THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support at the beginning of the week, hopefully in to the red box, and then push upside into the higher red box. This move worked well for the long trade, however, it was at that region we ideally wanted to short back down into the lower liquidity pools. We didn’t get this move due to the red box breaking above, so we continued with the bias and the target levels and managed to complete some fantastic long trades, as well as an extremely decent short hitting Excalibur on the nose.
Not a bad week, even though the plan wasn’t as successful as tends to be.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We had bullish Friday after the break out, but the last few hours you can see some profit taking in process. We’re now still above our bias level 3740-45 but the issue we have here is there is still no breach of the red box defence above, which again held strong late session on Friday. We’re also flagging which is another concern, so, for that reason, we’ll say, resistance above is the 3767-75 region, which if targeted and held during the early session can take us back into the order region 3750-40 which is where a potential opportunity may come to attempt the long trade upside to target that all time high again.
Please note, the 3795-3810 needs a strong daily close above it to go higher, so we won’t be looking to get trapped high in a potential move that can turn again! That for us is the level to watch if price attempts that level.
We have a lot of news this week including NFP, with tomorrow looking like it could be a ranging day playing those order regions.
It's the last few days of the month, so we'll have to play level to level intra-day and wait for the monthly close for a clearer picture. Right now, levels are level, boxes are boxes, we'll stick with the plan and move with the market where ever it goes.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3765 for 3773, 3777, 3785, 3796 and 3802 in extension of the move
Break below 3750 for 3744, 3740, 3732 and 3720 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
