DEJA VU: The 2021 Top is Replaying on the Weekly Chart.This is a weekly view of BTC. The structure is clear and concerning.
The circle on the left shows the distribution pattern that led to the 2021 crash. The circle on the right shows where we are right now. The similarity is undeniable.
We have just witnessed a major weekly rejection and a structural break to the downside. The macro top appears to be in, and the bearish reversal has started.
The arrow indicates the expected trajectory. I anticipate a continued decline toward the major weekly support clusters shown by the yellow lines below.
Shortsignal
PLAYUSDT – Short-Term Pullback SetupPLAY has completed a strong upside move and is now showing signs of weakness after failing to hold above the recent high. Price is reacting from a supply area, indicating potential for a short-term pullback.
As long as price remains below this resistance zone, sellers may continue to pressure the market, opening room for a retracement toward the lower support area.
Entry: 0.1130 - 0.114
Stoploss: 0.1221
Targets:
0.1050
0.0960
If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, this pullback scenario would be invalidated and bias would shift back to bullish continuation.
SOLUSDT M30 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Continuation Setup📝 Description
BINANCE:SOLUSDT has reacted into a clear M30 HTF FVG zone and failed to sustain upside momentum. The recent bounce appears corrective after a strong selloff, with price now stalling below imbalance resistance.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price remains capped below the M30 FVG
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 144.50
• Stop Loss: Above 145.10
• TP1: 143.90
• TP2: 143.20
• TP3: 142.40 (lower HTF FVG / liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Rejection from M30 FVG indicates weak bullish follow-through
• Move up classified as pullback, not structural shift
• Bearish continuation favored toward stacked imbalances below
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🧩 Summary
As long as CRYPTOCAP:SOL trades below the highlighted M30 FVG, downside continuation toward lower liquidity pools remains the higher-probability scenario.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
No immediate bullish catalyst is present, keeping sentiment neutral-to-bearish and aligned with technical downside pressure.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Selling pressure - correction below 4300✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/05/2026 - 01/09/2026
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) accelerated its recovery on a holiday-thinned session on Friday, with markets in Japan and China closed for the New Year lantern. The precious metal is 1.75% up on the day, reaching levels near $4,400, after bouncing from $4,274 earlier this week.
A combination of market expectations of lower interest rates in the US and growing geopolitical frictions has underpinned support from precious metals over the last few sessions. Russia has announced the revision of its stance at the peace talks with Ukraine, after an intentional drone attack in one of President Vladimir Putin's residences, while US President Trump has raised his tone against Iran.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Investor sentiment remains pressured to sell and take profits at the start of the new year - however, global military concerns continue to provide upward momentum for gold prices.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4402, $4453
Support: $4274, $4237
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
SUI M30 RSI Exhaustion and Bearish Pullback Setup📝 Description
SUI on M30 just ran hard into HTF supply, but RSI has exited the overextension zone and is rolling over, which usually signals momentum exhaustion. That tells me buyers are losing strength, so a bearish pullback is likely to rebalance toward the nearby imbalances below.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish pullback while below 1.535
Short Setup (Reactive):
• Entry (Sell): 1.520–1.530 (HTF supply reaction)
• Stop Loss: Above 1.535
• TP1: 1.5025
• TP2: 1.4822 (30M FVG)
• TP3: 1.4578 (deeper FVG / liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price tapped HTF OB / supply
• RSI rolling over after leaving overextension zone
• FVG 30M below as downside magnet
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🧩 Summary
After a big run, RSI is basically saying “enough.” While price stays capped under supply, odds favor a controlled drop toward 1.50 then 1.48. If weakness persists, 1.45 becomes the next clean draw.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Alts are still reactive and prone to quick rotations. Without a fresh catalyst, these premium rejections often resolve with a pullback into liquidity and imbalance.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
SBUX 1D Chart DeclineStarbucks (SBUX) stock, as shown in the 1-day chart, has declined sharply due to a combination of operational challenges, weak earnings, and broader market pressures, making it a poor choice for swing trading. Q4 2025 results revealed a $230 million revenue miss and operating margins contracting to 2.9% from 18.7% the prior year, driven by store closures (over 600 in North America plus plans for 400 more underperforming U.S. locations), rising labor costs, and inflationary pressures from strategies like "Back to Starbucks." U.S. comparable sales fell 2%, with transaction volumes down nearly 4%, compounded by economic pressures on consumers, competition in China, and potential coffee tariff hikes under President Trump, leading to a 13.6% yearly drop that underperforms the S&P 500. For swing traders, the bearish technicals—including a 'death cross' with the 50-day moving average below the 200-day, negative MACD, and price near lower Bollinger Bands—signal continued downside risk and low reward potential amid eroded investor confidence.
Gold prices remain above 4300 at the end of the year.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Federal Reserve moved to lower its policy rate by 25 basis points, setting the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75%. Policymakers backing the decision pointed to rising downside risks to the labor market alongside easing inflation dynamics as justification for the adjustment.
The vote, however, revealed notable divisions within the Committee. Fed Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a larger, “jumbo” rate cut, while Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid opposed the move, preferring to keep interest rates unchanged.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are trading sideways within the year-end correction range of 4300 - 4400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4401 - 4403 SL 4408
TP1: $4390
TP2: $4380
TP3: $4365
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4304 - 4302 SL 4297
TP1: $4315
TP2: $4330
TP3: $4345
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold continues to lock in year-end profits - price drops.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) ticks higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, reclaiming ground above the $4,350 level after suffering a sharp 4.5% decline in the previous session—its steepest single-day drop since October. The modest rebound comes as selling pressure eases following aggressive liquidation triggered by higher margin requirements on gold and silver futures imposed by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group, one of the world’s largest commodities trading venues.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices began to fall at the end of the year - investors closed their positions. Gold started a major downward correction.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4434 - 4436 SL 4441
TP1: $4420
TP2: $4405
TP3: $4390
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4301 - 4303 SL 4296
TP1: $4315
TP2: $4330
TP3: $4345
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC - Do you See... What I see?Charting a decades worth of trades isn't easy. But when in doubt, you must zoom out. Do you see what I see? BTC price has fallen completely out of order. 80k is immanent maybe even 60k. Once the first red line breaks... there be a big earthquake that will scare and shake out most doubters and traders that want to save face. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Is here to stay, but we might see a while until recovery.
Going Short TESLA HereTrading Fam,
I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
Short PalantirTrading Fam,
This will be only the second short I have taken since implementing my new indicator. We are up 250%+ pending exits in just over a year; however, during that time, I have taken long entries only. Now, it's time to test accuracy on the short side.
On my NASDAQ:TSLA short (my first ever short entry), we are already comfortably in profits. More to come on that.
As far as NASDAQ:PLTR goes, my signal gave me a SELL at $195. As I have been in the habit of waiting for confirmation, I did not enter immediately. Yesterday and today, I believe I have been given the chance for a decent entry. I've entered short at a price of $190 and will shoot for that 200-day SMA at somewhere around $145 for a 2.37 rrr.
Let's see how this goes.
✌️Stew
PERFECT MSFT SHORTWe have a really strong timeframe alignment on NASDAQ:MSFT , presenting us with a great shorting opportunity.
Weekly
If we start top down from the weekly, MSFT had a strong and fast rally but has faced strong rejection on the upper side of its long term upward channel. Price may now look to retrace to its previous long-term swing high after this rejection. We also see volatility constriction through Bollinger Bands, indicating potential for large price moves and volume to occur soon.
Daily
On the daily chart we see a strong rejection of the daily 50 ema and resistive levels after a downside breakout.
Hourly
For the entry on the 1hr timeframe we are looking at a large head and shoulder formation, with a trend rejection and a strong rejection of the 1hr 100ema.
I am targeting the previous long-term swing high at 470 as my singular TP.
Goodluck-nfa.
GBPUSD CAN BE BEARISH THIS WEEK.Pound is in a downward trend and has entered a discounted (cheap) zone.
Given last week’s candlestick, it’s expected that it may break the bottom of its weekly range. However, the presence of important zones in the lower timeframes had made the decline difficult. In the 4H, 3H, 2H, and 1H timeframes, there were many untested zones that were fully mitigated last week. It seems that this week we will also see a strong bearish candlestick, in a way that it can break the bottom of its range.
Sell zones:
With this week’s candlestick turning bearish, there are good price targets for selling, and by combining them with lower timeframes we can find a good sell zone:
1.LW H
2.Weekly Liquidity
3.W FVG
4.W OB






















