SMC
GBP/USD Buys from 1.35000 back up to 1.36000This week’s focus is on the continuation of the bullish trend, with the main opportunity being a retracement back down into the recent demand zone left behind. From there, I’ll be looking for signs of a Wyckoff distribution to confirm an entry.
If price decides to push higher without retracing, I’ll instead look for a Wyckoff accumulation to form near the 5H supply zone that I’ve marked above current price.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- Recent break of structure to the upside confirms bullish intent.
- DXY has been bearish, supporting a bullish GU outlook.
- A retracement would allow price to re-distribute near the 5H demand zone.
- Clear liquidity above that still needs to be taken.
P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, it could form a new supply zone — giving earlier sell opportunities. But if nothing confirms, then staying patient and waiting on our hands is also a valid option.
$EURUSD 15m MarkUpAug 18
Analysis Notes:
We’ve tapped into a demand zone and also swept the Asian low on the 15-minute timeframe.
At the moment, I expect a move toward the Asian high, where you can look for entry confirmation on the 1-minute timeframe.
The 15-minute swing high is our final target.
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Gold Analysis – 15-Minute Timeframe (August 18, 2025)Currently, the first order block in the path of gold’s price action is located in the 3362–3365 range. We’re waiting for a reaction and confirmation before considering any entry.
If this zone gets invalidated, we’ll shift our focus to the next order block positioned above it. I’ll update the chart with a fresh analysis once that happens.
📌 Stay tuned for the next update.
Wishing you successful trades! 💰
GBP-CAD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.8696 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up on Monday
Buy!
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AUD_JPY WILL GROW|LONG|
✅AUD_JPY is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is already making
A bullish rebound from the support
So a further move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 98.068
LONG🚀
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EUR-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the bullish
Breakout reinforces our
Bullish bias so after the
Potential pullback and retest
Of the new support of 1.6132
A further bullish continuation
Is to be expected
Buy!
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GBP-USD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is already making
A local pullback from the
Horizontal resistance
Of 1.3612 so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Gold (XAUUSD) – Weekly Outlook 18-23rd Aug👋 Hello traders,
We’re heading into a pivotal week with gold sitting right at a decisive structure point. Gold is trading around $3330. We anticipated a deeper drop into the 3280 zone, which hasn’t materialized yet — but based on the current chart structure, that test still looks likely this week.
The bigger question now:
👉 Is gold nearing the end of the April–present monthly/weekly consolidation, or will we see a lower low into FOMC before the next directional move unfolds?
📊 Catalysts: US CPI + FOMC minutes → big USD volatility ahead.
🌍 Geopolitics: BRICS currency chatter & Middle East tensions keep safe-haven flows active.
💵 Cross-assets: Dollar index stays firm, but softening yields give gold room for upside pullbacks.
➡️ Stay ready — this week’s data + flows could set gold’s next major leg. Here’s what we’re watching for in gold this week 👇
🔸 Weekly Structure
Resistance / Supply:
3350–3370 → First ceiling
3380–3405 → Mid supply trap
3439 → Weekly cap (break unlocks Fib ext. 3445–3520)
Support / Demand:
3300–3280 → First floor
3275–3240 → Swing demand
3200–3150 → Deep liquidity pool
🔸 Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish breakout: Hold above 3360 → opens 3380–3405, then 3439. If broken, 3445–3520 Fibonacci targets come into play.
❌ Rejection: Fail at 3355–3360 → retrace to 3335, then 3300–3280.
⚠️ Bearish continuation: Clean break below 3280 → exposes 3240, then deep liquidity sweep into 3200–3150.
🎯 Outlook
Gold is boxed between 3360 (supply lid) and 3280 (demand floor). This week’s catalysts will likely decide the breakout.
📌 Decision Zone: 3330–3335 → expect liquidity grabs here before direction is confirmed.
Patience > chasing. Wait for M15/M30 confirmations (BOS, inducement sweeps, FVG reclaims) inside these zones.
Disclaimer: For educational context only.
DXY LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅DXY is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 98.000
LONG🚀
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GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 3330$ and this is a
Strong level from where
We will expecting a local
Bullish rebound on Monday
Buy!
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AUD-CHF Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is going up now
And the pair will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance around 0.5260
On Monday from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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AUD-JPY Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support and the pair made
A retest of the support and
We are already seeing a
Bullish reaction so we will
Be expecting a bullish rebound
On Monday!
Buy!
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Bitcoin – Momentum Turns Bearish After Topside SweepBitcoin has just completed a clean sweep of the old all-time high, which served as a major liquidity grab. This move has cleared out buy-side liquidity at the very top, creating the perfect environment for a shift in momentum. Price action shows a clear rejection after the sweep, suggesting that the market may now be poised to reach for sell-side liquidity.
Inversion Structure and CISD
On the 4H timeframe, we have a well-defined inversion fair value gap forming immediately after the high was taken. This aligns with the CISD concept, as the liquidity sweep at the top acted as inducement before a sharp displacement to the downside. The CISD level has already been retested, confirming the shift in structure and reducing the likelihood of another deep revisit before the next leg down.
Bearish Pathway
From here, price could either continue to slide directly or first pull back into a nearby imbalance before continuing lower. Both scenarios favor the downside, as the order flow remains bearish after the displacement. A further push down is likely to aim for sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low.
Key Downside Objective
The primary target sits at the confluence of a marked liquidity pool and a lower fair value gap. This is a high-probability area for price to react, as it combines the sweep of the recent low with a fill of unmitigated inefficiency. Once that zone is reached, we can reassess for potential reversals or continuation patterns.
Expectation
The market has already shown its intent by taking the highest liquidity first, shifting structure, and respecting the CISD framework. Unless the upside imbalance is filled in a deeper retrace, the path of least resistance remains lower toward the highlighted fair value gap.
Conclusion
With liquidity above already cleared and the CISD retested, the focus now shifts to the liquidity resting below. The alignment between structure, inefficiency, and liquidity targets supports a bearish continuation into the marked zone before any meaningful bounce.
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NZD-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5940 from where we
Are already seeing a bearish
Pullback so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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NIKKEI Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NIKKEI is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 42,500 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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