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Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after holding above the Pullback Support Zone and is now trading around 3,359, attempting to build momentum toward higher resistance levels. The structure remains bullish with price trading above both the 50MA and 200MA , which are starting to slope upward and act as dynamic support. A confirmed break and hold above 3,354 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at 3,383 and potentially 3,400, with 3,416 and 3,440 as higher-timeframe resistance targets. If price fails to hold above 3,354 and begins to fade, watch the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305) closely for signs of renewed buying interest. A clean break below that zone would shift focus to the deeper Support Zone (3,289-3,267) and potentially the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208) if selling pressure builds. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,364 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 Support: ‣ 3,354 ‣ 3,335 ‣ 3,305 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 ‣ 3,208 🔎 Fundamental Focus All eyes are on today’s U.S. CPI release
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Bitcoin – Rising channel with critical support at $119.000!The chart presented shows Bitcoin in a well-defined rising channel, highlighting a strong bullish momentum over recent trading sessions. Rising channel The price action is currently oscillating within the boundaries of this upward sloping channel, marked by parallel trendlines. The channel suggests that Bitcoin has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, with the current price hovering around $121,794. The upper boundary near $123,200 acts as potential resistance, while the lower boundary of the channel provides dynamic support, suggesting a continuation pattern if this structure holds. Uptrend The overall uptrend is clearly visible and remains strong, especially since July 10th, where a significant bullish breakout occurred. The breakout was followed by steady gains, with minimal pullbacks, indicating strong buying interest and market confidence. The momentum shows a healthy bullish structure with minimal price overlap, characteristic of a trending market, which favors continuation as long as critical support levels remain intact. Support area A critical element in this chart is the key support area, highlighted in green. This support zone is located between approximately $118,500 and $119,600. This zone was previously a resistance level that has now turned into support following the breakout. It also aligns with the mid-level of the rising channel, reinforcing its significance. Should the price retrace, this area is likely to act as a cushion where buyers may step in again to defend the trend. Fibonacci Additionally, the chart features a Fibonacci retracement drawn from the swing low to the current swing high. The 0.618 Fibonacci level is particularly noteworthy, sitting at around $119,623. This level is known as the “golden ratio” in technical analysis and often acts as a strong retracement level during corrections. Below it, the 1.0 level is marked at $116,669, which represents a full retracement of the move and a deeper correction scenario if the support fails. These Fibonacci levels coincide with the key support zone, further validating it as an area of high confluence and likely buying interest. Final thoughts Overall, the technical structure remains bullish within the rising channel, with key levels of interest lying around $119,600 for support and $123,200 for potential resistance. A successful defense of the support area could propel the price higher toward the channel’s upper bound, while a breakdown may lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci retracement levels. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
45
BTC/USD 1H ShortTerm🔍 Trend: The short-term uptrend remains in effect, supported by the orange trendline. The price has tested dynamic support but has not yet broken it. 🟥 Supports (Important Levels): 🔻 1. 119.550 Key support. The price is currently testing it. Holding = potential upside rebound. Breaking = greater downside risk. 🔻 2. 117.260–118.040 USD Clear demand zone (reinforced by prior consolidation). If the price breaks below current support, this is the next logical stopping point. 🔻 3. 115.237–115.500 USD Strong weekly support – very important in the event of a stronger correction. Historically, it has responded many times. 🟩 Resistance: 🔼 1. USD 121.673 The nearest local resistance – this could pose a problem for further growth. 🔼 2. USD 123.961 The last local high. Breaking it confirms the continuation of the uptrend. 🔼 3. USD 125.785 The next resistance – a potential target after a breakout to the upside. 📈 Technical Indicators: RSI (classic): Still below 50, but starting to reverse slightly upward – neutral with a slight potential for a rebound. Stochastic RSI: Gives a long signal – the lines have crossed in the oversold zone and are pointing upward. 📊 Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish: Maintaining the current support zone (119.5–120k). Breakout above 121.673 → target: 123.961. Breakout of 123.961 = trend confirmation and target: 125.8k+ 🔴 Bearish: Break of the trend line and support at 119.550 → possible quick decline to 117.2k–118k. If this doesn't hold, target: 115.2k ✅ Summary: Decisive moment – tested trend line + support = rebound or breakout point. The Stochastic RSI indicates a potential upside breakout, but the RSI needs confirmation. Careful monitoring of volume and reaction to 120k in the coming hours.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
XRPUSDT Breaks Out of Bullish Flag - Big Moves Ahead!BINANCE:XRPUSDT has broken out of a classic bullish flag pattern on the weekly chart, signaling a strong continuation to the upside. This textbook setup is known for its high success rate, and the breakout suggests the potential for significant gains if momentum continues. The CRYPTOCAP:XRP community remains strong, with long-term holders showing confidence and resilience. With the current market structure and support from loyal investors, there’s a real possibility for the price to double from this breakout zone. The strategy is simple. Buy and hold for the long term. But as always, traders must manage risk carefully and use a proper stop loss. Let the flag fly high. CRYPTOCAP:XRP could be ready for a major pump from this level.

 BINANCE:XRPUSDT Currently trading at $2.43
 
Buy level : Above $2.4 Stop loss : Below $1.9 Target : $5 Max leverage 3x Always keep stop loss 

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Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦. 📉 Market Structure: 🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1. 🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590. 🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday. 💡 How to Trade This: ✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level. ❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones. 📰 What’s Driving the Move? 🏦 Monetary Policy: Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals. 💼 Economic Data: The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report. 💵 Dollar Strength: The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈. 🚨 Watch for: 🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries. 🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength. 🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
Gold price surge, today will have a decline✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD The recovery of the D1 candle and the closing candle above 3313 means that the market's downtrend has almost been broken. The reaction at the current trendline 3284 is still very strong. The price is strongly supported by the buyers, causing gold to return to trading in a wide range. The 3328 zone will be important in the near future. If it does not break, there will be a decline to the Gap price zone this morning. Trading according to the top-bottom method is suitable for the current market. Support: 3312-3295-3279 Resistance: 3328-3339-3349-3363 Sell trigger: rejection from 3328–3,340 resistance block Target: 3295 Support zone, followed by 3279 lower zone Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TSN_Trader
8
MKR/USDT 4H Chart🔍 1. Technical Pattern: The chart shows a descending wedge (orange lines) that has broken out upward. The breakout occurred on increasing volume (a signal of bullish strength). The price is currently trading above a resistance line, which is now acting as support (~1980 USDT). 📊 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support (red lines): 1903 USDT – local consolidation support. 1801 USDT – strong support at the previous bottom. 1727 and 1632 USDT – fallback zones in case of strong declines. Resistance (green and blue lines): 2120 USDT – first target after the breakout. 2168 USDT – another strong resistance from the previous consolidation. 2312 USDT – high resistance, potential target if the uptrend continues. 📈 3. Indicators: 🔹 Stochastic RSI: Close to the overbought zone, but not yet giving a sell signal. A short consolidation or correction may occur in the coming hours. 🔹 MACD: The MACD line is above the signal and the histogram is still rising – a buy signal. No signs of weakening momentum. 🔹 RSI: The RSI is rising, but not yet in the overbought zone (>70). Shows the strength of the trend, but there is room for further upward movement. 🧠 Summary and scenarios: ✅ Bullish scenario: If the price remains above 1980 USDT, the next targets are: 2120 USDT 2168 USDT Potentially 2312 USDT with continued demand ⚠️ Bearish scenario (less likely at this time): If the price returns below 1980 USDT and does not regain this level: Possible return to 1903 or lower (1801 USDT).
M
by cryptodailyuk
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 – 1.1810 range 📊, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions 🌏⬆️. ⚡️ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU 🤝, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment 🌐. 📈 Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC 🕧, the U.S. Jobless Claims report 📑 may trigger volatility across all USD pairs ⚠️. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts 🕰️🔻 and push EURUSD below 1.1700 🩻, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 🚀. 👀 We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
1
POSSIBLE BEARISH MOVE SCENERIO Currently we're monitoring 30M time frame chart. I’m expecting a sell move from the P.O.I zone marked on the chart. Since today is the first day of the week, the market volume is a bit low. Now let's see when the price reaches our P.O.I zone, and once it does, how the price behaves. We'll be watching for any bearish signs or confirmations. We’ll only enter the trade after getting a proper bearish confirmation. We'll also wait for the NY session to open before making any decisions. Let's see how this trade setup plays out. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #GOLD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn49401780
LINK/USDT (Chainlink to Tether) from the 4H interval⚡️ Technical situation – quick overview ✅ Breakout from the descending channel (purple lines) ✅ Resistance zone 14.42 – currently being tested ✅ Target within the breakout range – around 17.73 USDT ⚠️ Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone – local correction possible 🟪 Descending channel – broken! The descending channel that has been in place since mid-May has been broken upwards. Such breakouts often signal a change in the local trend. Theoretical range of movement = channel height (~3.30 USDT) added to the breakout point (around 14.42) = ~17.73 USDT – perfectly aligned with your resistance level. 🟢 Key Resistance Levels (green): Level Meaning 14.42 USDT Current tested resistance – psychologically significant 15.65 USDT Local high + June price gap 17.73 USDT Potential target after a breakout – range from the formation 🔴 Support Levels (red): Level Meaning 12.73 USDT Support from the pre-breakout consolidation 11.91 USDT Key defensive level of the uptrend 11.07 / 10.12 USDT Historical support with strong demand reactions 📉 Stochastic RSI (oscillator): Currently deep in the overbought zone (above 80). This may indicate local exhaustion of momentum and a short correction before further upward movement. However: in strong trends, the RSI may remain high for an extended period – it does not automatically provide a sell signal. 📈 Bullish scenario: Retest of the 14.42 level as support → confirmation of the breakout Then a move towards: 15.65 – local stop 17.73 – final target from the channel breakout 🟩 Stop-loss: e.g., below 12.73 USDT (loss of key support) 📉 Bearish scenario: False breakout and decline below 14.42 Loss of the 12.73 level → possible quick decline to 11.91–11.07 🔴 In this case, a new swing low could open the way to 10.12 USDT. 📌 Summary: Element Rating Technical Pattern ✅ Breakout from a descending channel (bullish signal) Current Level ❗ Test of Key Resistance – Decision Point RSI (Momentum) ⚠️ Overbought – Correction Possible Upside Potential (Target) 📈 17.73 USDT Threat ❌ False breakout and return to below 12.73 USDT 🧠 My suggestion (not investment advice): Observe the price reaction at 14.42 – if it holds above and consolidation forms → a signal to continue. If the 4H/1D candle closes below, consider caution, as this could be a bull trap.
by cryptodailyuk
AUDJPY Ready To "Drop A Shoulder"? Multi-Timeframe May Help!OANDA:AUDJPY is beginning to form a very convincingly strong Reversal Pattern, the Head & Shoulders! Starting with the Daily Chart we can see that Price is Forming a Doji Candle just after trying to Breakout of a Major Resistance Zone created from the Highs of March 18th and if Price is unable to close above this level, this strengthens the Bearish and Reversal Bias. Now the 4 Hr Chart shows both the "First Shoulder" or Previous Higher High that was surpassed by the "Head" which is the New Higher High, has formed quite quickly with a slightly Ascending "Neckline" or Support Line where Bulls were able to make their Last Stand. With a Reversal Pattern, you want to see a Change in Trend, in this case, would be a Lower High then that of the Higher High or "Head" @ 96.204. *If Bulls are able to Push Price above the "Left Shoulder" or Previous Higher High @ 95.952, this will Invalidate the Head & Shoulders Set-up! **If Bulls are unable to Break Above 95.952 and Price is pushed back down to the Confirmation or "Neckline" for a 3rd time, this Confirms the Head & Shoulders Set-up!! Based on the Distance between the Head and Neckline, we can project a potential drop down to the next Support Level as a Price Target @ 95.00 once: 1) Pattern is Confirmed 2) Breakout is Validated
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
Bears On The Prowl, Key Supports In FocusAnalysis USDJPY has faced downward pressure recently and is currently trading below a key resistance level around 152.250. This level acts as a significant barrier to upward movements, and the inability to decisively break above it reinforces our bearish outlook. Key Observations 🔹 Dominant Bearish Pressure: Despite fluctuations, bulls (buyers) seem to be struggling to maintain higher levels, while bears (sellers) are asserting pressure. 🔹 Key Resistance: The 152.250 level serves as a strong resistance. As long as the price remains below this level, the bearish view will prevail. 🔹 Crucial Supports: The levels of 141.710 and 137.410 are acting as critical support zones for this pair. A break below either of these levels could pave the way for further declines. 🔹 Momentum Indicators: (Here, you can add details about specific indicators that confirm your bearish view. For example: "The RSI is moving towards oversold territory, suggesting continued downside momentum," or "The MACD is showing a bearish crossover, indicating potential for further weakness.") Potential Scenarios 🔴 Primary Scenario (Bearish): As long as USDJPY remains below the 152.250 resistance, we anticipate continued downward pressure. The bears' initial target will be to test and break the 141.710 support. 🔻 Break of First Support: If the 141.710 support is broken decisively (with strong candles and significant volume), this would be a strong bearish signal. In this scenario, the next target for the price would be to test the lower support at 137.410. A break below this level could lead to even deeper declines. 🟢 Alternative Scenario (Bullish): Should USDJPY manage to decisively break above the 152.250 resistance and sustain itself above it, our bearish view would be temporarily invalidated, and we might see a corrective upward movement. However, until this occurs, the focus remains on the bearish scenario. Fundamental Considerations 🔘 US-Japan Interest Rate Differential: The significant interest rate differential between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to be a major factor. Any shift in market expectations regarding the monetary policies of these two central banks could impact USDJPY. 🔘 Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy: Any signs of a change in the BoJ's ultra-loose monetary policy (e.g., an interest rate hike or a reduction in asset purchases) could strengthen the JPY and put downward pressure on USDJPY. 🔘 US Economic Data: Upcoming US economic data, particularly inflation figures and statements from Federal Reserve officials, could influence the dollar's value and, consequently, USDJPY. 🍀HAVE PROFITABLE TRADES🍻
Short
by TheApolloo
2
ETH/USDT 1W Chart📊 Trend structure (Price Action) Downtrend (historical): A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic downtrend. Confirmed by the orange downtrend line. A change in structure — a possible beginning of an uptrend: A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL). Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards. Currently: The price is testing the upper downtrend line. A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change. 🟢 Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines): Level Meaning 3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation 2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested 3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH) 🔴 Key Support Levels (Red Lines): Level Meaning 2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout 1.883 USDT Early 2023 support 1.507 USDT Local bottom 1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator): Currently in the overbought zone. This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout. However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time. 📈 Potential scenario: If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds: A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target. Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH). If the breakout fails: Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower. There is a risk of returning to a downtrend. ✅ Bullish signals: Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL). Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout. Volume is increasing (based on candles). ⚠️ Bearish threats: Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone. Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767). Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move. 📌 Conclusion: Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
by cryptodailyuk
DOGE Long Swing Setup – Musk-Fueled Hype & Political BuzzElon Musk’s launch of the “America Party” is reigniting interest in his potential impact on crypto—especially Dogecoin. With his history of moving DOGE’s price, this political pivot could stir volatility and renewed upside. We’re watching for a dip into the $0.15–$0.16 zone for a possible long entry. 📌 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: $0.15 – $0.16 • Take Profit Targets: o 🥇 $0.19 - $0.20 o 🥈 $0.23 – $0.24 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.13
Long
by Richtv_official
ETH Long Swing Setup – Sideways Hold with Dip-Buy OpportunityETH continues to hold above the key $2,300 support, showing resilience and consolidating within range. We’re watching for one more dip into the $2,300–$2,375 zone to trigger a long entry, with momentum building for a potential breakout. 📌 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: $2,300 – $2,375 • Take Profit Targets: o 🥇 $2,900 – $3,000 o 🥈 $3,300 – $3,400 o 🥉 $4,000 – $4,200 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $2,000
Long
by Richtv_official
XRP/USDT 4H📊 1. Trend and moving averages Red line (SMA 10) – short-term, currently rising, which suggests upward momentum. Green line (SMA 20) – also in the upward trend and below the price – dynamic support. Blue line (SMA 50/200) – probably SMA 50 or 200 – the price has broken through it from below and is currently above it – this is a pro-growth signal. 📌 Conclusion: In the short and medium term, a reversal of the trend to growth is visible. 📈 2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) The MACD line has crossed the signal line from below, which is a buy signal. The MACD histogram is rising and is above zero – further confirmation of the upward trend. 📌 Conclusion: The upward momentum is increasing. 💪 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI is currently at ~62, which means that: We are still ahead of the overbought zone (70). RSI is rising – it suggests bullish buyer pressure. 📌 Conclusion: There is still room for further growth before the market is overbought. 🔍 4. Market structure and resistance/support The price is in the 2.30–2.35 USDT zone, which previously acted as resistance. The closest resistance is around 2.38–2.40 USDT – the level from May, where the decline occurred. The closest support is around 2.20 USDT (in line with the green SMA) and stronger at 2.05–2.10 USDT (earlier consolidations). 📌 Conclusion: Breaking 2.40 opens the way to a test of 2.50 and above. 🧠 Technical Summary Aspect Rating Trend (SMA) ✅ Up MACD ✅ Buy RSI ⚠️ Near overbought Resistance/Support ⚠️ Resistance at 2.38–2.40 Movement Potential ✅ To 2.50 or higher 📌 Potential scenarios: ✅ Bullish (uptrend scenario) A hold above 2.30 and a breakout of 2.40 could give an impulse for further gains towards 2.50–2.60. Strong confirmation would be an increase in volume. ⚠️ Bearish (correction scenario) A rejection from 2.38 and a drop below 2.20 could initiate a retest of support at 2.05 or even 1.95.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Bitcoin - The ultimate breakdown for 2025/2026Welcome to my channel and this analysis. In this analysis I will dive deep in the current Bitcoin’s bullmarket. I will examine charts from the monthly, weekly, daily and 4H charts, and also on chain data. This will be a complete insight in Bitcoin’s price. ------------------------ Monthly timeframe Logarithmic BTC chart This chart presents a long-term logarithmic analysis of Bitcoin using monthly candles, covering the period from around 2013 to mid-2025. The structure is defined by two major curved lines representing a logarithmic resistance and support channel, which frames Bitcoin's price movement over more than a decade. These lines form a dynamic, upward-sloping price corridor, capturing Bitcoin's historically exponential price behavior and cyclical nature. The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better reflect percentage-based changes, which is critical when analyzing an asset like Bitcoin that has grown from under $100 to over $100,000 in just a few years. The chart displays clear multi-year cycles. The first notable cycle begins in 2013, followed by a significant correction in 2014–2015. A new bullish phase emerges between 2016 and 2018, peaking near $20,000. This is followed by a crash into 2018. A longer accumulation period precedes the 2020–2021 rally, which reaches a high around $69,000 before another sharp decline. From the bottom in late 2022 or early 2023, Bitcoin begins another uptrend, forming a steep rise along a newly established bullmarket support trendline. This trendline represents a more aggressive, linear support structure within the broader logarithmic curve, showing the strong momentum driving the current bull phase. By July 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $108,000, advancing steadily toward the upper boundary of the long-term logarithmic resistance. A key element of this chart is the target level marked at approximately $150,000, which aligns closely with the point where the current trajectory intersects the upper logarithmic resistance. This zone has been highlighted as a likely area of interest, possibly signaling a market top or at least significant resistance, based on Bitcoin's past behavior. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to reverse sharply or consolidate after reaching this upper boundary, making the target zone an area of potential distribution or heightened volatility. The bullmarket support trendline serves as a short- to medium-term structure within the larger logarithmic channel. As long as price holds above this line, the current bullish structure remains intact. A breakdown below this trendline could indicate a loss of momentum and trigger a broader correction. The use of logarithmic trendlines underscores Bitcoin’s tendency to move in exponential growth cycles, shaped by macroeconomic trends, halving events, and adoption waves. The resistance and support boundaries function as dynamic guides for long-term expectations rather than rigid barriers. The stoch RSI crosses This chart provides a technical overview of Bitcoin on a monthly timeframe using candlestick analysis and the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) oscillator to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. The Stochastic RSI, shown at the bottom of the chart, is a momentum oscillator derived from the RSI rather than price directly, making it particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in trending markets. The key thresholds are the 80 level at the top and the 20 level at the bottom, which respectively indicate overbought and oversold zones. The chart spans from 2017 to mid-2025, clearly separating bull and bear markets using vertical red lines and labeled annotations. Each major cycle aligns with movements in the Stoch RSI indicator. Notably, crosses above the 80 line (into overbought territory) are often associated with late-stage bull market tops or strong bullish continuations. Crosses below the 20 line (into oversold territory) typically align with bear market bottoms or the start of new accumulation phases. Starting with the December 2017 peak, the Stoch RSI crossed above the 80 level, reaching extreme overbought territory. This cross occurred at the height of that bull cycle, signaling a likely exhaustion of momentum. Not long after this peak, the market entered a bear phase, confirmed by the downward cross of the Stoch RSI below the 80 level, and eventually below 20, leading into the 2018–2019 bear market. By August 2019, the Stoch RSI crossed below the 20 level, signaling oversold conditions. Although this did not immediately launch a new bull market, it did suggest the market was bottoming out. This was followed by a gradual recovery and another decisive upward cross above 80 around April 2021, right in the midst of the strong 2020–2021 bull run. That cross confirmed the continuation of upward momentum and coincided with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. As the price peaked in late 2021 and early 2022, the Stoch RSI again turned downward and dropped below the 20 threshold, marking another prolonged bear market. This downtrend was confirmed as the oscillator remained suppressed in the oversold zone for most of 2022. The Stoch RSI is now moving again towards the overbought territory. This means that bulls have the control in the market and likely to push higher. RSI with the consolidation and resistance trendline This chart presents a broader monthly view of Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), revealing a compelling structural alignment between price momentum and long-term resistance dynamics. At the top of the chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend spanning across multiple market cycles. A long-term resistance trendline has been drawn that connects the major highs from the two previous bull markets, specifically the peaks in late 2017 and late 2021. This resistance line acts as an upper boundary to the macro trend and, so far, the current price action in 2025 has not yet tested this long-term resistance. In fact, while Bitcoin has recently reached above $100,000, it remains below the ascending resistance trendline, suggesting that there could still be room for price to move higher before encountering the next major overhead challenge. The structure implies a potential upward continuation if momentum sustains, and the price may attempt to test this historical trendline in the near future. Below the price chart, the RSI indicator offers additional insight into the underlying strength of this move. A descending RSI trendline connects the previous overbought peaks from 2017 and 2021, forming a macro resistance trendline in momentum that mirrors the structure seen in price. This declining RSI resistance has not yet been reached in the current cycle, implying that momentum still has space to grow before hitting a potential exhaustion point. The RSI is currently capped within a relatively tight consolidation box, with values fluctuating between the mid-60s and low-70s. 200W SMA crosses above the previous ATH This chart illustrates the long-term price action of Bitcoin, focusing on the relationship between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and previous all-time highs (ATHs). Historically, when the 200-week SMA crosses above the previous cycle’s ATH, it has coincided with periods near the cycle tops. For example, in December 2017 and January 2022, the 200-week SMA moved above the prior ATH, which closely aligned with significant market peaks. In the current cycle, however, the 200-week SMA has not yet crossed above the previous ATH from 2021, which is around $68,889.04. This is notable because, in past cycles, this crossover has typically marked the later stages of a bull run. The fact that this crossover has not yet occurred suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to move higher before reaching a new cycle top. However, it is important to recognize that this does not guarantee further upward movement. Even if Bitcoin’s price consolidates or moves sideways for an extended period, the 200-week SMA will gradually rise due to its lagging nature and could eventually cross above the previous ATH without a significant price rally. Lets now move to the weekly charts and analyse where we are. ------------------------ Weekly timeframe Support and resistance trendlines This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on a weekly timeframe, highlighting three key trendlines. Two resistance trendlines are drawn from the peaks of the last two major cycles, forming an upper boundary for price action. These lines act as potential resistance zones, indicating areas where previous rallies have topped out and where the current price could face selling pressure if it approaches these levels again. Additionally, there is a clearly defined rising trendline that serves as bull market support. This trendline has been respected throughout the current cycle, connecting the higher lows since the market bottomed out in late 2022. As long as Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this bull market support trendline, the overall bullish structure remains intact. This suggests that the uptrend is still healthy and that corrections or pullbacks, as long as they stay above this line, are part of a normal, sustainable bull market. If the price were to break below this support, it could signal a shift in market sentiment and potentially a deeper correction. For now, maintaining support on this trendline is a positive sign for the ongoing bull market. Bearish divergence The chart shows that Bitcoin has formed three consecutive price peaks, with each new high surpassing the previous one. This indicates that, from a price perspective, the market has maintained its upward momentum over this period. However, when looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the price chart, a different pattern emerges. Each time the price has made a new high, the RSI has registered a lower high, resulting in a clear bearish divergence. This is visually reinforced by the downsloping trendline that can be drawn across the RSI highs, in contrast to the uptrend in price. Bearish divergence between price and RSI, as seen here, often signals underlying weakness in the buying momentum, even as price continues to rise. It suggests that each successive rally is being driven by less enthusiasm or participation from buyers. Given this setup, it is possible that the RSI could revisit the downsloping trendline in the near future. If this occurs, the price might make a marginally higher high, potentially forming a third peak slightly above the current level. This would maintain the divergence and could act as a warning sign for traders to be cautious about the sustainability of the current uptrend. Stoch RSI This chart presents the weekly price action of Bitcoin alongside the Stochastic RSI indicator. What stands out is the clear cyclical pattern in the Stoch RSI, where it tends to reach oversold levels roughly once every half year. These oversold readings have historically aligned with significant local bottoms in the price, signaling favorable buying opportunities for traders and investors. After reaching these low points, the Stoch RSI typically trends upward, eventually entering the overbought zone. When the Stoch RSI enters overbought territory, as it does several times on this chart, it often coincides with local price peaks. These moments serve as warnings that the market may be overheated in the short term, and traders should be cautious about opening new long positions. The overbought readings suggest that a pullback or period of consolidation could be imminent, as the market works off excess bullish momentum. Currently, the Stoch RSI is once again in the overbought zone. This suggests that Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a further pullback or at least a pause in its upward movement. While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does mean that risk is elevated. Failed breakout/liquidity grab This weekly Bitcoin chart illustrates a strong and consistent uptrend that has been developing since late 2023. Each major move begins with a clear breakout above previous consolidation zones, followed by a retest of the broken resistance, which then acts as support, confirming the trend's strength. These retests tend to hold well, setting up for new bullish impulses. In the earlier stages, we see BTC breaking out of a range around the $48,851 support level. After a successful retest of that zone, the price surged and entered a new consolidation phase just below $73,643. A second breakout occurred from this level, again followed by a retest that confirmed it as a new support level. This pattern reflects textbook bullish market structure: breakout, retest, and continuation. However, the current price action shows something different. BTC has returned to its previous high around the $109,301 resistance level. Unlike the previous times, where strong bullish candles closed above resistance, this attempt has only pierced above the level with a wick, indicating potential exhaustion or hesitation. The highlighted label "Failed breakouts / Liquidity grab" suggests that these wick movements may have been attempts to trigger stop orders and gather liquidity before a possible retracement. Now we will dive deep into the daily timeframe. ------------------------ Daily timeframe Resistance, bullflag and Stoch RSI This daily chart of Bitcoin reveals a period of consolidation just below a key resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high area. BTC has been ranging within this red-marked resistance block, showing clear hesitation from buyers to push beyond it with conviction. During this consolidation, a well-formed bull flag structure appeared, a bullish continuation pattern, signaling potential for further upside. The breakout from this bull flag occurred earlier this week, providing initial bullish confirmation as price pushed briefly above the upper boundary of the flag. However, the breakout lacked follow-through. Instead of sustaining momentum and closing decisively above resistance, BTC appears to have experienced a fake-out, with price now retracing back inside the prior range. This failed breakout is particularly notable given the context of the Stochastic RSI indicator, which is currently in the overbought zone. ------------------------ 4H timeframe 4H FVG and liquidity grab This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a clear structure where price has recently formed an equal high around the $110,612 level. Equal highs are often seen as zones where liquidity builds up, since many stop-loss orders from short positions typically rest just above them. This makes the area particularly attractive for a potential liquidity grab. At the moment, BTC appears to be in a short-term retracement phase after rejecting from this equal high region. During this move, price left behind a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a zone of inefficiency where price moved too quickly to fill orders. This FVG is now acting as a potential support zone. The chart suggests that BTC may revisit this FVG to rebalance before making another attempt to break through the equal highs. If BTC can hold the FVG and generate upward momentum, a move above the equal highs becomes more likely. In that case, the resting liquidity just above those highs could be targeted, leading to a quick wick or breakout move before price potentially reverses again. ------------------------ Liquidation heatmap 1 month This Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap clearly shows that the majority of the liquidity is stacked to the upside. The bright yellow and green bands, which represent areas of high liquidation potential and leverage exposure, are heavily concentrated just above the current price levels, especially around the $111,000 to $114,000 zone. This indicates that many traders have short positions with stop-losses placed above these highs, making them prime targets for potential liquidation events. As price moves closer to these high-liquidity zones, the probability increases that market participants, particularly larger players or algorithms, may push BTC upwards to trigger those stops and liquidate those positions. 1 week The current price is hovering around the $108,000 range, with clear liquidity clusters forming both below and above this level. What stands out is the dense liquidation zone just below the current price, this suggests that many traders have placed long positions with stop-losses slightly under this support range. These positions create an opportunity for a liquidity sweep, where price briefly dips down to trigger liquidations, fill larger buy orders, and shake out weaker hands. After such a sweep, the heatmap shows an even larger cluster of liquidation liquidity sitting just above the highs, especially around the $110,000 to $114,000 region. This is likely composed of stop-losses from short positions and breakout traders who entered too early. The concentration of liquidity here creates a strong incentive for price to target this zone after clearing the downside liquidity. ------------------------ Fear and greed index Today The Fear and greed today is at 66, meaning greed. This level suggests that market sentiment is optimistic, but not yet euphoric or irrational. In practice, it often means buyers are confident, and there’s still room for price continuation before we enter extreme greed territory 1 year chart This chart displays the Crypto Fear & Greed Index over time, offering a visual representation of sentiment cycles in the Bitcoin market. When examining the past year, you can see how sentiment has recovered significantly from the fear zone (below 30), especially from late 2024 into early 2025. This shift in sentiment aligned with BTC's price climbing back toward previous highs, indicating that sentiment is responding directly to price structure and bullish momentum. ------------------------ BTC exchange reserve This chart, sourced from CryptoQuant, provides a clear visualization of the relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange reserves (blue line) and BTC price (white line), over a multi-year period. The key insight is the rapid and consistent decline in Bitcoin held on exchanges, especially noticeable from mid-2023 onward. From around 2022, the amount of BTC on exchanges remained relatively stable. However, beginning in late 2022 and accelerating through 2023 into 2025, we see a shart and uninterrupted drop in exchange reserves. This ongoing withdrawal trend typically signals accumulation behavior by investors. When BTC is withdrawn from exchanges and moved into cold storage or long-term wallets, it often reflects growing conviction among holders that price will rise and they don’t intend to sell in the short term. ------------------------ Final thoughts This is a complete Bitcoin analysis for the community with a top-down analysis! I have worked out a complete insight in the Bitcoin price with different analysis and on-chain data. I would be excited if you boost, comment and share the analysis with your friends for the work that I have put in this analysis for everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
64
XRP/USDT – Breakout Confirmed!Hey Traders — if you're into high-conviction setups with real momentum, this one’s for you. XRP has finally broken out from the massive symmetrical triangle on the 1D timeframe after holding the green support zone like a champ. This structure has been compressing for months, and with this breakout, momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls. Entry: Current Market Price (CMP) Add More: On dips above $2.20 Targets: $2.60 / $2.95 / $3.40 / $3.80 Stop Loss: $2.05 Leverage: 5x–10x As long as price stays above the breakout zone, this setup holds strong potential. Keep a close eye for volume confirmation and follow-through. Let’s see how this plays out. Will update as it unfolds.
Long
by CoreCrypto1