EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.16583 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 116654.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
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Signals
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.161.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.164 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold Market Update: Correction Mode 3750/3500 USD possible🟡 Where We Are Right now
After ripping to fresh records, gold snapped hard — WSJ logged the steepest one-day loss in years last week and a follow-through weekly drop as longs unwound.
Analysts across Kitco and others frame this as a technical/positioning correction after a parabolic run, with a fight around the $4k handle and scope to probe $3,750 → $3,500 if selling persists.
Sentiment/flows flipped: GLD and other gold ETFs saw notable outflows into the selloff after heavy YTD inflows. That flow reversal is consistent with a near-term correction phase.
🔻 Why the Market Is Correcting Now
1️⃣ Positioning & Froth Unwinds
The rally attracted outsized speculative length; once momentum cracked, forced de-risking kicked in. WSJ called out “long unwind” dynamics; Kitco says the correction could persist for months as near-term drivers fade.
2️⃣ $4k Failed on First Retest; Technical Break Triggered Stops
Kitco flagged a “fight for $4k” with downside risk if that shelf gives. Once sub-4k prints hit, systematic sellers likely accelerated.
3️⃣ Flow Flip in ETFs
After massive 2025 inflows, GLD posted a sharp daily outflow during the drop — classic late-cycle reversal behavior for a momentum move.
4️⃣ Macro Balance Less Supportive at the Margin
Even with long-term tailwinds (deficits/geopolitics), the recent leg higher ran ahead of fundamentals. Kitco and others note easing physical tightness and cooling central-bank buying pace compared with earlier in the year, removing a key prop for spot.
⚙️ Near-Term Levels That Matter (Tactical)
$4,000 → Battle zone. Regaining and holding above turns near-term tone neutral.
$3,750 → First meaningful downside target; aligns with multiple analysts’ “healthy pullback” zone.
$3,500 → Deeper correction magnet if flows/positioning continue to bleed; widely discussed as a plausible washout level.
🔮 4–8 Week Catalyst Map (What Can Push Price)
🏛️ Macro / Policy
Treasury Quarterly Refunding (Nov 5): Mix/size guidance can sway the long-end, USD, and real yields — key for gold. A heavier bill tilt (and steady coupons) is less threatening than a surprise coupon ramp.
Fed Communication Cadence: With the Oct 28–29 FOMC just occurred, watch minutes (Nov 19) + any guidance shifts. A less-dovish tone or firmer real yields = near-term headwind; growth scares or easing bias = support.
US Data Prints: CPI/PCE, NFP, ISM — anything that re-prices the path of real rates. (Direction of real yields remains the single most important macro input.)
💰 Flows & Positioning
ETF Flows (GLD/IAU): Continued outflows would confirm distribution; a turn back to net inflows often leads price inflections.
COT Positioning: If spec length compresses materially, downside fuel diminishes — setting up a cleaner base. (Track weekly CFTC updates.)
🪙 Physical / Seasonal
India Demand (festive/wedding season) and China retail demand can stabilize spot if discounts narrow and premiums re-emerge, but Kitco notes near-term tightness has eased versus the squeeze earlier in the rally.
📈 Base Case Outlook (Next 4–8 Weeks)
Trend: We’re in a bull-market correction — momentum currently with sellers — inside a bigger, intact secular uptrend. WSJ + Kitco both frame it as a technical consolidation after a near-vertical ascent.
Range Expectation: $3,500–$4,100 with whipsaws around $4k. The market likely tests $3,750 and could overshoot to $3,500 on negative macro surprises or persistent outflows before attempting a higher-low base.
Bull Re-acceleration Triggers:
(a) USD/real-yield rollover post-Refunding/Fed minutes
(b) A visible reversal in ETF flows
(c) Stabilization in Asia physical premiums
(d) Fresh geopolitical shocks
Bear Extension Risks:
(a) Firmer real yields / stronger USD
(b) Deeper ETF outflows and CTA/systematic supply
(c) Evidence of slower central-bank demand than H1
(d) Soft physical uptake into dips
⚔️ Trade / Hedge Tactics
If Underweight/Flat:
Stagger bids $3,760 → $3,520, scale size smaller into weakness; insist on confirmation (stops above prior day’s high) before adding.
If Long From Higher:
Respect $3,750 — below it, tighten or partially hedge (short miners, long USD vs. FX beta, or buy short-dated puts) targeting $3,500 as a potential flush.
If Momentum Trader:
Let $4,000 decide regime. Sustained reclaims with rising on-balance volume/ETF creations = green light for a bounce to $4,080–$4,150; failure = fade rallies into $3,950–$3,980.
🧭 What I’m Watching Day-to-Day
1️⃣ Treasury refunding headlines (Nov 5) and term-premium reaction.
2️⃣ Fed minutes (Nov 19) and any shift in balance-of-risks language.
3️⃣ GLD/IAU flow tape (creations/redemptions).
4️⃣ Kitco/WSJ desk color on physical tightness and dealer inventories.
Gold next week Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,380 → ~$4,112 — lower close within range; momentum cooled but holding the $4,000 handle.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; oversold into $4.1k—setup favors reflex bounce.
🛡 Supports: $4,120–$4,080 → $4,020–$3,988 (bullish liquidity) → $4,000/3,980 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,200 / $4,250 (bearish liquidity) / $4,300 → stretch $4,350–$4,380.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip $4,020–$3,988; momentum regain above $4,200 targets $4,250 → $4,300–$4,350. Invalidation < $3,980 risks a deeper flush to $3,950.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Policy: Easing real yields supportive on dips.
• FX: Softer USD tone = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: Central-bank buying + tactical ETF interest underpin $4k.
• Geopolitics: Trade/tariff & regional tensions keep safety bids alive.
🎯 Street view: Select houses still float $5,000/oz by 2026 on policy easing & reserve-diversification narratives.
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🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,200–$4,230 immediate supply from the weekly close
• $4,250 bearish liquidity / primary target
• $4,300–$4,350 extension band
• $4,380 prior spike high / stretch
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,120–$4,080 first retest band below close
• $4,020–$3,988 buy zone (bullish liquidity)
• $4,000 / $3,980 must-hold shelf
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⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect pullbacks into $4,120–$4,080 and $4,020–$3,988 to attract buyers, rotating price back toward $4,200 then $4,250. Acceptance above $4,250 invites a drive into $4,300–$4,350.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,250 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Real-yield drift lower (supportive carry backdrop)
• USD softness aiding metals
• Ongoing CB accumulation; ETF flows stabilizing on dips
• Headline risk (trade/geopolitics) sustaining safe-haven demand
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,020–$4,100 (buyers defend pullbacks)
• Bearish below: $3,980 (risk expands; threatens $3,950)
🧭 Strategy
Buy low from bullish liquidity (~$3,988) with a target at $4,250; oversold conditions favor a strong bounce. Add on strength above $4,200 toward $4,300–$4,350. Keep risk tight below $3,980–$4,000 to invalidate.
EURUSD Huge Bearish Divergence and Cross targets 1.12000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up since the September 28 2022 market bottom. On September 17 2025 it hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since the July 18 2023 High.
The current Bullish Leg has almost been the same as the previous one (around +18%) and is about to form a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA100 (green trend-line) Bearish Cross. That will be the first such pattern since September 25 2023. Along with the already established 1D RSI Bearish Divergence, it is more likely to see the pattern start the new Bearish Leg now (max extension +18.28% at 1.20450).
The first Target of the previous Higher High rejection was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is again slightly above it at 1.12000.
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Lingrid | EURAUD Round Number Support Long SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURAUD is rebounding from the confluence of support and trendline, signaling renewed buying pressure within the mid-range of the upward channel. Price action is forming a higher low near 1.77, confirming a potential continuation phase. A breakout above 1.7930 could open the way toward the resistance zone at 1.8150.Bulls are defending the ascending structure, hinting at a possible push toward fresh highs.
⚠️ Risks:
Unexpected weakness in Eurozone inflation data could pressure the euro.
Strong CPI may strengthen the Australian dollar.
Break below 1.77 would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus to 1.7570.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | DOGEUSDT Swap Zone Resistance Shorting OpportunityBINANCE:DOGEUSDT rebounded off the support band and is now pressing into the 0.2100 swap-resistance inside a broader downtrend. Price action is carving a rising pullback channel toward the descending trendline and the upper boundary of the downward channel. If 0.2100–0.2120 caps price and the trendline holds, a fade toward 0.1750 (buying area/channel base) is likely Bearish momentum persists with lower highs intact; the down-channel bias remains until a decisive daily close above 0.2100 flips the outlook.
⚠️ Risks:
Breakout and hold above 0.2100–0.2120 could trigger a squeeze toward 0.225–0.230.
Broad crypto risk-on (e.g., strong CRYPTOCAP:BTC leg) can invalidate a fade setup.
Thin-liquidity spikes around month-end/rebalancing may cause overshoots of levels.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTCUSDT: Could Continue to Rise Higher Within the ChannelBINANCE:BTCUSDT is a prime example of a market moving within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries.
Recently, the price broke through a clear resistance zone and retested it. This zone aligns with Bitcoin’s recent volatility range, making it a critical level to watch closely. If this level holds as support, it will confirm the bullish market structure, and there's a high probability the price will continue to rise towards $118,682, the upper limit of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the bullish trend will remain intact. However, if the price fails to hold this level, short-term bullish prospects may be challenged, and we could see a decline back towards the channel’s lower limit.
Remember to always apply proper risk management. Wishing you a great trading experience and plenty of profits!
XAUUSD Crashes 1500 Pips — Key Supports Gone!Gold started the week poorly, dropping around 1500 pips and, more importantly, breaking three key support levels:
• the rising trendline that started back in August,
• the 4020 horizontal support zone,
• and even the psychological 4000 level.
Overnight, the price attempted to reclaim 4000, but failed — currently trading around 3965.
The next immediate support sits at 3945, and even if we see a rebound from here, bulls will need to hold the price firmly above 4000 to have any chance of a reversal.
If this level also fails, the next obvious medium-term target is the 3720–3750 zone.
I m bearish for now, but there isn’t a clean or logical entry point at the current levels — I will wait until a clearer setup forms.
Ethereum at a Crossroads: Accumulation vs. Profit-Taking DynamicHello everyone,
ETH is currently in an intriguing trading phase as technical factors and market capital flows are creating a clear conflict. Recent on-chain data shows that large wallets (whales) holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH are accumulating again – a sign that “smart money” is positioning ahead of a medium-term uptrend. However, in contrast, traditional institutional investors are reducing exposure or taking short-term profits, leaving the market without consensus and susceptible to strong liquidity sweeps in both directions.
On the macro front, the primary support for ETH comes from expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates by around 25 basis points at the next meeting. This would ease liquidity and drive capital back into risk assets like crypto. Simultaneously, ETH is no longer viewed merely as an altcoin – it is increasingly being positioned as a store of value and a core platform for tokenized assets, drawing serious attention from long-term investment funds.
On the 4H chart, ETH is trading around $4,214 after a strong rebound from the $3,900–$4,000 support zone. While the recovery is solid, price is approaching the technical resistance range of $4,220–$4,400, where unfilled liquidity gaps (FVGs) exist. This implies that profit-taking pressure is real, and rejection risks at this level are high without sufficiently strong news catalysts.
Personally, I lean towards the scenario where ETH may reach ~$4,270–$4,300 to test the upper resistance/liquidity zone, before potentially retracing to ~$4,000–$4,050 to retest buying strength. If support holds amid positive news (rate cuts, capital inflows), I believe ETH could pave the way for a more robust rally towards ~$4,500 or higher.
Which scenario do you favour – ETH preparing to “gather momentum” or merely a technical rebound before stronger selling pressure?
CRUDE OIL Potential Short! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
CRUDE OIL Price is reacting to a clear Horizontal Supply Area after liquidity sweep above the recent swing high. Smart money positioning suggests a short-term redistribution phase as sell-side liquidity below $61 becomes the draw.Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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BITCOIN CLEAR REJECTION|SHORT|
✅BTCUSD made a liquidity grab above the previous high, price sharply rejected from the 4H supply area, confirming a fakeout and shift in order flow. The market structure suggests redistribution, with inefficiency below acting as the draw on liquidity. Expect short-term delivery toward $114,000. Time Frame 4H.
SHORT🔥
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AMD Is it approaching a multi-year top and turning into a Sell ?Almost 8 months ago (March 07, see chart below) we made a bold call (for the time) on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), expecting it to bottom on its 1M MA100 (red trend-line) and then rebound, targeting $320:
Well the Bullish Leg of its 6-year Channel Up had been even more aggressive than we expected and is already approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line), much earlier than we expected.
This is technically the right time to book the amazing +240% profits from the April 07 bottom, as the 1W RSI just hit its 6-year Resistance, which has marked the Channel's two Tops.
Even though the Bullish Leg can technically extend as high as +287% on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (like the previous did), the focus of a long-term investor should now be to buy (much) lower, preferably as close to the 1M MA100 as possible.
The last two Higher Lows of the Channel Up have been priced just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our fair long-term Target is currently at $110.00.
So do you also think AMD is approaching the end of the (long-term) road and is gradually turning into a Sell?
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XAUUSD Best level to sell is this.Gold (XAUUSD) has turned bearish, at least on the short-term, as it broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in a month and is headed for its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
Having made a Double Top at the start of the downtrend, the pattern that seems to be emerging is a Channel Down, with the last such formation seen in April - May.
So far the 4H RSI sequences between the two patterns are identical, so we expect a rebound now, which can give us the most optimal level to short again near the top of the Channel Down.
A break above 0.786 invalidates this, but as long as it holds, our Target will be the -0.236 Fibonacci extension at 3920 just like on May 15, which also hit its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
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USOIL WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL/b] after engineering liquidity above the recent high, price reacted sharply from the 4H supply area, suggesting distribution by institutional players. With buy-side liquidity swept, the market now looks poised to rebalance inefficiency below the $61 handle. Time Frame 4H.
SHORT🔥
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DXY: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.412 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.328 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.16494 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 46.925 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 47.528.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBP-NZD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
GBPNZD broke the ascending trendline, confirming a structural shift to bearish order flow. Price has already mitigated the last bullish candle before the drop, creating an optimal entry zone for continuation lower. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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GOLD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 4,006.44 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 4,031.25.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️






















