SP500- Hanging man in resistance, a warning for bullsAfter a nice Pin Bar in support followed by a 4 days uprun is time for the "hanging man" to give us a warning...
Friday's session was dominated by NFP's volatility and I wouldn't have paid much attention to this candle if it hadn't been in resistance.
I expect 3500 zone to be a hard zone to pass by bulls and the index could fall to at least 3200 in the next 2-3 weeks.
I'm looking for selling opportunities.
Sp500future
AUDNZD SUPPORTS S&P500Hello traders!
AUDNZD and S&P500 are in positive correlation, not tick by tick, but mostly they are moving together. Even when we see a deviation, they sooner or later somehow catch up each other.
Well, after recent mess up and down on S&P500, seems like it remains bullish, it's just in consolidation mode before the uptrend resumes and it can be easily supportive by AUDNZD currency pair, where we see a quite clear three-wave corrective decline within uptrend. It's mainly because of strong Australian Dollar in risk-on sentiment.
So, with current strong bounce on both, AUDNZD and S&P500, seems like we will probably see them back to highs in the upcoming days/weeks, especially if AUDNZD starts breaking above channel resistance line. Generally speaking, stocks remain bullish, so as Aussie in risk-on sentiment, we just have to be aware of short-term, intraday corrective pullback early next week.
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Still aiming at 3000! 🎯Due to the bullish action, we had to update our chart. We put a bullish alternative on the chart. At the moment, the bears are still in charge of the chart, and we see them aiming at the 3000 point mark. However, our alternative scenario depicted by alt. and the dashed arrows must be taken into account with a high percentage of 42%. Price action is in a crucial area right now. If the bulls manage to break above the Resistance at 3550, the SP500 could be on the breakout to 3800 and higher. Our primary expectation under the mentioned 3550 remains a further decline to about 3000. For further confirmation, we need some bearish action and prices to drop at least under the 3460 mark.
The end is near! 🔚 🌍 The earth is turning against us, and it's time for us to board the spaceships leaving for Kepler-186f. Just kidding, it's not that bad!
However, we still have to expect another -15% in the S&P500 for the upcoming weeks. Our target area for the correction lies between 2900 and 2650. From there, we expect major support by the bulls and a turnaround towards higher quotations. The next hurdle the bears face on their way down is the last low at around 3200 points. This support has to be broken for a final confirmation of the correction.
What's your expectation for the upcoming weeks?
Stay save and happy trading!
Biggest Short Correction in Years (BE CAREFUL)We are very close to experiencing the biggest correction in years in the main US indexes.
We can observe a clear divergence between the index dollar and the S&P500, when it should be a mirror. Something says something smells bad.
We must bear in mind that the SP500 is at a significant top and that it is highly unlikely to break it due to the current social, economic and political situation. Also, all growth has been financed by the FED so there is a clear disconnect from reality and current affairs.
Analyzing this scenario, we are seeing a potential strong long-term pullback, probably in a few months.
- I would like you to comment on your ideas and opinions, that enriches us.
Just wait for confirm this PullbackCURRENCYCOM:US100 Right now ,we waiting for conformation for this pullback, that's depends of U.S fiscal package before the U.S. presidential elections next month, Pelosi announce a dead line on Tuesday, if the don't reach an agreement, this aids couldn't happened before November 3rd... if this pullback confirm we can arrive to 3.800-3.900 very soon
SP500- A new drop to 3k zone is my ideaAfter reaching an all time high at 3600, SP corrected to 3200 zone and now is in a correction of this first leg down.
I expect rallies to be caped at 3.5k zone and a new leg down can start from there.
My target for SP in the medium term is 3k zone but with upcoming elections I would be very careful with shorting US Indice
S&P 500 BROKE AND RETEST PLAY - UpdateSP 500
Has managed to broke the upside trendline yesterday.From 3212.00 level it has rejected twice and makes a minor double bottom pattern and bounced after the primary touch in lower trendline.And managed broke the upside barrier
we are expecting broke and Retest towards the lowerside support level comes around 3277.00 which is coordinating with trendline.From this level we can expect some buying activities and the potential target would be 3450.00 within this range 50% Fibonacci retracement level will act as testing ground for both the bull and bear
The bigger dissimilar falling wedge pattern has formed too which is a clear sign of bulls taking some rest to move further towards north..It's a September midterm correction as the end starts the Bull is awake and ready to bounce back towards 3600.00
USA Presidential election will Influence the direction of market we can expect unusual market volatility in coming days
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Just a hick up on the way to 4k?
We think not. Our primary expectation is, that the SP500 is geared for a bigger correction as indicated on the chart. Our target is the region around 2900 points. From there we expect new all time highs in the long run. Right now the bears should keep the index below 3502 points. If we see a break out above this resistance our primary scenario is no longer valid. The outcome would be quotations above 3600. The following days will be crucial as we are approaching the target area for wave B in orange, where the resversal should happen.
What do you think, new ATHs or drop below 3k?
Happy Trading !
SP500 look for the 0618 🦐SP500 on the daily after going back at the previous high around 3400 level got rejected twice by the ema 21.
Price broke the daily support and can look now for the lower trendline which also correspond to the 0618 level of the previous bullish leg.
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Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
It's Monday, not doomsday! ☕
Starting the week, the S&P500 continues the primary expectation and reaches the first target area for the current decline. On Sunday, the U.S. reported 32,186 new coronavirus cases, and several European countries have also seen a steady increase in COVID 19 cases over the past 24 hours spreading pessimism amongst investors. The World Health Organization predicts that daily coronavirus deaths in Europe will increase in October and November, raising concerns about a possible second lockdown in Europe. Meanwhile, several major banks have reportedly transferred large amounts of illegal funds over a period of almost two decades. HSBC, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Standard Chartered, and Bank of New York Mellon are among the banks involved in the report.
The minimum target for the current decline remains within the range of 3200 points. Below 3049 points, the way is paved for significantly lower quotations in the range of 2800 points. Since we expect new all-time highs in the long term, we will use the current drop to open long positions and thus position ourselves for the next rally.
In conclusion, we expect the current drop to reach the area of 3200 points before a bounce can be expected. We give the alternative scenario a 38% probability. The primary expectation remains that the index will reach a lower level of 2800 points, which is confirmed below 3049 points. However, in both scenarios, we expect at least a corrective bounce from the yellow target box, which will push the market back up towards 3440 points.
Grab some coffee, be awesome, and enjoy your trading day!
S&P 500 is not looking good up there! Let's have a look everyoneSo S&P 500 is not looking good on the weekly chart right now.
We got a bull run in 2020 up until 3600 and closed the candle with a long wick, which is bearish in my dictionary.
So if we start to correct right now, let's check the trend.
The Trend is broken by this week. It was not healthy as you can see. What says the indicators?
RSI is since 2018 in a bearish divergence to the actual price.
Macd is also interesting, we are days before a bearish crossing of both lines and as we all know, when the cross happens, the price is already down, so we must see in our crystal balls.
I also got for today my lovely Market Bottom Finder. As you can see the green shows the market on a volatility low end and you can see also macd and rsi showing the same things. A nice indicator to harden your buying intention. So as of now the indicators shows us low volatility, which means we are sitting at a beginning of a wonderful roller coaster.
Are you ready for the action? : )
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Advance Decline Line did great job. What is next?Last week was hot for stock traders. As we discussed SP500 rallied a bit higher and was rejected. The Advance Decline Line did its job perfectly. I think the market can retest 3500 or higher and if rejected, we can sell for 3200. We still can see a big rally this year. Cycles and Fed Funds forecast indicate the beginning of an uptrend at the end of September. Besides, the stock market is usually strong before Elections. But for now, let's focus on very short-term trades.
ES - Expected Price ActionThis is what i am expecting to see. This is the daily chart and i think this can go up to end of September. However, if it doesn't work until mid Sept, then we need to update the trend.
My ES target is $2500 but it's up to economy and covid.
This is not a financial or investment advice.