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1/14 Pre-Market Read - Game plan Pre-market POIs / Game Plan (MNQ 15m) Key context from the chart: • We mapped the session range + prior levels and stacked POIs to create a clean “ladder” for targets. • Important nearby references on your screenshot: Asia High ~25926, Asia Low ~25852.50, London High ~25878.75, London Low ~25701, PDL ~25803.25, and upside POIs. My POI Ladder (targets) Upside • POI 1: 25,871.25 • POI 2: 25,920.50 • POI 3: 26,006.00 • POI 4: 26,083.50 • POI 5: 26,106.25 Downside • Bear POI 1: 25,738.75 • Bear POI 2: 25,652.75 • Bear POI 3: 25,615.50 How I’m trading it today (simple rules) Bullish idea • If price reclaims/holds POI 1 (25,871) and starts holding above POI 2 (25,920) → I’m looking for step-ups into POI 3 (26,006) then POI 4/5. • Best entries: retest/hold of POI after a breakout candle (confirmation > guessing). Bearish idea • If price loses PDL (~25,803) and can’t reclaim, that’s a warning. • Break + hold below POI 1 (25,871) opens the door to Bear POI 1 (25,738) then Bear POI 2 (25,652). What to watch at open • Reaction at POI 1 / POI 2 (they’re your “decision levels”). • Sweeps into a POI then immediate reclaim = reversal trigger. • Clean hold above POI = continuation trigger. Not financial advice — just my plan + levels from my system.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
1
APA Corporation (APA) – Weekly ChartThis is what accumulation looks like before the breakout - not after it. APA is entering a classic accumulation + compression phase that most traders completely ignore. Price is tightening inside a well-defined accumulation zone , sitting just below the local resistance at $27.15. No distribution. No panic. Just time being exchanged for structure . This is exactly the phase where markets prepare - quietly. ⸻ What the chart is telling us • Price compression under resistance → pressure is building, not resolving. • Repeated stabilization inside the accumulation zone → supply is being absorbed. • No impulsive selling → this is not a topping structure. When markets stop falling but also stop rising, someone is working orders . ⸻ Key levels • $27.15 → first structural test. A break and hold changes the short-term narrative. • ~$33.00 → major long-term resistance. Only above this level does a true trend expansion become possible. Until then, this remains a pre-decision zone . ⸻ Two possible paths ✔️ Constructive scenario: Price continues to hold the accumulation zone and eventually breaks above 27.15. ⚠️ Patience scenario: Compression extends. No breakout yet. More time spent absorbing supply. Both outcomes are healthy. What’s dangerous is forcing a trade before resolution . ⸻ Question for you Do you prefer: • Observing accumulation before the move starts? or • Reacting after price escapes the range? Markets don’t announce accumulation. They reveal it only to those who watch structure. Let’s hear your thoughts 👇
NASDAQ:APA
by TrendGo_Official
Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: Breakout With A Buffer1. Market Context: Strength at the Surface, Fragility Underneath The NASDAQ-100 futures market currently occupies a rare and structurally important zone. Price is trading above a prior all-time high, yet remains below the most recent all-time high, with only a relatively modest distance separating current price from historical extremes. From a purely technical standpoint, this positioning can be interpreted as constructive. Markets that hold above former highs often retain the potential to transition into renewed expansion and price discovery. However, context matters. This strength exists alongside broader signals of vulnerability across U.S. equity markets—signals that have been explored in prior work and that suggest upside continuation is not guaranteed. This creates a dual-risk environment: Upside risk: missing participation if the NASDAQ resumes trending higher. Downside risk: absorbing full exposure if price fails near historical extremes. In such conditions, directional certainty is low, but volatility risk is high. This is where outright futures exposure may be less efficient, and where options structures can offer a more robust framework. 2. The Problem With Linear Exposure at Elevated Levels Holding NASDAQ-100 futures outright implies linear exposure: Every point higher benefits the position. Every point lower damages it. Near historical highs, that symmetry becomes problematic. A trader must be correct not only on direction, but also on timing. Even a structurally bullish thesis can fail if volatility expands or if price retraces before resuming higher. Linear exposure forces a binary outcome: Be early and absorb drawdowns. Be late and miss opportunity. The goal of this blueprint is to avoid that binary trap by reshaping exposure, not eliminating it. 3. Why Options Are Better Suited for This Environment Options allow traders to separate direction from risk. Rather than committing capital to a single path, options structures can be designed to: Define maximum loss in advance Shift break-even points away from current price Allow time and volatility to work in favor of the position Importantly, this blueprint does not rely on forecasting. It assumes uncertainty and builds around it. The objective is not to predict whether the NASDAQ will break higher or fail lower. The objective is to remain functional across multiple outcomes. 4. Instruments Used: NQ and MNQ Options This structure applies to: NASDAQ-100 E-mini futures options (NQ) NASDAQ-100 Micro E-mini futures options (MNQ) The logic is identical across both contracts. The difference lies in scale: NQ offers larger notional exposure and fewer contracts. MNQ allows finer position sizing, particularly useful when structuring multi-leg options strategies. Both instruments support the same conceptual framework. 5. Introducing the “Breakout With A Buffer” Concept The core idea behind this blueprint is simple: Do not chase price near highs Do not stand aside entirely Create a buffer below price while retaining upside access This is achieved by combining: A bull put spread placed well below current price A long call positioned above current price Together, these components transform uncertainty into a structured payoff. 6. Strategy Construction: Step by Step The structure consists of three legs: Short put at approximately 22,000 Long put at approximately 21,000 Long call at approximately 28,750 The bull put spread generates a net credit. That credit is then used to fund the long call. This matters. Rather than paying outright for upside exposure, the structure monetizes downside stability to finance it. 7. Why a Bull Put Spread and Not a Naked Put Selling naked puts would introduce undefined downside risk, which contradicts the purpose of this blueprint. The long put: Caps downside exposure Converts the position into a defined-risk structure Clarifies the maximum loss from the outset This is not about maximizing credit. It is about controlling tail risk. 8. Strike Selection: Structural, Not Arbitrary The selected put strikes align with: The prior all-time high region A visible concentration of UFOs (UnFilled Orders) acting as structural support UnFilled Orders represent areas where institutional activity previously absorbed selling pressure. Positioning the put spread near such zones introduces a structural buffer, rather than relying on random distance. The call strike, by contrast, is intentionally placed far above current price. This avoids overpaying for near-term momentum and instead positions for a regime where price transitions into sustained expansion. 9. Why This Is Not a Collar or a Covered Strategy It is important to distinguish this blueprint from more common approaches: Collars require long underlying exposure. Covered calls cap upside and remain fully exposed to downside. Outright calls depend heavily on timing and volatility expansion. This structure does none of those things. It: Does not require owning futures Does not cap upside Does not rely on immediate directional movement Instead, it converts time and uncertainty into functional components of the trade. 10. Risk Profile: Defined, Asymmetric, Intentional The resulting payoff has several key characteristics: Maximum risk is limited to the width of the put spread (approximately 1,000 NASDAQ points), adjusted for net credit. Break-even is pushed far below current price, near the 22,000 area. Moderate upside benefits from both time decay on the put spread and directional exposure through the call. Strong upside allows the long call to dominate the payoff. This asymmetry is intentional. The structure sacrifices linear gains in exchange for survivability. 11. Scenario Analysis At the time of constructing this case study, NASDAQ-100 futures trade near 25,900. Possible outcomes: Gradual advance: The put spread decays, the call gains sensitivity. Strong breakout: The call drives returns. Sideways consolidation: Time decay works in favor of the structure. Moderate decline: The buffer absorbs volatility. Deep decline below support: The defined maximum loss is realized. Every outcome is known in advance. That clarity is the edge. 12. Volatility Considerations This structure is volatility-aware: Short puts benefit from volatility contraction. Long calls benefit from volatility expansion during upside moves. Rather than betting on volatility direction, the structure balances exposure across regimes. 13. NQ vs MNQ Implementation For NQ: Fewer contracts Larger notional exposure Greater margin efficiency per leg For MNQ: More granular sizing Easier scaling Reduced psychological pressure per contract The strategy logic remains unchanged. 14. Contract Specifications NQ Tick size: 0.25 points = $5 MNQ Tick size: 0.25 points = $0.50 Options multipliers mirror the futures contracts. Margin requirements vary by broker and volatility regime, currently: NQ margin requirement = $33,500 per contract MNQ margin requirement = $3,350 per contract 15. Risk Management Is the Strategy Defined risk does not remove responsibility. This blueprint requires: Proper sizing Acceptance of worst-case outcomes Discipline in structure selection Options do not eliminate uncertainty. They make it visible. 16. Key Takeaways Elevated markets demand adaptive exposure. Options allow participation without blind commitment. The Breakout With A Buffer blueprint prioritizes risk clarity first, opportunity second. This framework is reusable whenever markets hover near historical extremes amid conflicting signals. Data Consideration When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by traddictiv
MINISO Group Holding (MNSO) - Accumulation Phase After DowntrendMINISO is currently displaying a clear accumulation structure following a prolonged corrective phase. After the prior impulse move higher, price entered a controlled downtrend and has now stabilized back around the long-term mean, where TrendGo Accumulate has been consistently active . This is an important shift in behavior: instead of acceleration to the downside, price is now moving sideways with reduced volatility , suggesting absorption of supply rather than distribution. TrendGo System Read • Accumulate: Multiple accumulation signals have appeared during the base-building phase, historically aligning with areas where downside pressure fades and positioning begins. • Structure: Price is holding around the long-term reference line, forming a flat, compressed range rather than lower lows. • Context: Institutional volume remains low, which often characterizes early-stage accumulation rather than late-cycle breakouts. What matters next This is not a breakout environment yet - it is a preparatory phase . For a constructive continuation, we want to see: • Sustained holding above the accumulation zone • Gradual expansion in range and participation • Follow-through rather than single-candle reactions If price fails to hold the base, the accumulation thesis weakens and the structure resets. TrendGo perspective This is how trends are born quietly - compression first, expansion later. No prediction, no urgency. Context before decisions. The question is not “ will it go up tomorrow? ” The real question is whether this base is being respected over time.
NYSE:MNSO
by TrendGo_Official
Market Re-cap and structure of the dayMarket Type: Breakout → Trend Day Up Bias: Bullish once PDH reclaimed Result: + $128 | 4W / 1L Key Levels I respected PDH: 25,844.75 NY AM High: ~25,880 POI ladder acted as clean targets + reaction zones (POI4/5/6 area) What price did today (simple) Early AM was choppy / ORB filters blocked some entries (good… no forced trades). Once price reclaimed PDH, it confirmed buyers. Breakout pushed into NY AM High, then we got continuation candles = the edge window. Later in the day, entries started showing “too late / low volume” → that’s the sign momentum is extended and risk increases. My best trades / why they worked ✅ Took longs after PDH reclaim + strength candles ✅ Used POIs as targets, not hope ✅ Stayed with the trend during the best time window The mistake (and the lesson) ❌ One late trade = reduced edge (post push / extension / “too late” conditions) Rule reminder: If the system is warning “too late,” either size down or shut it down. What I’m focused on next session Wait for PDH reclaim + pullback continuation Don’t chase after big candles Trade the clean window, protect the green
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
Zcash: Mapping the Multi-Layer Retest | Path to Trendline RetestZcash will enter a critical decision phase if price falls and holds under $491, which suggests a potential shift in momentum that places us in a consolidation range. We would then be operating within a consolidation box potentially. My focus is on the multi-layered support structure below us. Near-Term Bullish Structure: We must hold the $473–$479 area. A bounce and break back above the 490s here keeps the immediate momentum intact. The Fake-out Risk: Watch $468 closely. "Prior highs become support" logic suggests a bounce point, Could be a potential fake-out zone to catch late shorts chasing a trendline breakdown—don't get trapped. The Mid-Layer: Below the potential fake-out zone, we have a secondary structural layer encompassing the prior and secondary highs. The Macro Target: The actual trendline retest—and the highest-probability entry—sits in the $432–$435 confluence zone. This is the 3rd layer where the full breakout logic is truly tested. ⚠️ Risk Management & Invalidation While the outlook remains constructive above the trendline, we must respect the downside risk: The Red Flag: If price falls and closes under $425, the bullish retest thesis is under significant pressure. Structural Breakdown: A break under the $390–$405 zone would suggest that the probability of a further breakdown has increased significantly. The "C-Wave" Scenario: Losing the $390 level could trigger a major C-Wave correction, potentially leading to a deep retracement as low as the mid-$200s.
CRYPTO:ZECUSDShort
by Entrenched
AUDCAD - HTF Bullish | Engineered Pullback | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Manipulation → Correction → Delivery State: Speculation / Tracking Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context AUDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, keeping the expectation for continuation valid. ⸻ Mid-Term Structure & Liquidity Price first swept mid-term inducement, then mitigated into a mid-term order block, ultimately rotating into the orange HTF order block located on the left side of the chart. From that zone: • Accumulation began to form • Buyers stepped in • Price delivered a clean expansion ⸻ Market Cycle Behavior Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase, accompanied by manipulative behavior. At this stage, I’m waiting for price to: • Exhaust the manipulation • Sweep internal liquidity • Potentially clear external liquidity • Rotate back into the accumulation area This aligns with how the market often engineers continuation within a bullish structure. ⸻ Forward Expectation If price returns into accumulation and holds: • I’ll be looking for a corrective phase • Followed by delivery in line with the HTF bullish bias Execution will depend on confirmation, not assumption. ⸻ Mindset This remains speculation mode. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Structure engineers the move. Until price confirms, we stay patient and let the market do the work. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
USDCAD - HTF Bullish | Liquidity Sweeps Complete | Tracking Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery State: Tracking / Speculation Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context USDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe. Although price has traded into the mid-term range, this is acceptable within a bullish framework — this is why we track, not rush. ⸻ Liquidity & Market Work Price has already: • Swept internal dealing range (IDM) liquidity • Cleared external range liquidity • Taken HTF minor liquidity This is advanced market work, and it’s exactly why patience and tracking are the edge — the market is doing the heavy lifting. ⸻ Price Behavior & Cycle Read From a higher-timeframe perspective, price delivered a wick tap, signaling reaction at a key level. From there, we observed: • Accumulation • Followed by expansion • Transition into distribution Price is now correcting, positioning itself for the next delivery phase. ⸻ Forward Outlook At this stage, I’m not forcing a bias on execution. I’ll continue to track how price unfolds over the coming sessions, allowing structure and liquidity to confirm the next move. ⸻ Mindset This is speculation territory. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Let the market do the work. We’ll see how it develops this week. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
USDCHF - HTF Bullish | Range Behavior | Conditional ContinuationBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery State: Speculation / Tracking Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context USDCHF remains bullish from previous weeks, with the higher timeframe structure holding firm. Price continues to trade within a defined range, respecting the broader bullish framework. ⸻ Mid-Term Structure & Reaction Price previously accumulated and mitigated into a mid-term order block (orange zone, left of chart), where buyers showed up with a clean bullish reaction. From that zone: • Accumulation formed • A strong bullish push followed • Leading into a clear expansion phase ⸻ Distribution & Current Behavior Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase. Selling pressure pushed price lower, but it quickly bounced back into the accumulation area, forming what now appears to be a correction zone, not a reversal. This behavior suggests rebalancing, not structural failure. ⸻ Execution Scenarios From here, I’m watching two potential paths: Scenario 1 — Deeper Correction • Price sweeps sell-side liquidity on lower timeframes • Trades into the green accumulation / pivot order block • Buyers step in, leaving clear bullish footprints • Buy opportunities considered from that zone Scenario 2 — Strength Continuation • Price shows strong momentum • Fully breaks the mid-term lower high • Confirms bullish realignment without deeper discount In both cases, liquidity must be taken before execution is considered. ⸻ Mindset This is still speculation territory. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Structure leads execution. Until confirmation prints, we wait. Let smart money show the hand. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD - HTF Bullish|Patience Over Prediction|Tracking The CycleBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery State: Tracking / Speculation Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context EURUSD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, and this has not changed. This is why I consistently stress one thing across every post: Tracking is the edge. Patience is the key. A lot of traders got burned here — not because structure failed, but because they rushed the phase. ⸻ Market Cycle Read Price has clearly fallen out of the distribution phase, something that was visible early for those tracking structure instead of chasing moves. We saw: • A clean expansion out of the accumulation area • Confirmation that buyers were still active • Proof that the higher-timeframe bullish narrative remained intact Fast hands paid the price. Patient hands followed the footprints. ⸻ Mid-Term Structure Alignment Mid-term structure rotated exactly where it was meant to: • Into the HTF internal framework structure order block • A lower high was broken, confirming bullish realignment • A new high was printed, followed by a minor reaction This reaction is information, not weakness. ⸻ Current Focus From the recent accumulation → expansion → distribution, price is now disputing away, suggesting the market is preparing for its next corrective phase. What I want to see next: • Full mitigation back into the accumulation zone • Additional timeframe confirmation • Alignment before targeting higher highs No chasing. No guessing. ⸻ Mindset Beginners react late. Professionals follow clues and footprints. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Structure never lies. Until price gives confirmation, we wait. Let smart money lead. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
EURGBP - HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation |EURGBP — HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation | Speculation Phase Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery State: Speculation / Tracking Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context EURGBP remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with overall mappings unchanged from previous weeks. Structure continues to hold bullish, keeping the directional bias intact. ⸻ Mid-Term Behavior On the mid-term, price has shown distribution behavior, clearly marked in red, which has disrespected the prior internal cycle and cleared the path for rebalancing. This move is viewed as a corrective phase, not a reversal. ⸻ Market Theory & Point of Interest From a bullish auction theory perspective, price is rotating back into a higher-timeframe internal framework structure order block — the same accumulation area that previously fueled expansion. This zone remains the key point of interest. ⸻ Execution Plan Once price achieves full mitigation into this test area, I’ll be looking for: • Stabilization within the POI • A corrective reaction to the upside • Conditions aligning for continuation delivery higher, in line with the HTF bullish bias Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before execution. ⸻ Mindset For now, this remains speculation only. Patience is needed. Tracking is the edge. Let structure lead. Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
HTF Bullish | AMD in Play | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery State: Speculation / Tracking Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context As price is visualized on the higher timeframes, the market remains in a bullish phase, with structure continuously breaking to the upside. Price has expanded aggressively and is currently holding near the highs, reinforcing bullish control. ⸻ Market Cycle Read Although price appears to be in a distribution zone following expansion, the structure aligns cleanly with an AMD model: • Accumulation formed at the base • Manipulation cleared liquidity • Distribution delivering price lower This suggests the current pause is part of a healthy cycle, not exhaustion. ⸻ Framework & Point of Interest If price distributes back into the internal framework structure / order block area, that zone becomes the focus. From there, I’ll be watching for: • Stabilization and mitigation • A corrective phase • Conditions aligning for continuation of delivery within the broader bullish cycle ⸻ Execution Conditions (LTF) Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before participation: • Bullish reaction from the POI • Bearish structure invalidation (lower high break) • Pullback forming a new accumulation buy zone ⸻ Mindset For now, this is speculation only. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Let smart money lead. Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPJPY - HTF Bullish | High-Range Consolidation | Distribution Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Consolidation → Distribution → Mitigation → Realignment → Delivery State: Speculation / Tracking Execution: Conditional ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context GBPJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, showing strong continuation characteristics. Structurally, this setup closely mirrors AUDJPY, with price currently holding near the highs. ⸻ Current Phase Price is consolidating at premium levels, which increases the probability of a distribution phase. From here, I’m anticipating a potential move lower to fill inefficiencies resting beneath price. This would be a healthy corrective move, not a bearish shift. ⸻ HTF / Mid-Term Point of Interest Below current price: • Liquidity rests above and around key levels • Order blocks sit underneath that liquidity • Clear inducement present If price drops into this zone and mitigates cleanly, that area becomes the focus for continuation. ⸻ Lower Timeframe Plan (Realignment) Within the accumulation area, I’ll be watching lower timeframes for bullish realignment: Required confirmations: • A bullish reaction from the POI • A lower high being broken (bearish structure invalidation) • A pullback on the bullish leg, forming a new accumulation buy zone ➡️ This would open the door for the next delivery leg higher. ⸻ Invalidation If price: • Fails to show bullish reaction • Continues to respect bearish structure • Does not break the lower high ➡️ No longs taken. Price likely seeks deeper discount. ⸻ Mindset Currently in speculation mode. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Structure leads execution. Until then — we wait and let price confirm. Let’s go. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDJPY - HTF Bullish | Distribution * Mitigation Watch Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe) Model: Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery Execution: Conditional State: Patience / Tracking ⸻ Higher Timeframe Context AUDJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with structure consistently printing higher highs. Directional bias remains intact — no HTF structural damage at this stage. ⸻ Current Phase After expanding into the highs, price has entered a distribution zone, showing signs of manipulative behavior. This suggests price may dispute lower to rebalance inefficiencies before the next move. ⸻ Mid-Term Point of Interest I’m watching for a potential move into a mid-term order block / point of interest. From this zone, I want to see: • Stabilization and holding behavior • A clean correction phase • Conditions forming for the next delivery leg higher ⸻ Lower Timeframe Conditions If on the lower timeframes: • Structure fails to hold • A lower high is broken • Bullish confluences do not print ➡️ Then this becomes a no-trade environment. In that case, price is likely seeking deeper liquidity and more discounted territory before continuation. ⸻ Mindset Currently in speculation mode. Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge. Structure leads. That’s the money lead. Until then — we let price show its hand. 📈🔥
Long
by Juicemannn