SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 46.999 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Signals
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,830.75 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,387.42. Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short! '
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.17283 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.17084.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Ethereum Daily Technical Signal: Buy and Target 4330Ethereum Daily Technical Analysis
Ethereum is currently showing signs of strength as it tests the key resistance level around 4150.
A confirmed 4H candle breakout above this zone could trigger fresh bullish momentum, opening the door for higher targets in the short term.
My Personal Long Setup
If the price breaks and closes a 4H candle above 4150, I will enter a long position.
🎯 Target 1: 4250
🎯 Target 2: 4330
❌ Stop-loss: 4040
👍 Don’t forget to boost this trading idea if you found it helpful,
and follow me for more daily crypto insights and trade setups.
⚠️ Please note:
This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades.
Always do your own research before taking action.
Best of luck 🌹
XAU/USD: When Common Sense Beats Hype1. Market Recap
Gold’s rally looks unstoppable. Fundamentals are clearly supportive and technically, the chart screams bullish .
But here comes the trader’s problem: just saying “Gold is bullish” doesn’t make a trade. Everyone knows that already. What matters is not the direction, but the structure of the trade itself.
2. The Educational Point – The 3 Pillars of Every Trade
No matter what market you trade, a professional trader always defines three things before taking a position:
1. Entry Point – where you get in.
2. Exit Point (Target) – where you aim to take profit.
3. Negation Point (Stop-Loss) – where you admit you’re wrong and cut the trade.
Without all three, you don’t have a trade — you just repeating what everyone knows.
3. The Current Problem With Gold
• If you buy at market (3816), your nearest stop is today’s low (3758). That’s ~600 pips risk, and with a 1:2 ratio, you need 3950 just to make sense of it. Not impossible, but not elegant either.
• If you wait for a dip to support at 3785, risk improves to ~300 pips. But this setup is already a 450 pip fail from the ATH — and failures at highs are not to be ignored and not very bullish either.
• Selling at market? Again tricky, because spikes in bullish trends can wipe out shorts before the market even breathes.
In short: at current levels, both long and short lack a clear, controlled setup.
4. My Trading Approach
Here’s where I apply common sense:
• Gold is already +1.5% since Friday’s close.
• If it extends to 3850, that’s where I’ll look to fade the move.
• Even if it’s not a major correction, an intraday drop is realistic. From 3850, a 500 pip move back to 3800 is enough to structure a 1:2 trade.
• If stop-loss gets hit, so be it — that’s trading.
5. Conclusion
At current price (3816), I don’t see a clean entry and I don’t have a favorite scenario. However, if Gold pushes into 3850, the most probable outcome in my view is at least a short-term correction.
This should be a trader’s mindset: not chasing every move, but waiting until risk, reward, and probability align. 🚀
GOLD surpasses historical peak - waiting for boost from NFPNews of the past week: OANDA:XAUUSD approaches historical peak, benefits from US tariffs and geopolitical tensions
• In the trading session on September 26, the spot gold price surpassed the $3,760/ounce mark and fluctuated around $3,780, just a short distance from the historical peak of $3,791 set earlier this week. This is also the sixth consecutive week of increase for the precious metal, thanks to increased demand for safe havens in the context of new US tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions.
• The August personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation report contained few surprises: Core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month, in line with forecasts and below July's initial 0.3% reading (which was later revised down). Year-over-year, core PCE held steady at 2.9%, still above the Fed's 2% target. Total PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month, up from July's 0.2% reading; year-over-year, it edged up to 2.7% from 2.6%.
• This inflationary trend has weakened the US dollar, providing additional support for gold prices. However, the Fed’s monetary policy picture remains cautious. After cutting interest rates by 25 basis points last week, many Fed officials have stressed that there is no need to rush to ease further as price pressures persist despite signs of a slowdown in the labor market.
• Meanwhile, U.S. economic data released on Thursday, including stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth and lower jobless claims, added to the Fed’s concerns, potentially complicating the path to rate cuts, while gold continues to benefit from haven demand and a fraught political and trade environment.
This week: Global markets await US jobs data and signals from the Fed
• From September 29 to October 4, global financial markets will be watching the speeches of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials after the September interest rate cut. The biggest highlight is the non-farm payroll (NFP) report released on Friday, a factor that could shape the interest rate path at the Fed's meeting in late October.
• At the start of the week, the Eurozone will release a series of data on economic sentiment, consumer confidence and industrial climate, important indicators to check the possibility of escaping the risk of stagflation. On Tuesday, Australia decides on its benchmark interest rate, Japan publishes its policy summary, while China releases its manufacturing PMI. Germany also releases CPI and retail sales on the same day. In the US, Chicago PMI and JOLTs employment data will be released, along with a series of speeches from regional Fed presidents, where views on interest rate cuts are clearly divided.
• Wednesday will see the US ADP jobs report and the Eurozone harmonized CPI, which are key data for ECB policy. In addition, the final PMIs from the Eurozone, Germany, France and the UK will be released. The Fed continues its series of speeches, including from the Vice Chairman, which will further focus the market on the employment-inflation balance.
• The climax comes on Friday when the US releases its September non-farm payrolls. If the data is weaker than expected, the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points in October will increase, weakening the USD and supporting gold prices. Conversely, strong data could reverse expectations and strengthen the greenback. On the same day, Japan releases its unemployment rate, adding to the currency market.
• Overall, this week is a clash of economic data and policy guidance. NFP will be a key measure to break the Fed’s current balance, while European and Japanese data reflect global policy divergence. For investors, gold and the US dollar are likely to be volatile, while crude oil will be influenced by inventory data and Chinese PMIs.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Summary: Gold on the daily chart is running in a clear uptrend channel, buyers are still in control but need to pay attention to the accumulation phase and high RSI before entering orders.
Technical perspective
• Main trend: Strong increase — price is fluctuating in a clear uptrend channel, tops/cores/bottoms are all making lower and higher lows → bullish structure is intact.
• Moving average (MA): Short-term MA is pointing up, price is above MA → confirms the uptrend and MA acts as dynamic support when there is a pullback.
• Key support: ~3,720–3,738 USD/oz (near support/lower consolidation band); stronger support around 3,629–3,630 (previous bottom).
• Technical resistance/target: immediate resistance ~3,791 USD (recent top). Fibonacci targets if broken: 3,825 (0.5) → 3,872 (0.618) → 3,938 (0.786) → extension to ~4,022 (extension).
• RSI & momentum: RSI is in high territory but not yet giving strong reversal signals — momentum remains positive but warns of technical correction risk.
Risk management tips & signals to watch
• Split orders, don't go all-in; limit risk to 1–2% of account per order.
• Monitor RSI: if you see a negative Divergence + a strong bearish candle closing below the lower channel boundary, postpone the Buy.
• Macro news (PCE, NFP, Fed speech) can create a strong gap, it is best to use Stop Trading around those events.
• If it breaks below 3,630 with high Volume, the Bullish Scenario is null, need to switch to capital preservation.
Basic scenario: still prioritize long because of the bullish structure and MA support. However, smart Trades buy with a plan, have disciplined Stop, and don't forget: gold likes macro Drama, so keep a flexible mentality.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3813 - 3811⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3817
→Take Profit 1 3805
↨
→Take Profit 2 3799
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3753 - 3755⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3749
→Take Profit 1 3761
↨
→Take Profit 2 3767
ETH Repeats the Pattern – $4800 Next Target?In my previous ETH analysis, I pointed out that while the price broke below the $4100 technical support and the $4000 psychological level, this move could represent a false break. But for this scenario to be valid, the market needed confirmation.
Since then, ETH has stabilized above $4000 and is now hovering around the $4100 level again.
📌 Looking back at the April rally (from $1400 upwards), we can already identify two similar cases of temporary breakdowns followed by strong recoveries.
• Each time, the market shook out weak hands before resuming the bullish leg.
• This repetition builds the case for another potential rebound, even if no outcome is ever guaranteed.
⚡ Trading Outlook:
• Bullish scenario: I expect ETH to rebound towards the $4400 zone, with the possibility of a retest of the $4800 resistance.
• Invalidation: A daily close back under $4000 would cancel this bullish setup and reopen the downside risk.
• Confirmation: A strong daily close near the highs of the day will add conviction to the bullish continuation.
👉 For now, the structure remains intact, and the bias stays bullish. The key levels to watch are $4000–4100 supports and $4400–4800 for resistance. 🚀
GBPUSD: Refill FVG Before a Major Move?Hello everyone, let’s take a quick look at GBPUSD!
After a sharp decline, the price is currently rebounding to refill Fair Value Gaps (FVG) above while approaching the red Ichimoku Cloud – an area that often acts as supply pressure. Structurally, the short-term trend remains bearish with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, and this rebound looks more like a pullback. On the upside, the 1.3480–1.3510 zone overlaps with clustered FVGs and the lower edge of the Kumo, making it a strong resistance area. Meanwhile, support levels can be seen at 1.3380–1.3360 (FVG/Demand) and deeper at 1.3330–1.3300, where the market may retest.
On the news front, this week’s focus will be on US labour data such as ADP, Jobless Claims, and Non-Farm Payrolls, along with PMI/ISM and Fed speeches – all of which could drive sharp moves in the Dollar Index, directly affecting GBPUSD. On the UK side, important releases include CPI, GDP, PMI, and BoE speeches. Positive UK data or a hawkish BoE could extend the GBPUSD rebound into the resistance FVG zones.
In the base case scenario, I favour price testing support before rebounding to retest resistance, though a clear rejection at higher levels could see the downtrend resume.
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,831.23.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,854.44 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.642.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 146.320 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.343.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.320 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 199.725.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 200.402.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 149.732.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 148.888 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 109,230.63.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 112,035.52 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD 4H Channel Down targets 1.1600.The EURUSD pair is trading within a Channel Down on the 4H time-frame. As long as the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) acts as Resistance, we expect the pattern to initiate its 3rd Bearish Leg, as at the same time, we have hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the previous Bearish Leg topped (Lower High).
If it repeats the recent Lower Low decline, we should see a 1.382 Fibonacci extension test. That more than covers our 1.16000 Target, which is where we believe contact can be made with the long-term Support of the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
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XAUUSD targeting 3860 with the 1H MA50 supporting.Gold (XAUUSD) has entered a new Channel Up pattern by turning its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support.
The last time it formed such a pattern after a -2.00% decline was during September 19 - 23. Both fractals are identical in structure both in 1H MA50 and Channel terms.
The previous Channel Up eventually peaked a little above the 2.0 Fibonacci, which more than covers our 3860 Target. The pattern gets technically invalidated if the 1H MA50 breaks.
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BITCOIN Is there time left for one final run??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern through the entirety of its Bull Cycle. The key characteristic of this pattern, which has also helped us at taking profits during each phase in timely manner, has been that every High since the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line broke, has been on a +0.5 Fibonacci extension interval.
As you can see, starting from Fib 1.5 ext, BTC has fulfilled the pattern by making Highs on the 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 Fibs so far. What technically remains plausible until the end of the year is the 5.5 Fib ext, which sits at $180k.
With the 4-year Cycle theory suggesting a Cycle Top a little before the end of the year, is it realistic to expect this Target? Do you think there's time for BTC to make one final run like this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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NASDAQ | Diagonal resistance | GTradingmethodGood morning Traders,
I hope everyone has had a winning week so far :)
The US100 is sitting at a pivotal point. Price is currently at all-time highs but also testing two key diagonal resistance levels — one medium-term and one short-term. These resistance lines are intersecting right now, which adds extra weight to this resistance zone.
The big question:
👉 Will the US100 break through resistance and push higher into uncharted territory, or are we about to see a short-term correction from here?
📊 Trade Plan:
Not entering a trade just yet — waiting for confirmation of either a breakout with retest or rejection and reversal.
Very keen to hear what everyone thinks, let me know please :)
Peace
G
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: The $3,800 Battle Royale BeginsThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD maintains its relentless upward trajectory, with persistent buying interest emerging on every meaningful decline. The precious metal has transformed into a premium "buy the dip" opportunity, reflecting underlying strength that continues to attract investors.
The technical picture reveals that gold is trading the support zone around $3,760, having successfully broken out of its previous range. The upward channel structure remains intact, supported by a robust trendline that has guided the rally from the $3,400 level. The re-accumulation phase visible in the charts suggests institutional positioning ahead of the next leg higher.
However, the market may be approaching a temporary consolidation phase. The 1H chart indicates potential for a 2-10% pullback toward the $3,720 - $3,710 support zone like it did before, and this area would align with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This healthy correction could provide an excellent optimal entry opportunity for late buyers.
The psychological $3,800 level may serve as a consolidation floor, creating the foundation for gold's next assault on higher targets. With the upward momentum firmly established and technical indicators showing bullish structure, any weakness should be viewed as a strategic accumulation opportunity rather than a trend reversal. The long-term trajectory remains decidedly bullish until the price action will show otherwise.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
114-114K is a Key Level for BTC directionMorning folks,
So, BTC indeed dropped as we suggested. It was not a surprise with so tight liquidity situation in the US... Now, BTC keeps door open to both scenarios with some adv. on bearish side. But this adv. is not total.
Since our H&S pattern in a process of failure, it is logical to suggest [b ]potential Butterfly on daily chart
At the same, on 1H chart we can see that BTC is forming reverse H&S pattern. By itself, it is not a problem for daily butterfly, this H&S might become a part of it. But, it could become the part of weekly opposite butterfly either.
So, everything depends on 114-114.5K area which is a neckline. Upside breakout increases bullish chances. What we're going to do?
Obviously - try to take a long position with H&S. No matter, will it get minor target or become a reversal pattern - anyway it has to be considered. And we also will be keep an eye on its failure. This is also important and gives us a confidence with downside continuation.
Probably to the next update on Thu, we should get the clarity over this pattern. Right now we prefer to sit on the hands.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Support Hold Bottom Bounce PlayBINANCE:BTCUSDT is stabilizing after setting a higher low near 110k, signaling demand at the support trendline. Price action shows a corrective phase following the prior range breakout, with structure now coiling just above 110,760 support level. A recovery above this zone could trigger momentum toward the 114,500 resistance area and higher levels. Broader context suggests consolidation within the upward structure, leaving room for a rebound attempt if buyers defend key levels.
⚠️ Risks:
Breakdown below 109,000 would reopen downside toward 107,000 support.
Strong dollar strength or macro headwinds could cap crypto momentum.
Failure to retake 112.5k may keep CRYPTOCAP:BTC stuck in a corrective range.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to support area of 3800.Dear colleagues, the last forecast is canceled, but I recommended that trades should be set trades to breakeven because there is a high probability of wave “3” extension.
It looks like the upward impulse is still not over and I expect the final formation of wave “5” to the 3800 area. Yes - this target is quite close, but now it makes no sense to make a long forecast with a correction in wave “2” of higher order (red).
As soon as I get confirmation that the correction in wave “2” has started - I will make a forecast with more points.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!