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The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS ) Central Bank Buying Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026. ETF Inflows & Sentiment Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+. Macro & Geopolitical Events Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow. Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI. Silver Deficit Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops Futures & Options Flow CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes Fundamentals & Forecast Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DECRYPTERS
NATGAS Short From Supply Area! Sell! b]Hello,Traders! NATGAS is approaching a major horizontal supply area, where strong selling pressure may reappear. A rejection from this zone could trigger a short-term correction toward lower liquidity pools. Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TopTradingSignals
3
What is Equilibrium in SMC. Balance and Imbalance in Forex Gold Equilibrium is one of the core elements for understanding market liquidity. In this article, we will go through the essential basics of liquidity in Forex trading with Smart Money Concepts SMC. You will learn the interconnections between supply and demand and I will explain how to easily identify balance and imbalance on any market. Let's start our discussion with understanding how forex pairs move. The price of an asset goes up if the market demand is stronger than the market supply. The excess of buying activity make the markets update the highs. In smart money concepts, such an event will also be called a buying imbalance. Look at a strong bullish rally on Gold. The price is going up because of a buying imbalance. A strong buying activity creates a massive amount of buyers with unfilled orders. To entice sellers to start selling, they must offer a higher-better price. At the same time, if the price of an asset goes down , it means that the market supply is stronger than a demand. The excess of supply will make the markets update the lows. In smc, it will be called a selling imbalance. That is exactly what is happening with GBPUSD forex pair. A strong selling activity and the shortage of demand makes the price go down. The excess of supply or demand on the market can not be eternal. The lower the price becomes, the more buyers will start buying, and the more sellers will start closing their positions. At some moment, the surplus of supply will be absorbed by the buyers. That will be a moment when the market will find equilibrium , the balance between supply and demand. A strong bearish imbalance on USDJPY made the price drop significantly. The falling price made 3 things: It attracted more buyers, because the lower the price the more profitable is buying USDJPY. It discouraged some buyers from buying, considering that the price is already "too low". It encouraged some buyers to close their positions in profit. Because of that, USDJPY stopped falling and found a balance in supply and demand. That is what we call Equilibrium . In a bull run, the higher the price will go, the more sellers will start selling. At some moment, buying imbalance will be absorbed by the bears and supply & demand will eventually balance. Such an event will be called the equilibrium . EURGBP was rallying strongly. The higher the price went, the more sellers started to sell, considering selling the pair more and more profitable. And the same time, fewer buyers were buying and the more started to close their buy positions in profits. At some moment, the entire excess of the market demand was absorbed by a supply. The market stopped growing and equilibrium was found. One of the main characteristics of a market equilibrium is sideways price movement and a termination of a formation of new highs or new lows. Usually, such a sideways price action will form a horizontal range. That's a real example how a CAD JPY pair found an equilibrium after an extended bearish movement. A formation of a horizontal range confirmed a balance between a supply and a demand. Please, note that these ranges will form on any time frame that you analyse. The rule is that the higher is the time frame of the range, the stronger is the market equilibrium. Above, I have 3 different charts: USDJPY on a daily time frame, EURJPY on a 4H and GBPUSD on 15 minutes. All the pairs found an equilibrium in horizontal ranges. An equilibrium on USDJPY will signify intra week or even intra month balance, while on EURJPY it will mean intraday/intra week balance. On GBPUSD, it will signify intraday equilibrium. Market equilibrium can not last forever. Fundamentals news and changing market conditions, make the market participants constantly reassess a fair value of an asset. A violation of the range and a breakout of one of its boundaries will be a trigger of an occurrence of an imbalance . A bullish violation of the upper boundary of the range will signify a buying imbalance and a highly probable rise to the new highs. While a bearish violation of the lower boundary of the range will mean a selling imbalance and a highly probable fall to the new lows. Please, study how GBPCHF was moving for a week on an hourly time frame. The periods of balance were changed by the periods of bullish or bearish imbalances, that found a new equilibrium on higher/lower price levels. Understanding of basic principles of supply and demand in trading is essential for profitable trading smart money concepts. Learn to recognize the periods of imbalance and equilibrium. It will provide you the edge in understanding and trading any forex pair. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
AUD-CAD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUDCAD Price has tapped into a horizontal demand area where smart money buyers are likely positioned. A potential bullish reaction could follow as liquidity gets absorbed from the previous lows. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.9059 Take Profit: 0.9079 Entry: 0.9068 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 48.240 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 47.777.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
GBP-USD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! GBPUSD Price has tapped into a strong horizontal demand area after a corrective drop, showing potential for a bullish rebound. If this zone continues to hold, we may see buyers driving price toward the next short-term target. ------------------- Stop Loss: 1.3361$ Take Profit: 1.3391$ Entry: 1.3375$ Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
EUR-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell! Hello,Traders! EURUSD Price has broken below the horizontal supply area and is now forming a bearish continuation setup. A possible retracement toward the previous zone may attract more sellers, targeting deeper liquidity levels below 1.1580. Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 4,177.29 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 4,122.01.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1