LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry
Gold is experiencing a sharp decline as the global market faces liquidity pressure. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that money is being pulled out of risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere.
In the long term, gold typically recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails.
On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritizing SELL orders retracing to resistance.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity)
The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price touches the trendline, it is strongly rejected.
Main Resistance:
4098–4100: resistance zone + confluence with trendline.
4120–4130: stronger zone if price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382).
Target Support:
4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before.
4040 – 4025: large liquidity zone – confluence with the bottom of FVG H1.
3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if selling pressure expands.
Liquidity Zone:
Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicating selling pressure still prevails.
The lower FVG zone (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled this week.
📉 Trading Scenario (prioritize SELL retrace)
Scenario – SELL retrace to trendline + resistance (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4106
TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025
💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order.
When to BUY?
Only BUY if:
H1 closes a candle above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change.
If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend.
⚠️ Important Note
The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may continue to face pressure in the short term.
Which price zone are you watching for today's session?
Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
Smcconcepts
XAUUSD – WEEKLY SESSION SCENARIO UPDATE 💛 XAUUSD – WEEKLY SESSION SCENARIO UPDATE 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week remain mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 is intact, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the mid-term resistance zone, not strong enough to break through – but also without clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Price is moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the nearby resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted downwards.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is a crucial support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, reflected in the wicks and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on adjustment rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines alongside US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behavior is common during phases like:
2008 Financial Crisis
Early 2020 pandemic panic
Investors are forced to sell profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – even as a safe haven – to decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and heavily reliant on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: waiting for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritizing bullish trades when the market recovers
Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a downward correction, but on H1, the price is in a recovery phase, so bullish trades will be prioritized – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained.
The key this week lies at 4100, the confluence of FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce up or continue to fall deeply.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone)
Fibonacci H1: The price may recover to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to trigger a bearish reaction.
Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance.
Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend still exists, but H1 is creating a recovery wave → prioritize buying when the price pulls back at the support zone.
The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is more strongly confirmed.
Important liquidity zones:
4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone.
4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, will trigger a deep decline scenario.
4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers.
Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111
📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK
Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority)
Logic: Gold is recovering; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone.
Entry: 4100–4111
SL: 4090
TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187
Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like a pin bar or H1 engulfing to confirm the recovery bottom.
Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom)
Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate.
Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break)
SL: 4120
TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032
Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100.
🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed disrupts the market
According to the latest data from CME Watch:
54.1% chance Fed holds rates steady at 375–400 bps
45.9% chance Fed cuts rates
The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very uncertain, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting.
In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritize trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmations.
⚠️ Invalidation Conditions
Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritize bearish trades.
Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups.
What scenario are you preparing for the new week?
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XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signaling that gold is gearing up for a stronger move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the buyers' return.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase, and there's a high possibility it still has room to continue declining around the 4000 trendline – where it converges with a strong liquidity zone.
🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have clear reactions based on market sentiment.
🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to time their sell entries, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30).
🌐 Macro Context
The financial market is facing difficulties as U.S. tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin.
The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View)
Prioritize selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters confluence zones of Fibo + liquidity.
Consider buying only when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 area.
🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at key liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point.
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
BULLISH ANALYSIS GOLD (SMC)BULLISH ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN – 3 TPs
1. Market Structure
Price first grabs liquidity above previous highs (Fake Out), shifts structure with a bearish BOS, and then delivers a bullish CHoCH, confirming a reversal in intention.
This sequence shows institutional manipulation before the real move.
2. Mitigation at the 15M Order Block
The pullback taps directly into a 15M Order Block, aligned with a support zone and multiple confluences.
A clean rejection makes this the ideal BUY entry.
3. Risk–Reward
The 1:2.8 R/R is strong, realistic, and well-aligned with the structure while keeping risk protected.
4. Three Take Profit Levels
TP1 – 4,202.74
Internal liquidity level; ideal for securing partials.
TP2 – 4,221.82
External liquidity zone where distribution may occur.
TP3 – 4,245.46
The major liquidity pool.
Reflects full bullish expansion based on institutional models.
5. Additional Confluences
The FVG-30H zones support the upside movement and act as price magnets.
💬 Motivational Message
“Your analysis doesn’t have to be perfect—your discipline and execution do.”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…
XAU/USD 11 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand zone. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD | Breakout Above Supply Zone – Targeting 4140–4150 NextGold has successfully broken above the supply zone (4020–4060), confirming a bullish structure shift after multiple rejections in the past week. The clean breakout now opens the path for a liquidity grab toward 4140–4150, aligning with higher timeframe inefficiencies.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Retest of 4040–4060 (previous supply turned demand)
Bias: Bullish continuation
Target 1: 4129 (intra-day liquidity level)
Target 2: 4153 (major HTF resistance)
Invalidation: Below 4020
Improving My Win Loss Ratio In Forex TradingWell, Some good news, actually great news. The experiment worked and in this video I show how I am improving my win loss ratio in Forex trading.
From a disastrous Win Loss ratio using only SMC now with combining the classical school along with the Stochastic I have been nailing it for the past 20 days with 22 trades and 8.6% increase on my balance.
In many cases, especially with advantageous RRR, it is Ok to have the win loss ratio in favor of the Loss, as the RRR will compensate and the balance would increase, but in this case I have the win rate higher and the RRR if it was calculated is also higher.
I depend on opening multiple trades and closing them all at once once they hit an acceptable percentage. In the video I said I will close them around 2%, but to tell you the truth, even if it was 1% I would close because no business I know of would bring 1% profit in a day.
The concern now with this Forex Trading Plan is that it does not use Stop Loss nor Take Profit. I feel that I am hanging in the air, which is not a good feeling and this might get me inside an emotional imbalance in the long run.
Still, the test is going on to evaluate all that.
$SEI Price will hit $1.22 in 2026, Falling Wedge Pattern WeeklySEI price is showing a Bullish Pattern of Falling Wedge Pattern, when this pattern will create on chart after price will be upward direction.
Price Will hit $1.11 in 2026 and 2027 is $2.22, $3.33
Entry Point is $0.22, $0.27, $0.33 and Stoploss point $0.09
2026 Target point $0.49, $0.77, $1.11
2027 Target point $2.22, $3.33
#trending #Highlight #trendingideas #SEI #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
#XAUUSD: Two Entries, Three Targets, Swing Sell! Gold dropped to 3883 region, the lowest point in the last two months. Since then, it has started rebounding. Currently, the price is approaching a very important key level, which could lead to a smooth reversal. However, market conditions will be extremely volatile, making it difficult to predict any move. This is because we have the NFP coming up. Due to this volatility, both of these entry points are equally possible.
Once either entry is confirmed, you should place a target based on your risk management and trade planning. Remember, this is not a confirmation, and the price could go in the opposite direction. Please do your own analysis before making any financial decisions.
We are here to help. If you have any questions related to this analysis or any trading matter, please drop a comment. We will do our best to help you out. If you want to support us, please like and comment on the idea.
Team Setupsfx_
My Steps On how To Improve Forex Trading Win / Loss Ratio In this video we talk about the three elements of the new plan that I have designed based on different types of schools and educational sources.
The plan elements consist of SMC (Smart Money Concepts), Classical School (Support & Resistance, Trend Lines, Febonacci Retracement (not all the time)), and the Stochastic Indicator.
The stochastic is of two timeframes, One is weekly and the other is daily but both are shown on the daily timeframe. This is something that I loved here about TradingView; is the ability to show an indicator of a different timeframe.
Last week I opened a couple of positions based on the new plan, but one of them was opened with haste and not totally adhered to my trading Plan rules.
I show the exact trading rules that I am using and how this will affect my risk management plan.
Demand Zone in Focus: MSS Shift Signals Potential LongHello Traders,
Wishing everyone a productive week ahead! Today, price action is sitting at a clearly defined demand zone, and we’ve just seen a shift in market structure (MSS). Based on this, I’m looking to go long from the potential demand area.
However, keep in mind there’s still a strong external bearish trend. For added confirmation, consider waiting for a break of the last lower high (LH) before entering a long position.
Stay sharp and trade safe! 💪
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the breakout of the resistance zone, price retested the support area and showed a clean rejection.
• No Change of Character (ChoCH) has been confirmed, which keeps the bullish structure intact.
• Institutions are still showing accumulation and interest in higher prices.
• Projection: Possible fake out before distribution, with continuation toward the new target at 4,080.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone and OB-15M.
💡 Motivational Message for New SMC Traders
“Trading with Smart Money Concepts is about patience and structure. Don’t chase the market—read its story. Every ChoCH, BOS, and fake out is not just a candle, but a footprint left by institutions. Stay disciplined, trust the process, and let the market come to you. 🚀📈”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🌞😁
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC) 📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the previous distribution and push to 4,005, price made a reset with a clean rejection at the support zone.
• A new Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed continued institutional interest.
• Current projection: we may see a fake out and rejection before the next bullish leg.
• The market structure suggests continuation to the upside, targeting the 4,043 zone.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the ChoCH and Break of Structure (BOS), price tapped into the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) located inside the resistance zone.
• A classic fake out occurred above the level, followed by a rejection back into the support zone, giving confirmation of bullish intent.
• From there, price pushed strongly into distribution, targeting the new highs.
• First target achieved: 4,005, right at the psychological level above 4,000.
• Market structure remains bullish as long as the support zone holds.
⚡ This analysis shows perfect market manipulation → rejection → bullish continuation flow.
GOOD JOB TRADERS.. ;)
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis on XAU/USD
Context
• The market is showing clear institutional interest after the Change of Character (ChoCh) on the 15M timeframe.
• A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bullish intent.
• Price created a fake out and is now reacting with a possible rejection from the support zone, signaling continuation to the upside.
Projection
• First target: around 3,995, where we could see partial distribution.
• Second target: potential move toward 4,000 (new historical highs) if buying pressure continues.
• The trade will be monitored during the rejection phase and adjusted if further manipulation or extended accumulation occurs.
Risk Management
• Stop Loss: below the highlighted support zone.
• Risk/Reward Ratio: approximately 1:3, offering an attractive setup with solid risk-to-reward conditions.
📝 Conclusion
This setup reflects strong bullish momentum with clear structure toward new highs. The plan is to secure profits near 3,995 and, if continuation remains intact, extend to the 4,000 mark.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
Building a Trading Plan: The 2nd StepMy trading journey has been defined by a search for consistency. For years, I operated under the belief that a trading plan was a strict list of entry and exit rules. I would follow these rules, yet my results remained unpredictable. The turning point came when I began to understand what is a successful Forex trading plan is. Surely, it is not a rigid document, but a dynamic decision-making system.
The first component of this system is identifying the trading range. This foundational step seems simple, but I learned that its execution is critical. The range establishes the market's current context. It defines the battle between buyers and sellers, creating a clear framework for all subsequent analysis. Without accurately identifying this zone, every decision that follows is built on an unstable foundation. I spend a significant portion of my analysis time confirming these boundaries, knowing that everything else depends on it.
The second component, and the one that brought the entire process into focus for me, is the concept of inducement. In the methodology I am testing, inducement represents a key liquidity area. It is a level where the market is likely to see significant activity from larger participants. Learning to identify these zones clarifies both ends of the trading range. It was no longer just a box on a chart; it became a map with highlighted areas of strategic importance.
This understanding created a powerful filter. It helped me distinguish between a simple break of a level and a meaningful move targeting a specific liquidity pool. My plan specifically focuses on what is classified as a major inducement, which allows me to ignore the minor. This step directly addressed the inconsistency in my earlier trading, as it provided a logical reason for price action beyond basic support and resistance.
Perhaps the most important lesson has been the dynamic nature of a true trading plan. The market is not static, and neither can a Forex trading plan be. I recall a specific backtesting session analyzing the GBPUSD pair on the 15 Minute time frame where a clear change of character occurred. The price action broke a previously defined range. A clear rule shows the difference between a break of strucutre and change of character. Now, I just need to redefine the new trading range with the help of the inducement level. As simple as that.
This proves that a plan’s value is not in preventing change, but in providing a structured method to adapt to it. The plan I am building is a living system. It guides me not only on when to enter a trade but, just as crucially, on when to stand aside and reassess the market structure. This ongoing process of learning and adaptation is, for me, the true essence of what a Forex trading plan must be.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD
The market just showed clear manipulation. After the CHOCH at the resistance zone, we had a sharp bearish move acting as a fake out, sweeping retail stop losses near the support area.
This liquidity grab aligned with the 1H FVG, confirming institutional interest and showing that the drop was only a setup to accumulate buy positions at lower prices.
Now, after the reaction at the support, price is setting up for a distribution phase. The first target is projected at 3,881, and if bullish momentum continues, we could see an extension to 3,910, where the market may create new Higher Highs (HH).
✅ Setup Highlights
• Liquidity sweep (retail stop hunt)
• Reaction at support + 1H FVG confirmation
• Possible retest near 3,855–3,860 (SMA)
• Target 1: 3,881
• Extension: 3,910
🚀 Let’s monitor price action carefully — institutions may be preparing for new highs.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
EURUSD Daily Forecast Update Profit Take -Q3| W39 | D25 | Y25| 📅 Q3 | W39 | D25 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
#
FX:EURUSD
DXY SHORTS | 9SEPT Price failed to hold above resistance — strong sign of supply in control ⚡.
Intraday structure shifting bearish below 97.400.
Minor LQC + demand point marked — a confirmed close below supports further downside.
⚡ Trade Summary:
This is a continuation play following the first trade idea. The rejection confirms bears are stepping in, aligning with higher timeframe momentum. Short positions below 97.400 remain valid, targeting 97.100.
“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650 📉”
Gold (XAUUSD) reached the all-time high resistance / PRZ zone (3645–3680) and immediately showed rejection signs, confirming this level as a high-probability reversal point.
📊 Technical Breakdown
PRZ Rejection: The move above 3650 failed to sustain, indicating a liquidity grab and false breakout structure.
Momentum Exhaustion: A parabolic advance from 3330 support into ATH left behind multiple imbalances (FVGs) that now attract price back down.
Liquidity Dynamics: The rejection suggests buy-side liquidity has been taken, and the market may now seek sell-side liquidity below recent swing lows.
Market Structure: Intraday structure shows early signs of a bearish shift, with lower highs forming under 3635–3625.
🎯 Downside Targets
3585–3578 → First corrective level (38.2% retracement).
3565 → Key midpoint of the rally.
3545–3516 → Liquidity + 61.8–78.6% retracement cluster.
3480–3460 → Previous consolidation base.
3330–3320 → Major high-timeframe support demand zone.
⚠️ Invalidation
If buyers reclaim 3660–3680 with strong daily closes, the bearish retracement scenario will be invalidated, opening the path toward new ATH extensions.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold’s rejection at 3650 ATH PRZ is a significant technical signal. Current order flow suggests a retracement phase toward 3580–3515, with potential extension to 3330–3320 key support if selling pressure persists.






















