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The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS ) Central Bank Buying Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026. ETF Inflows & Sentiment Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+. Macro & Geopolitical Events Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow. Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI. Silver Deficit Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops Futures & Options Flow CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes Fundamentals & Forecast Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DECRYPTERS
EURUSD Weekly analysis,4 Hours chartThe EURUSD is currently moving in a sideways, and it's somewhat difficult to predict its next move because there's a liquidity swing above the current price, an area that will strongly attract the price. But when will that happen? This could happen after more liquidity is collected at the equal lows at 1.15423, so I'll only monitor the price when it reaches that level. In this case, the entry signal will be either a change of character (choch) or SMT for the beginning of the rise to the liquidity swing.
Long
by Mr_Liquidity1
Gold battles within 3,860–3,900 Hello Goldies, ✨ Gold locks another bullish weekly close, extending its climb into high-altitude territory with barely a pause since mid-summer. The market now stands in a tactical battlefield — with buyers defending momentum while sellers quietly prepare to fade the top. Gold’s broader structure remains clean and bullish, printing higher highs and higher lows since early 2024. However, price now trades deep inside the weekly supply belt (3,860–3,900) — a zone where liquidity historically transitions from accumulation to distribution. Momentum stays firm, but upper-wick reactions and short-bodied closes hint at early exhaustion. The EMA stack (5–21–50) keeps control with the bulls, though the structure is primed for either a healthy pause or a short-term retracement before the next impulsive leg. Macro & News Context 🌍 This week brings a USD-heavy calendar: multiple FOMC speeches (Powell, Bowman, Barr, Kashkari), Unemployment Claims, and the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Soft U.S. data continues to weigh on the dollar, while gold benefits from falling yields and elevated geopolitical risk. However, a hot NFP print or hawkish tone from Powell could briefly lift the dollar and trigger a technical correction in gold. Expect event-driven volatility — fast rotations as markets recalibrate expectations around future Fed rate cuts. 🟡 Weekly Gold Outlook – Bulls at Altitude, Momentum Fading Bias: Bullish, but stretched Key Weekly Zones: 🟥 Supply: 3,860 – 3,900 → Major resistance pocket; potential distribution area ⚪ Mid-Control: 3,700 – 3,740 → Tactical pivot; must hold for continuation 🟦 Demand: 3,440 – 3,480 → Structural re-test zone from prior breakout 🔼 Above 3,900 → Expansion toward 3,940–4,020 🔽 Below 3,700 → Correction toward 3,480 🔵 Daily Structure — Bullish but Hyper-Extended Gold trades inside premium territory (3,875–3,905), where rejection tails and volume absorption reveal fading strength. The 3,820–3,850 base remains the near-term lifeline — a break below it could trigger a 300–500 pip washout into lower demand layers. Daily Zones: 🟥 Supply: 3,875–3,905 → Premium ceiling 🟦 Demand: 3,820–3,850 → Micro base | 3,720–3,750 → Immediate re-test 🔼 Above 3,905 → Extension toward 3,940–3,970 🔽 Below 3,750 → Correction phase confirmed 🟢 H4 Flow — Compression Before Expansion Structure remains bullish but congested under 3,900. Equal highs and tight-bodied candles signal compression — a volatility coil that will define this week’s direction. H4 Zones: 🟥 3,880–3,900 → Immediate supply 🟦 3,820–3,840 → Short-term demand 🟦 3,760–3,780 → Re-test zone 🔼 Break above 3,900 → Targets 3,920–3,940, then 3,960–3,980 🔽 Break below 3,820 → Opens rotation to 3,760–3,780 🔸 H1 Tactical View — Decision Box Active The 3,860–3,895 range forms this week’s tactical decision zone — a battleground between fading momentum and bullish control. Bulls still hold structure, but exhaustion is visible; another failed breakout could trigger a deeper correction. H1 Key Pivots: 🔼 3,885–3,895: Short-term cap → breakout unlocks 3,910–3,930 🔽 3,860–3,875: Near-term floor → break below opens pullback to 3,820–3,840 ⚙️ Above 3,905 → Expansion ⚙️ Below 3,820 → Correction ⚙️ Between 3,860–3,895 → Compression zone — patience required Summary Gold remains structurally bullish but stretched at altitude. The 3,860–3,895 pocket is the tactical decision belt — the level that will define whether the market expands into new highs or breathes out for a well-deserved correction. 🎯 Above 3,905 → Continuation 🩸 Below 3,820 → Correction ⚖️ Between → Compression until catalyst resolution (FOMC / NFP). Disclaimer: For educational context only.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
Bitcoin Daily Analysis – The Trend Is Our FriendGood morning, Guys, I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis for you. 🔹 First off, I stand firmly behind my long-term targets of **127,000 – 137,000 – 146,000**. I previously shared these levels with you in a weekly analysis. 🔍 Now let’s shift to the 1-day chart: What is Bitcoin telling us right now? 📉 If the **112,000 level breaks downward**, we could enter a correction phase toward **102,000** or even **99,500**. I expect strong buying interest to return from those zones. 📈 After that, we’re facing a key resistance structure between **123,000 – 120,000**. But I believe this zone will also be broken—because we’re in an **uptrend**, and… 💬 **The trend is our friend. Never forget that.**
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by TraderTilki
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