first.
6. Summary
SOL is approaching a thin ceiling where liquidity sits. I believe we get a final run of that high near 205 to 207, a wick and slip, and then rotation lower. The flow supports that view.
Spot is not bidding.
Perps are selling into the move.
Open Interest is exploding at the highs.
That is the recipe for a squeeze candle into resistance, followed by a rug.
My destination if this plays out is 150 to 155, the next pool of imbalance where the market still owes a visit.
The chart is loud, but the flow is louder.
The candles brag.
The data whispers.
I listen to the whisper.
BITCOIN – THE LAST DANCE AT THE BORDER OF DEATHTraders,
I believe Bitcoin is potentially setting up for a swing fail pattern around 117.500.
A swing fail pattern, very simply, is when price runs the previous high, takes out the liquidity sitting above it, and then fails to hold above that level. In other words, it clears the stops, shows strength for a moment, and then turns. It is the market taking a breath before it bites.
Here is how I see it and why I am positioned for shorts, not longs.
1. Structure into 117.500
The zone around 117.000 to 117.500 is, for me, the kill zone.
Why?
There is a clean previous high that has not been taken yet
There is visible imbalance from the last fast drop sitting in that band
We have London morning wick liquidity above us that I believe price still wants to clean
The math and harmonics I am running line up in the same area
When I say the math lines up I am talking about measured extensions and harmonics off the leg that started around 103k to 104k and impulsed higher. My 1.618 extension clusters around 116.7 to 117.5. The 1.272 and 1.414 levels already got respected on the way up. This last one is usually where you get the overextension and the last grab. On top of this, the 1.618 extension confluences with the HTF Golden Pocket.
We also sit right on top of what I call the border of death. Above 117.500 I do not want to see Bitcoin hold. If it does hold and build acceptance up there then this entire idea is invalidated and I will adapt. I am not married to bias. I am married to data.
2. Order flow and participation
Let us talk about what is behind this move, not just what it looks like.
Spot CVD is still depressed compared to the beginning of the run. That means real buyers paying cash are not the ones driving price higher. This is not a classic spot accumulation bid. This is not strong hands owning the level.
Stablecoin margined CVD and coin margined CVD both curled up into the most recent leg. So who is lifting price It is perps. Not investors, not patient buyers, just leverage.
Open Interest is also telling us a story.
Stablecoin margined OI is grinding back up into the highs.
Coin margined OI is starting to climb again.
That means people are adding new exposure on the way up. They are not just covering shorts anymore, they are now chasing longs into the high. This is where positioning gets fragile. The crowd thinks we are going to keep going. I start thinking about harvesting that belief.
The floor under us is not built by conviction. It is built by leverage.
We have seen this before. The desert looks quiet before the sandstorm picks up.
3. What I am expecting
I am expecting a sweep of the high into roughly 117.500.
Clean the liquidity. Fill the imbalance. Tap the last little pocket of inefficiency that is still sitting there. Show strength on the surface.
Then reject.
That rejection is the tell for me. If we push above the high and then snap back below it on force, that confirms the swing fail for me.
From there I am looking for rotation much lower.
4. The target zone if this plays out
If this plays out the way I think it can, I am looking toward 98k.
This is not a random number. That is basically the next meaningful pocket of imbalance below. That is the next unfair area that never got re tested. Price likes to rebalance. The market eventually revisits the places it skipped when it was moving too fast. We call it inefficiency but it is really just unfinished business.
Will it instantly teleport there No. This is a path idea, not a straight line prediction. But 98k is where I think equilibrium lives if this whole run unwinds.
5. Risk management and positioning
Because of this view I have adjusted.
My earlier thesis from October 16 is, in my eyes, no longer valid in its original form. Never say never, but I am not trading that idea anymore.
I have closed all long positions. I am no longer here to squeeze the upside. I am here to stalk shorts.
Does that mean I am instantly full size short here No.
I am not interested in guessing tops. I am interested in letting the market reach for the level I want, and only then taking the trade with data behind it.
If Bitcoin breaks through 117.500 and starts holding acceptance above that level, I will back off this idea. No ego. No stubbornness. I am here to survive. Survival is the only way you ever get to mastery.
6. Summary
I believe Bitcoin is setting up for a classic swing fail pattern at around 117.500. I think price will hunt that liquidity, stop out shorts, convince late longs they are right, and then turn. I think the next meaningful re balance sits much lower, around 98k.
This is not guaranteed. Nothing in trading is guaranteed. Trading is probability, not fantasy.
But right now the flow, the harmonics, the imbalance, the extensions, and the psychology of the crowd all rhyme in the same place.
And when the market whispers in the same tone across different tools, I listen. I am ThetaNomad.
27/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,481.36
Last weeks low: $106,688.94
Midpoint: $111,085.15
It's FOMC week again and with it comes speculation and volatility. With the Fed forecast to cut rates another 0.25% where does this leave Bitcoin?
After weeks of consolidation between $106,000 - $111,000 BTC broke above $112,000 resistance level suggesting that sellers have largely been absorbed and momentum is returning to the upside. Trading volume surged as BTC crossed the $112,000 threshold, indicating strong conviction from both institutional and retail participants.
Short-term volatility is expected around the FOMC announcement, I would not rule out a $112,000 retest, it would be a good indicator of just how strong this breakout move is. Macro conditions continue to favor Bitcoin’s long-term bullish case particularly if the Fed signals an eventual shift toward easing in 2026 which is already being discussed.
The next major test lies around $120,000 if weekly high resistance is flipped, but a decisive close above this threshold would likely trigger another wave of momentum buying toward $125K and beyond.
For the bear case a loss of $112,000 would mean a revisit of the same $106,000 - $111,000 range and an increasing loss of momentum for the bull run.
Good luck this week everybody!
EURCHF: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of EURCHF right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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CADJPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
CADJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell CADJPY
Entry - 109.44
Stop - 109.56
Take - 109.20
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6538
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6510
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#037: SHORT Investing Opportunity on NZD/USD
The NZD/USD exchange rate is exhibiting behavior that warrants attention from institutional traders. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
After a consolidation phase characterized by progressively higher lows, the market has reached a technical area that historically represents a decision point for directional flow.
In recent sessions, price action has shown a slowdown in the bullish momentum, with small-bodied candles and clear upper wicks, a sign of absorption of buying pressure. At the same time, an increase in intraday volatility has been observed, typical of phases in which liquidity begins to change sides.
Fundamentally, the environment remains fragile for the New Zealand dollar. Expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the RBNZ, combined with mixed macroeconomic data, are keeping medium-term sentiment anchored to a cautious outlook. The US dollar, while not showing particular strength, continues to benefit from the rate differential and demand for hedging in times of uncertainty.
From a technical perspective, recent price behavior suggests that the market is seeking liquidity near resistance areas, where pending orders and potential profit-taking by those who have been long in previous weeks are concentrated. This is often where the institutional transition between accumulation and distribution occurs, a prelude to broader directional movements.
Professional traders are closely monitoring the price reaction in this range: a confirmed rejection of the upper range, accompanied by consistent volume, could be an early sign of a return to bearish interest.
GOLD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 4,076.79.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,724.27 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CHFJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 192.069.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 191.725 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURNZD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURNZD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0233
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.0208
My Stop Loss - 2.0248
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 152.962.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 152.618 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.87
Target Level: 58.58
Stop Loss: 64.06
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The analysis of the USOIL chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1627
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1589
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
US30
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short US30
Entry Point - 47206
Stop Loss - 47308
Take Profit - 46961
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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