Shorting COQ HereI see multiple wicks around my MA resistance(red) so i'm eyeing around 0.004564. let see if it will play well.
Shortsetup
Bitcoin Euro is €82,000 nextIn this video I go through an idea that may take bitcoin down to the €82,000 region .
I cover the current price action and run through a scenario of bitcoin coming down to the Newley spawned quarterly pivots and faking out at the value area low before coming back up into the range .
The tools I used in the video are quarterly pivots , anchored vwap , Fibonacci, fixed range volume profile and a tpo chart .
Appreciate your following and Good luck with your trading !
AUD/JPY# AUD/JPY: Two High-Probability Bearish Setups 🎯
## Overview
AUD/JPY continues to respect its macro downtrend structure, offering two compelling bearish opportunities as price approaches critical resistance levels. Currently trading at 94.398, the pair sits at an inflection point between key support and resistance zones.
---
## 📊 Setup 1: Resistance Zone Rejection (Primary)
### Key Level: 95.289 (Major Resistance)
This level has proven its significance multiple times:
- ✅ Strong resistance throughout recent months
- ✅ Clear seller dominance at this zone
- ✅ Confluence with descending channel structure
### Entry Strategy:
1. **Wait** for price to approach 95.289
2. **Identify** bearish rejection patterns:
- Pin bars / Shooting stars
- Bearish engulfing candles
- Multiple wick rejections
3. **Enter** short on confirmed rejection
4. **Stop Loss**: 95.50-95.60 (above resistance)
5. **Targets**:
- TP1: 93.240 (1:2 RR)
- TP2: 92.271 (1:3.5 RR)
---
## 📊 Setup 2: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Secondary)
### Pattern Recognition:
A textbook rising wedge has formed since the May lows - a bearish reversal pattern within the larger downtrend context.
### Entry Strategy:
1. **Monitor** the lower wedge trendline
2. **Wait** for decisive breakdown with volume
3. **Enter** short on retest of broken support
4. **Stop Loss**: Above recent swing high
5. **Target**: 93.240 support zone
---
## 📈 Market Structure Analysis
### Macro Trend: BEARISH 📉
- Consistent lower highs and lower lows from 102+ levels
- Currently in corrective bounce phase
- Respecting descending channel boundaries
### Current Position:
Price trapped between:
- **Resistance**: 95.289
- **Support**: 93.240
- **Deep Support**: 92.271
---
## ⚠️ Risk Management
**Patience is key!** Current price offers poor risk/reward. Wait for:
1. **Scenario A**: Test of 95.289 resistance → Short opportunity
2. **Scenario B**: Break below wedge support → Short opportunity
3. **Scenario C**: Break above 95.289 → Invalidation, stay flat
### Position Sizing:
- Risk per trade: 1-2% of account
- Adjust position size based on stop distance
---
## 🎯 Trade Summary
**Bias**: BEARISH 🐻
**Preferred Setup**: Resistance rejection at 95.289
**Risk/Reward**: Minimum 1:2
**Timeframe**: Daily
---
*Remember: The best trades come to those who wait. Let price come to your levels, don't chase!*
**What's your view? Drop a comment below! 👇**
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.*
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EURGBP short trade Idea with divergence 💶 EURGBP SHORT SETUP – Clean Supply Rejection 📉🔥
Looking at a fresh opportunity to short EURGBP based on recent price action and structure:
🔹 Market Context:
Price recently pushed into a key supply zone or resistance around 0.84800–0.85000.
Multiple rejections spotted at that level – suggesting weak bullish momentum and engineered liquidity.
🔹 Setup Bias: Bearish
We’re anticipating a short-term correction or continuation to the downside, targeting recent demand zones or imbalances.
🔹 Trade Setup (Example):
Entry: ~0.84800
Stop Loss: ~0.85100 (above supply wick)
Take Profit: ~0.84100 (demand/imbalance fill area)
Risk to Reward: ~1:3 potential
🔹 Confluences:
Rejection candle at supply
Divergence
Price broke structure (BOS) to the downside earlier
Overbought signals (if using RSI/Stoch)
Clean imbalance zone below
📊 Execution Tip:
Wait for confirmation (M15 bearish engulfing / lower high break) to avoid early entries.
HYPE — How to Combine Fibonacci, VWAP and Market StructureAfter an explosive +392% rally in just 70 days — from $9.298 to a peak of $45.8 — HYPE has entered a consolidation range as expected. Structurally, this appears to be a 5-wave impulse now transitioning into a corrective ABC pattern. Based on current structure, we may now be forming wave B.
What’s Unfolding Now?
A potential Head & Shoulders pattern is developing, with price currently working on the right shoulder. The $40 mark stands out as a key resistance — both technically and psychologically:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the down move sits at $40.108
Structural resistance from prior highs
Ideal area for a short rejection
🎯 Short Setup:
Entry: Laddered short between 0.618 ($40.108) and 0.786 ($42.611)
Stop-Loss: Above $44 (after rejection adjust to entry)
Target: $28–$27 zone
R:R potential: 1:3 up to 1:9 depending on entry quality
📍 Why $28–$27 Is Key Support:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement of entire +392% rally sits at $27.549
Anchored VWAP from the rally origin ($9.298) aligns around this zone
Weekly & Monthly S/R convergence
VAH (Value Area High)
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan also aligns as dynamic support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies in this region
Weekly 21 EMA at $28.05/Weekly 21 SMA at $24.10 — both key moving averages providing layered support and trend structure
📐 Bonus Confluence Insight:
If this is indeed wave B, then projecting a 0.786/1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave A aligns well with the 0.5 fib retracement at $27.5.
📚 Educational Insight:
Stacking confluences such as Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume zones, EMA/SMA levels, and harmonic structures helps identify high-probability zones where smart money is likely to act. These levels become even more powerful when they align across multiple tools and timeframes. Always confirm with price action.
_________________________________
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Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
BITCOIN - SHORT OPPORTUNITY AND LACK OF MOMENTUMBINANCE:BTCUSDT has been lacking momentum in the last few days. It looks to me that "Good News" is almost "No News" in regards to the Iran war or any crypto legislation. Summer is looking a lot like sideways movement, and due to the previous explosion in momentum and volume, I think the lack of it will bring the price down in the following days or weeks.
Why BTC hasn’t moved up recentlyBTC has been bobbing above and below this bearish triple crossover the past few months. What we see as consolidation is rather price getting stuck around these resistance levels.
The only reason why this would be occurring in my view, is due to the market makers having intention to allow this drop to play out.
The resistance is located at around 107,000 to 107,400 - watch this zone closely for a hold below / rejection and fast drop.
Scenario 1 marked with solid red line.
Scenario 2 marked with dotted red line.
Little update for y’all. Happy weekend trading.
Strong weekend selling pressure, below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, retreating below the $3,300 level after a lackluster performance the previous day. The precious metal is edging closer to the two-week low seen on Tuesday, as investors await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. This key inflation gauge is expected to offer fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and could significantly influence US Dollar (USD) movements—ultimately shaping the near-term trajectory of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure at the end of the week caused gold prices to fall below 3300, maintaining selling pressure and falling today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3326- 3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BNBUSDTPersonally, I see BNB struggling to break above that key resistance zone near 648–649. The rejection from that level, especially with decreasing momentum, makes me lean bearish in the short term. We’ve seen this zone hold back price before, and unless there's a strong breakout with volume, I think there's a higher chance we see a pullback toward the 616–618 area. I’m just watching price action closely and waiting for a clean confirmation—no need to rush a position when the structure’s already signaling hesitation.
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
EUR/CHF Channel Breakdown – Bearish MomentumThe EUR/CHF pair has broken down from a well-defined ascending parallel channel, indicating a shift in market structure and a possible continuation to the downside. The price had been consistently respecting the resistance zone near 0.9435–0.9440 (marked in red) and the support zone near 0.9375–0.9380 (marked in green), forming an upward-sloping consolidation channel.
After multiple rejections at the upper resistance, the price decisively broke below the support line with strong bearish momentum, confirming a bearish breakout from the channel.
🔻 Breakdown Implication
The height of the channel—measured from the support to the resistance—has been used to project the next potential downside target. The projected breakdown target is marked near 0.9309, which aligns with historical price reaction zones and provides a clean structure-based price objective.
This suggests the bearish move could extend further in the coming sessions unless the price quickly recovers and climbs back above the broken support, which would invalidate the breakdown structure.
🧠 Trading Outlook
Bias: Bearish after confirmed breakdown from channel
Entry (if not in already): Consider selling on retest of broken support (~0.9375)
Target: 0.9309 (based on channel height)
Stop Loss: Above 0.9390–0.9400 (above breakdown point)
This setup is ideal for momentum traders looking to capitalize on trend continuation after a failed bullish structure.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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F 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar below close entry
Calculated affordable stop market
T2 5M take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level"
1M CounterTrend
"+ short impulse
- exhaustion volume
+ T2 level
+ resistance level
- unvolumed interaction bar
- reaction bar looks to close bullish in 6 days"
1Y CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ 1/2 correction
+ weak test"
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
INJ Breakdown in Play Eyeing the Neckline for Precision ShortsINJ/USDT Analysis
〽️ The Head and Shoulders pattern has broken down successfully, confirming a bearish structure.
💠We anticipate a potential relief bounce towards the $11 region which aligns closely with the neckline retest zone. This area is likely to act as a liquidity trap, where institutional sellers may re-enter aggressively 👀.
🎯 Key downside targets remain at
1. $8.98
2. $8.03
3. $6.92
Strategic Plan 🎖️
Look to initiate short positions around the neckline retest near $11, as the risk-reward becomes increasingly favorable from that level.
Trade with discipline. Let the structure lead the execution. 🫡🧠
USDCAD H4 AnalysisUSDCAD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 1.37836 and higher to 1.38654. If no, Can rally between 1.36359, 1.35415 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
NASDAQ Short-Term Outlook (Study Purpose Only)The NASDAQ index is showing signs of short-term weakness following a rejection near the 22,000–22,200 resistance zone. The recent breakdown from the consolidation range suggests bearish sentiment is building.
🔻 Key Observations:
Stop Loss Zone: 22,192
Price should ideally remain below this level for a bearish setup to remain valid. A move above this zone may invalidate the downside scenario.
Immediate Support Level: 21,010
If selling pressure continues, this is the first potential bounce zone. Watch price behavior closely here.
Deeper Support Target: 20,223
A break below 21,000 could open the door for a drop toward the 20,200 area — a previous accumulation/support level.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Traders may consider this type of setup if looking for short positions, but only with tight risk controls and clear confirmation of trend continuation.
📝 Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for study and educational purposes. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to take a trading position. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.