Supply_and_demand
A perfect Supply and Demand USDCADA perfect Supply and Demand is created by the market on daily time frame, But maybe possible a little bit Liquidity sweep maybe created before down trend on above the supply zone ...
IMPORTANT POINTS;
PAIR: USDCAD
TIME FRAME: Daily
Liquidity sweeps maybe created by market makers be aware
Always put STOPLOSS
USD/JPY - Bank of Japan Holds Rates, Inflation RisingFX:USDJPY #USDJPY #Forex #Trading #FXAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BankOfJapan #ForexTrader #DayTrading #SwingTrading
The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged while raising its inflation forecast. This signals caution but also optimism that cooperation with the U.S. could help stabilize Japan’s economy.
On the chart, we see key demand zones (red) holding as potential support, with upside targets toward 148.700 – 149.200 (green key zones). If price sustains above the demand area, bullish momentum could push USD/JPY higher into these resistance levels.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals around support before entering long positions.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
USDX: demand zone holds but downside pressure remainsThe US dollar index remains under pressure, trading within a descending channel. The recent bounce from the support zone around 96.30–96.90 stalled at the EMAs and the supply zone near 98.30–98.60, where sellers reappeared. On the 4H chart, price has failed to sustain above 97.80, keeping the bearish scenario in play.
It is also important to note that the index is trading below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish bias and signaling that sustainable recovery is less likely without strong fundamental catalysts.
If 96.90 breaks, the next downside target is 96.30, followed by 95.40. Stronger bearish momentum could even push the index toward 94.00, signaling further dollar weakness. For now, 96.30 acts as the key support barrier.
From a fundamental perspective, the dollar index remains weighed down by expectations of a dovish Fed and lower yields. Any hawkish surprise from Fed officials could lift price back toward 98.50, but the structure still favors bearish continuation.
This is exactly the kind of situation where market expectations diverge from reality, and the longer it lasts the more it feels like a trend reversal is near. But as always, emotions must be set aside — we wait for clear signals, not illusions.
GBPUSD overhead supply keeps pressure, downside targets in focusGBPUSD once again tested the main supply zone around 1.3740, from where the market has repeatedly reversed lower. On the daily chart, the pair shows a series of lower highs, and the close below local support signals growing seller pressure.
The first downside target is near 1.3350, where initial profit-taking may occur. The next area is 1.3175, a stronger support level established earlier in the year. If bearish momentum develops further, 1.2900 becomes the key downside target to watch.
From a fundamental perspective, the pound remains under pressure due to Bank of England policy uncertainty, weak UK economic data, and the relatively hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve supporting the dollar. As long as the market trades below 1.3740, the bias remains toward the downside.
Apple (AAPL): Price Nears Critical Supply Zone at All-Time HighsApple’s chart is currently showing signs of caution as the price climbs into a significant supply area. Both the weekly and daily timeframes highlight strong supply zones that traders should carefully observe.
Weekly Supply Zone
On the weekly chart , Apple is approaching a very strong supply zone
The supply area coincides with all-time highs , making it even more significant.
🔎 Daily Supply Zone Confluence 🔎
The daily chart adds further weight to this setup:
The current daily supply zone is nested inside the weekly supply zone .
This supply zone is powerful because its follow-through candle not only rejected higher prices but also broke the uptrend trendline .
In simple terms, this supply zone has already shown its strength once by shifting the trend from up to down .The fact that this zone caused a trend change earlier makes it a major obstacle for bulls.
Now that price is revisiting this zone again, it signals a possible area for profit booking.
With Apple near its all-time highs and supply confluence in place, risk-reward favors caution.
🎯 Trading Perspective
Traders should keep an eye on this zone, Consider booking profits as price approaches this heavy supply area.
“Strong supply zones often act like brick walls — they don’t break easily without significant force.”
⚡ At these levels, patience and discipline are key — don’t let greed take over when charts are signaling caution. 📉🍏
💡 Trading is not about catching every move — it’s about protecting capital and letting opportunities come to you. 🚀📊
Gold Regains Direction: Watching Momentum and CluesLooking at the XAUUSD chart, I’m genuinely intrigued by what’s unfolding. Price continues to move steadily within an upward parallel channel, perfectly respecting the market structure, while we are starting to see early signs of renewed buying interest right after a strong rejection at the support zone.
At the moment, I’m focusing on the area around 3,721, near the upper boundary of the channel, as a safe target. If the upward momentum continues with strength and solid volume, this could present a strategic opportunity to enter the market and ride the trend.
Patience is key; I only take action when the price proves its true strength. The market may continue its strong uptrend or create a false move before a deeper correction.
EUR/AUD - Selling Pressure Below 1.7850 (22.09.2025)#EURAUD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/AUD – Channel Breakout Pattern (30M)
EUR/AUD has broken below the rising channel, confirming a bearish reversal after completing a Head & Shoulders pattern at the top.
🔹 Market Structure:
Clear rejection from the resistance zone (1.7850 – 1.7860)
Breakdown of the bullish channel support
Head & Shoulders formation adding to bearish momentum
🔹 Key Levels:
1st Support: 1.7715
2nd Support: 1.7710
📉 Trading Idea:
As long as EUR/AUD stays below the channel resistance, selling pressure could drive price toward the support levels.
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EURUSD: wedge narrowing with downside targets in sightOn the daily chart, EURUSD has formed a rising wedge pattern, and the current price action indicates readiness for a decline. Attempts to hold above 1.1800 have failed, pressure has increased, and last week’s close can be viewed as a potential false breakout.
The first downside target is at 1.1413, where a strong support level lies. Further targets may shift to 1.0750 and 1.0480 levels that have accumulated significant volume over the past few months. A full breakdown of the wedge would give momentum to the bearish scenario and increase pressure on the euro.
From a fundamental perspective, the picture remains mixed: the 200 EMA capping from above and the sideways movement in the dollar index confirm the likelihood of euro weakness, but every pullback continues to be aggressively bought, preventing a collapse. If the dollar gains additional support from US macroeconomic data or Federal Reserve policy, the bearish scenario will become dominant.
NEAR/USDT - Bearish Outlook for short Term BINANCE:NEARUSDT NEAR/USDt - Channel Breakout with strong volume, looking for strong bearish in upcoming days.
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However, if bearish pressure takes over and breaks the $2.0 to $1.8 support zone, a further decline is likely, with the $1.0 level becoming the next probable target.
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XAUUSD| POSSIBLE SELL MOVE AFTER NEWS EFFECT I am closely monitoring a significant price zone after observing that the market pushed upward, taking out liquidity above the order block (OB) before closing back below it. This movement appears to be influenced by recent news. As the price stabilizes, I am considering a selling opportunity, but only under specific conditions:
1. The price must first sweep Friday's high, then touch and react from the daily order block.
2. There should be a clear change of character (CHOCH) or break of structure (BOS) on the 1-hour chart.
3. A refined entry signal must be established on the 15-minute chart.
4. Execution of the trade can be either through limit orders or instant execution.
If these criteria are met, I will proceed with the trade. Otherwise, I will remain sidelines and wait for the London session, focusing on the potential for Asian liquidity.
NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
AUDJPY – SHORTA short position is proposed upon price rejection from the key resistance area. This area is defined by the confluence of the Supply Zone's POC level and a Dynamic Gann Resistance angle. The target is at the POC level within the next significant Demand Zone.
AUDJPY – SHORT
ENTRY PRICE - 98.150
SL - 99.400
TP - 94.400
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
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Heads Up !! BTC Long Entry Incoming, Don't Miss ItThis is yet another Volume profile VAL long entry that is in line with the LVN of the current rotation we've been in since Sept 11.
Other strong confluences for this entry i did not show on this chart to keep it clean, but visible on my personal chart are
1. Entry is at Monthly VWAP
2. Entry is also at 1 SD from Weekly VWAP
Definitions
VAL - Value Area Low
LVN - Low Volume Node or Area
SD - Standard Deviation
Bitcoin - Will Support Hold?📢 NFX Market Update – COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD bullish rally recently hit resistance at $116,500, and price is now testing the $114,800 support zone. This level is acting as a strong psychological support, following the earlier break through the block order.
The key question: Will this support hold, or will price dip further toward the ascending channel support and the 200-day SMA?
My outlook: I believe support will hold. Price may briefly test lower levels - likely just a few wicks - before resuming higher.
🎥 More details in the video.
BTC/USD Sell Setup: Overbought Signals a Pullback!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price is currently approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level often marks the point where a pullback could occur, especially as the price nears the top of the channel. If a correction takes place, the next key support level to watch is 113,500 USD.
Should buyers manage to defend this support, the bullish trend could continue, with potential for the price to break through previous highs. However, if the price breaks below the support level, we may see a deeper retracement back to the lower part of the channel.
This setup offers a potential opportunity to enter if a pullback occurs, especially with confirmation from price action, candle patterns, and volume around the key levels. Make sure to manage risk appropriately and only take trades when your setup is validated.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your comments below, and let’s discuss!
Wishing you successful trades!
GBPAUD | Possible Re-entry on 15Min When analyzing price movements on a 4-hour chart, it's important to note that the price is currently coming from a fresh demand zone. This return to the demand zone indicates a potential bullish intent, suggesting that buyers may be stepping in at this level.
Now, if we scale down to the 15-minute chart, we can observe a subtle shift in the price action. There is a trendline liquidity that is positioned just above our identified point of interest (POI), which is complemented by a fair value gap (FVG). This trendline presents an additional confluence that supports the possibility of continued upward movement.
As market participants, we should proceed with caution and closely monitor how price reacts when it approaches this zone once more. It is also beneficial to take the time to observe these patterns and phenomena in your own analysis to deepen your understanding. Happy trading!
EURUSD Short: Price Reverse and Start FallHello, traders! The price auction for EURUSD has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. This bullish structure has been confirmed by multiple pivot points, with buyers defending the ascending demand line and sellers consistently emerging at the upper supply zone near the 1.1715 level. This has established a clear rotational pattern between the channel's boundaries.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, once again testing the upper boundary of this channel. The price has rallied to meet the ascending supply line, which forms a strong confluence of resistance with the horizontal 1.1715 - 1.1740 supply area. This is the same zone where previous rallies have failed, making it a key battleground.
The primary scenario anticipates a rejection from this resistance confluence, continuing the established pattern of rotation. The expectation is that sellers will defend the supply zone and initiate a new downward move back towards the channel's support. A failure to break out higher would confirm a short-term correction is underway. The take-profit for this rotational play is therefore set at 1.1605 points, targeting the ascending demand line of the channel. Manage your risk!
EUR/USD Nears Key Supply Zone Amid Rising Short PositionsThe EUR/USD is currently approaching a significant daily supply zone. This is an area where, in the past, the price briefly touched before reversing and heading downward. Now, the currency pair is nearing a second test of this supply level, which could signal that institutional traders are preparing to add more short positions. Historically, these supply zones tend to act as resistance points, and the repeated testing suggests a potential buildup of selling pressure.
Looking at the recent positioning of different market participants, last week saw an increase in short positions among Non-Commercial traders, indicating that large speculators are betting on a decline in the EUR/USD. Conversely, Commercial traders are at their lowest levels since August 2024, which typically signals that those involved in hedging or commercial transactions are less inclined to support the current price levels. Meanwhile, retail traders continue to add to their positions, often acting as a contrarian indicator.
In tandem, the US dollar itself is entering a demand zone, as evidenced by the increase in Non-Commercial contracts on the dollar index. This suggests that speculative traders are betting on the dollar strengthening, which aligns with the potential for a downside move in EUR/USD.
Given these combined signals—the approaching supply zone, the increase in short positions among large traders, and the dollar entering a demand area—I am looking for a possible shift towards the downside for EUR/USD. This could lead to a strengthening of the US dollar as the market prepares for a potential reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.
Additionally, I will include my analysis of the DXY (US Dollar Index), which remains valid and supports this perspective. The DXY’s current positioning and technical setup reinforce the likelihood of the dollar gaining strength in the near term. Overall, the market is showing signs that favor a downside move, and I will be monitoring these levels closely for confirmation.
✅ My DXY Point of view:
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ONEUSDT 30M small step towards reversalHarmony (ONE) is once again reminding traders that even modest altcoins can surprise with sudden moves.
After days of sideways action the price finally found support around 0.0098–0.0099 and is now attempting a breakout. The chart shows a wedge compression, EMAs aligning, and the volume profile confirming a buyer’s zone. If the price secures above 0.0102 the door opens towards 0.0107 as the first solid target.
Fundamentally it’s not the star of the show but with crypto market momentum ticking up ONE could easily catch the wave. Right now it looks like a student before the exam: everything is learned, just needs to answer out loud.
Along with ONE I’m also adding TURBOUSDT, ADAUSDT and XRP (Ripple) to my buy block — they’re setting up for similar bounce opportunities.
BTCUSD 1D Bitcoin making new climbing plansAfter the summer correction Bitcoin is once again showing strength.
The chart is shaping a rising channel and the pullback to the 108500 support worked textbook-style.
Moreover, a breakout above 113000 will open the way directly to 125000.
Volume profile supports the buyers’ side while the price action looks like a healthy pause before the next impulse.
Fundamentally the backdrop stays bullish with institutional flows into ETFs and Fed rate cuts still on the table for year-end.
The irony is that while many were waiting for 94k or lower Bitcoin just secured its rope and started climbing higher.