USDJPY Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 152.055.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 153.795 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Signals
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
(Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown)
Gold (COMEX)
Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030)
Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691)
→ The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally.
Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility.
🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning)
58% long / 42% short
📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price.
🔹 Seasonality
Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes.
🔹 Price Action
After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution.
Current structure shows:
Key resistance: 4,250–4,300
Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900
RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave.
🎯 Main Scenario:
Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone.
From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength.
⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
Gold Congestion: Clear Levels, Unclear DirectionAfter forming a local low at 3887 last week — a level perfectly aligned with the October ATH area — OANDA:XAUUSD started to recover from the recent 5k pips decline, retesting the 4050 resistance zone, which previously acted as strong support.
Since mid-last week, price action has entered a consolidation phase. Despite high intraday volatility, the structure is beginning to compress into a clear congestion pattern.
This range, roughly 1k pips wide, provides traders with well-defined reference points:
- Support: 3950–3960 zone – a break below this area would likely reopen the path toward the recent 3887 low.
- Resistance: 4040–4050 zone – a confirmed breakout above could trigger a continuation toward 4150.
At this stage, I am slightly bullish, given the sharp rejections from 3920 last week and the emerging ascending triangle structure, which often precedes upward continuation.
Still, confirmation is required — the market must decide whether this congestion is accumulation or distribution.
Busy trading week coming up!!The trading week of November 3–7 is considered a pivotal period for international financial markets. A series of high-level economic data including manufacturing and services PMIs, ADP non-farm payrolls, trade balances, and interest rate decisions from major central banks will create a mixed picture of the global economic cycle. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials and geopolitical developments can reinforce or distort monetary policy expectations later in the year.
🔹 Monday – Global PMI:
PMI figures from China, Europe, the UK, and the US kick off the week, reflecting the overall health of global manufacturing. Weak data could boost expectations for monetary easing, while stronger results may reinforce inflation-control policies. Additionally, the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting could impact oil prices and inflation trends.
🔹 Tuesday – Monetary Policy & Trade:
Focus turns to the RBA (Australia) rate decision and Canada’s trade balance. The market expects the RBA to keep rates unchanged at 3.6%, but a “hawkish” tone could trigger volatility in AUD. Speeches from Fed and BoC officials will also provide further clues on the 2025 rate-cut cycle.
🔹 Wednesday – Services & Employment:
The US Services PMI and ADP employment report will take center stage. These data points often provide early hints for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Crude oil inventories from API and EIA will continue to influence oil prices and inflation expectations.
🔹 Thursday – European Data & BoE Decision:
The Bank of England may cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% amid recession concerns. Germany’s retail sales and industrial production figures will offer insights into the region’s economic health.
🔹 Friday – China & the Fed:
China’s trade balance and a series of speeches from five FOMC members will dominate attention. Any comments related to inflation or December rate decisions could cause sharp moves in USD and gold.
Three Key Risks to Watch:
1️⃣ Data Divergence: PMI or ADP figures may diverge significantly from official data, sparking volatility in market expectations.
2️⃣ Policy Surprises: Unexpected moves or tone shifts from the RBA or BoE could trigger market shocks.
3️⃣ Geopolitics & Liquidity: Escalating tensions in Russia–Ukraine or the Middle East, along with oil price swings, could drive safe-haven flows into gold and USD.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is hovering around the $4,000/oz mark, after recovering slightly from the 0.382 Fibonacci support zone at $3,972/oz. The recent decline remains within a short-term correction channel, but selling pressure has slowed as the RSI exited the oversold zone and showed signs of forming a technical bottom.
The EMA21 (around $4,055/oz) is currently acting as an important resistance. If the price breaks above this level decisively, the short-term correction structure could be completed, opening a new uptrend towards the $4,128–$4,200/oz area (Fibo 0.236 and the most recent old peak). Conversely, if gold fails to surpass the EMA21, the correction could continue towards $3,846 or $3,720/oz – the next two support zones corresponding to the Fibo 0.5 and 0.618 levels, respectively.
Note: RSI momentum is still weak, so further confirmation with trading volume and reversal candlestick signals is needed before opening a long position.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4091 - 4089⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4095
→Take Profit 1 4083
↨
→Take Profit 2 4077
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3954 - 3956⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3950
→Take Profit 1 3962
↨
→Take Profit 2 3968
BTCUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 11,098.01 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Prediction For This WeekHello Everyone,
Welcome to FXMYWORLD.
Let's see how this pair will perform based on the analysis.
I'm waiting for a pullback and then a drop.
Based on my analysis and my view, I'm sharing my view.
Make sure you do your research, and based on your confluence, please look for the entry.
Don't rush your trades without any confirmation.
Thanks in advance for checking my trade idea.
USD-CHF Supply Level Above! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF Price is approaching a horizontal supply area but hasn’t confirmed a retest yet. Smart money may seek liquidity sweep above before reacting lower toward the target zone. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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USOIL: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 6,082.8 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR-AUD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EURAUD Price has tapped into a clean horizontal demand area after an extended bearish leg. Smart money shows absorption of sell-side liquidity, hinting at a potential short-term bullish move toward the target.
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Stop Loss: 1.7580
Take Profit: 1.7660
Entry Level: 1.7624
Time Frame: 4H
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Buy!
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GBPCAD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅GBPCAD :a clear double-bottom formation confirms the exhaustion of sellers after the extended downtrend. Buyers are reclaiming structure, hinting at a potential bullish reversal toward the target zone.
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Entry: 1.8413
Stop Loss: 1.8359
Take Profit: 1.8496
Time Frame: 1H
—————————
LONG🚀
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AUD-NZD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDNZD Price is reacting from a clean horizontal supply zone where previous liquidity was taken. Smart money is now showing rejection signs — expecting a short move toward the downside target zone.
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Stop Loss: 1.1447
Take Profit: 1.1416
Entry: 1.1431
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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NZDUSD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅NZDUSD bounced strongly from the defined demand level, confirming bullish order flow. The pair may continue climbing toward the target zone as liquidity above recent highs gets cleared.
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Entry: 0.5725
Stop Loss: 0.5709
Take Profit: 0.5744
Time Frame: 2H
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LONG🚀
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Bitcoin: Technical Bounce or Liquidity Siphon?Hello everyone,
Bitcoin is currently trading around 109,600 USD after a technical rebound from the 107,800 USD bottom. On the 4-hour chart, price filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 108,000 – 110,000 USD and then quickly retreated — a classic sign of a medium-term correction rather than a sustained reversal.
This recent upswing mainly served as a “gap fill,” not a true reversal. The 111,500 – 113,000 USD zone remains a strong resistance, while macro headwinds persist: DXY holds near 106 points, and US Treasury yields are elevated, reviving risk-off sentiment. Investors await the upcoming NFP and PMI releases, which could influence Fed rate expectations.
On-chain data show increased BTC inflows to exchanges from large wallets, hinting at potential short-term profit taking. Technically, the FVG 108,000 – 109,000 USD acts as key support. If price holds here, Bitcoin might retest 111,000 – 113,000 USD. If it breaks below 108,000 USD, the next targets may lie between 105,000 – 104,000 USD. A 4H close above 111,800 USD would confirm a recovery bias, shifting targets to 115,000 – 118,000 USD.
Volume remains subdued, reflecting buyer caution. I lean toward a short-term rebound scenario, but will wait for reversal candles with rising volume around 108,000 – 109,000 USD before entering long. My target: 112,800 – 114,500 USD, with a stop-loss below 107,500 USD.
EUR/USD Faces Renewed Downside Pressure as Sellers DominateHello everyone, the EUR/USD pair is showing clear signs of weakness as sellers continue to dominate, pushing the price back to around 1.1550 after a brief rebound. On the H4 timeframe, the market structure remains in a medium-term downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming consistent selling pressure. After failing to hold above the 1.1620 zone, EUR/USD quickly retreated and is now hovering near the key support area at 1.1550, where buyers are attempting to defend against a potential breakdown.
The FVG resistance zone between 1.1590–1.1620 is acting as the primary obstacle for any recovery, coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud — forming a strong technical barrier. Each time the price tests this region, sellers step in aggressively, reinforcing that bears remain firmly in control.
On the macro side, the euro continues to suffer from lacklustre data — slower GDP growth, weakening inflation, and rising unemployment. This economic backdrop makes it likely that the European Central Bank (ECB) will keep rates unchanged to avoid deepening a potential recession. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious stance after its modest rate cut, amid lingering inflation concerns. The resulting policy divergence continues to favour the greenback, limiting EUR/USD’s ability to recover.
From both a technical and fundamental perspective, the pair is likely to consolidate between 1.1550–1.1620 before potentially breaking down to 1.1500 to sweep liquidity and test market reaction. If sellers sustain pressure near the FVG resistance, the bearish trend should persist. Conversely, only a firm close above 1.1625 would confirm a short-term recovery attempt.
At present, the preferred scenario remains a drop toward 1.1500, followed by a possible technical rebound if upcoming US data disappoints or if the ECB turns unexpectedly dovish.
And you — do you think EUR/USD can defend this support, or will it slide deeper under the weight of the strengthening dollar?
XAUUSD Breaks Out and Continues Its Bullish RallyOANDA:XAUUSD The market is still in a strong downtrend, yet the bearish momentum is gradually losing strength as a double bottom pattern begins to form, a classic signal that sellers are running out of steam.
After the second bottom took shape, buyers stepped in with growing confidence, and the price is now testing the neckline, confirming a structural shift toward a potential bullish reversal.
At this point, all eyes are fixed on the neckline. If a breakout above this level occurs, it will confirm the pattern and open the path for buyers to push the price higher toward 4,135.
When the Market Begins to Whisper RecoveryHello everyone,
Solana (SOL) is showing encouraging signs of recovery after a notable correction. Currently trading around $185.9, SOL has bounced from the 190–200 USD region, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above. This suggests the market is rebalancing after a sell-off, with buying pressure quietly returning. The FVG near 187–190 USD now acts as short-term resistance, while the 182–184 USD area — where a smaller FVG has formed — serves as key support. If price holds above 184 USD, SOL is likely to retest 190 USD, and a sustained push could open the way toward 197–200 USD — a strong resistance zone previously dominated by sellers. Conversely, a close below 182 USD could send SOL back toward 176–178 USD, a level that previously attracted strong buying volume.
On the macro side, market sentiment is gradually improving. Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed decided to keep rates unchanged — a move that keeps the US dollar moderately strong but not restrictive for risk assets. Meanwhile, capital is flowing back into the crypto space, particularly altcoins, amid speculation that the SEC may extend ETF approvals to Layer-1 tokens like Solana — a development reportedly under review by both CoinDesk and Bloomberg. This narrative has provided psychological support for short-term bullish sentiment.
Technically, the base scenario favours a rebound as long as SOL sustains above 184 USD, targeting 190–197 USD, and potentially extending toward 205–210 USD if buying momentum persists.
The current structure shows higher lows forming — an early sign that buyers are gradually regaining control. Still, this remains a sensitive phase, and long positions should be tightly managed with stop-losses below 181 USD to avoid sudden shakeouts. A decisive H4 close above 190 USD would mark the beginning of a clearer bullish reversal in the short term.
Liquidity is returning, structure is shifting — and the market seems to be whispering a new story. Could this be the start of Solana’s next rally?
NZD-USD Long From Demand Area! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDUSD tapped into a horizontal demand area with strong rejection wicks. Expecting a short-term bullish reaction toward the next liquidity pocket at the target level.Time Frame 2H.
Buy!
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NVIDIA hit $5 Trillion but the end of the rally may be near.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke this week the $5 Trillion market cap barrier, becoming the first company to do so. In the meantime, it is extending the rally that started on the April 07 Low on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), following the end of the Tariff War.
This rally has been nothing more than a part of the larger technical Bullish Leg inside the 10-year Channel Up that NVIDIA has been trading in. Within this pattern, the price has had rather asymmetric Bullish Legs in terms of rise % but has always been rejected at the top of the Channel Up and corrected back to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Following the mid-Bullish Leg corrections to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the final rallies of the Bullish Legs before their Tops have been around +200%. Then their corrections/ Bearish Legs have always hit the 1W MA200 (as mentioned), with one time bottoming just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the other below it (0.5 Fib).
We previously had NVIDIA's top at around $240, which is slightly below this expected +200% rise from the 1W MA100 bottom. As a result, we project that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 for the 2026 Bearish Leg can be achieved around $100, which is above the 0.382 Fib, similar to 2018.
Note that a very reliable Top indicator has also been the 1M RSI and its 9-year Lower Highs Zone. Every time the RSI entered the Zone and then broke below its MA (yellow trend-line) and rebounded, the next hit was the Bullish Leg's Top. Right now the 1M RSI is about to enter this Zone for the second time, indicating that we may be approaching the end of this long-term rally.
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RUSSELL 25-year Channel Up giving a Sell Signal soon.Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a 25-year Channel Up since the March 2000 High, which was the Top of the A.I. Bubble. Since then it only broke once during the 2008 Housing Crisis. Once recovered, it has used all standard macro levels of Support as short, medium and long-term buy entries respectively, with those being the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
The April 2025 rebound, which is the market's most recent rally, took place right on the 1M MA100. The index is however approaching the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up, which since the 2000 High, has provided almost all rejection points, being the strongest Sell Signal (exception 2021, which was the mega-pump recovery following the March 2020 COVID flash crash).
As you can see, the market has historically started a correction on the 2nd test/ rejection on the 0.236 Fib. Out of those 3 corrections, two of them took place after the index broke above the 0.236 Fib and one just below it. All however have pulled-back to at least the 0.382 (blue) Fib. The key here however is to determine the exact High so that you can draw the 0.382 Fib retracement.
The only condition that most likely won't be fulfilled (as it happened on all previous cases), is that the 1M RSI most likely won't break above the 70.00 overbought level before the correction happens. So there's question mark there.
As for our Target, we expect at least 2230 (Fib 0.382) to get hit around mid 2026.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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US30: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 47,424.07 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 47,606.64 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️






















