$SNOW (Snowflake) | Christmas Came Early +1,000% ROIWe watched this name face headwinds after a bad earnings print, along with data privacy issues...
But we crafted our thesis, identified our price targets, then benchmarked this name against competitors like: NASDAQ:CRWD NSE:INFY and NYSE:PLTR (one of our biggest winners in 2024... Entry at $8/share)
This analysis positioned NYSE:SNOW for significant upside after the massive sell-off from $237 down to $108 - which was reflective of a fair-value in this market.
I loaded the boat on $150 Calls dated DEC24 & JAN26 (with additional strikes)
On the DEC24 $150 Calls - Over 1,000% ROI (closed 1/2).
What's Next for NYSE:SNOW
The answer is simple, upside.
Earlier this year, investors priced this name at a 20-30X EV/S - which was akin to perfection.
To maintain that valuation would require absolute perfection in execution, earnings expectations, and forward guides into Q1 & Q2 of 2025.
Since then, the valuation has been cut in half - even though the business has not seen a 50% revenue or growth decline.
With an equivalent peer-driven valuation, NYSE:SNOW would be priced as follows:
• $415 at NYSE:PLTR ’s valuation
• $181 at NASDAQ:DDOG ’s valuation
• $196 at NASDAQ:CFLT ’s valuation
• $228 at NASDAQ:MDB ’s valuation
Median target is $212.
(Competition Valuation Performed by: StockSavvyShay on X)
Snowflake
Is Snowflake getting out of the DOGHOUSE? Watch before earnings!Is Snowflake NYSE:SNOW Finally Breaking Free from the Doghouse? 🐾
In this must-watch video, we’re dissecting:
🔹 Chart Analysis: What the latest charts are revealing about Snowflake's trajectory.
🔹 Potential Catalysts: Key factors that could propel or hinder NYSE:SNOW 's progress.
🔹 High Five Setup Trading Strategy: How my proven strategy applies to Snowflake's current setup.
Ready to uncover the insights that matter most? Let’s dive in and stay ahead of the curve! 👇
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$SNOW (Snowflake) | Long Analysis/ThesisNYSE:SNOW is primed for upside with a strong support level formed around $109 (indicated on chart).
We are expecting these 3 upside price levels to be significant points of resistance in the coming weeks, however the $120 strike options will prosper as we approach the $145 level and will be the first to get cut.
Remember: This is a great name that got unfairly beaten down. My good friend StockSavvyShay (on X) has written extensively as to how they've improved their business.
These are some of his main thoughts to consider:
Snowflake is enhancing its governance capabilities with Snowflake Horizon, a comprehensive cross-cloud governance model designed to simplify the management of complex data ecosystems. This solution offers integrated compliance, security, privacy, interoperability, and access features, allowing customers to efficiently manage data across various platforms and teams.
Key enhancements include:
- Achieving additional compliance certifications such as the UK's Cyber Essentials Plus and the FBI's CJIS Security Policy, ensuring top-tier security and privacy for public sector data.
Introducing Data Quality Monitoring, which simplifies the tracking and improvement of data quality metrics.
- Launching a Data Lineage UI that visualizes the impact of upstream changes on downstream data, enhancing data management transparency.
- Developing Differential Privacy Policies to protect sensitive data without compromising individual record security.
- Enhancing data classification with custom classifiers and a new UI-based workflow, supporting better data organization.
- Rolling out the Trust Center for centralized security and compliance monitoring, helping to reduce costs and prevent risk escalations.
In addition, Snowflake is improving cost management with a new Cost Management Interface, which provides a unified view of spend metrics across clouds and regions. This tool offers greater visibility into account-level usage, configurable spend views, and actionable recommendations to optimize resource allocation.
These advancements strengthen Snowflake's position as a leader in data governance and cost management, providing customers with effective tools to streamline operations and enhance efficiency.
RISKS: Convertible debt back in September leads me to believe that they are willing to decelerate growth and buy back their stock at a hefty multiple - this does give me cause for concern.
However, the fact that price has held - despite this news gives the power to the bulls.
Snowflake Analysis 10.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
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Weekly Watchlist! 8/9 - 8/13Check out what plays we are watching for this coming week! As well as a recap of last week's video!
NYSE:SNOW
On Snow we are looking for a break of the $279 level with targets of $280, $282 and $283
NASDAQ:BYND
Nice bullish engulfing pattern after earnings. Watching for a break of $126 with targets of $127, $128 and $129