EUR/USD Poll: 1.2000 here we come?EUR/USD: 1.2000 Bank Target?
I am usually not a trend-trader (I prefer Mean Reversion), but this looks like a bullish setup to me: Breakout attempt + inverse head and shoulder.
Almost all banks have 1.2000 as a year-end-target for the Euro.
Fundamental reasons:
1. USD weakness due to weakening Jobs-Date
2. Increasing odds of a FED rate cutting cycle
3. USD-Outflows due to lost confidence in US-government
4. EUR Inflows due to fiscal measures in Germany
What do you guys think? 1.2000 just a matter of time?
Let me know in the comments!
Swingtrade
Link has a good entry today.enter if Link price is within ±2% of 22.40.
take profit at 27.70.
this is a swing trade, not a quick one. patience pays off.
nb: if price goes against you, hold or move it to a Smart Rebalance Bot until the market turns.
don't allocate more than 5% of your portfolio per trade.
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 37 2025Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 37 2025
Starting this week, I will release a weekly outlook video for the TradingView community. Get ready for the new week from an institutional perspective!
***
This week, markets are once again dominated by 🏦 central banks, 📊 inflation data, and the ongoing debate about whether the global economy is heading for a soft 🪂 or hard 🛬 landing.
We’ll look at the major themes 🔎 banks and institutions are focusing on, analyze key charts 🖥️, and highlight what could move markets 🔥 in the coming days.
🥇 Gold and 🥈 Silver remain in the spotlight as investors hedge against uncertainty, while 📉 equities are testing important resistance levels. In 💵 currencies, the USD is positioning itself ahead of crucial macroeconomic data.
👉 Join me as we break down what really matters on Wall Street this week — and how it could impact the markets.
Best,
Meikel
BTC Breakdown Alert: Bears Eye $106K Next!
🔥 **BTC Bears Ready to Attack? 🚨 Target \$106K Incoming!** 🔥
📊 **Market Bias**
⏳ **Intraday → 4H**: 🟥 Bearish (⬇️ below EMA9/21/20SMA, 📉 MACD negative, 💥 sell volume)
📅 **Daily → Weekly**: ✅ Mixed-to-Bullish (📈 above 200 SMA ≈ 101.3k)
⚖️ → Tactical short only, ⚠️ size carefully.
🎯 **Trade Plan**
💰 Entry: **109,200**
🛑 Stop Loss: **110,800**
🎯 Take Profit: **102,400** (⚡ 50% at 105,900 / 50% at 102,400)
📏 Size: **1 BTC** (risk \~1%)
💪 Confidence: **60%**
⏰ Timing: **Market Open**
🧠 **Why Short?**
* 📉 EMAs/SMA bearish stack
* 🔻 Expanding negative MACD
* 🧊 Heavier sell volume
* 🎯 BB extension aligns w/ \~102.4k
⚠️ **Risks**
* ❓ Missing OI/liquidity data = squeeze risk
* 📈 Long-term bullish structure > 200 SMA
* 🌍 Macro shocks (ETF/reg headlines, DXY swings)
---
📊 **TRADE JSON (automation/record):**
```json
{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "short",
"entry_price": 109200.00,
"stop_loss": 110800.00,
"take_profit": 106000.00,
"size": 1.0,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 17:02:46"
}
```
---
🏷️ **Hashtags:**
\#BTC 🚀 #Bitcoin 💎 #CryptoTrading 📊 #TradeSetup 🐻 #ShortTrade ⚡ #DayTrading ⏳ #RiskManagement 🛡️ #SwingTrade 🎯
BONK Approaching Key Support – Potential Long Swing Setup
BONK is pulling back and approaching a major support zone, where buyers previously stepped in. With price action slowing down, this could present a low-risk, high-reward swing trade opportunity.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry Zone: $0.0000183 – $0.000016
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.0000226
🥈 $0.000026
🔹 Stop Loss: Close below $0.0000155
#BONK #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis
AMD Pullback Opportunity After 70%+ Rally – Watching $111–$120 📈 AMD Update – Strategic Re-Entry Plan
From our original buys at $108, AMD has delivered an impressive 70%+ rally. This strong momentum reflects continued bullish sentiment and growth potential in the semiconductor sector.
We’re now looking to add on a pullback into a confluence support zone between $111 and $120. This level aligns with the:
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
99-day TRAMA
Horizontal support at $120
📍 Entry Zone: $111–$120
🎯 Take Profit Targets: $160 / $220 / $300
❌ Stop Loss: Weekly close below $100
#AMD #NASDAQ #SwingTrade #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingIdeas
possible swing point on GBPJPY Alright, let’s dive into the exciting world of trading, shall we?
So, here's the scoop: we’re on the lookout for potential swing points, those sweet spots where the market might just take a turn. It's like waiting for the perfect wave while surfing—the key is to recognize the signs before riding it out. Typically, one of the best indicators we have is a classic momentum drop. Picture it: as the price rises, there’s a little dip in momentum that signals a shift is on the horizon.
Now, once we spot that drop, we keep our eyes peeled for a lovely shift in price action. That’s our cue! When we see everything aligning just right, we can jump in with a smooth swing entry on this pair. It’s all about catching that rhythm and flowing with the market's natural ebb and flow.
So, dust off those charts and let your creative side take control! Map out your strategies, draw your lines, and visualize your plan of action. Trading is as much an art as it is a science, and every eye you lay on the charts brings you closer to mastering it.
Remember, though, as tempting as it is to get swept away by the possibilities, nothing in trading is guaranteed. Embrace the journey; it's all part of the fun and learning. Let’s see how this plays out together! Happy trading!
Is this where GJ starts making its big move?Hi Traders,
After breaking out of a failed swing tapping 200.000, GJ came down to retest the failed swing area at 199.000, bounced and reversed. Around 199.500 could be another retest/entry area before continuation. The weekly looks really good IMO, so I am planning to swing trade. My first target would be around 201.500, and then 203.000. 203.000 would hit an area of a weekly bearish OB.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
GBP/USD Forecast – Bullish Continuation SetupGBP/USD has broken out of the descending channel and is maintaining bullish momentum. I expect the price to move toward the 1.3725–1.3807 resistance zone, where we may see a corrective pullback. If this zone holds and structure remains bullish, the next target sits at the weekly order block near 1.4230, aligning with higher-timeframe supply.
Bias remains bullish unless price closes back below recent lows and re-enters the channel, which would invalidate the setup. For now, market structure favours continuation to the upside.
Targets:
Short-term: 1.3725–1.3807
Long-term: 1.4230
Invalidation: Break and close back below channel lows.
Energizing gains – Initiating NHPC buy.Chart timeframe: Daily chart of NHPC.
Pattern formation: Broadening pattern observed.
Support zone: Currently taking support along the parallel channel in the ₹80–₹83 range.
Price outlook: Sustaining this support zone could lead to higher price levels.
Note: Continue monitoring price action for confirmation.
Thank You !!
SUI – Ready to Drop from the $3.96 Supply WallSUI has rallied right into a key confluence area — the strong supply zone & bearish order block at $3.90–$4.00, which also aligns perfectly with the descending channel’s upper boundary.
📌 Bearish Scenario (preferred):
If price shows rejection at this zone and breaks below $3.85, a corrective move toward $3.55–$3.60 is highly probable, with potential extension toward $3.35 demand zone.
📌 Invalidation:
A 4H candle close above $4.05 would invalidate the short setup and open the door for a continuation toward $4.25+.
💡 Note: Confluence of channel resistance + supply OB + psychological $4 level makes this a high-probability short area. Watch for lower-timeframe BOS or liquidity sweep before entering.
FIGMA Grabbing Liquidity!!!
## ⚠️ FIG Swing Short Setup (2025-08-08) ⚠️
**Bias:** 📉 **Strong Bearish** — heavy put flow, weak trend, no momentum support.
**🎯 Trade Plan**
* **Ticker:** \ NYSE:FIG
* **Type:** PUT (SHORT)
* **Strike:** \$75.00
* **Entry:** \$4.80 (watch open, avoid chasing)
* **Profit Target 1:** \$7.20 (+50%)
* **Profit Target 2:** \$9.60 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$2.88 (-40%)
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-15
* **Size:** 1 contract
* **Confidence:** 75%
**📊 Key Notes**
* **C/P Ratio:** 0.45 → bearish options flow ✅
* Institutional bias heavily short ✅
* Trend falling, multi-timeframe returns flat ❌
* Volume: average — no strong push yet ⚠️
* Watch \$80 resistance for rejection trigger 🚨
Correction Over? Coffee May Be Ready for Another Rally!After a strong rally and moving far from its moving averages, coffee futures have started a healthy and expected pullback.
As we can see, the 20-period moving average (green) stands out as a strong support level and a potential target for those who sold near the top — whether for a partial profit-taking (expecting a deeper correction) or a full exit.
The candle formed right on the 20MA clearly reflects this dynamic: positions being closed by some traders and opened by others.
This price zone offers a good buying opportunity, with a tight stop and a long target in favor of the prevailing uptrend.
The trade symmetry is favorable, further reinforcing interest in this region.
Initial targets would be the previous high, and if that level is broken, the Fibonacci projections for more ambitious upside moves.
RENDER Approaching Key Support – Swing Trade OpportunityRENDER is currently retracing and approaching a significant support zone, offering a potential long swing trade setup. This level has historically acted as a demand area, and price action around it could provide a favorable risk-to-reward entry.
💰 Entry Zone: $3.280 – $3.030
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: $4.00
• TP2: $4.500
🛑 Stop Loss: $2.950
Trade management will be key – look for bullish reversal signals like strong volume, bullish engulfing patterns, or RSI confirmation before entry. Maintain disciplined risk control with your stop loss below the key zone.
#RENDER #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSetup #Bullish #SupportZone #CryptoSignals #RENDERUSDT #RiskReward #CryptoMarket
$HOOD – Flag Breakout Setup with Post-Earnings Shake & BakeNASDAQ:HOOD – Hot Momentum + Crypto Tailwind + Flag Breakout in Motion
Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD ) is setting up for a momentum breakout after delivering a perfect post-earnings shake & bake — and now it’s reclaiming key levels with force.
🔹 The Setup:
After earnings, NASDAQ:HOOD flushed under $100, shaking out weak hands and triggering stop runs.
Since then, it's remounted the moving averages and is now pushing through the $107 breakout zone.
Price is flagging cleanly — compression before expansion.
🔹 Why It’s Got Juice:
Strong bounce post-earnings = real buyer interest.
Flag breakout forming with crypto sector strength ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH running).
NASDAQ:HOOD often rides crypto momentum — it’s a sleeper sector sympathy play.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Picked up $105 calls on the morning dip.
2️⃣ Add: Eyeing $110 calls with a few weeks out if we clear the flag.
3️⃣ Stop: Under today’s low or 9 EMA, depending on how it behaves into the breakout.
Why I Like It:
Shakeout + reclaim = powerful combo.
Flag structure is clean, volume is stabilizing, and crypto sector tailwinds add fuel.
When NASDAQ:HOOD runs, it runs fast — and it loves trending when sentiment flips.
BTC – Pre-FOMC consolidation, bullish momentum, key zones__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Primary uptrend confirmed on all swing timeframes (daily to 1H). Active consolidation below major resistance (119650–120247), no capitulation or massive selling signals at this stage.
Major Supports / Resistances :
Main Supports: 116950, then 114732. Structural invalidation if daily close below 114K or low <110K.
Key Resistances: 119650–120247 (recent block), then 123218. Clean breakout >125K targets next stat zone at 141K.
Volumes : Transactional flows remain healthy, no anomalies or distribution events; normal volumes with a few impulsive bursts. No panic or selling climax detected.
Multi-timeframe behavior : Uptrend alignment from 1D to 2H; short-term divergence (MTFTI “Down” on 30m/15m/5m) indicates only breath/consolidation pre-macro event (FOMC).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias : Medium/long-term bullish bias, confirmed, with no behavioral excess or visible structural weakness.
Opportunities : Pullbacks to major supports (116950–114732) offer strategic accumulation. Potential for adding exposure on clear breakout above 125K with volume confirmation.
Risk Areas : Post-FOMC flushes, anticipated high volatility until Thursday morning, $115–123K range still active. Tactical stop loss below 114.5K, structural recalibration <110K.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC tonight (20:00 Paris): status quo expected, but markets highly sensitive to Powell’s statement. Widened spreads, max volatility expected within the following 2 hours.
Action Plan : Favor patience on breakout, accumulate on retracement, keep stops disciplined. Avoid aggressive scalping until post-FOMC volatility peak fades.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D (Daily): Uptrend confirmed up to dense resistance zone 119800–123200. Solid momentum, no excess on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator or volume. Key Supports: 116950, 114732.
12H/6H/4H: Structured consolidation below 120247–119650. No behavioral warnings; markets strong, healthy liquidity. Accumulation-distribution rhythm without extremes.
2H/1H: Sideways, no sell-off or euphoria; potential consolidation before breakout. Major supports unchanged.
30min/15min: Noticeable short-term divergence (“Down”). Micro bearish setup, possible loss of short-term momentum before FOMC.
Summary: Broadly bullish swing trend with consolidation below resistance, reinforcement possible on breakout; short term fragile until macro moves (Fed) are digested.
Patience is key ahead of FOMC: prioritize accumulation on major pullback, keep stops disciplined, and avoid intraday over-trading unless clear exhaustion signals emerge.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy from 1D to 1H, intact sector support, positive structural bias.
ISPD DIV: Neutral across all timeframes: no excess, no behavioral climax.
On-chain/macro: 97% of holders still in profit; market absorbed stress test ($9B sell-off); only moderate euphoria, consistent with late bull phase but not exhausted.
Swing validation if >125K.
Tactical stop <114.5K; full capitulation <110K.
__________________________________________________________________________________