Gold Fundamentals | Smart Money Buy Zones (10/21/2025)BELOW IS DETAILED ANALYSIS ON GOLD (10/21/2025)
Central Bank Buying Surge 🏦
Central banks, especially from BRICS nations, added 77% more gold reserves in 2025, hitting record highs and pushing prices up amid de-dollarization fears.
🥇 Silver benefits indirectly as industrial demand grows 17% YoY from solar and EVs.
This trend could add $200-300/oz to gold by year-end.
ETF Inflows Hit $41B 📈💸
Gold ETFs saw $38B inflows in H1 2025, strongest since 2020, while silver ETFs added $3.6B (95M oz).
This reflects retail and institutional flight to safety, but overbought RSI warns of 5-10% pullback risk soon ⚠️.
Silver Deficit Deepens ⚙️🥈
Cumulative silver deficit reached 750M oz over 4 years (75% of annual supply), driven by booming industrial use in renewables.
Expect prices to test $55+ if deficits persist into 2026 💥.
Latest Tweets from Key Figures Impacting Gold/Silver 🐦
Influencers warn Trump’s tariffs could spike silver to $60 on supply chain chaos.
highlights Fed dovishness fueling $4,300 gold breakouts amid trade war fears.
Option Inflows💬📊
SLV open interest peaks at Oct 17/Nov 21 expiries, with put IV at 62.9% vs call 53.8% at $46 strike showing downside hedge bets amid tariff buzz.
Net bullish $36M call premium at $49-50 strikes signals $55 targets if squeeze hits 🚀.
Latest Geopolitical Events 🌎🔥
US-China tensions escalate with new export controls on rare earths and batteries, driving safe-haven buys
gold tops $4,300, silver $54.
Russia-Ukraine stalemate and Middle East flares add volatility,
but BRICS de-dollarization supports long-term uptrend 🏦.
Latest Fundamentals 📊💵
Gold up 58% YTD on inflation hedges and $38B ETF inflows;
silver surges 79% from 1B oz supply deficit and 17% industrial demand growth.
Fed rate cuts lower holding costs, targeting gold $4,400 and silver $57 by mid-2026 🎯.
Current Prices (as of Oct 21, 2025) ⏰💰
Gold spot: $4,362 USD/oz, up 0.10% today and 16.41% monthly.
Silver spot: $51.20 USD/oz, down 5.6% from $54.47 record but up 74% YTD.
Conclusion 💎
Gold and silver are in a strong bull run, fueled by trade wars, Fed easing, and supply shortages ideal for safe-haven plays.
SMC
GOLD Will Break ATH Again? Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD Price is maintaining a strong bullish structure, consolidating just beneath its all-time high. Liquidity build-up above the highs suggests potential for an impulsive breakout, extending toward new record levels as buyers remain in full control. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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AUDCAD SUPPLY LEVEL AHEAD|SHORT|
b]✅AUDCAD is approaching a previously defined supply zone where institutional orders are likely positioned. A reaction from this area could trigger short-term bearish flow toward the 0.9130 objective, completing a liquidity draw to the downside. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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EUR-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
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EURAUD After breaking below the horizontal supply area, price confirmed bearish intent with a strong displacement candle. The market is now likely to revisit the imbalance zone below, targeting the 1.7840 region.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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EURNZD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EURNZD pair has confirmed a clean breakout below the key level, signaling potential continuation toward the 2.0240 target area. Price has already taken out internal liquidity and is now likely to expand further as sellers remain in control. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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NZD-USD Free Signal! Sell!
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NZDUSD Price will soon be reacting from a horizontal supply area to collect liquidity. Smart money may look to drive price lower toward the internal sell-side liquidity resting near 0.5740. Expect continuation if the level holds.
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Stop Loss: 0.5758
Take Profit: 0.5741
Entry: 0.5751
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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Demand Zone in Focus: MSS Shift Signals Potential LongHello Traders,
Wishing everyone a productive week ahead! Today, price action is sitting at a clearly defined demand zone, and we’ve just seen a shift in market structure (MSS). Based on this, I’m looking to go long from the potential demand area.
However, keep in mind there’s still a strong external bearish trend. For added confirmation, consider waiting for a break of the last lower high (LH) before entering a long position.
Stay sharp and trade safe! 💪
GOLD STRONG REJECTION|LONG|
✅XAUUSD after rejecting the demand level, is showing early signs of bullish intent. The rejection wick signals absorption of sell-side liquidity and potential expansion toward the imbalance near the 4,310$ target zone. As long as price stays above 4,220$, buyers remain in control. Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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USD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
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USDJPY Price has tapped into a horizontal supply area after an impulsive corrective leg upward. Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, signaling potential bearish continuation as institutions fill orders within the premium zone. A reaction from this level could drive price lower toward 150.18.
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Stop Loss: 150.99¥
Take Profit: 150.18¥
Entry: 150.66¥
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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SILVER Strong Rejection! Buy!
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SILVER Price just reacted from a horizontal demand area after a deep liquidity sweep below the previous low. Buyers stepped in strongly, hinting at a possible continuation higher toward the target zone near $52.80 where unfilled orders remain. Expect bullish momentum to extend if the demand zone holds.
Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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DXY SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅DXY Price is retracing toward the supply level, where a reaction is likely once the imbalance gets filled. A rejection from this zone could confirm the retest before continuation lower toward the 98.30 target area. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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Gold (XAUUSD) – Buy-the-Dip Play Still in MotionHello Goldies ✨
The weekly outlook couldn’t be cleaner — it’s still a buy-the-dip market.
Structure remains bullish across higher timeframes, though a quick liquidity sweep might come before the next leg higher.
Fun fact: every time the 4H RSI hits 82, gold has dropped roughly $200 (or 2,000 pips) afterward. They don’t teach that in trading school, do they? 😏
Here’s how it’s shaping up for the coming week 👇
📊 Weekly Outlook
Bias: Bullish continuation within an extended uptrend
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain firmly intact since mid-2024
Observation: This week’s candle shows a clean, healthy pullback within trend — a natural correction after a strong impulsive leg.
Key Levels
Support: 4,140–4,090 → weekly demand + imbalance fill zone
Resistance: 4,445–4,465 → first major weekly target / premium range
Expectations: As long as 4,090 holds, weekly momentum stays bullish with expansion potential toward 4,445–4,585.
📆 Daily Structure
Bias: Corrective phase within a broader bullish framework
Observation: Price has tapped into a daily order block sitting in the 61.8–78.6% fib zone — a discount region.
RSI: Cooling from overbought, showing a healthy reset for continuation.
Key Zones
Demand: 4,100–4,185
Supply: 4,445–4,465
Expectation: If demand holds, expect a bullish reversal candle early week targeting 4,445.
⏱ H4 Analysis
Bias: Bullish, with possible liquidity grab before expansion
Observation: Liquidity sits below 4,185 and 4,140 — a likely sweep zone before rally resumes.
Key Zones
Bullish OB: 4,140–4,185 → reaccumulation zone
FVG Magnet: 4,270–4,279 → upside target
Projection: A drop into OB → bounce → rally toward 4,379 → 4,445.
RSI: Recovering from oversold — momentum returning.
🕐 H1 Intraday Plan
Current: Hovering near 4,250, reacting to minor FVG
Bias: Short-term correction before final sweep
Scenario 1 (Preferred):
Bounce → 4,270–4,280 → sweep to 4,185–4,140 → bullish reversal → expansion toward 4,380 → 4,445
Scenario 2 (Aggressive Bullish):
If 4,215 holds, early push toward 4,380–4,445
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 4,379–4,380
2️⃣ 4,445
3️⃣ 4,585 (extension)
Below 4,090 → invalidates the bullish thesis
Summary (Oct 20–26)
Gold likely consolidates early in the week, teasing a dip into 4,185–4,140 before launching higher.
Momentum stays bullish above 4,090 — every dip into OBs or FVGs remains a buy-the-dip opportunity under SMC logic.
Expect reaccumulation before the next impulsive push toward 4,445–4,585.
EURUSD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURUSD After a strong bearish retracement, price is approaching the demand level where liquidity has already been collected. A short-term reaction from this area is expected, potentially triggering a bullish move up.
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Entry: 1.1650
Stop Loss: 1.1635
Take Profit: 1.1665
Time Frame: 2H
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LONG🚀
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GBP-NZD Local Long! Buy!
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GBPNZD price continues to respect the rising support, suggesting that buyers are still in control. A corrective move downward may occur before another bullish leg pushes price toward the target level near 2.3500. Liquidity below the recent lows could provide the fuel for this next impulse.Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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EURUSD Weekly analysis,4 Hours chartThe EURUSD is currently moving in a sideways, and it's somewhat difficult to predict its next move because there's a liquidity swing above the current price, an area that will strongly attract the price. But when will that happen?
This could happen after more liquidity is collected at the equal lows at 1.15423, so I'll only monitor the price when it reaches that level.
In this case, the entry signal will be either a change of character (choch) or SMT for the beginning of the rise to the liquidity swing.
GBP-AUD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBPAUD the price is approaching a demand area and the pair is clearly oversold, so after the pair taps into the demand zone a strong push upwards is to be expected.
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Stop Loss: 2.0609
Take Profit: 2.0739
Entry: 2.0661
Time Frame: 2H
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Buy!
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SILVER GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅SILVER After tapping into the demand level, price is expected to retrace higher as liquidity beneath the previous low has been cleared. A potential bullish reaction from this zone could drive the market toward the 52.50$ target area. Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EURUSD The pair is expected to revisit the horizontal demand zone early next week as liquidity builds around the 1.1650 handle. A clean reaction from this area could initiate another bullish push toward the recent swing high.
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Stop Loss: 1.1636
Take Profit: 1.1676
Entry: 1.1655
Time Frame: 3H
-------------------
Buy!
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USDCHF FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅USDCHF price is likely to retest the supply level on Monday before continuing its bearish leg. Liquidity above the short-term high has been taken, and the pair is expected to react from this imbalance zone toward the 0.7910 target area.
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Entry: 0.7936
Stop Loss: 0.7952
Take Profit: 0.7910
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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DXY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY Price is expected to retest the horizontal supply area early next week as liquidity builds up below Friday’s close. Smart Money may engineer a short-term rally into this zone before resuming the bearish move toward 98.38.
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Stop Loss: 98.71
Take Profit: 98.38
Entry: 98.58
Time Frame: 3H
-------------------
Sell!
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USDJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅USDJPY Price is approaching a major supply level, where institutional sellers previously stepped in. A rejection from this zone could trigger a short-term pullback targeting the imbalance and liquidity void near 150.10.
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Entry: 150.54
Stop Loss: 150.83
Take Profit: 150.10
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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