Market Update - RUT | BTCThis video looks at the underperformance of RUT compared to the rest of the markets including CRYPTOCAP:BTC where we could see a 50% drop as I compare it to 2021 fractals
We first need to see a pump around $88k and then go from there
TVC:RUT is clearly going through a Distribution phase that will Contract, and this is where we can see the rest of the markets follow through similar to Jan. 2025, and 2021 - 2022 fractal.
Expect stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA to retrace back to the downside, but will see it holdup pretty well
NASDAQ:TSLA on the other hand may see price fall back to its major Demand lvl as it has a few times already.
SMR
$SMRThe technical structure for NYSE:SMR presents a compelling case of a strong, sustained uptrend, characterized by a rhythmic pattern of sharp advances followed by periods of consolidation. This behaviour is the hallmark of a healthy, momentum-driven bull move.
1. Pattern Analysis: Sequential Bull Flags
The chart reveals the successful completion and continuation of a classic bullish pattern sequence:
The First Bull Flag: This pattern likely began with a powerful upward move (the "flagpole"), followed by a brief, shallow, and downward-sloping consolidation period (the "flag"). The successful breakout above this first flag confirmed the pattern and signaled the resumption of the uptrend. Your note that this first pattern "has been a success" is a key observation that sets a bullish precedent.
The Emerging Second Bull Flag: Following the initial breakout, the price action appears to be forming a second, successive bull flag. This pattern represents a temporary pause and period of profit-taking within a larger uptrend. It indicates that after a strong leg up, the market is catching its breath, allowing overbought conditions to ease before the next potential advance. We are currently in the "waiting" phase for this second pattern to fully reveal itself and confirm with a breakout.
2. Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping the Pullback and Target
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the most significant prior upswing provides a mathematical framework for understanding the corrections and projecting future targets.
The current consolidation within the second bull flag has already respected key Fibonacci levels, finding support and reversing near them:
0.236 Level ($44.30): This shallow level was easily passed, indicating a healthy correction.
0.382 Level ($36.18): This is a common retracement zone in a strong trend, and the price action here likely provided a key support area.
0.500 Level ($29.62): A deeper, but still within the normal, retracement level. Holding above this level would be considered a sign of continued strength.
The analysis points to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $23.05 as the primary target for the overall pattern. This level is a deep retracement and often acts as a critical support or resistance zone. In this context, it represents a significant profit-taking objective once the second bull flag completes its breakout and resumes the upward trajectory.
3. The Overall Narrative and Key Levels to Watch
The story for NYSE:SMR is one of a powerful, structured uptrend building energy for its next move.
The Bullish Narrative: The successful first bull flag established a pattern of "burst and consolidate." The formation of a second such pattern suggests the trend is well-organized and has further to run. The measured move projection from the second flag, upon a breakout, aligns with the $23.05 (0.618 Fib) target.
The Outlook After the Target: It is prudent to anticipate that upon reaching the $23.05 target, the stock will likely experience a significant pullback or period of extended consolidation. This is a typical market behavior as traders lock in profits at a major Fibonacci level.
Conclusion and Strategy:
Confirmation Trigger: A decisive breakout above the resistance trendline of the current, second bull flag pattern is needed to confirm the next leg up is beginning.
Primary Target: The initial upside target for this next leg is projected at the $23.05 level.
Risk Management: A break below the support trendline of the second flag would invalidate the short-term bullish pattern and suggest a deeper correction is underway.
In summary, NYSE:SMR is exhibiting technically sound bullish behavior. The focus is now on the completion of the second bull flag, with a breakout setting the stage for a move toward the $23.05 Fibonacci target, after which a pullback is considered a high probability.
Oklo's Nuclear Surge: 500% YTD RallyOklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO) rockets 500% year-to-date, hitting $174 highs in October before dipping 30% to $112. This volatility masks a nuclear renaissance. Investors chase Oklo's small modular reactors (SMRs) amid AI's voracious energy appetite. Founded in 2013, the Santa Clara firm pioneers fission tech with recycled fuel. Its Aurora powerhouse targets data centers, slashing carbon footprints. Yet, pre-revenue status and $0.18 quarterly loss fuel risks. Tomorrow's Q3 2025 earnings could ignite fresh momentum. We dissect drivers across domains.
Geopolitical Tailwinds Fuel Growth
Global tensions amplify nuclear's appeal. Russia's Ukraine invasion disrupts uranium supplies, spiking prices 50% in 2025. Oklo counters with domestic recycling, cutting foreign dependence. The US-UK $60 billion nuclear pact bolsters SMR exports, sending Oklo shares up 146% post-announcement. Beijing's tech curbs heighten US energy sovereignty needs. Oklo's DOE pilot selections secure federal backing, positioning it as a geopolitical hedge. Investors bet on Washington prioritizing nuclear amid trade wars.
Geostrategic Alliances Strengthen Position
Oklo forges pacts that redefine US nuclear strategy. Its October 2025 tie-up with Europe's Newcleo and Blykalla injects $2 billion for fuel infrastructure. This builds domestic supply chains, aligning with Biden's 2025 clean energy executive order. Partnerships like Liberty Energy's integrated power solution target remote sites, enhancing grid resilience. Oklo eyes emerging markets, exporting SMRs to counter China's Belt and Road dominance. These moves elevate Oklo from a startup to a strategic asset.
Macroeconomic Forces Drive Demand
AI's explosion strains grids, with data centers devouring 8% of US power by 2030. Oklo's SMRs deliver 15 MW baseload, matching hyperscalers' needs. Fed's steady rates curb renewables' intermittency costs, favoring reliable nuclear. Global decarbonization mandates, like the EU's 45% emissions cut, boost SMR adoption. Oklo's $18 billion cap reflects this macro shift energy demand surges 2.5x by 2035. Recession fears? Nuclear weathers them via long-term contracts.
Economic Incentives Spark Investor Frenzy
Oklo's shelf registration for $3.5 billion enables scaling, despite dilution worries. Insider sales add caution, but Q2's 261% gain signals confidence. Fuel recycling slashes costs 30% versus fresh uranium, yielding 90% margins long-term. Partnerships unlock $1.68 billion Tennessee facility, monetizing waste. At $100/share, the valuation dips to $15 billion, enticing risk-tolerant bulls. Economic tailwinds: subsidies via the Inflation Reduction Act credit, SMRs 30% off capex.
Technological Breakthroughs Power Ahead
Oklo's fast-fission SMRs innovate with liquid metal cooling, boosting efficiency 40%. Aurora deploys in 18 months, co-locating seamlessly with data centers. Idaho prototype tests real-world viability by mid-2026. Lightbridge collaboration advances metallic fuels, enduring higher burns. These edge out legacy reactors, drawing BofA's bullish buy rating on AI demand. Tech evolves; Oklo leads.
Scientific Foundations Anchor Innovation
Oklo harnesses physics' core: recycled fuel fissions 95% more atoms than once-through cycles. CEO Jacob DeWitte's MIT roots yield heat-pipe designs, minimizing meltdown risks to near-zero. DOE's August 2025 reactor pilots validate scalability. Science meets commerce—Oklo's closed-loop recycling curbs waste, aligning with IPCC's net-zero imperatives. Breakthroughs propel shares amid green mandates.
High-Tech Synergies Ignite AI Boom
AI guzzles 1,000 TWh annually by 2026; Oklo powers it carbon-free. Sam Altman's backing ties nuclear to OpenAI's grid strain. SMRs integrate with edge computing, slashing latency via on-site generation. High-tech fusion: Oklo's modular blueprint scales for hyperscalers like Google. This synergy drove September's 50% spike. Future-proof energy meets silicon surge.
Cyber Defenses Bolster Reliability
Nuclear's digital backbone demands ironclad cyber shields. Oklo embeds NIST-compliant protocols in SMR controls, thwarting state-sponsored hacks. Post-Colonial Pipeline, regulators mandate zero-trust architectures. Oklo complies via Atomic Alchemy's isotope tech. Resilient ops ensure 99.9% uptime, vital for AI's uninterrupted compute. Cyber fortitude reassures investors in volatile grids.
Patent Portfolio Secures Edge
Oklo holds 20+ patents on Aurora's core: fast-spectrum fission and passive safety systems. USPTO filings cover fuel recycling, granting 15-year moats. Rivals like NuScale lag in modularity claims. This IP fortress, valued at $5 billion, underpins 2025's 450% rally. Patents convert science into monopoly power.
Earnings Spotlight: Path Forward
November 11's Q3 report spotlights Idaho progress, NRC updates, and Newcleo milestones. Expect capital raise clarity and 2026 timelines. X buzz surges—overnight gains hit 5%. Dips to $100 beckon buyers; $200 looms on approvals. Oklo redefines energy. Stake wisely—volatility rewards the bold.
CCO | Distribution Pattern | FractalsLooking ahead we can see the next phase of price action falling into a distribution pattern
Since correction wave 4 buyers took off but seem to be running out of steam. Eventually sellers will have to show what they can do after this trend breaks on a lower timeframe.
Ideal move going forward would focus on short positions only with a local swing target of ~$96 since that was the last area of support
Entries would be somewhere at the Head if using textbook patterns (HnS) or SMR
A confirmation entry to be on the safe side would be after the Breakout Bar indicating a change in trend, and then waiting for the Distribution phase to kick in for more shorting opportunities.
To add confluence to this trade idea we can look back at historical price action and find similar fractals that matches with current price movement
At least two fractals are spotted with the same patterns that are building the same price structure we're in
Elliott Impulse Wave, HnS Pattern, and Distribution Phases.
If buyers are not interested in the local support lvl then liquidity at $76 will be next zone.
Tesla, Nio, XPEV breakout ahead of NVdA earnings tomorrowTesla is breaking out of a daily chart wedge pattern.
This pattern suggest a move to 400 could occur as long as the indices don't fall on NVDA earnings.
If you look at how some of the China ADR EV companies have performed, Tesla could be well on its way to replicating a move.
All eyes on NVDA earnings tomorrow. Heading into the print with a 58 PE and looking like it wants new highs.
NVDA guidance will once again be crucial for the market. $46B revenue estimate is likely to be beat.
We secured profits on the massive nuclear pop today. SMR calls printed over 100%
$OKLO – Back to the Moneymaker: HTF + C&H Combo at $77.50NYSE:OKLO – Back to the Moneymaker: HTF + C&H Combo at $77.50
Back to my bread and butter setup — NYSE:OKLO is setting up again, and it’s 🔥. We’ve got a high tight flag forming right above the 9 EMA, and to sweeten the deal, there’s a cup and handle structure layered in too.
🔹 The Setup:
After a strong breakout, NYSE:OKLO has spent the past week consolidating tightly above the 9 EMA.
Price action is coiled, volume has dried up — exactly what I want to see before a power move.
This is a high tight flag + cup and handle combo, one of my favorite high-probability setups.
🔹 Trigger Level:
Watching the $77.50 breakout zone — that’s the line in the sand. If you get a good intraday dip to support you can pre-empt the play i like to often scale in a half in anticipation if the market is in a runup phase
A clean push through with volume, and this can speed up fast.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Either starter near 9 EMA support or confirmation on breakout over $77.50.
2️⃣ Stop: Under the 9 EMA — no reason to stay if it breaks down.
3️⃣ Target: Measured move extension if it clears $77.50 with juice.
Why I Love This Setup:
HTF + C&H = momentum fuel
This name has already proven itself — we’ve made money here before
The structure, the consolidation, and the setup are all textbook
Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors
Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints
Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement
Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.
This Just Went Nuclear - Explosive Move!Uranium prices have surged due to several key factors:
- Increased demand for nuclear energy – Many countries are expanding nuclear power to meet clean energy goals.
- Geopolitical tensions – Supply disruptions from Russia and Niger have tightened the market.
- Underinvestment in uranium mining – Years of low prices led to reduced production, creating a supply deficit.
- Government policies – The U.S. and other nations are prioritizing domestic uranium production for energy security.
- Rising uranium prices – Spot prices have climbed significantly, boosting mining stocks.
We are near some major resistance and expect some profit taking to occur.
Names Like NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR AMEX:URNM AMEX:URA NASDAQ:CEG should be on watch for a strong selloff.
NuScale Power Corp. (SMR) – Leading the Nuclear RenaissanceCompany Overview:
NuScale NYSE:SMR is pioneering small modular reactor (SMR) technology—offering a scalable, carbon-free solution for baseload energy at a time when AI, quantum computing, and data centers are driving unprecedented power demand.
Key Catalysts:
Regulatory Leadership 🏛️
Only SMR design approved by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) ✅
Creates a regulatory moat—a multi-year head start over competitors
Enhances institutional credibility and accelerates deployment
Global Flagship Project: RoPower, Romania 🇷🇴
462 MW project → pre-orders already underway
Final investment decision by year-end could validate tech and unlock global markets
First major deployment in Europe signals international expansion readiness
Explosive Growth Outlook 🚀
77% forecasted revenue CAGR through 2025 vs. industry avg of 8.3%
62% reduction in per-share losses expected → strong operating leverage
Positioned to meet clean energy mandates and private sector demands for resilient, low-carbon power
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $27.00–$28.00
🎯 Price Target: $48.00–$50.00
📈 Thesis Drivers: First-mover advantage, regulatory approval, and global SMR project pipeline
⚛️ NuScale isn’t just building reactors—it’s building the future of energy. #SMR #NuclearEnergy #CleanPower
Can Small Reactors Solve Big Energy Problems?Oklo Inc. has recently captured significant attention in the nuclear energy sector, propelled by anticipated executive orders from President Trump to accelerate the development and construction of nuclear facilities. These policy shifts are designed to address the US energy deficit and reduce its reliance on foreign sources for enriched uranium, signaling a renewed national commitment to atomic power. This strategic pivot creates a favorable regulatory and investment environment, positioning companies like Oklo at the forefront of a potential nuclear renaissance.
At the core of Oklo's appeal is its innovative "energy-as-a-service" business model. Unlike traditional reactor manufacturers, Oklo sells power directly to customers through long-term agreements, a strategy lauded by analysts for its potential to generate sustained revenue and mitigate project development complexities. The company specializes in compact, fast, small modular reactors (SMRs) designed to produce 15-50 megawatts of power, ideally suited for powering data centers and small industrial areas. This technology, coupled with high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), promises enhanced efficiency, extended operational life, and reduced waste, aligning perfectly with the escalating energy demands of the AI revolution and the burgeoning data center industry.
While Oklo remains a pre-revenue company, its substantial market capitalization of approximately $6.8 billion provides a strong foundation for future capital raises with minimal dilution. The company targets the commercial deployment of its first SMR by late 2027 or early 2028, a timeline potentially accelerated by the new executive orders streamlining regulatory approvals. Analysts, including Wedbush, have expressed increasing confidence in Oklo's trajectory, raising price targets and highlighting its competitive edge in a market poised for significant growth.
Oklo represents a high-risk, high-reward investment, with its ultimate success contingent on the successful commercialization of its technology and continued governmental support. However, its unique business model, advanced SMR technology, and strategic alignment with critical national energy and technological demands present a compelling long-term opportunity for investors willing to embrace its speculative nature.
SMR NNE OKLO – Breakout Setup Triggered by Nuclear CatalystNYSE:SMR is lighting up after Trump’s announcement on nuclear energy — and it’s not alone. NYSE:OKLO and NASDAQ:NNE are also setting up, but NYSE:SMR has one of the cleanest breakout structures on the board.
🔹 Catalyst: Trump’s nuclear energy announcement yesterday is putting serious momentum behind the sector.
🔹 Technical Setup: NYSE:SMR is building a textbook breakout formation, with $32 as the key breakout level.
🔹 Volume & sentiment are increasing — early signs that buyers are positioning.
My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Anticipatory Entry: I’m looking to buy the first dip before the $32 breakout — getting in early with tight risk.
2️⃣ Add on Breakout: Will scale in above $32 if volume confirms.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Just below the recent base — staying tight on risk.
Why I’m Watching This Closely:
Sector catalyst + technical setup = 🔥
Nuclear names have been under accumulation, and now they’ve got a narrative tailwind.
First dip after a big catalyst is often the best R/R opportunity.
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) AnalysisCompany Overview: NuScale Power Corporation NYSE:SMR is at the forefront of the nuclear energy revolution, leveraging its cutting-edge small modular reactor (SMR) technology to address the growing demand for clean, reliable energy. With the backing of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) certification, NuScale holds a strong first-mover advantage in the nuclear energy space, positioning it for significant growth as global efforts to transition to cleaner energy sources accelerate.
Key Catalysts:
NRC Certification: NuScale is the only SMR company with NRC certification, giving it a significant regulatory and market advantage in deploying its innovative nuclear reactors.
Growing Demand for Clean Energy: As countries worldwide commit to reducing carbon emissions, demand for clean nuclear energy is rising. NuScale’s scalable, safe, and cost-effective SMR technology is well-suited to meet this need.
Data Center Opportunities: In addition to energy generation, NuScale is exploring applications for its SMRs in the data center industry, offering on-site, scalable power solutions that align with the industry's increasing energy demands.
Global Expansion: NuScale's technology appeals to both developed and developing nations as a reliable and safe alternative energy source, with strong international interest in SMR deployment.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on SMR above $10.50-$11.00, reflecting the company’s first-mover status in the nuclear SMR market and its potential to capture significant market share in both energy and data center applications. Upside Potential: Our target range for SMR is $23.00-$24.00, driven by growth in clean energy adoption and increasing demand for scalable power solutions in high-growth sectors like data centers.
🚀 SMR—Pioneering the Future of Clean, Reliable Nuclear Power. #NuclearEnergy #CleanEnergy #SmallModularReactors
SMR, an algorithmic correctionSMR has been in a steady and predictable decline for about 9 months now. We recently just observed another rejection from the top of the descending macro wedge trend line, and there is currently a fight around the $7.70 to $8.00 range. A strong break below the $7.60 level may have enough momentum to push the price to a new low and I will look for support at the psychological support level of around $7.00.
I am using Elliot Correction waves here to illustrate the correctional structure playing out, and local highs and lows have been reliably trading within the larger descending wedge formation. I believe an upside break of the wedge will occur at some point, but for the time being the downtrend is still intact.


















