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Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area. The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity. The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds. Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure. Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area. Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):  • The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).  • When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):  • If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area. The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area. In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Set to Test Downtrend Line!⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/21/2025 🔍 Market Context After adjusting from the 4,107 USD area, gold is moving sideways in the liquidity rebalancing zone – indicating a tug-of-war between the two sides. The consecutive CHoCH – BOS movements forming around the 4,006 USD bottom show that buying pressure is starting to reappear. The current decline seems to be just a correction phase, not yet showing enough signs of a complete reversal of the medium-term uptrend structure. 📊 Technical Structure Downtrend line: continues to act as dynamic resistance – a confirmation area for the recovery trend if broken. OB Bullish (4,006 USD): confluence with the previous liquidity bottom, is a potential BUY Zone. Break–Resistance (4,045 USD): the first level to surpass to confirm buying pressure. OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD): short-term supply zone – short-term SELL Zone, may witness profit-taking reactions if the price touches it. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price may retest the OB Bullish / BUY Zone (4,006–4,025 USD).  – When a clear upward reaction appears, gold is likely to break through the downtrend line, heading towards OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD). 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:  – If the price does not hold the 4,006 USD area, the short-term structure will be invalidated, opening the possibility of retreating to a lower equilibrium area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,006 – 4,025 USD → demand zone confluence OB + liquidity bottom. SELL Zone: 4,086 – 4,107 USD → potential supply zone if the recovery trend is activated. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a short-term accumulation state with signs of capital flow gradually leaning towards the buyers. The retest phase of the 4,006 USD support area will be the key confirmation for a reversal – retest – continuation phase. As long as the price stays above this area, the priority remains a buy-the-dip scenario in the short term. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is operating in a "break or hold" zone – clear confirmation is needed before following the trend. Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not trading advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/14/2025 🔍 Market Context After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure. The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend. The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward. Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle. Liquidity Targets:  • 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD. 2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back. As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase. Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD. Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/12/2025 🔍 Market Context Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area. Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction. The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation. 📊 Technical Structure Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone. Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests. Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle. Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity. 2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD. 3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase. 🧠 Analyst’s View Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure. When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited. As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a technical analysis, not investment advice. The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130–4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooldown following a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS). The current price is situated between a short-term resistance (Resistance Zone) and a technical support (Order Block) — clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price breaks through, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD. Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying flow when the price adjusts. OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — where buyers may defend the main trend. Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reaffirmed. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area. 2️⃣ When buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD. 3️⃣ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting the state to a deeper rebalancing. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a natural “cooldown” phase after a strong rally — the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move. As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish. Observing reactions at the OB will help determine whether the upward momentum continues to dominate during the US session. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is adjusting within a larger trend — avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Accumulates on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New🔍 Market Context Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal. Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure. The 3,959–3,964 USD zone is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend could extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance area of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely. • Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support area maintaining the bullish structure. • Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → low liquidity area, potential to attract price stop sweeps before reversing. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize when price holds above support • Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD • Stop Loss: 3,940 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,020  – TP3: 4,040  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline convergence support area when confirmation signals appear (rejection or bullish ChoCH). 2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks • Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after candle closes below support zone) • Stop Loss: 3,970 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,935  – TP2: 3,925  – TP3: 3,912 ✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,921 USD). 💬 Summary Gold is in a phase of accumulation before major volatility . If it holds above the 3,952 USD zone → prioritize BUY following the bullish structure . If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL following the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone. The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken. 💡 Today's Tagline: “Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/04/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD | m15 frame gold drops sharply by 50 points ? 🔍 Market Context Gold prices have just set a historical peak (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD region, following a steep upward trend over multiple sessions. Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of upward structure (BoS) – a sign indicating that bullish momentum is weakening . Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , which is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price area that needs to be filled. Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction. Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deep demand zone with large liquidity confluence, likely to become the main "accumulation point." Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish . 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD region without breaking through, → consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase. Target: the first OB Buy Zone 4,050 USD . Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak). ➡️ This scenario is suitable for short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation. 2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection . Upon confirmation, open a trend-following buy order . Target: the 4,125 → 4,145 USD region or the old peak of 4,180 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD. If the first OB zone doesn't hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD area will be an ideal zone for long-term "accumulation." ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled. Prioritize trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge). Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital. 💬 Conclusion After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase . The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend. If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD region. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Short-term sell when prices react at FVG. Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed upward signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
USD/CHF: Bears Defending the TrendlineUSD/CHF continues to respect the descending channel structure that has been in place since mid-August. After a short-term recovery, the price is now retesting the upper trendline resistance and the 0.8000–0.8020 supply zone, where sellers have previously stepped in. Technical Outlook Structure: Descending channel – clear series of lower highs. Resistance zone: 0.8000–0.8020 (channel top + previous rejection zone). Support zone: 0.7870–0.7840 (recent demand area). Moving averages: Both 50 and 100 MAs are flattening but still below the resistance, suggesting limited bullish momentum. Bias: Bearish below 0.8020 — expecting rejection and continuation to the downside. Fundamental Context Recent U.S. data has shown mixed inflation numbers, while Swiss CPI remains stable, reducing expectations for any SNB intervention. The stronger Swiss franc remains supported by safe-haven flows amid global uncertainty. Unless the U.S. delivers a clear upside surprise in macro data, the pair is likely to remain under pressure in Q4. Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice) Entry zone: 0.79700–0.79800 Stop-loss: 0.8020 Targets: TP1 → 0.7900 TP2 → 0.7845 🧭 A break below 0.7930 would confirm bearish continuation within the channel.
Short
by Simon_Weber
3
EUR/USD: Bulls Preparing for a Comeback?The pair is hovering just above the 1.1650 support zone, which has acted as a strong demand area multiple times since late June. Price is currently testing this level again, while both moving averages ( 50 & 100 MA ) are slightly above — signaling a potential oversold condition if we see rejection here. Technical Outlook Support: 1.1650 (key short-term level). Resistance: 1.1720 → 1.1800 (MA cluster + previous lower highs). Bias: Short-term bullish if 1.1650 holds. Setup: A bullish reaction at this zone could trigger a rebound toward the 1.1750–1.1800 range. Invalidation: A clean 4H close below 1.1640 would flip bias to bearish continuation. Fundamental View Recent U.S. data has shown signs of slowing inflation and consumer activity, which might reduce pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance. Meanwhile, the ECB’s neutral tone suggests less divergence between the two central banks — a short-term positive for the euro. If the next U.S. CPI release comes in softer than expected, EUR/USD could easily rally back toward 1.18+. 💡 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Watch for bullish confirmation near 1.1650–1.1660 with a tight stop below 1.1610. First target: 1.1750, Second target: 1.1820.
Long
by Simon_Weber
USDJPY — Bulls in Full Control: Is 152 Next?Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 4H 1. Technical Overview USDJPY continues its impressive upward momentum, breaking through several key resistance zones as the pair approaches the 151.00–152.00 psychological level — an area that historically triggered major reversals. We’re currently witnessing a strong bullish structure supported by the 50 and 100 MA, both trending upward and providing dynamic support. The breakout above 150.00 marked a clear shift in market sentiment, confirming the dominance of buyers. The next key resistance is located at 151.90–152.20, which was the peak of the last major rally before the Bank of Japan intervened earlier this year. A daily close above this level would open the door to 153.50–154.00, potentially signaling the start of a new medium-term uptrend. ___________________ 2. Price Action Analysis Support zone: 149.50–150.00 — previous resistance now acting as a pivot area. Resistance zone: 151.90–152.20 — last major high and potential barrier before new highs. Market structure: Clear sequence of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Momentum: Bullish volume expansion, confirming strong participation by institutional buyers. Price is currently consolidating below the resistance area, forming a potential bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart. A breakout from this mini-structure would confirm continuation to the upside. ___________________ 3. Fundamental Context From a macro perspective, the divergence between Fed and BoJ policies continues to drive this pair upward. The Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive stance as inflation data remains above target, keeping the USD supported. The Bank of Japan, meanwhile, sticks to ultra-loose policy and continues yield-curve control, suppressing JPY strength. Additionally, rising U.S. Treasury yields provide further tailwinds to USDJPY, while Japan’s inflation and wage growth data haven’t shown the strength needed to justify policy tightening. Unless we see verbal intervention from BoJ officials or a sudden USD correction, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. ___________________ 4. Trading Plan (For Reference Only) Long entry: 150.80 – 151.00 (on retest or small pullback) Target 1: 151.90 Target 2: 153.50 Stop loss: Below 150.00 Risk-reward ratio: 1:2.5 ___________________ 5. Summary USDJPY remains fundamentally and technically bullish. The market shows no immediate signs of exhaustion, and all eyes are now on whether bulls can sustain momentum above the 152.00 threshold — a breakout that could accelerate the rally further. As always, watch for BoJ rhetoric near these levels — it’s the only real wildcard that can disrupt the current trend. ___________________ Trade safe, plan your entries, and never fight the trend. — Simon Weber | ICEBERG FOREX SIGNALS
Long
by Simon_Weber
Gold FOMO Surge – 1000-Pip Buy Chance Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analyzing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A price surge storm is forming, promising exciting trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Uptrend Structure Technically, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 frame is indisputable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely overwhelming. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each surge, the price often takes a "rest" to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,905,169 zone, where the confluence between the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next surge. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Ignited If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel propelling the uptrend. 🔸 U.S. Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number 1 safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-interest-bearing asset. 🔸 "Thirst" for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to maintain its role as a safe haven. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 frame Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB zone to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favorable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows strongly into Gold The FOMO effect may stimulate an extended rally The combination of solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing you all an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Rare Sell Opportunity on Bitcoin , target 114KBitcoin is currently approaching the 124,000 – 124,500 zone, which represents its all-time high and the strongest resistance level the market has ever seen. From a technical perspective, this zone provides a golden and rare opportunity to enter a short trade, based on the following: Price reaching an unprecedented all-time high. Clear overbought signals on momentum indicators (RSI – MACD). High probability of a significant profit-taking move from these levels. 🎯 Trading Plan: Short entry: 124,000 – 124,500 Main target: 114,000 Stop-loss: Above 125,000 ⚠️ This is not financial advice, but rather a personal technical analysis based on current market conditions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto-Treasure
4
Bitcoin Harmonic Pattern , Target 105,000On the daily chart of Bitcoin, we can see the formation of a Gartley Pattern, one of the most well-known Harmonic Patterns. These patterns rely on Fibonacci Ratios and are typically used to anticipate a trend reversal after a strong move either upward or downward. Recently, Bitcoin has reached a very important resistance zone between $120,000 – $121,000. The completion of the Gartley pattern in this zone increases the likelihood of a bearish correction. Factors supporting a downside move: Harmonic Pattern – Gartley: Completion at resistance provides a reversal signal. PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): Located near $120K. Technical Indicators: RSI shows overbought conditions, suggesting buying pressure is weakening. MACD is close to a bearish crossover, another negative signal. Volume: Buying volume is declining at recent highs, which often signals a distribution phase by large players and institutions. 📉 Support Levels: The main target for the pattern is $105,500, a strong support level where price previously rebounded. 🎯 Trading Plan (Expected Scenario): Potential Entry Zone: Between $120,500 – $121,000 (near resistance). Targets (Take Profit): TP1 = $114,000 TP2 = $110,200 TP3 = $105,500 (main target). Stop Loss: Daily close above $121,800. ✅ Conclusion: Bitcoin is currently at a very critical level, with the Gartley pattern completing right at resistance, combined with weakening technical indicators and declining volume. This supports the idea that the market may enter a short-to-medium term bearish correction with gradual downside targets ending near $105,500. At the current zone, this is not considered a safe buying opportunity. Instead, it looks more like a selling opportunity or a case for waiting until price corrects to more favorable levels. 👍 Don’t forget to boost this trading idea if you found it helpful, and follow me for more daily crypto insights and trade signals. ⚠️ Please note: This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades. Always do your own research before taking action. Best of luck 🌹
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto-Treasure
(XAU/USD) – Gold to reach $4,000/oz: Where is the best buy point1. Price Structure & Main Trend On the H1 timeframe, gold still maintains a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the Break of Structure (BoS), price retraced to test the Buy Zone around 3,862 and bounced back up. Currently, price is trading above both EMA34 and EMA89, confirming that the uptrend remains dominant. 2. Key Zones Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Short-term support, aligned with the previous BoS. If price holds above this zone, the bullish scenario is strengthened. Order Block (OB) 1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support zone if the Buy Zone is broken. Order Block (OB) 2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, activated only in case of a strong correction. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): around 3,912. A potential short-term resistance where profit-taking may occur. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breaking above this area may lead gold to a new all-time high. 3. Trading Scenarios Bullish (Main Scenario): Look to buy at 3,862 – 3,865 if price retests. SL: Below 3,850 (under Buy Zone and EMA89). TP1: 3,912 (Sell Scalping Zone). TP2: 3,933 – 3,935 (new ATH). Bearish (Defensive Scenario): If price breaks below Buy Zone and closes under 3,860, it may test OB 3,806 – 3,810. In a worse case, if OB1 is also lost, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, pushing gold to OB 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Summary Gold on H1 maintains strong bullish momentum after breaking structure. The optimal plan is to prioritize buying at key support, manage risk tightly, and gradually take profit at resistance zones. If price surpasses 3,933, gold may enter a new all-time high phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – 01/10 | US Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits🔎 Context & News US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold. FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain. Key Events Today (ET / UTC) : • ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC • ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC → Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold. 📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session. 📈 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS. EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact. Resistance : 3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618). 3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test). Support : 3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest). 3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone). 3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias). 🎯 Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876 • SL: 3,869 • TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920 Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841 • SL: 3,826 • TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907 Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822 • SL: 3,808 • TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897 ⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR) Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907 • SL: 3,912 • TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841 Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921 • SL: 3,925 • TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876 📝 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations. Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921. ⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1. 📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent