SOLUSDT – Double Top Rejection Signals Short-Term WeaknessHi!
SOLUSDT is showing clear signs of short-term exhaustion on the chart. Price was rejected twice from the same resistance zone around 125, forming a classic double top structure. After the second rejection, the ascending trendline that supported the recent move was broken, confirming a loss of bullish momentum. This breakdown increases the probability of a corrective move toward the horizontal support near 122.3–122.0, which aligns with prior structure. As long as the price remains below the broken trendline and resistance zone, downside pressure is favored. A reclaim of the trendline would invalidate this bearish scenario.
Solusdt
SOL: The Equilibrium StandoffSOL sits at $124.66 in pure equilibrium, not discount, not premium, just stuck. The market structure isn't signaling a breakout; it's signaling a standoff. With volume 41% below average and momentum indicators in conflict, this is a wait-for-resolution setup, not a chase-the-move trade.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Price trapped between discount zone ($124.25) and premium ($139.33)
• Bearish swing trend with weak conviction (ADX only 18.1)
• Wick analysis shows war zone: 46.7% lower wick (support) vs 42.7% upper wick (rejection)
• Volume at $1.47M vs $2.51M average, smart money isn't showing up
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• Stochastic screaming overbought at 90.3
• Bearish order block overhead at $128.74 (key supply zone)
• Volume 41% below normal, no institutional confirmation
Bullish Signals:
• MACD just flipped bullish (0.2262 vs -0.0791)
• RSI neutral at 60.8
• MFI neutral at 48.8
The Conflict:
Stochastic overbought while MFI stays neutral, that's momentum divergence. When indicators can't agree, the current move is running on fumes, not fuel.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Rejection & Retest (Higher Probability)
• Trigger: Rejection at $128.74 bearish OB
• Entry: Breakdown below $123.42 (FVG fill)
• Target: $119.15 swing low support
• Stop: 4H close above $128.74
🟢 Scenario B: Structure Flip (Lower Probability)
• Trigger: Reclaim of $139.33 premium zone
• Entry: 4H close above $128.74
• Target: Change of Character (CHoCH) bullish
• Invalidation: Rejection back below $128.74
MY VERDICT
62% confidence bearish lean. Setup favors rejection at resistance into support retest, but weak trend strength (ADX 18.1) means this could chop sideways before resolving. I'm not forcing trades in low-conviction environments, risk management is the difference between chess and checkers.
#SOL/USDT Final Liquidity Zone Before Expansion ?#SOL
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 123.66. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 126.20
First target: 127.76
Second target: 129.00
Third target: 130.74
Don't forget a simple thing: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
SOLUSDT – 4H Chart Analysis. SOLUSDT – 4H Chart Analysis.
SOL is trading inside a descending wedge/compression zone
Price is hugging the lower trendline, indicating that selling pressure is losing strength
Volatility has contracted, hinting at a decision move soon
Support:-
120 – 118 → Immediate support
112 – 110 → Major demand/breakdown level
108 → Last HTF support if panic expands
Resistance:-
126 – 128 → First resistance
132 – 135 → Trendline resistance
140+ → Breakout continuation zone
During Extreme Fear, assets often move sideways near support to absorb sell pressure before direction expansion.
This is a wait-for-confirmation zone, not a blind entry area.
DYOR | NFA
$SOL – Setting Up for a Complacency BounceSolana pulled back aggressively from the $250 high and is now trading around $122, unwinding a big portion of the prior move.
Right now, $130 is capping price on the upside and acting as clear near-term resistance. That said, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a complacency bounce first, possibly dipping into the $107–100 zone before the market makes its next real decision.
My gut feel is that this move may not be over yet. There’s still unfinished business around the $160–180 imbalance area, and if conditions line up, price could push back into that zone before rolling over again. If that happens and structure weakens after the sweep, a deeper breakdown toward the $80–60s wouldn’t be out of the question.
SOL/USDTSolana has broken down from the global ascending channel. A new descending channel has formed, and price is now holding below its midline — a bearish trigger.
At the same time, there are several factors that keep a potential bounce on the table:
• price is sitting on a strong liquidity level,
• a rough but double bullish divergence has formed,
• there is an unfilled deviation around ~$150, making a bounce toward that level logical.
A move toward a channel retest in the $180+ area is possible, but the probability is limited.
⚠️ If the bounce fails, downside levels to watch:
• $100 — psychological level,
• $95 — previous low,
• $76 — major liquidity level.
A sustained break below $76 would be extremely negative — below that, structure deteriorates fast.
Last time this scenario played out, price eventually dropped to $8.
SOL at a Critical Decision Zone – Double Bottom vs ResistanceHi!
Market Context
Solana is trading near a key decision zone after a corrective move from recent highs. Price action suggests short-term bullish attempts, but the broader structure remains mixed.
Technical Structure
Broken Trendline: The descending trendline from the recent high has been broken, indicating a short-term momentum shift.
Double Bottom Formation: A clear double bottom has formed near the $121–$122 area, showing strong buyer reaction and short-term demand.
Support Zone: The horizontal support around $120 remains critical. This level has been tested multiple times and is still holding.
Resistance & Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above $120 and continues higher, a move toward the $125–$126 supply zone is likely. This area previously acted as resistance and may trigger selling pressure.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to sustain above current levels, followed by a breakdown below $120, would invalidate the double bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
Conclusion
While short-term bullish signs are present, confirmation requires continuation above resistance. Until then, SOL remains in a sensitive zone where both scenarios are possible. Risk management is essential around these levels.
SOLUSDT 4hr – Trade idea Price is currently trading inside a range after a strong impulsive move down.
We are seeing multiple fair value gaps below and above, indicating unfinished business on both sides.
Context
Overall structure remains bearish
Price is consolidating near local support
Liquidity has been swept to the downside
Bullish idea
If price holds this support and reclaims the local fair value gap, a move towards the higher timeframe imbalance becomes likely.
Bearish idea
Failure to hold this area could lead to a continuation into the lower fair value gap, completing the downside move.
Are you expecting a range expansion up or further downside first?
MrC
Solana (SOL) Attempting Breakout – Eyes on $145 and $174SOL is currently testing the $126 zone, aiming to reclaim ground after a prolonged downtrend. This level aligns with a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance. A clean breakout above it could trigger a shift in momentum and pave the way for higher targets.
💡 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $120 – $126
Take Profit 1: $145
Take Profit 2: $174
Stop Loss: $112
A strong candle close above $126 could confirm bullish continuation. Watch for volume to support the breakout. If rejected, SOL may retest lower supports—risk management is key.
SOL - BEARISH ACCUMULATION ?? #SOL - Bearish accumulation daily? 🚨
NYSE:PUMP faces intensified legal troubles with a class-action lawsuit alleging insider trading and market manipulation.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL - FUD is still ongoing following the bad news for the ecosystem. 📉
Current price of #SOL remains pretty bearish on a daily basis & stuck under key previous support!🚨📉
Another bearish break under 120 could lead to a sharp dump & exit liquidity toward the 102 - $ 100 monthly demand zone!
Bulls must push above the main daily downtrend & at least the $ 132 resistance to gain traction!
Are you bull or bear? 🟩🟥
🐸More data in my chart fam!
⚠️ Not financial advice - DYOR.
New Court Case DISASTEROUS for SOLANA?Quite silently, Solana may be heading into one of the most consequential legal challenges it has faced to date.
The implications reach far beyond short-term market of SOL -it will likely affect MANY more crypto's and projects.
A US federal judge has recently (past few days) approved a class action lawsuit to proceed against several parties tied to the Solana ecosystem, including Solana Labs and entities connected to PumpFun. This isn’t speculative rumors; the court has ruled that the claims presented are substantial enough to warrant deeper examination.
The argument of the case is an allegation that cuts directly into Solana’s technical design. Plaintiffs argue that certain insiders benefited from preferential access created by the network’s validator structure and transaction-ordering mechanisms. In practice, this allegedly allowed privileged actors to enter positions earlier, exit faster, and systematically offload risk onto retail participants.
The court’s decision suggests regulators and judges are increasingly willing to scrutinize not just token issuers or apps, but the underlying blockchain infrastructure itself when assessing fairness and market access. Therefore, it could be consequential for the rest of the crypto market as well in the near to long term.
That framing introduces a serious existential risk.
SOL/USDT – Major Support Zone the Key to Bullish Continuation?SOL/USDT on the weekly timeframe (1W) remains in a long-term bullish market structure, despite the current corrective phase. The rejection from the major resistance area around 240 – 250 USDT has triggered a healthy pullback. As long as the key support zone holds, the broader uptrend structure remains valid.
This correction is best interpreted as a reset phase, not a trend reversal.
---
Market Structure & Price Action
From a structural perspective, SOL continues to print:
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (macro bullish structure)
Signs of distribution near major resistance
A controlled pullback toward a high-probability demand zone
Identified Price Pattern
Range Distribution → Minor Breakdown → Deep Retracement
Bullish continuation setup while holding demand
The yellow zone 94 – 78 USDT represents:
Previous weekly resistance turned support
Strong institutional demand zone
A key reaction area from the last major impulsive move
---
Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance:
240 – 250 USDT
Intermediate Support / Reaction Zone:
120 – 130 USDT
Key Support (Yellow Zone):
94 – 78 USDT
Bullish Invalidation Level:
A strong weekly close below 78 USDT
---
Bullish Scenario
If price:
Holds the 94 – 78 USDT zone
Forms bullish weekly confirmation (long lower wick, bullish engulfing, strong close above support)
Potential upside path:
1. Bounce toward 125 – 140 USDT
2. Continuation to 180 – 200 USDT
3. Retest of 240 – 250 USDT
4. A confirmed breakout opens the door for new all-time highs
Bullish Conclusion:
The yellow zone acts as a high-confidence buy-the-dip area on the weekly structure, as long as it remains intact.
---
Bearish Scenario
If price:
Closes decisively below 78 USDT on the weekly timeframe
Fails to reclaim the key support zone
Then the risk shifts to:
1. Breakdown of the macro bullish structure
2. Decline toward 60 – 55 USDT
3. Extension toward 40 – 30 USDT (historical support region)
Bearish Conclusion:
A confirmed weekly breakdown below 78 USDT signals a long-term trend reversal, not just a correction.
---
Final Conclusion
SOL remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframe, and the current pullback is still considered healthy and technical.
The 94 – 78 USDT zone is the decisive level that will determine the next major move:
Hold → bullish continuation
Break → macro trend shift
Patience and weekly candle confirmation are crucial.
---
#SOLUSDT #Solana #CryptoAnalysis #WeeklyChart #KeySupport #DemandZone #BullishStructure #AltcoinMarket #PriceAction #MarketStructure
SOLUSD - December Distribution Structure
Executive Summary
COINBASE:SOLUSD has declined approximately 52 percent from its November 2024 all-time high of 264 USD to current levels around 126 USD. This analysis examines the technical structure, on-chain metrics, and fundamental catalysts to determine high-probability trade zones. The evidence suggests further downside toward the 100-115 USD accumulation zone before a sustainable recovery can begin.
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview
Solana is currently trading within a descending channel that formed after the November 2024 peak. The structure shows:
Lower highs at 264, 220, 180, and 145 USD forming clear descending resistance
Lower lows indicating sustained selling pressure
Current price testing the 125-130 USD zone which previously acted as resistance in October 2024
Volume declining on bounces and increasing on selloffs - classic distribution signature
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
140-145 USD - Recent swing high rejection zone
160-165 USD - Previous support turned resistance
180-185 USD - Major structural resistance
Support Zones:
115-120 USD - Minor support, likely to break
100-105 USD - Major support, November 2024 breakout origin
85-90 USD - Secondary support if macro deteriorates
Moving Average Analysis
Price is trading below the 20, 50, and 200 period moving averages on the daily timeframe
The 20 MA has crossed below the 50 MA, confirming short-term bearish momentum
The 200 MA is flattening and beginning to slope downward
Moving averages are fanning out in bearish alignment
RSI and Momentum
Daily RSI is currently in the 35-40 range, approaching oversold but not yet at extreme levels
RSI has been making lower highs alongside price, confirming the downtrend
No bullish divergence present yet - divergence at the 100-115 zone would be a strong buy signal
Weekly RSI has room to decline further before reaching oversold extremes seen at previous bottoms
Volume Profile
High volume node exists at the 100-115 USD zone from the November 2024 accumulation period
Current price zone shows relatively low volume, suggesting lack of strong buyer interest
Volume has been declining during recent bounce attempts - weak demand
A volume spike at the 100-115 zone would confirm institutional accumulation
Fibonacci Retracement
Measuring from the September 2024 low of 120 USD to the November 2024 high of 264 USD:
0.382 retracement: 209 USD - Already broken
0.5 retracement: 192 USD - Already broken
0.618 retracement: 175 USD - Already broken
0.786 retracement: 151 USD - Already broken
Full retracement: 120 USD - Currently testing
The breakdown through the 0.786 level suggests the move is corrective in nature and a full retracement to the 100-120 USD origin zone is probable.
On-Chain and Fundamental Analysis
Network Activity Metrics
Solana network statistics show mixed signals:
Daily active addresses have declined from peak levels during the meme coin mania
Transaction counts remain elevated compared to other Layer 1 networks
Total Value Locked in Solana DeFi protocols has decreased from highs
NFT trading volume on Solana marketplaces has cooled significantly
Supply Distribution
Large holder concentration remains high with significant whale wallet activity
Exchange inflows have increased in recent weeks, indicating selling pressure
Staking participation remains strong, reducing liquid supply
FTX bankruptcy estate continues systematic liquidation of SOL holdings
Macro Factors Affecting Solana
Bearish Catalysts:
Federal Reserve December 2025 meeting maintained hawkish stance with fewer rate cuts projected for 2026
Risk-off sentiment affecting high-beta assets disproportionately
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD dominance rising, indicating capital rotation from altcoins to Bitcoin
Regulatory uncertainty regarding Solana ETF approval timeline
FTX estate selling pressure creating persistent supply overhang
Meme coin speculation that drove the 2024 rally has cooled substantially
Bullish Catalysts:
Solana network upgrades improving transaction throughput and reliability
Growing institutional interest in Solana ecosystem projects
Potential Solana ETF approval could drive significant inflows
Strong developer activity and ecosystem growth metrics
Firedancer client development progressing, promising improved network performance
Solana remains the preferred chain for new DeFi and consumer applications
Competitive Positioning
Solana maintains advantages over competing Layer 1 networks:
Transaction costs remain significantly lower than BITSTAMP:ETHUSD mainnet
Transaction speed and finality superior to most competitors
Developer ecosystem continues expanding despite price decline
Institutional partnerships and integrations increasing
However, challenges persist:
Network outages and congestion issues have damaged reputation
Centralization concerns regarding validator distribution
Competition from Ethereum Layer 2 solutions intensifying
Regulatory classification uncertainty in United States
Whale and Institutional Activity
Recent on-chain data indicates:
Large wallets have been net sellers over the past 30 days
Exchange deposits from whale addresses have increased
Institutional funds have reduced Solana allocation according to fund flow data
However, accumulation signals are appearing at lower price levels
The pattern suggests distribution at current levels with potential accumulation beginning at the 100-115 USD zone.
Trade Framework
Primary Scenario - Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability)
The weight of evidence supports further downside before a sustainable bottom forms:
Technical structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows
Price below all major moving averages
Macro environment unfavorable for risk assets
On-chain metrics showing distribution
No bullish divergence on momentum indicators yet
Short Setup:
Entry Zone: 130-140 USD on relief bounces
Stop Loss: Above 148 USD
Target 1: 115-118 USD
Target 2: 105-108 USD
Target 3: 95-100 USD
Secondary Scenario - Accumulation at Support
The 100-115 USD zone represents a high-conviction long opportunity if confirmation signals appear:
This zone was the origin of the November 2024 rally
High volume node from previous accumulation period
Full Fibonacci retracement level
Psychological round number support at 100 USD
Long Setup:
Entry Zone: 100-115 USD
Stop Loss: Below 92 USD
Target 1: 130-135 USD
Target 2: 150-160 USD
Target 3: 180-200 USD
Confirmation Signals Required for Long Entry:
Bullish RSI divergence on daily timeframe
Volume spike on bullish candle at support
Price reclaiming the 20 period moving average
Higher low formation on 4-hour timeframe
Decrease in exchange inflows from whale wallets
Risk Management
Position sizing should not exceed 2-3 percent of portfolio for short setups
Long setups at the 100-115 zone warrant 3-5 percent allocation due to higher conviction
Scale into positions using 3 tranches rather than single entry
Move stop loss to breakeven after first target achieved
Avoid trading the 120-130 USD range without clear directional confirmation
Monitor BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price action as correlation remains high
Invalidation Levels
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Daily close above 150 USD with increasing volume
Price reclaims 50 and 200 moving averages
RSI breaks above 60 with momentum
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Daily close below 92 USD
Volume spike on breakdown below 100 USD
Bitcoin breaks below 75000 USD triggering broader market selloff
Timeline Expectations
Short-term (1-4 weeks): Expect continued weakness toward 100-115 USD support zone
Medium-term (1-3 months): Potential basing pattern formation if support holds
Long-term (3-6 months): Recovery rally possible if macro conditions improve and Solana-specific catalysts materialize
Conclusion
COINBASE:SOLUSD is in a clear distribution phase following the November 2024 peak. The technical structure, on-chain metrics, and macro environment all point to further downside before a sustainable bottom forms.
The 100-115 USD zone represents the highest probability accumulation area based on:
Historical significance as the November 2024 breakout origin
Fibonacci full retracement level
High volume node from previous accumulation
Psychological support at 100 USD round number
The recommended approach is patience. Avoid buying at current levels where distribution is occurring. Wait for price to reach the 100-115 USD zone and confirm with bullish divergence and volume signals before establishing long positions.
For traders seeking short exposure, relief bounces to the 130-140 USD zone offer favorable risk-reward entries with defined stops above 148 USD.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct independent research and manage risk appropriately.
Solana (SOL/USD) — Weekly Neckline Test + Ecosystem ContextTimeframe: Weekly
Bias: Long-term bullish / Short-term neutral
COINBASE:SOLUSD Solana is currently trading directly on the weekly head-and-shoulders neckline (~$120–130) following a strong multi-year expansion and a clear 2025 distribution phase.
This area represents a major inflection zone:
Structural neckline support
Long-term trend support
Prior high-volume demand from earlier in the cycle
Technical Scenarios
Bullish Hold
If this zone holds on a weekly closing basis, SOL can base and attempt a reclaim toward $150–180
Acceptance above that range would invalidate the right shoulder and favor longer-term continuation
Bearish Breakdown
Failure to hold near current levels increases the probability of a retest of prior lows, with $100–90 as the next major demand zone
At this stage, price is compressing, not confirming. Weekly closes matter more than intraday volatility.
Ecosystem Perspective (Why SOL Still Matters Long Term)
Beyond the chart, Solana continues to differentiate itself as a high-throughput, low-friction execution layer for real-world and consumer-facing applications.
Key strengths:
Fast finality and low fees enable non-financial, utility-driven use cases
Growing density of consumer apps, tooling, and on-chain UX
Strong builder activity despite volatility in price
Increasing focus on real-world alignment, not just speculative DeFi
The long-term value of SOL is increasingly tied to application depth and ecosystem stickiness, not short-term price momentum.
I’m personally bullish long term and building on Solana through a real-world–anchored ecosystem that uses on-chain incentives to support off-chain infrastructure, compliance, and maintenance workflows. This type of usage benefits from durable chains with low overhead and strong composability, which is where Solana continues to excel.
Final Take
COINBASE:SOLUSD is at a macro decision level
This is not a prediction zone, it’s a confirmation zone
Long-term thesis remains intact as long as higher-timeframe support is respected
Watching weekly closes for direction
Not financial advice. High-risk asset.
SOL/USDT | Struggling! (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see in the daily chart of SOLUSDT, it dropped out of the Demand zone and is now struggling to go back in. Based on the previous analysis, should Solana fail to go back in the demand zone and above, It can drop all the way to $105, to the Bullish Rejection Block, and then make a comeback up.
SOL: Range trading. This is not a trading setup!NOT A TRADING SETUP! Trading plan: If a model similar to the one shown on the chart forms, then we are more likely to reach the upper limit of the range.
We are closely monitoring the development of this model on the four-hour timeframe.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P
SOL - UPDATE:CRYPTOCAP:SOL - Price update:
🔴 Bearish weekly & daily
🟡 Neutral on the H4 view, but possible bearish retest under the 126− 128 previous support! 📉
Momentum remains pretty bearish for now 📉
Key levels to watch:
🎯 126− 128 - 134 ∣ 144 - $145
My bias:
If price is unable to push above 134− 135 & without buy volume, seeing another dump toward 114− 111 or even $ 100 looks realistic.
Trading stance: 🚨
Long positions look unsafe yet without confirmation & fresh buy volume under resistances.
📊More data in my chart.
⚠️ Not financial advice - DYOR.
SOL up or down?We’ve seen a pullback in the market.
There is still potential for Solana to push higher after this correction.
Looking at Bitcoin’s chart, the main low has not been broken yet, which keeps the bullish scenario valid and is a positive sign overall.
Additionally, a reaction from the order block along with the formation of an IFVG could lead to an upside move.
At this point, we have two scenarios and two possible outcomes:
1️⃣ Price continues to the upside, ignores the rejection block, and breaks higher with strong momentum.
2️⃣ With or without tapping into the rejection block, price breaks the last low with strong momentum, confirming a bearish continuation.






















