Solana Update · Retrace, Bears & The Bullish BiasSolana had a retrace in May. Notice the 19-May date on the chart. This retrace produced four weeks red. The bullish move that led to this retrace lasted 6 weeks. The last rise lasted five weeks and the current retrace might last only two weeks, can be less.
We are seeing Solana rising but this rise is not a one-time off event, this is a trend that is developing. An uptrend as a long-term phenomena is different to a short-term bullish moves. A short-term move tends to be really fast, one strong burst and that's it. A long-term move is different. Instead of seeing 2-3 candles and Solana trading at $1,000, we see dozens and dozens of candles with prices slowly rising. There are strong fluctuations but the end result is always up. And that's how you see the fluctuations on the chart.
Solana moved up and then immediately started to retrace. Then another rise and another retrace again. This retrace will end and prices will continue to grow long-term. The bulls are in. The bull market is on. Solana, Bitcoin, Crypto and the rest of the Altcoins market is going up.
Namaste.
SOL
SOL/USDT | NFP Volatility Could Trigger Drop Toward $154!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $169. If it fails to hold above the $168 level, a deeper drop could follow. With the upcoming NFP data release, increased volatility is expected across the markets. If Solana begins to decline, the potential correction targets are $163, $157, and $154. Watch the $145–$154 zone closely for a possible bullish reaction and buy opportunity.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#SOL Update #6 – Aug 01, 2025#SOL Update #6 – Aug 01, 2025
Unfortunately, Solana failed to hold the last low where its most recent impulsive move had started, and it closed below that level. This close also occurred below the MA200 band. In other words, Solana broke a very strong support on the 4-hour chart and moved downward, reaching the previous K-Level zone. It’s hard to say anything positive for Solana at this stage. If the current K-Level fails to hold, Solana may look for support around the $158 level. A long position on Solana is definitely not recommended. I also do not suggest a short position. However, unless there’s a strong reversal, it’s safe to say that Solana has entered a bearish phase on the 4-hour chart.
SOLUSD H4 | Bullish bounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could fall to the buy entry, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce to the upside.
Buy entry is at 167.42, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 157.16, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 181.53, which is a pullback resistance.
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Massive Move Loading? $SOL Prepping for a BreakoutSolana is showing real strength here.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL consistently taking support from the long-term rising trendline, a sign that buyers are defending key levels. We're also approaching a critical resistance zone, which was the previous ATH area.
If SOL manages to close above this zone, we could witness a strong rally towards $500 and beyond. Until then, it’s a crucial level to watch, a breakout here could set the stage for the next leg up.
DYOR, NFA
Solana is forming the falling triangle ┆ HolderStatOKX:SOLUSDT is compressing into a possible falling triangle, with support around 180–185 and upward projections pointing toward 210+. The chart has repeatedly shown triangle breakouts into strong rallies. As long as the lower trendline holds, the upside setup remains valid.
SOL 1H – How This MACD Strategy Filters Noise & Times SwingsThis chart showcases the MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy applied to Solana’s 1H timeframe — designed to help traders capture clean trend moves while avoiding noisy whipsaws.
The system combines:
✅ MACD momentum filtering (25 / 60 / 220)
✅ 9 & 50-period moving average confirmation
✅ Stoch RSI confluence
✅ State memory logic to reduce false flips
🔍 Strategy Breakdown:
Entry Conditions:
Buys trigger when MACD histogram shifts bullish, the trend filter confirms, and momentum aligns with Stoch RSI. Shorts trigger on the inverse.
Visual Context:
Blue candles = Bullish state
Pink candles = Bearish state
Gray line = Confirmation filter (EMA)
Performance Example:
Caught two major long legs: +27.31 and +26.46
Avoided most chop through clear color-shifting logic
Recent short called the local top with MACD + trend confluence
📌 Why It Works:
The strategy focuses on structure first, signal second — letting trend context and MACD compression guide entries. Unlike traditional crossovers, this approach uses liquidity-aware thresholds to reduce noise and keep traders in the right trend longer.
🧠 Ideal For:
Swing traders on LTFs (15m–4H)
Crypto traders wanting cleaner confirmation
Anyone backtesting with QuantTradingPro or building a trend-following system
This chart shows how combining indicators into a rules-based system can help you trade with clarity — not emotion.
Solana maintains its upward structure ┆ HolderStatBINANCE:SOLUSDT is bouncing from the $170–172 zone, building higher lows just below resistance at $180. The structure is shaping into a rounded bottom with signs of accumulation. If SOL clears $180 with volume, targets lie at $188 and beyond. Trend remains bullish as long as price stays above the local demand zone.
SOLUSD 4H — Holding the Line Before Altseason?Solana’s 4H chart presents a textbook continuation setup — a steady ascending trendline combined with well-defined resistance zones stacked overhead. This kind of compression within an uptrend often precedes explosive expansion, especially when aligned with broader altcoin market sentiment.
📊 Structural Breakdown:
Trendline Support:
Sol has maintained a rising trendline since early June, consistently bouncing off higher lows. This provides a dynamic support zone currently sitting around ~$175–180.
Horizontal Support:
The horizontal box at ~$175 represents prior structure highs turned into support — tested multiple times and aligning with the trendline. A breakdown here would be structurally significant.
Resistance Layers to Monitor:
$215 – Minor S/R flip and local liquidity cluster
$245 – Consolidation ceiling from Q1, where sellers previously took control
$270 – Clean weekly-level rejection from January
$300–310 – Final major resistance from the post-FTX crash range; breakout here signals full bullish expansion
Market Context:
The broader altcoin market is coiling, with majors like ETH and SOL holding structure while BTC ranges. If Bitcoin remains sideways or breaks slightly higher, capital rotation could drive a full “altseason” wave — with SOL as one of the first movers.
🔍 Key Conditions to Watch:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price holds ~$175 and breaks above $215 with strong volume
Clean retest of breakout zones confirms continuation
Targeting $245 → $270 → $300 in stages
❌ Bearish Invalidation:
Break and close below $175 trendline support
Would shift bias toward a wider range or even short-term downtrend
⚙️ Indicators to Watch:
4H RSI holding above midline (50) supports bullish continuation
MACD crossover + volume expansion = trigger confirmation
This chart is a reminder that you don’t need to chase green candles — spotting compression structures and planning for breakout zones is where the edge lies. Whether you’re positioning spot or looking for a leveraged entry, this structure rewards patience and timing.
SOL/USD 4H📉 Price
Current price: approximately $183–$184
We see a decline from the resistance zone around $194.56. The price has broken through support at $187.31 and is heading towards lower support at:
🔴 $183.18 – local support (being tested now),
🔴 $175.58 – key support (potential target if current support breaks).
📊 Market structure
Short-term trend: Downtrend (lower highs and lower lows after a rebound from $194.56).
Volume: Increased volume on bearish candles – confirming supply pressure.
Previous trend: Uptrend with strong momentum from July 18th to July 21st.
🔁 Technical Levels
Resistance:
🟢 USD 187.31 – last broken support, now acting as resistance.
🟢 USD 194.56 – strong resistance (tested twice).
🟢 USD 206.43 – local high, strong resistance level from higher timeframes.
Support:
🔴 USD 183.18 – currently being tested.
🔴 USD 175.58 – stronger support from lower swing highs.
📉 Stochastic RSI
Located in the oversold zone (<20) and pointing down.
No upside crossover yet → no buy signal yet.
If a reversal occurs, a technical rebound is possible.
📌 Conclusions and Scenarios
🔻 Downside scenario (more likely currently):
Breakthrough of support at $183.18 ➜ further decline to $175.58.
Potential entry into a correction of the entire upward movement from July 18-21.
🔺 Upside scenario (alternative):
Support at $183.18 held + Stoch RSI signal ➜ rebound to $187.31.
If buying volume increases, a retest of resistance at $194.56 is possible.
SOL/USDT Technical OutlookPrice may push higher towards the $194 resistance zone.
From there, a sharp rejection is expected, targeting the $171 support area.
If the market fails to hold $171, the next potential downside target lies around $140.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $194
Support: $171, then $140
Structure: Rising channel breakdown in play
📉 Bearish scenario activated if $171 fails to hold.
Solana Approaching Key Resistance: watch for $219Hello guys!
Solana has been trending strongly inside a rising parallel channel, recovering steadily after a significant 33% correction. The bullish momentum is clear, and the price is now approaching a key resistance zone near $219.84, which previously acted as a major turning point.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Strong uptrend within the pink channel shows controlled and healthy growth.
$219.84 is a critical decision zone. Price could:
React with a pullback before pushing higher,
Or break through it and flip the level into support for the next bullish leg.
The reaction in this zone will determine the next structure.
Whether we see a temporary correction or continuation to new highs.
LQTY – Accumulation Completed | Preparing for Trend ReversalLQTY has broken out from a descending structure and reclaimed the key support zone around $1.00–$1.10, showing early signs of accumulation and bullish strength. Currently forming a higher low structure, suggesting a potential long-term uptrend is brewing.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
✅ Clean breakout from descending trendline
✅ Retest of breakout zone holding as support (~$1.10)
🔼 Price printing bullish higher lows on the daily timeframe
🎯 Target zone: $2.70–$2.90 (major resistance from previous highs)
📌 Technical View:
Strong structural base forming
Pullbacks into support area could offer high R/R entries
Break above $1.50 may ignite bullish continuation toward the upper target zone
LQTY appears to be transitioning from accumulation to markup phase. Monitor price action and volume for confirmation of the next leg.
Ethereum vs SolanaIn 2025, the competition between Ethereum and Solana is no longer just a rivalry — it’s a pivotal chapter in blockchain evolution.
We are witnessing a clash of two philosophies:
Ethereum — maturity, security, and deep ecosystem
vs.
Solana — speed, efficiency, and adaptability.
📈 Price Resilience vs. Market Legacy
While Ethereum still holds the crown in market cap and institutional trust, Solana is rewriting the rules with superior transaction speed and cost-effectiveness.
The question is no longer "Who is better?"
It’s "Who is evolving faster?"
⚡ Key Drivers Shaping the Ethereum-Solana Rivalry
1️⃣ Scalability vs. Stability
Solana leads with up to 65,000 TPS, attracting high-frequency traders, NFT creators, and DeFi innovators.
Ethereum, relying on its Layer-2 solutions, tries to balance security with scalability.
2️⃣ Institutional Shifts
Funds like Galaxy Digital and Ark Invest are reallocating capital towards Solana, betting on efficiency and growth.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is waiting on ETF approvals to regain momentum.
3️⃣ Technological Innovation
Ethereum focuses on sharding and Layer-2 expansion.
Solana pushes aggressive ecosystem growth but pays the price with occasional network instability.
📊 Market Performance Snapshot — 2025
Ethereum: ▼ 56% YTD | ~$1,600
Solana: ▼ 40% YTD | ~$135
Solana’s DEX market share jumped to 39.6% in Q1, driven by meme coins and retail traders.
Ethereum’s dominance continues to erode under macro pressures and rising competition.
But don’t be fooled — Ethereum's foundation remains strong. Institutional adoption and infrastructure upgrades still offer potential for a rebound.
📉 ETH/BTC Looks Like a Meme
ETH/BTC:
SOL/BTC: Potential -50% in next 160 weeks ➡️
ETH/SOL:
⚡ Where Did the Liquidity Go?
The real question isn’t why ETH is dropping —
It’s why no one cares.
Layer 2 solutions — Arbitrum, Optimism, Base — have drained liquidity from Ethereum’s mainnet.
DeFi activity? → Migrated to L2
Users? → Choosing lower fees and speed
Ethereum L1? → A blockchain for whales and archives
No liquidity = No rally
No narrative = No attention
Funds are betting on Solana and L2, not Ethereum’s base layer.
🎯 When Could ETH Take Off?
Only if we see:
A strong “Liquidity Returns to L1” narrative (RWA could be a trigger)
Spot ETH ETFs launching with institutional accumulation
A new DeFi wave on L1 (unlikely with current gas fees)
Or simply — when the market decides to pump forgotten assets
For now, Ethereum is about patience.
Smart money is flowing into L2, Solana, and high-risk narratives.
🕒 But Time Will Tell...
Today, we debate ETH vs. SOL.
Tomorrow — the bull market ends, and we’ll be discussing entirely different narratives.
Are you SOL or ETH?
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
______________________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Solana's Bearish 5-0 is Locking in a Bearish Reversal to $26.40Solana has recently run up to Horizontal Resistance Zone of $195-$210 aligning with the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 and has begun to impulse downwards with volume to back it. This could be the start of a greater move down that would take SOL back to the low of the distributive range at $95.16. If the level breaks, we would then target a drop down to the $40.72-$26.40 confluence area aligning with the all-time 0.886 retrace as well as the 1.618 extension from previous swing low to high. Only at these levels could we even possibly begin to consider Bullish Entries on Solana.
SOL — Bullish Retest in Motion: Time to Strike?SOL has finally broken through the $180 barrier decisively — a key zone it failed to clear back in May.
Now we’re seeing a retest, which may offer one final dip before continuation. Let’s break down the next high-conviction long opportunity.
🧩 Key Retest Zone: $182–$180
➡️ Retesting Prior Resistance as Support
SOL broke above $180 with conviction and is now pulling back.
➡️ First Reaction at $184
A clean bounce occurred at the anchored VWAP, but this might not be the final low.
➡️ Strong Confluence at $180–$182 Zone
This zone is packed with support elements:
Weekly Open (wOpen): $181.44
nPOC: $180.85
Anchored VWAP: ~$179.90
0.5 Fib retracement (of the larger wave)
0.786 Fib retracement (of the smaller wave)
0.618 Fib Speed Fan — projected for tomorrow’s price path
1H 200 & 233 SMAs supporting from below
SOL is currently trading at yOpen — another key pivot level to watch
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Laddered between $182–$180 (ideal long entry would be at wOpen)
Stop-loss: Invalidation at $173.35
Target (TP): TBFE 1.0: $218.45 / 0.618 Fib retracement: $219.21
R:R: ~1:4.5
Potential Move: ~+20%
🛠 Indicator Used: DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones
For this analysis, I’m using my own published indicator called "DriftLine – Pivot Open Zones " feel free to check it out on my profile.
It helps identify and visualise critical opens (daily, weekly, previous days), providing real-time support/resistance zones.
➡️ You can use it for free — just check my profile under “Scripts” and add it to your chart.
💡 Pro Tip: Support Zones Are Stronger with Confluence
Don’t rely on a single fib or level. When opens, VWAPs, SMAs, and fibs cluster, the probability of a strong reaction increases.
This is how smart traders define clear entries and invalidation.
_________________________________
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SOL CRUSHING-bearish risks developing🔻 4-Hour Bearish Thesis
🔸 Price Action Clues
SOL is currently stalling at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (~$198.18) of the full macro move — a classic profit-taking zone.
Multiple upper wicks and indecisive candles at resistance indicate supply absorption and buyer exhaustion.
After a steep rally, price is moving sideways in a rising wedge/flag, which is a bearish continuation pattern if broken downward.
🔸 Momentum + RSI
RSI at 76 is extended and flattening — often a zone where short-term pullbacks begin.
No confirmed bearish divergence yet, but momentum is weakening compared to earlier stages of the rally.
🔸 Volume Profile
Volume on recent pushes is lower than during breakout, suggesting diminishing bullish conviction.
Bearish if a breakdown below $194 occurs — that's the former breakout level and wedge support.
🧨 4H Breakdown Confirmation
Break below $194 (key short-term support) → opens downside targets:
🔻 $186–$182 (prior breakout base)
🔻 $171 (0.382 Fib retracement zone)
🔻 Daily Bearish Thesis
🔸 Price Action + Key Zone
Price is pressing against the neckline target ($198.18) of the inverse H&S pattern.
Stalling under the red resistance line and 0.5 Fib.
Recent candle closed with a small upper wick + reduced body size, hinting at hesitation after a parabolic run.
🔸 RSI Risk
RSI is at 80.41 — very overbought on daily.
While not immediately bearish on its own, this often precedes either:
Sharp correction, or
Prolonged consolidation
🔸 Fibonacci & Macro Resistance
$198–$200 is a confluence zone of:
0.5 Fib retracement
Previous structural resistance
Measured target of inverse H&S pattern ALREADY HIT.
This is not a great spot to initiate new longs — any weakness here invites a pullback.
⚠️ Invalidation of Bearish Thesis
A strong daily close above $200–$204, ideally with expanding volume, would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward $219 (0.618 Fib).
🧠 Summary:
Yes, there is a short-to-mid-term bearish risk developing on both 4h and daily:
Overbought RSI
Stalling at major Fib resistance
Decreasing momentum
Vulnerable if $194–$195 breaks
Remember: this WILL MOST LIKELY BE A SHORT-SHORT pullback, not a confirmed trend reversal… yet. BUT I'VE INITIATED A STARTING POSITION!
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DrAnkin Smöökëē Whizkee. Edumacational Purpiz Only!






















