Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Swingtrade

GBP/JPY: Total Confluence Targeting 202.05 BreakoutThis is a high-conviction trade setup based on a powerful confluence of fundamental drivers and multi-timeframe technical alignment. We are anticipating a bullish breakout in GBP/JPY, catalyzed by the upcoming UK GDP data release. The price action has formed a classic "coiled spring" pattern, indicating a significant buildup of energy before a potential move higher. The analysis is based on pure price action, structure, and macroeconomics. The chart is kept intentionally clean to highlight the strength of the setup itself. The Fundamental Why 📰 Two core data-driven factors underpin this trade: 1️⃣ Macro Policy Divergence: The primary long-term driver is the stark monetary policy difference between a relatively hawkish Bank of England (BoE), which is still fighting inflation, and an ultra-dovish Bank of Japan (BoJ). This fundamental imbalance creates a natural tailwind for GBP/JPY. 2️⃣ Positive Leading Indicators: Recent economic data from the UK has shown surprising strength. Both the Services and Manufacturing PMIs for June beat expectations, suggesting underlying resilience in the economy. This points to a higher probability of an upside surprise in Friday's GDP figures, which would be the direct catalyst for a breakout. The Technical Picture 📊 Our confidence comes from a rare "Total Confluence," where every timeframe tells the same bullish story. The Monthly Chart (Strategic View): Shows a powerful, multi-year uptrend that has decisively broken the critical 8-year resistance from the 2015 highs. The macro trend is undeniably bullish. The Weekly Chart (The Confirmation): Confirms the uptrend is resuming now after breaking out of a year-long bullish continuation pattern. The "resting" phase appears to be over. The 4-Hour Chart (The Setup): This is the "coiled spring." Price is consolidating in a very tight range right underneath the key breakout level of 199.45. This shows a lack of sellers and a buildup of buying pressure. Fibonacci Confluence: Our take profit target is not random. It aligns perfectly with the 1.272 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension, giving us objective, mathematical confirmation for the target at 202.05. The Trade Plan ✅ This is a "set and forget" breakout strategy. The order should be placed as a Buy Stop to capture the momentum as it breaks higher. 📉 Asset: GBP/JPY 👉 Entry (Buy Stop): 199.85 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 198.75 🎯 Take Profit: 202.05 🧠 Risk/Reward: 1:2 This analysis is for educational purposes. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately. Good luck.
Long
by MaxellAguiran
Gold (XAU/USD) Structure Analysis : Trendline Break + TargetGold is trading around $3,338, positioned at a decisive point where both bullish momentum and bearish pressure are converging. The price action over the past few weeks suggests a brewing breakout, supported by multiple technical factors. This analysis provides a complete breakdown of what’s happening and what to anticipate next based on the current structure. 🔹 Market Structure & Context Since mid-May, XAU/USD has been trading within a rising price channel, respecting a well-defined ascending trendline support. This rising support zone has provided a floor for buyers to step in, especially during pullbacks, which demonstrates consistent buying interest and underlying bullish sentiment. At the same time, gold has also been respecting a descending trendline resistance formed by multiple lower highs. This forms a squeeze pattern, suggesting that the market is building energy for a breakout. As price compresses within this wedge-like structure, the tension between bulls and bears grows, setting the stage for a sharp directional move. This is a classic accumulation vs. compression scenario, where the outcome of the breakout will dictate short-to-medium-term direction. 🔹 Channel Support Zone – Buyer’s Stronghold The channel support zone is critical here. This area, visible as a bold upward sloping line, has provided reliable support through repeated market cycles. It acts as a dynamic line where institutions and swing traders accumulate long positions during dips. The fact that price has respected this trendline for over a month signals the importance of this structure in current market psychology. Any break below this zone would invalidate the bullish bias and open the door for a steeper decline. However, as long as price stays above this line, the buyers retain control. 🔹 Trendline Resistance – Key Barrier to Break The descending trendline resistance, drawn from mid-June highs, has been a significant cap on upward moves. Each test of this trendline has resulted in a rejection, pushing price back into the range. Now, gold is testing this level again — and this time, the setup is stronger for a potential breakout due to growing momentum and multiple rejections weakening the resistance. From a technical standpoint, the more a resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes, and the higher the probability of a breakout. 🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Zones – Momentum Confirmation The chart marks both Minor BOS and Major BOS zones. These are crucial areas to watch for price confirmation. The Minor BOS, just above the current price (around $3,360), represents a short-term structural shift. A clean break above this with strong candles and volume could trigger a momentum rally. The Major BOS, located in the $3,400–$3,420 area, is more significant. This is the last major swing high. If gold manages to break and hold above this zone, it would confirm a complete bullish reversal in market structure — turning what was once a lower-high pattern into a potential new uptrend. These BOS levels act as validation checkpoints for trend direction. Without a clean break, the move is unconfirmed and prone to reversal. 🔹 Next Reversal Zone – Anticipated Reaction Area Above the BOS zones lies the Next Reversal Zone, marked in green. This is a potential area of resistance or profit-taking, based on historical price reactions, Fibonacci confluence, and psychological levels. This area spans approximately $3,420 to $3,440, which is where price might pause, consolidate, or reverse depending on momentum. This zone doesn’t necessarily mean price will reverse immediately, but it’s a smart area for traders to monitor reactions or start managing their risk. 🔹 Price Action Flow – What Could Happen Next? Currently, gold is testing both the trendline and the minor BOS, building momentum around this critical zone. There are two primary paths forward: If gold breaks the descending trendline and confirms above the minor BOS: Expect a move toward the major BOS at $3,400. A successful break of this zone opens the path to the next reversal zone ($3,420–$3,440). Bulls gain clear control and the market may attempt a sustained breakout continuation. If gold gets rejected again at the trendline: Price could drop back toward the channel support, between $3,280 and $3,250. This would maintain the current consolidation range, with further testing likely before a breakout. Bears may gain temporary control, but only a break below the ascending channel would signal a trend shift to the downside. 🔹 Why This Setup Matters This chart captures a textbook breakout setup — compression at a trendline, rising channel support, and BOS zones layered in. These kinds of technical setups often precede strong moves because: Volume typically increases after breakout zones are breached. Market participants are watching the same structure, making reactions more predictable. Risk-to-reward becomes favorable with tight invalidation points. For disciplined traders, this is a high-probability environment to wait for confirmation and trade the reaction, not the anticipation. 🔹 Risk Management Reminder It’s essential not to chase breakouts prematurely. Look for: Strong bullish candles breaking key resistance. Retests of broken trendlines turning into support. Volume confirmation (spikes can signal genuine breakout vs. fakeout). Also, be prepared for false breakouts, especially during overlapping macroeconomic events or low liquidity sessions. 🧭 Final Thoughts This is a powerful confluence zone for gold, and whichever side breaks it will likely control the next leg. Whether you're a day trader or a swing trader, this is a must-watch area on your chart. Stay alert, trade with confirmation, and respect your risk parameters.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
AUD/USD Short: Riding the Perfect Storm to 0.6400Hello, traders! 🚀 A rare and powerful setup is forming on AUD/USD, and all signs are pointing decisively lower. 👇 This isn't just a simple technical pattern; it's a perfect storm of fundamental, technical, and event-driven factors aligning to create a high-conviction short opportunity. If you're looking for a clean setup with a clear catalyst, this is it. Let's break it down! 🧐 The Core Thesis: Why We're Bearish 🌪️ This trade is built on three powerful pillars that are converging at the same time: Massive Policy Divergence: 🇺🇸 vs 🇦🇺 This is the engine of the trade. The Fed (USD): Remains HAWKISH 🦅. They are laser-focused on fighting stubborn inflation and have signaled they are in no rush to cut rates. The RBA (AUD): Is actively DOVISH 🐨. They've already cut rates and are widely expected to cut again this week to support a weakening economy. Result: This widening gap in interest rate policy creates a fundamental tailwind that heavily favors a stronger USD and a weaker AUD. 💸 The Dual-Catalyst Event (July 9th): 🗓️ This is the trigger. FOMC Minutes Release: The minutes from the Fed's last meeting are expected to confirm their hawkish stance, reinforcing USD strength. Tariff Deadline: A 90-day suspension of Trump-era tariffs expires on the same day . The base case is that tariffs will be reimposed, sparking a risk-off move in the markets. Result: Risk-off sentiment is toxic for the risk-sensitive Aussie dollar (AUD) and a magnet for the safe-haven US dollar (USD). This is a potential double-whammy for AUD/USD. 💥 The Technical Picture is Screaming "Down" 📉 The chart tells a crystal-clear story of rejection and weakness. As you can see on the 4H chart, the price action is incredibly bearish after failing to break out higher. The Great Wall of Resistance: Bulls threw everything they had at the 0.6590 - 0.6600 resistance zone and were decisively rejected. 🧱 This wasn't just any level; it was an 8-month high and a major long-term resistance area. A failure this strong is a huge red flag for buyers. 🛑 Momentum has Flipped: We saw classic bearish divergence on the higher timeframes, and as you can see on this 4H chart, we have now decisively broken below the recent rising channel. The path of least resistance has flipped from up to down. 👇 The Trade Plan 🎯 Here are the precise levels for executing this trade idea. Asset: AUD/USD Direction: Short (Sell) 📉 Entry Zone: ➡️ Look for a patient entry on a pullback to the 0.6535 - 0.6550 area. This was previous support and is now expected to act as strong resistance. We want to sell into strength. Stop Loss: 🛑 A daily close above 0.6610 . This level is safely above the recent highs. A break here would invalidate our bearish thesis. Target 1 (TP1): ✅ 0.6475 . This is the first logical support level. A good area to take partial profits and move your stop loss to break-even. Target 2 (TP2): 🏆 0.6400 . This is our primary target, representing the bottom of the multi-week trading range and offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion: 💡 It's rare for fundamentals, technicals, and a major event catalyst to align so perfectly. The rejection at major resistance, combined with the powerful fundamental driver of policy divergence and the upcoming dual-catalyst on July 9th, makes this a high-conviction setup. This is my analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk carefully. What do you think? Are you bearish on the Aussie too? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 And if you found this analysis helpful, please give it a BOOST 🚀 and FOLLOW for more trade ideas! 👍
Short
by MaxellAguiran
1
Is Citigroup (C) the Most Undervalued Big Bank Right Now?🔥Let’s talk numbers: 🧮 P/E: 9.78x 💸 P/S: 0.66x That’s deep value — Wall Street’s sleeping on this one. While everyone's chasing AI, Citigroup is trading at garage sale prices. 🧠 The Setup: If you're into swing plays with strong R/R and macro upside, C is worth a look. 🔑 Entry Zones: 1️⃣ Market price — for early bulls 2️⃣ $55 — breakout confirmation 3️⃣ $48 — bargain bin steal 🎯 Targets: TP1: $70 🟢 TP2: $78 🚀 TP3: $84 💰 💬 Why it matters: Citi has been lagging behind peers like JPM, but it’s still a beast. If the Fed holds or cuts, banks could catch a serious bid — and this one’s ready to pop from a value base. 📌 Watching volume at $55 and any macro shifts as catalysts. 👀 Don’t ignore this one just because it’s not trending. That’s where smart money hides. 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing ideas and setups I’m watching. Always do your own research and manage your risk. #Citigroup #C #Undervalu #Citigroup #C #UndervaluedStocks #SwingTrade #TradingSetup #DeepValue #Banking #PEratio #SmartMoneyMoves #StockMarket #Financials #Watchlist
NYSE:CLong
by Robert_V12
1
AUD/JPY: Rejection at Key ResistanceThis is a high-conviction short setup on AUD/JPY based on a powerful rejection pattern that has formed on the 4-hour chart. As you can see, the price spiked into the critical resistance zone between 95.00 and 95.55 but was immediately and forcefully rejected, leaving behind a long "Exhaustion Spike." This is a classic sign of buyer exhaustion and seller dominance. It tells us that despite the recent rally, there is significant supply waiting at these higher levels. This price action provides a clear opportunity to short the pair in anticipation of a significant move down. 🏦 Fundamental Analysis The fundamental backdrop provides a strong tailwind for this trade, with two key drivers: 1️⃣ Central Bank Divergence: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in an easing cycle, having recently cut rates to 3.85% with more cuts expected. In stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is on a path of normalization, having already raised its rate to 0.50%. This divergence in monetary policy is structurally bearish for AUD/JPY. 2️⃣ Imminent Catalysts: This week is packed with event risk that is skewed to the downside for this pair. We have the RBA interest rate decision on Tuesday, July 8th , and the U.S. tariff deadline on Wednesday, July 9th . A dovish RBA or a "risk-off" move from the tariff news would likely accelerate the decline in AUD (a risk currency) and strengthen the JPY (a safe-haven currency). 📊 Technical Analysis The price action on the chart confirms the bearish bias: 1️⃣ 4-Hour Rejection: The "Exhaustion Spike" at the 95.00 - 95.55 supply zone is the primary signal. It shows a clear failure by buyers and a strong takeover by sellers at a key level. 2️⃣ Long-Term Trend: On the daily chart, the price is trading below the critical 200-day moving average , confirming the long-term trend remains bearish. 3️⃣ Waning Momentum: There is a clear bearish divergence on the daily RSI. The price made a higher high, but the momentum indicator made a lower high, signaling that the rally is internally weak and losing steam. 📋 Trading Setup This is a swing trade designed to capture a significant correction with a simple "set and forget" plan. 📉 Direction: SHORT / SELL 👉 Entry: Sell Limit @ 94.85 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 95.60 🎯 Take Profit: 91.10 💡 Rationale: The entry is placed strategically to capitalize on a potential retest of the rejection area. The stop loss is placed safely above the rejection wick and the major resistance zone. The take profit targets the major structural support from the May 2025 lows, offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
1
BTC - Zoomed Out ScenarioAs predicted DXY has broken down a major monthly bearish trendline - currently finishing a bearish retest before further free fall. If this plays out we have 2-3 years of a weakening / correcting dollar, and a strengthening investment in assets such as Bitcoin. This means an extended bull market spanning 2-4 years on Bitcoin and equities. However - there is a mass amount of liquidity to the uber lows towards 10,000 on BTC. Market is showing manipulated intention to hit these lows by keeping the price below this bearish cross section - and that’s why bitcoin hasn’t been moving up yet. This tells me this is more likely than we all think to play out. I’m trading the following: Short - 108,200 to 35,000 Long - 35,000 to 80,000 Short - 80,000 to 10,000 Will update accordingly if the plan changes. Happy trading.
Short
by DickDandy
7
NZDCAD: High-Conviction Long - Fundamental Strength & TechnicalThis analysis identifies an extremely high-conviction long opportunity in the NZDCAD currency pair 📈🇨🇦🇳🇿. Our conviction is primarily driven by a significant divergence in monetary policy outlooks and economic fundamentals between New Zealand and Canada. New Zealand's economic resilience, underpinned by robust dairy prices and a less dovish central bank stance, contrasts sharply with Canada's decelerating growth, rising unemployment, and a central bank poised for further rate cuts amidst trade policy uncertainties. Technically, NZDCAD appears poised for an upward move from key support levels, supported by bullish momentum indicators on the 4-hour chart. This is a medium-term trade expected to play out over days to weeks. 🗓️ I. Fundamental Rationale: Diverging Economic Trajectories 📊🌍 The core of this trade lies in the starkly different economic paths New Zealand and Canada are currently on, creating a compelling fundamental case for NZD appreciation against CAD: Monetary Policy Divergence: New Zealand (NZD): The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintained its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 3.25% in June 2025. Analysts anticipate a hold at the upcoming July 9 meeting, balancing growth concerns with an "uncomfortably high near-term inflation outlook". This signals a less aggressive easing path. 🏦🇳🇿 Canada (CAD): In contrast, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate steady at 2.75% in June 2025, after nine consecutive 0.25% cuts since June 2024. Market expectations for the upcoming July 30, 2025 meeting indicate a 33% chance of a further 25 basis point cut, with economists anticipating gradual cuts to 2.25% by mid-2025. This clear easing bias is driven by consistently below-target inflation (1.73% in May 2025). 📉🇨🇦 Impact: This creates a clear and widening interest rate differential fundamentally favoring the NZD. 💰 Inflation Outlook: New Zealand: Annual inflation accelerated to 2.5% in Q1 2025, exceeding market expectations and marking the highest rate since June 2024. This reinforces the RBNZ's cautious stance. ⬆️ Canada: Canada's CPI registered 1.73% in May 2025, notably below the BoC's 2.0% target, providing ample justification for further monetary easing. ⬇️ Economic Performance & Labor Market: New Zealand: GDP is projected to grow by 1.9% in 2025. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in March 2025, with average hourly earnings increasing by 4.5% annually. 💼✨ Canada: Real GDP contracted by 0.1% in April 2025, with a flash estimate pointing to another 0.1% decline in May, implying an annualized loss of 0.3% in Q2 2025. The unemployment rate rose to 7.0% in May 2025, its highest since September 2016 (excluding pandemic years). 📉🏭 Impact: New Zealand demonstrates greater economic resilience and a more stable labor market. 💪 Commodity & Trade Dynamics: New Zealand: Benefits significantly from surging dairy prices, its top export commodity, which saw a substantial 10% increase in Q1 2025, with Fonterra forecasting record milk prices and production volumes. This contributed to a robust monthly trade surplus of $1.2 billion in May 2025. 🥛🧀💰 Canada: While the CAD maintains a strong positive correlation with oil prices, energy exports decreased by 5.6% in May, with crude oil exports falling 4.0%. Furthermore, Canadian exports to the US have declined for four consecutive months due to ongoing US tariffs. 🛢️📉 Impact: Strong commodity tailwinds and a healthy trade surplus for NZD, versus tariff-induced headwinds and declining energy exports for CAD. 🌬️ Yield Differential: The New Zealand 10-year government bond yield (4.57% as of June 30, 2025) is notably higher than Canada's (3.38% as of July 3, 2025). This provides a positive carry for holding NZD over CAD. 📊 II. Technical Rationale: Chart Insights (4-Hour Timeframe) 📈🔍 The technical picture on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish reversal from current levels, complementing the fundamental outlook: Current Price Action & Long-Term Trend: NZDCAD is currently approximately 0.8277 (as of July 1, 2025). While short-term analyses may show a "sharp bearish trend," the pair is described as "trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase" as it approaches a key support area. The 1-month change for NZDCAD is +0.13%, and year-to-date is +2.45%, indicating a longer-term bullish bias despite recent fluctuations. This corrective dip presents a favorable entry point. 📉➡️📈 Key Support & Resistance Levels: Entry Point (0.8270) is strategically chosen near the immediate support cluster, specifically around the Pivot Point 1st Support of 0.8276 and an identified buying opportunity zone around 0.82700. ✅ Take Profit (TP) of 0.8350 is positioned just below the Pivot Point 3rd Level Resistance of 0.8356. 🎯 Stop Loss (SL) of 0.8220) is carefully placed below the key support levels of 0.8240 (Pivot Point 3rd Support) and 0.8236 (Pivot Point 3rd Support). A sustained break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. 🛑 Momentum Indicators: RSI (14): The 14-day RSI for NZDCAD is around 41.78 to 54.33, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, with room for upward movement. 📊 MACD (12, 26, 9): A "bullish divergence" has been identified on the hourly timeframe, often signaling a return of buying interest. The MACD line is also observed to be slightly above its signal line, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. ⬆️ Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is positioned slightly above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This configuration suggests a potential bullish crossover of longer-term moving averages, generally considered a positive long-term signal. 📈 III. Trade Setup: 📋✨ Currency Pair: NZDCAD 🇳🇿🇨🇦 Direction: Long (Buy) ⬆️ Entry Point: 0.8270 Take Profit (TP): 0.8350 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8220 Calculated Risk (in pips): 50 pips Calculated Reward (in pips): 80 pips Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.6:1 (A favorable ratio for a high-probability setup!) ✅ Key Considerations: Always adhere to strict risk management principles, risking no more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on this single trade. Be mindful of potential volatility around upcoming high-impact economic events in July, particularly the RBNZ and Bank of Canada interest rate decisions, and inflation data. 🗓️🔔
Long
by MaxellAguiran
Bitcoin High consolidation, swing opportunities ahead__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Strongly bullish across all timeframes from 1D to 1H (MTFTI “Strong Up”/“Up”); short-term 15min showing weakness (“Down”). Key Supports / Resistances : Major supports: 106k (pivot), 99k–98k (accumulation zone). Major resistances: 108239–110630, all-time-high zone 111949. Volumes : Normal on all timeframes except 15min (extreme). Multi-timeframe behaviour : Healthy consolidation below 108.2k, no signs of panic or buy/sell climax (ISPD DIV neutral). Only 15min shows short-term trap/high volatility risk. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias : Dominant bullish structure (1D–4H), high consolidation with risk appetite (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “strong buy”). Short-term: caution, micro selling pressure on 15min. Opportunities : Swing entry on pullbacks 106k–104k (invalid if below 103k), confirmed breakout >108.2k = acceleration higher (R:R ~2.5). Risk zones : Dip below 106k → 104k/99k; extreme 15min volume = fakeout risk; macro triggers (CPI, PMI) may boost volatility. Macro triggers : Fed decisions, Germany/US CPI, Chicago PMI – all monitored and anticipated, no looming shock seen. Action plan : Favour swing with tight stops, wait for clear breakout to increase size, limit scalp/intra trading. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D to 4H: Bias: strongly bullish, no major bearish signals or divergence. Supports: 106k, 99-98k. Volumes: under control. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: “strong buy”. Summary: pure bullish structure, opportunities on pullbacks or breakout >108.2k. 2H/1H/30min: Consolidation below 108.2k resistance, no notable behavioral excess (ISPD DIV neutral), healthy volumes. Price range 107.5k–108.2k. Swing supports: 106.3k/106k; resistances: 107.5k/108.2k. 15min: Temporary negative signal: extreme volume, MTFTI “Down”, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutralized. Risk of rapid spike/wick (liquidity), potential fakeout or squeeze before normalization. __________________________________________________________________________________ Cross-Timeframe Summary & Recommended Action __________________________________________________________________________________ Higher timeframes perfectly aligned for upside, no reversal signals apart from 15min. Target the 106k–104k area for swing positioning. Only strong breakout >108.2k is the true catalyst for upward extension. Short-term: high volumes create trap risk on lower units – be selective. Risk management: stop-loss recommended below 103k for all bullish strategies. Healthy market digestion, new macro catalyst required for immediate bullish extension. __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental & Macro Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Fed “higher for longer,” US growth soft, strong dollar but no systemic stress. Bitcoin showing resilience (holds highs despite exogenous volatility). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong tech leadership, no liquidity or regulatory shocks. On-chain analysis: no climax or capitulation, digestive momentum. Macro news: moderately favorable for crypto, neutral for traditional assets. __________________________________________________________________________________ Opportunities / Risks & R/R Recommendation __________________________________________________________________________________ Opportunities : Buy pullbacks 106k–104k, validate breakout >108.2k with volume/momentum signals. Risks : Drop <106k, increased 15min volatility, potential fake breakout on adverse macro data. Action advice : Favour swing trades over scalping, tight stops below major supports, wait for clear signals. Final bias : structurally bullish, high consolidation, patience required short-term.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
INTC getting ready to start it's upward trajectoryINTC has been ranging and coiling since July of 2024. It finally, is starting to look like bullish movement is about to break upwards. As you can see, INTC has just broken the downward trend line as well as the triangle pattern. A break and hold above $24.40 would indicate the start of a new uptrend in the chart. Indications that the stock is gaining bullish momentum on the weekly chart: The Williams %R is approaching and getting ready to break the 50 line. The MACD is bullish and approaching the zero line. The stock has bounced off of the volume shelf on the AVP 4 times and is now breaking out of technical patterns. Money flow on market cipher B has crossed over green. EMA's are starting to turn upward to flip bullish. The marked move on this triangle pattern is approximately $40. From a fundamental standpoint, Intel is trying to fix the business on two tracks at one time: 1)Near-term – ship competitive AI-centric products now (CPUs, GPUs, Gaudi accelerators) to put revenue and margins back on a growth path. 2) Long-term – reinvent itself as a contract chip-maker (Intel Foundry) so it can win outside customers and leverage its huge fab investments. Think of it as “sell more chips today, sell more manufacturing tomorrow.” Let's see Intel can build enough momentum to break this range for the bigger move up. The table is set from a technical standpoint. Not financial advice. Do your own research.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Maligator
1
NASDAQ Bullish Play into Liquidity Before Potential ReversalForecast: NOTE: At this moment, this is a forecast and trades will be taken dependent on live PA. Price has reacted strongly off the 21,410–21,430 Daily Order Block, suggesting bullish intent. If bullish structure holds, I expect a move into the 22,060–22,130 liquidity zone, where sell-side setups could form. This is a classic Buy to Sell model: Buy from OB at ~21,420 Target liquidity above recent highs (~22,100+) Look for shorts after sweep into 22,130–22,220 range Invalidation: Break and close below 21,410 suggests the OB failed — potential deeper drop toward 20,700.
IG:NASDAQLong
by SKA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin Key $103K Supports Tested, Swing-Bullish Opportunity?__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Strong bullish momentum on daily, fueled by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI structure. Major supports identified at $102,600 – $103,300, high confluence (4H, 12H, 1D). Resistances clustered between $106,000 and $110,000 (240 & D Pivot High, W Pivot High). Volumes generally neutral; no buyer/seller climax. Directional trends diverge: overall swing remains bullish, short-term intraday still corrective. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias: Structured bullish as long as supports >$102,600 are preserved. Opportunities: Longs on retest of major supports, favoring daily/4H trend-following. Reactive shorts only on rejection at $104,500–$106,000. Risk zones: Below $102,600 = structure break. Prioritize cash/hedging. Macro catalysts: Waiting for September FOMC. Monitor geopolitical risks (MENA). Action plan: Gradual entries on pullbacks, disciplined stops below pivots, prudent sizing outside confirmed breakouts. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D & 12H : Bullish trend confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI. Major supports intact ($102,600–$103,300). Volumes neutral, market in wait mode. Swing long favored. 6H & 4H : Upward momentum, no significant bearish signals. “Buy the dip” valid above support; healthy structure as long as key levels hold. 2H, 1H : Early micro-divergence signals (MTFTI Down short term), increased caution. Favor entries on confirmed correction or breakout only. 30min, 15min : Intraday correction, neutral/bearish volumes, aggressive long setups discouraged. Scalping only on exhaustion spikes, strict stops. ISPD DIV summary : No excess/panic, mature consolidation/range context. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator summary : Bullish across all TF except very short-term (>15min neutral). __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental & On-chain Synthesis __________________________________________________________________________________ Fed: status quo, US macro softening, market waiting. Geopolitical tensions: potential for increased volatility. On-chain: institutional predominance, low network pressure, no panic selling or retail euphoria. Off-chain: high derivatives volume, OI > $96B. Squeeze risk if catalyst emerges. __________________________________________________________________________________ Decision Matrix – Execution Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Swing Long: Entry $103,200 – $103,800, stop <$102,400, target $107,000+ (RR>2:1) Scalping Short: On confirmed rejection $104,500 – $106,000, stop >$106,400, target $103,400 (RR>1.5:1) Strict risk management below major supports, position proactively on volatility/news. Cash/out below $102,400 or with major geopolitical headlines. Stay flexible; alternate range-buy/take profit until breakout volume or FOMC news. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
XAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend FollowingXAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend Following Gold prices have been moving sideways, forming a consolidation range, and recently broke out to the upside last week. Currently, the price is pulling back to retest the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). If it can bounce from the 3400 support level, the next target would be the Range Volatile Week High around 3500. However, if the FVG fails to hold, the price may drop to the next support levels at 3350 and 3300. These are critical supports that should not be broken, as they also align with the ascending trendline (Up Trend Line). That said, this move is seen as a pullback for a potential continuation to the upside. Strategy: Buy the dip Wait for a reversal candlestick at the key support zones. The bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
MGY: Technical Breakout + Fundamental Momentum = Quiet Winner?Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is showing one of the cleanest technical breakouts in the energy sector — and the market hasn’t priced it in yet. After months of pressure, price has broken above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with rising volume, signaling a clear phase shift from distribution to accumulation. Recent candles confirm control shifting to the buyers, with a tight structure, rising lows, and bullish momentum building underneath resistance. The fundamentals back the technical setup. In the latest earnings report, MGY delivered a 9.7% revenue increase, $110M in free cash flow, and continues to pay dividends with low leverage. UBS upgraded the stock with a $29 target, which aligns precisely with the post-breakout projection. Operationally, the company is expanding in key U.S. basins like Eagle Ford, while seeing growing demand from Australia and Latin America. With oil prices pushing higher and geopolitical tensions rising, MGY stands out as a stable energy play in a volatile world. Holding above the $24.00–$24.30 zone keeps the breakout valid, with $29+ as a natural magnet for price. Most investors are still asleep on this name — but the structure is already telling a very different story.
NYSE:MGYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
15
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers. ➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes). ➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots). ➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term. ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance. ➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing. ➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT. ➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k. ➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k. ➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach. ➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis 1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess. 12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes. 4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes. 1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance. Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing. ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes. Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling. On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Synthesis & Bias Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds. Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups. Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000. Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound. No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range. Actively manage exposure approaching macro events. Operational summary: • Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000. • Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k. • Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC. • If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below. Strategy: Bounce & Sell Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal signals include: 3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High. 3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone. We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas. Downside Targets Our primary downside targets are: 3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low. 3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure. From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis. Crucial Considerations Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup. Trade carefully and profitably. C.Goii Super Trader
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
XAUUSD Swing TradeXAUUSD Swing Trade Market Overview: Gold remains in an overall uptrend, currently facing resistance around 3350. At present, price is pulling back with key support levels at: 3333, aligning with a Fair Value Gap 3310, the midpoint of the base structure 3295, a major Order Block zone Strategy: Look for buy opportunities on pullbacks at key support levels. Wait for reversal candlesticks or clear reversal patterns before entering positions. Take-Profit Targets: Initial targets: 3380 and 3400, which align with the Volatile Day High range Extended target for the week: 3450, the Volatile Week High
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Equity Research Flash – BEML Ltd.CMP: ₹3,242.10 | Breakout From Falling Trendline BEML has decisively broken out of a falling trendline and is now sustaining above a key consolidation zone. With strong bullish candles, a rising RSI, and healthy volume spike, the stock signals bullish momentum. Immediate resistance lies at ₹3,420–₹3,480. Sustained move above could target ₹3,750+. 20/50 EMA crossover supports the upward trend. Traders may consider entries on dips with SL near ₹3,080. For educational purposes only
NSE:BEMLLong
by rmhetre15
Intel Breakdown Alert! Bearish Setup with High R:R Opportunity !📉 Intel Corporation (INTC) – Bearish Setup Analysis Timeframe: 4H | Ticker: NASDAQ:INTC | Exchange: NASDAQ 🔍 Technical Breakdown We are currently observing a potential bearish reversal on Intel Corp. following a clear breakdown from a rising parallel channel on the 4H chart. 🟦 Pattern Observed Price was previously moving within a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows – a typical short-term bullish structure. Recently, price broke down below the lower boundary of this channel, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📌 Trade Setup Entry Zone: Between $20.22 – $20.06 Price is currently trading in this zone, presenting a potential short entry opportunity following the channel breakdown. Stop Loss: $21.77 Placed above the previous resistance zone and the broken channel. If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis is invalidated. Final Target: $17.70 This level represents a key support zone from previous price action and aligns with potential measured move from the channel breakdown. ✅ Why This Setup? Channel Breakdown A break below a well-defined channel often marks a change in trend. This gives a high-probability setup for trend reversal traders. Bearish Momentum Confirmation After the breakdown, price failed to reclaim the channel, and is now trading below the prior support, flipping it into resistance. Risk/Reward Ratio This setup offers an excellent R:R ratio, with downside potential toward $17.70 and a relatively tight stop just above the failed structure. Market Structure Alignment Lower highs and lower lows now appear to be forming post-breakdown, further confirming a potential bearish move ahead. 📉 Bias: Short 📈 Invalidation: Break and close above $21.77 🎯 Target: $17.70 🧠 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly. Trade safe!
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by momentumwls
1