XAUUSD: A Correction Is Coming – Don’t Miss Out!Hey everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s dive into today’s XAUUSD analysis!
The price is currently moving within a clear upward channel, with price action testing the upper boundary. This could act as a dynamic resistance level, and if the price is rejected here, we might see a slight pullback, bringing the price back to the support zone at 3,900.
If buyers can successfully defend this support level, the bullish structure will remain intact, and gold could resume its move to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below the support, a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel may open up a potential selling opportunity.
Keeping an eye on confirmation signals like engulfing candle patterns, strong rejection candles from support, or increased buying volume will help you time your entries for buying positions. That said, always prioritize risk management! Make sure to confirm the signals and implement a solid risk management strategy before entering a position.
What do you think about this move? Feel free to share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below!
Support_and_resistance
The Gold Bulls Take Control!Hi everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s talk about XAUUSD.
Gold is showing a clear and structured bullish trend right now. The price continues to move within a well-established ascending channel, and the price action has consistently respected both the upper and lower boundaries. This suggests that the buying pressure remains strong.
The next logical step for me is a break above the current resistance zone. If we see that breakout, I expect the price to pull back briefly to test the support level before continuing its upward movement. A successful retest of support would solidify the bullish structure and set the stage for a move toward the 3,970 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the resistance proves too strong and the breakout doesn’t happen, this could signal a weakening of the bullish momentum. In that case, we could see a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, offering another potential entry point.
It’s crucial to always confirm your setups and manage risk properly. Be prepared for both scenarios, and best of luck with your trades!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchFollowing yesterday’s analysis, gold failed to hold momentum above $3,883 and sold off sharply, breaking back toward first support zone. Price tested the $3,828 level before rebounding, with the 50MA (pink) now acting as resistance.
A sustained break above $3,861/50MA could invite a retest of $3,883, with upside targets at $3,903 if momentum extends.
Failure to clear the $3,361/50MA risks renewed downside toward $3,828, with a deeper move opening secondary support zone. The 200MA (green) remains a key dynamic support if selling pressure escalates.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,861
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,776
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Oct 3 (NFP Day)
Today is packed with high-impact US data:
🚩Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP),
🚩Average Hourly Earnings,
🚩Unemployment Rate,
🚩ISM Services PMI, plus several FOMC speeches.
⚠️ Reminder: US government data may be impacted by the shutdown, so releases could be delayed or revised.
High volatility and sharp swings expected.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold failed to hold above $3,883 yesterday, triggering a pullback into the $3,861 support where the 50MA is currently holding as dynamic support. Price is now consolidating just above this level.
If bullish momentum continues, a retest of $3,883 is likely, with a breakout opening the path toward $3,903.
A break below $3,861 would expose the $3,842–$3,828 supports, with risk of a deeper pullback into the First Reaction Zone and a possible 200MA test.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,812–$3,796 (First Reaction Zone / MA200 confluence)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Oct 2
The spotlight today is on US Unemployment Claims.
👉 With NFP tomorrow, traders should expect positioning swings and volatility around today’s data.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is recovering from yesterday’s sharp pullback and is currently trending just above the $3,861 level. A sustained break above this area could see price push toward the $3,883 resistance, with a possible extension to $3,903.
Failure to hold above $3,883 could trigger another pullback into lower support zones.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Oct 1
Key US data on deck today:
🚩ADP Non-Farm Employment
🚩ISM Manufacturing PMI
🔶ISM Manufacturing Prices
👉 Expect high volatility and swings.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is extending its rally, now trading around $3,813 after breaking out of the $3,796 resistance. Momentum accelerated once price cleared $3,776, with strong follow-through toward the next upside targets.
Current resistance sits at $3,828, while support is established at $3,776.
A clean break above $3,828 would keep momentum intact, opening the path to $3,846. Failure to clear $3,828 may trigger a retracement into $3,796 or deeper toward $3,776.
The $3,753 -$3,734/ First Reaction Zone remains a major pullback area if sellers regain control.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,828
$3,846
Support:
$3,812
$3,796
$3,776
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Week of Sep 29–Oct 4
It’s a heavy week for USD with key risk events:
🚩JOLTS Job Openings, Consumer Confidence
🚩ADP Employment, ISM Manufacturing, OPEC Meetings
🚩Jobless Claims
🚩NFP, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI
👉 This is jobs week — labour market data will dominate. Expect high volatility, especially into Friday’s NFP release.
#MARA NASDAQ:MARA
MARA is poised to go higher potentially towards $50 as the first target and onto 150+ in the next few years if bitcoin continues to break higher highs. Its only a matter of time before the miners start to catch up as the revenues would grow significantly and with green energy initiatives these companies can really go above and beyond in the future.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold tested the $3,753 support during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,775, holding just below the $3,782 resistance. A clean break above $3,782 would open the way to $3,796 and the major resistance at $3,806. Failure to break and hold above $3,782 could send price back towards $3,768–$3,753 and potentially deeper into $3,728. The moving averages may provide dynamic support on the way down.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,782
$3,796
$3,806
Support:
$3,768
$3,753
$3,728
$3,712
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Sep 24
Yesterday, Powell signalled caution, stressing that rate decisions remain data-dependent — keeping gold supported but vulnerable to swings.
Today’s drivers:
🔶Trump speaks
🔶New Home Sales
Expect sharp swings and volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong rally, now trading around $3,755 after breaking out of the ascending channel. To sustain momentum, we need to see a confirmed hold above $3,753, which would open the way toward higher resistance levels.
Failure to confirm this breakout could trigger a temporary pullback into lower support zones, with a potential retest of the 50MA if bears take short-term control. The higher price extends, the greater the risk of sharp swings and volatility spikes.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,753
$3,728
$3,712 (MA50 retest zone)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Tue, Sep 23
Key drivers today: US PMIs, Trump remarks + Richmond Index, and the main event — Powell speech.
Gold’s rally is extended, so expect headline-driven swings and possible volatility spikes around these releases.
BTC/USD Sell Setup: Overbought Signals a Pullback!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price is currently approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level often marks the point where a pullback could occur, especially as the price nears the top of the channel. If a correction takes place, the next key support level to watch is 113,500 USD.
Should buyers manage to defend this support, the bullish trend could continue, with potential for the price to break through previous highs. However, if the price breaks below the support level, we may see a deeper retracement back to the lower part of the channel.
This setup offers a potential opportunity to enter if a pullback occurs, especially with confirmation from price action, candle patterns, and volume around the key levels. Make sure to manage risk appropriately and only take trades when your setup is validated.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your comments below, and let’s discuss!
Wishing you successful trades!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,626, under pressure after failing to reclaim the $3,658 resistance yesterday. Price has slipped below the 50MA (pink), turning the short-term structure more bearish.
Bulls need a sustained recovery back above $3,644 to regain momentum. A break above $3,658 would confirm strength, targeting $3,674 and $3,690.
Immediate support sits at $3,617, followed by the key $3,594. A clean break below would expose the next support at $3,564.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,644
$3,658
$3,674
$3,690
Support:
$3,617
$3,594
$3,600
$3,564
🔎Fundamental Focus
Attention is firmly on U.S. CPI data (today). This will be a decisive driver for gold.
⚠️ Expect sharp intraday volatility as markets position around inflation expectations and Fed policy outlook.
GBPUSD: Reached a clear zone, watching for reversal cluesThe market has recently pushed upwards with momentum.
What we’re looking at here is a leg started with a beautiful initial rejection, the kind I love trading and forecasted previously:
Price is now reaching a clear level that might provoke a small term reaction.
And when price finds its feet in these kinds of zones, I immediately think of what opportunity is offering: If price gives us a confirmation cue, that might be the signal to get involved: not just in candlestick structure but also in volume behavior.
Target: 1.34340
It's a risky setup as this leg has pushed up with strength
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,478 after a strong bullish rally, breaking through multiple resistance levels last week. Price surged above $3,440 and is now consolidating just below the $3,483 resistance, with short-term momentum supported by the MA`s.
If buyers can secure a clean break and hold above $3,483, the next upside target sits at $3,506, followed by $3,525. On the downside, initial support lies at $3,462, with deeper retracement levels at $3,440 and the Support Zone. A break back below $3,393 would weaken momentum and shift focus toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,371–$3,350).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,483
$3,506
$3,525
Support:
$3,462
$3,440
$3,417
$3,393
$3,371
$3,350
🔎Fundamental Focus – Week of Sept 1–6
It’s a heavy week for U.S. data with ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Employment & Jobless Claims, and Friday’s NFP report. These releases will set the tone for Fed expectations and could bring sharp moves in gold. Markets will be especially sensitive to labour data as it shapes the path for rate cuts.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold rallied strongly yesterday, reaching into the $3,422 resistance zone, but failed to hold above and has since pulled back to around $3,409. Price is consolidating just above the $3,406 level, with short-term momentum still supported by the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) trending higher.
For the bullish case to continue, gold needs a decisive break and hold above $3,422, which would open the way toward $3,445. If price remains capped, we may see a deeper correction, first into $3,386, then $3,363, and potentially retesting the First Support Zone ($3,347–$3,328).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,422
$3,445
Support:
$3,406
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Friday, Aug 29
Today brings key U.S. data including Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending, Chicago PMI, and UoM Consumer Sentiment. These reports will give fresh signals on inflation and growth.
⚠️ It’s also the last trading day of August — expect higher volatility. Manage exposure carefully heading into the weekend.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,400, pushing higher after reclaiming the $3,386 level, with the next target at $3,406. A clean break and sustained hold above $3,406 would open the path toward $3,422.
On the downside, failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback into the $3,386 support, with deeper weakness exposing $3,363 and the $3,347–$3,328 support zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 28
Today’s focus is on U.S. Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims, both high-impact releases likely to move gold. Pending Home Sales also on the calendar.
⚠️ Volatility expected — watch for sharp moves and possible fakeouts around release times.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold briefly broke above the $3,386 resistance, but failed to hold and has since pulled back, now trading around $3,376. The rejection highlights $3,386 as a key barrier, while price remains supported above the $3,363 level with the 50MA (pink) still trending upward.
If buyers can reclaim and sustain above $3,386, the next upside targets are $3,406 and $3,422. On the downside, a break below $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with further weakness opening the door toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281
Cup and handle pattern spotted: Optimistic view for GoldOANDA:XAUUSD is showing a clean Cup and Handle setup. The price dipped to around 3,310, rounded out, and climbed back to the 3,350–3,360 zone, that’s our cup. Now it's pulling back slightly into a tight handle.
If price breaks above it with strength, I’d be expecting a move toward 3,368$. Until then, it’s a waiting game, no breakout, no trade.
Classic bullish setup forming, as anticipation is building up.
GBP: ER & Options Align — A Signal Worth Watching📌 GBP: ER & Options Align — A Signal Worth Watching
Interesting confluence on the British Pound:
The 1σ Expected Range (ER) for the Friday expiry (22.08) perfectly aligns with the cluster of put options at 1.35 — the same level I highlighted earlier.
🎯 Why it matters:
When market structure (ER) meets real positioning (puts), you get a reasonable support zone.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,344 after failing to break $3,367 minor resistance and hold above the $3,353 level, with both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) now sitting above price and acting as dynamic resistance.
A break and sustained hold back above $3,353 would be needed to regain short-term bullish momentum, opening the path to $3,367 (minor resistance) and $3,380. Failure to reclaim $3,353 keeps the bias tilted bearish, with downside pressure likely toward $3,329 and $3,313 - $3,295.
Current structure remains under pressure while price stays below the moving averages, with sellers holding the near-term advantage.
📋 Bullish Plan
The $3,329–$3,313 zone aligns with main buy-side liquidity and a fair value gap on both the 1H and 4H charts — making it a high-probability reaction area.
📌 Key Levels
Resistance:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,367
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
Support:
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
‣ $3,281
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Aug 15
Busy session ahead with multiple high-impact US releases, including Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales, and Import Prices — key indicators for consumer demand and inflation trends that can directly affect USD and gold volatility.
Later, we have Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, which may influence market expectations for Fed policy.
⚠️ It’s Friday — expect high volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully and avoid holding unnecessary exposure over the weekend.
GBPCHF meets strong support: A reversal here is high probabilityLooking at GBPCHF and how it fits within my approach to structure-based trading, this one is really speaking my language.
Price has come down into a key higher-timeframe support zone: a zone that’s proven itself multiple times in the past. Now, price has shown some initial rejection there, making my long position towards 1.1000 a clear, rational target.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. As we let the market complete its downward leg, waited for price to revisit a reliable zone, and now anticipating a bounce back. It’s a move that I’ve captured across my previous charts again and again.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is holding above the $3,353 support after reclaiming the 50MA (pink), but price remains capped just under the $3,367 minor resistance level and 200MA (green), which is acting as dynamic resistance.
A decisive break and hold above the minor resistance and 200MA would likely strengthen bullish momentum, opening the way to $3,380, followed by $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to break through could see price rotate back toward $3,353; a break below this level would shift focus to $3,329 and $3,313.
📌 Key Levels to watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,367
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
A high-impact day for USD with Core PPI, PPI, and Unemployment Claims — all potential volatility drivers for gold.
Later, multiple FOMC member speeches and President Trump’s remarks could add further swings.
Expect sharp intraday moves around data releases and headline risk into the US session — manage positions and risk accordingly.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has broken above the 50MA (pink) but remains capped below the 200MA (green), trading just above the $3,353 key level. This area is acting as a pivotal barrier — a clean break and sustained hold above $3,353 is needed to shift momentum bullish.
A sustained break and hold above this zone could see momentum build toward $3,380, with further upside potential to $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to clear this area may keep price trapped in the pullback structure, risking another retest of $3,329 and possibly the Secondary Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
Multiple FOMC speeches and President Trump remarks today could spark volatility.
Expect choppy price action — manage risk around headlines.






















